EURUSD Analysis BULLISH Trend (4H-TF)EURUSD is a Forex instrument; by looking at the chart, we can see that EURUSD has been in consolidation mode for more than 40 day. It seems it will be going in bullish trend in upcoming week. trade might take 10-15 days to achive the target.
Reason :
Bullish Enugelfing candle from Strong Support level.
Taking support at support zone of 1-D timeFrame.
Very heavy volume takeover by bulls from fakeout to inside Zone.
Verdict :
Bullish trend seems to start
Plan of action:
Buy: 1.05968
SL: 1.05140
Target: 1.09893
Eurusdtechnicalanalysis
EURUSD about to test nearest resistanceEurusd is about to test nearest H4 resistance & SBR zone. Will it rejecting or will breakthrough? Daily candle showing bullish momentum. H4 Supply zone & daily FVG already filled during NFP news yesterday, going down to H4 Support but then change direction going up, break the H4 Supply zone. I expect it will break the downtrend channel. Buy if pullback occur to H4 Support or H1 Support zone. Waiting..
EUR/USD Shows Strength as USD Weakens Ahead of US Nonfarm Pay...EUR/USD Shows Strength as USD Weakens Ahead of US Nonfarm Payrolls
The Euro (EUR) is demonstrating resilience against the US Dollar (USD), pushing EUR/USD to multi-day highs near 1.0550. Simultaneously, the USD is losing ground, revisiting 106.30 on the USD Index (DXY). This dynamic reflects improved sentiment in the risk-associated universe, despite only a tepid rebound in US yields. While the US Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to keep interest rates unchanged in the near term, questions surround the European Central Bank (ECB) as inflation surpasses targets and concerns about recession or stagflation linger in the Eurozone.
Economic Indicators
In terms of recent economic indicators, Germany's Factory Orders expanded by 3.9% in August, while Italy's Retail Sales contracted by 0.4% during the same month.
US Nonfarm Payrolls Preview
All eyes are currently on the release of September's Nonfarm Payrolls and Unemployment Rate data from the United States. Economists expect job creation to remain steady, with Nonfarm Payrolls set to rise by 170,000, a slight dip from the 187,000 reported in August. The Unemployment Rate is also anticipated to drop modestly to 3.7% in September.
The Hawkish Fed and US Dollar's Rally
The Fed's hawkish stance and the strong US job market have led to expectations of a final interest-rate hike by the Fed this quarter. This sentiment was reinforced when US job openings unexpectedly rose to 9.610 million in August, indicating a persistently tight labor market that allows the Fed room for further tightening.
This outlook propelled the US Dollar Index to an 11-month peak above 107.00, with US Treasury bond yields approaching 16-year highs.
Changing Sentiment
However, the odds of a Fed rate hike in November dipped to 23% from about 31% following downbeat US labor market data released on Wednesday. The Automatic Data Processing (ADP) report showed that the US private sector added only 89,000 jobs in September, significantly below expectations.
US Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Services PMI also fell from 54.5 to 53.6 in September, although it matched expectations. These developments triggered a correction in the US Dollar and bond yields.
Anticipating the Impact on EUR/USD
Friday's Nonfarm Payrolls data will provide critical insights into the labor market's tightness, especially after a robust JOLTS report and softer private payrolls data. A positive NFP print and strong wage inflation data could strengthen expectations for another Fed rate hike by year-end, potentially driving EUR/USD below 1.0400 .
Conversely, if the data suggests weakening labor market conditions and deters hopes of further Fed rate hikes in 2023, EUR/USD could stage a robust recovery toward 1.0650.
Conclusion
The EUR/USD pair is showcasing strength as the USD weakens in anticipation of the US Nonfarm Payrolls data. While the market closely watches the economic indicators, the interplay between the Fed and ECB policies continues to shape the currency landscape. A lot hangs on the NFP report's outcome, and it could sway EUR/USD in either direction as investors weigh the implications for future monetary policy actions.
On the EUR/USD daily timeframe, we can see the "Big picture"
H1 Timeframe Analysis:
Our preference
Short positions below 1.0620 with targets at 1.0490 & 1.0400 in extension.
EURUSD 06/10 MovePair : EURUSD ( Euro / U.S Dollar )
Description :
Falling Wedge as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame if it Breaks the Upper Trend Line then it will Reach Daily Demand Zone or Daily Descending Trendline and If it Breaks Daily Trendline then Long after Break of Structure with Divergence
EUR/USD looks set to extend its countertrend moveEUR/USD has managed to retrace further from its YTD low during Thursday’s Asian session, and it looks set to extend its countertrend move (assuming yields retrace lower). A bullish RSI divergence formed ahead of the recent lows, and momentum has turned higher, and it looks like EUR/USD now wants to reach for the 1.05570 – 1.0600 level, near the weekly pivot point, trend resistance and 1.0600 handle.
Beyond that, we can reassess its potential to either continue higher or form a swing high and revert to its bearish trend. Given the dominance rising yields have had on market in general in recent weeks, it really is down to how the bond market performs as to what we see here on the euro chart.
[EN] EURUSD bullish in 4h // GaliortiTradingBullish 4-hour chart for FX:EURUSD
The FX:EURUSD broke its bullish channel that had been with it since February of this year, at the beginning of September, and is trying to reach its new target , which would be its same channel set below. When it broke the channel, it entered another bearish channel with great acceleration.
If we zoom in on the 4-hour chart, we see that it is on the floor of this new channel , so we can take advantage of its rebound to make a profit.
As indicated by the arrows, we would have two very likely options : The first would be to go straight up to reach the middle of the channel or even touch the top of this (as seen in the black box) , we deduce that this would be the point as it could be running a shoulder head reverse shoulder and our target would be its clavicular line. The second option would be with the same idea, but this time stopping at the resistance of 1.05136, having more problems in making the rise.
Pau G.
Potential Short on EURUSDPrice has broken the 1.05100 area, a retest of that same zone and its rejection to confirm continuation will be a good entry point. Be sure to see the rejection of zone and the continuation
Better to let market tell you its flow and you respond to it rather than attempt to predict it.
Disclaimer:
All trade ideas are given for educational purposes and should not be treated as an investment advice, hence do your due diligence. Past results does not guarantee future results
EURUSD Analysis 1 Okt 2023I noticed that prices rose at the end of the week, which could indicate a bullish trend. However, it's likely that the trend will remain limited to the trendline channel area next week. It's important to note that the overall trend is still bearish and there hasn't been any significant change. The bullish trend may only be a correction from the bearish trend.
EURUSD: A complete analysis!EURUSD
EURUSD hit rock bottom on Wednesday when it dropped to 1.0487 lowest since early march, this is all because of investors continue to be more interested in US DOLLAR. However, after analysing we find out that there few key economic factors that may play a huge role in the future of this pair. If ECB conveys tough message against inflation, this will ultimately divert investor to have an alternative option to USD presence. However, recent actions from ECB shows that ECB are more worried about inflation itself and does not show any strong action of fighting against it whereas DXY remain more strong and trustworthy due to FED strong testimony of fighting against the inflation.
Furthermore, the recent market sentiment weighed on US Dollar, recent economic data proves the economy is fast paced growing whole Jobless claims came in lower that expected at 204,000.However, ECB comments on EUR had minimal impact on the currency and experts believe there will be no price hike in October and December.
So what’s our long term view, we believe price will continue to fell until next year,there will some sort of corrections that will occur in the market but ultimately it will be the sellers who will have the impact.
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EURUSDAlready broke out of the consolidation phase and looking sweet for another short to continue with our existing short
Disclaimer:
All trade ideas are given for educational purposes and should not be treated as an investment advice, hence do your due diligence. Past results does not guarantee future results
EURUSD Long Term Buy Trading IdeaHello Traders
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EURUSD Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaAnalyzing the EURUSD currency pair, we've detected a significant development: it has now reached a crucial support level following a substantial bearish trend. At this juncture, it becomes evident that the price is overextended, potentially indicating an impending retracement.
In the accompanying video, we provide a comprehensive exploration of essential factors, including price action, market structure, and critical aspects of technical analysis. It is crucial to emphasize that the information presented in this content serves purely educational purposes. It should never be interpreted as financial advice. Hence, it remains of utmost importance to exercise prudent risk management strategies when engaging in trading activities.
EUR/USD falters around its 2023 open price, ahead of FOMCYes, EUR/USD has fallen to a key support level around the May low. And that will likely deter some bears around current levels from entering short (depending on their timeframe). But given the potential for for the Fed to deliver a more hawkish message than money markets are pricing in whilst the ECB suggest they are done tightening, we're not discounting the potential for EUR/USD to break lower.
The daily trend remains bearish and a shooting star formed following a 2-day retracement higher. Its high perfectly respected a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level before the day closed back beneath 1.070.
But what has really caught our eye is that prices also faltered around the 2023 open price. And that means the euro really has gone nowhere this year, and the market is paying attention to that open price.
Given the corrective price action on the 1-hour chart, we'd prefer to fade into move up towards or around 1.0700 for a move back towards those lows.
The bias remains bearish below 1.0730 (although keep in mind extra levels of volatility around the FOMC meeting can mess with such levels before the real move begins).
EURUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
EUR/USD Rollercoaster: Hold Tight for the Recovery Ride!Ladies and gentlemen, traders and enthusiasts, gather round as we take a thrilling ride through the twists and turns of the EUR/USD rollercoaster! Buckle up, because the European Central Bank (ECB) meeting threw us for a loop, but now, it's time for the bounce-back sensation of the season!
Recap:
Picture this - the EUR/USD pair, like a determined stunt driver, tried to rev its engines past the USD 1.075 barrier ahead of the ECB meeting. But alas, no buy signal emerged, and it looked like the pair was stuck in neutral. Then came the ECB meeting, with interest rates raised for the 10th time in a row. The result? A dramatic nosedive, sending the pair plummeting back to the safety net at $1.065. The lowest point? A heart-stopping $1.063!
Technical Outlook:
But here's where the plot thickens! Today, we're in for a wild twist. Hold on to your hats because there's a chance for a counter-movement. And who knows, it might even evolve into something more exhilarating! The currency pair has its sights set on climbing back to just under USD 1.075 without hitting the pro-cyclical buy signal button. An hourly close above $1.076? That's like a breather for the bullish daredevils.
But if you're looking for more suspense, we've got it! A low could be lurking around USD 1.061, ready to spring a surprise and launch the recovery mission towards USD 1.075. However, if you're a fan of nail-biters, keep an eye on the daily close. If it plunges below USD 1.060, get ready for the ultimate test at the legendary USD 1.050 round level.
In the grand finale, the EUR/USD pair has survived the ECB rollercoaster ride and found its footing around $1.065. But the adventure is far from over! With potential resistance just shy of $1.075, traders are in for a suspenseful show. Strap in, and keep your eyes peeled on those hourly and daily closes because this rollercoaster is far from done thrilling us!
EURUSD: Downtrend!EUR/USD languishes near six-month low, looks vulnerable below mid-1.0600
EUR/USD vulnerable after decisive break below 1.0700, resuming downtrend. A daily close below 1.0650 suggests the pair remains vulnerable to further losses as it looks for the following support to emerge at 1.0625 and then 1.0595. A rally above 1.0830 will change the current outlook to neutral.
EURUSD 4-Hour Chart Analysis possible pull-backExamining the 4-hour chart of EURUSD, we observe that the price has reached our anticipated level of 1.07080. At this point, there is an 88.6% Fibonacci retracement of the May-July rally. Furthermore, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for the current pair indicates oversold conditions, suggesting that EURUSD might be poised for a defensive rebound towards levels around 1.08050 to 1.08350.
However, it's important to note that from this rebound zone, there is a potential for the price to resume its downward movement, targeting the May 31st low of 1.06300. We anticipate the possibility of the price falling below this level, which could pave the way for a move towards the March 15th low of 1.05200. This latter level serves as our initial target for mid-term short positions.
Please remember that trading carries inherent risks, and market conditions can change swiftly. This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Always exercise prudent risk management and consider various factors when making trading decisions.
EURUSD Analysis 14Sep2023The prices are moving towards the base area, aligning with last week's analysis of EURUSD. Dxy's movements suggest that it may weaken soon, and currently, Eurusd is approaching the base area. This could indicate a potential reversal in the near future, although there is also a chance of a fake-out before the reversal occurs.
EURUSDEURUSD is currently undergoing a retracement, approaching my initial entry point, which presents an opportune moment for a potential re-entry. Upon the completion of this retracement, I anticipate a continued downward trajectory for EURUSD, potentially leading to the establishment of a new lower low.
EURUSD possible buy and sell zone!!Currency Pair : EURUSD
Possible direction : Bullish/Bearish
With Main Refinancing Rate and Monetary Policy Statement coming up, there is very high chance for EURUSD to fill the FVG that has left daily 20EMA as the pricing in 4h moving with a bullish channel. Todays price still above the previous daily low, means, very high probability bulls will try to keep the higher low maintained. As 4h bullish channel is still on, we could see a break of the channel to the upside, which could lean the price to the FVG and breaking the high to the liquidity zone and from that place, we could see sell of to the monthly support zone.
The possible entry would be ideal on the daily support a buy after rejection and a sell upon liqudity grab from the FVG.
Please leave a like if you enjoy this analysis and comment below what do you think, which way EURUSD is heading with the news?