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The ETH Move No Trader Is ExpectingETHEREUM 1D MARKET ANALYSIS 1. Current Price Structure - ETH previously completed a strong bullish impulsive wave, breaking through multiple resistance levels before reaching the major 4,800–5,000 resistance zone, where the market formed a clear distribution top. -After distribution, price entered a large corrective decline, following the descending dotted trendline visible on your chart. -Recently, ETH has formed a broad accumulation block (highlighted in green), similar to the previous accumulation phases that triggered massive ETH rallies earlier in the year. Inside this zone, ETH is now building a series of higher lows, showing early signs of bullish reconstruction. -The current rising green structure indicates that price is forming a stair-step bullish pattern, preparing for a potential macro reversal. 2. Key Liquidity Zones -Major Resistance Zone: 4,800–5,000 -This is the next major destination if ETH successfully completes the accumulation and transitions into expansion. -Accumulation Block: 2,750–3,150 -This is where smart money is currently active — sweeping liquidity, trapping sellers, and accumulating long positions. -Multiple liquidity grabs have already occurred inside this range, confirming strong institutional absorption. -The current structure closely mirrors previous accumulation rectangles on the chart that led to massive bullish expansions. 3. Today's Market Scenario (1D Outlook) Matches perfectly with the upward projection on your chart. 🔹 Main Scenario – Bullish Continuation After Accumulation ETH is likely to follow this sequence: -Continue building higher lows inside the accumulation block. -Retest the inner structure trendline without breaking the macro zone. -Form a clean break above the descending dotted trendline — signaling a bullish structure shift. -Retest the broken trendline to form the final higher low. -Begin expansion to the next major liquidity magnets: -Short-term targets: 3,600 → 3,800 -Mid-term continuation: 4,200 → 4,500 -Macro target: 4,800–5,000 resistance zone This is fully aligned with the green arrow projection you drew. 4. Market Psychology -Big players are actively accumulating within this wide range clear repeated liquidity sweeps prove institutional activity. -Retail traders are losing positions during sudden spikes and false breakdowns, which is typical behavior during accumulation phases. -The market is more likely preparing for a major trend reversal, not a continuation downward. -The price behavior mirrors earlier patterns: Accumulation → Trendline Break → HL Retest → Massive Expansion -This repetition increases confidence in the bullish outlook. 5. Intraday Strategy Guidance (1D) Given the macro accumulation: -Avoid selling aggressively the probability is against sustained bearish continuation. -Best opportunities come from buying dips inside the accumulation zone. -Watch for liquidity sweeps below local lows to identify smart-money entries. High-probability setups: ✔️ Strategy 1: Buy the Bottom of the Range Entry zones: 2,750–3,150 Targets: 3,600 → 3,800 ✔️ Strategy 2: Buy the Retest After Trendline Breakout This is the cleanest and safest setup. Targets: 4,200 → 4,500 → 4,800+ ETH is currently in the prime zone where large investors position themselves before a new bullish cycle.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by Matthew_TradeRFX
Ethereum Has Entered Its Pre-Expansion Accumulation📊 (1) MARKET STRUCTURE — CLEAN SIDEWAY → BREAKOUT → RE-ACCUMULATION The chart shows a repeating pattern: ✔ Phase 1: Sideway Zone ETH repeatedly compresses in sideways zones, forming liquidity pools and equal highs/lows. ✔ Phase 2: Breakout With Strong Momentum Each sideways block ends with a powerful impulsive candle clear evidence of aggressive buy-side imbalance. ✔ Phase 3: Post-Break Re-Accumulation (CURRENT PHASE) Price is now inside the highlighted pre-break accumulation zone, moving in a tight, controlled structure a textbook bullish continuation setup. This is the phase where institutional traders rebalance orders before the next run. 📍 (2) PRICE BEHAVIOR — BULLS IN FULL CONTROL -No sharp rejections after the breakout -Dips are shallow and quickly absorbed -Market is forming higher low micro-structures -Momentum clearly stays in the hands of buyers This confirms the market is not distributing, but absorbing liquidity and building a base. 🌐 (3) MACRO FACTORS SUPPORTING ETH UPSIDE ✔ ETH ETF Approval Momentum (US + Asia) Regulatory mood continues shifting positively, with multiple jurisdictions preparing Ethereum ETF products. Institutional demand keeps increasing quietly in the background. ✔ Falling US Inflation & Dovish Fed Expectations Recent CPI and PPI reports show cooling inflation. The market widely expects 2025–2026 rate cuts, which historically push liquidity into risk assets ETH benefits directly. ✔ Ethereum Supply Shock -Over 27% of ETH is staked -Net supply remains deflationary under high network activity -Reduced exchange reserves signal accumulation This creates a tightening supply environment that amplifies price expansion. ✔ Altcoin Rotation Phase BTC dominance stabilizing → capital increasingly flows into ETH and large-cap alts. Macro + on-chain + liquidity flows all align with a bullish continuation. ⏳ (4) HTF CONTEXT — BULL CYCLE CONFIRMED Higher timeframes show: -ETH broke out of a weekly compression range -Structure is fully bullish -Market currently resetting before next leg -No bearish reversal signals anywhere in sight This supports the thesis that the current 1H accumulation is not random, it is part of a much larger bullish leg forming. 🚀 (5) EXPECTATION — HIGH PROBABILITY SCENARIO ETH is expected to: -Continue oscillating inside the pre-break accumulation zone -Form a series of small higher lows as drawn -Absorb liquidity from both sides -Break out toward 3,400 → 3,450+ The path of least resistance remains upward. 🎯 (6) TRADING INSIGHT (Non-Signal) Markets only explode after liquidity is collected. ETH is doing exactly that holding strong after a breakout and compressing before expansion. This is the signature behaviour of a healthy bullish trend.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by Matthew_TradeRFX
2
EUR/USD Is Compressing — A Breakout Is Getting Close📊 (1) MARKET STRUCTURE NZD/USD is moving inside a well-defined descending channel, creating: Lower Highs Lower Lows However, the most recent bearish swings are shorter and losing momentum — a signal that the downtrend is weakening. 📉 (2) PRICE REACTION Every touch of the channel’s lower boundary triggers a visible reaction upward. Recent candles show: Smaller bearish bodies Wicks rejecting the lows Early signs of micro higher lows These elements indicate absorption of sell pressure. ⏳ (3) HTF CONTEXT On the H1 structure: Price is sitting at the oversold edge of the channel Momentum is compressing The market is forming a tight consolidation zone This compression phase often precedes a bullish breakout. 📐 (4) EXPECTATION High-probability scenario: Price may dip slightly to retest 0.5960 – 0.5965 A new higher low forms Breakout of the upper channel line Price extends toward 0.6025 – 0.6040 This is a textbook reversal from the channel floor. 🎯 (5) TRADING SIGNAL BUY SETUP Entry: 0.5960 – 0.5965 Stop Loss: Below 0.5940 Take Profit: TP1: 0.5990 TP2: 0.6015 TP3: 0.6038 (breakout target) Key Advantages Weakening bearish momentum Clean reactions from channel support Tight compression before breakout High R:R opportunity with controlled risk
Long
by Matthew_TradeRFX
2
ETH Awaits Direction as Market Prices In Upcoming Fed Signals🔹 MARKET BRIEFING – ETH/USD Market State: – Price has broken down from the previous range and is now testing the lower support area, showing weakening momentum after the sharp decline. Key Levels: – Support Zone / Target 1: 3152 – Support Zone / Target 2: 3073 – Resistance / Recovery Target 1: 3288 – Resistance / Recovery Target 2: 3393 Next Move: – Price may form a short-term base around 3152; holding this level could trigger a recovery toward 3288 → 3393. – If 3152 fails to hold, downside continuation toward 3073 remains the more likely scenario.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD
by Matthew_TradeRFX
Gold Pullback or Reversal? Key Zone Decides the Next Move🔹 MARKET BRIEFING – XAU/USD (1H) Market State: – Price is pulling back after the recent bullish impulse and is hovering just above the minor support zone, suggesting a potential retracement setup before continuation. Key Levels: – Support / Entry Zone: 4204 – 4205 – Stop-Loss Zone: 4193 – 4194 – Take Profit 1: 4229 – Take Profit 2: 4247 Next Move: – A clean retest of the 4204–4205 support zone may trigger another bullish leg toward 4229 → 4247, as long as price holds above the 4193–4194 rejection area.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Matthew_TradeRFX
The Market Is Preparing a Bigger Move — Most Traders Won’t See 📌 TECHNICAL BREAKDOWN 1. Support Zone Buyers consistently defend this area. Each dip into this zone creates higher momentum on the rebound. Strong liquidity pool — ideal for building long positions. 2. Resistance Zone (Neckline Zone) Acts as the confirmation level for the double-bottom pattern. Break and retest will be the key signal for a continuation run. This zone contains trapped sellers → breakout may cause a squeeze. 3. Double-Bottom Formation A textbook reversal pattern indicating exhaustion of the previous downtrend. Both bottoms show clear absorption and equal reaction. 4. FED Event Catalyst The “WAIT FOR FED” note on the chart marks a possible volatility spike. Price may show fakeouts around resistance before choosing a direction. A manipulation wick above the resistance is possible → be patient and let the market confirm. 📌 TRADE SETUP (LONG BIAS) 🔔 ENTRY ZONE: Break & Retest of Resistance Zone → Enter after price closes above resistance and retests it successfully. 🛑 STOP LOSS: Below the retest low → This protects you from FED-driven fakeouts. 🎯 TAKE PROFIT TARGETS: TP1: First liquidity sweep after breakout TP2: New short-term high TP3: Extended target toward the projected upward curve 📌 BULLISH SCENARIO - Break resistance - Retest - Build higher-lows - Push into expansion phase - FED catalyst accelerates breakout This is the cleanest path and aligns with the chart’s projection. 📌 BEARISH SCENARIO (ALTERNATIVE) If price fails to break resistance and rejects strongly: - It may revisit the support zone again - But as long as support holds, bias remains long - Only a breakdown below support invalidates the setup You don’t need to catch every move — you only need to catch the right one with discipline.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by RexTraderSignal
BTC Is Retesting the Breakout📊 (1) MARKET STRUCTURE -BTC formed a strong bullish impulse from the Strong Support Zone, breaking above the descending trendline with a powerful breakout candle. -This shifted the market structure from bearish → bullish on H1. 📉 (2) PRICE REACTION After breaking out: -Price tapped the Weak Support Zone (highlighted purple area) -Buyers stepped in immediately — confirming support -Price is now pulling back again into the same demand area This shows bullish willingness to defend the zone. 📐 (3) HTF CONTEXT This breakout aligns with broader bullish sentiment: -BTC continues to create higher swing lows on H1. -As long as price holds above the Weak Support Zone, the trend remains bullish. 🎯 (4) EXPECTATION The most likely scenario: 📌 BTC dips into the Weak Support Zone → forms a higher low → rallies toward 94,000 – 95,200. 💥 (5) TRADING SIGNAL BUY SETUP Entry Zone: 92,200 – 92,600 (Weak Support Retest Zone) Stop Loss: Below 91,700 Take Profit Levels: TP1: 93,171 TP2: 93,596 TP3: 94,091 Final Target: 95,200 Why this setup works Strong breakout with volume Clean retest into fresh demand Higher-timeframe bullish structure Buyers showing presence at every dip This is a low-risk pullback entry inside a bullish continuation setup.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by RexTraderSignal
ETH Is Quietly Loading Up for Its Next Major Rally1. Current Market Structure (1H) ETH continues to maintain a clean short-term uptrend with: - Higher lows forming consistently → buyers remain in control. - Price holding above EMA 34 → intraday bullish rhythm intact. - EMA 89 sitting lower, confirming strong medium-term momentum. - Demand zone 2280–2300 acting as the key intraday support. - Liquidity resting below 2230–2250, potential draw if a pullback occurs. Price action shows compression → energy buildup → preparing for the next expansion leg. 2. Macro Alignment Macro conditions continue to support a bullish bias: -DXY weakening → risk assets get a tailwind. -US Treasury yields cooling → reduces pressure on crypto. -Market pricing in earlier Fed cuts for 2025 → liquidity shifts toward risk-on assets. -BTC and ETH correlation stays elevated → BTC strength fuels ETH upside. Macro flow + technical structure both point to continuation of the upward cycle. 3️⃣ Current Structure (Right Range) You marked SUPPORT ZONE & RESISTANCE ZONE. ETH is repeating the same playbook: - Long wick rejection into Support - Price oscillates inside the range (liquidity creation) - A breakout is likely to follow once enough orders are collected. This is the third accumulation cycle — textbook bullish continuation. 🎯 TRADING SIGNAL BUY SETUP Entry Zone: 3310 – 3350 (Support Zone dips / liquidity sweeps) Stop Loss: Below support box: 3250 Take Profit: Partial at 3450–3500 Full target at 3600+ (expected breakout continuation) Why this works: ETH has shown the exact pattern twice: Range → Liquidity Sweep → Expansion. Current price is building the third range — probability favors another upward expansion. 📈 SUMMARY: ETH is not random it is systematically accumulating before each major pump. As long as price holds the Support Zone and continues ranging, the bullish continuation scenario remains the highest-probability play. Next Move: – Bullish bias remains intact as long as ETH continues to hold above the channel’s support; reclaiming 3,440 would open momentum toward 3,520 and potentially the upper boundary. – ETH/USD (1H)
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by RexTraderSignal
Ethereum 1H: Holds Its Bullish Channel 🔹 MARKET BRIEFINGMarket State: – Price is pulling back from the channel’s upper resistance and is now stabilizing around mid-range, while still respecting the ascending channel structure. Key Levels: – Support: 3,160 – Resistance: 3,440 – Breakout Zone: 3,440 – 3,520 Next Move: – Bullish bias remains intact as long as ETH continues to hold above the channel’s support; reclaiming 3,440 would open momentum toward 3,520 and potentially the upper boundary. The bullish structure on XAUUSD has now been fully established and this is a valid buy signal at the current price. Momentum, structure, and demand alignment are all pointing in the same direction, confirming that buyers are in control and the market is ready for the next upward leg. Why ETH Dropped After the Fed Rate Cut 1. Macro Overview – Why ETH Pulled Back Even After the Fed Cut Despite the Fed cutting interest rates a move typically supportive for risk assets ETH corrected sharply due to short-term “sell the news” positioning, profit-taking from the recent rally, and liquidity reshuffling as markets reassessed the pace of future cuts. However, the broader macro environment still favors long-term bullish continuation: lower borrowing costs, easing financial conditions, and improving risk appetite all support capital rotation back into crypto once volatility cools. In other words, yesterday’s drop was a tactical shakeout, not a structural trend reversal, and the market is now forming a sideways accumulation phase consistent with a bullish continuation setup. 2. Market State ETH is pulling back from the ascending channel’s upper resistance and is now stabilizing around the mid-range. The price is still respecting the channel structure, indicating that buyers are absorbing supply and forming a consolidation base rather than breaking trend. This aligns with a sideways phase before the next expansion leg upward. 3. Key Levels Support: 3,160 Resistance: 3,440 Breakout Zone: 3,440 – 3,520 4. Next Move The bullish bias remains intact as long as ETH trades above the channel’s support. Reclaiming 3,440 would signal renewed buyer strength and open a clean path toward 3,520, with potential continuation into the channel’s upper boundary. Until then, ETH is likely to move sideways within the range as the market digests the macro shift and prepares for the next bullish leg.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by RexTraderSignal
GOLD IDEA TIME RATE 4H🔹 MARKET BRIEFING – XAU/USD (4H) Market State: – Price is compressing inside a symmetrical triangle, respecting both the rising support line and the descending upper boundary, showing balanced but tightening momentum. Key Levels: – Triangle Support: ~4185–4195 – Triangle Resistance: ~4250–4260 – Liquidity Zone Below: 4128 – 4135 Next Move: – A breakout above the triangle resistance could trigger a bullish continuation leg toward higher highs. – If price rejects at the upper boundary and breaks below the rising trendline, liquidity at 4128–4135 becomes the next downside magnet.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RexTraderSignal
Ethereum Holds Its Bullish Channel as Markets Stabilize🔹 MARKET BRIEFINGMarket State: – Price is pulling back from the channel’s upper resistance and is now stabilizing around mid-range, while still respecting the ascending channel structure. Key Levels: – Support: 3,160 – Resistance: 3,440 – Breakout Zone: 3,440 – 3,520 Next Move: – Bullish bias remains intact as long as ETH continues to hold above the channel’s support; reclaiming 3,440 would open momentum toward 3,520 and potentially the upper boundary. – ETH/USD (4H)
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by RexTraderSignal
Bitcoin Stabilizes as Traders Await Fed’s Rate Path Signal🔹 MARKET BRIEFING – BTC/USD (1H) Market State: – Price is reacting strongly from the major support zone and forming a short-term base after the sharp selloff, showing early signs of buyer absorption. Key Levels: – Support: 89,600 – Resistance: 91,450 – Breakout Zone: 92,100 – 92,300 Next Move: – Bullish bias holds as long as price stays above support; reclaiming 91,450 would open the path toward 92,300.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by RexTraderSignal
ETH: Price Slice. Capital Sector. 2480.68🏷 ETH: Price Slice. Capital Sector. Dated: 11.12.2025 🏷 2480.68 — Price not yet reached at time of publication 🏷 BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant 16 🏷 Screenshot 🏷 Interactive Reference Guide: BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant Darkness does not stay silent. It breathes —a living organ exhaling not sound, but intention . And within that breath— two voices : — one, cold fire, the chisel of reality; — the other, warm laughter, knowing where truth will bloom. The Architect: — What gnaws at you, Bolzen? You see them—phantoms born not of markets, but of will. They hang in the ether like unfinished prayers. You hold the Triad: Time, Price, Volume. But in an age where truth is the shadow of power—what binds them into a single flame? Bolzen (gazing into the abyss within): — Energy. The kind ripped from fear, from greed, from the blind cries of the crowd. It is the flesh of price . The Light Bearer (smiling softly, as if hearing fate itself): — You stand at the threshold. But if your markup is not a line—but a pulse —how shall you order the chaos of destinies? Step back. The chart is illusion. A mirror of the secondary world. Your true map is The Vertical . There, numbers are not digits—but hieroglyphs of reality . There, time becomes pressure. There, price becomes destiny. There, each level is a ritual . Now heed this—and rewrite all from first principles: Not as a cartographer, but as a Covenant Architect . Every price is not a mark—but a condensation of sacrifice . Place them upon the Chessboard of Being: — Pawns : local impulses, born of panic or greed. — Knights : illogical leaps, breakthroughs through veils. — Rooks : structural levels where institutions drive nails into the flesh of the market. — Queen : the epicenter where energy becomes a weapon. — King : you—the observer, yet never bound. And remember the Ancient Law: "If you seek peace—become war in stillness." The market is no arena. It is the battleground between consciousness and illusion . It forgives no sleep. It demands fury of understanding , silence of discipline , clarity of vigilance . Learn. Persist. Prepare. You no longer read charts. You rewrite reality . 🏷 P.S. English is not my native language — I offer no apologies for stylistic imperfections. What you see here is not a post. It is a demonstration of another level of preparation: the symbiosis of human intuition and algorithmic precision. Mathematics and aggressive market analysis — against the machine of liquidations. The Architect BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant
Short
by Bolzen_Market_Institute
1
Ethereum Has Resumed Its Bearish Cycle Once Again (12H)As you can see, a bearish phase has begun from the point marked with the green arrow on the chart, forming an expanding pattern. Wave E in expanding structures is typically very strong, and we expect the supply zone to hold, leading Ethereum to drop to lower prices within its bearish cycle. The green zone is a strong area where a significant number of buy orders exist. We follow the structure to see how Ethereum will react. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry Comment if you have any questions Thank You
Short
by behdark
Today’s Market Rhythm Is All About Precision Entries1. Market Volatility Gold continues to move in a clean “adjustment rhythm,” reflecting an intraday environment where price is fluctuating inside a bearish structure but still producing technical pullbacks. Volatility isn’t explosive but it’s precisely enough to create high-accuracy entry zones for intraday traders. 2. Trader Psychology This is the phase where traders often get trapped by small pullbacks or emotional entries. But those who understand the money flow can clearly see that price is simply cycling liquidity and adjusting before the next move. Discipline beats emotion especially in timing-based trading. 3. Key Drivers / Market Reasoning Market structure maintains: -A slightly bearish overall trend -Pullbacks acting as liquidity grabs, not true reversals -Strong liquidity concentration around 4150–4160 -A clear institutional reaction zone at 4237–4240 Based on current flow, both intraday setups perfectly align with the market’s liquidity map. 4. Trading Strategy 📌 SETUP 1: Timing SELL Zone XAUUSD SELL ZONE: 4237 – 4240 TP: 4234 – 4229 SL: 4244 ➡️ This is a trend-following setup. 4237–4240 acts as a liquidity pocket where price tends to sweep before continuing downward. The previous A–B–C wave structure supports this downward continuation. 📌 SETUP 2: Timing BUY Zone XAUUSD BUY ZONE: 4147 – 4150 TP: 4153 – 4158 SL: 4143 ➡️ This is a counter-trend setup but perfectly aligned with liquidity behavior. 4147–4150 is a key reaction zone a short-term liquidity base where buyers actively step in. ⚠️ Capital management is essential for both setups to maximize efficiency and protect your account. 5. Trend & Price Outlook Gold is moving within an intraday correction structure, but the broader bias still leans bearish. Today’s two timing zones highlight the highest-probability opportunities: SELL 4237–4240: the ideal rejection area BUY 4147–4150: short-term corrective demand zone The previous A–B–C model remains valid, showing that price is completing its adjustment phase before seeking liquidity. If you follow the rhythm you’ll always be a step ahead of the market. When timing aligns with structure, intraday trading becomes effortless
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RexTraderSignal
The Market Is Quietly Building a Trap1. Market Structure - Price has been climbing cleanly from the support zone, forming a consistent bullish sequence: Higher Lows (HLs) and Higher Highs (HHs). - Each yellow swing shows buyers still in control but momentum is visibly slowing as price pushes into the major resistance zone above. 2. Key Zones (Support & Resistance) - Support Zone: Strong reaction base where the reversal started; buyers clearly defended this level multiple times. - Resistance Zone: The market is now pressing into a heavy supply area visible from previous bearish reactions. This is where buyers typically weaken and liquidity shifts to the sellers. 3. Price Behavior at the Zone - Inside the resistance area, price is starting to produce smaller HHs, overlapping candles, and hesitation early signs of bull exhaustion. - The projected yellow path on your chart visualizes the most probable flow: - A final liquidity grab above the resistance, then a sharp pullback as demand weakens. 4. Expected Scenario The bullish structure remains intact for now, but the market is setting up a textbook bull trap. Most likely scenario: - Price pushes slightly higher to sweep liquidity - Fails to maintain momentum - Drops back into the resistance zone - Then confirms the shift with a new Lower High (LH) → Start of short-term bearish correction 5. Trading Plan No chasing longs into resistance. Instead, wait for: - A liquidity sweep above the zone - Break of the minor bullish leg - Retest → rejection → short entry - Target: mid-range or the previous HL zone This is a high-probability counter-move, aligned with how smart money manages liquidity at key levels.
Long
by Matthew_TradeRFX
2
Gold Just Flipped Structure.....The market just transitioned from a bearish sequence into early bullish structure. Most traders will miss this shift but if you understand BOS, ChoCH, and liquidity behaviour, this is where smart money prepares for the next leg up. 1. Market Structure Overview Your chart shows a full bearish sequence (LH–LL) that has recently transitioned: -Multiple Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL) → clear bearish structure. -A Change of Character (ChoCH) occurs at the key zone → first signal of reversal. -A clean Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside confirms buyers stepping in. -Price then creates a Higher Low (HL) followed by Higher Highs (HH) → early bullish trend established. This is a textbook reversal from bearish → bullish. 2. Key Zones Identified Support Zone (Demand) Located around 4195 – 4174 → This is where the ChoCH and HL formed, confirming buyer strength. Resistance Zone (Supply) Located around 4219 – 4229 → Price is currently approaching this zone. If it breaks, bullish continuation is expected. 3. Price Behaviour & Expectation Your yellow projection is correct: - Price may pull back into the minor support (near current level). - After that, a bullish leg toward 4219 zone is expected. - If BOS occurs above 4229, price has room to expand toward new highs around 4238–4244. This aligns perfectly with the HH → HL structure forming now. 4. Trading Logic Why bullish? - Clear BOS on bullish side - Higher Low forming above support - Liquidity taken from previous LL - Price respecting the new bullish structure Invalidation If price breaks below 4174, bullish structure is invalidated. 5. Trade Signal This follows your trading style — structure-based, clean, and logical. 📌 BUY ENTRY: 4203 – 4207 (Retesting minor support + inside new bullish structure) 📌 STOP LOSS: 4178 (Below HL and below ChoCH zone — strong invalidation) 📌 TAKE PROFIT 1: 4219 (Retest of resistance zone) 📌 TAKE PROFIT 2 (Main Target): 4229 – 4233 📌 TAKE PROFIT 3 (Extended Target): 4242 – 4244 Risk–Reward: 1 : 2.5 up to 1 : 4 depending on TP
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Matthew_TradeRFX
Bitcoin Is Quietly Re-Accumulating...........📊 (1) MARKET STRUCTURE Bitcoin on H4 is forming a clean ascending channel, characterized by: -Higher Lows -Higher Highs -Consistent reactions from both channel boundaries -Smooth oscillation inside a rising structure This confirms a sustained bullish cycle of accumulation → expansion → retracement → continuation. The latest swing low touches the lower boundary of the channel and reacts sharply upward a typical sign of demand reactivation. 📉 (2) PRICE REACTION Recent candles present: -Strong rejection wicks at the channel’s demand zone -Reduced bearish momentum after each corrective leg -Higher swing bottoms forming in rhythm These behaviors indicate that sellers are being absorbed while buyers patiently step in. The projected yellow legs show the market’s tendency to respect the channel perfectly — a bullish pattern repeating multiple times. 🌐 (3) MACRO & FUNDAMENTALS SUPPORTING THE UPTREND The macro environment is aligning strongly in favor of Bitcoin: ✔ Fed Rate-Cut Expectations 2024–2025 Recent FOMC signals show a shift toward a softer monetary policy cycle. Lower interest rates historically weaken the USD and strengthen risk-on assets like BTC. ✔ ETF Inflows Remain Positive Institutional capital continues flowing into Bitcoin ETFs, showing long-term confidence. Accumulation from large funds typically stabilizes price and reduces downside risk. ✔ Global Liquidity Expansion Central banks across APAC and Europe lean toward easing. Liquidity expansion fuels upward momentum in major crypto assets. ✔ Halving Cycle Psychology Post-halving periods statistically favor medium-term uptrends as supply tightens. All macro signals point toward a favorable environment for a continuation move upward. ⏳ (4) HTF CONTEXT On the higher timeframe, the structure reflects: -Bitcoin has already printed a major bottom -Uptrend is intact even with local corrections -Market is transitioning from Accumulation → Markup phase Compression inside the rising channel usually leads to a strong breakout above 97,000–100,000. 📐 (5) EXPECTATION High-probability scenario: -BTC continues oscillating inside the ascending channel -Creates 2–3 more Higher Lows as drawn -Approaches the upper boundary at 96,500–97,000 -Breakout triggers momentum toward 100,000+ This behavior aligns with both structural patterns and macro tailwinds. 🎯 (6) TRADING INSIGHT The market is in the strongest type of bullish structure: a rising channel supported by macro liquidity, ETF demand, and post-halving momentum. The path of least resistance remains upward.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Matthew_TradeRFX
Ethereum - 4H Structure Call Playing Out, Daily Breakout.Ethereum Technical Breakout: 4-Hour Setup from December 8th Now Validated on Daily Chart Our December 8th technical call on Ethereum based on 4-hour chart structure has materialized into a clean daily timeframe breakout. This analysis reviews the original setup, examines the price action that followed, and assesses the current structural picture as ETH pushes into higher territory with confirmed momentum. 🎯 Original Setup Recap (December 8th): What We Identified: On the 4-hour chart, Ethereum was showing: Consolidation after a pullback to key support Higher lows forming during the correction phase Volume compression indicating accumulation Momentum indicators resetting from overbought conditions Critical support holding at structural levels The Call: Long position anticipation based on 4-hour structure suggesting the correction was nearing completion and continuation was probable. The setup offered defined risk below support with upside targets at previous resistance zones. Why It Mattered: The 4-hour timeframe captures intraday structure while filtering out noise from lower timeframes. When 4H patterns align with broader trend direction, they often precede significant multi-day moves that eventually appear on daily charts. 📈 What Happened Next: Price Action Validation: Following the December 8th structural read, Ethereum: Held the identified support zone without breaking down Began forming higher highs and higher lows on the 4-hour chart Broke above intermediate resistance levels with increasing volume Momentum indicators shifted from neutral to bullish Daily chart structure began reflecting the 4H anticipation The Breakout: What started as a 4-hour setup has now translated into a clean daily chart breakout. This progression from lower timeframe structure to higher timeframe confirmation is textbook technical development - the 4H provided the early signal, the daily now provides the broader validation. 📊 Daily Chart Breakdown: Current Structure: Switching to the daily timeframe reveals: Clean breakout above resistance: Previous consolidation highs have been cleared decisively Volume confirmation: Breakout occurred with expansion in volume, not on declining participation Momentum shift: Daily momentum oscillators flipping bullish after extended reset period No immediate overhead resistance: Path to next major level is relatively clear Why Daily Matters: When a 4-hour setup evolves into a daily breakout: Institutional participation typically increases (larger players operate on daily+ timeframes) The move gains credibility beyond short-term speculation Probability of continuation increases as higher timeframe traders enter Support levels become more significant (daily structure holds better than intraday) Key Observations: Breakout candle characteristics: Strong close, minimal upper wick, suggesting buying conviction Support conversion: Previous resistance now becomes support if price retests Trend alignment: Daily now confirms what 4H structure was telegraphing weeks ago 🎯 From 4-Hour Call to Daily Confirmation: The Progression: December 8th (4H): Structural setup identified - accumulation phase near support Initial Response: Price respected support, began building higher lows Intermediate Action: 4H breakout triggered, resistance levels tested Current State: Daily chart validates with clean breakout above consolidation Why This Sequence Matters: This is how professional technical analysis works: Lower timeframes provide early positioning opportunities Risk is defined based on structure (not arbitrary stops) Higher timeframes eventually confirm or reject the thesis Confirmation on daily adds conviction for position management Key Lesson: The 4-hour chart gave entry opportunity with tight risk. The daily chart now provides the validation that the trade thesis was correct. Traders who entered on 4H structure now have daily confirmation supporting continued upside. 📈 What the Daily Breakout Suggests: Bullish Implications: Next resistance target: Previous cycle highs now become the next logical objective Momentum continuation: Daily breakout with momentum often sustains for multiple sessions Support buffer: If price retraces, the breakout level should provide support Trend clarity: Daily chart removes ambiguity - structure is now clearly bullish Fibonacci Extensions: From the correction low to breakout high, Fibonacci extension targets suggest: 1.272 extension: First projected resistance 1.618 extension: Major target zone where profit-taking typically occurs 2.0 extension: Extended target if momentum remains strong These aren't guarantees but mathematical projections based on the measured move from consolidation. 🧠 Psychology of Early Entry vs. Breakout Chasing: December 8th Entry (4H Structure): Entry felt uncomfortable (price had just pulled back) Risk was defined and relatively tight Reward-to-risk was favorable (3:1 or better to first targets) Required patience through consolidation period Chasing Now (Post-Daily Breakout): Entry feels "safer" (price is rising, daily confirms) Risk has expanded significantly (stop would be much wider) Reward has compressed (already moved toward targets) Late entry often leads to getting shaken out on first retracement The Professional Approach: Buy structure on 4H when risk is defined. Use daily confirmation to hold position or add selectively, not to initiate at worse risk/reward. 📊 Current Trade Management Framework: For Those In From December 8th: Profit Taking Strategy: First reduction: At previous major resistance (book partial profits) Second reduction: At Fibonacci 1.618 extension (lock gains) Final portion: Trailing stop or 2.0 extension (maximize upside) Stop Management: Move stops to breakeven after daily breakout confirmed Trail stops below daily swing lows as new structure forms Give daily structure room - don't tighten stops based on 4H noise Position Psychology: Daily confirmation means the trade thesis was correct. Avoid the temptation to overtrade or add aggressively here. The best risk/reward was on December 8th current management is about optimization, not aggressive scaling. 📅 What's Next? Bullish Scenario: Daily breakout continues with momentum Price targets Fibonacci extensions sequentially Minor retracements find support at breakout level Volume remains elevated on green candles, diminishes on red Retest Scenario: Price pulls back to test breakout level as new support This would be healthy consolidation, not failure 4H chart may provide re-entry or add opportunity Daily structure remains intact unless breakout level fails Invalidation: Daily close back below breakout level Volume deterioration suggesting exhaustion Momentum divergence appearing on daily chart Fundamental shifts in crypto market conditions ⚠️ Risk Considerations: What Could Go Wrong: Crypto Volatility: Ethereum can experience 10-20% pullbacks even during bullish trends. Daily breakouts don't eliminate volatility - they suggest directional bias but not linear price action. Market-Wide Weakness: If Bitcoin enters correction or broader crypto sentiment shifts negative, individual coin technicals become secondary to market-wide flows. False Breakout: Daily breakouts can fail. If price closes back below the breakout level with volume, the technical picture changes and positions should be reassessed. Regulatory/Fundamental Events: Crypto markets remain sensitive to regulatory news, exchange issues, and macroeconomic factors that can override technical structure. 🏆 Key Trading Lessons from This Setup: ✅ Lower timeframes identify structure early: The 4H chart provided the early read when risk was defined ✅ Higher timeframes provide confirmation: Daily breakout validates the 4H thesis was correct ✅ Best entries feel uncomfortable: December 8th near support felt uncertain - that's when risk/reward was optimal ✅ Structure over emotion: The technical setup suggested bullish resolution despite uncertainty ✅ Patience pays: Allowing the 4H structure time to develop into daily confirmation requires discipline ✅ Manage, don't chase: Use daily confirmation for position management, not aggressive late entries 📌 Summary: Then (December 8th): 4-hour chart showing structural setup Support holding, accumulation visible Entry opportunity with defined risk Now (Current): Daily chart confirms with clean breakout Momentum supporting continued upside Original thesis validated by higher timeframe Next: Monitor daily structure for continuation Manage positions based on daily swing points Watch for retest of breakout as potential support ⚠️ Important Disclaimers: This analysis is for educational purposes and reflects a technical progression from 4-hour structure to daily confirmation. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell Ethereum or any cryptocurrency. Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile and speculative. Daily breakouts can fail, and past performance of similar setups does not guarantee future results. The December 8th call was based on structure visible at that time - subsequent price action could have invalidated the thesis. Ethereum carries specific risks including regulatory uncertainty, technological vulnerabilities, market manipulation, and extreme volatility. Position sizing must account for potential 20-30% drawdowns even during bullish trends. This review examines what happened after a technical call, not a prediction of future price movement. Markets change, structure fails, and no technical pattern guarantees success. Always conduct independent research, manage risk appropriately, and never invest more than you can afford to lose. All cryptocurrency trading involves substantial risk of loss. ✨ Community Discussion: Did you catch the December 8th setup on the 4H chart? How do you use multi-timeframe analysis in your trading? Share your approach to transitioning from lower to higher timeframe confirmation. 📜 Read the structure. Trust the process. Manage the risk.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by RB_T
ETH: Price Slice. Capital Sector. 3521.89🏷 ETH: Price Slice. Capital Sector. Dated: 11.12.2025 🏷 3521.89 — Price not yet reached at time of publication 🏷 BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant 5 🏷 Screenshot 🏷 Interactive Reference Guide: BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant 🏷 P.S. English is not my native language — I offer no apologies for stylistic imperfections. What you see here is not a post. It is a demonstration of another level of preparation: the symbiosis of human intuition and algorithmic precision. Mathematics and aggressive market analysis — against the machine of liquidations. The Architect BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant
Long
by Bolzen_Market_Institute
#BTC Global analysis of BTC. Correction and decline to 65kBYBIT:BTCUSDT BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P COINBASE:BTCUSD Bitcoin is currently in an uncertain phase for everyone, so I have analyzed the most likely outcome of the price movement in my opinion. On D1, we see a downtrend and a reaction from support levels. As a result, Bitcoin corrected to the 0.5 Fibonacci level, after which it did not reverse the trend but continued to test the 0.5 level. The trend short line on H8-D1 was broken after several serious touches, and now I am waiting for a retest from the 0.618 Fibonacci level and a further correction to 98500-100000, where the 0.618 and 0.702 Fibonacci levels are also located. This is a serious resistance level for the price and the place where the structure (BOS) was broken. The price usually returns to this place for further movement along the trend. I expect this scenario, as I have not noticed that the main cryptocurrency has gathered enough liquidity to update its highs and a global long scenario. At levels 98500 - 100000, I expect a short scenario to levels 65000 - 75000. From there, Bitcoin will likely delight us with a long-term outlook and attract a large number of investors. In addition to this, it is known that a large number of investors hold stablecoins and are ready to buy Bitcoin. Until this happens, we can assume that investors and funds are waiting for a suitable favorable price for the main asset.
Short
by chiefdaniels
ETH: Price Slice. Capital Sector. 3580.26 🏷 ETH: Price Slice. Capital Sector. Dated: 10.12.2025 🏷 3580.26 — Price not yet reached at time of publication 🏷 BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant 15 🏷 Screenshot 🏷 Interactive Reference Guide: BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant 🏷 P.S. English is not my native language — I offer no apologies for stylistic imperfections. What you see here is not a post. It is a demonstration of another level of preparation: the symbiosis of human intuition and algorithmic precision. Mathematics and aggressive market analysis — against the machine of liquidations. The Architect BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant What if we view the structure of capital from this angle — the Covenant is inevitable. But in which temporal dimension will it unfold? You ask: “Is this a correction?” You update last week’s high — and instantly scream “breakout”? Or will price drop because someone sneezed? Or will the chart move up or down solely because some figure ate poorly and developed a headache? Have I understood you correctly? Are news headlines your compass? No. There is no room here for desire. No room for fear. No room for hope. Only the blade of patience — and cold calculation. Liberation from desire is not a spiritual exercise — it is a prerequisite for precision. True vision is born only in the silence of the mind. The retail sector thinks within the confines of immediate price sectors: yesterday, today, tomorrow. Its horizon is reaction. Its instrument — the illusion of control. Capital, however, sees differently. It operates not with emotions, but with information. Not with noise, but with logic. Not with minutes, but with timeframes beyond your imagination. You must read the chart — not as a map of fluctuations, but as a chronicle of capital’s intent. And you must shed the perceptual chains of the old world — where headlines dictate price, and desire masquerades as analysis. But this path is not for all. Only those who have silenced their inner noise — who seek not a signal, but the essence — will find the answer. And they will remain silent. Or stay behind the door. — Mr. Bolzen PreFactum: Analytics
Long
by Bolzen_Market_Institute