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EURUSD

EURUSD Fake Breakout Signals Pullback to 1.1700 SupportHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on EURUSD (4H) based on the current chart structure. EURUSD is trading within a broader bullish recovery after completing a prolonged corrective phase. Earlier, price broke above a descending resistance line, which marked a clear shift in market structure and signaled that sellers were losing control. This breakout initiated a steady bullish move, supported by a rising support line, confirming higher lows and improving momentum. After the breakout, EURUSD continued to push higher and reached the resistance level around 1.1750, where selling pressure emerged. Price briefly spiked above this level, forming a fake breakout, which indicates weak acceptance at higher prices and potential buyer exhaustion. Following this rejection, the market pulled back toward the previous buyer zone, which now acts as a key support level around 1.1700. This zone aligns with the former breakout area and represents an important demand level. Currently, price is consolidating above support, showing hesitation near the buyer zone, and the reaction here will determine the next short-term direction. A corrective pullback into the support zone remains healthy within the broader bullish structure as long as buyers continue to defend this level. My primary scenario is a short-term correction toward the 1.1700 support level (TP1), followed by a potential bullish reaction from this zone. As long as EURUSD holds above this support, the overall structure remains constructive, and buyers may attempt another move toward the 1.1750 resistance and potentially higher. However, a clear breakdown and acceptance below the buyer zone would weaken the bullish setup and open the door for a deeper retracement toward lower support levels. For now, the focus remains on the 1.1700 area, as this level will define whether the market resumes its upward move or extends the correction. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Short
by LegionQ8
20
EURUSD Pullback Toward 1.178 as Dollar Weakness Builds!Hey Traders, In today’s trading session, we’re monitoring EURUSD for a potential buying opportunity around the 1.17800 zone. From a technical standpoint, EURUSD remains in a well-defined uptrend and is currently undergoing a healthy correction, pulling back toward trend support and a key support/resistance confluence at 1.17800. This area has previously attracted strong buyer interest and could act as a launch point for trend continuation. On the macro side, the US Dollar backdrop remains fragile. Recent developments point toward continued USD weakness, with: A 25bps Fed rate cut already delivered Balance sheet expansion resuming, historically bearish for the dollar Markets increasingly sensitive to incoming US labor market data, which could revive expectations for additional easing ahead As long as the dollar struggles to regain momentum, the EURUSD upside bias remains intact, with this pullback offering a potential higher-low setup within the broader bullish structure. Watching closely for price reaction at 1.17800 to confirm buyer participation. Trade safe, Joe
Long
by JoeChampion
19
EURUSD Short: Head & Shoulders at Resistance - Target 1.1670Hello, traders! EURUSD previously traded within a well-defined Descending Channel, confirming sustained bearish pressure and controlled sell-side momentum. Price consistently respected the channel boundaries, forming a sequence of lower highs and lower lows. Multiple breakout attempts occurred within the channel, but each upside move was capped by the descending resistance, reinforcing the bearish structure. The market eventually reached a clear Pivot Point near the lower channel boundary, where selling pressure weakened and buyers briefly stepped in, producing a corrective rebound rather than a full trend reversal. Following this rebound, EURUSD pushed higher and managed to break above local resistance levels, leading to a short-term bullish expansion. However, this move lacked strong follow-through and transitioned into a distribution phase near the Supply Zone around 1.1760. At this area, price formed a clear Head and Shoulders pattern, signaling exhaustion of bullish momentum and a return of sellers. The left shoulder, head, and right shoulder developed directly under resistance, confirming strong supply presence and rejection from higher prices. Currently, price has broken below short-term structure and is pulling back from the supply zone, signaling the start of a corrective-to-bearish continuation move. The market is now rotating lower toward the Demand Zone around 1.1670, which aligns with a previous breakout level and acts as the nearest downside objective. This zone represents a key area where buyers may attempt a reaction, but overall structure still favors sellers. My primary scenario is bearish as long as EURUSD remains below the 1.1760 Supply Zone and continues to show rejection from this area. The current pullback appears impulsive rather than corrective, favoring continuation toward the 1.1670 Demand Zone. A clean breakdown and acceptance below demand would confirm further downside continuation. Until then, this level remains the key decision point. Manage your risk!
Short
by heniitrading
19
EURUSD: Bullish Structure Holds Inside Upward ChannelHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current EURUSD setup. Market Analysis EURUSD has confirmed a bullish structure after breaking out of the previous Downward Channel. This breakout shifted market control to buyers and initiated a steady move higher. Price is now trading within a well-defined Upward Channel, forming higher highs and higher lows, which supports the bullish trend. Recently, EURUSD pulled back from the Resistance Zone near 1.1800 and found support around the 1.1750–1.1760 area. This zone aligns with the channel support and previous breakout structure, showing strong buyer interest. Current consolidation above support suggests continuation rather than reversal. My Scenario & Strategy My primary scenario remains bullish as long as EURUSD holds above the Support Zone around 1.1750. The recent pullback looks corrective within the broader uptrend. I expect price to resume its upward move and push toward the upper boundary of the Upward Channel, 1.1840 - 1.1850 as the next key target. A clean breakout and acceptance above 1.1800 would confirm trend continuation and open the door for further upside expansion. However, a sustained breakdown below 1.1750 would weaken the bullish setup and could lead to a deeper correction. For now, the structure favors buyers, with support holding and momentum aligned with the prevailing uptrend. That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
Long
by Ratner
7
EURUSD Awaiting Confirmation Before Bearish ContinuationQuick Summary EURUSD has rallied strongly in recent days leaving a clear liquidity void below price .. A break above 1.18039 is expected first After that a bearish structure is required to confirm that the upside move is complete and that price is ready to target lower levels Full Analysis After the strong bullish expansion on EURUSD the market left a significant liquidity void below current price, This makes a downside move likely at some point However selling directly into this strength is not justified without clear confirmation From a Liquidity perspective price is expected to first break the high at 1.18039 This move would allow the market to collect remaining buy side liquidity and complete the upside objective Once this high is taken the focus will shift to price behavior and structure A bearish structure must appear after the break of 1.18039 This would be the key confirmation that bullish momentum has weakened and that the market is transitioning from expansion to distribution Without this confirmation any sell position would be premature and exposed to further upside continuation
Short
by Mr_Liquidity1
7
XAUUSD: potential year-end correction🛠 Technical Analysis: On the 4-hour (H4) timeframe, Gold (XAUUSD) continues its aggressive bullish cycle, supported by a "Global bullish signal" that originated earlier in December. The price is currently trading at historic highs, oscillating around the 4,500.00 psychological handle. While the long-term moving averages (SMA 100 and 200) are far below the current market price—indicating a strong underlying trend—the immediate price action is testing a steep "Resistance line". A failure to break decisively above this diagonal resistance suggests a high-probability mean-reversion move toward the nearest liquidity pool and horizontal support zone at 4,347.07. ——————————————— ❗️ Trade Parameters (SELL) ——————————————— ➡️ Entry Point: Potential short position after a slight update of the current high (approximately 4499.96). 🎯 Take Profit: 4,347.07 (Support). 🔴 Stop Loss: 4,602.73 (Above the recent peak). ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a potential trade idea based on current analysis; market conditions and price direction are subject to change based on news factors and volatility.
TICKMILL:XAUUSDShort
by Trade8Eight
2
EURUSD Buyers In Panic! SELL! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for EURUSD is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.1796 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points HighHigh anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 1.1770 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
EURJPY: Bullish Trend Under Pressure | COT & SeasonalityEURJPY remains in a well-defined medium-term bullish trend on the daily timeframe, characterized by a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows within an ascending channel. The latest impulse pushed price above the upper boundary of the channel, an area where historically the market tends to lose momentum and attract profit-taking. Recent candles confirm this behavior, showing fading momentum and early corrective closes, consistent with a consolidation or technical pullback phase rather than trend exhaustion. From a technical perspective, the 181.00–180.00 area stands out as a key zone of interest. This region aligns with a daily fair value gap, a prior consolidation base, and the dynamic support of the ascending channel. As long as price holds above this zone, the broader bullish structure remains intact. Any retracement into this area should be interpreted as corrective price action within the trend, not as a reversal. Only a clear and sustained break below 179.80 would open the door to a deeper correction toward the lower demand zone. The COT report reinforces the idea of slowing upside momentum. On the JPY side, non-commercial traders continue to increase short positions, indicating persistent bearish expectations on the yen. However, the sharp rise in open interest suggests a mature trend environment, where the risk of corrective squeezes increases. On the EUR side, commercials remain heavily net short, a typical hedging behavior when prices trade at elevated levels. This divergence points to limited short-term upside potential for EURJPY. Seasonality adds further context. December is historically supportive for the euro, while the Japanese yen tends to strengthen toward year-end. This mixed seasonal backdrop favors a phase of unstable equilibrium, with higher probability of consolidation or corrective moves rather than aggressive bullish continuation. Looking at FX sentiment, retail positioning is heavily skewed to the short side on EURJPY. While this contrarian signal has supported the bullish trend in previous phases, near technical extremes such imbalance loses directional strength and increases the likelihood of orderly pullbacks before any potential trend resumption. Operational conclusion: the broader bias remains bullish, but in the short term a corrective or consolidation phase is more likely. The 181.00–180.00 zone is the key area to monitor for potential bullish reactions aligned with the primary trend. Caution is warranted near highs, with greater focus on confirmed price action signals at value areas.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
2
EURUSD 1-month Channel Up targeting 1.18850.The EURUSD pair has been trading within a 1-month Channel Up, supported by the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and has already started its new Bullish Leg. The 4H MACD Bullish Cross has confirmed it, similar to what happened on both previous sequences. Both of those Bullish Legs rallied by a little more than +1.60%. This gives us a short-term Target at 1.18850. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
1
EUR/USD Holding Key Support – Wave 5 Upside in FocusThe EUR/USD chart shows that a larger corrective phase (A-B-C) has already finished, and the market has entered a new bullish impulsive structure. Price has completed Waves 1, 2, and 3, with Wave 3 showing strong upward momentum, which confirms bullish strength. The current pullback looks like a normal Wave 4 correction, and it is holding inside the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci support zone, which is a common area where Wave 4 usually ends. As long as price stays above the invalidation level near 1.1655, the bullish Elliott Wave structure remains valid. This suggests EUR/USD is preparing for Wave 5, which could push price to new highs in the coming sessions. Stay tuned! @Money_Dictators Thank you :)
Long
by Money_Dictators
2
EURUSD: moving into the Holiday moodThe pivotal indicators for the US economy during the previous week were Non-farm payrolls and Unemployment rate for November. The NFP indicator showed only 64K added jobs in November, however, the figure was slightly better from market expectations of 50K. The unemployment rate in November surprisingly surged to 4,6%, from 4,4% posted previously. The Retail sales in October were standing unchanged from the previous month, while the market was expecting to see a modest 0,1% increase. Average hourly earnings increased by 0,1% m/m and 3,5% in November. The inflation rate in November was standing below market estimates at 2,7% y/y and core inflation at 2,6% y/y. The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment final for December reached 52,9, slightly below expected 53,4. The five year inflation expectations eased to the level of 3,2% from previous 3,4%. The ECB meeting was held during the previous week, without change in interest rates, as expected. The last change occurred six months before, and as per President Lagarde's comments, there is no need to rush in a further cut. Actually, she left all options open, as to cut, increase or hold reference interest rates in the future period. As per latest ECB economic projections, the GDP growth rate for 2026 is estimated at 1,4%, with headline inflation of 1,9%. The Wholesale prices in Germany in November were increased by 0,3% m/m and 1,5% y/y, which was modestly above market estimates. Industrial production in the Euro Zone in October jumped by 0,8% for the month and 2% on a yearly basis, which was again above forecasts. The HCOB Manufacturing PMI flash for December in Germany reached the level of 47,7, modestly below estimated 48,5. The same indicator for the Euro Zone in December was at 49,2 and in line with market expectations. The ZEW Economic Sentiment Index in December in Germany is estimated at 45,8, significantly above forecasted 38,5. The Ifo Business Climate in December in Germany reached 87,6, slightly below estimated 88,2. The final inflation rate in the Euro Zone in November was standing at -0,3% m/m and 2,1% y/y. The currency pair tested shortly resistance at 1,18 on the NFP and unemployment data, however, swiftly reverted to the downside, reverting back toward the 1,17 support. At the same time, RSI touched the overbought market side, indicating a potential for a short term reversal. The MA50 started slowly to diverge from MA200, postponing the potential cross. The week ahead brings holiday season to the Western markets, in which sense, lower volatility should be expected till the year-end. As per current charts, there is indication that the level of 1,17 will continue to be tested, with a potential move toward the 1,1750. To the down side, there is also modest potential for the level of 1,1680. Important news to watch during the week ahead are: EUR: there are no important macro data scheduled for the EU market. USD: Durable Goods orders in October, GDP Growth Rate second estimate for Q3, Industrial production in November
by XBTFX
3
EURUSD: Bullish Push to 1.1878?As the previous analysis worked exactly as predicted, FX:EURUSD is eyeing a bullish breakout on the 4-hour chart , with price rebounding from higher lows in an upward channel after a breakout candle, converging with a potential entry zone that could ignite upside momentum if buyers push through short-term resistance amid recent volatility. This setup suggests a continuation opportunity in the uptrend, targeting higher levels with overall risk-reward exceeding 1:3.5 .🔥 Entry between 1.1728–1.1738 for a long position. Targets at 1.1820 (first), 1.1878 (second). Set a stop loss at a daily close below 1.1700 , yielding a risk-reward ratio of more than 1:3.5 in total . Monitor for confirmation via a bullish candle close above entry with rising volume, leveraging the pair's momentum in the channel.🌟 Fundamentally , EURUSD is trading around 1.178 in late December 2025, with key US Dollar events this week potentially weakening USD if data underperforms, favoring euro strength. For the US Dollar, Tuesday, December 23 at 05:30 AM UTC brings GDP Growth Rate QoQ Q3 (forecast 3.3%, previous 4.3%), Core PCE Prices QoQ Q3 (forecast 2.9%, previous 2.9%), PCE Prices QoQ Q3 (forecast 2.8%, previous 2.8%), and Real Consumer Spending QoQ Q3 (previous 3.5%); followed by CB Consumer Confidence DEC at 07:00 AM UTC (forecast 91, previous 89.1). No major high-impact events for the Euro this week, leaving the pair sensitive to USD catalysts. 💡 📝 Trade Setup 🎯 Entry (Long): 1.1728 – 1.1738 (Entry at these levels is valid with proper risk & capital management.) 🎯 Targets: • 1.1820 (TP1) • 1.1878 (TP2) ❌ Stop Loss: • Daily close below 1.1700 ⚖️ Risk-to-Reward: • > 1:3.5 (total) 💡 Your view? Does EURUSD defend the channel and push toward 1.1878 — or do we see deeper consolidation before continuation? 👇
Long
by Master_Hunter
1
DeGRAM | EURUSD will correct from a trend line📊 Technical Analysis ● EUR/USD rallied back into the rising trendline but stalled below the 1.1780–1.1800 resistance cluster, where prior breakdown and multiple rejections are visible. The sharp push higher lacks follow-through, increasing the risk of another bull trap near trend resistance. ● Price is now vulnerable to a corrective pullback, with downside targets aligned at former intraday support near 1.1750 and 1.1730. Failure to hold above the trendline would confirm short-term bearish rotation. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● The US dollar remains supported by resilient US data and cautious Fed expectations, limiting upside for EUR in the short term. ✨ Summary ● Short bias favored below 1.1800. Resistance: 1.1780–1.1800. Supports: 1.1750, then 1.1730. Invalidation on sustained breakout above resistance. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Short
by DeGRAM
1
EURA 1D OB has been formed within the continuation of the bullish 1D order flow. The nearest 1D FP act as local targets. To consider a higher-target scenario toward the 1W FP (1.1919), a test of key weekly zones is still missing, from which I would build a mid-term narrative. I am ready to trade the current situation through a retest of the 1D OB and confirmation on the 4H timeframe. An alternative scenario is an entry from a 4H FVG (LI), with the stop placed beyond the 1D OB.
Long
by Mountain_chart
Stop!Loss|Market View: USDCAD🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️ In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for the USDCAD currency pair☝️ Potential trade setup: 🔔Entry level: 1.37491 💰TP: 1.38922 ⛔️SL: 1.36831 "Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market. 👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts. 💬 Description: The USD will likely remain under pressure from its major peers until early next year. Short-term selling of the USD is being considered. However, the USDCAD currency pair stands out as the best option for medium-term buying of the USD today. A potential false breakout at 1.37335 could provide an excellent entry point for this. The upside target is currently seen near the nearest key resistance level of 1.39000. Thanks for your support 🚀 Profits for all ✅
Long
by StopLoss222
EUR/USD)Bullish trend analysis Read the captionSMC Trading Point update Technical analysis of EURUSD – 4H chart using SMC + trend continuation + EMA confluence. ⸻ Market Context • Bias: Bullish • Clear break in structure (BOS) to the upside • Strong impulsive candles → institutional participation • Price is trading above EMA 50 & EMA 200 • EMA 50 acting as dynamic support ⸻ Key Demand Zone (Blue Area) ~1.1715 – 1.1730 Confluence: • Previous resistance → flipped to demand • EMA 50 support • Consolidation base before impulse • Liquidity swept below prior lows before rally This zone is the origin of the move, making it a high-probability re-entry area. ⸻ Trade Idea (Continuation Long) Buy on pullback / buy on confirmation • Entry: 1.1720 – 1.1730 • Stop Loss: Below demand (~1.1690) • Targets: • TP1: 1.1800 (recent high) • Final TP: 1.1875 (marked target point / range high) Risk–Reward: ~1:3+ ⸻ Confirmation Triggers Best confirmation inside demand: • Bullish engulfing (4H or 1H) • Long lower wicks rejecting the zone • Lower-TF CHoCH • Momentum expansion after pullback ⸻ Invalidation • 4H close below 1.1690 • Acceptance below EMA 50 & demand zone If that occurs → bullish continuation idea is invalid. ⸻ Mr SMC Trading point Summary This setup is a classic bullish continuation: • Structure break • Demand + EMA confluence • Clean expansion leg targeting higher liquidity Patience = edge. Let price retrace or confirm before entry. If you want, I can: • Refine this into a 1H / 15m execution model • Or help you turn this into a repeatable SMC playbook Please support boost this analysis
Long
by SMC-Trading-Point