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New Week, New Opportunities: US Dollar Set to Reverse Course!Good morning everyone, and happy new trading week! As we kick off the week, we're keeping a close eye on the US Dollar, which we expect to see some strength in the early part of this week. As many of you know, the USD is a key player in financial markets, so this move could have significant ripple effects across asset classes. For example, we might see the EURUSD pair and US stock markets reverse direction as the USD strengthens. And even bitcoin, which is often seen as a safe haven asset, could be impacted by this move. But what does this all mean for traders and investors? Well, it's always important to stay nimble in the markets, but this expected USD reversal could present some interesting opportunities. For example, those with a bearish bias on the USD might consider taking profits on their short positions, while those with a bullish bias might consider adding to their long positions. To help visualize the expected move, here's a chart showing the USD index over the past month. As you can see, the index has been trending downward, but we believe this could change in the coming days. As always, it's important to do your own analysis and due diligence before making any trades, but we hope this gives you some food for thought as the new trading week begins. Good luck out there, and happy trading!
TVC:DXYLong
by JoelWarby
2
Do not get caught in this trap!Good time of the day, friends! Rushing into trades is definitely among the top #3 common mistakes done by relatively newer market participants who we would call early sellers in this context. The chart/infographic above is pretty self explanatory, but let’s still cover some aspects of it by considering a following scenario: Market was moving sideways the whole week, you almost lost hope to finish the month in profits and now you see the up-trending channel with already 2 lower trend-line touches. You instantly get excited and set a long position in the area of a third touch. Well, next thing you know it plummets right past through it. Lesson learned, but what can be done to avoid that? Well, first of all “look for multiple confluences”. Does the third touch coincide with a potential support zone? If not, that already weakens the point. Was there any signs of bottom forming and reversal? Another strike if not. Did it coincide with any Fibonacci levels, for instance? No? You’re out. Going over mistakes is easy, as there are always so many things that can go wrong, but what’s an alternative then, you may ask. On the chart above, we also indicated a point where we would consider entering the mentioned trade. Patient execution with a proper Risk-Reward is a way to do it. Hope this helps, and tune in for more content for us!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Investroy
12
Part 1: A simple analysis of Wyckoff of Wall StreetWyckoff was a pioneer in the technical analysis of the stock market in the early 20th century. He established the Stock Market Academy in 1930. The main course is to introduce how to identify the dealer’s process of collecting chips and the process of distributing chips/judge. Second and third, in the basic law of "causality", the horizontal P&F count within the trading range represents the cause, and the subsequent price changes represent the result. Fourth, fifth, the relationship between price and volume on the candlestick chart to analyze the relationship between supply and demand. This law sounds simple, but it takes a long time to practice in order to accurately grasp the volume and price. I heard that Wall Street financial institutions are using Wyckoff's trading method to judge the trend of the stock market and look for opportunities. So what exactly is Wyckoff's theory? Today, I will introduce to you the famous Wyckoff transaction method. The background of the birth of Wyckoff theory Wyckoff's theory was proposed by Richard Wyckoff. He was a pioneer in the technical analysis of the stock market in the early 20th century. He and Dow Jones, Gunn, Elliott, and Merrill Lynch are considered the five giants of technical analysis. Wyckoff is good at summarizing his years of failures in stock investment and is committed to introducing individual investors to the rules of the game in the market and the impact of large funds behind them. In 1930, he established the Stock Market Academy. The main course is to introduce how to identify the dealer's process of collecting chips and the process of distributing chips. Till there are still many professional traders and institutional investors applying Wyckoff's method. Two Five Steps of Wyckoff Analysis (1) Determine the current state of the market and possible future trends. Judging the current market trends and future trends can help us decide whether to enter the market and go long or short. (2) Choose stocks that are consistent with market trends. In an uptrend, choose stocks that are trending stronger than the market. In a downtrend, choose stocks that are weaker than the market. (3) Choose stocks whose "reason" equals or exceeds your minimum target. An important part of Wyckoff's trading selection and management is his unique method of using long-term and short-term trading point forecasts to determine price targets. In Wyckoff's basic law of "causality", the horizontal P&F count within the trading range represents the cause, and subsequent price changes represent the result. (4) Make sure that the stock is ready to move. (5) When the stock market index reverses, there must be contingency measures Three-quarters of the stocks are moving in line with the market. Grasping the market trends can increase the success rate of transactions. Wyckoff's price cycle Wyckoff believes that through detailed supply and demand analysis, including research on price behavior, volume, and time. The market can be understood and predicted. Wyckoff's 3-Laws Wyckoff’s icon analysis method is based on three laws, which affect all aspects of stock analysis. For example, the forecast of the market and individual stocks, how to select stocks, and the appropriate points to enter the market. 1. The principle of supply and demand determines the direction of the price. When supply is less than demand, prices will rise; when supply exceeds demand, prices will fall. Traders can analyze the relationship between supply and demand through the relationship between price and volume on the K-line chart. This law sounds simple, but it takes a long time to practice to accurately grasp the relationship between volume and price. 2. The principle of causality can explain the magnitude of future price rises and falls. Causality can help investors predict target prices. Calculate the size of the future market by calculating the chips in the sideways interval. You can use a point and figure chart to analyze the cause and predict the result. The "cause" is the number of points in the horizontal interval in the point and figure chart, and the "effect" is the ups and downs of the stock price caused by these points. 3. The principle of inconsistent volume and price can provide an early warning of trend changes. Inconsistency between volume and stock prices is often a signal of a change in trend. For example, in the case of continuous heavy volume, the increase in stock prices is getting smaller and smaller. This phenomenon shows that the dealer is shipping. Application of Wyckoff Transaction Law Let's use the dollar index to explain some of Wyckoff's concepts. The long-term bear market after its peak in 2001 ended in 2009. The fall method without resistance from 2001 to 2005 has proved to be an oversold market, and then the rebound in 2005 was relatively large, which we call the market-to-sales ratio (PS), and the subsequent fall speed tells us that the trigeminal indicator (SC) occurred NS. Looking at the increase in AR, the loss of SC is almost flattened, and the resistance of the supply line is completely negated, which shows that demand has absorbed the selling in the supply area. Wyckoff believes that the popularity indicator (AR) is the beginning of the true volatility (TR). Whether this TR is distributed or demanded depends on subsequent development. During the development of TR, CM's methods began to show. From their behavioral characteristics, it can be seen that this TR is a collection and distribution. Of course, after knowing the accumulation or distribution, you also know whether the market outlook is entering a bull market or continuing a bear market. In 2009 and 2011, the position of the ST tells us that the demand is greater than the supply. Otherwise, the demand generated on the SC will be absorbed by the large supply, causing the bear market to continue. Based on these characteristics, we judged that the accumulation may be greater than the distribution. Because if it is a distribution, the supply is still surplus, then any demand accumulated by the rebound will not help, and the price can only continue to look for greater demand. In conclusion: For the Wyckoff transaction law, many professional traders are using it, but the retail public is still not widely used. The completeness, systematicness, and logic of Wyckoff's method, as well as the ability to find high-probability and high-yield transactions, make his stock selection method and investment strategy stand the test of time. Wyckoff’s training methods enable investors to make sensible, fact-based trading decisions without being disturbed by emotions. Using the Wyckoff method, traders can put funds on the side of the smart money that is the main force in the market. As the content of Wyckoff transaction law is more, more knowledge about Wyckoff transaction law, I will write another article to introduce to you.
NSE:SBINEducation
by forextidings
5