ethbtc [W] - 2019 shelf retest & long exit (April to Aug 25)So we've had a pretty eventful 2025 so far for eth . For most wanting to know why eth moves have been so aggressive and to quote an old mentor "Gung-Ho", all we need to do really is take a look at ETHBTC.
Historically alts have had their moments in relation to their strength (or weakness) against bitcoin. this time is no different.
To key my chart, the yellow lines show the point of control or gain/failure for any given local spot. the red and green bands are by extension a couple of points above or below that mark. These bands represent 'slippage' or liquidity points provided by either algo (standard deviations), stop losses and failure of trend.
To be fair the size of the band is relative to the volatility of the underlining pair. In this example i believe it should fall within the 3.2-->13.6% range. enough to liquidate or margin call all positions from 20x to 5x. This represents the majority of open interest in any given point.
My goal is always to observe the point of control and look to rebound from these initial liquidity hunts. April 2025 gave us this opportunity and cleared the bench. For those late to the party the market offered us a juicy little v-bottom setup. from there on you had exits all the way up to the liquidity band sitting just above the support shelf created all the way back in 2019.
By no means am I claiming the move is 100% done, but if you check volume, I'd say 80%+ has exited, and so am I.
NEXT: rotate back into BTC primarily and watch.
Sentiments not all that great in the real world, but at least this move has some definitive-ness to it. Peace out
#btc #eth #ethbtc #2025 #alt #mstr #goingup-goingup
Ethereum (Cryptocurrency)
Ethereum Returns to Key Resistance Zone After 401(k) NewsAfter last week’s panic selloff triggered by major payrolls revisions, Ethereum is now back at a key resistance level. The rebound has been fueled in part by President Trump signing an executive order allowing cryptocurrencies in 401(k) plans. With more than $12 trillion in assets, the 401(k) market could have a significant impact on crypto prices, even if only a small fraction flows into the sector. Bitcoin and Ethereum are likely to capture the lion’s share of these inflows, especially with ETF access already established.
Adding to the optimism, Axie Infinity’s co-founder recently stated that the project is considering a return to the Ethereum network, which could provide an additional boost.
However, it all comes down to the key daily resistance zone, which includes the 4110 horizontal resistance and the daily downtrend line at 3960. For Ethereum to fully kick off its next bull run, it will need to break and hold above the 3960–4110 zone.
ETHUSD big bada bing is going to the endI was expecting ending diagonal in my latest post, but that never worked out. It's clear impulse wave, and unfortunately it's last in the current bigger wave. There are some rules applying which we can highlight the target zone of the last impulse, it's on the chart. I believe there will be strong resistance at +-5k. It's not the end for ETH though, there must be some flat or triangle much longer in time after which the ascending move will continue. Good luck!
ETH Monthly RSI Approaches Cycle Top? Ethereum is showing strong momentum on the monthly timeframe, pushing toward levels not seen since its previous all-time highs. However, a critical technical indicator, the Monthly RSI is currently at 65 and steadily approaching its historically reliable sell zone between 83–85.
Key Observations:
-The monthly RSI has been capped by a descending trendline resistance since 2017.
-Each time RSI touched this resistance — in 2017 and 2021 — ETH reached a cycle peak, followed by a significant multi-month correction.
-Price is rallying strongly, but RSI still has room to rise before hitting the critical 83–85 zone.
Historical Pattern:
-2017: RSI rejection led to a ~90% decline.
-2021: RSI rejection triggered a ~75% drawdown.
-Now (2025): RSI is climbing toward this zone for the third time, potentially signaling a major profit-taking window once reached.
When the RSI reaches the trend resistance level of 83–85, the price could potentially touch the $7,500–$9,000 range.
Cheers
Hexa
LDO Coin | Swing Long IdeaLDO | Swing Long Idea
📊 Market Sentiment
Overall sentiment remains bullish, supported by expectations of a 0.25% rate cut in the upcoming FOMC meeting. A weakening USD and increased risk appetite across global markets continue to create favorable conditions for further upside in crypto assets.
LDO is closely correlated with Ethereum’s price action. As ETH approaches all-time highs, fueled by a $1B single-day ETF inflow, LDO is also showing strong upside potential.
Additionally, market rumors suggest that the SEC may approve Ethereum staking policy soon — a move that would directly increase the utility of LDO in the future. This adds strong conviction to a long bias.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price has gained strong momentum alongside Ethereum’s bullish run.
We are approaching a HTF bearish trendline that has capped price for a while.
A breakout and close above this level would be a significant bullish signal.
📌 Game Plan
Wait for a clean break and close above the HTF bearish trendline.
Look for long entries on a retest of the breakout level.
🎯 Setup Trigger
After retest, wait for a 4H break of structure to confirm bullish continuation.
📋 Trade Management
Stoploss: 4H swing low that caused the break of structure
Targets:
TP1: $1.95
TP2: $2.43
Trail stops to secure profits as price moves in favor.
💬 Like, follow, and comment if you find this setup valuable!
Ethereum’s Rise in Market Dominance – The Queen’s Mov👑♟ Ethereum’s Rise in Market Dominance – The Queen’s Move 📈🔥
Most of the time, traders focus on Bitcoin dominance as the leading gauge of crypto market capital flow. But right now, it’s Ethereum’s turn to shine — the Queen of crypto is starting to dominate the board.
Ethereum dominance has surged from the 7.18% lows, reclaiming the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone, and is now holding strong near 12.73%. This bounce comes after years inside a large descending channel, where past peaks hit 30.73% in 2018 and 22.58% in 2022.
With the next key target sitting at 18.29%, ETH dominance is flashing early signs of a potential market shift. If the Queen breaks past the upper channel resistance around 20.32%, we could see a historic run toward the 30–37% dominance range.
🔑 Key insights:
Bounce from major long-term channel support
0.618 Fib level reclaimed — bullish technical signal
Room to climb before meeting the upper trendline resistance
Breakout could mark a major power shift in crypto market share
If Bitcoin is the King, Ethereum is proving once again why she’s the Queen — strategic, resilient, and ready to take more of the board.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
Can ETH Reach $8,500 Amidst Bullish Catalysts and Threats?A confluence of unprecedented institutional buying, feverish derivatives activity, and bullish technical patterns has ignited the Ethereum market, propelling its price to multi-year highs and sparking bold predictions of a surge to $8,500 and beyond. This rally, however, is not without its skeptics, who point to signs of overheating, increasing profit-taking, and the ever-present shadow of a market cycle peak.
The world's second-largest cryptocurrency has been on a tear, with its price climbing significantly in a single month and nearing its all-time high. This powerful upswing has shifted the crypto world's focus away from a rangebound Bitcoin, raising questions about the mechanics of this bull run, its sustainability, and the myriad of forces pulling the price in opposite directions.
The Bull Case: A Perfect Storm of Institutional FOMO and Technical Breakouts
At the heart of the current rally is a tidal wave of institutional capital, a force that has fundamentally reshaped the market landscape. The recent launch of spot Ethereum Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) has been a resounding success, with reports indicating substantial net inflows on single trading days. This influx of "big money" provides a stark contrast to previous retail-driven rallies, suggesting a more stable, long-term buying pressure.
Leading this charge is one major institutional player, a technology firm chaired by a prominent Wall Street strategist. In a move that has drawn comparisons to aggressive corporate Bitcoin accumulation strategies, the firm has announced plans to expand its equity offering to a colossal sum, with the proceeds earmarked for further Ethereum purchases. The firm, already one of the largest corporate holders of Ethereum, is aiming to control a remarkable percentage of the total ETH supply. This monumental buying pressure from a single entity is a powerful bullish signal, fueling what some analysts have described as a price action that is "defying gravity."
The institutional appetite extends beyond this single entity. The total amount of Ether held by companies with crypto treasuries has surged. Simultaneously, Ethereum held on exchanges has dropped to a multi-year low, a bullish indicator that suggests investors are moving their assets into long-term storage with no immediate intention to sell.
This institutional fervor is underpinned by a compelling technical picture. Analysts have identified a rare but powerful chart pattern on Ethereum's daily chart that has been developing for months. This setup is characterized by a horizontal resistance level and a downward-sloping support line, indicating increasingly aggressive buying on each dip. A decisive breakout above this resistance, according to technical analysis principles, could initially target higher price levels, with stronger momentum potentially extending the rally significantly. Other optimistic projections see Ethereum potentially reaching even higher valuations, with some analyses pointing to a fractal pattern that mirrors Bitcoin's previous bull runs.
The Derivatives Dilemma: Record Highs and Muted Enthusiasm
The derivatives market paints a more complex and, in some ways, contradictory picture. Ether futures open interest has soared to an all-time high, with the monthly trading volume on institutional-grade exchanges hitting record levels. This surge in activity, particularly from platforms favored by institutional investors, undeniably signals heightened interest and preparation for volatility.
However, a closer look at the data reveals some nuances. The record open interest, when denominated in US dollars, is largely a function of the rising price of ETH itself, rather than a massive influx of new leveraged positions. In fact, open interest measured in ETH terms remains below its previous peak.
Furthermore, derivatives data suggests a surprisingly subdued appetite for leveraged bullish bets. The annualized premium for ETH perpetual futures has been hovering around a neutral level, below what would typically indicate strong demand for leveraged longs. This could be interpreted in two ways: either the rally is being driven more by spot buying and has a more solid foundation, or there is a lack of conviction among speculative traders about the sustainability of the current price levels.
The Bearish Counterpoint: Profit-Taking, Historical Cycles, and Competitive Threats
As Ethereum's price tiptoes near its previous highs, signs of profit-taking are beginning to emerge. On-chain analytics show that short-term holders, in particular, are ramping up their selling to realize gains. While long-term holders remain relatively steadfast, daily profit realization has climbed. With a vast majority of all Ether addresses now in a state of profit, the temptation to sell could create significant headwinds, potentially slowing the ascent.
Adding to the cautionary tone is analysis from some market experts who have advised investors to consider selling their Ethereum holdings by the autumn. Citing the psychology of market cycles, one analysis suggests that the current "Optimism" phase is likely to transition into a "Market Peak/Euphoria" phase, which is historically followed by a swift and brutal correction. This perspective predicts that Bitcoin could show signs of topping out first, with Ethereum following suit, potentially leading to a significant price collapse for ETH. The short-term target in this scenario lies in a range substantially higher than current prices, but would precede this potential downturn.
Beyond immediate market sentiment, Ethereum faces long-term strategic challenges. Its dominance in the decentralized finance (DeFi) space is being contested by a growing number of independent layer-1 blockchains that offer faster transactions and lower fees. Major corporations and traditional finance entities are increasingly favoring these proprietary chains for their own blockchain projects, seeking greater control and customization. This trend is reflected in on-chain metrics, with Ethereum's total value locked (TVL) showing a decline and its weekly base layer fees lagging behind some competitors.
Ethereum vs. Bitcoin: The Flippening Narrative Resurfaces
For much of the recent crypto market action, Bitcoin has been in a state of consolidation. This has allowed Ethereum to take the spotlight, with ETH significantly outperforming BTC in recent weeks. This divergence has reignited discussions of "The Flippening," the hypothetical moment when Ethereum's market capitalization surpasses Bitcoin's.
The bull case for Ethereum's outperformance hinges on its utility as a programmable platform for DeFi, NFTs, and a host of other decentralized applications. This contrasts with Bitcoin's primary role as a store of value. The massive institutional inflows into Ethereum, both through direct purchases and ETFs, are seen as a validation of its long-term potential beyond a simple inflation hedge.
However, some Bitcoin proponents argue that the current ETH/BTC rally is an engineered market event. They allege that influential players are rotating their Bitcoin holdings into Ethereum to inflate its price based on the corporate treasury narrative, only to later sell their ETH and convert the profits back into Bitcoin.
Conclusion: A High-Stakes Balancing Act
Ethereum stands at a pivotal juncture. The powerful narrative of institutional adoption, exemplified by audacious corporate accumulation strategies, combined with bullish technical indicators, provides a credible path towards ambitious price targets. The influx of capital through ETFs and the growing recognition of Ethereum's role as the backbone of Web3 are formidable tailwinds.
However, the journey is fraught with peril. The specter of a cyclical market top, as articulated by some analysts, cannot be ignored. The increasing profit-taking by short-term holders, the ambivalent signals from the derivatives market, and the persistent competition from other layer-1 blockchains are all significant hurdles that could stall the rally.
Whether Ethereum will surge to new all-time highs and beyond or succumb to the pressures of an overheated market remains to be seen. The coming weeks will be crucial in determining if the current bull run has the legs to defy historical patterns and establish a new paradigm for the world's leading smart contract platform. For now, the market remains in a delicate, high-stakes balancing act, with the potential for both explosive gains and sharp, unforgiving corrections.
ETH Analysis (1W)Here I am, presenting the asset I personally dislike the most — ETH.
But the chart doesn’t care about feelings. ETH looks ultra bullish, but only if it breaks above the $4,125 level.
Why this level?
The $3,800–$4,100 range has historically acted as a major distribution zone — a place where market participants have consistently taken profit for years.
If this resistance is finally broken, we could see ETH rally toward $6,900 as a minimum target.
This level is based on the breakout projection of the long-standing macro structure.
Honestly, the target looks even better than the asset itself :)
Good Luck.
THE CHART DOESN'T LIE: A NEW DAWN FOR ETHEREUM
🔍 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
1. The long-term downtrend , which lasted approximately 3.5 years, has been **broken on the monthly chart**, signaling a confirmed breakout (BO).
2. The horizontal resistance level at 4045 USDT is a critical zone. This is expected to act as the next stop following the breakout. A clear breach of this level could potentially lead to **more aggressive upward movements**.
Note: We do not consider the all-time high at 4631 USDT to be a major resistance, as it previously acted not as a strong sell zone but rather as a **momentum acceleration point**. With the entry of new investors and resulting FOMO (Fear of Missing Out), we anticipate minimal resistance around this level.
3. Since its launch in 2016, the **MACD indicator** has issued three **buy signals** on the monthly timeframe:
* Two resulted in strong bull runs .
* One led to a ** 60% rally **.
* Currently, a new bullish crossover is forming.
4. The RSI indicator has historically provided clear insight into when rallies may begin to slow. In particular, the 88 level and above has marked overbought territory, which could be a suitable area for gradual profit-taking .
5. Important Fibonacci-based accumulation zones are located between 3262 and 2697 USDT.
🧠 FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
1. Smart Contracts
Ethereum is a programmable blockchain that enables the execution of smart contracts—automated agreements without intermediaries.
🧠 Example: “If Team A wins, send payment automatically.”
2. Decentralized Application Platform (dApps)
Ethereum empowers developers to build dApps whose data is stored across the network, not on centralized servers—making it resistant to censorship.
3. Foundation of DeFi and NFT Ecosystems
* Most DeFi platforms (lending, staking, earning interest) are built on Ethereum.
* Roughly 80% of NFTs originated on Ethereum (OpenSea, Bored Ape, CryptoPunks, etc.).
4. Approval of Spot Ethereum ETFs (U.S.)
* Following Bitcoin ETFs, some Ethereum spot ETFs have been approved.
* This has **opened the door to institutional investment**, creating **upward price pressure**.
5. ETH 2.0 Upgrade & Staking
* Ethereum transitioned from Proof of Work to Proof of Stake, making the network more sustainable and scalable.
* Users can now stake ETH to earn passive income.
6. Enterprise Adoption
* Corporations such as Visa and JPMorgan are testing Ethereum’s infrastructure.
* Use cases: payments, data storage, contract management.
7. Favorable Regulatory Shifts Support Altcoins
* U.S. laws like GENIUS and CLARITY have laid a framework for stablecoins.
* This has increased institutional interest in **infrastructure coins** like Ethereum and Solana.
8. Capital Rotation into Altcoins
* While Bitcoin consolidates between \$115K–\$118K, capital is flowing into altcoins.
* Tokens like XRP, DOGE, BONK, PEPE, HYPE have surged.
* XRP is particularly favored due to its enterprise use case, with price targets of \$4–\$6 being speculated.
9. Growth in Futures and Institutional Trading
* CME Group data shows growing open interest in Solana and XRP futures.
* ETH farms also reflect strong institutional interest, as companies begin to hold crypto assets under treasury models.
10. Risks to Monitor
* Potential downward pressure may come from **Fed rate decisions**, **ETF inflows/outflows**, *miner selling, or regulatory actions (e.g., MiCA).
* Altcoins remain volatile and sensitive to regulation.
💹 IN SUMMARY – Key Accumulation Zone:
3262 – 2697 USDT
We haven't provided detailed Ethereum analysis in a while, as both technical and fundamental structures often require time to form. In short: not all assets are worth analyzing until they are.
"Wealth does not come from the number of trades, but from the patience to wait for the right trade." – Bull Investment
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
Maintain proper capital and risk management to protect your psychology during market corrections.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Making decisions based on this commentary may lead to losses.
Avoid following unverified tips and rumors.
How is our Ethereum long going?TSUNAMI TSUNAMI
sardines get lost
whales get liquidated
nobady undestands whats happening
it's the market acting
We are making ethereum great again (MEGA)
mega people owe me that
you've been warned
I was TRIGGERING THE MAJOR ETHEREUM SUPPLY SHOCK
MAJOR
sardines traumatized by my bitcoin long in november (still open)
will be traumatized now by my ethereum long
my new business
CASH MONEY HEROES
i look up to the sky and now the world is MINE
Ive known it aaaaaall my life
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i used to dream about the life Im living now
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ETH - If You Know ...... You Know whats Coming
NYSE:BLK $BUIDL tokenized U.S.-Treasury fund launched on COINBASE:ETHUSD in Mar 2024—Wall Street is already settling real dollars on-chain.
NYSE:JPM JPMD stablecoin just went live on Base (an COINBASE:ETHUSD L2), piping wholesale payments from a $4 T balance-sheet straight through COINBASE:ETHUSD rails.
COINBASE:ETHUSD isn’t just riding the next crypto cycle—it’s becoming Wall Street’s settlement layer. From BlackRock’s on-chain Treasury fund to JPMorgan’s and soon Bank of America’s dollar tokens, a tidal wave of institutional stable-coin flows is lining up behind ETH. Fewer coins, more real-world volume—if you know, you know what’s coming.
NYSE:BAC CEO says they’ll issue a dollar-backed token the moment regulators nod—another tier-1 bank boarding the Ethereum train.
Stablecoin cap has blasted past $230 B , with 80 %+ of all on-chain transfers riding Ethereum (plus BSC) blocks.
Corporate settlements via stablecoins grew 25 % YoY in 2024 as multinationals replaced SWIFT with instant on-chain clearing.
Daily stablecoin throughput averages $7 B—each hop burning ETH and tightening supply.
BCG projects tokenized real-world assets to exceed $16 T by 2030 , with EVM chains as the default plumbing.
Over 500 M wallets already interact with stablecoins , a 30 % YoY surge led by emerging-market demand.
L2s like BINANCE:ARBUSDT & BINANCE:OPUSDT cut transaction fees 35 % yet still settle back to mainnet—meaning ETH captures the fee stream and the burn.
Bottom line: a tidal wave of bank-grade stablecoins + tokenized assets is lining up behind ETH; supply shrinks, demand soars—if you know, you know what’s coming.
quote] Marty Boots | 17-Year Trader — smash that , hit LIKE & SUBSCRIBE, and share your views in the comments below so we can make better trades & grow together!
ARKK: The Calm Before the Innovation Storm -ALTSEASON Is COMING🚀 ARKK: The Calm Before the Innovation Storm 🌪️
The markets are shifting, and disruption is about to go vertical. ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) is quietly positioning itself for what could be the most explosive move of this decade. With high-conviction bets in AI, Bitcoin, genomics, and next-gen tech, this isn’t just a fund—it’s a launchpad for exponential growth.
This post breaks down exactly why ARKK could go parabolic—and why the smart money is already moving in. 👇
Explosive upside in 2026
ARKK is already up over 24% YTD , showing strong momentum compared to broader markets and signaling early stages of a potential parabolic move .
High-conviction concentration in game-changers
Top 10 holdings include Tesla, Roku, Zoom, Coinbase, UiPath, Block, Crispr Therapeutics, DraftKings, Shopify, and Exact Sciences. These are leaders in innovation sectors with massive upside potential .
Deep exposure to Bitcoin and digital assets
Heavy allocation to Coinbase and Block gives indirect exposure to Bitcoin . If BTC breaks into a new cycle high , ARKK stands to benefit significantly.
Positioned in exponential growth sectors
Focus on AI, genomics, EVs, fintech, robotics, and blockchain , all of which are entering accelerating adoption phases globally.
Aggressive smart-money accumulation
Cathie Wood’s team continues buying aggressively during dips, reinforcing institutional confidence in the fund’s long-term trajectory.
Technical breakout structures forming
Ascending triangle and multi-month consolidation breakouts suggest a technical setup primed for explosive upside .
Innovation supercycle aligning
ARKK's themes are aligned with major global shifts like de-dollarization, decentralized finance, and AI convergence .
High beta = massive upside leverage
With a beta above 2 , ARKK tends to outperform in bull runs , offering leveraged exposure to innovation without the need for margin.
Resurgence of top holdings
Names like Coinbase, Tesla, Shopify, and Roku are up 50%–100% YTD , driving ARKK’s NAV growth and fueling bullish sentiment .
Long-term vision with short-term catalysts
The fund projects 5x returns over the next five years , while Bitcoin halving cycles, tech innovation, and regulatory clarity serve as short-term ignition points .
Marty Boots | 17-Year Trader — smash that 👍👍, hit LIKE & SUBSCRIBE, and share your views in the comments below so we can make better trades & grow together!
Using 1-hour TF with Volume to identify the Short entryI used the volume analysis to identify the entry for my shorts in this economic events manipulated price action movement. I trade based on my analysis on market maker price action and psychology. I do employ FVG and iFVG in my trading confirmation, thus empowering me with greater confidence in my trade setup.
$Eth (Ethereum) road map to prices that will melt faces If history repeats itself, like it always does, then you should watch this beautifully play out, Ethereum is like a magnet to the top green line, but your resistance and support lines are tagged out. Do what you want with this and make sure you do your own research.















