Bitcoin September Seasonality: Correction in progress 100/110K Bitcoin is heading into September after recently printing a new ATH,
historically September is a red month, so expecting further mild losses
heading into September and limited upside, however, once the pattern
and correction is complete, we should see another bull run and mark up.
📊 Bitcoin September Seasonality (Last 10 Years: 2015–2024)
Yearly September Returns
Year 📈 Return
2024 🟢 +7.39%
2023 🟢 +3.99%
2022 🔴 −3.09%
2021 🔴 −7.03%
2020 🔴 −7.66%
2019 🔴 −13.88%
2018 🔴 −5.95%
2017 🔴 −7.72%
2016 🟢 +5.94%
2015 🟢 +2.52%
📌 At-a-glance stats (2015–2024)
📉 Mean (10-yr): −2.55%
⚖️ Median: −4.52%
🔴 Red months: 6 out of 10
❌ Worst September: 2019 (−13.88%)
✅ Best September: 2024 (+7.39%)
📅 Recent Performance (last 3 years)
2024: 🟢 +7.39% → Strongest September in a decade
2023: 🟢 +3.99% → Rare green month, breaking the red-seasonality myth
2022: 🔴 −3.09% → Modest dip during a bearish macro cycle
➡️ Average of last 3 years: 🟢 +2.8%
➡️ Average of last 5 years (2020–2024): 🔴 −1.3%
🔎 Key Insights
September Slump : Historically, September is known as a "red month" for Bitcoin, often averaging −4% to −6% declines. Over the last decade, the median return (−4.5%) aligns with this bearish narrative.
Volatility Factor: The spread between best (+7.39% in 2024) and worst (−13.88% in 2019) September is 21 percentage points, underlining Bitcoin’s volatility even within seasonal patterns.
Changing Trend? The last two years (2023 & 2024) both closed green — suggesting the September slump might be losing strength in the current cycle.
🚀 Macro & Market Context
2019–2020: Heavy red Septembers coincided with global macro uncertainty (trade wars, COVID jitters).
2021: Correction phase post-$64k BTC ATH saw September hit −7%.
2022: Ongoing bear market after Terra/LUNA & 3AC collapses kept September negative.
2023–2024: Renewed momentum, institutional inflows, and ETF speculation helped reverse September’s red streak.
🧭 Takeaway
While September has historically been Bitcoin’s weakest month, the last two years show signs of reversal. The broader trend reminds us that seasonality is a tendency, not a guarantee — macro cycles and catalysts often override calendar effects.
Ethereum (Cryptocurrency)
ETHUSD formed a bullish wedge, ready to reverseETHUSD formed a bullish wedge, ready to reverse
ETHUSD has been declining since August 14. During the last 2 days the asset started to trade within a narrow declining range, eventually forming a bullish wedge. Price came to an intermediate support level of 4,200.00, showing bullish divergence on the RSI on 30-m chart. Price is expected to rise towards local resistance of 4,400.00 and the upper border of the descending channel (highlighted with red).
ETH 1H | Signs of a Bottom, But Needs Confirmation
ETH on the 1H timeframe
ETH has lost the 0.5 Fib at $4310 and is now testing the local support zone.
1. A death cross occurred at the start of the week.
2. RSI and MACD are both showing bullish divergence.
3. Price is trying to hold local support.
Put together, these signs could signal a potential bottom, but confirmation is key.
If support holds, the setup strengthens. Until then, we watch it unfold.
Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.
ETH/USD: Will ETH Crash Back to $3,800?Ethereum has demonstrated a strong bullish trend in August, with prices approaching key resistance levels. Analysts suggest that a sustained break above $4,800 could propel ETH toward $5,500–$6,000 by the end of the month.
Institutional interest remains robust, with significant inflows into Ethereum-based ETFs and increased holdings by digital asset treasury firms like Bitmine Immersion Technologies and Sharplink Gaming.
* Resistance Levels: $4,800, $5,000, $5,500
* Support Levels: $4,000, $3,800
* Key Indicators: Strong Relative Strength Index (RSI) and bullish Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) suggest continued upward momentum.
Ethereum is poised for a potential breakout. A decisive move above $4,800, supported by strong trading volumes, could initiate a rally toward $5,500–$6,000. Conversely, a drop below $4,000 might lead to a retest of the $3,800 support zone.
Ethereum - The moment of truth!🔬Ethereum ( CRYPTO:ETHUSD ) trades at a key breakout level:
🔎Analysis summary:
Ethereum - after consolidating for the past four years - is once again retesting the previous all time high. And before we will witness another bearish rejection, Ethereum has the chance to finally break out of the long term triangle pattern. It's time for us to start praying.
📝Levels to watch:
$4.000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
S&P 500 on the Edge – Crypto Awaits the Signal📉📊 S&P 500 on the Edge – Crypto Awaits the Signal 🧠⚠️
Hey Traders! Quick note before we dive in — apologies for the audio quality in this update 🎙️. I had the wrong mic set up (classic move!), but the charts are what matter, and we’ve got some serious levels to respect.
🔙 Back from the Holidays – Still All In
Mid-August is a special time here in Cyprus and Greece, and I took a well-deserved breather with family and friends. But rest assured, I haven’t been idle — behind the scenes, I’ve been working intensely on indicators to elevate my TradingView game — and why not yours too, eventually? 😉
(Just to be clear: no advertising, no selling — just sharing my process and market views, as always.)
📌 The Big Picture – S&P 500
We’re back at that critical level: 6432 .
✅ Above = market stays optimistic
❌ Below = correction risk increases, likely toward 6223
Right now, the odds lean 41% upside / 59% downside , and considering we’re at all-time highs, caution is wise. Buying ATHs is never the best strategy unless confirmed by momentum.
🪙 Bitcoin – Caught Between Key Levels
BTC is sandwiched between two key zones:
🔺 Reclaiming 116,525 = bullish signal
🔻 Losing 115,000 = exposes downside to 110,000
This is a true 50/50 — stuck below a broken ascending channel and flirting with a violated S/R level. Stay reactive, not predictive.
💪 Ethereum – The Strongest Major
Ethereum continues to outperform. Today we didn’t catch the day-trade long, but the 4,210 level is major support.
ETH market dominance is rising steadily — the charts reflect it.
🧩 Altcoin Insights
- ARB : Reclaim 0.54 for possible move to 0.76
- XRP : Key support at 2.93 . Break higher? We could see 3.33+
- ADA : Watching 0.87 support. Below that? Caution.
Market-wide, TOTAL and altcoins are still sluggish. Until momentum returns, tactical plays > emotional ones.
🧠 Summary:
- 📍 S&P 500 is the key signal.
- 📉 BTC & ETH stuck, waiting on that SPX cue.
- 📊 ETH leads the pack — but patience is key.
- ⚖️ Altcoins are mixed, respect your levels.
This market is full of potential — but clarity comes from levels, not guessing. Let’s trade smart. 🔍
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
ETH - Eyes on a New All-Time High?ETHUSDT has been on fire lately, following a textbook bullish structure of Impulse → Fakeout → Impulse.
After breaking above the previous range in July, ETH confirmed strength with a sharp impulse move, only to shake out weak hands via a fakeout retest before pushing higher again. 📈
Currently, ETH is in the midst of another impulsive leg, with the next major target sitting at the ATH around $4,876.
📊 Key Notes:
- Fakeouts have served as liquidity grabs before strong rallies 🏹
- Current momentum favors the bulls 🐂
- As long as price holds above the last breakout zone (~$4,050–$4,150), the path of least resistance remains up.
🎯 Next Stop: ATH and beyond if bullish pressure sustains.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Why Is Crypto Tumbling? A Trader's Guide to the Recent Sell-OffWhy Is Crypto Tumbling? A Trader's Guide to the Recent Sell-Off 📉
🚨 If you're watching the markets today, you've seen the sea of red. Bitcoin, Ethereum, and major altcoins have experienced a significant pullback, leaving many to wonder about the cause.
While sharp drops can be unsettling, for the strategic trader, they are critical moments to analyze, not to panic. The current downturn isn't random; it's driven by a convergence of clear geopolitical, technical, and macroeconomic factors.
Here’s a breakdown of what’s happening behind the charts:
1. Geopolitical Uncertainty 🌐
High-stakes diplomatic meetings are underway involving the US, EU, and Ukrainian leaders to discuss the Russia-Ukraine peace deal. Markets inherently dislike uncertainty. As traders await a clear outcome, many are de-risking their portfolios, leading to selling pressure on assets like cryptocurrencies.
2. A Healthy Market Reset 📊
The crypto market just came off a powerful rally where many assets saw gains of 50-100%. This rapid rise led to a buildup of high-leverage positions. Today's dip is forcing a "leverage flush," liquidating over-extended traders. While painful for some, this is a standard market mechanism that washes out speculative excess and often creates a more stable foundation for future growth.
3. Shifting Macroeconomic Tides 📉
Just a week ago, a September interest rate cut was seen as a certainty. Now, recent economic data has slightly lowered those odds. Financial markets, including crypto, are incredibly sensitive to central bank policy. The market is now pricing in this small but significant shift in expectations, contributing to the downward pressure.
The Trader's Perspective: Opportunity in Volatility 💡
So, what does this all mean? It underscores a core principle of successful trading: volatility has a source.
For the prepared trader, this isn't a signal to abandon ship. It's a signal to consult your strategy. This is precisely the kind of environment where a clear, data-driven forecast becomes invaluable.
By understanding the root causes of the sell-off, you can better anticipate market structure, manage risk, and identify potential zones of support where "smart money" may begin to re-accumulate.
This is where the difference between a professional and a novice trader becomes clear. Experienced traders welcome every correction or pullback in the market, seeing it as an opportunity to re-enter and profit from the next upward wave. 📈
Therefore, instead of worry and stress, shift your focus to finding key reversal points and defining new entry zones (Watchboxes) for future trades at more attractive prices. View this price correction as a strategic opportunity, not a threat. 🚀
What are your thoughts on this pullback? Are you seeing it as a risk or an opportunity? Let's discuss in the comments. 👇
Trade Smart!
Navid Jafarian
Ethereum's Bullish Market Conditions Intact —$11,111 NextNothing changes here. I am looking at the weekly timeframe and it seems Ether is ultra-bullish, it is literally growing above resistance.
The very insistent and annoying resistance from March 2024 was broken just last week. And as ETHUSDT trades above this level, it started to grow. This week is the first week above resistance and the chart looks great.
Things can change. But things can change. We can see multiple red candles show up and lower prices but this isn't what we have on the chart today. Right now we have strong bullish action, strong bullish candles, strong momentum, the break of resistance, the highest prices in four years and accumulating bullish volume. The chart doesn't point down rather it is saying "additional growth."
Ethereum will continue growing. Just think about it: One day ETHUSDT is trading at $1,500 and starts to go up. Four months later, ETH is trading at $5,000.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
The next target is $6,000 to stop blank at $7,330 to continue rising until we go beyond $10,000, a price tag of $11,111 for this 2025/26 bull run. There is enough time in 2025 for ETH to produce a full bullish cycle. This chart doesn't need 2026. If it extends, better.
Namaste.
$ETH Topping Without All Time High?Has the most anticipated all time high of the year been cancelled? The crowd does not get what it wants! Everyone from CNBC to my grandmas goldfish have been bullish on ETH for the past few months so what a fitting psychological mess it would be if we significantly pulled back here!
Firstly it may just be a temporary set back to the High Volume Node support at $3900 before a move to all time high. Even then I am expecting a deeper pullback to set us up for all time high in Q4. Losing this support bring up the ascending daily 200EMA right at the Fibonacci golden pocket, which you can see is the wave 3 high!
The next target, which is my next buy level, is the larger degree Fibonacci golden pocket, major support High Volume Node and wave 4 bottom at $2100. This would be a capitulation area for many!
RSI has printed confirmed bearish divergence with plenty of room to fall.
Safe trading
18/08/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $124,475.68
Last weeks low: $116,828.03
Midpoint: $120,651.85
Another new ATH for BTC but are there signs of weakness beginning to show?
Last week Bitcoin hit a new ATH just shy of $124,500, a remarkable achievement but the reaction from that level to me is not a good one. Using the RSI indicator it is clear that on the daily time frame both the July top and now the most recent top form a bearish divergence. Higher time frame bearish divergences are strong trend reversal indicators. On the hour timeframe both tops also formed a local bearish divergence, to me this is a double sign of an exhausted rally.
This is not to say the end of the cycle is here by no means, what it does suggest is that the bulls are tired and a correction could be round the corner. From here I think logically the $111,000 & $108,000 levels could provide support this week on any pullback continuation. From a macro perspective we still have rate cuts to come next month, An ever growing M2 Global Money Supply to feed the market and a hungry institutional investor race to acquire digital assets. All this points towards the bullaun continuing but In my opinion after a cooling off period, after all August and September are famously bad months for BTC for returns.
Ethereum on the other hand continues to impress this a record $2.85B ETF net Inflows. $3.75B net inflows for digital assets as a whole. No break of ATH as yet but the momentum is certainly there. BTC will need to stand strong for ETH to push past $4,800.
This week I'm keeping a close eye on how BTC reacts to any pullbacks, judging market order flow to see if this is a shallow pullback or maybe a prolonged one that results in a rangebound environment.
FED chair Powell does speak this week so possible volatility should he announce anything significant.
Good luck this week everybody!
BTC, ETH CME Gaps Could Fill Before Bullish Continuation!Ethereum CME futures currently show a visible gap around $4,100 . Price is approaching this level, and based on historical behavior, CME gaps often act as magnets, drawing price in to fill them before a continuation in trend.
Bitcoin CME futures also have a gap sitting near $117,400. The recent rally has brought BTC close to this zone, increasing the probability of a short-term retracement to fill the gap before any significant breakout attempts.
Both gaps are key areas to watch, as a clean fill followed by strong buying pressure could set the stage for the next bullish wave in BTC and ETH.
Cheers
Hexa
ETHUSD falls on fears of hawkish key rate policyETHUSD falls on fears of hawkish key rate policy
Ether fell by 4% to $4,296.50 on August 18, pressured by last week’s higher-than-expected U.S. macro data. The drop reflects reduced investor confidence amid elevated inflation, with July’s PPI at 3.3% year-over-year, lowering expectations for a Fed rate cut. Spot ether ETF flows dipped modestly, but institutional engagement remains strong, with funds rotating to lower-cost products like BlackRock’s IBIT. Analysts see the Fed’s Jackson Hole Symposium and August 21 jobless claims as key upcoming factors.
ETHUSD broke below the support of 4,350.00. The price is heading towards local support of 4,000.00 in order to retest this crucial level with possible rebound from SMA200 on 4-h chart.
Falling towards pullback support?Ethereum (ETH/USD) is falling towards the pivot, which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 4,096.19
1st Support: 3,440.61
1st Resistance: 5,162.78
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ETH’s Predator Move on the 30min time rame
This is ETH on the 30min timeframe over the past 3 weeks.
It started on Monday, July 28, when price was rejected at the $4K resistance after a Sunday night pump. What followed was nearly half a week of chop, then a drop that found support at the 0.5 Fib = $3391 (the midpoint between the 0.382 and 0.236 levels). From there, ETH rallied +43% to its ATH.
Last week, the same scenario repeated: price rejected from ATH (0 Fib), chopped half a week, then fell Sunday night, this time finding support at the 0.5 Fib = $4303 (the midpoint between the 0.236 and 0 levels).
Now the question is: will this 10% drop be enough to reload for another attempt at ATH, or will price need to retrace deeper to gather the liquidity needed?
One thing is certain: this is a leverage flush. If you’re riding high leverage, understand that you are the prey, and price is the predator. To survive, you need to shed some leverage weight before it catches you.
Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.
ETH 30min: Double Bottom Setting Up Another ATH Test
ETH on the 30-Min
Yesterday, ETH printed a clean double bottom right on the 200MA.
RSI showed bullish divergence at the same time, a strong reversal signal.
Now, price is holding support at the BB center and 50MA.
If these two levels hold, we could see another push toward the ATH.
Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.
AMPUSDT — Accumulation at Demand Zone, Preparing for Breakout?🔎 Full Analysis
Currently, AMP/USDT is consolidating within a long-term accumulation range above the 0.00315 – 0.00360 demand zone (yellow box). This area has been tested multiple times since early 2024 but remains intact, signaling strong buying interest and accumulation.
The price action is forming a rectangle range pattern, with shrinking volatility — a typical sign that the market is storing energy before a major breakout move in either direction.
---
🧩 Market Structure & Pattern
Main Pattern: Rectangle Base / Accumulation
Key Observations:
Strong demand around 0.00315 – 0.00360
Multiple “equal lows” → liquidity build-up
Nearest resistance: 0.00408 and 0.00469
Interpretation: As long as the demand zone holds, the bullish reversal scenario remains on the table.
---
📈 Bullish Scenario
1. Initial Confirmation: Holding above 0.00354 and securing a 4D close above 0.00408 will trigger the first bullish signal.
2. Breakout Validation: A strong close above 0.00469 opens the door for higher targets:
🎯 0.00675 (short-term target)
🎯 0.00750 – 0.00814 (major supply zone)
🎯 0.01092 → 0.01255 (mid-term rally target)
3. Measured Move Projection: The range height (0.00354 → 0.00469 ≈ 0.00115) projects a conservative breakout target near 0.00585.
---
📉 Bearish Scenario
1. Rejection: Failure to reclaim 0.00408 – 0.00469 will keep the market sideways with bearish pressure building.
2. Breakdown: A 4D close below 0.00354 confirms a bearish breakdown.
3. Downside Targets:
⚠️ 0.00242 (major support, marked “Low”)
⚠️ Below this level, the next psychological target sits around 0.00200.
---
🎯 Outlook & Conclusion
Current Bias: Neutral → Bullish as long as demand zone holds.
The 0.00315 – 0.00360 zone remains the last defense and major accumulation area.
Breakout above 0.00469 could spark a strong impulsive rally.
Breakdown below 0.00315 invalidates the bullish view, shifting focus to 0.00242 – 0.00200.
> 📌 Note: Wait for 4D candle close for validation — wicks alone are not reliable. Watch volume to confirm breakout strength and avoid fakeouts.
#AMP #AMPUSDT #CryptoAnalysis #PriceAction #SupportResistance #Breakout #Accumulation #AltcoinAnalysis #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis
BTC Weekly Recap & Game Plan 17.08.2025BTC Weekly Recap & Game Plan 17.08.2025
📊 Market Sentiment
Overall sentiment remains bullish, supported by expectations of a 0.25% rate cut in the upcoming FOMC meeting. A weakening USD and increasing global risk appetite are creating favorable conditions for further upside in crypto assets.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price ran the daily swing liquidity but couldn’t close above it.
Additionally, price has tapped into the equilibrium level, which makes this a discount zone in my view.
📌 Game Plan
There are two possible scenarios to watch:
First scenario (red):
→ Price closes above 119,725$, then I’ll be looking for entries around 118,750$.
Second scenario (black):
→ Price may retrace further to 116,310$, marked by 12H swing liquidity.
→ This level also aligns with the 0.75 Fibonacci retracement, which is my max discount zone.
🎯 Setup Trigger
I’ll be watching for a 4H–1H break of structure (BOS) to initiate entries.
📋 Trade Management
Stoploss: 4H–1H swing low confirming the BOS
Targets:
TP1: 121,680$
TP2: 124,500$
💬 Like, follow, and comment if you find this setup valuable!
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Always do your own research before making any financial decisions.
Crypto Market Weekly Outlook: BTC and Alts Enter Seasonal PhaseThis is the new weekly crypto market review, and today we’ll take a detailed look at the current situation for Bitcoin and the main altcoins, focusing on the key scenarios for the coming months.
Brief summary on BTC:
• In the last three post-halving years (2013/2017/2021) the same seasonal pattern occurred: summer growth, followed by a September correction to the 10–30WMA (weekly moving average), and then a new growth wave starting from Q4.
• Cycle returns are decreasing: ~1000% → ~560% → ~75%.
• Comparing the current dynamics (from 2025 lows) to the growth period from the 2020 lows, we see an almost identical sequence of weekly candles. This strengthens the hypothesis that we are indeed within the classic summer–autumn scenario: 1–2 weeks of autumn correction, then 5–6 weeks of consolidation, followed by a new upward impulse.
• If price corrects toward the 110K zone and then repeats the 2021 pattern with ~70–75% growth, the targets will be in the 180K+ area. If the downtrend in returns continues and growth is only 30–50%, then the focus will shift to the 140–160K range.
• BTC trend structure: the lower boundary of the target resistance zone (~126K) has been reached, followed by a sharp correction. Local resistance: 119–121K. If we see a rebound attempt in the coming days, a possible reversal and the beginning of a new corrective wave should be considered. Key mid-term support zone: 113–107K, where I would like to see consolidation and the formation of a higher low before the next growth wave.
Brief summary on altcoins:
ETH
• Price is in the target mid-term resistance zone. I would like to see one more attempt in the coming weeks to break historic highs to at least 5100, possibly stretching to 5670, before entering a multi-month consolidation into the macro support zone at 4300–3650. If price breaks below Friday’s session low, the “autumn” correction may already be underway.
BNB
• The impulse from August lows has ended or is close to completion.
• Mid-term support zone: 813–780.
• A drop below 780 increases the likelihood of a diagonal structure, with potential to retest the August lows.
• As long as price remains above 730, the macro trend with potential growth toward 950–1000+ remains intact.
SOL
• Support zone: 180–165
• Target resistance zone: 255–285
XRP
• Rising risk of the trend shifting into a diagonal structure, increasing the potential correction toward 2.60–2.50.
• Main hypothesis unchanged: consolidation in the coming months before a new growth wave toward 4.30+.
HYPE
• Support zone: 44–40
• Target resistance zone: 60–65
• Very interesting growth potential for the next wave. Worth keeping this momentum in primary focus.
Feel free to comment which coins and assets you’re most interested in, and I’ll prepare a separate review on them.
Thank you for your attention! Wishing you a successful new trading week and strong investment decisions!
ETH — Right-Angled Broadening BreakoutEthereum (ETH) has completed a Right-Angled Descending Broadening Pattern that developed over a period of 515 days. Such long-term structures are rare and often mark significant turning points in the market.
🔎 Pattern Breakdown
A–E → swings inside the broadening formation.
F → breakout above the flat resistance.
G (anticipated) → Retest of the breakout zone near $4000, where former resistance may establish itself as support.
The flat top resistance between $4000–$4100 has already given way. A successful retest and hold above this zone would confirm breakout validity and strengthen the probability of continuation toward ATH and beyond.
Trade Setup View
Retest entry zone (G): ~$4000
Invalidation (Stop-Loss): To be determined based on price action during the retest
TP1: Retest of ATH $4867
TP2: $5390
Final target (measured move): $6800
Risk-to-Reward: 1:7+ potential
Why $6800?
The measured move of a broadening formation is its full height projected upward from the breakout point:
Broadening low: $1383.26
Broadening high: $4109
➡️ Height = $2725.74
Add that to the breakout zone (~$4100) → $6825. Rounded, that gives a final target of $6800.
💡 Educational Takeaway
Right-Angled Descending Broadening Formations show growing volatility with buyers holding a ceiling steady while sellers run out of steam. Once that flat resistance breaks, momentum usually shifts in favour of the bulls. Since this one lasted over 500 days, the breakout isn’t just noise. It’s a macro signal that could define ETH’s next major trend leg.
Level to Watch Closely:
$4000 → the expected retest (G). Holding here would be a strong confirmation that ETH is ready to aim for ATH and price discovery.
_________________________________
💬 If you found this helpful, drop a like and comment!






















