Ethfall — Trading Ideas on TradingView

On the 10th Day of ETHmas...An Early Christmas Present - FULL TP On the 10th day of ETHmas, My True Love gave to me....a Big Push Up to my TP!!!! ....and a new Daily Structure that could be a Game Changer! Wow! This ETH play has been absolutely amazing! Today, we continued playing out just as expected and hit our full TP Target of the H4 Daily Source Zone. Please see our previous posts on ETH over the past month to see exactly how we have walked through a solid Technical and Structural Analysis of ETH, and how it played out perfectly! So, what has happened: The last day or so has seen what appeared to be a choppy back and forth of the market...responding to more completely irrelevant crypto news, Fed Rate Talks, Microstrategy Megabuys and more. All the while, the market has been simply playing out structure that was laid out a month ago. Today saw ETH push extremely hard ($200+ move), making many think that the Bull run was kicking off again. BTC saw a near identical move. Unfortunately, too many traders chased this pump, only to be slapped back down once it hit the H4 Supply Source that we have been targeting. It is a Supply Source, because that is where the market has already told us that it has been waiting to sell. Unfortunately, too many over zealous traders and investors had no clue and got caught in another big TRAP! So, where are we now?: As of this post time, again, we have hit our bullish target for now and got an early Christmas Gift. It was uncertain how long the market would take to push up here, but it did so quickly. At this point, the expected pullback has pushed ETH back down significantly. However, this is still NORMAL MARKET STRUCTURE and no need for alarm. A rejection of an H4 Supply Source is most likely to push the market back down to test a higher time frame support. In this case, it is the last Daily Demand Zone (2980 - 3200). This zone was just created yesterday, December 9th, so it's a new area. BUT, we have to expect the market to pull back to the latest Demand Zone to seek support for moving forward. What to look for next?: Now, that we have pushed down near this Daily Demand Zone, we need to go to the correlating H1 Time frame to look for signs that the fall is ending. This Demand Zone is stacked with buyers waiting to buy ETH, but where in this $220 range will they actually start doing it? The H1 will give us a strong indication. $2980- $3040 is the H1 Source within that bigger daily zone, so that is the most likely target. So, look for an H1 BOS UP coming out of this Daily Demand Zone for the sign that the buyers are ready to step in. Once we see that, I'd expect one more pullback on the H1 (this pullback would need to stay within the Daily Zone) and then we can continue marching upwards. What to look out for? The New Daily Structure!: Now, if we get into this Daily Demand Zone and see an H4 close below it, that is a significant problem. Why? Because all the while we have been carrying out this H4 play....the Daily Time Frame has been making its own structure. A. We got a Daily BOS UP on yesterday when we made a new recent high and created this big Daily Demand Zone. The BOS UP was a close above the previous Daily Supply Zone. SOOOO...we could actually be seeing the same market structure play out on the Daily that we have seen on the H4 this past month. With this Daily BOS UP, the market is likely to return to the Source of that Break...the BOS Demand Source (2610 - 2880). That would be an unwelcomed fall, but it is structure! The only thing preventing that is IF we hold this Daily Demand Zone. That's why I mentioned and H4 close below 2980 is trouble. So, from here, we need to "Read" the market and play accordingly. Hopefully, this analysis helps you all as traders or investors to see where we are going and why. Please drop me your comments, suggestions, and other feedback. Also, if you have a favorite pair that you would like me to analyze, I can take a look at it as well. We'd love to help you gain a solid market analysis strategy that can keep you profitable and out of danger in these markets!

ETHmas Tree...Oh, ETHmas Tree...Thy Candles are so Falling!!!What in the World is going on with ETH, you say??? Well, this is following our market structure almost to a T. See my previous posts on ETH to see how we got here and why the market is moving the way it is. This is Structural Market Making Moves, and has absolutely nothing to do with the News, Tariffs, Fed Reports, etc. What just happened: In the last look, we had an H1 BOS up that led us all the way back up to this H4 Supply Zone. Over the Thanksgiving Holiday and long weekend, the market tried to push up and break out of this zone. BUT...it is an H4 Supply zone, and as mentioned previously, there are a LOT of sellers waiting to sell their ETH here. After failing to overcome those sellers, we have seen the huge rejection expected. What is significant about this move: It is VERY important to note now that during all of this up and down over the weekend, and the ultimate failure to break any higher, we have gotten an H4 BOS Up from the lows....This H4 Supply Zone was broken with a closed H4 Candle. So, at this point we are looking for the market to push back down to the Source of that H4 BOS ~ (2680 - 2750). So, this huge fall we've just seen should take us back down to that area to retest and see IF the overall Fall from All Time Highs is finally over. What to look for: From here, we need to watch as we approach this H4 BOS Source and look for signs on the 15 min that the drop will end there. The H4 BOS could hold, but there is still the prevailing Weekly Demand Zone (~2150 - 2670) that is what is overall pulling the price down. So, this H4 BOS zone is the first attempt to see if the Weekly Zone is satisfied. If this H4 BOS Zone holds and we do not get an H4 close below it, ETH could finally start to regain strength. Otherwise, if this H4 BOS Zone gets broken with an H4 close, then the weekly takes over again, and we're back to looking at the Weekly View. The Daily Source of that large weekly zone is still the target (~2150-2300).

Is the ETH Problem Solved Yet????ETH has traded exactly as expected from this last recent high and break down of structure that followed. Please see my last analysis on ETH from 11/11/25. We have dropped down into this Weekly Demand Zone (2150 - 2680), and are now seeing a bullish response out of it as expected. This response is most likely to pull back up to retest the previous Daily Demand Zone (2900 - 2980) and get Rejected. The most likely targe of this fall is still to continue to the Daily Source inside of this weekly zone. The problem is that this Weekly Demand Zone was very large, leaving a wide range of buyers in this area. The most concentrated demand will be inside of the Daily Source (2150 - 2314). This is just the market being the market and following a solid technical analysis structure. What to look for Next?: Keep in mind that the overall market is STILL BULLISH. This so called "collapse of the market, flash crash, crypto winter", etc. is only because we extended way too far from the last Weekly Demand Zone. The price of ETH and BTC pushed too far, too fast, and we are only returning to normal market structure. There HAS to be this kind of correction in the market in order to move forward. So, to resume the bullish case for ETH right now, all we need to see a clear Break of Structure out of this large Weekly Demand Zone on the H4 Time frame. The H4 will be the tell tell sign that the decline is ending. That is most likely to happen within the Daily Source Zone highlighted (2150 - 2314). We need to see a clear H4 Break of the last supply zone and a retest to get out of this 2700 price range area and continue with the overall still bullish trend. Don't be fooled by these bullish responses right now - we are not ready to go bullish again until we see what I described above. Every other bullish pump right now is a trap, and should be traded accordingly.

ETH-3h. Sellers still have a chance for revenge.The weakness of the local trend of falling ETH prices from December 1 forced sellers to retreat to $ 530. The price did not reach the goal of our previous idea . However, has the price correction been completed? The local level noted in the previous idea was not broken. The $600-620 price range stood. Even the local range of $ 585-582 remained under the control of sellers. (from this range on December 8 began to fall to $ 530). The current growth has taken place without any accumulation of buyers. We are generally silent against the trend line. Local continuation of ETH growth is possible after fixing over $585. Otherwise, buyers will expect a better price. _______________________________ We create both short-term ideas (for a local understanding of the market situation) and medium-term forecasts of price movements. Subscribe to us and get daily concise analytics!

BTC DOWN, ETH DOWN, Will Daily 200EMA stop the fall? Hi guys, Ok the last trade of mine didnt played out well so far..The power of Bears is huge. I am not much into deep fundamental analysis but I think that the panic on financial markets across the globe is obvious. It happens all the time over and over again throughout the years. The trigger of panic is everytime different but the results are similar.. High volatility is great for traders and Almost everytime in longterm big drops are followed by even bigger bullruns.. Indicies , crypto, gold.. everything.. For me is better buying into falling market and be temporarily in red than try to buy tops and jump into already accellerating markets. So until the Eth dont close under the daily 200EMA I am not worried. If it will.. well.. than I shoul maybe consider getting out on some pullback. Try to zoom out and get the bigger picture.. I dont see many reasons to panic. We are still between 50% to 60% corrected from last top. 50%. Still chance for Eth to stay in mid term to long term bulltrend in my opinion. Position type: Long Entry Level: 230 Everything is just my opinion and my point of view. Maybe entirely wrong :) It will be great to hear from you your opinion on the situation and what you see likely to happen in upcoming days/weeks Wish you successfull trading! See you in tomorrow update! Mike