$PEPE: MAJOR HEAD and SHOULDERS BREAKDOWN WARNING.🐸🐸🐸
⚠️⚠️⚠️
Pattern formed, Big Move Ahead?
The weekly chart of #Pepe has confirmed a classic head and shoudlers pattern - a powerful bearish setup.
After over 1.5 years of building this structure, price decisively pierced the neckline with a sharp drop.
Suggesting that a weekly close below the neckline could trigger an accelerative towards the pattern target.
Key Levels
Neckline: $0.0000058599
Target: $0.0000012091
Why does it matter?
Head and shoulders are the most trusted reversal technical patterns. Coupled with declining and weakening sentiment. This pattern warns of more downside--- unless buyers can mount a quick rescue.
What's your strategy?
Are you shorting the breakdown, waiting for the target, or looking for a fake-out reversal?
Drop your thoughts/Analysis or questions in the comments!
ETH
ETH 1D Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 32☃️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well.
⏰ We’re analyzing ETH on the 1-Day timeframe .
👀 On the Ethereum daily timeframe, we can see that after the historic economic war between the U.S. and China, Ethereum broke its ascending channel with a high-volume whale candle and has now managed to stabilize below this channel. Currently, Ethereum is in a critical decision-making zone, with two key resistance levels at $3,873 and $4,223.
A break and confirmation above these zones, especially $4,223, could lead to a bullish continuation; otherwise, a breakdown below the channel support may trigger a deep correction and cause Ethereum to enter a risk-off phase on the higher timeframe (weekly).
🧮 Looking at the RSI oscillator, after crossing down from the 50 level, it is now heading toward the 30 and oversold region. These two zones — 50 and 30 — are our key RSI levels, and when volatility crosses these zones, it can be accompanied by a significant increase in trading volume.
🕯 The recent daily candle of Ethereum has shown a massive amount of sell volume, with an open around $4,400 and a close below $3,900 (ignoring the shadow). This indicates strong selling pressure — if buyers fail to hold Ethereum above $4,200, we could see further correction and selling pressure ahead.
🧠 Currently, there’s no specific trigger for Ethereum, but a trading range will likely form in this zone until the end of the week.
A break of either the top or bottom of this range across multiple timeframes could give us a potential long or short position.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Bitcoin September 2025 Outlook: a/b/c price fractal structureBTC enters September post-ATH with a seasonal headwind. Base case: a ~10% A-leg dip toward $108k, a B-bounce into ~$122k, then a C-flush near ~$94k—echoing April’s ABC rhythm. Once complete, the uptrend should re-assert into year-end. 📉🔁📈 #Bitcoin #Seasonality #Crypto
🟠 Bitcoin September Outlook: Seasonality vs. Structure
After a fresh ATH, September’s historical bias skews mildly red. Base case is a ~10% A-leg dip that develops into an A/B/C correction before trend continuation. Think controlled pullback → consolidation → next markup. 📉➡️🔁➡️📈
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🗓️ Seasonality Snapshot (2015–2024)
• Mean (10-yr): −2.55% · Median: −4.52%
• Red months: 6/10
• Worst September: 2019 (−13.88%)
• Best September: 2024 (+7.39%)
• Last 3 yrs avg: +2.8% (2024 +7.39%, 2023 +3.99%, 2022 −3.09%)
• Last 5 yrs avg (2020–2024): −1.3%
Read: September has tended to be weak, but the last two years printed green. Seasonality is a headwind—not a handbrake. 🌬️
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🧩 Structure Thesis (Fractal Analog)
You’re looking for a repeat of April 2025’s A/B/C rhythm—scaled up:
• April 2025 reference: A ≈ $92k → B ≈ $106k → C ≈ $80k
• Now (projected):
o A ≈ $108k (≈ 10% pullback from recent highs) 📉
o B ≈ $122k (relief rally / lower high) 🔁
o C ≈ $94k (final flush into demand, completing the correction) 🧱
Interpretation: A measured September fade aligns with the A-leg. A reflexive B-bounce can follow as funding resets and late longs get cleaned up, with a C-leg completing the pattern before the next expansion. 🚀
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📊 How Seasonality Supports the Call
• Typical drag: Median −4.5% and multiple red Septembers justify a down-bias.
• Volatility window: The historical 21-point spread (best +7.39% vs worst −13.88%) means a 10% dip sits well within normal bounds.
• Cycle context: With a new ATH just printed, a shallow corrective phase is constructive—not bearish regime change.
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🧭 Levels & Triggers
• Bias line: Momentum cools into $108k → watch for seller absorption and open interest reset.
• Relief cap: $122k acts as B-rally resistance; sustained closes above $122k would invalidate the ABC idea and argue for immediate continuation. ✅
• Completion zone: $94k (C) is the buy-the-dip completion area; clean breaks below raise risk of a deeper time correction rather than a swift V-reversal. ⚠️
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🧪 What to Monitor (Confirmation/Invalidation)
• Liquidity & OI: De-leveraging into A, controlled OI rebuild into B, washout into C.
• Spot-ETF flows / stablecoin issuance: Weakening into A, stabilizing by late month supports B→C rhythm.
• Funding/basis: Overheated → normalize during A; negative spikes near C often mark capitulation.
• Breadth (alts): Underperform into A/C; broad risk-on breadth usually returns post-C.
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📝 Base Case Path (Textbook)
September: drift to $108k (A) → bounce toward $122k (B) → final tag of ~$94k (C) → reset + markup into Q4.
(If price reclaims and holds above $122k early, treat that as trend continuation—not a correction.)
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🔒 Risk Notes
• Seasonality is a tendency, not a rule. Macro catalysts (CPI, policy, liquidity) can dominate calendar effects.
• This is market commentary, not financial advice. Manage risk and invalidation levels. 🛡️
#ETH #ETHUSDT #ETHEREUM #Analysis #Update #Eddy#ETH #ETHUSDT #ETHEREUM #Analysis #Update #Eddy
According to the formed pattern, namely QM in the RTM style on the weekly block breaker, I expect an upward movement and a ceiling hunt and an ATH of Ethereum, and also in the ICT and liquidity styles, I expect a Fake BOS and a drop to the weekly block order to liquidate long positions and then continue the upward trend according to the analysis I did on the chart and the Path I drew. I expect the Ethereum currency to act accordingly.
So I expect an upward movement, a drop and a re-rise according to this analysis and explanation.
The important upper timeframe area for volatility has been identified and named.
These settings are based on a combination of different styles, including volume style with ict style and a combination of RTM and liquidity style.
Based on your strategy and style, get the necessary confirmations to enter the trade in these volatility settings.
Don't forget about risk and capital management.
The entry point, take profit point and stop loss point along with their values are indicated on the chart.
The responsibility for the transaction is yours and I am not responsible for any failure to comply with your risk management and capital.
🗒 Note: If, according to the analysis, the progress after the main rise begins, I expect the price of Ethereum to reach the targets of the latest analysis provided on Ethereum, which will be attached.
⚠️ Warning: Predicting market movements is a mistake and this analysis may be violated, so do not rush into your decisions and proceed to trade after obtaining the necessary confirmations. Market makers will always surprise us and predicting movements and future movements is a complex and difficult task.
Check out my previous analysis on Ethereum via the link below :
Further market dynamicsTo date, the market has fully fulfilled its targets at the 3500 retest against the background of brent leaving below 64. Further, until the second half of Sunday, the probability of purchases up to the 4500 retest prevails. An important guideline for further dynamics will be the opening level of the new week and the second half of the month. If these periods open at least above 4,100, the probability of a flat and maintaining the market with the possibility of a breakout next month will remain. With weak purchase dynamics, there is a chance of opening the second half of the month below 4,100. In this case, in any case, we will see purchases before the end of the month for a pullback on the monthly candle, but then the market will consolidate around 3500. The available technical signals currently outweigh the bullish scenario. In this case, individual coins will turn the current month into a bullish one with significant interruptions.
The main contenders for this month's move are MITO VIC BMT HOOK, which are highly unlikely to be contenders for the monitoring tag and are more suitable for medium-term investments. It is also possible to consider scalping in the short term CHESS FIO COS QUICK DATA, which have reached supports and can show a deeper drawdown only when the ether falls below 3500. A signal has been left for a move to the ADX, however, there is a possibility of a deeper drawdown to 0.075-85 before the reversal.
MATIC approaching Head and shoulders target...versus ETH
which would be a -91% loss of value versus the second most important crypto
$ETH market update 5-10-2025📊 Ethereum Market Update (on request)
Right now, there’s nothing major happening for Ethereum. It continues to consolidate in a range between the ATH at $4800 and the $3800 level, because of this massive bearish divergeance.
On the daily chart, the MACD is bullish and the Stochastic RSI is supportive, but momentum looks exhausted. There isn’t much conviction in this move. Bitcoin is the real superstar, while Ethereum is fading in its shadow.
From my analysis, we might still have about one more week of growth, potentially pushing to a new ATH — but don’t expect a parabolic rally. This looks more like a technical follow of BTC rather than genuine investor interest.
⚠️ That means the probability is high that we see a dump back below $4000, likely testing $3800 as support.
If bulls regain control and Bitcoin rotation restarts, ETH could resume its rally. Otherwise, we may see deeper consolidation, possibly down to $3400, before finding the energy to push again toward a new ATH.
#Ethereum #ETH #EthereumPrice #Crypto #CryptoNews #CryptoMarket #Bitcoin #BTC #Altcoins #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoUpdate #MACD #StochasticRSI #ATH #CryptoTrading #Investing
Support at the 4403.87-4749.30 range is key
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Have a great day!
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(ETHUSDT 1D chart)
This period of volatility is expected to last until October 5th.
Accordingly, the key question is whether support can be found around 4403.87 and whether it can rise above 4749.30.
If the price fails to rise,
1st: 3900.73-4107.80
2nd: 3239.06-3438.16
3rd: 2419.83-2706.15
We need to check whether support is found around the 1st-3rd levels above.
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To break above a key point or range and continue the uptrend,
- The StochRSI indicator must be trending upward. If possible, it's best to avoid entering the overbought zone.
- The On-By-Sign Volume indicator must be trending upward. If possible, it should remain above the High Line.
- The TC (Trend Check) indicator must be trending upward. If possible, it should remain above the 0 level.
You should determine whether the above conditions are met at critical points or ranges and consider a response plan accordingly.
Currently, the StochRSI, OBV, and TC indicators are all showing an upward trend, so we believe the key point of 4403.87 has been broken upward.
However, to sustain this upward trend, the OBV indicator must rise above its High Line, and the StochRSI and TC indicators must maintain their current trend.
Therefore, we can see that support around 4403.87 is crucial.
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The 4403.87-4749.30 range corresponds to the HA-High ~ DOM (60) range.
If this level is broken upward, a stepwise uptrend is likely, but it is likely to act as resistance.
Therefore, as mentioned earlier, determining whether the conditions for an upward breakout of a critical point or range are met will help you decide how to proceed with your trade.
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Thank you for reading to the end. I wish you successful trading.
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$Solana $250+ or DOWN 216?In our recent post, we perfectly predicted the touch of 250 and 190.
Price has now reversed off the supply zone and is making its way back up, lets see what the potential out come for the next two weeks are!
Solana (SOL/USDT) 1H Chart Analysis
Current Price: ~$232
Trend : Price is was inside a clear ascending channel, respecting support and resistance lines - however has now breached resistance.
Key Levels
Support Zones:
$225 → Psychological support + 4H FVG.
$216 → Deeper 4H FVG and strong volume node. ( + 4 Hour Fib GP )
$200 → Major psychological level + prior supply zone flip.
Resistance Zones:
$250 → Psychological resistance + demand zone.
$275 → Next major resistance if $250 breaks.
Bullish Scenario
If SOL holds above $225 and consolidates within the trend channel, price could retest $250.
Break and close above $250 may extend rally toward $275.
Bearish Scenario
Failure to hold $225 could drag SOL to the $216 FVG or even $208.
A breakdown of $208 increases risk of revisiting $200.
Summary
Market structure remains bullish as long as price respects the rising trendline.
$225 is the key short-term pivot: holding above favors $250+, losing it opens downside risk toward $216–200.
Let me know what you think!
Following PIVX, we take the X's on the HOOKAs I have already written, you should not try to jump on the departed train on pivx, which I recommended for purchase for more than a month, it is better to consider the options where the X's are just being prepared. First of all, they include CHESS HOOK BMT MITO VIC.
Consider the position of the HOOK. After listing on binance, the token left several strong technical signals for a retest up to 0-50-75, which is highly likely to lead to a major growth wave. The growth momentum last week was only the first investment in the upcoming trend. An uptrend line has been formed and there is a high probability of an attempt to consolidate above it before the end of this month. The quarter opened in a mixed zone, an opening above 0.09 gives a signal for growth up to 0.15, however, an opening below 0.1 is likely to give pullbacks in the event of a sharp increase. The main long-term support for the current issue is the 0.0750-850 range, from which there was a rebound after a long-term rebidding. A hike below this range is likely only with an additional significant drawdown of ETH. The most likely target is an attempt to close the current monthly candle above 0.21-21 in order to continue the trend in the new month. With negative overall market dynamics, there is a possibility of a pullback from 0.21-25. In this case, in the new month, we can expect a new attempt to return to the trend line from 0.110-125, which will provide an additional opportunity for scalping.
ETH Correction Complete? Bullish Setup Reemerges As I mentioned in my previous ETH analysis, while my medium-term outlook remains bullish, I was anticipating a short-term correction.
That’s exactly what unfolded. After retesting the 4750 resistance zone, Ethereum began to retrace, reaching the support area just below 4300 earlier today.
Currently, the price is rebounding, and there’s a strong probability that the corrective phase has ended.
I’m now looking to re-enter long, as even a move back to the recent highs could offer a 1:2.5 risk–reward setup — a solid short-term opportunity within the broader bullish structure.
ETH : analysis of the main timeframes!Hi😊
Today we'll be analyzing the ETH USDT trading pair.
We'll start with the higher timeframe and move on to the lower one.
Let's start with the daily chart: after breaking the high, the price continued to trade sideways.
The IMB was tested from below, which responded and sent the price into a correction toward the downward wave.
After the local liquidity drain, the price showed bearish aggression.
Nearest support zone $4 332 - $4 245
1h timeframe: the price is showing a corrective movement, and has identified zones above from which a reaction to a further decline may occur
15m timeframe: there is a buildup of local liquidity for asset growth and price delivery to nearby problem areas
Leave your reactions and comments if you like these short reviews
$ETH 3rd Cycle the retest before parabolic.We can see that Ethereum has exhibited a similar pattern before every major bull run.
1st Cycle (2017)
Retest of the demand zone, followed by a parabolic rise.
2nd Cycle (2020)
Same structure, same momentum.
3rd Cycle (2025)
We are now back in the same zone, Pre-Parabolic phase after retest.
This is not just a correction, it will be the beginning of the next major wave of Ethereum.
$ETH Performing Ascending Channel
An ascending channel, or rising channel, is a chart pattern used in technical analysis to identify a security's ongoing uptrend. It is characterized by the price fluctuating between two parallel, upward-sloping trendlines.
Key components
Higher highs and higher lows:
The price consistently makes higher swing highs and higher swing lows over a period of time, indicating steady bullish momentum.
Parallel trendlines:
Two parallel lines are drawn to frame the price action.
Upper line (resistance):
Connects the higher swing highs. It represents the point where selling pressure is strong enough to temporarily stop the price from rising.
Lower line (support):
Connects the higher swing lows. This line indicates where buying pressure is strong enough to prevent the price from falling further.
ATM CITY JUV ACM will retain the potential of the X's in quarterAs I mentioned in the last market review, the probability of sales for most coins and disruptions of ETH remains predominant. Against this background, the oversold ATM CITY ACM JUV fantokens are extremely interesting for speculators. The quarter opened above the supports, which gives a strong bullish signal. Quite large purchases are immediately observed against this background. When selling on ETH, there is an opportunity to shadow on CHZ to a retest of 0.041-425, which so far prevents x on fantokens. This can create new favorable prices for scalping. In particular, for ATM, there is a possibility of a pullback to a retest of the 1.25-35 range, which is the main support in this monthly candle. Next, you can have a new stable bullish reversal of the monthly candle from the middle of the month and consolidate the formed trend line. In the absence of a drawdown on ETH and CHZ, continued growth is possible from the middle of the week. CITY JUV and ACM did not give significant impulses to retest the resistances, which is why the probability of growth from current levels is slightly higher for them.
MITO is ready to repeat the achievements of STOStarting this weekend, the probability of new waves of growth in alcoins is growing, and I want to consider the situation with the coins that I keep in mind for work.
First of all, I will consider more reliable options for working in the mid-range, where you can hold a position from current levels and top up in case of a test of lower support in a falling market, such as the MITO VIC HOOK BMT. In this review, I will pay attention to MITO, which can repeat the STO picture this month. With the current issue, the main support is the range of 0.125-35, below which a fall is possible only if ETH falls to 3500-3750, which will create a good opportunity for additional confident earnings. This week, the 4750 level was re-broken for ETH, which is a signal for a second attempt to break 5000. It is more likely that this attempt will be made as early as next month. However, reducing the threat of a further drop in ether is already giving rise to purchases on MITO. And so purchases can be kept from the current levels, as there has been a rebound from the main support. In an optimistic scenario, a sharp increase may begin as early as this weekend with the closing of the weekly bullish candle and the continuation of the trend in the new week. The immediate goal is to return to the resistance in the range of 0.21-25, after the rebidding, which will open the possibility for a test of 0.35-50. This range is the main target for current emissions. With the negative dynamics of ETH, there is a possibility of a decrease in growth rates. In this case, we can see a significant pullback from 0.25 with the continuation of the trend after the opening of a new monthly candle above 0.21.
Among the weak coins, PIVX proved to be the main option for working with the greatest growth potential. There was an open zone until the 0.35-50 test, however, the breakdown occurred against a rather negative opening of the quarter, which is highly likely to lead to sharp disruptions in growth. Also, this token is essentially a dummy and carries only speculative interest, being a potential contender for adding the monitoring and delisting tag. I will consider it back to work only after returning to the range 0.100-125. However, this weekend the trend may still hold against the background of the absence of further decline in ETH.
Among similar coins with weak dynamics, the probability of assigning the monitoring tag, but high undeveloped targets are chess with a probability of growth up to 100%+ from current levels and ADX FIO with a potential for growth up to 50%+ from current levels, but also an additional drawdown before rising to 20-25%.
ATM ACM CITY JUV fantokens have a similar growth potential to PIVX. However, it is worth bearing in mind the extremely low liquidity and long accumulation of these instruments when choosing a position size.
Bearish drop off?Ethereum (ETH/USD) is rising towards the pivot, which is a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 4,422.34
1st Support: 4,129.91
1st Resistance: 4,566.08
Disclaimer:
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eth\btcThe Ethereum / Bitcoin pair is showing a pattern quite similar to that seen in 2019.
The price received a strong reaction from the demand zone and is currently in a falling trend retest process.
If it manages to stay above this zone, the first target will be the mid-level supply zone, followed by the major supply zone (0.08 BTC).
$ETHUSDT Analysis - Oct 10 | 4H Time FrameBINANCE:ETHUSDT Analysis - 4H
Hello and welcome to another analysis from the Satoshi Frame team!
I’m Abolfazl, and today we’re going to analyze Ethereum on the 4-hour timeframe.
After rejecting from the supply zone, Ethereum has reached an IFC, which could cause a price pullback.
On the 15-minute timeframe, look for confirmation signals to enter a long position — the first target is around $4,520, followed by $4,750.
Keep in mind that this setup is very risky, and no entry should be taken without proper confirmation.
The second scenario is a break below $4,200, which could provide a short opportunity targeting $3,950, and then the 4H low. (The break must be confirmed by a full candle close, not just a shadow.)
These scenarios allow you to align with price movement in both directions — the key is to wait for precise confirmations before entering any trade.
See you in the next analyses!
Stay tuned with the Satoshi Frame team...
ETH Daily – Pullback After Rejection, Eyes on 0.5 FibETH Daily – Rejected at the Highs, Searching for Support
ETH was once again rejected from the ATH zone on Monday, October 6, failing to establish a breakout above resistance.
After losing the 50MA, price is now approaching the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level at $4321, which could serve as the next key support area.
From a system perspective, the structure reads:
Price < SMA < MLR < BB Center — confirming a short-term bearish trend.
Momentum indicators also point to weakness:
RSI has crossed below its moving average, and MACD is starting to turn red.
This pullback mirrors broader market consolidation after BTC’s ATH, showing that ETH remains sensitive to overall liquidity flows.
For now, the short-term bias remains bearish unless price manages to hold the 0.5 Fib support and stabilize around it.
A close above that level would be the first sign of potential recovery.
Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.
ETH Game Plan – DLRMD ModelETH Game Plan – DLRMD Model
📊 Market Sentiment
The FED has resumed its rate-cutting cycle with a 0.25% cut in September and two more expected in the coming months. Institutional liquidity inflows are accelerating as the U.S. officially adopts crypto as part of its reserves. While inflation remains elevated, a weakening labor market is pushing the FED to ease, channeling more capital into risk-on assets such as crypto.
📈 Technical Analysis
ETH ran the weekly swing low and closed above, signaling a shift in structure. A strong daily structure break followed, forming a fresh daily demand zone. The first tap into this demand zone resulted in a solid rejection — confirming its validity.
Afterward, price briefly deviated above the lower time frame bearish trendline, then retraced back, showing potential accumulation before the next leg up.
📘 Model to be used – HTF Demand w/ Liquidity Run & Max Discount Zone (DLRMD Model)
1-Identify the HTF trend and take setups only in that direction.
2-Mark the active HTF demand zone.
3-Confirm liquidity sweep within that zone.
4-Use Fibonacci retracement to locate the 0.75 max discount area.
5-Wait for LTF confirmation before entering.
📌 Game Plan
I’ll be waiting for price to return and retest the daily demand zone, ideally running the 12H swing liquidity at $4,090 and tapping the 0.75 max discount zone around $4,050 before considering entry.
🎯 Setup Trigger
4H structure break confirmation after price taps the $4,050 level.
📋 Trade Management
Entry: $4,050 (expected zone)
Stoploss: Below the 4H swing low that breaks structure
Targets:
TP1: Bearish trendline retest (≈$4,445)
TP2: All-time high (≈$4,965)
Once TP1 is reached, I’ll move stoploss to breakeven and manage partials actively.
💬 Like, follow, and comment if this breakdown supports your trading! More setups and market insights coming soon — stay connected!
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Always DYOR before making any financial decisions.






















