Ethereum Isn’t Pulling Back — It’s Building the LaunchpadETHEREUM (ETHUSD) – 1H
1. Market Structure
ETH remains in a broader bullish structure, with price holding well above the major support zone (~2,760–2,800).
The recent decline from the local high is corrective, not impulsive — showing controlled profit-taking.
Current price is stabilizing around 2,960–2,980, forming a higher low relative to the previous swing.
➡️ This is a bullish pullback inside an uptrend, not a reversal.
2. Key Zones
Support Zone: 2,900–2,940
→ Buyers are actively defending this area.
Resistance Zone: ~3,160
→ This is the next major liquidity target and prior supply zone.
Price is compressing between support and mid-range — a classic pre-expansion structure.
3. Price Path Scenarios
Primary Scenario (Bullish Continuation):
Hold above 2,900
Push back toward 3,040 → 3,100
Final breakout attempt toward 3,160 resistance
If liquidity above 3,160 is taken → continuation toward higher highs
Invalidation Scenario:
Clean acceptance below 2,880
Would open downside toward 2,820–2,780 support
Only then would structure turn neutral
4. Momentum & Context
No signs of aggressive selling or distribution.
Pullback shows overlapping candles, indicating sellers lack conviction.
ETH is still tracking Bitcoin’s range behavior, suggesting synchronized expansion when BTC breaks.
➡️ Market conditions favor patience + positioning, not panic.
🧠 Final Takeaway
Ethereum is not rejecting resistance it’s absorbing it.
Etherum
ETH Isn't Chasing— It’s Building Pressure for the Next ExpansionETHEREUM (ETHUSD) – 1H TECHNICAL & MACRO UPDATE
Technical Structure
Price is printing higher highs and higher lows, confirming short-term bullish structure.
The support zone around 2,910–2,920 is holding firmly → buyers are defending pullbacks.
Current price is consolidating above the prior breakout level, a classic continuation setup.
Target 1 (~3,060) acts as the first liquidity objective.
Target 2 (~3,160) aligns with the next major supply zone if momentum persists.
No bearish reversal pattern is present unless price loses the highlighted support zone decisively.
Macro Context
USD strength has stalled, reducing downside pressure on risk assets.
U.S. yields are stabilizing, allowing capital to rotate back into crypto.
Broader market sentiment favors risk-on accumulation, especially for large-cap crypto like ETH.
No negative macro catalyst currently strong enough to invalidate the bullish structure.
Summary
Bias remains bullish while above support.
Expect shallow pullbacks → continuation toward Target 1, then Target 2.
Strategy favors buying pullbacks, not chasing breakouts.
ETH is advancing with structure and macro alignment this is controlled expansion, not excess.
ETHUSD – The Calm Before the Storm | December's Most Misundersto📈 Market Context – Why Everyone's Wrong About ETH Right Now
Ethereum is sitting at one of the most deceptive price levels in crypto right now. Most traders see the recent dump from $3,762 on December 2 and think "it's over." Others see the consolidation around $3,208 and think "dead cat bounce."
They're both missing the bigger picture.
Here's what ACTUALLY happened: A 2015 Ethereum ICO wallet that had been inactive for a long time moved 40,000 ETH suddenly, worth around $120 million. Crypto Twitter panicked. But then Lookonchain verified that it was for internal transfer, and not a liquidation. Classic FUD.
What REALLY tanked ETH? A Yearn Finance exploit that happened at the worst possible time, when the market was stretched by leverage and rising speculative positioning. More than $600 million in crypto liquidations hit the market. This wasn't an organic selloff—this was a leveraged washout.
But here's the kicker: While retail was panic-selling, whales were accumulating like it's 2020 all over again.
🔎 Technical Framework – The Deceptive Calm
Current State:
Ascending broadening wedge inside rising channel—classic volatility compression before explosive move
Key Liquidity Zones:
🔴 Distribution Liquidity Zone (SHORT Opportunity):
$3,550 - $3,650 (recent spike high + whale distribution cluster)
This is where whales moved 40,000 ETH at $120 million valuation before the "transfer" narrative
Since December 2024, aggressive selling by whales has been evident in the rise of average market order sizes
🟢 Accumulation Liquidity Zone (BUY ORIGIN):
$2,900 - $3,000 (FVG retest + November-December whale buy zone)
From November 13 to December 2, whales acquired a total of 1,702,835.5 ETH at an average price of $5.7 billion
In early 2025, large holders acquired over 330,000 ETH, valued at approximately $1.08 billion
⚖️ Chop Zone (NO TRADE ZONE):
$3,100 - $3,400 (current consolidation limbo)
This struggle between institutional investors and retail traders could define Ethereum's price action in the coming weeks
🐋 WHALE ACTIVITY – The REAL Story Nobody's Talking About
While everyone's focused on the dump, let me show you what the ACTUAL data says:
The Accumulation Phase (That Everyone Missed):
Ethereum whale wallets have recorded positive netflows in each of the last 20 trading days, dating back to November 13
The highest single-day inflows of 2570 ETH came on November 14 when Gensler's exit was confirmed
Ethereum ETFs attracted $2.63 billion in inflows in December 2024, led by the Fidelity Ethereum Trust
The Concentration Effect (This is MASSIVE):
Over the past four months, Ethereum's Gini coefficient increased from 0.7563 in September to 0.7630 in December 2024—a clear sign of growing ownership concentration. Translation? Whales are consolidating control.
Even crazier: Addresses holding 10,000+ ETH now control 74.47% of Ethereum's circulating supply. Compare that to Bitcoin where large holders control only about 15%—ETH is FIVE TIMES more whale-controlled than BTC.
This is why ETH moves are so violent and why large transfers or sales by a tiny fraction of holders can rapidly sway Ethereum's price and sentiment.
The Distribution Signal:
But here's where it gets interesting: Since December 2024, there has been an increase in aggressive sell orders, particularly from whales, with rising average market order sizes suggesting they are offloading holdings.
So what gives? Are whales accumulating or distributing?
BOTH. They're accumulating at discount levels ($2,900-$3,050) and distributing at premium levels ($3,550-$3,650). This is classic smart money behavior—they're range-trading the volatility while retail gets chopped.
🚨 Recent Developments – The Catalyst Stack
Pectra Upgrade – May 7, 2025 (GAME CHANGER)
The Pectra upgrade went live in May 2025, introducing batch transactions, gas payment in any token, and doubling blob capacity for Layer 2s.
Key improvements:
Account Abstraction enables gas payments using multiple tokens like USDC and DAI, with third-party fee sponsorship
EIP-7691 doubles Ethereum's blob throughput from three blobs with a maximum of six to six with a maximum of nine
With the Pectra upgrade, Ethereum's data capacity significantly increases to about 420 TPS from 210 TPS
Translation: ETH just became TWICE as fast for Layer 2s. This is MASSIVE for scalability and will drive institutional adoption.
ETF Inflows – The Silent Accumulation
Ethereum ETFs attracted substantial institutional interest, with inflows reaching $2.63 billion in December 2024. This is institutional money positioning for the next leg up—they don't buy at tops, they buy at bottoms.
Gary Gensler Exit – Regulatory Tailwind
The impending exit of SEC chairman Gary Gensler enhanced investor confidence in the altcoin sector, putting Ethereum in prime position to deliver superior performance relative to BTC.
Staking Explosion
Staking activity reached near-all-time highs, with 36.19 million ETH locked in validators—a 4.5% increase since October 2024. That's $115+ BILLION locked away, reducing circulating supply.
DeFi TVL At $90 Billion
Total Value Locked in Ethereum protocols surged to $90 billion, driven by renewed interest in yield-bearing DeFi products. Institutional money is FLOODING into ETH DeFi.
🎯 Trade Plans – High-Probability Setups
🟢 BUY ETHUSD: $2,900 - $3,000 | SL $2,820
Thesis: FVG retest at proven whale accumulation zone + November-December $5.7B whale buying cluster = institutional re-entry point
Entry Rules (MUST WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION):
Price dips into $2,900-$3,000 FVG zone
Bullish CHoCH (Change of Character) + BOS (Break of Structure) on H1-H4
Strong bullish rejection wick with volume spike (100K+ ETH volume on 4H)
Ideally on Order Block retest after initial bounce
BONUS CONFIRMATION: Check whale netflow data on IntoTheBlock—if showing positive inflows, ADD to conviction
Targets:
$3,350 - $3,400 (mid-channel retest, quick 12-15% gain)
$3,600 - $3,750 (previous high retest + distribution zone, 23-28% gain)
$4,200 - $4,500 (bull flag breakout + Pectra FOMO begins, 42-50% gain)
$5,200 - $5,800 (ATH retest + full bull market confirmation, 75-95% gain)
Moonshot: $6,500+ (if ETF inflows accelerate post-Pectra like BTC did)
Risk Management:
Position size: 3-5% of portfolio (this is a HIGH-CONVICTION setup)
Scale in 40% at $3,000, 30% at $2,950, 30% at $2,900
Trail stop to breakeven after hitting Target 1
Take 30% profit at Target 2, let rest ride with trailing stop
🔴 SELL ETHUSD: $3,550 - $3,650 | SL $3,750
Thesis: Premium liquidity retest at proven whale distribution zone—classic "return to scene of crime" before deeper correction
Entry Rules (WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION):
Price pumps into $3,550-$3,650 zone (previous spike high)
Bearish CHoCH + MSS (Market Structure Shift) + BOS down on H1-H4
CRITICAL: Check CryptoQuant whale-to-exchange flow—if showing HIGH exchange inflows (whales moving ETH to exchanges to sell), this is your GO signal
Heavy volume spike on bearish candle (150K+ ETH on 4H)
Entry after FVG fill or Order Block retest post-initial rejection
Targets:
$3,200 - $3,250 (first support retest, quick 8-12% gain)
$3,050 - $3,100 (mid-channel support)
$2,900 - $3,000 (FVG zone—BUY setup reactivates here!)
Risk Management:
This is a COUNTER-TREND trade—use tighter stops
Position size: 2-3% max (smaller than long setup due to higher risk)
Take 50% profit at Target 1, move SL to breakeven
Exit FULLY at Target 3 and flip to LONG setup
⚠️ Risk Management & Critical Notes
The #1 Mistake: Trading inside the $3,100-$3,400 chop zone without confirmation. The struggle between institutional investors and retail traders in this range creates whipsaw conditions this is where retail accounts get DESTROYED.
Whale Flow Monitoring is NON-NEGOTIABLE: High leverage remains with funding rates indicating very high risk-taking activities and markets still inclined towards speculative long positions. Use Glassnode or IntoTheBlock to monitor whale exchange inflows BEFORE entering trades.
Volatility Warning: This concentrated ownership structure means large transfers or sales by a tiny fraction of holders can rapidly sway Ethereum's price. Set alerts for 10,000+ ETH whale movements on Whale Alert.
Macro Headwind: Japan has indicated tightening, and U.S. real interest rates remain high. Under low liquidity conditions, even minor shocks can trigger significant price changes. If SPX dumps 5%+, ETH follows—be ready to cut positions.
Position Sizing: Given the extreme whale concentration, never go all-in. Scale positions at key levels. This isn't a casino—it's warfare against billion-dollar players.
📊 The Bottom Line – Why This Time Is Different (Or Isn't)
Let me give it to you straight: ETH is at a crossroads.
The Bull Case (What I'm Leaning Toward):
✅ $5.7 billion in whale accumulation over 20 days since November 13
✅ $2.63 billion in ETF inflows in December 2024
✅ $90 billion TVL in DeFi protocols institutions are building
✅ Pectra upgrade doubled transaction throughput to 420 TPS
✅ 36.19 million ETH staked = reduced supply
✅ Gary Gensler gone = regulatory tailwind
✅ Technical structure: Rising channel still intact, FVG below = perfect retest setup
The Bear Case (What Keeps Me Up at Night):
⚠️ Aggressive whale selling since December with rising average market order sizes
⚠️ Even as Bitcoin and Solana hit all-time highs after Trump's election, Ether topped out at $4,000 in December, well short of its 2021 high of $4,800
⚠️ High leverage with funding rates indicating very high-risk speculative long positions
⚠️ Global liquidity tightening from Japan and high U.S. real interest rates
⚠️ 74.47% of supply controlled by whales = extreme manipulation risk
⚠️ Price underperforming BTC and SOL = capital rotation away from ETH
My Take:
The $5.7 billion whale accumulation since November 13 tells me smart money is positioning for a move. But the aggressive whale selling at premium levels tells me they're range-trading, not accumulating for a straight pump to $10K.
Here's the play:
Short-term (Dec-Jan): Expect consolidation with violent swings. Trade the range: buy $2,900-$3,000, sell $3,550-$3,650.
Medium-term (Feb-April): After Pectra hype builds + ETF inflows accelerate, we get the push to $4,200-$4,800.
Long-term (Mid-2025+): If ETH breaks $4,800 ATH with volume, we're going to $5,800-$7,000+.
BUT: If ETH breaks below $2,850 with volume, the bull case is dead and we're heading to $2,600-$2,400 to fill lower FVGs.
🔥 Strategy Summary – How I'm Trading This
Phase 1 (NOW - January):
Wait for dip to $2,900-$3,000 FVG zone
Scale in long position (3-5% of portfolio)
Target: $3,600-$3,750 for 25-30% gain
Take 30% profit, trail stop on rest
Phase 2 (If we hit $3,600+):
Watch whale exchange inflows
If HIGH inflows (distribution signal) → SHORT at $3,550-$3,650
If LOW inflows (holding) → add to longs, target $4,200-$4,500
Phase 3 (Post-Pectra Hype, March-May):
If ETH holds above $3,600 and Pectra adoption is strong → go HEAVY long
Target: ATH breakout to $5,200-$5,800
This is the "generational wealth" move IF it plays out
Invalidation:
Close ALL longs if ETH closes below $2,850 on daily
Flip bearish, target $2,600-$2,400
💡 Final Word – The Truth About ETH Right Now
ETH isn't "dead." But it's not "mooning tomorrow" either.
Critics have blasted developers' decision to focus on Layer 2 blockchains, arguing those chains siphon value from ETH. That's a real concern. ETH isn't pumping like BTC or SOL because value is flowing to L2s.
But here's the counterargument: With the Pectra upgrade, this will double L2 performance out of the gate, leading to lower costs and faster transaction times. If L2s explode in adoption, ETH benefits as the base layer. It's like owning the toll road, not the cars.
The Question: Will the $2.63 billion in ETF inflows and $5.7 billion in whale accumulation be enough to push ETH to new ATHs? Or will whale distribution at premium levels and high leverage markets cause another violent shakeout first?
My bet: One more shakeout to $2,900-$3,000 (FVG retest), THEN the real pump begins. But I'm not holding through a breakdown below $2,850. That's where I cut and flip bearish.
Trade the structure. Follow the whales. Protect your capital.
Drop a 🔥 if you're watching that $2,900-$3,000 FVG like a hawk. This is where fortunes are made or lost.
ETHUSDT /// 2DECEthereum lately has been showing signs of weakening after losing the support area around $3400–$3600. With this break, the market structure has shifted toward a more bearish tone, meaning the asset may continue forming lower highs and lower lows as long as downward momentum remains dominant.
At the moment, price reactions around the $3000 zone suggest that supply is still relatively strong. If this structure continues, several potential bearish paths remain valid.
⸻
Possible scenarios toward the $2000 region
Scenario 1
If the $3000 area acts as a local high, Ethereum could continue its downward trajectory toward the $2000 zone.
In such a case, the price might develop smaller corrective upward movements within the broader bearish leg.
⸻
Scenario 2
Another possibility is that the $2800 area generates a short-term bullish reaction.
Such a move could push the price toward the $3600–$3800 range before facing renewed selling interest.
If that happens, a continuation toward the $2000 zone could remain on the table.
⸻
General outlook
In both scenarios described above, a revisit of the $2000 area is one possible development based on the current technical structure.
This outlook is purely scenario-based and may change if the market structure shifts.
⸻
About the possibility of $1000 ETH
Reaching the $2000 zone does not automatically imply deeper downside.
However, the manner in which price approaches that area could provide clues:
• A sharp, capitulation-type decline toward $2000 might suggest that a local bottom has formed.
• A slow, corrective decline could indicate weakening momentum, in which case observing price behavior after reaching $2000 becomes important.
If bearish continuation patterns appear at that stage, lower levels — including the $1000 region — cannot be ruled out as long as the downtrend structure persists.
Once price interacts with the $2000 zone, I will share an updated analysis based on the new market structure.
ETH/USD – Bulls Ready for the Next Leg Up?Ethereum is showing a clean retrace into the rising trendline and POC/ VWAP zone — classic setup for a continuation move.
As long as price holds above $3,950, bulls remain in control with targets at $4,733 and beyond.
Momentum is cooling but structure stays bullish. Is this just the calm before the next breakout? 👀
💬 What’s your plan here — riding the trend or waiting for confirmation?
Ethereum 1H Analysis – Key Battle at $4,278 Resistance | D1👋 Hey everyone! Hope you’re doing great!
💥 Welcome to Satoshi Frame — today we’re diving into the 1-hour Bitcoin analysis. Stay tuned and follow along!
👀 1-hour timeframe of Ethereum, and we can see that Ethereum, after the heavy drop it experienced, broke down from the 4278$ area and moved toward its lower support levels. A major support level has formed around the 3692$ area, where we saw strong buyer support, and they pushed the Ethereum price upward. After the upward movement and buyer support, as Ethereum approached its resistance in the 4278$ area, the buying volume decreased, and then buyers’ strength ended. Sellers, with strong momentum and multiple red candles, pushed the price down toward the 3941$ support, where the price was supported again. Now a higher low has formed compared to the 3941$ bottom, and the price is moving toward its key resistance area at 4278$.
🧮 We can see in the RSI oscillator that there is a key level around 70, which is the OverBuy boundary. If the fluctuation limit passes this area, Ethereum can break its resistance around 4278$.
🕯 Regarding volume, there is an educational note that when the price approached the 4278$ resistance, it faced a decrease in buying volume and was rejected from this area with many red candles. Now that the price is moving toward this resistance, if it is accompanied by an increase in buying volume, it increases the probability of breaking this resistance for us.
🧠 For the Ethereum position, a breakout of the 4278$ area is needed, and now if the price moves toward this area, it will form our second touch and create several scenarios for us.
↗️ First scenario for long position: breakout of resistance accompanied by an increase in volume and setting the trigger at 4278$, which gives us a large stop size and reaches its risk-to-reward ratio later.
↗️ Second scenario for long position: wait for the price to have a reaction to the 4278$ area and then create a higher high and higher low for us, and we can enter on the created higher low and place our stop below that same low.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
ETH 15M Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 33☃️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well.
⏰ We’re analyzing ETH on the 15-Minutes timeframe .
👀 On the 15-minute timeframe for Ethereum, we can see that after an impressive 10% rally, ETH showed one of the strongest recoveries in the market compared to other major coins — managing to climb above $4,100 and form a new trading range early in the week. Currently, Ethereum is consolidating within a range between $4,200 (top) and $4,121 (bottom). A breakout from this range could create either a long or short setup. Keep in mind that following this strong bullish move, trading volume has started to decline inside this range.
🧮 Looking at the RSI oscillator, we can see that after the recent surge, ETH’s momentum is now fluctuating between 43 and 70. A breakout above or below this RSI range would likely increase volatility and accelerate Ethereum’s next move — potentially with fewer candles but stronger momentum.
🕯 The size and volume of recent candles during Ethereum’s rally have been exceptional. Major buyers and institutional players have added substantial ETH positions to their portfolios. The large, high-volume bullish candles leading up to the current range reflect Ethereum’s strong momentum. Now, while the price is oscillating inside the range with reduced volume, a clear volume expansion is expected once the range breaks.
🧠 As Ethereum remains trapped inside this trading range, a breakout will require increased volume and RSI confirmation beyond the defined thresholds. This setup gives us two potential scenarios:
↗️ Long scenario: If Ethereum breaks above $4,200, which acts as a taker-seller resistance, and RSI pushes above 70 (Overbought zone), ETH could launch another bullish leg early in the week — showing an even stronger recovery compared to the rest of the market.
📉 Short scenario: If Ethereum breaks below $4,121, which is a maker-buyer support, and RSI drops under 43 toward the Oversold zone, it could continue its downward correction. However, given ETH’s strong bullish momentum, this bearish scenario would likely require negative market fundamentals to fully play out.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
ETH 1D Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 32☃️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well.
⏰ We’re analyzing ETH on the 1-Day timeframe .
👀 On the Ethereum daily timeframe, we can see that after the historic economic war between the U.S. and China, Ethereum broke its ascending channel with a high-volume whale candle and has now managed to stabilize below this channel. Currently, Ethereum is in a critical decision-making zone, with two key resistance levels at $3,873 and $4,223.
A break and confirmation above these zones, especially $4,223, could lead to a bullish continuation; otherwise, a breakdown below the channel support may trigger a deep correction and cause Ethereum to enter a risk-off phase on the higher timeframe (weekly).
🧮 Looking at the RSI oscillator, after crossing down from the 50 level, it is now heading toward the 30 and oversold region. These two zones — 50 and 30 — are our key RSI levels, and when volatility crosses these zones, it can be accompanied by a significant increase in trading volume.
🕯 The recent daily candle of Ethereum has shown a massive amount of sell volume, with an open around $4,400 and a close below $3,900 (ignoring the shadow). This indicates strong selling pressure — if buyers fail to hold Ethereum above $4,200, we could see further correction and selling pressure ahead.
🧠 Currently, there’s no specific trigger for Ethereum, but a trading range will likely form in this zone until the end of the week.
A break of either the top or bottom of this range across multiple timeframes could give us a potential long or short position.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
ETH - UPDATE - MASTERCLASSCRYPTOCAP:ETH - 22/09 vs today: Update - MASTERCLASS 🔥
"Still bullish medium/long term, but a further correction is very possible before liftoff!
Bulls need to hold $3780. Below = trouble…Above = game still on for ATH attempts later. 📉"
Insane setup shared if you followed! 3800$ liquidities grab ✅
Prices is up 23%+ from this zone mentionned! 🔥
Are we ready to fly toward 5000$ now??
I'll let you discover on the next analysis Im working on!
Life if you want to see it! 👍
ETH 4H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 25😃 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Winter got something for you!
⏰ We’re analyzing ETH on the 4-Hour timeframe.
👀 On the 4H timeframe for Ethereum, we can see that after breaking below its maker-buyer zone, ETH moved down toward lower support levels, experiencing a **7% drop** — an unexpected move that even pushed major holders to sell. Ethereum is now sitting at a **multi-timeframe support zone**, and if this level is lost, it could head toward the next lower maker-buyer area, where we’ll need to observe how price reacts.
🧮 The **RSI oscillator** shows ETH deep in the **oversold zone** with heavy selling pressure. Buyers have yet to step in, meaning that with more sell-side momentum, Ethereum could remain oversold for an extended period.
🕯 The **size and volume of red candles** have increased sharply in a short span of time. This fast move down with fewer candles signals **strong selling sentiment**, while price itself looks uncertain about its next direction.
💸 Looking at **ETHBTC**, the pair experienced a sharp drop and deep correction with the start of the new week. It is also resting at a multi-timeframe support zone. If that breaks, Ethereum could face a further correction.
🧠 As for positioning, it’s still early. We’d prefer to wait for the market to build a stronger structure and possibly a wider range before entering. A **short position below the 4147 support** is possible with low risk, but since RSI remains heavily oversold, we must also consider the potential for a **price rebound**.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
ETH - 17/09 VS TODAY - MASTERCALL AGAIN! 🏆 #ETH - 17/09 vs Today - Update 🔄
Medium-Term Outlook: “Insane Plays Ahead!” 🔥
🎯Targets hit: $4,000–$4,050 liquidity zone ✔️
Current TA:
🔸Price rejected sharply; H4 looks bearish, RSI is highly oversold.
🔸Short-term: potential for a relief bounce!
🔸Possible scenario: Retest of the $4,300–$4,350 former support ahead? 📈
Weekly Structure
🔹Bias stays bullish long-term.
🔹BUT: Structure reminds me a lot of #BTC right before its massive run!
🔹Are we about to see an extra dip towards $3,700- $3,800 before the next moon mission? (Check chart for context!)📉💣
Short-Term Bias
🔹Price action = Neutral & tricky.
🔹Bulls want a reclaim above $3,780 to keep the upper hand.
🔹Big risk: If we break below $3,780 → likely drop to $3,300–$3,200 range!⚠️
Local Support Zones
$4,070
$4,000
💡Summary
Still bullish medium/long term, but a further correction is very possible before liftoff!
Bulls need to hold $3,780. Below = trouble…Above = game still on for ATH attempts later. 📉
ETH.D (Ethereum Dominance) Weekly TF 2025
Summary:
Ethereum Dominance (ETH.D) has likely bottomed after retracing to its 78.6% Fibonacci level (~6.59%) and is showing early signs of a structural reversal. With institutional inflows, growing staking adoption, and key upcoming Ethereum upgrades, ETH.D may reclaim significant market dominance over the next 12–18 months. Our chart anticipates a bounce-pullback-rebound structure, aiming for 3 target zones: TP1 (23.5%), TP2 (30.8%), and TP3 (39%).
Contextual Market Alignment:
This ETH.D bullish bias aligns strongly with our broader market outlook:
TOTAL Market Cap Analysis → Bullish breakout structure, indicating overall crypto expansion.
TOTAL2 (Altcoin Market Cap Ex-BTC) → Bullish retracement completion and extension targets active.
BTC.D (Bitcoin Dominance) → Bearish confluence zone, suggesting Bitcoin may underperform versus ETH and altcoins, freeing up dominance space for ETH.D to rise.
Chart Context:
This weekly ETH.D chart uses a Fibonacci retracement from the top (~30.81%) to bottom (0%) to identify potential reversal zones. The dominance hit a key support area at the 78.6% Fib retracement (6.59%), showing a reaction that may develop into a reversal. The roadmap includes:
Rebound toward TP1 (23.54% = 23.5%)
Minor correction or consolidation
Breakout continuation toward TP2 (0.0% = 30.8%)
Extension leg targeting TP3 (–27% = 39%)
Key Technical Observations:
Support Levels:
78.60% = 6.59% (bottom support)
88.60%=3.5%
Possible Resistances:
61.80% = 11.77%
48.60% = 15.84%
38.20% = 19.04%
Resistance & TPs:
TP1: 23.54% (23.6% Fib)
TP2: 30.81% (Full retrace = 0%)
TP3: 39.13% (–27% extension)
Current level: ~9.36%
Clear bullish structure with a “bounce–pullback–rebound” sequence
Indicators:
Fibonacci retracements from ~30.81% to 0%
Structural pattern: rounded bottom / double bottom
Hidden bullish divergence forming on weekly timeframe
Fundamental Context:
Institutional Inflows & ETF Dynamics:
Since July 2024’s launch of spot Ether ETFs, inflows have been strong with a 15-day streak totaling approximately $837 million (~25% of total net inflows).
Recently, the SEC approved options trading on spot ETH ETFs (e.g., BlackRock, Grayscale), deepening liquidity and offering hedging mechanisms.
BlackRock is now pushing to add staking functionality allowing yield generation within an ETF wrapper. If approved, this could markedly increase demand.
Staking Growth & On-Chain Supply Dynamics:
27% of ETH is already staked, and ETF inflows could lift that by >10%.
A staking ETF would institutionalize ETH staking: more capital locked, less circulating supply → supply constraints could support dominance and valuation.
Ethereum Backbone in DeFi & RWA:
Ethereum still leads the Real-World Asset (RWA) space: over 50% market share and ~$5–6 billion in assets tokenized on-chain.
Its core infrastructure underlies the majority of DeFi, smart contracts, and stablecoins, reinforcing ETH.D’s structural resilience.
Network Upgrades & Tech Progress:
The Pectra upgrade (mid-2025) is on the horizon, introducing EIP-7251/7702, improving validator flexibility and network usability.
Combined with recent Dencun improvements, Ethereum is becoming cheaper and more efficient, boosting adoption in L2 ecosystems.
Price action & on-chain indicators:
ETH price has surged ~46% in the past 30 days, driven by ETF demand; some analyst forecasts target $3,000–5,000 year-end.
The withdrawal of ~$1.2 billion ETH from exchanges suggests increasing long-term holdings and less selling pressure.
Integrating with Your Technical Setup:
Level: 78.6%–61.8% bounce zones (6–11%)
Fundamental Support: Institutional re-entry via ETFs often begins with accumulation near support.
Level: TP1 at 23.6% (23.5%)
Fundamental Support: Could coincide with ETF inflows + early vesting of staking narratives.
Level: TP2 (~30.8%)
Fundamental Support: Full retrace driven by mass ETF adoption, options trading, and upgrade momentum.
Level: TP3 >39% (–27% ext.)
Fundamental Support: If staking ETF and yield-bearing structures go live, ETH.D could reach new dominance highs.
Summary of Fundamental Catalysts:
Spot ETH ETF inflows (~$800 M), with options exposure adding liquidity.
Upcoming staking ETF (BlackRock, Grayscale) with >10% locked-up supply implications.
Ethereum remains the DeFi and RWA backbone, sustaining structural demand.
Protocol upgrades (Pectra, Dencun) enhance scalability and adoption.
On-chain withdrawal trends show growing holder conviction.
Narrative / Bias & Strategy Implication:
ETH.D has likely completed its correction and is primed for a staged bullish reversal, mirroring prior cycles. The chart forecasts a rally toward TP1, where some short-term profit-taking and rotation to alts may occur (Alts season). Following that, a retrace may set up the next impulsive move to reclaim lost dominance and eventually challenge prior highs.
Time Horizon: Mid-2025 to late 2026
ETH 1H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 24😃 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Winter got something for you!
⏰ We’re analyzing ETH on the 1-Hour timeframe.
👀 On the 1-hour timeframe for Ethereum, we can see that after testing its major buyer zone, ETH bounced and entered a consolidation phase. This sideways movement is mainly due to the weekend slowdown. I’ve highlighted the range boundaries — a breakout above or below will provide us with trading opportunities. ETH is one of the few coins that has managed to hold its ground at a solid price level, showing strong potential for further growth.
🧮 Looking at the RSI oscillator, we’ve identified two key levels 30 (oversell) & 58 (local RSI ceiling) If ETH breaks these levels, it could trigger a breakout from this tight range and start a stronger move.
🕯 Currently, the green candles are larger in size and volume, but since it’s the weekend, ETH has been mostly off traders’ watchlists. We need to wait for the new weekly open to see how market participants will react.
💸 On the ETHBTC pair (1H timeframe), we’re seeing a similar setup to ETHUSDT. A breakout above or below the current range could start the next move. Adding this pair to the watchlist can provide confirmation for Ethereum setups.
🧠 For a long position on ETH, it’s important that the coin enters a clear buying phase — similar to the strong pumps we’ve seen before. Recently, however, ETH has faced profit-taking and sharp sell-offs after rallies. The coming week will show us whether this pattern continues or a stronger bullish move emerges.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
ETH 4H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 23😃 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Winter got something for you!
⏰ We’re analyzing ETH on the 4-Hour timeframe.
👀 On the 4H timeframe of Ethereum, we see that after touching the maker buyer zone, ETH is bouncing upward. There’s a downtrend line ahead, and we need to watch how price reacts if it reaches that line today. The main long triggers are at 4614 and 4756 – once price breaks and holds above these levels, we can look to open a long position.
🧮 The RSI oscillator is moving up from below 50, heading toward this static resistance. If RSI crosses above 50, ETH could gain momentum to the upside and potentially break the downtrend line.
🕯 In the recent leg, the size, volume, and number of red candles increased, but once price hit the maker buyer zone, sellers were absorbed. Buyers stepped in, preventing further correction – showing strong demand for cheaper ETH. The current 4H candle also has healthy volume; if it closes strong in the next 30 minutes, ETH could push toward resistance and test it.
💸 On the 1H ETH/BTC chart, we can see price sitting at a strong resistance zone. If we get a confirmed candle close above it, ETH’s multi-timeframe trend could turn bullish again. Volatility is increasing on the 1H chart, and if the resistance level on RSI is crossed, momentum for ETH/USDT could also turn upward.
🧠 For a long position, it’s better to wait for the downtrend line to break, which gives us a higher-probability setup to follow through with a long trade.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
ETH 1H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 22😃 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Winter got something for you!
⏰ We’re analyzing ETH on the 1-Hour timeframe.
👀 On the 1-hour chart, we can see that Ethereum lost an important support level at $4,571 and then moved downward, finding support around $4,513. Two consecutive 1-hour candles have closed above this level. Currently, price is trading between $4,513 and $4,571, and a breakout of either zone could lead Ethereum toward the next support or resistance level.
🧮 The RSI oscillator is hovering around 50–30, indicating that a breach of these levels could trigger momentum toward the target zones.
🕯 The size and volume of red candles increased as price reached $4,621 after a short range, and the market then reversed downward. A significant support level was broken, accompanied by a large red “whale” candle reflecting strong selling pressure.
Ethereum may attempt to move toward resistance next, and it’s important to monitor the type and volume of candles forming in this area.
💸 On the ETH/BTC pair, we can see that after breaking its previous low, price moved downward but then found support around 0.0384 and is now moving upward. We need to monitor how far this pair can continue, as there is a resistance level at 0.03931. A breakout above this resistance could trigger a renewed upward move.
Additionally, the pair has formed a higher low compared to its previous bottom, providing the first confirmations of a bullish trend for ETH relative to BTC. This signals a potential long opportunity on this trading pair.
🧠 It’s better to wait for a clearer structure before opening new positions.
If you want to trade sooner, a break of resistance at $4,621 could offer a long position.
Another resistance level at $4,571 can also provide a potential long entry with lower risk, though the win probability is slightly lower — consider this a riskier trigger.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
ETH 1H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 21👋🏻 Hey everyone! How’s it going? Hope you’re all doing well.
❄️ Welcome to Crypto Winter.
⏰ Today, we’ll be analyzing ETH and exploring its potential opportunities.
👀 On the 1-hour timeframe, Ethereum broke its trendline after yesterday’s news and started moving upward. It is currently testing resistance at $4,619, and a confirmed breakout above this level could open the way for further upside movement.
🧮 Looking at the RSI oscillator, two key zones stand out. Given the positive economic news from yesterday and today, which increased capital inflows into equities, the 70 level and potential entry into the overbought zone become more significant. This could support Ethereum’s price in moving higher.
🕯 The size, volume, and frequency of green candles have increased. With continued buying pressure and momentum pushing into the overbought area, Ethereum may break the $4,619 resistance, absorb sell orders, and continue its upward move.
💸On the 1-hour timeframe, (ETHBTC), Ethereum is also showing strength. After breaking its trendline, it moved upward but is currently facing resistance at 0.0396 and has been rejected once. A breakout and stabilization above this zone would likely support further bullish movement for Ethereum against Tether as well.
🧠 If Ethereum confirms a breakout and holds above $4,619, it could trigger a strong bullish rally, potentially extending toward higher price levels. Traders should note that entries can be considered after stabilization with a multi-timeframe indecision candle setup. However, the possibility of pullbacks and corrections in Ethereum remains present.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
ETH 1H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 20👋🏻 Hey everyone! How’s it going? Hope you’re all doing well.
❄️ Welcome to Crypto Winter.
⏰ Today, we’ll be analyzing ETHUSDT and exploring its potential opportunities.
👀 On the 1-hour timeframe for Ethereum, we observe that after exiting its box, Ethereum entered a downtrend, marked by a trendline. As much as attention was given to it, suddenly it was ignored, and buyers could not keep the price high enough. Ethereum’s triggers are completely defined — with a breakout and confirmation of these zones, Ethereum can create trading opportunities for us.
🧮 The key RSI oscillator levels are 59 and 30. If momentum passes these levels, Ethereum could start its move, although it may be ignored at times. After rejection from the $4,757 zone, red candles were significantly larger than green candles. Today, Ethereum’s volume is increasing, and we need to see what will happen with the news for Ethereum.
💸 The ETH/BTC pair, or Ethereum versus Bitcoin, is currently in a compression resembling multi-timeframe accumulation. Exiting this compression can clearly determine Ethereum’s direction. The upper and lower bounds of this compression can be considered alert zones, where you can observe price behavior when it reaches these levels.
🔴 Today’s news could have a significant effect on Ethereum. Especially if a stepwise interest rate cut occurs, Ethereum could reach targets above $6,000 and create a larger DeFi space, particularly in terms of contract and collateral infrastructure.
🧠 To enter Ethereum positions, we need to wait for a bullish move in ETH/BTC, confirmation in ETH/USDT, and a breakout of key resistances. After these breakouts occur, we can enter at each level and stay in the trades as long as the market allows.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
ETH 4H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 19😃 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you!
⏰ We’re analyzing ETH on the 4-Hour timeframe.
🔭 ETH 4H Chart: Observing Ethereum on the 4-hour timeframe, after breaking the midline of the box, ETH closed above the box. Then, following the news, it formed a shadow that hit the lower box level, triggering a series of buy orders. Now, we’re watching to see if ETH will continue upward. The overall trend behind ETH is still bullish, and a breakout above the multi-timeframe range could push it toward the box’s top again.
⛏ Key RSI Levels: ETH’s RSI is around 70 and 50. A breach of these levels could signal the start of a move, especially following today’s inflation news impact.
💰 Candle Size & Volume: Green candle sizes and volume have increased. Yesterday, $164M of ETH was bought via ETFs, which is notable.
🪙 ETHBTC 4H Chart: Observing the ETH/BTC pair on the 4-hour timeframe, this pair tends to act slightly more precisely compared to ETH/USDT. Currently, it’s trading within a box with declining volume. News caused a reaction at the top of the box. If the box’s top breaks, a significant amount of BTC could convert into ETH, potentially pumping the ETH/USDT pair as well.
🔔 Entry & Target Zones: A potential early entry is around $4443, with the box top at $4500 — a strong resistance. If ETH breaks this level, it could aim for a new ATH. Make sure to confirm across multiple timeframes before taking a position.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
ETH 4H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 18😃 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you!
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-Hour timeframe.
🔭 On the 4-hour timeframe of Ethereum we can see that ETH is clearly in a very strong consolidation, and for several days even the oscillator has been ranging around the 50 zone. This time-based range will eventually come to an end. Ethereum now has two important levels ahead with the upcoming news: the top of the box midline at $4373, where breaking this zone could trigger a strong pump, and the bottom zone, which is a maker-buyer area at $4252, considered a very strong and important support for Ethereum.
⛏ The key RSI levels for Ethereum are at 57 and 40. If the range of oscillation crosses these levels, ETH could gain more volatility and even move toward its overbought or oversold regions. Usually, this type of short-term consolidation ends with a good price move once the compression is broken.
💰 The size, volume, and number of green candles have really decreased, and multiple candles inside the range have formed, creating a decision-making phase for ETH. With today’s PPI news, it is likely that one of these zones will either be touched or broken, and after this news, candles are expected to come with stronger volume.
🪙 On the 4-hour timeframe of the ETHBTC trading pair we can see that it is in a descending continuation channel. Each time the price has reached the top or bottom of this channel, it has reacted with a reversal and then moved in the opposite direction. Currently, ETHBTC is above its midline and has shown a positive reaction to it. The volatility of this pair has significantly decreased in recent days and is now ranging under its 50 zone. A breakout above the channel top and the 0.03893 level could start a bullish move.
💡 The zones we are considering for Ethereum’s top and bottom are $4493 and $4252. Breaking either of these levels after this multi-day consolidation could start a strong trend and even a sharp directional move! Keep in mind that war and economic news have created interconnections for risky markets—trade with low risk.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
ETH 1H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 17💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you!
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-Hour timeframe.
🔭 On the 1H timeframe for Ethereum (ETH), price rejected strongly from the 4336$ resistance and started moving lower. ETH is now trading close to its support zone at 4286$, having recently broken out of a consolidation range.
⛏ On the RSI, the key levels are 70 and 37. A move beyond these zones could trigger momentum toward either overbought or oversold conditions. Keep in mind that volatility is still closely tied to macroeconomic news.
💰 Candle structure shows increasing red candle size and volume, signaling stronger selling pressure. With ETH being heavily involved in both futures contracts and DeFi markets, much of this move reflects profit-taking and sell pressure at higher levels.
🪙 Looking at the ETHBTC pair on the 1H, the chart shows a steady downtrend within a compression zone. If ETH loses its current support, the pair could extend further down. The volatility index for this pair is sitting at 45.52, below the 50 zone, and with short positions picking up, ETH could face additional sell pressure.
💡 The current zone ETH is trading in looks like a maker-buy area, but likely to be broken by whale candles.
For short positions : The better setup would be to wait for a whale candle break, then enter on the pullback for higher win rate.
For long positions : A clean breakout above 4336$ would allow for an order stop-buy entry or a pullback + candlestick confirmation setup to get in long.
⚠️ Note: Today looks like a high-impact day with global shifts in play—trade with reduced risk.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated.
ETH 4H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 15💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you !
⏰ We’re analyzing ETH on the 4-Hour timeframe .
🔭 On the 4-hour timeframe for Ethereum, we can see that ETH is currently moving inside a very strong box and is preparing for this week’s upcoming news. The resistance (ceiling) of this box sits at $4,471, while the support (floor) is around $4,254. Once either of these levels is broken, Ethereum could make a strong move after this long consolidation phase. There’s also an early trigger zone at $4,332; if ETH breaks and stabilizes above this level, we can consider entering a position toward the top of the box.
⛏ Key RSI levels for Ethereum are at 58 and 40. Breaking these ranges could signal the start of a strong move. With increased volatility, ETH could even push toward the overbought (OB) or oversold (OS) zones.
💰 Currently, the size and volume of candles have dropped significantly — something we often see during holiday sessions. But with the start of the new week and upcoming economic reports, Ethereum could generate bigger candles and stronger momentum once it breaks out of this box.
🪙 Looking at the ETHBTC pair on the 4-hour timeframe, the chart still looks bearish with decreasing volume. The current zone is considered a maker-buyer area, and we’ll need to watch how the whales react here. If this level is lost, Ethereum could face a deeper correction and move toward its lower support levels.
💡 Ethereum currently has 3 alarm zones:
A short alarm zone at the bottom of the box — if broken, it could trigger stronger selling pressure.
A long alarm zone #1 at $4,332, acting as an early trigger for a potential breakout toward the top.
A long alarm zone #2 at $4,471 — breaking and holding above this level could lead to a solid upward move.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .






















