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The Day Ahead Tuesday, December 9: Data highlights: US: November NFIB small business optimism, September & October JOLTS job openings Japan: November machine tool orders, PPI Germany: October trade balance Central banks: RBA policy decision ECB’s Nagel speaks BoJ Governor Ueda speaks Earnings: thyssenkrupp Auctions: US 10-yr Treasury Notes Market focus: The RBA decision and Ueda’s remarks will be closely watched for global rates direction, while US JOLTS will be key for labour market tightness and Fed pricing. The 10-yr auction could influence Treasury yields and broader risk sentiment. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.

The Day Ahead Markets will focus on key data releases and central bank remarks today. In the US, attention is on September NY Fed 1-year inflation expectations, August trade balance, and consumer credit, which will give insight into inflation and household borrowing trends. From Asia, China reports September foreign reserves, while Japan releases August household spending, leading, and coincident indices — important for gauging consumer and economic momentum. In Europe, Germany’s August factory orders and France’s trade and current account balances will provide direction on industrial and external sector strength. Canada’s August trade data will also be in focus. Central bank watchers will monitor comments from the Fed’s Bostic, Miran, and Kashkari, as well as the ECB’s Nagel, for guidance on monetary policy outlooks. The US Treasury will auction 3-year notes, which may influence yields and short-term rate expectations. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.

The Day Ahead - The triple witching day!Data UK: September GfK consumer confidence and August retail sales → signals for household demand momentum; public finances update in focus for fiscal stance. Japan: August national CPI → key inflation read ahead of today’s BoJ decision. Germany: August PPI → important for eurozone disinflation trends. France: September manufacturing confidence → industrial outlook update. Canada: July retail sales → gauge on household spending. Central Banks Bank of Japan: Policy decision today; markets watching for any shift in yield curve control or forward guidance after recent inflation trends. Trading Impact FX: JPY volatility likely around BoJ; GBP moves tied to consumer sentiment/retail sales. Rates: UK gilt yields could react to retail sales/public finances; JGBs in focus on BoJ outcome. Equities: Japan equities sensitive to BoJ stance; European stocks watching German PPI and French confidence for growth/inflation signals. Commodities: German PPI a useful read on industrial demand trends across Europe. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.

The Day Ahead Data releases US: July PPI, initial jobless claims UK: Q2 GDP, July RICS house price balance Eurozone: June industrial production, Q2 employment Italy: June general government debt Australia: July labour force survey Central banks Fed’s Barkin speaks Norges Bank policy decision Earnings Applied Materials Deere Adyen JD.com Tapestry This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.

The Day Ahead Macro Data: US June factory orders fell 9.3% due to a big drop in aircraft orders. Excluding transport, orders rose 0.2%, but core capital goods fell 0.7%, pointing to weaker business investment. Manufacturing PMI stayed in contraction for a 4th month. Japan July monetary base fell 3.9% y/y, showing reduced liquidity despite steady interest rates. Switzerland July CPI was flat, with annual inflation at just 0.1%, staying very low. Earnings: Palantir expected strong revenue growth (~+38% YoY) from government and commercial AI work, but valuation is high. Vertex seen with steady sales and profits from its drug portfolio. MercadoLibre expected ~28–29% YoY revenue growth from e-commerce and fintech. Williams Cos forecast stable earnings from energy infrastructure. Mitsubishi UFJ reports later this week. Conclusion: US data points to slowing manufacturing and business investment. Japan’s monetary base drop signals gradual tightening. Switzerland’s inflation is very subdued. Earnings focus is on high-growth names like Palantir and MercadoLibre—markets will watch if results can justify rich valuations. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.

The Day Ahead Key Economic Data US Q1 GDP (2nd estimate) Critical gauge of US economic strength. A stronger print supports the USD and Treasury yields; a weaker print could increase rate cut expectations. US Initial Jobless Claims Weekly labor market barometer. Higher claims may signal softening employment, boosting rate cut speculation. US April Pending Home Sales Forward-looking housing data. Affects homebuilder stocks and rate-sensitive sectors. Japan May Consumer Confidence Index Influences JPY and Nikkei futures. A strong number supports risk sentiment in Asia. Italy May Consumer & Manufacturing Confidence, March Industrial Sales Could affect EUR and European equity indexes, especially if significantly diverging from consensus. Canada Q1 Current Account Balance Impacts CAD. A stronger balance may support CAD crosses; relevant for BoC watchers. Central Bank Activity Fed Speakers: Barkin, Goolsbee, Daly Market-sensitive remarks possible, especially around inflation, labor market, and rate path. Key for interpreting near-term FOMC expectations. Earnings Reports Major reports: Costco, Royal Bank of Canada, Dell, Marvell, Zscaler, Gap These span retail, finance, tech, and cybersecurity. Potentially high-impact for: Retail sentiment (Costco, Gap) Tech momentum (Dell, Marvell, Zscaler) Financial sector positioning (Royal Bank of Canada) Bond Market US 7-Year Treasury Note Auction Important for yield curve positioning. Weak demand may steepen the curve; strong demand could support duration plays. Trading Takeaways Macro setup: GDP + claims = key risk barometer for USD and yields. Volatility catalyst: Earnings after-hours may drive post-market Nasdaq and futures volatility. Bond traders: Watch auction tail and bid metrics closely; implications for near-term Treasury direction. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.