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ETHUSDT – 4H Chart ETHUSDT – 4H Chart Structure: Falling channel intact Trend: Range-bound with mild bearish pressure Ichimoku: Price inside/below cloud → trend still weak MA: Price is struggling around the moving average Support: 2,880 – 2,900 Major Support: 2,780 – 2,800 Resistance: 3,050 – 3,120 zone A clear break & hold above 3,120 can open upside toward 3,300+. Below 2,900, downside retest of 2,800 remains possible. ⚠️ Wait for confirmation — ETH is still consolidating. Manage risk.
Long
by CryptoSanders9563
Ethereum (ETHUSDT): Short-Term Recovery Attempt Hi guys! ETH is still trading inside a well-defined descending channel, keeping the broader short-term structure bearish. The previous upside breakout attempt near the upper boundary resulted in a clear fakeout, confirming strong supply pressure at higher levels. Following that rejection, price experienced a sharp sell-off and formed a notable double bottom structure around the 2,800–2,850 zone, indicating demand absorption and short-term stabilization. Currently, price is consolidating below a key supply zone around 3,000–3,020, which acts as a pivotal decision area. This zone aligns with prior intraday resistance and must be reclaimed to confirm further upside. A sustained breakout and acceptance above this area would open the path toward the upper channel resistance near 3,125–3,130, which is the next major technical target. On the downside, failure to hold above the current support zone would invalidate the recovery structure and could lead to another retest of the recent lows.
by melikatrader94
18
ETH Is Quiet — But the Next Move Won’t BeETH/USD – H1 Technical Analysis Market Structure: ETH is currently consolidating after a strong rebound from the support zone. Price is compressing just below a key resistance area, indicating balance between buyers and sellers rather than trend continuation or breakdown. Key Zones: Immediate Resistance: The highlighted resistance zone above current price. This area has rejected price multiple times → supply remains active. Support Zone: The lower green zone continues to hold firmly, confirming buyers are defending dips. Price Behavior: Sideways consolidation near resistance = absorption phase, not weakness. No impulsive rejection yet → sellers are not in full control. This structure often precedes volatility expansion. Primary Scenario: If ETH breaks and holds above the resistance zone with volume, upside continuation toward the next resistance cluster becomes likely. Alternative Scenario: A rejection from resistance could send price back to retest the support zone, where buyers are expected to re-enter. Summary: ETH is not trending it is loading liquidity. Patience is key. Wait for a confirmed breakout or a clean rejection before committing risk.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by Gold_Dominator
2
ETHUSD - Leverage Ratio Hits ALL-TIME HIGH BITSTAMP:ETHUSD is trading at approximately 2976 USD after a sharp 28 percent correction from the December 14-15 highs near 3980 USD to the December 18-19 lows around 2850 USD. While the hawkish Federal Reserve meeting triggered this selloff, on-chain data is flashing unprecedented bullish signals. Binance's Estimated Leverage Ratio just hit an ALL-TIME HIGH of 0.611, and the Taker Buy/Sell Ratio spiked to 1.13 - levels not seen since September 2023. Traders are positioning aggressively for upside. The question now: is the capitulation complete, or does high leverage create liquidation risk? Current Market Context - December 21, 2025 Ethereum experienced one of its sharpest weekly declines in recent months, dropping from nearly 4000 USD to below 2900 USD in just four days. The catalyst was the Federal Reserve December 18 meeting where the central bank delivered a more hawkish stance than markets anticipated, projecting only two rate cuts for 2026. The selloff was exacerbated by: Broad risk-off sentiment across all crypto assets Bitcoin dropping from 108000 USD to below 92000 USD Over 1 billion USD in crypto liquidations within 24 hours Ethereum ETF outflows as institutional investors reduced exposure Year-end profit taking and portfolio rebalancing However, the bounce from 2850 USD and current stabilization around 2976 USD suggests the initial panic selling may be exhausted. More importantly, on-chain metrics are telling a different story than price action. CRITICAL ON-CHAIN DATA - Record Bullish Positioning Estimated Leverage Ratio - ALL-TIME HIGH Data from CryptoQuant shows Ethereum's Estimated Leverage Ratio on Binance has climbed to 0.611 - the highest level EVER recorded for this metric. This ratio compares open interest to exchange reserves, revealing how much borrowed capital traders are deploying relative to available liquidity. What this means: Traders are committing record leveraged positions anticipating favorable price movement Current reading surpasses ALL previous cycle peaks This environment amplifies price moves - modest spot changes can trigger large liquidations Risk appetite among traders is at unprecedented levels Taker Buy/Sell Ratio - Highest Since September 2023 The Taker Buy/Sell Ratio recently spiked to 1.13 on Binance - a level last observed in September 2023. A reading above 1 indicates market participants are executing more buy orders than sell orders. Strong taker demand combined with rising leverage reveals optimism dominating short-term sentiment Historical data shows spikes in this ratio often coincide with increased volatility Traders are positioning ahead of a potential attempt to reclaim 3000 USD This buying pressure is notable given ETH is trading around 2900-3000 USD WARNING: While these metrics are bullish, record leverage is a double-edged sword. If price moves against leveraged positions, liquidation cascades can accelerate downside moves dramatically. Technical Structure Analysis Price Action Overview - 45 Minute Timeframe Analyzing the chart from December 14-21, 2025: Phase 1 - Distribution and Initial Decline (Dec 14-16): Price peaked near 3980 USD on December 14 Initial breakdown below 3900 USD signaled distribution Steady decline through 3800, 3700, 3600 levels Lower highs forming on each bounce attempt Volume increasing on down moves - classic distribution signature Phase 2 - Capitulation Event (Dec 17-19): Sharp acceleration of selling on December 17-18 Price crashed through multiple support levels without pause Breakdown from 3400 to 2850 USD in approximately 36 hours This represented a 16 percent drop in less than two days Capitulation volume spike visible on the December 18-19 lows Long wicks on candles near 2850 USD showing buyer absorption Phase 3 - Stabilization and Accumulation (Dec 19-21): Strong bounce from 2850 USD low Price recovered to 2976 USD representing 4.4 percent recovery from lows Higher lows forming: 2850 to 2880 to 2920 to current levels Consolidation range establishing between 2950-3000 USD Decreasing volatility suggesting selling pressure exhaustion On-chain data confirms accumulation phase is active Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Levels: 3000-3020 USD - Immediate psychological resistance and round number 3080-3100 USD - Previous support turned resistance from December 17 3200-3250 USD - Major horizontal resistance zone 3400-3450 USD - Secondary resistance from pre-crash consolidation 3600-3650 USD - Major resistance zone 3900-4000 USD - December highs and psychological barrier Support Levels: 2950-2960 USD - Immediate support from current consolidation 2900-2920 USD - Recent higher low support 2850-2870 USD - Capitulation low and critical support 2700-2800 USD - MAJOR DEMAND ZONE (Analyst Confluence) 2600-2650 USD - Deep support from November 2025 levels The 2700-2800 Demand Zone - Analyst Confluence Crypto analyst Ted Pillows has outlined a clear technical roadmap identifying the 2700-2800 USD zone as a major demand area . According to his analysis, ETH recently tapped into this important demand zone and has started to rebound. This move occurred when Ethereum broke below 3000 USD to reach a low of 2781 USD on December 18. Multiple analysts are highlighting this zone as critical support with strong buyer interest. The fact that price bounced sharply from this area and on-chain metrics show record bullish positioning suggests smart money is accumulating here. Chart Pattern Analysis The current structure shows characteristics of a potential falling wedge pattern: Lower highs connecting from 3980 to 3400 to 3100 area Lower lows from 3600 to 3000 to 2850 However, the most recent price action shows higher lows forming off 2850 This divergence between lower highs and higher lows creates compression Breakout direction will determine next major move Falling wedges typically resolve to the upside Fibonacci Retracement Analysis Measuring from the November 2025 low (approximately 2400 USD) to the December 2025 high (3980 USD): 0.236 retracement: 3607 USD - Already broken 0.382 retracement: 3376 USD - Already broken 0.5 retracement: 3190 USD - Already broken 0.618 retracement: 3004 USD - Currently testing this level 0.786 retracement: 2739 USD - Held as support (low was 2850) The bounce from near the 0.786 Fibonacci level is significant. This deep retracement level often marks the end of corrections in strong trends. The current test of the 0.618 level (3004 USD) will be crucial - a reclaim would be bullish, rejection would suggest more downside. Fundamental Analysis Federal Reserve Impact The December 18, 2025 FOMC meeting was the primary catalyst for the selloff: Fed held rates steady but projected only two rate cuts for 2026 Markets had priced in three to four cuts, creating hawkish surprise Fed Chair emphasized data dependency and willingness to maintain restrictive policy Higher-for-longer rates increase opportunity cost of holding crypto assets Risk assets across the board sold off following the announcement Altcoin Season Approaching - January 2026 A growing number of market analysts believe the long-awaited altcoin season may finally arrive in January 2026, with new data suggesting a shift in liquidity conditions. Ethereum's market behavior has attracted analysts who are highlighting a shift in leadership, typically seen only after a strong Bitcoin rally. This is significant because: Bitcoin has already made its major move from 60K to 108K Capital rotation into altcoins typically follows BTC dominance peaks ETH historically leads altcoin rallies January sees fresh institutional allocations entering the market Ethereum-Specific Fundamentals Despite the price decline, Ethereum fundamentals remain constructive: Ethereum staking continues to grow with over 34 million ETH staked Layer 2 adoption accelerating with Base, Arbitrum, and Optimism seeing record activity Ethereum ETF infrastructure now established providing institutional access Pectra upgrade scheduled for Q1 2026 bringing account abstraction improvements DeFi Total Value Locked on Ethereum remains above 60 billion USD Security Concerns - Risk Factor The crypto space continues to face security challenges: December 20: A trader lost nearly 50 million USD in USDT to an address poisoning attack 2025 has seen over 3.4 billion USD in crypto thefts - a record year The February Bybit hack (1.4 billion USD) accounted for 44 percent of annual losses These incidents create headline risk and can spook retail investors However, institutional infrastructure and security practices continue improving ETF Flow Analysis Ethereum ETF flows have been mixed: December saw net outflows as institutions reduced risk exposure ahead of year-end The post-Fed selloff accelerated ETF redemptions However, long-term institutional interest remains intact January typically sees renewed institutional buying as new year allocations begin ETF structure provides easier access for institutions to re-enter on dips Ethereum vs Bitcoin Analysis The ETH/BTC ratio provides important context: ETH has underperformed BTC during this correction ETH/BTC ratio declined from 0.037 to 0.032 area This underperformance is typical during risk-off periods However, ETH tends to outperform during recovery phases Vitalik Buterin himself said years ago he would respect a technically competent rival - but none has emerged A stabilization in ETH/BTC would be early signal of ETH strength returning Directional Bias Assessment Arguments for Bullish Reversal: LEVERAGE RATIO AT ALL-TIME HIGH (0.611) - Record bullish positioning TAKER BUY/SELL RATIO AT 1.13 - Highest since September 2023 Capitulation volume and price action suggest panic selling exhausted Bounce from 0.786 Fibonacci level is technically significant 2700-2800 demand zone confirmed by multiple analysts Higher lows forming off the 2850 USD bottom Exchange outflows during dip suggest accumulation occurring Altcoin season expected January 2026 per multiple analysts Strong fundamental backdrop with staking growth and L2 adoption Pectra upgrade catalyst approaching in Q1 2026 Arguments for Bearish Continuation: Price remains below all major moving averages No confirmed trend reversal pattern yet Fed hawkishness could continue pressuring risk assets RECORD LEVERAGE = LIQUIDATION RISK if price drops ETH underperforming BTC suggests relative weakness Holiday liquidity conditions could exacerbate any selling 3000 USD psychological resistance may cap rallies Security concerns (50M hack, 3.4B stolen in 2025) create headline risk ETF outflows may continue into year-end My Assessment - Bullish with Leverage Caution: The weight of evidence leans bullish. Record on-chain metrics showing unprecedented trader positioning for upside, combined with technical support holding and analyst confluence on the 2700-2800 demand zone, suggests the capitulation low should hold. HOWEVER - the record leverage is a double-edged sword. If 2850 breaks, liquidation cascades could accelerate the move down significantly. Bullish Confirmation: A daily close above 3050 USD with volume would confirm the bottom and open path to 3200-3400 USD. Bearish Confirmation: A break below 2850 USD would trigger leveraged liquidations and open path to 2600-2750 USD. Short-term (next 1-2 weeks): Bullish bias. On-chain data strongly supports upside. Expect attempt to reclaim 3000 USD and test 3200 USD. Long-term (1-3 months): Bullish. Altcoin season catalyst in January, Pectra upgrade in Q1, and structural drivers intact. Targets of 3400-3600 USD valid for Q1 2026. Trade Framework Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout Trade Entry Conditions: 45-minute candle closes decisively above 3020 USD Volume on breakout candle exceeds recent average RSI breaks above 55 confirming momentum shift Trade Parameters: Entry: 3025-3050 USD on confirmed breakout Stop Loss: 2920 USD below recent higher low Target 1: 3150-3200 USD previous support zone Target 2: 3350-3400 USD major resistance Target 3: 3550-3600 USD extended target Risk-Reward: Approximately 1:2.5 to first target Scenario 2: Buy the Dip at Demand Zone Entry Conditions: Price retests 2700-2800 USD demand zone Bullish rejection candle with long lower wick RSI showing oversold bounce Volume spike on the bounce candle Trade Parameters: Entry: 2750-2800 USD on demand zone retest Stop Loss: 2650 USD below demand zone Target 1: 3000-3020 USD psychological resistance Target 2: 3150-3200 USD major resistance Target 3: 3350-3400 USD extended target Risk-Reward: Approximately 1:3 to first target Scenario 3: Bearish Breakdown Trade Entry Conditions: 45-minute candle closes below 2850 USD Volume confirmation on breakdown Leverage liquidations begin cascading Trade Parameters: Entry: 2840-2850 USD on confirmed breakdown Stop Loss: 2920 USD above recent consolidation Target 1: 2750-2780 USD secondary support Target 2: 2650-2700 USD major support Target 3: 2500-2550 USD extended target Risk-Reward: Approximately 1:2 to first target Risk Management Guidelines Position sizing should not exceed 2-3 percent risk per trade CRITICAL: Record leverage means volatility will be amplified Reduce size during holiday period due to lower liquidity Use hard stop losses - liquidation cascades can move price fast Scale into positions using multiple entries rather than single entry Take partial profits at each target level (33 percent at each) Move stop to breakeven after first target achieved Monitor BTC price action as correlation remains high Invalidation Levels Bullish thesis invalidated if: Price closes below 2700 USD on 4-hour or daily timeframe Lower low forms below the December 18-19 capitulation low ETH/BTC ratio breaks to new lows below 0.030 BTC breaks below 88000 USD triggering broader selloff Bearish thesis invalidated if: Price closes above 3200 USD with volume Higher high forms above 3100 USD RSI breaks above 60 with momentum ETH/BTC ratio recovers above 0.036 Conclusion BITSTAMP:ETHUSD has experienced a sharp 28 percent correction from the December highs near 3980 USD to the capitulation low around 2850 USD. While the Fed meeting triggered the selloff, on-chain data tells a powerfully bullish story. The Numbers That Matter: Leverage Ratio: 0.611 - ALL-TIME HIGH Taker Buy/Sell Ratio: 1.13 - Highest since September 2023 Demand Zone: 2700-2800 USD - Multiple analyst confluence Fibonacci Support: 0.786 level held (2739 USD) Key Levels to Watch: 3000-3020 USD - Breakout confirmation level 2850 USD - Critical support / capitulation low 2700-2800 USD - Major demand zone 3200 USD - Major resistance for trend confirmation Trading Approach: The on-chain data strongly favors bulls, but record leverage means you must respect risk management. Wait for either: Bullish breakout above 3020 USD with volume to confirm bottom Retest of 2700-2800 USD demand zone for lower-risk long entry Breakdown below 2850 USD to flip bearish (watch for liquidation cascade) Altcoin season approaching in January 2026 provides a macro tailwind. The setup favors patient bulls who manage risk appropriately. Drop your comments below on the next move for ETH!
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD
by officialjackofalltrades
2
ETH Just Defended the FloorETHUSD (H1) — MARKET ANALYSIS 1. Market Structure Ethereum has successfully defended the key support zone around 2,900 – 2,920, forming a strong rejection candle after the recent sell-off. This confirms that the prior drop was a liquidity sweep, not a trend reversal. The structure now shows a higher low, signaling a short-term bullish shift. 2. Key Zones Support Zone: 2,900 – 2,920 This level has been tested and defended decisively, indicating active demand. Target 1: ~3,060 First upside objective aligned with previous intraday resistance. Target 2: ~3,160 Higher liquidity target and next major resistance zone. 3. Price Action & Momentum Strong impulsive bullish candle from support → clear sign of buyer aggression. Pullback structure remains shallow, showing no strong selling pressure. Price acceptance above support suggests continuation rather than retracement. 4. Market Psychology This move reflects smart money re-entry after forcing weak hands out below support. Late sellers are now trapped, and any consolidation above the support zone increases the probability of a trend continuation push upward. 5. Scenario Outlook 🔼 Primary Scenario (High Probability): Hold above 2,900 – 2,920 Minor consolidation / pullback Expansion toward: TP1: 3,060 TP2: 3,160 🔽 Invalidation Scenario: Strong breakdown and close below 2,880 → would open room for a deeper correction. Conclusion ETH is showing clean bullish re-accumulation behavior after a liquidity grab. As long as price holds above the support zone, the path of least resistance remains to the upside, with buyers firmly back in control.
OANDA:ETHUSDLong
by RexTraderSignal
Ethereum Is Compressing After Repeated Sell-OffOn the H1 timeframe, Ethereum continues to show a clear bearish structure, defined by a series of sharp impulsive sell-offs followed by weak, overlapping consolidations. Each prior bounce has failed to develop into a meaningful recovery, and price continues to form lower highs, confirming that sellers remain in control. The current sideways movement near 2,840 is corrective in nature, not a base for reversal. Structurally, ETH is displaying a classic bearish pause: volatility expansion to the downside, followed by tight compression with declining momentum. This type of price behavior typically precedes continuation, not reversal. As long as price remains capped below the recent breakdown area, the probability favors another leg lower, with downside liquidity sitting below the current consolidation range. From a macro and U.S. policy perspective, Ethereum remains under pressure from the same forces weighing on broader crypto markets. The Federal Reserve’s restrictive monetary stance, elevated real yields, and a relatively firm USD continue to drain liquidity from risk assets. In addition, ETH lacks a near-term narrative strong enough to offset macro headwinds, especially in an environment where capital remains selective and risk appetite is subdued. Bottom line: Ethereum is not building strength it is absorbing supply after repeated sell-offs. Until macro conditions ease or ETH reclaims key resistance with acceptance, rallies should be treated as temporary pauses within a broader bearish sequence, with downside continuation remaining the higher-probability scenario.
COINBASE:ETHUSDShort
by Gold_Dominator
2
ETH/USDT – 4H Quick UpdateETH/USDT – 4H Quick Update ETH has bounced strongly from the rising trendline support near 2,900, confirming that buyers are active. The price is now holding above the short-term moving averages, which supports a bullish short-term bias. The current move looks like a reaction from a demand zone, not a random pump. Support: 2,900–2,880 Resistance: 3,100–3,150 Targets: 3,300–3,400 (Upper trendline) 3,500+ if momentum increases ETH is reacting right from the main decision area. As long as the structure holds, the chart favors a continuation towards the upper trendline. ⚠️ This is not financial advice. Trade with confirmation and risk management. DYOR | NFA.
Long
by CryptoSanders9563
Ethereum Is Absorbing Supply — The Break Comes After PatienceEthereum on H1 is holding inside a well-defined sideways range following the sharp impulsive sell-off, with price now rotating between a defended support zone and a capped resistance band around the 3,000–3,020 area. This type of tight consolidation after an aggressive move lower signals absorption rather than continuation, as sellers fail to push price into acceptance below support while buyers are not yet strong enough to reclaim resistance. The structure suggests balance and compression, not trend resolution, with liquidity building on both sides of the range. From a macro perspective, this behavior aligns with the broader crypto environment. Risk sentiment has stabilized, and while liquidity conditions are not expanding aggressively, there is no fresh macro shock to justify another impulsive leg down. Expectations around U.S. monetary policy remain relatively steady, limiting USD strength and allowing crypto assets like ETH to consolidate instead of breaking down. However, the lack of strong liquidity inflows also explains why upside remains capped and corrective for now. As long as ETH continues to hold the support zone, downside is likely limited to range rotation rather than trend continuation. A clean acceptance above the resistance zone would signal alignment between technical structure and macro conditions, opening the path toward a stronger recovery move. Until that breakout occurs, this is a patience phase the edge appears only when price leaves the range with clear intent.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
1
ETHUSDT - Chart Update (4H)ETHUSDT - Chart Update (4H) ETH has reacted perfectly to the brokerage trendline, forming a potential reversal zone. If support holds in the lower range, a V-shaped recovery is possible. Support: 2.85K–2.9K (Must hold) Upside potential: Break and hold above 3.1K → 3.5K Key Resistance: 3.55K–3.6K Trendline Zone As long as 2.85K holds, the bullish scenario remains valid. A move above this level would confirm further upside. Higher risk, higher reward zone - Awaiting confirmation. DYOR | NFA.
Long
by CryptoSanders9563
ETH Is Not Recovering — It’s ReloadingETHEREUM (ETH/USD) — 1H MARKET ANALYSIS Trend Continuation Setup | Macro-Aligned 1. Market Structure Overview ETH has completed a sharp bearish impulse and is now stabilizing above the 3,050–3,070 demand base. The recent rebound shows acceptance back into value, forming a short-term higher low on the 1H. Structure is transitioning from sell-off to accumulation-within-range, not a full reversal yet, but conditions favor continuation. 2. Key Levels & Liquidity Primary Demand: 3,050–3,070 (defended multiple times; liquidity already swept). Mid-Range Acceptance: ~3,135 (current balance point). Targets (Liquidity Above): Target 1: 3,190 Target 2: 3,225 Target 3: 3,260 These targets align with prior intraday highs and resting buy-side liquidity. 3. Macro Context (1H Bias) Macro conditions remain supportive but cautious. With rate-cut expectations still alive and no immediate risk-off catalyst in the session, ETH tends to outperform during stabilization phases after aggressive sell-offs. Short-term flows favor mean reversion higher as risk appetite returns incrementally. 4. Intraday Scenarios Primary Scenario (Bullish Continuation): Shallow pullback into 3,105–3,115, followed by bullish continuation. Break and hold above 3,150 opens the path to 3,190 → 3,225 → 3,260. Invalidation / Risk Scenario: Acceptance below 3,050 on a 1H close invalidates the setup and reopens downside toward 3,000 psychological support. 5. Trading Guidance Favor buy the dip setups near demand; avoid chasing mid-range. Use confirmation on pullbacks (rejection wicks / bullish closes). Manage risk tightly; volatility expansion is likely once liquidity above is targeted. Discipline beats prediction — wait for structure, trade the confirmation, and let liquidity do the work.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by RexTraderSignal
2
ETH – Base Building After the PullbackHello everyone, ETH has stabilized after a sharp correction from the 4,500–4,800 zone. In recent weeks, price has been moving slowly within the 3,000–3,200 range, forming a relatively solid accumulation base. On the weekly timeframe, the bearish structure has weakened significantly, and the market appears to be preparing for a potential trend shift as multiple supportive signals begin to emerge. The most important highlight is that ETH has reclaimed the weekly EMA89 around the 3,050 level and has managed to hold above it . Staying above the EMA89 suggests that long-term selling pressure has eased and that dip-buying flows are returning. On the upside, the weekly EMA34 at 3,380–3,400 remains a key resistance zone — a level bulls must break to clearly confirm a new bullish leg. The current price structure also supports a recovery scenario. The 2,800–2,900 zone has formed the first higher low after the prolonged decline, indicating strong absorption of selling pressure. Weekly candles continue to print long lower wicks with relatively small bodies, showing that sell-offs at lower levels are being aggressively absorbed. At the same time, volume has been gradually improving, reflecting accumulation by longer-term investors rather than speculative flows. Given this context, ETH is likely to continue ranging between 3,000 and 3,400 to further build its base. A clear weekly close above 3,400 would serve as confirmation that the corrective structure has been broken, opening the door for a new upside phase. The next upside targets would be in the 3,750–3,900 area, and if capital inflows strengthen, an extended move toward 4,200–4,400 is possible — aligning with a major prior resistance cluster. Wishing you all a successful trading day!
BINANCE:ETHUSDLong
by DomicChaina
17
#ETH/USDT : Rebound Setup from ascending channel Support#ETH The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour timeframe. It has reached the lower boundary and is heading towards a breakout, with a retest of the upper boundary expected. We are seeing a bearish trend in the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which has reached near the lower boundary, and an upward bounce is expected. There is a key support zone in green at 3020, and the price has bounced from this level several times. Another bounce is expected. We are seeing a trend towards stabilizing above the 100-period moving average, which we are approaching, supporting the upward trend. Entry Price: 3100 First Target: 3200 Second Target: 3295 Third Target: 3395 Remember a simple principle: Money Management. Place your stop-loss order below the green support zone. For any questions, please leave a comment. Thank you.
BINANCE:ETHUSDLong
by CryptoAnalystSignal
ETH Trade Plan (December 12, 2025)ETH Trade Plan (December 12, 2025) (D1 / H4 / H1 / M15) ⬛️ 1. Higher Timeframe Context (D1 and H4) • D1 bias: bullish • D1 range (approx): $3,000 – $3,500 • Key D1 zones: • Supply: $3,450–$3,500 • Demand: $3,000–$3,192 • H4 bias: buy dips • H4 zones of interest: • H4 Sell Zone 1: – previous highs • H4 Buy Zone 1: – support cluster Active setups trend-aligned. ⬛️ 2. Preferred Setups by Horizon 🔳 2.1 Swing Setup (D1/H4) • Idea: Buy dips to $3,192 (trend-aligned). • Time horizon: multi-day. • Context: On-chain + macro. 🔲 2.2 Intraday Setup (H1 focus) • Idea: Long above $3,250. • Time horizon: intraday. • Context: Impulse regime. ▫️ 2.3 Scalp Setup (M15 focus) • Idea: Buy pullbacks with absorption. • Time horizon: minutes–hours. ▪️ 2.4 Arbitrage/Pairs Concept • None. ⬛️ 3. Entry Zones and Triggers 🟩 3.1 Long Setup (Trend-Aligned) • Execution timeframe: H1 • Trigger timeframe: M15 • Entry zone: • Context: H4 demand. • Pattern tags: Trigger conditions: • Hold support + positive delta. • ML-Predictive (15m): upside ≥ downside. • Risk not extreme. 🔴 4. Stops (Invalidation Levels) Long setups: • Stop: $3,100. • Logic: Demand break. 🟢 5. Targets Long: • TP1: $3,300 – H1 level. • TP2: $3,450 – H4 supply. • TP3 (optional): $3,500 – D1 objective. ⬛️ 6. Position Sizing • Baseline risk: • Trend-aligned: 1.0. • Adjust: medium uncertainty (Fed). Final: 0.7 for long. ⬛️ 7. Risk Flags • Fed event. • Put skew. • Mixed flows. ⬛️ 8. Flip Conditions • Long to bear: Below $3,192 + sell delta. ⬛️ 9. Alternative Scenario Rejection at $3,450: short zone $3,400–$3,450, stop $3,500, targets $3,300/$3,192. Failed break vs continuation. ⬛️ 10. Model Self-Critique • Assumptions: Rally on macro, no surprise. • Vulnerabilities: Risk-off. • Do not overleverage pre-event. ⬛️ 11. Uncertainty and Constraints • Uncertainty.level: medium. • Avoid leverage, require confirmation.
CRYPTO:ETHUSDLong
by BTC_ETH_Intra_Day_Analysis
2