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Ethereum (Cryptocurrency)

ETH - Eyes on a New All-Time High?ETHUSDT has been on fire lately, following a textbook bullish structure of Impulse → Fakeout → Impulse. After breaking above the previous range in July, ETH confirmed strength with a sharp impulse move, only to shake out weak hands via a fakeout retest before pushing higher again. 📈 Currently, ETH is in the midst of another impulsive leg, with the next major target sitting at the ATH around $4,876. 📊 Key Notes: - Fakeouts have served as liquidity grabs before strong rallies 🏹 - Current momentum favors the bulls 🐂 - As long as price holds above the last breakout zone (~$4,050–$4,150), the path of least resistance remains up. 🎯 Next Stop: ATH and beyond if bullish pressure sustains. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Long
by TheSignalyst
31
Why Is Crypto Tumbling? A Trader's Guide to the Recent Sell-OffWhy Is Crypto Tumbling? A Trader's Guide to the Recent Sell-Off 📉 🚨 If you're watching the markets today, you've seen the sea of red. Bitcoin, Ethereum, and major altcoins have experienced a significant pullback, leaving many to wonder about the cause. While sharp drops can be unsettling, for the strategic trader, they are critical moments to analyze, not to panic. The current downturn isn't random; it's driven by a convergence of clear geopolitical, technical, and macroeconomic factors. Here’s a breakdown of what’s happening behind the charts: 1. Geopolitical Uncertainty 🌐 High-stakes diplomatic meetings are underway involving the US, EU, and Ukrainian leaders to discuss the Russia-Ukraine peace deal. Markets inherently dislike uncertainty. As traders await a clear outcome, many are de-risking their portfolios, leading to selling pressure on assets like cryptocurrencies. 2. A Healthy Market Reset 📊 The crypto market just came off a powerful rally where many assets saw gains of 50-100%. This rapid rise led to a buildup of high-leverage positions. Today's dip is forcing a "leverage flush," liquidating over-extended traders. While painful for some, this is a standard market mechanism that washes out speculative excess and often creates a more stable foundation for future growth. 3. Shifting Macroeconomic Tides 📉 Just a week ago, a September interest rate cut was seen as a certainty. Now, recent economic data has slightly lowered those odds. Financial markets, including crypto, are incredibly sensitive to central bank policy. The market is now pricing in this small but significant shift in expectations, contributing to the downward pressure. The Trader's Perspective: Opportunity in Volatility 💡 So, what does this all mean? It underscores a core principle of successful trading: volatility has a source. For the prepared trader, this isn't a signal to abandon ship. It's a signal to consult your strategy. This is precisely the kind of environment where a clear, data-driven forecast becomes invaluable. By understanding the root causes of the sell-off, you can better anticipate market structure, manage risk, and identify potential zones of support where "smart money" may begin to re-accumulate. This is where the difference between a professional and a novice trader becomes clear. Experienced traders welcome every correction or pullback in the market, seeing it as an opportunity to re-enter and profit from the next upward wave. 📈 Therefore, instead of worry and stress, shift your focus to finding key reversal points and defining new entry zones (Watchboxes) for future trades at more attractive prices. View this price correction as a strategic opportunity, not a threat. 🚀 What are your thoughts on this pullback? Are you seeing it as a risk or an opportunity? Let's discuss in the comments. 👇 Trade Smart! Navid Jafarian
BINANCE:BTCUSDEducation
by Navid_Jafarian
42
Ethereum's Bullish Market Conditions Intact —$11,111 NextNothing changes here. I am looking at the weekly timeframe and it seems Ether is ultra-bullish, it is literally growing above resistance. The very insistent and annoying resistance from March 2024 was broken just last week. And as ETHUSDT trades above this level, it started to grow. This week is the first week above resistance and the chart looks great. Things can change. But things can change. We can see multiple red candles show up and lower prices but this isn't what we have on the chart today. Right now we have strong bullish action, strong bullish candles, strong momentum, the break of resistance, the highest prices in four years and accumulating bullish volume. The chart doesn't point down rather it is saying "additional growth." Ethereum will continue growing. Just think about it: One day ETHUSDT is trading at $1,500 and starts to go up. Four months later, ETH is trading at $5,000. Thanks a lot for your continued support. The next target is $6,000 to stop blank at $7,330 to continue rising until we go beyond $10,000, a price tag of $11,111 for this 2025/26 bull run. There is enough time in 2025 for ETH to produce a full bullish cycle. This chart doesn't need 2026. If it extends, better. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
11
$ETH Topping Without All Time High?Has the most anticipated all time high of the year been cancelled? The crowd does not get what it wants! Everyone from CNBC to my grandmas goldfish have been bullish on ETH for the past few months so what a fitting psychological mess it would be if we significantly pulled back here! Firstly it may just be a temporary set back to the High Volume Node support at $3900 before a move to all time high. Even then I am expecting a deeper pullback to set us up for all time high in Q4. Losing this support bring up the ascending daily 200EMA right at the Fibonacci golden pocket, which you can see is the wave 3 high! The next target, which is my next buy level, is the larger degree Fibonacci golden pocket, major support High Volume Node and wave 4 bottom at $2100. This would be a capitulation area for many! RSI has printed confirmed bearish divergence with plenty of room to fall. Safe trading
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by Maddox_Metrics
18/08/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $124,475.68 Last weeks low: $116,828.03 Midpoint: $120,651.85 Another new ATH for BTC but are there signs of weakness beginning to show? Last week Bitcoin hit a new ATH just shy of $124,500, a remarkable achievement but the reaction from that level to me is not a good one. Using the RSI indicator it is clear that on the daily time frame both the July top and now the most recent top form a bearish divergence. Higher time frame bearish divergences are strong trend reversal indicators. On the hour timeframe both tops also formed a local bearish divergence, to me this is a double sign of an exhausted rally. This is not to say the end of the cycle is here by no means, what it does suggest is that the bulls are tired and a correction could be round the corner. From here I think logically the $111,000 & $108,000 levels could provide support this week on any pullback continuation. From a macro perspective we still have rate cuts to come next month, An ever growing M2 Global Money Supply to feed the market and a hungry institutional investor race to acquire digital assets. All this points towards the bullaun continuing but In my opinion after a cooling off period, after all August and September are famously bad months for BTC for returns. Ethereum on the other hand continues to impress this a record $2.85B ETF net Inflows. $3.75B net inflows for digital assets as a whole. No break of ATH as yet but the momentum is certainly there. BTC will need to stand strong for ETH to push past $4,800. This week I'm keeping a close eye on how BTC reacts to any pullbacks, judging market order flow to see if this is a shallow pullback or maybe a prolonged one that results in a rangebound environment. FED chair Powell does speak this week so possible volatility should he announce anything significant. Good luck this week everybody!
by ProR35
2
BTC, ETH CME Gaps Could Fill Before Bullish Continuation!Ethereum CME futures currently show a visible gap around $4,100 . Price is approaching this level, and based on historical behavior, CME gaps often act as magnets, drawing price in to fill them before a continuation in trend. Bitcoin CME futures also have a gap sitting near $117,400. The recent rally has brought BTC close to this zone, increasing the probability of a short-term retracement to fill the gap before any significant breakout attempts. Both gaps are key areas to watch, as a clean fill followed by strong buying pressure could set the stage for the next bullish wave in BTC and ETH. Cheers Hexa
CME:ETH1!
by HexaTrades
1
ETHUSD falls on fears of hawkish key rate policyETHUSD falls on fears of hawkish key rate policy Ether fell by 4% to $4,296.50 on August 18, pressured by last week’s higher-than-expected U.S. macro data. The drop reflects reduced investor confidence amid elevated inflation, with July’s PPI at 3.3% year-over-year, lowering expectations for a Fed rate cut. Spot ether ETF flows dipped modestly, but institutional engagement remains strong, with funds rotating to lower-cost products like BlackRock’s IBIT. Analysts see the Fed’s Jackson Hole Symposium and August 21 jobless claims as key upcoming factors. ETHUSD broke below the support of 4,350.00. The price is heading towards local support of 4,000.00 in order to retest this crucial level with possible rebound from SMA200 on 4-h chart.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by ProfessorSingapore
Falling towards pullback support?Ethereum (ETH/USD) is falling towards the pivot, which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 4,096.19 1st Support: 3,440.61 1st Resistance: 5,162.78 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:ETHUSDLong
by IC Markets
ETH’s Predator Move on the 30min time rame This is ETH on the 30min timeframe over the past 3 weeks. It started on Monday, July 28, when price was rejected at the $4K resistance after a Sunday night pump. What followed was nearly half a week of chop, then a drop that found support at the 0.5 Fib = $3391 (the midpoint between the 0.382 and 0.236 levels). From there, ETH rallied +43% to its ATH. Last week, the same scenario repeated: price rejected from ATH (0 Fib), chopped half a week, then fell Sunday night, this time finding support at the 0.5 Fib = $4303 (the midpoint between the 0.236 and 0 levels). Now the question is: will this 10% drop be enough to reload for another attempt at ATH, or will price need to retrace deeper to gather the liquidity needed? One thing is certain: this is a leverage flush. If you’re riding high leverage, understand that you are the prey, and price is the predator. To survive, you need to shed some leverage weight before it catches you. Always take profits and manage risk. Interaction is welcome.
BYBIT:ETHUSD.PLong
by vagada
AMPUSDT — Accumulation at Demand Zone, Preparing for Breakout?🔎 Full Analysis Currently, AMP/USDT is consolidating within a long-term accumulation range above the 0.00315 – 0.00360 demand zone (yellow box). This area has been tested multiple times since early 2024 but remains intact, signaling strong buying interest and accumulation. The price action is forming a rectangle range pattern, with shrinking volatility — a typical sign that the market is storing energy before a major breakout move in either direction. --- 🧩 Market Structure & Pattern Main Pattern: Rectangle Base / Accumulation Key Observations: Strong demand around 0.00315 – 0.00360 Multiple “equal lows” → liquidity build-up Nearest resistance: 0.00408 and 0.00469 Interpretation: As long as the demand zone holds, the bullish reversal scenario remains on the table. --- 📈 Bullish Scenario 1. Initial Confirmation: Holding above 0.00354 and securing a 4D close above 0.00408 will trigger the first bullish signal. 2. Breakout Validation: A strong close above 0.00469 opens the door for higher targets: 🎯 0.00675 (short-term target) 🎯 0.00750 – 0.00814 (major supply zone) 🎯 0.01092 → 0.01255 (mid-term rally target) 3. Measured Move Projection: The range height (0.00354 → 0.00469 ≈ 0.00115) projects a conservative breakout target near 0.00585. --- 📉 Bearish Scenario 1. Rejection: Failure to reclaim 0.00408 – 0.00469 will keep the market sideways with bearish pressure building. 2. Breakdown: A 4D close below 0.00354 confirms a bearish breakdown. 3. Downside Targets: ⚠️ 0.00242 (major support, marked “Low”) ⚠️ Below this level, the next psychological target sits around 0.00200. --- 🎯 Outlook & Conclusion Current Bias: Neutral → Bullish as long as demand zone holds. The 0.00315 – 0.00360 zone remains the last defense and major accumulation area. Breakout above 0.00469 could spark a strong impulsive rally. Breakdown below 0.00315 invalidates the bullish view, shifting focus to 0.00242 – 0.00200. > 📌 Note: Wait for 4D candle close for validation — wicks alone are not reliable. Watch volume to confirm breakout strength and avoid fakeouts. #AMP #AMPUSDT #CryptoAnalysis #PriceAction #SupportResistance #Breakout #Accumulation #AltcoinAnalysis #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis
Long
by CryptoNuclear
BTC Weekly Recap & Game Plan 17.08.2025BTC Weekly Recap & Game Plan 17.08.2025 📊 Market Sentiment Overall sentiment remains bullish, supported by expectations of a 0.25% rate cut in the upcoming FOMC meeting. A weakening USD and increasing global risk appetite are creating favorable conditions for further upside in crypto assets. 📈 Technical Analysis Price ran the daily swing liquidity but couldn’t close above it. Additionally, price has tapped into the equilibrium level, which makes this a discount zone in my view. 📌 Game Plan There are two possible scenarios to watch: First scenario (red): → Price closes above 119,725$, then I’ll be looking for entries around 118,750$. Second scenario (black): → Price may retrace further to 116,310$, marked by 12H swing liquidity. → This level also aligns with the 0.75 Fibonacci retracement, which is my max discount zone. 🎯 Setup Trigger I’ll be watching for a 4H–1H break of structure (BOS) to initiate entries. 📋 Trade Management Stoploss: 4H–1H swing low confirming the BOS Targets: TP1: 121,680$ TP2: 124,500$ 💬 Like, follow, and comment if you find this setup valuable! ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Always do your own research before making any financial decisions.
CME:BTC1!Long
by UA_CAPITAL
Crypto Market Weekly Outlook: BTC and Alts Enter Seasonal PhaseThis is the new weekly crypto market review, and today we’ll take a detailed look at the current situation for Bitcoin and the main altcoins, focusing on the key scenarios for the coming months. Brief summary on BTC: • In the last three post-halving years (2013/2017/2021) the same seasonal pattern occurred: summer growth, followed by a September correction to the 10–30WMA (weekly moving average), and then a new growth wave starting from Q4. • Cycle returns are decreasing: ~1000% → ~560% → ~75%. • Comparing the current dynamics (from 2025 lows) to the growth period from the 2020 lows, we see an almost identical sequence of weekly candles. This strengthens the hypothesis that we are indeed within the classic summer–autumn scenario: 1–2 weeks of autumn correction, then 5–6 weeks of consolidation, followed by a new upward impulse. • If price corrects toward the 110K zone and then repeats the 2021 pattern with ~70–75% growth, the targets will be in the 180K+ area. If the downtrend in returns continues and growth is only 30–50%, then the focus will shift to the 140–160K range. • BTC trend structure: the lower boundary of the target resistance zone (~126K) has been reached, followed by a sharp correction. Local resistance: 119–121K. If we see a rebound attempt in the coming days, a possible reversal and the beginning of a new corrective wave should be considered. Key mid-term support zone: 113–107K, where I would like to see consolidation and the formation of a higher low before the next growth wave. Brief summary on altcoins: ETH • Price is in the target mid-term resistance zone. I would like to see one more attempt in the coming weeks to break historic highs to at least 5100, possibly stretching to 5670, before entering a multi-month consolidation into the macro support zone at 4300–3650. If price breaks below Friday’s session low, the “autumn” correction may already be underway. BNB • The impulse from August lows has ended or is close to completion. • Mid-term support zone: 813–780. • A drop below 780 increases the likelihood of a diagonal structure, with potential to retest the August lows. • As long as price remains above 730, the macro trend with potential growth toward 950–1000+ remains intact. SOL • Support zone: 180–165 • Target resistance zone: 255–285 XRP • Rising risk of the trend shifting into a diagonal structure, increasing the potential correction toward 2.60–2.50. • Main hypothesis unchanged: consolidation in the coming months before a new growth wave toward 4.30+. HYPE • Support zone: 44–40 • Target resistance zone: 60–65 • Very interesting growth potential for the next wave. Worth keeping this momentum in primary focus. Feel free to comment which coins and assets you’re most interested in, and I’ll prepare a separate review on them. Thank you for your attention! Wishing you a successful new trading week and strong investment decisions!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by artemfedorov
ETH — Right-Angled Broadening BreakoutEthereum (ETH) has completed a Right-Angled Descending Broadening Pattern that developed over a period of 515 days. Such long-term structures are rare and often mark significant turning points in the market. 🔎 Pattern Breakdown A–E → swings inside the broadening formation. F → breakout above the flat resistance. G (anticipated) → Retest of the breakout zone near $4000, where former resistance may establish itself as support. The flat top resistance between $4000–$4100 has already given way. A successful retest and hold above this zone would confirm breakout validity and strengthen the probability of continuation toward ATH and beyond. Trade Setup View Retest entry zone (G): ~$4000 Invalidation (Stop-Loss): To be determined based on price action during the retest TP1: Retest of ATH $4867 TP2: $5390 Final target (measured move): $6800 Risk-to-Reward: 1:7+ potential Why $6800? The measured move of a broadening formation is its full height projected upward from the breakout point: Broadening low: $1383.26 Broadening high: $4109 ➡️ Height = $2725.74 Add that to the breakout zone (~$4100) → $6825. Rounded, that gives a final target of $6800. 💡 Educational Takeaway Right-Angled Descending Broadening Formations show growing volatility with buyers holding a ceiling steady while sellers run out of steam. Once that flat resistance breaks, momentum usually shifts in favour of the bulls. Since this one lasted over 500 days, the breakout isn’t just noise. It’s a macro signal that could define ETH’s next major trend leg. Level to Watch Closely: $4000 → the expected retest (G). Holding here would be a strong confirmation that ETH is ready to aim for ATH and price discovery. _________________________________ 💬 If you found this helpful, drop a like and comment!
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by SiDec
23
Ethereum Price Aims at $5,000 As Exchange Balance Falls To 9-YeaBINANCE:ETHUSDT is currently priced at $4,531 , positioned just above the $4,500 resistance. The broader indicators, suggest a favorable environment for a breakout. On-chain data highlights a key trend supporting Ethereum’s macro outlook. Exchange balances have dropped to a nine-year low of 14.88 million BINANCE:ETHUSDT , signaling that investors are moving their holdings into long-term storage. If BINANCE:ETHUSDT manages to reclaim $4,500 as support , the uptrend could accelerate. This move would help the cryptocurrency push through the next resistance at $4,749, paving the way for a test of the $5,000 mark. However, risks remain if investor sentiment shifts suddenly. Should holders decide to secure profits, BINANCE:ETHUSDT could slide toward $4,200 or even $4,000 . Such a decline would weaken the bullish thesis, opening the door to consolidation instead of continuation of the current uptrend.
by BeInCrypto
2
ETH ANALYSIS (4H)Ethereum has broken a weekly blind trigger and has now reached a higher-timeframe supply zone, which corresponds to the weekly timeframe. Given the strength of the supply zone and the strong bullish momentum, there are currently two possible scenarios: **Scenario 1:** It may have a pullback from this supply to demand before making an attack toward the all-time high. **Scenario 2:** It may consolidate on the supply and go straight toward the all-time high. In both scenarios, it is expected that after hunting the all-time high or moving slightly above it, the price will drop sharply toward lower levels. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
1
THIS TIME IS DIFFERENT! KINDAI got a little experimental with the Bitcoin chart after seeing such a strong correlation on cycle one of Litecoin and this cycle. (I did an analysis on this exact this for Litecoin Ill past the chart below). Bitcoin and Litecoin cycles are playing out almost exactly the same as their previous cycles. As you can see in the chart Bitcoin from the time it came out to when it topped in its first cycle on December Friday the 13th 2013. I took and compared the first wave of cycle one and compared it to the first wave of this current cycle 2 and sound that the time it took this cycle was 5.5 times greater than previous. Measuring that distance to the top of wave three brings bitcoin to July of this year for a wave three top on this much larger degree of trend before a correction. Wave 5 should complete in 2025 around December. I know I know Bitgolder you're absolutely insane that could never happen. Well you're wrong and chances are it will happen. Do you know how much money in just derivatives there are? As of writing its almost 1 Quadrillion dollars, THATS JUST DERIVATIVES. Thats not including 75% of the rest of the assets in the world. So Bitcoin soaking up 25% of the world per say isn't that unreasonable considering the rich are now finding it as a safe haven for their wealth preservation. Theres always an out for the rich when everything is about to collapse and this time its Bitcoin and maybe gold silver and farmland. After 2025 and around there the world may look totally different. There will be some major financial issues around the world and the entire planet will be in a major global depression. Countries Governments may actually attempt to seize Bitcoin from the population because of how valuable it is. Dollar terms will be irrelevant. Things may even be priced in Bitcoin. Watch Europe. When their bond crisis begins then USA is maybe 6 months a year behind. With bitcoin reaching the price I predict of around $40 million each in 2025 that would give bitcoin a market cap of 966 Trillon which would be a 1000x from where we are now. I think this scenario is likely if the world decides Bitcoin will be the store of value to weather out the coming depression and potential world war, cause what better time to have a world war than during a depression. To come up with these price targets, I measured the percentage gain on each wave on Cycle 1 and measured it against the current Cycle two and its about 10x the move percentage wise. Everyone keeps saying diminishing returns blah blah. No one can predict how Bitcoin will act. This is the first asset in our history that has had a fixed numerical supply. Supply and demand can change in a heartbeat and price can and will go straight up. Its also the most pain that can be inflicted because everyone and their brother is bearish right now calling for big drops, and so many still waiting on the sidelines for the 30k dip thats never going to happen cause they sold at 40 listening to idiotic you tubers that echo each other in their circle jerk. Not financial advice this is just my opinion.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Bitgolder
5
BTCUSD Theres No Way We Can Hit 1 Million Dollar Bitcoin, Right?I think that Bitcoin is on its way to some serious numbers. Numbers that most think are impossible. So many think that this cycle has to be like previous cycles. Oh its 840 days in the last cycle from bottom to top, or 4 year cycles etc. Its all bogus, this time is different regardless of what you think. Bitcoin is being locked in the ETF now and soon to be reserves of states, countries, city states you name the whole world is going to hoard Bitcoin. There is no more sloshing of capital like you're used to to created an altcoin season. There is no more Bitcoin dominance dropping, like you're used. It is simply different and thats the facts jack. Everyone selling now is going to regret it. I believe that Bitcoin from 2009 to the end of 2023 was one giant cycle. We are at the beginning of a new cycle for Bitcoin. If you think the last one was fun, just wait till you see this one. Ill paste a picture of what I mean below so you can understand what Im saying. People calling Michael Saylor stupid, saying hes buying the top, like they are smarter than him, or Blackrock, any other hedge fund, or countries, or US states. Everyone who thinks that is they are smarter than these people are going to have a rude awakening. 1 Million is just the beginning. Over the next 10 years Bitcoin is going to go to numbers that no one can even fathom. Not even the dreamiest of Bulls. I bet Bitcoin could hit 30-50 million dollars over the next 10 years. Why do I say that? The world, especially the United States is about to go into a massive productivity boom over the next 10 years, cheap energy, increased efficiency in all sectors, AI expansion, new inventions, and massive wealth transfers from the baby boom generation. Trump saying that America is entering a Golden Age is absolutely correct. We are going to witness the most epic bull run in history from now to about 2035. Sure there will be corrections and crashes along the way, but itll just be a higher low and then off to the races again. The baby boom generation is sitting on 78 TRILLION DOLLARS of wealth currently. As baby boomers retire or pass away, their wealth will likely be passed on to their children and grandchildren. This transfer of wealth will help future generations buy homes, pay off student debt, make other purchases, and invest. This will benefit Bitcoin tremendously because now theres barely anyone under 50 investing in Gold or Silver anymore, that stuff is stone age currecny. We are entering a digital AI age, we're not moving backwards. The gold for the new digital golden age is Bitcoin. So much money and capital will flow into Bitcoin and other crypto assets, stock market etc. That is why the smart are loading up! Its going to be beautiful, so just have a seat, buckle up its going to be wild. None of this is financial advice this is just my opinion.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Bitgolder
Altseason Countdown BeginsThe biggest concern in my head is when to take profits this cycle. Historically, the Dec–Jan timeframe has been best to get out of your bags before the bear erases profits… but I feel more leaned toward using past data relative to the halving instead of exact dates from the halving. I am looking at BTC dominance currently, comparing it to the 2020 cycle and how it played out. I feel like BTC on its USD pair is almost identical to how it looked back in 2020. In this timeframe, we found a bottom in March and rallied into May, and then consolidated into mid-July. We then rallied and consolidated end of July into August before the historical September dump, followed by the MCT rally. So to block out all the noise, what does this mean? I feel we will play out the same pattern that BTC had in 2020 on its USD pair, and by looking at BTC dominance during the 2020 March–Sept timeframe, I feel altseason will play out just as it had then, NOW! By looking at BTC.D during this timeframe, September marked the pivot where instead of dominance dropping, it reversed until topping out in December, before giving us that crazy altseason. I feel since September historically has marked a pivot in BTC.D and a negative month for BTCUSD, we will see a rally in BTC.D just like in 2020, with a top late Q4 of 2025, followed by that altseason rally. So when do we sell? In this case, I’m looking at the first week of September and marking out the bottom on BTC.D from the first week in Sept to then. This gives us 252 days, which is my main and first target. That would put us from the first week in Sept now into April of 2026, when I believe altcoins will peak. There is another scenario where we can measure out from the first week of Sept to the all-time low of 2020, but I feel it would be irrelevant because the cycle would then have to go on for months longer, which I doubt happening. So ultimately, I am looking to sell my bags this Dec–January timeframe if I see alts going parabolic and my targets being hit like 5x–10x with BTC.D dropping. But if I don’t see this happening, this will be my exit strategy—targeting the April 2026 altcoin top.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by SleeperPete