ETHmas Tree...Oh, ETHmas Tree...Thy Candles are so Falling!!!What in the World is going on with ETH, you say??? Well, this is following our market structure almost to a T. See my previous posts on ETH to see how we got here and why the market is moving the way it is. This is Structural Market Making Moves, and has absolutely nothing to do with the News, Tariffs, Fed Reports, etc.
What just happened:
In the last look, we had an H1 BOS up that led us all the way back up to this H4 Supply Zone. Over the Thanksgiving Holiday and long weekend, the market tried to push up and break out of this zone. BUT...it is an H4 Supply zone, and as mentioned previously, there are a LOT of sellers waiting to sell their ETH here. After failing to overcome those sellers, we have seen the huge rejection expected.
What is significant about this move:
It is VERY important to note now that during all of this up and down over the weekend, and the ultimate failure to break any higher, we have gotten an H4 BOS Up from the lows....This H4 Supply Zone was broken with a closed H4 Candle. So, at this point we are looking for the market to push back down to the Source of that H4 BOS ~ (2680 - 2750). So, this huge fall we've just seen should take us back down to that area to retest and see IF the overall Fall from All Time Highs is finally over.
What to look for:
From here, we need to watch as we approach this H4 BOS Source and look for signs on the 15 min that the drop will end there. The H4 BOS could hold, but there is still the prevailing Weekly Demand Zone (~2150 - 2670) that is what is overall pulling the price down. So, this H4 BOS zone is the first attempt to see if the Weekly Zone is satisfied.
If this H4 BOS Zone holds and we do not get an H4 close below it, ETH could finally start to regain strength. Otherwise, if this H4 BOS Zone gets broken with an H4 close, then the weekly takes over again, and we're back to looking at the Weekly View. The Daily Source of that large weekly zone is still the target (~2150-2300).
