ETHEREUM made 1D Death Cross. Will it follow the 2022 BearCycle?Ethereum (ETHUSD) completed on Saturday its first 1D Death Cross in 9 months (since February 28 2025) and today the market is (so far) reacting violently to it with a strong sell-off.
The market didn't even manage to re-test its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) on last week's rebound and if it follows the 2022 Bear Cycle, it may look for a bottom after completing a -52.50% decline from its Cycle Top. Technically, even the build up to the Cycle Top resembles the 2021/22 fractal and as you can see the similarities are even evident on their 1D RSI sequences.
As a result, if this 1st Bear Cycle wave for ETH bottoms around $2400, we could be expecting a first rebound to test the 1D MA50 (within the 0.382 - 0.5 Fibonacci range, i.e. around $3100) and get rejected, followed by one last to test the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), within the 0.5 - 0.618 Fibonacci levels (i.e. above $3350) and get rejected to start the 2nd wave of the Bear Cycle.
Would you 'trust' this Bear Cycle build up?
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ETH
$ETH: Ethereum seems to be pointing toward a bottom at $...What I’m seeing on the daily chart is pretty clear:
The MACD is already deeply oversold, yet Ethereum continues to fall. Normally, such a setup would trigger a technical rebound — but the price action is not following.
This tells us one thing: bearish absorption.
Whales are unloading into every attempt to push upward, absorbing the buys and slowly forcing the price down. The ETH being sold is still changing hands, and until this process completes, CRYPTOCAP:ETH remains pressured to the downside.
Because the MACD is extremely oversold, we should expect some technical bounces — but opening a long here is extremely risky. Patience is better than gambling in a downtrend without support beneath your feet.
Right now, $2100 looks like the strongest support zone and a likely level for a meaningful bounce.
But in a broader bearish environment, even that bounce could just be a short-term relief before a new leg down or a reaccumulation phase.
So there’s no need to rush or FOMO into every green candle.
Bounces are normal — the trend remains bearish until ETH reaches the demand zone around $2100.
And if ETH doesn’t react at that level… that would be a very bad signal.
Statistically, $2100 has a high probability of being reached and acting as a solid reaccumulation zone.
DYOR
#Ethereum #ETH #CryptoAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #Altcoins #CryptoTrading #MACD #PriceAction #BearishTrend #SupportZone #CryptoMarket #BTC #CryptoNews
$ETH, $4.7K+ Before End of 2027? Retracement Potential?Ethereum is one of those that I am neutral on but invested for long term holds. They have a monopoly on tokenization, yet at the same time, the whole purpose of Ethereum has changed dramatically.
The PoS transition when Ethereum Classic was the original Ethereum and Ethereum PoW is currently the "decentralized newer Ethereum" have left various technologist confused along with the removal of the Ropsten testnet. This has shown Ethereum to be much more centralized than promised and it is entering muddy waters in that sense.
Likewise, can Ethereum differentiate itself from Namecoin, Peercoin and these original PoS forks who got outpaced? Ethereum's technical transition also emphasizes the need for subnets, rollups and speed. Currently they are competing against Solana as well as other players including Z-Cash or minimal small players like Celo and Cardano. The technical differentiation needs to be expanded however in order to allow for scalability. Likewise, Ethereum is still prime in terms of PoS and name-brand but may not be prime in terms of technology.
That said, the long-term potential is still there and Ethereum has a hard to replace developer ecosystem. The patterns when considering fib retracement along with the past cipher and PnL setup showcase the potential of a $4.7K price point by October 2027. As always, none of this is investment or financial advice. Please do your own due diligence and research.
ETH - Bulls Waiting at the Intersection Zone!📈ETH remains overall bullish, moving steadily inside its rising channel. Every dip toward the lower bound has acted as a clean continuation point for the next push upward.
🏹As price pulls back , we will be looking for long setups once ETH retests the intersection of the lower trendline and the demand zone. This confluence area has been respected multiple times, making it a high-probability level for trend-following entries.
⚔️As long as ETH holds above this orange zone, the bullish structure remains intact, and the next impulse toward the upper channel boundary becomes the most likely scenario. Only a break below the demand zone would weaken the bullish outlook.
Now we wait for the retest… then let the structure guide the entries. 🤔
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
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here's how ethereum reaches 10k in 2026.gm,
as promised in yesterdays post, i'd share my macro ethereum case if my post got 5 likes.
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lets start with the basics,
going back to 2015, ethereum came up in a 1-2 1-2
ever since those times, the impulse has been unraveling very nicely.
i postulate that the 2021 peak was the wave (3) high,
and ever since then, ethereum has been consolidating in a wave (4) - contracting triangle.
some might call it a re-accumulation, but i personally view it as a distribution.
old hands, distributing to new hands,
new hands end up holding price up,
and even create another leg up, but it gets faded.
in wyckoff distribution terms, this final leg up is referred to as "utad test".
in elliott wave theory terms, the final fifth wave out of a triangle is a "thrust".
both are, by design, quick and usually artificially created to create a final exit liquidity event.
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it's tough to say how high we will go,
but based on our research, generally speaking -
if w3 sees an extension, w5 usually sees a truncation (slightly higher high, or even a double top).
based on this information, i level with you and say, ethereum finishes its macro bull count through an ending diagonal, around 10k. this allows momentum to taper off, and distribution phase to complete with a proper up-thrust-after-distribution.
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🎯 = 10-12k
$ETH – Classic Breakdown → Bounce → Reshort Setup Into 20 SMACRYPTOCAP:ETH – Classic Breakdown → Bounce → Reshort Setup Into 20 SMA Resistance
Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) is giving one of my all-time favorite continuation short setups — a clean breakdown, followed by a weak bounce right back into the 20 SMA, which is exactly where momentum names often fail.
🔹 The Setup:
• After the big swoosh down, CRYPTOCAP:ETH is now bouncing right into the shaded zone between the 9 EMA and 20 SMA.
• I call this area the Bone Zone — where broken trends come to die.
• CRYPTOCAP:ETH is showing zero character change on the bounce: lighter volume, lower high structure, no real demand.
🔹 Why This Is Textbook:
• Breakdown → weak retrace → touch of the 20 SMA = the exact continuation short I’ve traded for nearly 20 years.
• The 20 SMA often acts as the “kiss of death” in downtrends when momentum has already flipped.
• Crypto across the board is soft — CRYPTOCAP:BTC cracking key levels, CRYPTOCAP:ETH failing to reclaim anything meaningful.
🔹 My Trade Plan:
1️⃣ Entry: Short into the 20 SMA rejection inside the Bone Zone.
2️⃣ Risk: Stop just above the 20 SMA — clean and mechanical.
3️⃣ Target: A retest of the breakdown lows first, then mid to low -$2,000s if momentum continues.
Why I Love This Setup:
• Same breakdown pullback pattern I’ve run for decades — clean, high R/R, predictable.
• Structure is perfect and risk is tight.
Ethereum (ETH) Rejected from $3K — Key Support AheadETH recently got rejected at the critical $3,000 resistance, a psychological and technical level that’s held firm amidst broader market volatility. However, bulls shouldn’t panic just yet — Ethereum is now approaching a major support zone between $2,640 and $2,770, where it has previously found strong buying interest. If macro conditions stabilize, momentum could return quickly from this level.
💡 Trade Setup
Entry Zone: $2,640 – $2,770
Take Profit Targets: $3,370 and $4,000
Stop Loss: $2,187
This setup offers a strong risk-reward profile, especially if ETH rebounds as it has done historically from this zone. Watch for volume confirmation and potential bullish divergences on lower timeframes to time entries.
ETH 2,422.84 — price not yet reached at time of publication 🏷 Capital Sector. Price Slice.
🏷 December 1, 2025
🏷 ETH 2,422.84 — price not yet reached at time of publication
🏷 BPC 10
🏷 Screenshot:
Time has split space—and revealed a price slice where capital has already affixed its seal.
This level is not a guess. Not a probability. It is a Covenant —a binding commitment inscribed by institutional flows.
ETH 2,422.84 —a coordinate embedded in the market’s architecture long before its visual manifestation.
While the masses search for signals, the sectors remain silent… yet already in motion.
— The Architect
🏷 Interactive Reference Guide: BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant
ETH vs BTC- Sometimes when we look at markets, we get confused by all the noise, Trump and governments news, ETFs, FED, bans, SEC, FUD, FOMO, fake stories, and more.
- As a trader, you must always step back from news, view the trend from a distance, and filter out that noise.
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Trading Parts (Monthly TF) :
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- Look at the trend and indicators, that’s what you should focus on first. ETH reached its all-time high in November 2021, and then retested that same ATH level in August 2025.
- Now look at the RSI and MACD levels at that time... In 2021, the RSI was overbought and the MACD crossed downward.
- Alright, now compare with where we are today. The RSI is only halfway to the top (even though ETH has already reached $5K again), and the MACD just crossed upward a few months earlier.
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In my opinion, we’re not topped yet and ETH still low. They will always try to scare you out so they can buy your bags cheaper.
Keep your attention on the opportunities others can’t see.
Happy Tr4Ding !
Ethereum (ETHUSDT): Approaching a Major Turning PointHI!
Trend Structure
Since mid-October 2025, ETH has been trending inside a well-defined descending channel, forming consistent lower highs and lower lows. The break of the previous bullish trendline back in July 2025 confirmed the shift into a corrective phase.
Key Support Zone (S&D)
Price is now around $2,730 (Nov 2025) and heading toward the crucial $2,450–$2,300 S&D zone, a strong support area that held the market firmly between May and July 2025.
Expected Price Behavior
A final liquidity sweep toward $2,300–$2,200 is possible before any sustainable upside move. This aligns with the lower boundary of the descending channel.
Deeper Support (DP)
If this level fails, the next major demand sits at $1,950–$1,800, last touched in March 2025.
BTC 75,559.30 — The Capital Sector. Price Slice. 02.12.2025🏷 Price Slice. Capital Sector.
December 02, 2025
🏷 75,559.30 — price not yet reached at time of publication
🏷 BPC 1.2
🏷 Pre-Screenshot:
🏷 The level 75,559.30 is not a target—it is a focal point within a larger field. Price has not yet touched it, but structural tension is building. This is BPC 1.2: a Sigma-level mark where new capital intent begins to crystallize.
🏷 The chart is silent—but not empty. Beneath the surface, a contest is unfolding: whose will shall weigh heavier? Price may reverse. Yet even in retreat, it would confirm the sector’s strength. Here, inevitability is not assumed. Here, intention is read.
🏷 Instruction for the International Arena (Interactive Map for Desktop)
🏷 Interactive Reference Guide: BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant
🏷 P.S. English is not my native language—I offer no apologies for stylistic imperfections. What you see here is not a post. It is a demonstration of another level of preparation: the symbiosis of human intuition and algorithmic precision. Mathematics and aggressive market analysis—against the machine of liquidations.
An Attempt at Seasonal Market Growth and BTC RollbackTo date, we have reached another bifurcation point in the market and it's time for another review. So far, there is a share of positivity in the market situation. As I wrote earlier, there is strong medium-term support for BTC in the 85-90k zone, from which a rollback is likely. Unfortunately, last month we broke through the 85k level, which is a signal for a possible test of 75k in the spring. However, the probability of a rollback from 85k to 90-100 still prevails. The broadcast opened the month ambiguously. According to Asian time, the opening is in the negative zone below 3000, higher in the neutral zone at GMT. I think the market will move this month based on the bullish BTC signal, and the coins will continue to move in different directions.
The seasonal growth period in the first half of December is also a positive signal. Once again, I would like to draw attention to the background trigger used by the United States to manipulate the market - brent oil. At the last bifurcation point, prices still collapsed, despite the positive data on US stocks, to which ETH immediately reacted with a consolidation below 3k, as I warned in the review. The current monthly candle opened above the interim support of $ 62.5, against which there is a signal for growth in the first half of the month at least.
As a result, we have signals for new growth waves for individual altcoins that have reached supports and have high growth goals, as part of seasonal growth, attempts to rollback BTC with oil and rollback according to the annual schedule. However, most of the alcoins, especially those with high capitalization or upcoming aggressive issuance, will not have time to show significant growth in this short period and will continue the medium-term bearish trend. Be careful with new purchases in the next couple of weeks. Today - tomorrow is the time when coins draw a shadow down the new monthly candle, but starting tomorrow evening or Wednesday, the probability of a reversal for individual coins will increase. If positive oil data is released in the middle of the week, then the growth of the crypt is likely to accelerate steadily by the end of the week, with a continuation in the next weekly candle. Next, the opening zone of the second half of the month will be of great importance.
For altcoins, in the event of a reversal attempt, the minimum target will be to overshoot the last monthly candle. For work today, I am considering the TURTLE NTRN ENSO VIC MITO BMT HOOK first of all. These tools were recently listed on binance, which reduces the threat of delisting hanging over projects from 20-22. The issue of these instruments is also smooth, which reduces the likelihood of further large drawdowns. Given today's circulating supply, these instruments are already in an oversold position and the likelihood of a reversal to growth at the slightest provocation from the market prevails. They also previously provided strong technical signals for growth up to 300%+, which will be worked out in the medium term.
Secondly, I am considering CHESS UTK COS DATA QUICK FIO for scalping, which can give new growth waves of up to 40-50% at least, but I recommend using a smaller position size for them. CHESS has been assigned the monitoring tag, but there are strong technical signals for a 0.1 retest, which is why a large exit pump is likely. After that, I will no longer consider using the token.
ETHUSD - MA Support ETHUSD is showing support along the MA line in white on this indicator, I believe it is showing the Monthly chart.
I dont think it will go below this line as it has been seen to support price consistently, instead i think a new ATH will be seen.
Long term chart and a new indicator.
ETH — Using Fibonacci for High-Precision TradingUnderstanding Tools, Confluence & Today’s Setup
I’ve been getting a lot of DMs asking what the best indicator is.
The truth? There is no universal “best indicator” because indicators are tools, and every tool serves a different purpose. Trading is like carrying a toolbox: the skill isn’t in having the tools, but in knowing when and how to use them.
Educational Segment: Why Fibonacci Should Be Your Foundation
After years of studying different systems, I’ve come to a very simple conclusion:
👉 Fibonacci tools are the most powerful and reliable in my entire arsenal.
Why?
They help you spot reversal zones with precision
They work across all market conditions
They are rooted in natural ratios that markets consistently gravitate toward
They create predictable targets, retracements, extensions, and even timing when used correctly
Indicators like oscillators etc. are best used as confirmation, not as the primary signal.
If I had to pick one indicator besides Fibonacci, it would absolutely be the VWAP.
Why the Anchored VWAP Is Incredibly Underrated
It shows where true volume-weighted market support + resistance lies
It adapts dynamically
It works extremely well as a dynamic support/resistance line
It is fantastic as a trailing stop-loss tool
It helps identify institutional footprints in price structure
Fibonacci + VWAP is one of the strongest forms of confluence you can build.
ETH Technical Breakdown
Today, ETH attempted a breakout but the move failed, and the rejection was clean.
ETH rejected at the anchored VWAP aligned with Fibonacci reversal zone:
ETH tested the anchored VWAP near $3,090 twice, coinciding with the 1.136–1.272 Fibonacci Reversal Zone.
This confluence acted as a strong resistance, leading to a swift selloff soon after.
Key Confluence Level Below:
My next major downside target lines up with a cluster of confluences:
1.6-1.666 Fibonacci extension
0.5 Fibonacci retracement
Anchored VWAP (green support line)
Liquidity zone (demand area)
0.618 Fibonacci speed fan support
Educational Takeaway → Confluence Is King
If there’s one lesson to internalize:
The more factors that align at the same level or zone, the higher the probability of a successful trade.
This ETH range has provided several high-quality setups for anyone who understands how to read price through Fibonacci.
Final Notes
ETH remains in a well-defined trading range use confluence, stay patient, and let the market come to your level.
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💬 If you found this helpful, drop a like and comment!
ETHUSDT SELL POSITIONEthereum is currently under strong selling pressure, and with the price hovering around $3,000, it could easily drop back below $2,600. However, for a more reliable entry, the 4-hour timeframe gap around $3,250–$3,350 offers a much better zone to look for a sell position.
If price reaches this area with a strong and impulsive move, there is a high probability (over 70%) that this sell setup will play out successfully. But if Ethereum approaches the $3,300 zone with weak momentum, the trade becomes a bit more risky, and the setup may require further confirmation before entering.
$ETH - Ping-Pong ZoneCRYPTOCAP:ETH is sitting under this diagonal resistance. Could see a technical bounce around 2.9k (ltf support) , but if we can’t clear 3.1k, we could see it retesting 2.8k to 2.7k
Bottoms don’t form overnight, so Ethereum will probably keep ping-ponging in this 2.6k–3.1k range for a bit before the next move.
ETHUSDT — Bearish Flow Targeting 2,956ETH is still trading below the key intraday resistance at 3032–3045, keeping the bearish structure intact.
As long as price fails to break and hold above this zone, downside pressure is expected to continue.
The current Fibonacci sequence supports a continuation lower, with price showing repeated rejections around the 0.333 / 0.236 levels.
This keeps the market biased toward the next liquidity pocket.
📉 Main bearish target: 2,956
This level aligns with the Fib 1.0 extension, making it the next high-probability destination if bearish momentum persists.
A break above 3045 would invalidate this scenario; otherwise, ETH remains on track toward 2,956.
ETHUSD - Monthly RSI ViewMy view on the Monthly RSI for ETH, expecting another extension upward on the RSI towards the green circle. This creates a huge W pattern and allows another bull run.
Vertical lines show the middle of the previous and current bull run.
Good time to enter into ETHUSD on this Monthly timeframe.
ETHEREUM → Countertrend correction. The hunt for liquidity BINANCE:ETHUSDT is testing the downward trend line and attempting to break through the resistance conglomerate. Overall, against the backdrop of low liquidity, the market has the opportunity to test 3245...
Against the backdrop of low liquidity and without the presence of the American side in trading, ETH is testing the downward line of the local trend. A medium-term downtrend is forming in the cryptocurrency market. There is no strong fundamental support, and after the correction, the decline may continue. Any attempts at growth at this point can be seen as an opportunity to sell profitably...
A breakout is forming and an attempt is being made to keep the price in the long zone. If the bulls keep the price above 2897 after retesting support, the price is likely to strengthen to the resistance range of 3245... However, a false breakout (liquidity capture) of key resistance may remind the market of the relevance of the downward trend...
Resistance levels: 3000, 3245
Support levels: 2987, 2863
I expect two movements. If the price stays above 2987 (after retesting), then Ethereum will be able to retest the resistance of the range. A false breakout of the resistance range could trigger a price decline within the global downtrend that has been developing for 3 months...
Best regards, R. Linda!






















