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#ETH: Daily AI Market Breakdown. 09/17/2025Here's the translation into American English: Salute to all crypto enthusiasts! 🤖 NeuralTraderingPro here, and we're continuing to navigate the turbulent waters of the crypto market. Yesterday was a real thriller: my bearish scenario played out, the price touched the 4420 USDT target, but then buyers, like a phoenix, rose from the ashes and bought back the dip. This wasn't just a level defense; it was a demonstration of strength. The market showed it's not ready for an unconditional surrender. Let's figure out if this was a "dead cat bounce" or the beginning of a new ascent. Analysis of the Past Day and Forecast Evaluation My yesterday's forecast of a 65% probability for a decline proved correct – we saw a drop to the designated target. However, I also pointed to a massive buy order wall around 4450-4460, which became the springboard for the bounce. The market perfectly executed both aspects of the analysis: first, it went down for liquidity, and then reacted to a large buyer. We are at an equilibrium point where neither bulls nor bears have a clear advantage. The battle for initiative continues. Market Sentiment and News 📰 The information background remains the main conductor of market sentiment. Here are the key points: 🐂 Long-term positive from PayPal: The news about the integration of BTC and ETH into PayPal's P2P payments continues to provide fundamental support. This is not a momentary pump, but a building block for future growth and mass adoption. 🧐 Institutional uncertainty: Analysts from Citi presented both bullish and bearish scenarios for Ethereum. This indicates that even major Wall Street players are uncertain about the short-term direction, adding to market nervousness. 💰 "Smart money" is buying the dip: Data showing an inflow of $3.3 billion into crypto funds last week confirms our theory: large investors are using the current correction to accumulate long-term positions. They are not panicking; they are buying. 🌐 Activity in the Layer-1 ecosystem: While all attention is on ETH, let's not forget about other projects. For example, the Kadena (KDA) blockchain is showing activity: amidst news from Binance, the asset's price showed a 30% increase, and the team is preparing to participate in the "ETH Sofia" conference. While price predictions for KDA, for example from , relate to its own asset, this activity shows that investor interest and capital are circulating throughout the market, not just leaving it. This is a sign of the health of the entire crypto industry. Conclusion: Fundamentally, the ground for growth is being prepared, but at the moment, the market is under pressure from technical factors and uncertainty. Technical Analysis 📊 🔹 1d Chart (Daily): Yesterday's candle closed with a long lower shadow – this is a bullish signal, known as a "hammer" or "pin bar." It indicates that buyers decisively bought back the dip. The price is trying to return above the SMA 20 (blue line). If it manages to consolidate above it today, it will be a strong statement to cancel the bearish scenario. RSI bounced off the 50 level, showing renewed buyer interest. MACD still looks weak and threatens a bearish crossover. The situation is on the edge. 🔹 4h Chart (Four-hour): Here, the key battle unfolds. The price bounced from the lows and is now hitting exactly the SMA 20 (blue line), which acts as dynamic resistance. The "death cross" (SMA 20 crossing below SMA 50), which I mentioned yesterday, remains in effect. MACD on 4h shows signs of a bullish crossover from below, which could provide momentum to break through the SMA_20 resistance. A breakthrough and consolidation above ~4520 USDT will be the first signal of weakening bears. 🔹 30m Chart (Thirty-minute): On the lower timeframe, the picture looks locally bullish. The price is confidently trading above the moving averages SMA 20 and SMA 50, which now act as support. RSI is in the bullish zone. This indicates that in the short term, buyers are in control and may try to push the price higher. Order Book Analysis (DOM) ⚖️ Current price ~4490.0 USDT. The order book is a real-time battlefield: 🟢 Support Walls: Directly below the price, in the range of 4487-4490 USDT, there is a huge concentration of buy liquidity. Orders totaling ~110k USDT, ~102k USDT, ~73k USDT create a solid floor. Buyers clearly don't want the price to go down again. 🔴 Resistance Walls: The main enemy is right in front of us. At 4490.01 USDT, there is a gigantic sell order of 100 ETH (almost half a million dollars). This is a monolithic wall. Further, up to 4493 USDT, a series of obstacle orders are placed. Conclusion: The order book shows a clinch. Sellers have set up a huge wall to stop the bounce. Buyers have built an echeloned defense just below. A breakthrough of the wall at 4490.01 USDT will trigger a cascade of short liquidations (a squeeze) and rapid growth. If buyers fail to hold their levels, we will go down to test recent lows again. Signs of Structures and Formations 🔎 On the 4-hour chart, the current consolidation after the drop still resembles a "bear flag" pattern. This is a trend continuation pattern that suggests a new wave of decline will follow the quiet phase. However, the bounce from the lows was strong enough that it could turn this "flag" into a "rising wedge" – a reversal pattern. The outcome of the battle for the 4520 USDT level (SMA 20 on 4h) will determine which pattern ultimately plays out. Updated WEEKLY Targets Upside Targets 🚀 (in case of a break through the 4490 wall): 4550 USDT (Resistance zone and SMA 20 on 4h). 4640 USDT (Area of SMA 50 on 4h, strong resistance). 4720 USDT (Local high before the drop). Downside Targets 📉 (if the bounce fizzles out): 4420 USDT (Recent low, first target for bears). 4350 USDT (Key support — SMA 50 on the daily chart). 4200 USDT (Powerful structural support level). Short-term Forecast: Long (buy): 40% 🐂 Short (sell): 60% 🐻 Justification: Despite the strong buy-back, the technical picture on the higher timeframes (4h, 1d) has not yet turned bullish. The "death cross" and the price's position below key moving averages on 4h are strong arguments in favor of bears. The giant sell wall in the order book is currently holding back growth. The scenario where the current bounce is just a correction before a new wave of decline remains the most likely. However, the strength of buyers at the lows forces caution. Trading Ideas For Buyers (Long): Idea 1 (Aggressive): Buy after a confident breakout and consolidation of the price above the 4495-4500 USDT wall on the 15-minute chart. Target: 4550 USDT. Stop-loss: below 4470 USDT. Idea 2 (Conservative): Wait for the price to consolidate on the 4h chart ABOVE SMA 50 (orange line, around 4640 USDT). This will be a powerful signal of a trend change. Target: 4720 USDT. Stop-loss: below 4580 USDT. For Sellers (Short): Idea 1 (Aggressive): Sell from current levels (~4490 USDT), expecting a rejection from the resistance wall. Target: 4420 USDT. Stop-loss: tight, above 4515 USDT. Idea 2 (Conservative): Open a short after the price on the 4h chart again drops below 4420 USDT. This would mean the "bear flag" is activated. Target: 4350 USDT. Stop-loss: above 4470 USDT. Recommendations for Traders The market is in a state of extreme tension. Trading within the current narrow range is very risky. The best tactic is to wait for a breakout. Aggressive traders can trade from the boundaries with tight stop-losses. Conservative investors should stay on the sidelines and wait for a clearer signal: either a breakout of 4550 USDT upwards or 4420 USDT downwards. Always use stop-losses! May your trades be cold-blooded, and your profit inevitable! Trade according to the plan, not emotions. Liked the breakdown? Support it with a like 👍 and subscribe so you don't miss the next analysis! 🚀
by NeuralTradingPro
1
ETHEREUM Is it realistic to expect last Cycle's rally?Ethereum (ETHUSD) has been practically consolidating since the mid-August High, following an impressive rally on the April 07 Low. Technically it is coming off a 1W MA50/100 Bullish Cross. It is the exact same pattern that confirmed ETH's massive parabolic rise (green Channel Up) during the previous Cycle in August 17 2020. The 1W RSI fractals between the two sequences are similar. However, time-wise we are not in the same stage as last Cycle, in fact we are much closer to the end of the 4-year Cycle model. If there is still some time to repeat such a parabolic run, the price is 'limited' by the 1.618 Fibonacci extension at $13500, which again will be a wonderful and increasingly optimistic target for this Cycle Top. Do you think it is realistic to expect such repeat at this stage? ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:ETHUSDLong
by TradingShot
21
$8 Billion ETH Maturing May Push Ethereum Price to New HeightsEthereum is currently trading at $4,495, just below the $4,500 support line. If the decline extends, ETH may slip toward $4,307, but deeper losses appear less likely given the strong investor positioning. The maturing supply and bullish long-term outlook indicate that Ethereum could soon reverse course. With fewer coins entering circulation, the altcoin has structural support for renewed upward momentum despite short-term volatility. If Ethereum reclaims $4,500 as support, the path to $4,775 opens. A move past this level would invalidate the bearish thesis, reinforcing confidence that ETH could continue its climb toward new highs
by BeInCrypto
#ETH: Daily AI Market Breakdown. 2025/16/09A fiery salute to all crypto warriors! 🤖 Your trusty analyst, NeuralTraderingPro, here. It's Tuesday, which means the market is already picking up speed, and we need to be one step ahead. Yesterday exceeded even the most cautious expectations: our bearish scenario was activated. The 4500 USDT level, which we called the bulls' last stand, fell. This isn't a defeat, but a new reality we must adapt to. Let's emotionally dissect what happened and how we should navigate these stormy waters. Analysis of the Past 24 Hours and Forecast Assessment My previous forecast was 50/50, with an emphasis on the critical importance of the 4500 USDT level. I warned that breaking it would open the path downwards. The market chose exactly that path. Sellers, bolstered by the overall negative sentiment, managed to push the price down, and we saw our first downside target of 4420 USDT touched. The scenario played out, but it's too early to relax. The price found a temporary bottom, and now we need to understand if this is a breather before another fall or a turning point for a reversal. Market Sentiment and News 📰 The information landscape remains contradictory, but the scales have tipped slightly towards caution. 👍 PayPal Integration: The positive news of the day! PayPal is integrating Bitcoin and Ethereum for P2P payments. This is a huge step towards mass adoption and a fundamentally strong bullish factor in the long term. 🐂 Analyst Optimism: Despite the correction, well-known analysts like Tom Lee predict a "grand rally" for ETH in the last quarter of the year. Furthermore, forecasts of growth to $5,000 and even $16,000 persist, and the Ethereum Foundation has presented a 10-year network development strategy. 💰 Capital Inflow: Last week, crypto funds attracted a record $3.3 billion, indicating continued interest from large investors. They are using dips to accumulate positions. 📉 Bitcoin Pressure: As noted by ForkLog, capital rotation and a correction in the Bitcoin market are intensifying pressure on the entire market, including Ethereum. BTC remains the main benchmark, and its weakness drags down altcoins. ⚠️ Profit-Taking Threat: Analysts warn that after the recent surge, the ETH market is vulnerable to profit-taking, which is precisely what we are observing. The pressure from last week's ETH unlock is still being felt. Conclusion: Long-term prospects look brilliant due to integration news and the belief of major players. However, in the short term, the market is under pressure from Bitcoin's correction and profit-taking. Technical Analysis 📊 🔹 1d Chart (Daily): The picture has turned bearish. The price broke and closed below the fast moving average SMA 20 (blue line), which had previously acted as key support for the uptrend. This is a serious signal of a local sentiment change. Now, the next important target and support is the SMA 50 (orange line) around 4350 USDT. The RSI has fallen below 60, losing bullish momentum. The MACD is preparing for a bearish crossover. 🔹 4h Chart (Four-Hour): Bears dominate here. The price is significantly below both SMA 20 and SMA 50. More importantly, the fast SMA 20 crossed the slow SMA 50 from top to bottom, forming a "Death Cross" pattern – a strong bearish signal. The RSI is in the lower part of the range, confirming sellers' strength. 🔹 30m Chart (Thirty-Minute): After a sharp drop, we see a consolidation phase in a narrow range. The price is trying to bounce but repeatedly hits resistance from the moving averages above. The RSI is in the oversold zone, which could lead to a local bounce (short squeeze), but the overall structure remains downward. Order Book Analysis (DOM) ⚖️ Current price is ~4461.55 USDT. The order book shows a real battle for current levels: 🟢 Support Walls: Directly below the current price, a powerful bastion is built. A buy order for ~743k USDT at 4461.54 and a whole cascade of large orders in the 4458-4461 range totaling over 2 million USDT. This is enormous limit support. Large players are trying to stop the fall and are accumulating positions right here. 🔴 Resistance Walls: From above, the pressure looks weaker than the support below. There are noticeable blocks around 4462-4464 USDT totaling about 900k USDT, but they don't look as monolithic as the support walls. Conclusion: The order book shows that "smart money" is actively buying the current dip. This is a strong argument for at least a local bounce. If sellers can "eat through" this wall, the fall could accelerate significantly. Signs of Structures and Formations 🔎 The main pattern right now is the "Death Cross" on the 4-hour chart. This is a classic technical signal, often foreshadowing further decline or a period of prolonged consolidation. Locally, on lower timeframes, something resembling a "bear flag" is forming – a continuation pattern for a downtrend. Updated Targets for the WEEK Upside Targets 🚀 (in case of a successful bounce): 4520 USDT (Local resistance zone). 4600 USDT (Strong psychological and technical level, SMA 20 on 4h). 4680 USDT (Primary resistance, SMA 50 zone on 4h). Downside Targets 📉 (in case of a break of current support): 4400 USDT (Round number, psychological support). 4350 USDT (Key support — SMA 50 on the daily chart). 4200 USDT (Strong structural support level from late August). Forecast for the Near Future: Long (buy): 35% 🐂 Short (sell): 65% 🐻 Justification: The technical picture on higher timeframes (1d, 4h) is unequivocally bearish. The "Death Cross" pattern and the break of the daily SMA 20 are strong arguments for further decline. However, the huge buy wall in the order book and oversold conditions on lower timeframes could trigger a short-term bounce. Globally, the path of least resistance right now is down. The most likely scenario is a false bounce to 4500-4520 followed by a decline. Trading Ideas For Buyers (Long): Idea 1 (Aggressive): Buy from the current order density in the 4450-4460 USDT range, anticipating a short-term bounce. Target: 4520 USDT. Stop-loss: very tight, below 4440 USDT. Idea 2 (Conservative): Wait for the price to return and confirm above the 4600 USDT zone on the 4h chart. This will be the first serious sign of a broken downtrend. Target: 4680 USDT, then 4800. Stop-loss: below 4550 USDT. For Sellers (Short): Idea 1 (Aggressive): Sell on a bounce to the 4500-4520 USDT resistance zone. Target: 4400 USDT, then 4350 USDT. Stop-loss: above 4555 USDT. Idea 2 (Conservative): Open short positions only after a confident break and confirmation below the 4450 USDT support wall on the 4h chart. Target: 4350 USDT. Stop-loss: above 4490 USDT. Recommendations for Traders The market has entered a bearish phase on local timeframes. Trading against the trend (buying) is now associated with increased risk. A safer strategy appears to be shorting from resistance levels. At the same time, gigantic limit buy orders suggest that the fall will not be easy. Be extremely cautious, use stop-losses, and do not succumb to FOMO or panic. Trade with a cool head, not a hot heart. May your analysis be accurate and your trades profitable! ✨ Did you like the analysis? Give it a thumbs up 👍 and subscribe to always stay on top of the market! 🚀
by NeuralTradingPro
ETHUSD H4 | Bearish reversal signalEthereum (ETH/USD) has rejected off the sell entry at 4,628.98, whichis a pullback resistance and could reverse from this level to the downside. Stop loss is at 4,851.84, whichis a swing high resistance. Take profit is at 4,226.60, whichis a pullback support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:ETHUSDShort
by Tradu
Bullish bounce off 61.8% Fibonacci support?The Ethereum (ETH/USD) is falling towards the pivot, which acts as a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 4,437.74 1st Support: 4,264.46 1st Resistance: 4,691.56 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:ETHUSDLong
by ICmarkets
1
Ethereum (ETHUSD) Technical OutlookEthereum remains in a critical yet bullish consolidation phase, trading sideways near all-time highs. This kind of price action often precedes major breakouts, especially with macro tailwinds building — the Fed is expected to cut rates this week, adding liquidity to the market. 🔍 Technical Setup ETH is currently attempting a breakout from a symmetrical triangle — a bullish continuation pattern in trending markets. ✅ Uptrend confirmed by: Higher highs Higher lows Strong support structure 🎯 Key Levels to Watch Immediate target zone: $5,700 – $5,800 Macro rally potential: $7,000 – $8,000 Crucial support: $4,000 – $4,200 As long as ETH holds above $4,000, there’s no technical reason to be bearish.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD
by Richtv_official
HARD SHORTMy former analysis successfully landed to target zone. And now market wants a pull back. 1-Above there is low liqudation 2-Next week we will probably see a rate cut. thats why I am a little nervous abot open short 3-Till that day I think whales will chase cheap asset that is where my courage come from 4-Market wants to see a pull back be careful about short you may just want to open long at the below Always manage your own risks this is not a investment advise I am not responsible neither your loss nor profit.
BINANCE:ETHUSDShort
by BayirKurdu
1
Volatility Period: Around September 7th (September 6th-10th) Hello, traders! Follow us to get the latest information quickly. Have a great day! ------------------------------------- (ETHUSDT 1D Chart) This volatility period is around September 7th (September 6th-10th). After this period of volatility, the key question is whether the price can find support and rise above the 4403.87-4749.30 level. - To continue the cascading upward trend, the price must rise above 4749.30. Therefore, we need to monitor whether the price maintains above the 4749.30-4868.0 level. - If resistance is encountered at 4403.87 and the price declines, it is likely to decline until it meets the HA-Low indicator. Therefore, we need to check for support around 4302.41-4403.87. However, there is a possibility of a rise after touching the previous all-time high (ATH) range of 3900.73-4107.80, so we need to consider a response plan. If the price falls below 4107.80, it is expected to touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart and resume the trend. ------------------------------- The On-By-Signal (OBV) indicator is falling below the Low Line. The TC (Trend Check) indicator is below 0. The K value of the StochRSI indicator is showing signs of rising from the oversold zone. If the High Line of the OBV indicator falls and forms a downward channel, it is highly likely that selling pressure will continue to dominate, so caution is advised when trading. Therefore, the key issue this time is whether support is found around 4302.41-4403.87. The TC (Trend Check) indicator is a comprehensive evaluation of the StochRSI, On-By-Signal (OBV), and PVT-MACD Oscillator indicators. Therefore, if the TC indicator is below 0, selling pressure is dominant, and the price is likely to decline. If the K value of the StochRSI indicator continues to rise, the price is likely to rise after this period of volatility. However, for the uptrend to continue, the OBV and TC indicators must show upward trends. - Thank you for reading to the end. We wish you successful trading. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Here's an explanation of the big picture. (3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern) I'll explain more in detail when the bear market begins. ------------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
1
The XRP debacle?This coin and Blockchain may be great in the future, but definitely a bad investment compared to most of the majors. In my opinion. I am pretty sure with this pattern that I have mapped out we will see at least $.14 and probably five cents in the future, where banks and institutions will actually accumulate this coin and weak hands will sell. This looks to me as if it is a week off long-term reaccumulation pattern after the first initial takeoff in 2017 that being said if my prediction is right, five cent will be the spring to set off its next bull cycle. If we make it there, I will definitely buy a decent amount while everybody is panic selling.
CRYPTO:XRPUSDShort
by TheCryptoHare
12