breakout confirmed, what's next ?RSI just confirmed the breakout,
Most indicators are now reset, so there isn't much else to say
I have 3 TP above where price might turn
Looking at alts such as IOTA, BCH an XRP, i'd say wave 3 was probably the top of wave 1, this count would bring us to the target on top
Ethpriceanalysis
comprehensive analysis1) Trend analysis
We have the descending channel of the downtrend
We had the rising channel of the swing high
And we've just established a new base channel
2)Support and resistance
We have tested 480 twice and failed both time, it's the LAST resistance on our way out of the downtrend
We have confirmed 450 as a support, if this level break... Well...
3) Candle patterns
On the first break out attempt, we have a shooting star , visible on H4
On the second a hanging man , visible on H1
And on the daily we are seeing an evening star .
The weekly is showing bullish signs, with a potential, morning star (daily)
4) Indicators
If we look at BTC 2.76% , there was a higher high, but RSI made a lower high, this is a negative sign
ETH didn't make a new high at all, so RSI means nothing here
Macd has been failing to break higher since the first move up, as the arrow point
CMF 0.14% is more positive, on H4 it's been rising since yesterday low
5) Elliott Waves
An easy EW count is the one on this chart BUT i don't like how MACD fell short of making a new high (and confirming this as a wave 3)
A bullish alternative would be 3=i and 4=ii, we went down to fib 0.236 yesterday and that would work better with the indicators
A bearish count would see 1 through 3 as a leading diagonal
An even more bearish count would see it as an ABC
5) Demark Trendlines
I only had upside target up to now, near 520
But i'm starting to have targets to the downside
Break out targets in orange
6) Patterns
Besides the inverted head and shoulders taht everyone must be talking about, all of the above hint to me to think of a triangle
Watch RSI for it's confirmation, it should oscillate within those lines
Conclusion :
To remain bullish I would like to see a triangle (that would confirm the wave 3 theory)
Or a breakout on the next daily candle, that would invalidate the bearish sign (and confirm this as a wave I & ii theory
ETHUSD the most positive forecast within the last monthOur previous extended analysis was based on IHS formation which was broken at past price movement levels. However there is one more chance for Ethereum to complete this pattern.
Indicators are mostly in neutral or bearish state, however it is due to recent growth and entering Ichimoku clouds zone. Hence the growth should continue till the upper edge of green ichi cloud around $690. Situation is very important and crucial as the long term significant Fib resistance level is around $640. Based on the fundamental and technical chart analysis the price has great chances to overcome the resistance. Thus, it becomes possible to consolidate between upper edge of Ichimoku and Fib 0.786 to finish the mentioned pattern.
In case of success ETH will start a new wave of long term growth. However the probability s affected by the whole market capitalization of crypto market which has significantly dropped. It also correlates with BTC price movement. However, the crypto market is in fall state for about a month and there are a lot of sign of reverse.
It is time to buy cheap and strong alts and ETH is one of the top coins you should buy, just wait a bit till it cross resistance level to be sure in the forecast.
ETHUSD Reversed H&Sis about to be formedCurrent market fall caused by BTC price decrease affected ETH market. However this decline will form reversed H&S pattern. This combined with indicators status will force the price move up till it reaches previous heights. Before this happens we expect a little drop to Fib 0.786 support level around $640. Overall the market seems to be fine and should be bullish soon.
We still recommend to wait before open any new deals.
ETHUSD What will happen next?The pretty same story as BTC. After H&S was formed the price went down and is currently is about to reach Fib 0.786 support level where can be a bounce back. Threats are the same as for BTC the price is at the edge of lower Bollinger line and red line of Ichi cloud is above the green line. However Stoch RSI and MACD are positive and in case of volume increase there can be a rebound to the $730 zone.
ETH Short term price ETH appears to be trending 12345, ABC, 12345 micro waves, within a macro wave.
Short term support levels are shown in purple horizontals.
Upper support would be circa $880, failure to break and sustain price above this, may see ETH trend within the ST bear range.
Previously ETH has been trading in the bullish green zone, however failure to sustain 880, saw the recent trend lower. I remain bullish overall hence the ABC micro correction theory. if we have a sustained break below $855 this may turn bearish.
Commentary & further supports to follow.