Get started

Eurusdtechnicalanalysis

EURUSD: Fed official: Interest rates will stay limited for a Interest rates are "estimated to be at their lowest level in 25 years," Williams told the New York Fed's Bretton Woods Committee meeting. "I think it is appropriate to maintain a hawkish stance for some time to fully restore balance and return inflation sustainably to our long-term target of 2%," he said. The Fed is expected to keep interest rates on hold at its next meeting, giving it time to assess the economy after raising rates sharply from near zero in March 2022 to over 5% in July. . At the same time, expectations are rising in the bond market that the Fed's tightening cycle will come to an abrupt end with its first rate cut in May. "There's not a lot of sleep deprivation" given market expectations, Williams said, adding that any rate cuts would depend on inflation and how the economy progresses. He expects inflation to continue falling toward the 2% goal, and expects the Fed's price index to fall more than 2% next year and reach the target by 2025. Government figures on Thursday showed the PCE index fell to 3% in October. "We have taken a limited stance and things are moving in the right direction. We can now assess whether we need to do anything more." Still, the New York Fed president said if price pressures persist longer than expected, "additional policy tightening may be necessary," and Williams, like his colleagues, believes the current political path is not sufficiently restrictive. He emphasized the need to continue monitoring the data to assess whether this is the case. . So far, fourth quarter data shows signs of a significant decline in economic activity. Data released Thursday showed U.S. consumer spending fell in October compared to the previous month as inflation continued to slow. Inflation-adjusted personal spending rose 0.2% last month and 0.3% in September, according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. The report also noted that the core PCE price index increased by 0.2%. The index rose 3.5%, its lowest level since 2021. Although he expects economic growth to remain below trend next year, he is "quite positive." Economists generally expect growth to be around 2%.
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
Morgan Stanley and BofA’s 2024 EUR/USD Predictions Morgan Stanely has released what they call their top trade for 2024, and it is the exact opposite of Bank of America’s call. Analysts at Morgan Stanley think selling EUR/USD around the current level of 1.10 is the trade to make next year, with a target for the pair reaching parity by the end of the first quarter of 2024. This outlook relies on sustained economic performance of the US. They also believe that technical recessions in the eurozone, Sweden, and the UK are expected to lead their respective central banks to initiate rate cuts in the second quarter of 2024. Selling Swedish krone (which has become a top ten traded currency recently) and the British pound might also be options for 2024 too, but this was not explicitly stated by the bank. On the other hand, Bank of America has suggested that shorting the USD is the trade to make, particularly against the Euro and South African Rand. BofA sees the potential falling interest rate in the eurozone increasing the attractiveness of euro-based stocks and other investments.
by BlackBull_Markets
EURUSD: Low valuations of euro zone bank stocks could hamper creThe European Central Bank (ECB) on Monday expressed concern about the low valuations of euro zone bank stocks, suggesting it could have a negative impact on future credit growth. Hybrid by imposing strict conditions on the borrower. Bank profits have increased significantly this year, thanks in part to higher net interest income due to higher ECB rates, but stock market valuations have not kept pace. Many banks appear to be trading at a discount to fundamentals. The ECB has pointed out that this could lead to financial system instability in the long run. Banks that are undervalued by investors may struggle to raise new capital when they need it, the ECB said in its financial stability review report. The central bank continued to insist that weak valuations directly lead to tighter financing conditions for the real economy. We find that banks' increased exposure to corporate credit risk and the perception of bank stocks as value stocks are major contributors to valuation stagnation. However, the ECB also noted that these fundamentals do not fully explain current valuations. Increased uncertainty regarding future payments to shareholders may also be a factor. Meanwhile, some euro zone governments have introduced banking taxes and the ECB is considering raising interest-free reserve requirements, which could lead to lower revenues. The ECB argues that the tax risk on dividend income sources impacts valuations more than on growth stocks, whose cash flows are expected to be reinvested internally and returned to investors in the future. Far away.
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
EURUSD - W1\H4EURUSD W1 - The price has corrected by 60% from the first wave, which may lead to the potential formation of the 3rd wave. D1 - The price moves in a range, for sales, confirmation is required to open positions. It will be possible to consider it after fixation and retest behind the trend line. H4 - If you are considering buying, you can buy from the lower border with the potential to break through the upper border. To exit purchases and consider selling, it is better to wait until it is fixed behind the trend line and the formation of a 3-wave structure, which will give the opportunity to enter at the beginning of the 3rd wave. What can you expect? You can consider entering from the level ~1.08873 (wait for the level to be fixed, the best option would be to wait for a retest after fixation) with further movement to the target 1.06563. Cancellation of the idea so as not to take increased risk on the idea levels beyond the end of the 2nd wave or 1st - 1.09911 - 1.10664 Short Targets 1.08233 - 1.07754 - 1.07179 - 1.06563
by Trade_Hive_Signals
EURUSD Longs from 1.09000 up to 1.10000EURUSD is looking very good in terms of entering high quality POI's and it is following the temporary bullish trend very well. So from this we will try to catch pro trend trades up to the daily supply or ideally the 8hr supply zone on top of it. As of now, price has created a small BOS to the upside so I will be waiting for a small pull back to the 12hr demand in order to buy up. As price Is near a decent amount of liquidity I would like to wait for a clean CHOCH and for a spring to take out any remainder asian lows for me to consider a buy opportunity. However, as there's major news this week like NFP, so I would approach any potential setup with caution and lower my usual risk size. Confluences for EURUSD Buys are as follows: - Temporary trend for EU is bullish and this follows the trend as well as the DXY bias. - In order for price to make a bearish move it will have mitigate the daily above or the 8hr supply. - There's asian high above that hasn't been taken which is liquidity that needs to get swept. - Price keeps breaking structure to the upside and candles on HTF are very bullish. - Momentum is starting to slow down as it has currently reacted to a 4hr supply. - In order for price to continue going up it must come down in the form of a pullback so we can create a new leg to the upside. P.S. The Wyckoff accumulation is still pending as I'm waiting for price to mitigate my zone, sweep liquidity and change character to the upside. I am also aware price could fall lower due to the ineffeciencies below and then tap into a cheaper zone for buys back up.
Long
by Hassan_fx
1
EURUSD: Potential to turn BEARISH!Thd D1 swing structure is bearish, having made a bearish BOS externally. Internally, price is bullish, having successive iBOSs to achieve the pullback to an internal LQ target. Price has reached a premium supply zone, a high probability location to look for a shift in the market from bullish to bearish, starting the next bear leg to make the HTF LL. If you like the analysis, tap the LIKE or BOOST button. If you want to see more free analysis, consider subscribing to my channel. Thank you. May profits be upon you.
Short
by RT_Money
2
EURUSD Shorts to 1.08500 (Possibly lower)My bias for this week's prediction is for EURUSD to move bearish, As it has tapped into a strong level of supply. I will be waiting for wyckoff distribution to play out in order for us to catch sells this week. Simultaneously, the dollar has also tapped in to a demand zone which is expected to initiate a bullish reaction hence why I am bearish for EU. The 16hr supply hold a lot of precedence as not only its on the higher time frame but, it has also caused a BOS to the downside which continued the overall bearish trend. Not only that but, the zone has also swept liquidity which is a good sign that this zone will get respected. Confluences for EURUSD Longs are as follows: - Price tapped into a 16hr supply zone that has caused a BOS to the downside. - Overall price trend is bearish on the EURUSD chart. - Imbalances left below to target which hasn't been filled yet. - Lots of trendline liquidity to the downside and asian lows that's been left. - Dollar (DXY) is inside a 5hr demand which I'm anticipating a bullish reaction from. - Price has steadily approached the zone with weaker bullish candles indicating that bullish pressure is exhausted and over bought. P.S. I would love to see the asian high inside the zone get swept first in the form of a UTAD for a better confirmation of a sell but we will see what price does on Monday. Usually its a slow day however, I will be waiting for a clean CHOH on the lower time frame to give me a better insight of when price wants to expand to the downside.
Short
by Hassan_fx
EURUSD with WillsonnnnHello guys, a good day! Intraday bias in EUR/USD stays neutral at this point. On the downside, break of 1.0655 minor support, and sustained trading below 55 4H EMA (now at 1.0664), will argue that the rebound from 1.0447 has completed with three waves up to 1.0755. That came after rejection by 1.0764 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1274 to 1.0447 at 1.0763). In this case, intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.0447/0515 support zone. Nevertheless, strong bounce from current level, followed by decisive break of 1.0764, will bring stronger rally to 61.8% retracement at 1.0958 next.
Long
by Willsonnnn
EURUSD with WillsonnnnEUR/USD is the forex ticker that tells traders how many US Dollars are needed to buy a Euro. The Euro-Dollar pair is popular with traders because its constituents represent the two largest and most influential economies in the world. Follow real-time EUR/USD rates and improve your technical analysis with the interactive chart. Discover the factors that can influence the EUR/USD forecast and stay up to date with the latest EUR/USD news and analysis articles.
Long
by Willsonnnn
EURUSD - H4EURUSD H4 - The price last week remained in the range of 1.065 - 1.071, without choosing a direction. Locally, the price is moving in an ascending channel, and the corrective movement may continue in this range to the level of 1.077. For purchases, it is better to wait for the price to fix at the level of 1.072 or for the price to decline to the lower border of the channel (1.062). To consider selling and continuing the downward movement, it is better to wait for the channel level (1.062) to be fixed and a retest. with targets up to 1.00000 What to expect now? You can consider entering from fixation at the level of 1.072 with a small risk on the idea with a target of 1.085 It is better not to take increased risks; a correction is being traded. Cancel an idea when assigned to a channel level.(1.062) Long Targets 1.077 - 1.081 - 1.085
Long
by Trade_Hive_Signals
EURUSD Longs from 1.06400 to 1.07400 (possibly higher)This week's analysis for the EURUSD is similar to GU however it has some slight differences (at the end of the day they are different pairs with different characteristics.) In terms of current price I see the market consolidating just before the CPI event before making its decision. So I would wait for price to either sweep liquidity below and tap in the (18hr) demand or, sweep the liquidity above and mitigate the (8hr) supply. But as we can use the dollar as a confluence I would be expecting it to rise a little then drop, so for the EURUSD I'm expecting it to tap in the demand first to buy back up to the supply zone above. Confluences for EURUSD Longs are as follows: - Price has formed higher highs and higher lows which is the clean structure of an uptrend. - Price has left a clean unmitigated demand zone on the 18hr that I can buy from. - Price has slowed down momentum and is ranging which is building liquidity for my potential buys this week. - The dollar index also matches up with the bias as the DXY is expected to rise a little more, to then continue another bearish move to the downside. - Demand zone has also broken structure to the upside and price has filled in the imbalances from the previous weeks. P.S. I am more leading towards longs similar to GU so won't be surprised if it doesn't go as low as the demand zone marked, but keeps rising in order to mitigate the supply and sweep that liquidity below it. So for me, I would ideally wait and see as I don't see an imminent trading opportunity for Monday hence, why I would wait after CPI Tuesday to give me a better understanding of what direction this market wants to go in.
Long
by Hassan_fx
1
EURUSDDespite the usual year-end cooling, the dollar's strength, underpinned by US macro performance and a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve, is expected to continue. The dollar remains unaffected by the Treasury sell-off and rising long-term yield curve. High US interest rates and a disorganized rise in US yields are seen as factors that could further strengthen the dollar. Factors that could lead to a weaker dollar include weaker US macro data, a slowing US economy or a recession in the euro zone. However, these potential weaknesses are not expected to result from a reassessment of China's or Europe's growth outlook. High US interest rates are likely to disrupt the financial sector, which will initially boost the dollar due to tighter dollar funding conditions.
Short
by Willsonnnn
EURUSD Longs - A grade setup blueprintThis time we are diving into an A grade setup that was presented to us on the 08/11/2023. After anticipating a bullish move from this exact zone marked out last Sunday's post. I will be breaking down what I would look for once price taps into our higher time frame POI (16hr demand zone on EU). At first I noticed that as price was slowing down momentum, wyckoff accumulation started to become more evident. During the process of liquidating previous buyers, it changed character on the 10min which left a 5min OB that was unmitigated. From then, my SPRING was confirmed as well as my entry price. In addition to this, the order block was also in line with the 0.78 mark on the fib range and it was at a very discounted area hence why price was volatile as soon as it got tapped in. As I also realised that price had filled the imbalance left from last Fridays NFP event, I knew price would want to continue in the trend it had set, which was a bullish order flow that consisted of higher highs and higher lows. Lastly I would set my take profit target to be in areas of liquidity that price would attract to, and in this case it was the amount of untouched Asia highs that was left from previous days. However, I also realised that for price to move back down, it would need to mitigate a supply which was also left above the points of liquidity. P.S. The mini equal lows that was swept was just extra confluence that price would react off my 5min OB that caused the CHOCH to happen, and because price had perpetual liquidity sweeps, I knew that there was minimal reversal magnets that could try interfere with our trade. Ultimately, this was why we was able to catch a 1:12 RR with basically ZERO DRAWDOWN...
Long
by Hassan_fx
3
EURUSD Technical Analysis And Trade IdeaIn this video, we embark on an in-depth look of the EURUSD currency pair, delving into the evident uptrend displayed across both the monthly (1M) and weekly (1W) timeframes. Within this forex pair, we've encountered a noteworthy resistance level, hinting at the possibility of an imminent retracement. Throughout our discourse, we will delve into the exploration of a potential trading opportunity, the intricacies of technical analysis, and offer valuable insights into effective forex trading strategies. It is paramount to underscore that the insights shared within this content are designed solely for educational purposes and should not be construed as financial advice. Trading in the currency market carries inherent risks, emphasizing the critical necessity of incorporating robust risk management techniques into your trading strategy.
by fxtraderanthony