eBay: Set for Further DeclineseBay has recently made another move higher, briefly reclaiming the $86.36 level. However, the stock has since resumed its downward trajectory as anticipated and is expected to continue selling off soon as part of magenta wave . Overall, this magenta downward impulse should push price closer to support at $55.96, completing turquoise wave 1.
EBAY
eBay’s Hidden Cycle | Correction Now, Explosion Next🔍 eBay (EBAY) – Full Spectrum Analysis
(Fundamentals + Elliott Waves + SMC + Market Structure + Fibonacci Confluence + Market Cycle)
eBay may be completing a major Wave 3 and entering a large corrective structure (W–X–Y) before a massive long-term Wave 5 rally toward the 2.618 extension (~$450) . This aligns surprisingly well with fundamentals and market behavior.
Let’s break this down clearly. 👇
📌 1. Fundamental Overview – “Stable but Slow” 💼
eBay is fundamentally a mature, cash-flow rich, low-growth digital marketplace . It’s not a hyper-growth tech stock anymore—more like a cash generator with strategic share buybacks.
⭐ Strengths
Strong free cash flow 🚰
Aggressive share repurchases (shrinking share count = upward EPS pressure)
Stable margins due to marketplace model, not inventory-heavy
Healthy balance sheet compared to most e-commerce peers
⚠️ Weaknesses
Sluggish revenue growth
Marketplace competition (Amazon, Walmart Marketplace, niche platforms)
Limited innovation compared to its early-2000s era
Sensitive to consumer spending cycles
🧭 Interpretation
Fundamentals support a long consolidation / corrective phase rather than a trend collapse. eBay isn’t dying—it’s simply slow and stable , perfect for a long drawn-out Elliott correction before a major cycle expansion (Wave 5).
🌊 2. Elliott Wave Theory
It demonstrates:
Wave 1 – early 2000 breakout
Wave 2 – deep correction following dot-com bust
Wave 3 – huge multiyear advance 2008–2025 (strongest wave ✔️)
Now entering Wave 4 – a complex W–X–Y correction
Projection: Wave 5 at 2.618 ext (~$450) – extremely reasonable for a long-term cycle top
Why this fits Elliott Wave perfectly:
Wave 3 is extended (very normal for tech).
Wave 4 is usually complex , time-consuming, messy.
Wave 5 often reaches 2.618 Fib extension when Wave 3 is extended.
This is a textbook count. 📘🔥
🔐 3. Smart Money Concepts – “Distribution → Accumulation → Expansion”
Looking at price behavior leading into 2024–2025:
🔴 Distribution Signs (near Wave 3 top)
Choppy, wick-heavy candles
Liquidity hunts above equal highs
Failure to sustain breakout levels
Bearish divergence on volume
This shows institutions unloading at premium prices.
🟡 Expected: Accumulation Phase (your W–X–Y)
Wave 4 = the zone where smart money loads up quietly before a big cycle advance.
Expect:
Sweeps of lows
Long wicks down
Tight ranges after capitulation
Volume spikes at bottoms
🟢 Expansion (Wave 5)
Once the long correction completes, smart money typically drives a massive markup—the Wave 5.
📉 4. Price Action & Market Structure
🔻 Structure Turning Bearish Temporarily
It shows:
Loss of trendline support
Lower highs forming
Price failing at the 1.618 extension → classic Wave 3 exhaustion
So yes, Wave 4 correction is structurally valid.
🔻 Support Levels of Interest
These align beautifully with W and Y targets:
0.382 retracement → mid-correction support
0.5 retracement → perfect W–Y completion zone
These fibs are exactly where long-cycle Wave 4 structures tend to land.
📐 5. Fibonacci Confluence
All fib levels match long-term cycle behavior:
✨ Key Confluences
1.618 = Wave 3 termination (hit)
0.382 and 0.5 retracements = Wave 4 corrective basins
2.618 extension = Wave 5 terminal projection (~$450)
The 2.618 target has high probability if Wave 4 remains orderly .
🔄 6. Market Cycle Psychology
Right now eBay is in the late-complacency → early anxiety phase.
We can map it like this: [/b
Euphoria (Wave 3) → everyone bullish
Complacency → “the dip will be bought”
Anxiety → price begins trending down
Fear → W wave leg
Doubt / Despair → Y wave completion
Hope / Belief / Thrill → early Wave 5
Euphoria → Wave 5 top
This fits our projected cycle perfectly.
🎯 7. Final Take – Summary
This eBay chart i s one of the cleanest long-term Elliott counts we’ve seen. The scenario we’re mapping is not only technically sound, but supported by fundamentals, smart money behavior, fib confluence, market structure, and economic cycles .
eBay is not a rocket ship right now. It’s a maturing, slow-growth platform entering a long correction (Wave 4). But that correction is setting the stage for a massive, multi-year Wave 5 that could take the stock to its all-time highest valuations.
In other words:
👉 Wave 3 is done.
👉 Wave 4 is coming — slow, corrective, messy, multi-year.
👉 Wave 5 will be explosive once correction completes.
This is a very natural long-term market rhythm for a mature tech company like eBay.
Save this post before the move happens!
Drop a comment: Bullish or Bearish on eBay?👇
Disclaimer: This idea is for educational purposes only and reflects our personal opinion, not financial advice. Always do your own analysis before taking any trade. We are not responsible for any profits or losses. Trade safe and manage your risk. 📉📈
#ebay #stocks #elliottwave #waveanalysis #smartmoney #stockmarket
#tradingview #technicalanalysis #investing #fibonacci #marketstructure
#tradercommunity #chartanalysis
eBay: Confirming Wave [ii] Top Right on ScheduleeBay rallied once again to test resistance at $101.15, but quickly reversed with sharp sell-offs, confirming the top of magenta wave in a timely manner. Since then, the stock has moved as anticipated below the $86.36 level and now appears poised for further declines as part of wave . The subsequent wave- corrective move higher should remain capped below $86.36, allowing wave to complete turquoise wave 1 at a lower level—though still above $55.96.
EBAY | This Retail Business Will BOOM | LONGeBay, Inc. is a commerce company, whose platforms include an online marketplace and its localized counterparts, including off-platform businesses in South Korea, Japan, and Turkey, as well as eBay's suite of mobile apps. It offers a platform for various product categories, including parts and accessories, collectibles, fashion, electronics, and home & garden. eBay generates revenue mainly through fees from sales, payment processing, and advertising. The company was founded by Pierre Morad Omidyar in September 1995 and is headquartered in San Jose, CA.
eBay - At this high, the air is thinThis overshoot of the U-MLH is a nice opportunity to stalk ebay for a Short-Trade.
1. wait for a close inside the fork
2. expect a test/retest at the U-MLH
3. on a break of a pivot, I enter short.
Profit Target 1 is the Centerline.
Further downside is possible, but has to be shown below the CL.
Happy new week folks §8-)
Ebay Extends The Rally; Pointing To 100 AreaEbay Extends The Rally within an impulse, which can push the price up to 100 area from technical and Elliott wave perspective.
Ebay is extending strongly higher after beating earnings at the end of July, which we see it as a wave 3 of an ongoing five-wave bullish impulse. Currently it can be trading in subwave (5) of 3 that can stop around 100 area, and from where we may see a new corrective pullback in wave 4, as eBay executives sell shares worth over 5.5million. So soon watch out for a new higher degree wave 4 pullback before the bullish trend for wave 5 resumes.
A bullish impulse in Elliott Wave Theory is a five-wave upward movement showing strong trend momentum. Wave 1 starts the advance, Wave 2 corrects part of it, Wave 3 is the longest and most powerful leg, Wave 4 consolidates without overlapping Wave 1, and Wave 5 is the final push before a larger correction. The key rules are: Wave 2 never fully retraces Wave 1, Wave 3 is never the shortest, and Wave 4 doesn’t enter Wave 1’s price zone. This pattern reflects shifting market psychology from early accumulation to final optimism.
ebay is on sale 🛒Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 EBAY has exhibited an overall bullish trend , trading above the orange and blue trendlines.
At present, EBAY is undergoing a correction phase and it is currently approaching a strong support zone 30 - 34
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the green support and lower blue and orange trendlines acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #EBAY approaches the lower red circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
eBay: Resistance Touched!EBAY has managed to fight its way upward as expected, reaching the resistance at $71.51. In the course of the ongoing (corrective) upward movement, the price has now touched this mark for the third time – and once again showed a pullback reaction. Primarily, the stock should rise above the $71.51 level in the next step to complete the beige wave b above it. However, there remains a 27% chance for a new interim low of the magenta wave alt.(X). In this case, the stock would take a detour below the support at $55.96 but would turn upward again above the lower $49.63 mark.
$EBAY $80 EOYA non factor amongst tariff rhetoric. I think the idea of US consumers (even internationally) buying and reselling has never been higher. I think a lot of consumers will start to look for used goods more than ever. I'm eyeing $70 calls for earnings this upcoming week (first week of May 2025) and if it has any pull back I will load the boat for $80 call leaps. I like the structure it's held at this $55-$65 range. I expect new highs on this name maybe earnings can give it a jolt. All the lines you see are 20, 50, 200 SMA and EMA. I could be wrong on earnings as this name tends to dip from earnings even posting beats but that's the gamble of earnings but LONG TERM this name is a good buy. Charts are Monthly and Daily.
WSL.
eBay: (Corrective) Upside AheadAfter a month marked by elevated volatility, EBAY has recently stabilized. We anticipate a continued rise above the $71.51 resistance, where the beige wave b should ultimately form its high. Afterward, the matching beige wave c should take over, triggering declines toward the support at $49.63. However, if the stock fails once again at the $71.51 resistance and then drops directly below the upper support at $61.55, the magenta wave alt.(4) will carve out a new low near the $49.63 level. Thus, this 40% likely alternative scenario would delay the completion of beige wave b.
Can Two Tech Giants Rewrite the Rules of Digital Commerce?In a bold strategic maneuver that has captivated the financial markets, eBay and Meta have forged an unprecedented partnership that transcends traditional e-commerce boundaries. The collaboration, which sent eBay's stock soaring by 11%, represents more than just a business alliance—it signals a fundamental shift in how digital marketplaces might operate.
The timing of this partnership is particularly intriguing, coming in the wake of Meta's €798 million EU fine for alleged monopolistic practices. Rather than retreating, both companies have chosen to innovate, creating a model that could potentially satisfy regulatory concerns while expanding market opportunities. This adaptive response to regulatory challenges demonstrates how constraints can spark creative solutions in the tech industry.
The markets have responded enthusiastically to this marriage of social commerce and traditional e-commerce, with analysts predicting significant growth potential. eBay's strategic positioning of its niche offerings—from collectibles to luxury goods—combined with Facebook's massive user base creates a unique value proposition that could reshape consumer behavior and expectations. As the partnership unfolds across the United States, Germany, and France, it may well serve as a blueprint for future digital commerce evolution, challenging our understanding of market boundaries and competitive dynamics in the digital age.
EBAY Share Price Jumps Over 9% in a DayEBAY Share Price Jumps Over 9% in a Day
Yesterday, traders focused on:
→ labour market news, which showed a slight decrease in new unemployment claims;
→ comments from the Federal Reserve: Christopher Waller stated that inflation is expected to fall to the target rate of 2% in the medium term, and further monetary easing would be "appropriate".
However, these factors did not lead to significant changes in stock indices. The S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) fell by 0.12% yesterday.
The major highlight was the surge in eBay Inc. (EBAY) shares, which rose by more than 9%. This was driven by Meta Platforms (META) announcing a test launch of a new feature that would allow users in the US, France, and Germany to browse eBay products on Facebook Marketplace and complete transactions on eBay.
If the test proves successful, this feature could potentially drive a significant increase in eBay’s revenue due to a new influx of buyers.
Technical analysis of eBay’s (EBAY) share price chart shows that:
→ in early February 2024, following the release of a strong Q4 2023 report (marked by an arrow), the price began forming a stable upward channel (highlighted in blue);
→ on October 31, the price tested the lower boundary of the channel and rebounded sharply, indicating strong demand;
→ the $66 level acted as key resistance at the end of 2024, consolidating the share price around the median line;
→ following yesterday’s significant news, the price jumped to the upper boundary of the channel, briefly surpassing the psychological $70 mark.
It is possible that eBay's share price could face downward pressure near the upper boundary of the channel and the $70 level, as indicated by the long upper shadow on yesterday's candlestick. However, given the sustained upward trend and strong fundamentals, the outlook for 2025 remains optimistic.
According to TipRanks:
→ 10 out of 24 analysts recommend buying eBay shares;
→ the average 12-month price target for eBay shares is $64.36.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
eBay: Bearish Resolution AnticipatedThe EBAY stock has entered a consolidation phase below the resistance level at $67.79. This resistance currently serves as a trigger for our 33% likely alternative scenario, which would entail a new high of the beige wave alt. b. Primarily, however, we expect this level to remain unbroken as the price continues its current downward movement of the green wave , which should find its low below the support levels at $46.03 and $40.16.
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Break and retest on EBAY! Big move incoming?🔉Sound on!🔉
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
Ebay: Almost there!Ebay’s shares have made impressive strides since our last update, hitting a new local high not seen in over two years. We anticipate further upside potential as wave (5) in magenta continues and expect it to arrive in our green Target Zone between $63.90 and $71.50. Once this peak has been reached, we expect a strong sell-off. Thus, our Target Zone presents an opportunity to realize the profits of existing long positions. It also serves as a potential entry point for short trades, with a possible stop loss placed 1% above the Zone’s upper boundary.
EBAY Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought EBAY before the breakout:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of EBAY prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 52usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-8-16,
for a premium of approximately $0.98.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
eBay: Knock... Knock...Ebay is trying to overcome the resistance line at $55.50. We expect it to succeed in doing so soon. We expect the high of the current wave b in beige and thus the end of the corrective rise well above this level. If, on the other hand, the stock now heads directly below the support at $46.03, we will have to assume that the wave alt. b in beige is already finished (probability: 37%).
EBAY is looking very nice for a swing call trade! 🔉Sound on!🔉
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
eBay: Is the Big Turnaround Coming?
Looking at the eBay chart, we believe that Wave (1) and (2) were completed at $4.17, as well as Waves (3), (4) and (5). However, we've had some uncertainties regarding the positioning of Wave (3). Nonetheless, where we've positioned Waves (3) and (4) makes the most sense to us. Regardless, it could still be considered that Wave (5) and the overarching Wave I have truly peaked at $81.19. Zooming in on the 4-hour chart, it seems more like we are dealing with an extended Wave II rather than a different downward correction. Thus, we don't believe that $81.19 marks the position of Wave (3), as we're dealing with a 5-wave impulse downwards. This could indicate we're looking at a zigzag movement, broadly marked as (A), (B), then (C).
We believe we have already seen the subordinate Waves A and B, and now we should be developing a 5-wave impulse upwards to complete Wave C and the overarching Wave (B) between 61.8% and 78.6%. Afterward, we should see another significant drop. For eBay, we're operating on a higher timeframe, so this process will take longer. However, once we reach there, it will present excellent entry opportunities for us to build a long-term position.
EBAY Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought EBAY in the Buy area:
nor sold before of the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of EBAY prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 47.5usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-1-17,
for a premium of approximately $4.00.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
EBay Beats Earnings Estimates on Strong U.S. Holiday SpendingE-commerce behemoth eBay ( NASDAQ:EBAY ) has surpassed market expectations for quarterly revenue and profit, buoyed by robust U.S. holiday spending and the sustained strength of key focus categories.
The company's stellar performance was underscored by a revenue of $2.56 billion, surpassing analysts' estimates and reflecting a strategic emphasis on value-driven consumer segments such as refurbished goods and auto parts. Shares of eBay ( NASDAQ:EBAY ) surged approximately 7% in extended trading, signaling investor confidence in the platform's ability to capitalize on shifting consumer preferences and market dynamics.
According to eBay ( NASDAQ:EBAY ) CFO Stephen Priest, the uptick in business activity towards the end of November, particularly in the U.S., mirrored consumers' penchant for value-conscious purchases amid constrained holiday budgets. This trend underscores eBay's pivotal role as a marketplace that caters to a diverse array of buyers and sellers, facilitating transactions across borders and driving sustained growth.
The company's proactive measures to enhance shareholder value were further evident with the authorization of an additional $2 billion share repurchase program, reflecting management's confidence in eBay's long-term prospects and commitment to capital allocation strategies that maximize returns for investors.
Despite the upbeat results, eBay CEO Jamie Iannone acknowledged challenges in certain international markets, notably the UK and Germany, which experienced sluggish e-commerce growth. In response to evolving market conditions, eBay implemented cost-saving measures, including a workforce reduction of approximately 1,000 roles, signaling a proactive approach to streamline operations and mitigate risks associated with an uncertain economic landscape.
eBay ( NASDAQ:EBAY ) remains cautiously optimistic, forecasting revenue for the first quarter in the range of $2.50 billion to $2.54 billion, exceeding analysts' estimates. The company's projected adjusted earnings per share between $1.19 and $1.23 further underscore its confidence in delivering sustained profitability amidst market volatility.
Key industry metrics, such as gross merchandise volume, rose by 2% to $18.59 billion in the fourth quarter, highlighting eBay's resilience and ability to adapt to changing market dynamics while maintaining its position as a leading player in the global e-commerce landscape.
As eBay ( NASDAQ:EBAY ) navigates the complexities of a rapidly evolving market, its ability to leverage consumer trends, optimize operational efficiencies, and drive innovation will be pivotal in sustaining its growth trajectory and delivering value to shareholders in the long run.
In an era defined by economic uncertainty and shifting consumer behavior, eBay's impressive earnings performance serves as a beacon of stability and resilience, reaffirming its status as a cornerstone of the digital marketplace and a trusted destination for buyers and sellers worldwide.






















