ETHEREUM getting a spanking but its not over yetETH is in a downtrend; however, the structure looks retracive, which means that a corrective move would be almost over. If it is not, this means the price will break structure and fall further down. If the objective is to hunt liquidity, expect further downside.
ETH
Why is crypto dumping? Bitcoin, Ether, and other cryptocurrencies extended their losses on Monday, even as stocks traded mostly higher.
Bitcoin hovers near $106,980, down about 3% in 24 hours, while Ethereum fell roughly 7% to around $3,642. Most major altcoins mirrored the decline (but more pronounced), reflecting a broader pullback in market sentiment.
Investors may have turned cautious after U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent suggested that the Federal Reserve’s interest rate policy may have already pushed parts of the economy (particularly housing) into recession.
BITCOIN – LONG - 105K SWEEP BEFORE WE LEAPTraders,
In my latest analysis I said that Bitcoin will reach 117.000-117.500 before a bigger dump. Price didn't reach those levels yet, and dumped instantly instead.
However, the main thesis still stands: price is likely to reach that zone (117.000-117.500) before a larger reversal down. But before that, I expect a short squeeze beginning at $105.000.
Why I Expect a Squeeze
During the Asia session, new leveraged short exposure was built. Open Interest (OI) increased while Net Shorts rose, showing that traders were adding fresh short positions.
Around 107,000–107,500, both Spot CVD and Coin-Margined CVD are showing bullish divergence. Sellers are active, but price is holding, which indicates absorption.
Stablecoin-Margined CVD in the same range shows exhaustion, suggesting selling pressure is fading.
At New York open, OI continued to rise together with Net Longs, meaning aggressive longs are now fading into the short exposure created during Asia.
What This Means
Historically, the London and New York sessions tend to sweep Asia’s positioning. When Asia builds short exposure, the later sessions often push price higher to liquidate those shorts. This often results in a short squeeze, which aligns with what we may be seeing now.
Determining the Next Move Down
Before deciding if price extends lower first, we must identify the variables of probability (VOP) — the “magnets” that increase the likelihood of a lower sweep.
1. Weak Thursday Low
There is a weak low that has not been properly tested. In TPO (Time Price Opportunity) terms, a weak low forms when price finds temporary support without strong buying response. Such levels often get revisited.
2. Unswept Sunday 19 Oct Low
There is also an unswept Sunday low from 19 October. Sunday lows are often swept because weekend liquidity is thin and order books are shallow. When liquidity returns during the week, those inefficient areas tend to get filled.
Imbalances and Volume Gaps Below
Next we look for gaps, imbalances, or LVNs (Low Volume Nodes) — areas where trading activity was limited or one-sided. These zones often attract price because markets seek balance.
Many traders identify “fair value gaps” by looking at candles, but that only shows part of the picture. To locate the real inefficiency, we need to look inside the candles using order flow or a Fixed Range Volume Profile (FRVP) to find the exact levels of bid-ask imbalance.
Volume Profile and Fibonacci Confluence
Drawing the Fixed Range Volume Profile from the impulse move below the Sunday 19 Oct low shows a clear imbalance at 105,070.
Checking confluences:
The 0.786 Fibonacci retracement (low to high) aligns exactly with 105,070
The 0.886 retracement (higher low to high) also aligns exactly with 105,070
Fibonacci extensions (1.113 and 1.272) both target around 105,000
The 0.618 extension also lands near 105,000
Thesis Summary
Based on all data and confluence:
Price likely dips to sweep the weak 30 Oct low and the 19 Oct Sunday low
Target zone: LVN / imbalance near 105,000
Expect a liquidity grab that traps late shorts and shakes out weak longs
After that, expect a reversal toward 117,000–117,500, where the next major liquidity pool lies
Why a Lower Sweep Is Expected
The Asia session built significant short exposure
There is an inefficiency and low-volume magnet around 105k
Weak lows provide clear liquidity targets
Once those areas are cleared, market structure favors a strong reversal upward
In summary:
Bitcoin is likely to make one more sweep toward the 105,000 zone to clear liquidity before expanding upward into the 117,000–117,500 area, where a larger reversal setup is likely to form. Of course, price can always move up or down without perfectly respecting these levels — the market does not owe us precision. These levels simply represent the highest-probability areas based on current data and confluence.
EtHUSD M30 | Bullish Bounce Off Key SupportETH/USD has bounced off the buy entry, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially rise from this level to the upside.
Buy entry is at 787.96, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement
Stop loss is at 3,679.04, which is a swing low support.
Take profit is at 3,4.94, which his an overlap resistance that is slightly above the 40% Fibonacci retracement.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Bearish drop off?The Ethereum (ETH/USD) could rise to the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support, which is an overlap support.
Pivot: 4,270.27
1st Support: 3,471.82
1st Resistance: 4,852.38
Disclaimer:
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ETHUSDT: Short-Term Pullback Toward Trendline Before PotentialHi guys!
On the current 1h chart, Ethereum shows a clear structure of recovery following a liquidity sweep marked as “Hunting happened.” This move indicates that liquidity below the previous lows has already been collected, creating a potential base for a short-term bullish correction.
Price is currently consolidating above a minor support zone (highlighted in pink), showing a possible accumulation phase. The projected path suggests a potential bullish move toward the major supply zone around $4,080–$4,180, which aligns with the descending trendline acting as dynamic resistance.
However, given the overall bearish market structure and the dominance of the descending trendline, the area around $4,100 could serve as a strong reaction zone. A rejection from this level would likely confirm continuation of the broader downtrend, with a possible retracement toward the $3,700–$3,750 area.
BTC Entering New Uptrend —Weekend Volume Could Drive Price $116+BTC Entering New Uptrend — Weekend Volume Could Drive Price Above 116K +🚀
Bitcoin is showing strong signs of recovery after stabilizing at the lower support zone near 106K. The current structure indicates that BTC is entering a new uptrend, with higher lows forming and momentum gradually building.
📊 Market Structure:
BTC successfully held the volume support area and has begun to reclaim key short-term levels.
A break above 112K would confirm the shift in market momentum toward bullish continuation.
The next key resistance and target zone sits around 116K–117K.
💥 Weekend Outlook:
Volume is expected to increase through the weekend, which could fuel a strong upward move toward the 116K+ region.
With sentiment recovering and liquidity returning to the market, BTC appears positioned for a potential weekend breakout.
⚙️ Scenarios to Watch:
Holding above 109K–110K keeps the structure bullish and supports continuation toward 116K+.
Rejection below 109K could lead to a short pullback before another attempt upward.
💬 Summary:
BTC has entered a new uptrend phase, supported by strengthening volume and structure.
If momentum continues, a push beyond 116K during the weekend looks increasingly likely.
the real question is what happens to $ETH at ATH?eth is currently holding above the quarter channel with resistance above between 3500-ATH
there is a potential moonshot to 7k and beyond (13k?), if the markets are indeed in the infant stage of a bull run.
for now eth is heading towards the golden pocket of the move down with support from ath avwap
as htf bullish market structure never broke this could mean that the highs are ran, rsi has bounced the mid point and could be cruising towards the cook zone again, its here i will watch to see a divergence form when the 3M OB and yearly level is approached.
upside 3500, 4500/ATH, 7000, 130000
downside 1900, 1200, 800
its quite possible that we put in a long term range drifting between 5k and 1k before we see expansion upwards
nfa, just food for thought on the htf but most of the volume is supporting price.
ETHUSDT.P - November 1, 2025ETHUSDT.P is forming a corrective pullback within an intraday bullish structure, maintaining higher lows from the recent swing base. A buy limit order is positioned near $3,850, anticipating continuation toward the $3,891 resistance target. The stop-loss is set around $3,828 to manage downside risk. A rebound from the order zone would confirm bullish momentum resumption, while sustained price action below $3,828 would invalidate the setup.
Will Ethereum’s tight range lead to a breakout? | Day 34☃️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well.
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-Day timeframe .
👀 Ethereum on the daily timeframe. Ethereum is currently inside a box-like structure in a trading range format. The top of this trading range is in the $4,161 area, and the bottom of this trading range is in the $3,801 price area, where by breaking these zones, Ethereum can start a stronger and more impulsive leg of movement.
🧮RSI oscillator, which has now formed two important oscillation zones for us — one around 54, which overlaps with our long trigger, and the other around 40, which overlaps with our short trigger. The fluctuation limit crossing these zones can give more momentum to Ethereum’s next move on the daily timeframe.
🕯 Ethereum’s volume, after the flash crash the market experienced, has increased sharply, but the tendency has been pushed toward selling pressure, which has caused Ethereum’s corrections to always come with selling pressure.
📈 For Ethereum positioning, the specified zones have high price action validity, where you can set alerts so that if the price reaches these zones, you can open a position. Or, in the multi-timeframe, you can find the identified support and resistance zones and open positions with lower risk around these areas, moving toward anticipating higher or lower levels, so that in each level, you can add some risk to your position.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Ethereum Analysis (2H)In the lower timeframes, after the major dump forming wave A, it seems that wave B has developed as a diametric pattern, with one remaining leg wave g. Wave g is bullish and could target the levels marked on the chart:
targets : 3920$ - 4038$ _ 4142$
The green zone represents the entry area, which is likely to be retested.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BTC Weekend Setup — Possible Volume Push Toward 116KBTC Weekend Setup — Possible Volume Push Toward 116K 🔥
Coinbase effect + China can play an important role for the breakout of 116K+
Bitcoin has broken out of its descending channel, reclaiming structure and showing early signs of strength.
Momentum is gradually building within the new ascending trend, suggesting that the weekend could bring a volume expansion targeting the 116K zone.
📈 Technical Outlook:
BTC successfully flipped the 106K–108K area into support.
The new uptrend channel is forming higher lows and showing a steady recovery pace.
Volume remains low but is expected to increase into the weekend, often a period of volatility and directional moves.
🎯 Targets:
First resistance: $112K–$113K
Main target zone: $115K–$116K
If volume confirms, a push to 116K could complete this short-term recovery cycle.
⚠️ Risk note:
Failure to hold above $108.5K could slow momentum, bringing price back to retest lower trendline support.
💬 Summary:
BTC is positioned for a potential weekend volume push, with a clear channel structure guiding price toward the 116K resistance zone. Momentum is cautiously bullish — watching for confirmation through weekend trading activity.
ETH Tests Support – Is This the Beginning of a Rebound?📉 Market Structure
We see a descending channel, bounded by two black trend lines.
Upper Boundary: ~$4,700
Lower Boundary: currently around $3,700, representing strong dynamic support.
The price is currently hovering slightly above the lower edge of the channel, suggesting a possible rebound, but the market remains in a medium-term downtrend.
🔍 Support and Resistance Levels
Support:
$3,770 → currently being tested, crucial in the short term.
$3,643 → next strong support from previous lows.
$3,453 → last line of defense against a steeper decline.
Resistance:
$3,889 → closest resistance, current local ceiling.
$4,041 → strong resistance resulting from prior consolidation.
USD 4.265 → a line that, if broken, could signal a change in the medium-term trend.
📊 Technical Indicators
Stochastic RSI
Located near the oversold zone (below 20), with a slight upward curve.
🔹 Signal: Potential upside move (bounce) in the short term if the %K and %D lines cross upward.
MACD
The MACD line is slightly below zero, but is starting to curve upward and may soon cross the signal line.
🔹 The histogram is starting to decline on the negative side – this is often an early bullish signal (possible change in momentum).
⚖️ Scenarios
🔹 Bullish
If ETH holds above USD 3,770 and the Stoch RSI confirms the rebound, a possible move towards:
3,889 → USD 4,041 → USD 4,265.
A break above USD 4,265 could open the way to USD 4,500+ (upper band of the channel).
🔻 Bearish
Loss of support at USD 3,770 → a signal of weakness.
Then the next downside targets:
USD 3,643, then USD 3,453.
If USD 3,453 breaks, possible tests of the lower band of the channel – even around USD 3,300.
🧭 Summary
Main trend: downward (descending channel).
Short-term bias: neutral-bullish (potential for a rebound from support).
Key level to watch: USD 3,770 – maintaining this level could trigger a rebound, loss = risk of a steeper decline.
Bitcoin Weekend Volume Could Exceed 116K as Smart Money Accumula📊 Market Update
Bitcoin has been building strength since the 106K–107K level, showing signs of a new uptrend. Both the lower time frames and the main trend are currently positive. There’s a strong possibility that BTC will target 112K as the first level, with 116K+ also possible depending on the weekend trading volume.
🔹 Market Structure
The market structure is gradually building, suggesting smart money inflows into BTC over the last 10 hours. We’ll continue tracking this development closely further
ETH >>>>>>> ShortIn the 12-month cyclical pattern of Ethereum, I foresee a downward trend developing during 2026 and 2027.
Based on the recurring structure of Ethereum’s price movements and its historical cycle behavior, I’ve identified three potential levels (or “steps”) of decline that could act as key support zones during this corrective phase.
These three steps represent possible stages where:
The first pullback may begin .. a short-term correction or initial cooldown.
The second step could serve as a consolidation or mid-cycle stabilization area.
The third step may form the major cycle bottom, where market accumulation begins and prepares for the next upward phase.
Overall, this outlook is derived from Ethereum’s repeating annual patterns, historical cycle analysis, and its correlation with broader crypto-market dynamics.
Therefore, I expect a corrective and accumulation phase throughout 2026–2027, potentially setting the stage for Ethereum’s next major rally once the cycle resets.
ETH Outlook after the Dip. What to expect NOW?Finally, the price broke the wedge, and the price experienced a significant drop. I think now is the time for ETH to rise again to 1900 . STRONG SUPPORT 1400 .
Give me some energy !!
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Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
ETH - Ping-Pong Between The Rails!📦Ethereum keeps respecting a neat descending channel on 4H📦: repeated rejections from the upper rail (red arrows) and clean bounces from the lower rail (blue arrows). After the latest tap of the lower boundary, ETH is attempting a rebound within the range.
🏹 As long as the lower rail holds, I’ll look for continuation toward the mid-channel first, then the upper boundary. If momentum accelerates, the structure high near 4,265 becomes the key level to reclaim for a larger push.
⚔️A 4H close back below 3,642 would weaken the setup and open the door for a deeper retest toward 3,300, where the broader defense sits.
In short: trend-following longs from the lower rail, manage partials into the mid-range, and keep eyes on the upper rail for the next decision point.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
BTC Building Momentum — 112K+ Zone ON WAY.Bitcoin has held strong within the recent volume area, showing solid support and renewed buying pressure.
After rebounding from the lower levels near $106K–$108K, BTC is now pushing upward and appears on track toward the first target zone around $112K–$114K.
📈 Market Outlook:
Strong recovery from the volume area confirms short-term buyer control.
Resistance lies between $111.6K and $113.3K, marking the first target zone for this upward move.
Sustained momentum above $109.8K could trigger acceleration toward $114K+ in the next sessions.
📊 Observation:
Volume has started to align with bullish movement — if this continues, BTC could retest upper resistance and possibly extend toward $116K.
However, a pullback below $108.6K would suggest consolidation before another attempt higher.
💬 Summary:
BTC is on its way toward the first target zone above $112K, showing growing strength after reclaiming key volume support. Momentum remains positive as long as price holds above the mid-range.
BTC GOLDEN CYCLE CAN START ANY MOMENT WITH BREAKOUT 112K AFTER..BTC Breakdown Completed — Potential Rebound Toward $112K 🔁
Bitcoin has successfully tested the 106K zone, completing the expected breakdown move.
Price action now shows early signs of stabilization, suggesting that a recovery toward $112K–$113K could follow in the short term.
📊 Market Outlook:
Support was confirmed near $106K, halting further downside pressure.
Short-term resistance sits around $111.6K–$113.5K, the next likely retracement target.
Momentum remains weak but improving — volume shows early buyer re-entry.
📈 Scenario:
If BTC maintains support above $107K, a technical bounce toward the mid-range near $112K becomes likely before facing renewed resistance.
However, failure to sustain current levels could risk a retest of $106K.
💬 Summary:
BTC completed its breakdown to the 106K area and is now forming a possible relief rebound setup targeting $112K–$113K range.
With the same data, we did expect before the breakdown from 115K to 106K zone
USDT.DOMINANCE CHART ANALIYSIS !!USDT Dominance Chart Update.
USDT dominance is again rejecting at the long-term trendline resistance (point 4), currently around 5.17%.
Structure suggests another potential move lower, with possible targets in the green zone (2.0%–3.0%) if the downtrend continues.
This scenario typically favors fresh capital rotation into Bitcoin and altcoins as traders de-risk from stablecoins.
Summary:
USDT dominance remains weak below the trendline. A sustained drop could spark further altcoin momentum and a broader crypto rally.






















