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Smart Money Positioned to SHORT Gold - COT StrategyDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to participate in this market. There is significant risk involved in trading, do your own homework and due diligence. COT Strategy SHORT Gold (GC) My COT strategy has me on alert for short trades in GC if we get a confirmed bearish change of trend on the Daily timeframe. COT Commercial Index: Sell Signal Valuation: Overvalued vs Treasuries Extreme Positioning: Commercials around max short of last 2 years = bearish. True Seasonal: Seasonal down to October. Supplementary Indicators: %R & Momentum (not yet confirmed) Remember, this is not a "Short Now" idea. These indicators are not timing tools. They simply tell us that this market could have a move of some significance to the downside, which we will participate in with a confirmed Daily trend change to the downside. Good luck & good trading.
COMEX:GCZ2024Short
by Tradius_Trades
XAUUSD - Short Trade IdeaThis trade idea is based on buyside liquidity being induced in the form of equal highs, before a retracement into my signature R2F gap on the weekly timeframe. Regardless of what happens when price gets there, this trade is relying on the scenario of it trading down into it before moving higher. My current POIs are the two 12h iFVGS. Price either only trades into the lower one or reaches into the higher one. I will leave that to your own study and PD Arrays, structure, and candles printing on the lower timeframe to determine that. However, it is important to also consider time of day and upcoming economic news events as well. Stoploss above the equal highs above if not using a lower timeframe analysis. If they get run, then I will have to reconsider this trade idea. Target 1 is the 12h candle low. Target 2 is the equal lows into the 1W R2F gap. Good luck - R2F
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Road_2_Funded
1
Gold can fall to support level, break it and continue to declineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. By observing the chart, we can see that the price some days ago started to trades inside the big range, where it at once rose to the top part, after which started to decline. In a short time, Gold fell to the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone, broke it, and even made a fake breakout of the bottom part of the range, after which quickly backed up. Next, the price rose almost to the top part of the range but later turned around and dropped to the buyer zone. Then price started to grow near the support line of the pennant and later reached the current support level, which coincided with the support area. Next, XAU broke this level, exiting from range, and reached the resistance line of the pennant. Price some time traded between this line and the 2485 level, after which later corrected to support line of this pattern. A few moments ago price turned around and rose almost the resistance line, where continues to trades near to this day. So, for this case, I think Gold can make small movement down and then reach the resistance line of the pennant. After this, the price can start to decline to the support level, exiting from the pennant pattern. Also, I think XAU will break this level and continue to fall, therefore I set my TP at 2450 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by LegionQ8
6
XAU/USD: Citi Sees 50bp Rate Cut After NFP XAU/USD: Citi Sees 50bp Rate Cut After NFP Citi anticipates the upcoming Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report will show 125,000 new jobs, leading to a 50-basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Citi suggested in a note to Clients on Tuesday that if payrolls come in between 125,000 - 175,000, a 50-basis point rate cut is likely from the Fed. The 4H chart for XAU/USD indicates that buyers may be stepping in on dips following the release of US JOLTs Job Openings data, which revealed fewer openings than expected in July. However, if Gold continues to weaken, the next likely support level is around $2,470-$2,460. A decisive break below this support level could alter the outlook for Gold, indicating that the commodity could be entering a more pronounced downtrend.
BLACKBULL:XAUUSD
by BlackBull_Markets
Buy Gold (Xau/Usd) ChannelThe XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Descending Triangle pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the Upside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around the current price of 2497, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 2522 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 2489. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
6
XAUUSD 4HR Analysis | The Bulls Are Taking a Breather | XAUUSD 4HR Analysis | The Bulls Are Taking a Breather | Gold has recently hit an all time high of 2530 and since has tested the breakage of this level a few times, in my last analysis I provided a detailed explanation of the current mining production status globally and JPY/USD economic data that could impact the price movements in the bulls favour however it seems that short term we may see a correction into the upper 2400's before any renewed price surges, with the bullish momentum volume slowing down and various bearish confirmations coming into play. Over the last few days Gold has broke below the dynamic support + resistance level whilst also dipping below the 200 EMA on smaller timeframes and the 50 on larger such as 4HR, with the recent completion of 25% to 75% quarters and a pivot off the upper bollinger band its likely that the precious metal could take a breather down to 2,460-70 where the 200 ema lies along with a key support and resistance level and the lower bollinger band matching 25% quarter level. With the US holidays in action today the start of the week has been sluggish with little to no volatility and price sticking in its range alongside not being able to break back above the 50 ema and dynamic s+r, the bears remain in favour until price can break this structure level back into the 2520's and thus i would not consider any long term buys with so many key psych resistance levels in between us and the ATH pivot level. I will be keeping close eye on the key support zone of 2460-70 for suitable long term buy entries and in the meantime trade intra on price structure and short term confirmations with my group.
BLACKBULL:XAUUSDShort
by OfficialKieranTrewick
Sell Gold (Xau/Usd) Ascending Triangle in H1The XAU/USD pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Ascending Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position Below the Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 2513. Target Levels: 1st Support – 2485 2nd Support – 2461.50 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 2530. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly. Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
23
XAUUSD 01/09/24Coming into this week on gold, we have a clear consolidation at the last major high. This suggests there is a significant amount of liquidity built above this high. We also saw a drop towards the end of last week, indicating that a sell-off may occur in the first sessions of this week. This is based on the principle that liquidity was starting to be taken, making a sell-off at the open more likely as buyers step in. This could lead to price action moving lower before rising back into the highs, ultimately targeting the liquid highs we have marked. Please note the two areas of liquidity below and the two areas we’ve marked. These are the points where we are watching for price action to turn bullish, but we are primarily focused on a slight pullback before going long. Also, take note that the liquid low and overall trajectory of price action have changed, so a pullback seems logical in this scenario. Aim for the high and expect a new all-time high to be formed on gold. If we break down through the lows and do not see a positive reaction, I will look to go short in the new downward trend. However, this will be short-term, as our long-term bias remains bullish. Therefore, I will be more focused on finding a long position and holding onto any shorts. Trade your plan and always stick to your risk management. Trade your plan and always stick to your risk.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by PipSurfingSociety
Downside Ahead for Gold - COT Strategy SellDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to participate in this market. There is significant risk involved in trading, do your own homework and due diligence. COT Strategy SHORT Gold (GC) My COT strategy has me on alert for short trades in GC if we get a confirmed bearish change of trend on the Daily timeframe. COT Commercial Index: Sell Signal Extreme Positioning: Most short Commercials have been since January 2021. Large specs longest they have been since March 2020. OI Analysis: Price upward consolidation since April has seen Commercials heavily selling = bearish. Large Specs at longest positioning since March 2020 = bearish. Valuation: Overvalued VS Treasuries True Seasonal: Strong seasonal tendency for gold to go down in September Spread: Bearish spread divergence COT Small Spec Index: Sell Signal Supplementary Indicators: Acc/Dist, %R & Stochastic Sell Signals. Remember, this is not a "Short Now" idea. These indicators are not timing tools. They simply tell us that this market could have a move of some significance to the downside, which we will participate in with a confirmed Daily trend change to the downside. Good luck & good trading.
COMEX:GCZ2024Short
by Tradius_Trades
2