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Daily QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction (21 NOV)Daily QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction (21 NOV) 📊 Market Sentiment Market sentiment is bearish right now, in my opinion. The FED is expected not to cut rates in December, and the uncertainty around when rate cuts may resume in 2026 is adding pressure. After yesterday’s intraday crash, overall market anxiety has increased significantly. 📈 Technical Analysis Price tapped the monthly FVG level around 588.5, which holds significant liquidity. In my view, this zone may set up the foundation for a potential Friday bounce. 📌 Game Plan – Prediction I expect two possible scenarios: Scenario 1 (Black Line): Price may consolidate and range between 597–588, creating choppy intraday price action. Scenario 2 (Red Line): Price may retrace toward 578.5, then recover and move back above the 588 level. 💬 For detailed insights and broader market context, please check my Substack link in profile. ⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by UA_CAPITAL
Daily QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction (20 NOV)Daily QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction 📊 Market Sentiment Market sentiment appears neutral to bullish right now, in my opinion. The FED may pause rate cuts in December, which previously contributed to selling pressure and hedging flows. However, with the U.S. government reopening last week, updated economic data will begin to flow again. If employment data weakens and CPI comes in low or stable, it could support renewed bullish momentum. NVDA beat earnings expectations and addressed AI bubble concerns clearly. AI demand remains strong, and their revenue growth continues to accelerate. U.S. tech firms turned notably green after the release, further boosting bullish sentiment. 📈 Technical Analysis Price is currently rising toward 613.5 following NVDA’s earnings results. A strong bullish candle close has appeared on NQ, indicating solid upward momentum heading into today’s session. 📌 Game Plan – Prediction I will be buying calls at the opening, targeting 613.5 first. After that, I will be targeting 625. If I see a 1H bearish close below the opening price, I will exit my positions, as I expect strong bullish momentum after the market opens. 💬 For detailed insights and broader market context, please check my Substack link in profile. ⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by UA_CAPITAL
1
Daily QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction (NOV 18)Daily QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction (18 NOV) 📊 Market Sentiment Market sentiment appears bearish right now, in my opinion. The FED may pause rate cuts in December, which has contributed to recent selling pressure and possible hedging flows. However, with the U.S. government reopening last week, we will start receiving updated economic data again. If employment data weakens and CPI comes in low or stable, it could trigger renewed bullish momentum. NVDA will report earnings this Wednesday after market close. I will be watching closely in my view, if NVDA were to miss expectations, both QQQ and SPY could see a strong retracement. However, I think this is unlikely. I expect solid earnings growth and believe the ongoing AI cycle continues to support upside. Additionally, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that the Trump administration aims to finalize its trade agreement with China by Thanksgiving (November 27). This could bring further bullish sentiment into the market. 📈 Technical Analysis The market showed a strong bounce on Friday after tapping the 599 level. RSI has also reset, meaning price is no longer overbought. We remain inside the weekly range, and price has now touched the 0.75 max discount zone for the second time. 📌 Game Plan – Prediction There are 2 different expectations outlined on the chart. S cenario 1 (Green line): Price to hit 585.5$ then close 1H above the level, bringing it back to us for a bounce. Scenario 2 (Red line): Price retraces till 579 and gets a bounce from there. I believe 579 is the strongest zone for buyers. I will be buying calls once we hit there. 💬 For detailed insights and broader market context, please check my Substack link in profile. ⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by UA_CAPITAL
1
Daily QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction (17 NOV)Daily QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction (17 NOV) 📊 Market Sentiment Market sentiment appears bearish right now, in my opinion. The FED may pause rate cuts in December, which has contributed to recent selling pressure and possible hedging flows. However, with the U.S. government reopening last week, we will start receiving updated economic data again. If employment data weakens and CPI comes in low or stable, it could trigger renewed bullish momentum. NVDA will report earnings this Wednesday after market close. I will be watching closely in my view, if NVDA were to miss expectations, both QQQ and SPY could see a strong retracement. However, I think this is unlikely. I expect solid earnings growth and believe the ongoing AI cycle continues to support upside. Additionally, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that the Trump administration aims to finalize its trade agreement with China by Thanksgiving (November 27). This could bring further bullish sentiment into the market. 📈 Technical Analysis The market showed a strong bounce on Friday after tapping the 599 level. RSI has also reset, meaning price is no longer overbought. We remain inside the weekly range, and price has now touched the 0.75 max discount zone for the second time. 📌 Game Plan – Prediction A 1H candle close above 613 on QQQ will confirm bullish momentum, setting the next target at 618. If we get a clean 1H close above 613, I will be buying calls. After hitting 618, price may pull back slightly before eventually pushing toward 625 and potentially all-time highs around 637. 💬For detailed insights and broader market context, please check my Substack link in profile. ⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by UA_CAPITAL
Daily SPY (US500-ES-SPX) Outlook - Prediction (14 NOV)Daily SPY (US500-ES-SPX) Outlook - Prediction (14 NOV) 📊 Market Sentiment Market sentiment appears neutral, in my opinion. The U.S. government is expected to reopen soon; however, officials have decided not to release previous economic data. This creates uncertainty for traders — without key data, it becomes difficult to anticipate the FED’s next policy decision. 📈 Technical Analysis QQQ ran the weekly swing low at the 687 level and was rejected there. SPY retested the 637 zone, which is the range low for me, and reacted perfectly with a strong bounce. At the moment, price is showing clear upward momentum, suggesting that a stronger move may develop into the afternoon session. NVDA and AAPL are currently leading the market higher. 📌 Game Plan Bullish Scenario: I bought calls and I’m targeting a minimum of 673.5. My second target is 681 for a runner. Once price reaches 673.5, I will move my stops to break-even. Bearish Scenario: If price gets rejected at the 671 level, I will exit my calls and switch to puts, targeting the 661 zone. 💬For detailed insights and broader market context, please check my Substack link in profile. ⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
AMEX:SPY
by UA_CAPITAL
1
Daily QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction (14 NOV)Daily QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction (14 NOV) 📊 Market Sentiment Market sentiment appears neutral, in my opinion. The U.S. government is expected to reopen soon; however, officials have decided not to release previous economic data. This creates uncertainty for traders without key data, it becomes difficult to anticipate the FED’s next policy decisions. 📈 Technical Analysis QQQ tapped the weekly swing low at 687 and was rejected from that level. SPY retested the 637 zone, which is the range low for me, and reacted with a strong bounce. At the moment, price is showing clear upward momentum, suggesting that a stronger move may develop into the afternoon session. NVDA and AAPL are currently leading the market higher. 📌 Game Plan I bought calls around 601, and I expect to see 609.5 first, and if we get a strong continuation, possibly the 618 level. At 609.5, I will close half of my position, trail my stop-loss to breakeven, and target 618 for the remainder. 💬For detailed insights and broader market context, please check my Substack link in profile. ⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by UA_CAPITAL
Daily SPY (US500-SPX) Outlook - Prediction (13 NOV)Daily SPY (US500-SPX) Outlook - Prediction (13 NOV) 📊 Market Sentiment Market sentiment appears neutral, in my opinion. The U.S. government is expected to reopen soon; however, officials have decided not to release previous economic data. This adds uncertainty for traders without data, it becomes difficult to gauge the FED’s next policy decision. 📈 Technical Analysis SPY experienced a range-bound session yesterday, consolidating between 680 and 685. On higher timeframes, price action still suggests a desire to expand higher, but momentum has temporarily slowed. 📌 Game Plan In my opinion, the market may show slight bearish pressure early in the session, followed by a moderate bullish bounce. Scenario 1: SPY may drop to 679 and bounce from there, returning to the 682–685 range. Scenario 2: If SPY breaks 679 aggressively, I expect a retracement toward 675. At that level, I plan to load calls for a potential bullish move. 💬 For detailed insights and broader market context, please check my Substack link in profile. ⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
AMEX:SPY
by UA_CAPITAL
Daily QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction (13 NOV)Daily QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction (13 NOV) 📊 Market Sentiment Market sentiment appears neutral, in my opinion. The U.S. government is expected to reopen soon; however, officials have decided not to release previous economic data. This creates uncertainty for traders without key data, it becomes difficult to anticipate the FED’s next policy decision. 📈 Technical Analysis QQQ experienced a range-bound session yesterday, while the Dow Jones carried most of the market’s momentum. Compared to SPY, QQQ showed more weakness throughout the session. However, the higher-timeframe structure remains bullish, and I will continue following that bias. 📌 Game Plan Scenario 1: Price may dip to the 616–617 zone and bounce from there, returning to the 621–623 range. Scenario 2: If price breaks 617 aggressively, it may retrace toward 613 before bouncing back into the 620–625 zone. In my opinion, calls may work better on SPY today, while puts could perform better on QQQ. 💬 For detailed insights and broader market context, please check my Substack link in profile. ⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by UA_CAPITAL
Daily SPY (US500) Outlook - Prediction (12 NOV)Daily SPY (US500) Outlook - Prediction (12 NOV) 📊 Market Sentiment The market continues to lean bullish following the potential resolution of the U.S. government shutdown, along with the proposed $2,000 incentives for U.S. citizens. These developments could drive stronger inflows into equities and sustain short-term positive sentiment. 📈 Technical Analysis Price moved higher overnight, likely targeting the 686 level, supported by strong momentum carried over from the Dow Jones (US30). 📌 Game Plan In my opinion, I will look to buy if the price retraces to the 683.5–682 zone for a potential continuation move toward 686. However, if we see a strong breakout below 682 and a 4H candle close beneath that level, I plan to exit my position. Another possible bounce could occur around 681, but confirmation would be required before entering such a trade. 💬For detailed insights and broader market context, please check my Substack link in profile. ⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
AMEX:SPYLong
by UA_CAPITAL
Daily SPY (US500) Outlook - Prediction (11 NOV)Daily SPY (US500) Outlook - Prediction (11 NOV) 📊 Market Sentiment The market is turning bullish following the potential resolution of the U.S. government shutdown, along with the proposed $2,000 incentives for U.S. citizens. These factors could create strong inflows into equities and improve short-term sentiment. 📈 Technical Analysis Price moved sharply higher on Monday, reaching the 681 level as expected (see my previous SPY outlook). The 681 level remains a strong resistance zone, and we have already seen a rejection from that area. 📌 Game Plan In my opinion, the market may turn short-term bearish today. After rejecting 681, the price could target the 675 level and possibly though not necessarily reach 671.5. My plan is to short the market toward 675 and observe if a bounce occurs. If it does, I will look to buy calls, expecting a move toward new highs around 685. 💬For detailed insights and broader market context, please check my Substack link in profile. ⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
AMEX:SPYShort
by UA_CAPITAL
SPY (S&P 500 ETF) – Game PlanSPY (S&P 500 ETF) – Game Plan 📊 Market Sentiment On October 29, the FED lowered rates by 25bps as expected. However, Powell’s remarks introduced uncertainty around further cuts in December, emphasizing that future policy will depend on incoming data. One FED member dissented, preferring no cut this cycle — a notable shift from September’s unanimous decision. Additionally, ADP Non-Farm Employment Change came at 42K versus 32K expected. It’s slightly higher, but since other macro data are missing due to the U.S. government shutdown, the overall sentiment remains unclear. For now, sentiment leans bearish, as rate cuts may be delayed into 2026. 📈 Technical Analysis SPY recently touched the 670 level an important support zone representing the equilibrium of the current daily range and an area with significant liquidity. However, with bearish macro sentiment, I don’t expect this level to hold for long. The structure suggests that price wants to seek lower liquidity zones. 📌 Game Plan / Expectations My primary scenario is a short move targeting 663, which aligns with the 0.75 max discount zone. From there, a potential rally toward all-time highs could begin. Scenario 2: If the 663 level fails to hold, I will look for another bounce opportunity near 657. Overall, I don’t see this as a start of a bear market — rather a healthy correction within the broader bullish structure. I’ll be positioning for buys once the downside liquidity objectives are met. 💬 For deeper sentiment and strategy insights, subscribe to my Substack — free access available. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before trading or investing.
AMEX:SPYLong
by UA_CAPITAL
Weekly SPY (US500) Outlook - Prediction (09 NOV)Weekly SPY Outlook - Prediction (09 NOV) 📊 Market Sentiment Market sentiment remains slightly bearish as expectations for a December rate cut may be pushed into 2026. We have seen some sell-offs, likely due to hedging or profit-taking activity. However, the market experienced a healthy bounce last Friday, as anticipated in my previous Daily SPY Outlook on November 7. Today, Trump announced that American citizens, excluding high-income individuals, will receive a $2,000 payment. This news could inject additional liquidity into risk assets, similar to what occurred during his first term. In my opinion, this development may create a short-term bullish narrative for the markets. 📈 Technical Analysis Price retraced throughout the week and reached the 663 level, where it bounced as expected from my November 7 outlook. The 663 zone represents the most discounted range (based on my quarterly range theory, 0.75 fib level), which I consider an optimal buy area. This level also coincides with daily swing liquidity, and the reaction suggests a potential move toward new all-time highs. 📌 Game Plan I’m considering two possible scenarios for this week: Scenario 1 (Black Line): In my opinion, the price now has enough momentum to extend higher and create new all-time highs. Therefore, I’ll be watching for a daily close above the 671 level. If confirmed, I plan to buy SPY calls targeting new highs. Scenario 2 (Red Line): If the price fails to close above 671, it may indicate that more accumulation is needed before another upward move. In that case, I’ll look to short (buy puts) toward the 657 level and observe whether we can bounce from there. Should that happen, I’ll then switch to calls and target higher levels. 💬For detailed insights and broader market context, please check my Substack link in profile. ⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
AMEX:SPYLong
by UA_CAPITAL
Daily SPY (US500) Outlook - Prediction (10 NOV)📊 Market Sentiment Market sentiment remains slightly bearish as expectations for a December rate cut may be postponed into 2026. We have seen some sell-offs, likely due to hedging or profit-taking activity. However, the market experienced a healthy bounce last Friday, as anticipated in my previous Daily SPY Outlook on November 7. Trump announced that American citizens, excluding high-income individuals, will receive a $2,000 payment. This news could inject additional liquidity into risk assets, similar to what occurred during his first term. In my opinion, this may create a short-term bullish narrative for the markets. 📈 Technical Analysis The ES market is showing strong pre-market inflows. I think the price may continue seeking higher levels, possibly targeting the 681 zone today. 📌 Game Plan In my opinion, calls may perform well today. I plan to buy at the market open and take profits around the 681 level. 💬For detailed insights and broader market context, please check my Substack link in profile. ⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
AMEX:SPYLong
by UA_CAPITAL
3