Order Block Rejection Toward Liquidity TargetsThis 4-hour USD/JPY chart shows a recent bearish shift after price rejected an identified Order Block and partially filled a Fair Value Gap (FVG) before continuing downward. The broader context includes a previously broken descending channel and a current retracement into a supply zone, suggesting bearish continuation. The chart highlights a clean inefficiency zone (FVG) serving as a potential mitigation point, from which sellers appear to be stepping in. Price is currently trading around 155.20, with projected downside continuation toward two marked liquidity levels.
Targets
1st Target: 154.058
2nd Target: 152.999
Fairvaluegap
Bitcoin - $95.000 before a correction?Bitcoin finds itself at an important turning point once again after a sharp decline followed by a strong recovery. In this update, we will cover the reaction to the previous 4H bearish FVG, the newly formed 4H FVG inversion acting as support, the next resistance level around 95,000 dollars, and the recent liquidity sweep.
4H Bearish FVG Inversion
Two days ago, BTC made a strong downward move that reversed a large part of the earlier rally and collected deep liquidity beneath local lows. During this drop, a clear 4H bearish FVG was formed, acting as a supply zone. Yesterday, however, BTC reclaimed this entire FVG with conviction: the price broke through it and closed multiple candles above the zone. This shift flips the area from supply into demand, meaning the former bearish FVG has now transformed into a 4H FVG inversion. The green box on the chart now represents the primary support zone, ideally holding during any pullback.
4H Bearish FVG Around $95,000
Above the current price lies the next 4H bearish FVG around roughly 95,000 dollars, aligning with a previous consolidation and distribution phase. This region acts as strong resistance and is the next logical magnet for the ongoing recovery move. As long as the FVG inversion beneath price holds, it is reasonable to expect BTC to gradually move toward the 95k area. A clear reaction is likely once this zone is reached—ranging from a brief rejection and sideways consolidation to a potentially larger reversal if sellers become aggressive again.
Liquidity Sweep
Recently, BTC briefly pushed above a local high and pulled back immediately afterward, creating a clear liquidity sweep on the chart. This move wiped out the stops of late shorts as well as breakout longs but did not yet lead to immediate continuation to the upside. After such a sweep, the question becomes whether the market can gather enough buyers to fuel the next impulse toward the higher FVG, or whether price will first drop back toward the inversion support to gather liquidity there. The reaction at current levels will therefore provide important insight into short-term direction.
Conclusion
Because of today’s liquidity sweep, a direct correction from the current price is very possible, especially if short-term traders take profit after the strong bounce. However, the base scenario remains that BTC could still make one more push upward toward the 4H bearish FVG around 95,000 dollars, where a more significant reaction is expected. Such a move would fit perfectly within a structure where resistance is tested first, followed by a pullback to retest the new inversion support—confirming whether the recent reversal has real strength behind it.
-------------------------
Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like 👍 and leave a comment 💬, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
Bitcoin - Can the bulls break resistance?Bitcoin continues to stagnate after a strong sell-off. Market structure remains weak, and trading volume is declining as price keeps moving sideways within a tight range. Traders are uncertain about the next move, and both bulls and bears currently lack conviction. Overall sentiment is cool, with most attention focused on nearby resistance zones. Many eyes are on how BTC reacts to the current consolidation area.
4H Bearish FVG
Just above the current price lies a clear bearish 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG). This zone now acts as strong resistance. When BTC retests this area, a rejection is the most likely scenario. Only a breakout with strong volume would give bulls something to lean on. As long as this FVG holds, further downside remains the path of least resistance.
1H Timeframe
The 1-hour timeframe shows ongoing consolidation and repeated struggles with the local 1H bearish FVG. Every attempt to break through this area is immediately rejected. As a result, the probability of BTC breaking to the downside increases, which would allow the market to collect the liquidity resting below. Bears are expected to keep defending this zone until the market breaks through with conviction. Consolidation may continue as long as the support level holds, but the underlying downside risk remains significant.
Conclusion
BTC remains technically pressured as long as there is no convincing breakout above the 4H FVG. The current range is vulnerable to a downward break, especially with weak volume and persistent resistance structures. Traders would be wise to wait for clearer signals or a new trend on higher timeframes before committing to a direction.
EURUSD - Waiting on the direction!Introduction
EURUSD is currently trading in a very technical zone where price is positioned between two significant daily fair value gaps. These opposing imbalances—one bearish and one bullish—are acting as major directional barriers. As long as price remains contained between them, the pair is effectively trapped in a compression phase, awaiting a decisive breakout. The next clear move will likely arise when either the upper or lower FVG gives way, allowing the market to target the liquidity zones that lie beyond these imbalances.
Daily Bearish FVG
Above current price sits the daily bearish fair value gap, which is acting as a strong resistance area. If EURUSD manages to break through this upper FVG with conviction, it would indicate that buyers have reclaimed control. A clean break above this zone would open the path toward the liquidity area located at the top of the chart. This region is where a large cluster of stop orders and resting buy-side liquidity is likely positioned. A move into this area would be a natural target as price seeks to rebalance inefficiencies and tap into the liquidity pool above previous highs.
Daily Bullish FVG
Below the current range lies the daily bullish fair value gap, functioning as a major support zone. If EURUSD breaks below this lower FVG, it would signal a shift in momentum back to the downside. Such a move would send price toward the liquidity zone at the bottom, where sell-side liquidity rests beneath prior lows. This would align with typical market behavior in a bearish continuation—first taking out inefficiencies, then reaching into the liquidity pools that form below structural lows.
Conclusion
EURUSD is currently confined between two major daily FVG levels, creating a tightly compressed structure where the next breakout will dictate direction. Until price decisively breaks either the bearish FVG above or the bullish FVG below, the pair remains in a waiting phase. The eventual breach of one of these imbalances will determine whether EURUSD hunts liquidity at the top or at the bottom, making this a critical moment for directional clarity in the market.
Bitcoin - Approaching the Make or Break ZoneBitcoin continues to bleed lower after multiple liquidity sweeps, and the decline is beginning to compress into a more controlled down move. The chart shows a clear shift in sentiment after the all time high sweep, then another daily sweep that helped close both the daily and 4H imbalance. Since losing the mid range zone and treating it as resistance, the market has been trending toward the next major area of interest.
Consolidation Structure
The structure is currently defined by a clean series of lower highs combined with sharp impulsive down legs. These moves are driven by liquidity grabs followed by displacement, which fits the narrative of a market hunting demand. The previously supportive gray zone has now flipped into resistance, confirming that the current trend remains heavy until a deeper demand zone is reached.
Key Support Zone and Expectations
The most important area beneath price sits around the seventy two thousand to seventy five thousand range, which is the closest meaningful support left on the higher time frame. This zone has been untested since the last major accumulation phase, and as long as price reaches it with a clean move, the reaction can form the base for a bullish leg. If this zone fails to hold, the next meaningful support sits deeper, and the downside extension could accelerate before any recovery starts.
Bullish Scenario
If Bitcoin reaches the seventy two thousand to seventy five thousand range and prints a clear rejection with displacement back upward, the market can set the foundation for a strong bullish bounce. Ideally, we see a final liquidity sweep beneath that range, followed by a sharp market structure shift on the lower time frames. That would open the door for a sustained recovery toward the mid range inefficiencies left behind during the selloff.
Bearish Scenario
If the key zone does not hold, the current support gives way and the market moves into a much deeper discount. That would shift the bias toward continuation lower, targeting untouched liquidity pools further down. In this scenario, any attempt to bounce would likely be corrective rather than the start of a true reversal.
Conclusion
I expect Bitcoin to deliver a meaningful bullish bounce once the seventy two thousand to seventy five thousand zone is tapped, as long as the level holds cleanly. If it fails, the decline continues into a deeper support, but the higher time frame idea remains that the next strong reaction will come from that region. Until then, patience is key while the market completes the move into higher time frame demand.
___________________________________
Thanks for your support!
If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Bitcoin - Relief rally is imminent!Introduction
Bitcoin (BTC) has shown strong downward pressure over the past several days, yet it is beginning to display early signs of stabilization within key higher-timeframe fair value gap zones. Even though the current market structure remains bearish, several technical elements are aligning that suggest the potential for a relief rally. With multiple patterns and liquidity levels converging, the market may be preparing for a temporary upside correction before determining its next major direction.
Weekly FVG
On the weekly timeframe, BTC recently tapped into the weekly fair value gap and filled roughly fifty percent of this imbalance. This partial fill often indicates that the market is collecting liquidity before initiating a larger move. As a result, this weekly FVG acts as a strong demand zone where buyers tend to become active again, offering an area where price often stabilizes, even if only temporarily. The reaction here suggests that BTC may be forming a short-term base.
Daily FVG
On the daily timeframe, another fair value gap is present, and it aligns almost perfectly with the weekly zone. Above current price action lies a clear descending trendline, which is likely to act as resistance on any upward push. The combination of the daily FVG and the downward trendline creates a technically significant decision point. If BTC reaches this area, it may face renewed selling pressure, making this zone crucial for determining whether the market can extend higher or whether the downtrend will reassert itself.
4H Timeframe
On the 4-hour chart, BTC has formed a falling wedge, a pattern that is typically considered bullish. Initially, price broke downward out of the wedge, which seemed like a continuation of weakness. However, BTC quickly moved back into the structure, signaling a fake-out. This type of movement often occurs when liquidity is collected beneath the pattern before a reversal begins. The return into the wedge strengthens the case for a short-term upward correction, suggesting that buyers may be gaining traction.
Relief Rally
The first zone to watch lies just above the current price level, where a 4-hour bearish FVG overlaps with the descending trendline. This confluence is likely to act as immediate resistance, making an initial rejection from this level highly plausible. After a potential rejection, price may revisit the bullish 4-hour FVG below, where buyers are expected to step in again. From this supportive zone, BTC could attempt to break through the descending trendline and continue higher toward the upper 4-hour bearish FVG around the 98,000-dollar region. This serves as a logical target for a relief rally, should momentum continue to build.
Conclusion
BTC is currently positioned within an important higher-timeframe demand zone, strengthened by the overlap of both the weekly and daily FVGs. Although the broader market structure remains bearish, the fake-out within the falling wedge on the 4-hour chart signals that a relief rally may be developing. The immediate resistance above price will provide the first major test. If Bitcoin finds renewed momentum from the bullish 4-hour FVG and successfully breaks the descending trendline, an upward move toward 98,000 dollars becomes increasingly realistic. For now, BTC appears to be setting the stage for a corrective bounce, with key levels offering clear guidance on how this scenario could unfold.
Best Free Fair Value Gap FVG Technical Indicator on TradingView
This free indicator accurately identifies Fair Value Gaps FVG on any market.
It is available on TradingView and it is very easy to set it up.
In this article, I will show you how to use this indicator and how to find a fair value gap easy in one click.
Let's start with my definition of a fair value gap because it is different from trader to trader.
FVG is a sudden, sharp price move that happens so fast that it leaves behind a price zone where very little trading actually occurred.
Because this zone saw almost no trading, it creates an imbalance .
Such a move is usually created by a large candle.
A candle with a big body and almost no wicks.
Among classic Japanese candlesticks, there is one such a candle.
It is called Marubozu.
Here are bullish and bearish structures of that candle.
A green one represents extremely strong bullish momentum. The price opened at the low of the period and closed at the high of the period. There were no pullbacks ; buyers were in complete control from the opening bell to the close.
Its bearish variation has the same logic.
The price opened at the high of the period and closed at the low of the period, with a very little trading activity within.
Our technical indicator will look for such a candle.
The indicator that we will use is called "All Candlestick Patterns".
In the settings of this indicator, we should select Marubozu White (bullish candle) and Marubozu Black (bearish candle).
After we click "OK", the indicator will immediately start working.
The indicator will show valid and significant Fair Value Gaps FVG on any time frame and any trading instrument.
Like any other indicator, it will miss some Fair Value Gaps, but while you are learning to identify them, it will help you to spot the most important ones.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Understanding Dollar Structure and DeliveryCurrent price action is unfolding inside the Intermediate Dealing Range, defined by the November 5 high and the October 17 low. DXY is trading in the premium of its 20 day IPDA range, with equal highs sitting just under the 0.25 level as my first draw on liquidity and a Daily SIBI resting right above it. If price reacts at those equal highs, fine, that is expected. But if it keeps pressing higher, the Daily SIBI is the next draw, no question. And if price shifts with displacement from either of those levels, I am looking straight to the relative equal lows first, then 98.563 below the 0.75 level. With NFP coming up, the fundamentals can blow through structure, but if the dollar shows weakness, price is reaching into discount. That is the only direction it can go.
If you want to understand the delivery here, study this chart from August 1. Watch how price cleans up inefficiencies, hunts liquidity, and moves between premium and discount with every shift in order flow. Every displacement points to the next target. The PD arrays along the path are not decoration, they are the roadmap. I have marked the August 1 high and the September 18 low as the larger dealing range, and the November 5 high with the October 17 low as the Intermediate Dealing Range. That is the framework. That is where price is operating right now. If you want to understand the current delivery, this is the range you need to focus on.
Study the chart and you will see exactly why price moved the way it did. Yes, it is hindsight, and that is the whole point. Understanding past delivery helps you see future price action with real precision. The levels that got targeted here were not random. They were the logical draws. Learn that, and you stop guessing. The same delivery repeats again and again.
Bitcoin – A Gentle Slide Into A Strong ReactionBitcoin continues to trade inside a clean falling channel, moving lower in a controlled manner as it approaches a major support zone. The overall flow remains bearish in the short term, however the structure suggests we are nearing an area where a short term bullish reaction becomes highly probable. Momentum remains soft, but the market is clearly hunting liquidity beneath the channel, which aligns with the expectation of one more drive lower before a meaningful bounce forms.
Channel Structure And Liquidity Behavior
The descending channel is guiding price efficiently, with every lower high respecting the upper boundary and confirming that sellers are still in control for now. This controlled descent usually signals that the market is preparing for a sweep of the lows rather than a sudden break. As price presses toward the channel’s lower boundary and the highlighted support zone, liquidity becomes the focus. A sweep beneath the most recent lows is the type of inducement that often precedes a strong reversal.
Support Zone Reaction Expectations
The green support zone marked on the chart remains the key area of interest. It aligns with previous accumulation behaviour and prior reactive turning points, giving it weight as a zone where traders expect a bounce. Once price pierces into that zone, the probability of a short term bullish response is high. The ideal reaction would be a sharp rejection from the lows, followed by a move back into the body of the channel and a gradual push upward as the market begins absorbing sell orders.
Retest And First Resistance Layer
If the support holds and price bounces, the first significant obstacle will be the red resistance zone above. This area represents the first real test of whether buyers have the strength to absorb supply. A clean move into that zone, followed by a higher low, would confirm the shift in momentum and support the idea of a short term bullish continuation. Failure at this level would simply keep Bitcoin inside the same corrective structure.
Short Term Bullish Scenario
The most probable bullish path is simple: a liquidity sweep into the support zone, a strong rejection, a move back toward mid channel levels, and then a steady climb into the first resistance area. The market does not need to break any major structure immediately. A clean reaction from support is enough to anchor a short term bullish leg, even if the larger trend is still corrective.
Conclusion
Bitcoin is approaching the point where a short term bullish bounce becomes increasingly likely. The falling channel, the upcoming liquidity sweep, and the depth of the support zone all point to a reaction that should materialize soon. Patience remains important, as the bounce is expected only after the market completes its liquidity objective in the support area.
___________________________________
Thanks for your support!
If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Liquidity Basics: Equal Highs/Lows, Inefficiencies & POIsPrice doesn’t move randomly, it is always attracted towards liquidity.
Every wick, breakout, and fake-out tells a story of orders being filled.
If you can read where those orders are hiding, you stop trading noise and start trading intention.
Equal Highs & Lows — The Obvious Targets
Retail traders love to mark equal highs and lows as “strong support/resistance.”
Smart money sees them as fuel.
Above equal highs = cluster of buy stops.
Below equal lows = cluster of sell stops.
When price reaches them, it’s a collection of accumulated liquidity as a main driver behind that move.
Inefficiencies — Fair Value Gaps
Also known as Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) or imbalances, these occur when price moves too quickly, leaving unfilled orders behind.
Price often revisits these zones later to rebalance.
Spot them between large candles with no overlap, they often mark where institutions filled partial orders.
Points of Interest (POIs)
POIs are areas where liquidity and inefficiency converge , the zones of intent.
Look for:
Liquidity sweep of equal highs/lows
Return to imbalance or order block
Shift in market structure
That’s where high-probability setups occur.
Note:
Stop chasing every candle.
Start mapping why price moves.
Equal highs and inefficiencies are magnets, with proper plan and confluence this can represent your strong side of trading.
EURUSD - Outlook for next week!Introduction
EURUSD has been steadily climbing, maintaining a firm uptrend that continues to show strength in market structure. The series of higher highs and higher lows suggests that bullish momentum remains intact, with the market consistently respecting key demand zones on its way upward. As the pair progresses, important technical levels such as fair value gaps and liquidity pools will act as guidance for where price may gravitate next. The chart reflects this upward trajectory and offers a clear roadmap for potential continuation.
Bullish 4H FVG
One of the most significant areas currently in focus is the bullish 4-hour fair value gap. I expect this gap to be reached and to hold as a supportive zone if price pulls back into it. This region represents an area where the market previously moved with strong displacement, leaving inefficiencies behind. If price returns to rebalance this gap and reacts positively, it would provide a strong indication that buyers are still in control. A successful hold of the 4H FVG would reinforce the broader bullish narrative and serve as a foundation for further continuation to the upside.
Liquidity Sweep
With the prevailing trend pointing upward, EURUSD is likely to continue seeking liquidity positioned above current price levels. As momentum carries the market higher, a liquidity sweep becomes increasingly probable. This would involve price reaching into the cluster of resting liquidity above previous highs, tapping into stop orders and filling imbalances before potentially testing the bearish 4-hour fair value gap above. Such a move aligns with typical market behavior, where price targets areas of inefficiency and pockets of liquidity before deciding on its next direction.
Final Thoughts
In conclusion, EURUSD remains firmly positioned within an uptrend, and the draw on liquidity continues to point upward. The liquidity residing above the market, particularly around and just above the bearish 4-hour FVG, presents a natural target for price to explore. As long as the bullish structure remains intact and the 4H FVG holds as anticipated, the path of least resistance is still to the upside. Traders should remain attentive to how price behaves around these key zones, as they will provide important clues for the next significant movement in the pair.
-------------------------
Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like 👍 and leave a comment 💬, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
Bitcoin - Is This Where The Pain Finally Ends?Bitcoin has been grinding lower for about a month after sweeping the previous all time high, which created the shift that kicked off this broader downtrend. Since that sweep, every push up has been met with selling, and the market has slowly bled its way back into a major support zone that has been significant in earlier cycles. This is the kind of level where the market usually makes a statement, either by holding and reversing or by breaking and opening the door to a deeper move.
Support Structure and Key Reaction Point
Price is sitting inside a wide support band that has given strong reactions in the past. It is a level traders know well and one that typically slows the market down. The difference this time is the structure leading into it. The downtrend has been consistent, with a string of lower highs showing that sellers remain in control for now. How the daily candle closes inside this zone will tell us a lot about whether buyers still have enough strength to defend it or if this level finally gives way.
Recent Liquidity Events and Daily Gap Behavior
Before dropping into this support, Bitcoin ran a recent daily high and instantly filled the gap above it, making it clear that the move was more about collecting liquidity than shifting the trend. After that, price slid lower again and retested the inside of the daily imbalance, but the retest failed to spark any meaningful demand. That kind of behavior often hints at a market that is still hunting lower levels rather than building upside structure.
Bullish Scenario
For sentiment to turn, Bitcoin needs to close back above the midline of this zone. That level is the one that would show buyers are actually stepping back in and absorbing the sell side. If the market can reclaim it, a short term reversal becomes possible, and the first targets would be the inefficiencies left behind during the recent selloff. From there, the market would still need to break a series of lower highs before a proper shift is confirmed on the daily timeframe.
Bearish Scenario
If the daily candle fails to close above that internal level highlighted on the chart, viewers should expect continuation lower to become the more probable scenario. A failed close there tells you buyers did not manage to hold the midpoint of the range, which usually means the market is preparing to reach for deeper liquidity. In that situation, the next major support zone below becomes the logical draw, and the path shown on the chart, a small bounce followed by another leg down, fits well with the current momentum.
Conclusion
Bitcoin is sitting at a decision point. Either this support zone does its job again and gives the market enough fuel for a recovery, or the daily close confirms that the level has weakened and the market is ready to reach for the next higher timeframe support. Until that close gives clarity, patience is key, since this is typically where traders get chopped if they try to force a direction too early.
___________________________________
Thanks for your support!
If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Bitcoin - Will it take the liquidity at $98.000?Bitcoin (BTC) has shown a clear downward price structure in recent days.
After a period of sideways movement and attempts at recovery, selling pressure has once again become dominant, resulting in a sharp decline toward key liquidity zones.
4h Bullish FVG Inversion
BTC has just failed to hold the 4-hour bullish FVG and has closed below it, which now acts as resistance (inversion). This opens the path toward lower levels, and the likelihood of a continued decline remains high. The bulls are currently struggling to regain ground.
Liquidity Sweep
During the most recent session, a liquidity sweep occurred, with the price dipping below previous lows and triggering many stop-losses and sell orders. Although such a move often leads to a technical bounce, overall sentiment remains bearish. The remaining liquidity below the major low around $98,000 continues to create selling pressure and could lead to further downside.
Conclusion
Despite the recent liquidity sweep, there is still no convincing bottom in sight, and downside risk continues to dominate. As long as BTC trades below the 4h FVG inversion and bearish momentum persists, a move toward $98,000 remains the most likely scenario within the current technical outlook.
-------------------------
Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like 👍 and leave a comment 💬, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
Bitcoin – From Break to Battle: Will the Bulls Hold the Line?Bitcoin has broken its four-hour downtrend line, marking a potential shift in momentum after an extended bearish phase. The move has sparked renewed interest from buyers, signaling the first real attempt to reclaim structure after consistent lower highs. Despite this progress, the market remains trapped beneath a strong resistance area that has historically acted as a ceiling for price action.
Structure and Key Levels
Following the breakout, Bitcoin left behind a fair value gap, which has now been fully filled, resulting in a healthy bullish reaction. This confirms that the imbalance served as an effective demand zone, attracting buyers back into the market. Above current price, however, lies a key resistance zone that aligns with a previous liquidity sweep, keeping the risk of rejection in play.
Bullish Scenario
If buyers can maintain control above the filled gap and sustain momentum, the structure could expand higher as liquidity above recent highs becomes the next target. A decisive break and hold above the resistance zone would confirm the continuation of bullish intent and potentially establish a higher low formation on the four-hour timeframe.
Bearish Scenario
If price struggles to gain acceptance above resistance and fails to hold its current structure, a rejection could trigger a deeper retracement. This would likely drive the market back into the range below, turning the breakout into a liquidity grab rather than a true reversal. A return toward previous demand areas would then become likely as sellers reclaim control.
Price Outlook
At this point, Bitcoin appears to be consolidating between the strong resistance above and the fair value gap below. This range may act as a decision zone for the next leg. A clean break to the upside would confirm strength and validate the recent shift in structure, while a hard rejection would suggest that the broader downtrend is not yet over.
Conclusion
Bitcoin is at a crucial juncture, trading between a proven supply area and a fresh demand zone that just produced a strong reaction. The market’s next move will reveal whether this breakout can evolve into a sustained trend reversal or if it was simply another liquidity sweep within a broader bearish context.
___________________________________
Thanks for your support!
If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Bitcoin – Bulls Need Confirmation Before the Next Leg UpBitcoin first swept the all-time high, taking out liquidity before showing signs of exhaustion. This move triggered a sharp selloff that rebalanced the previous inefficiency left behind on the daily chart. The rejection from that premium area set the tone for a corrective phase, bringing price back into discount levels where buyers are now attempting to re-establish control.
Consolidation Structure
After the ATH sweep, Bitcoin formed a clear lower high structure. The subsequent drop not only filled an existing daily Fair Value Gap but also created another sweep within that same range. This type of double sweep formation often acts as a transition phase between bearish distribution and potential accumulation, provided the market finds enough volume support at lower levels.
Bullish Scenario
The most recent move filled the lower wick and swept local lows, which typically indicates a liquidity grab before a shift in sentiment. If bulls can close above the highlighted level with strong volume, this would suggest a market structure shift on higher timeframes and could trigger a push toward the 111,000–114,000 region, where the next daily inefficiency lies inside the previous sweep zone.
Bearish Scenario
Failure to reclaim and close above the key resistance level would suggest that the current move is only a retracement within the broader bearish leg. In that case, Bitcoin could revisit the 100,000–101,000 area to re-test the liquidity base created by the recent wick fill, potentially even running the lows one more time before forming a clearer accumulation range.
Price Target and Expectations
If bullish confirmation comes through, the initial target sits near 111,000, aligning with the lower boundary of the daily FVG. A clean breakout beyond 114,000 would further confirm strength and possibly open the way back toward the 118,000–120,000 region where prior inefficiencies remain unmitigated.
Conclusion
Bitcoin has completed a deep corrective sweep, but bulls have yet to prove dominance. A decisive close above the marked resistance with solid volume would confirm that buyers are regaining control and set the stage for continuation toward the higher daily imbalance. Until then, patience is key, as the current move remains a potential retracement rather than a confirmed reversal.
___________________________________
Thanks for your support!
If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
DXY Daily AnalysisLast Week’s Review:
Monday: Bullish delivery as price continued higher.
Tuesday: Price maintained bullish momentum but failed to take out the previous high, leaving equal highs — liquidity resting above.
Wednesday: That liquidity was swept as price reached into the weekly fair value gap, completing delivery to the premium array and initiating bearish distribution.
Current Outlook:
On the daily chart, we’re still trading deep inside premium, and price is showing clear signs of exhaustion after that delivery into the weekly FVG. With bearish distribution now in play, my bias remains bearish. Any short-term push back into the 0.75 quadrant, I’ll treat as a retracement — a chance for price to reprice some lower-timeframe inefficiencies before the next leg lower. On the 4H chart, I’ll be watching for price to trade back into short-term FVGs or inefficiencies that align with this overall bearish narrative.
Bitcoin - Deathcross is coming!Bitcoin has shown a strong move over the past week, reaching the predicted downside target.
The price action is currently hovering around key technical levels that influence market sentiment on both higher and lower timeframes.
Recap of Last Week
Last week, it was noted that BTC had made a liquidity sweep, inversed the bullish daily FVG, and formed a fake-out, all pointing toward further downside movement. The target was set just above $103,000, and this was convincingly reached, with a decline of roughly 7–10%. The prediction played out accurately, and the market clearly demonstrated that the bears remain in control.
Daily Timeframe
On the daily timeframe, it’s notable that the major low around $98,000 has not yet been taken out. At the same time, BTC is trading below a strong resistance zone just above the current price.
This area will be difficult to break and could create downward pressure, making a sweep of the $98,000 level more likely. However, if BTC manages to reclaim these resistance zones, sentiment could shift to a more bullish outlook, but for now, the bears are still in charge.
4h Timeframe
On the 4-hour timeframe, there’s a 4h FVG located just above the current price.
From a technical standpoint, this is a logical area for a potential rejection.
The expectation is that BTC will first move up toward this FVG before facing a rejection and then drop again toward the $98,000 zone.
Death Cross
A death cross may form within the next 1–2 weeks, occurring when the 50-day MA crosses below the 200-day MA. This is a well-known bearish signal, but historically, it often appears toward the end of a downtrend. In this cycle, we’ve already seen three death crosses, all of which either marked or came close to marking a bottom.
However, during 2017 and 2021, death crosses also appeared at the end of bull markets — followed by a sharp decline, and then a relief rally that pushed prices back above the death cross level. Therefore, it’s crucial to stay alert to whether this signals the end of the bull market or rather a final shakeout before a new rally.
Conclusion
BTC has reached the expected downside target and is currently trading below strong resistance. It’s likely that BTC will first test the 4h FVG and then move toward the $98,000 zone.
The upcoming death cross could add pressure, but historically, such signals often mark the end of a downward phase. The coming weeks will be crucial in determining whether this is a deeper correction or the start of a new bullish impulse.
-------------------------
Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like 👍 and leave a comment 💬, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
Fair Value Gaps: The Market Secret You Shouldn’t IgnoreEver scrolled through a chart and spotted a weird empty space in the candles — like the market just skipped a beat? That’s a Fair Value Gap (FVG). It’s one of those subtle price imbalances smart traders love to hunt for. Understanding how these gaps form and how price reacts around them can seriously level up your chart-reading game.
What Is a Fair Value Gap in Trading?
A Fair Value Gap happens when there’s a sudden surge in buying or selling pressure that causes price to move so fast, it doesn’t fully balance out between buyers and sellers. In simple terms, it’s an imbalance — a zone where the market skipped over potential orders.
When you hear traders talking about FVG in trading, they’re referring to those little pockets of unfilled liquidity left behind during strong moves.
So, what is FVG in trading, and why does it matter? Because price often comes back to those areas later to “rebalance” — filling the gap before continuing in the original direction. That’s the core logic behind Fair Value Gap trading.
Bullish and Bearish FVGs
There are two main types of Fair Value Gaps — bullish and bearish:
Bullish Fair Value Gap (bullish FVG): Forms during a strong upward move, when aggressive buyers push price higher, leaving a void below. Price might later dip back into that zone before continuing upward.
Bearish Fair Value Gap (bearish FVG): Forms in a sell-off, when sellers dominate and the market drops quickly, skipping over potential buy orders. Later, price often retraces upward to “fill” that gap.
Both can act as magnets for liquidity — areas where smart money likes to re-enter the market.
Fair Value Gap Example
Let’s say Bitcoin jumps from $110,000 to $120,000 in a single bullish candle, with almost no trading in between. That sudden move leaves a Fair Value Gap — the zone between the candle’s high and low where little to no trading took place.
If the market later pulls back to that range and finds support before bouncing, you’ve just witnessed a textbook Fair Value Gap example in action.
Using a Fair Value Gap Indicator
You can spot these zones manually by looking for three-candle structures — one candle that “leaves the gap” and two surrounding it that don’t overlap. But if you prefer automation, you can use a Fair Value Gap indicators:
Fair Value Gap Trading Strategies
Fair Value Gap trading isn’t about chasing price — it’s about waiting for the market to come back to you. Within Smart Money Concepts, traders often combine FVGs with CHoCH (Change of Character) to confirm a potential shift in structure before entering.
A common approach is to mark recent FVGs, identify the broader trend, and wait for price to revisit a gap in line with that trend.
In a bullish trend , traders look for bullish FVGs below current price as potential demand zones — ideally after a CHoCH confirms that buyers are stepping back in.
In a bearish trend , they watch for bearish FVGs above current price as potential supply zones, again validated by a CHoCH showing a shift in control.
Still, it’s important to remember — these setups are not guarantees. The market doesn’t owe you a fill. Use FVGs and CHoCH as part of the Smart Money framework, not as standalone signals. Always manage risk and make your own trading decisions based on your personal strategy and comfort level.
Final Thoughts
So, what is a Fair Value Gap really? It’s not magic — just the market showing where it moved too fast. Learning to read Fair Value Gaps gives you insight into liquidity, momentum, and potential reversals. Whether you use a Fair Value Gap indicator or mark them by hand, mastering FVG in trading can give you a serious edge in spotting high-probability zones.
Just keep in mind — no indicator or setup replaces good judgment.
Observe, adapt, and let the charts speak for themselves.
Bitcoin - Liquidity grab signals further downside!Bitcoin (BTC) is currently in a crucial phase within a broader consolidation structure. After a strong upward move, the price has encountered significant resistance and is showing signs of weakening buying pressure. On the daily chart, it is clear that the price has re-entered the triangle structure after a brief breakout above resistance.
Liquidity Grab
Around $116,000, a clear liquidity sweep can be observed. Above this level, many stop orders and short-position liquidity were clustered. After this liquidity was taken, the price reversed sharply downward — indicating that large market players likely used this move to take profits or open short positions.
Fake-Out from the Triangle Pattern
The breakout above the triangle structure turned out to be a fake-out. Instead of holding above the trendline for confirmation, the price quickly fell back within the formation. This indicates buyer weakness and strengthens the bearish scenario. A fake-out above a consolidation pattern often leads to a move in the opposite direction — toward the lower boundary of the structure.
Daily FVG
The current candle is positioned within an important daily Fair Value Gap (FVG). If the daily close remains as it is, this bullish FVG will convert into a bearish FVG, meaning the area will now act as resistance. This suggests that bears are taking control and further downward price action is likely.
Target
After an upward fake-out that collects liquidity, price often moves to the opposite side of the pattern. In this case, that would be the lower side of the triangle. A drop toward $103,000–$104,000 is therefore the most likely scenario. This zone aligns with previous structural support and can serve as a logical target area.
Conclusion
Bitcoin is showing clear signs of exhaustion near the top of the range. The liquidity grab and fake-out from the triangle reinforce the bearish outlook. With the daily FVG flipping bearish and bullish momentum fading, a move down toward the $103,000–$104,000 zone appears to be the most probable next step — unless BTC unexpectedly manages to close above the FVG.
-------------------------
Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like 👍 and leave a comment 💬, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
NO CLEAR BIAS: AWAITING PRICE ACTION SIGNALS TO DECIDESTUDY THE POINTS MADE ON THE H1 ALONGSIDE WHAT THE DAILY CHART INDICATES
DISCLAIMER:
The owner of this page is an authorised Representative under supervision of TD MARKETS (PTY) LTD, an authorised Financial Services Provider (FSP No. 49128) licensed by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) under the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act (FAIS).
The FSP is licensed to provide advice and intermediary services in respect of Category I financial products, including but not limited to derivative instruments, long-term deposits, and short-term deposits.
All investment ideas are provided in accordance with the scope of the FSP's license and applicable regulatory requirements. Derivative instruments is a leveraged products that carry high risks and could result in losing all of your capital, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
This idea and any attachments are informational/education and does not constitute a recommendation to buy/sell.
No guarantee is made regarding the accuracy or outcome of this trade idea.
If you choose to accept this idea, please do so at your own risk.
Bitcoin - Will the bears push the price towards $104.000?Introduction
Bitcoin is currently in a phase of consolidation following the recent sharp decline. For several days, the price has been forming a symmetrical triangle, indicating increasing tension between buyers and sellers. This phase is often seen as a period of preparation for a larger move. However, clear bullish momentum is still lacking, which increases the risk of a downward breakout.
Triangle pattern
The price is moving within a triangle pattern, where the highs are decreasing and the lows are slightly rising. This suggests a compression of liquidity and declining volatility. The upper boundary of the pattern acts as dynamic resistance, while the lower boundary serves as support. Once the price breaks out of this structure, the direction of the next major move will likely be determined. For now, the price seems trapped between these two key levels.
Liquidity at the top with the bearish 4h FVG tested
Yesterday, the upper side of the structure was tested, just above the 4-hour bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG). In that area, liquidity from previous highs was also located. The price reacted with a strong rejection and quickly fell back. This reaction confirmed that sellers still have control and that demand has weakened. The signal indicates that the market is struggling to break above $114,000.
4h bearish FVG
The 4-hour bearish FVG is located between approximately $108,600 and $111,300. This zone now serves as a key resistance area. Each time the price touches this region, selling pressure increases, limiting further upside movement. As long as this zone is not convincingly broken with volume, the short-term trend remains bearish. A breakout above this level could open the door to higher targets.
Liquidity area at the bottom
At the lower end of the triangle, there is a clear liquidity area around $103,500. This is where stop-losses from long positions and potential buy orders from large players are located, waiting for a liquidity grab. If the price moves into this area, a short wick downward could occur before a potential bounce takes place. Therefore, this level is important to monitor in case of a downward breakout.
Conclusion
BTC still shows no signs of strength. The rejection from the 4-hour bearish FVG above the liquidity zone points to a lack of buying interest. As long as the price remains within the triangle and trades below $113,000, the likelihood of a downward move remains higher. Only a convincing breakout above the upper boundary could temporarily improve market sentiment. Until then, the bears remain in control, with focus on the support around the lower liquidity zone.
-------------------------
Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like 👍 and leave a comment 💬, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
21 OCT 2025: US100 MARKET RECAPNOT A DAY FOR THE FAINT HEARTED
Study through the consolidation!
DISCLAIMER:
The owner of this page is an authorised Representative under supervision of TD MARKETS (PTY) LTD, an authorised Financial Services Provider (FSP No. 49128) licensed by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) under the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act (FAIS).
The FSP is licensed to provide advice and intermediary services in respect of Category I financial products, including but not limited to derivative instruments, long-term deposits, and short-term deposits.
All investment ideas are provided in accordance with the scope of the FSP's license and applicable regulatory requirements. Derivative instruments is a leveraged products that carry high risks and could result in losing all of your capital, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
This idea and any attachments are informational/education and does not constitute a recommendation to buy/sell.
No guarantee is made regarding the accuracy or outcome of this trade idea.
If you choose to accept this idea, please do so at your own risk.
Gold (XAU/USD) M30 Smart Money Setup – Price Action Analysis📊 Current Structure:
On the M30 timeframe, CHOCH (Change of Character) has formed around 4186, confirming a possible bearish shift in market structure. The previous low stands at 4004, which acts as a major liquidity zone and final bearish target.
🧠 Smart Money Concept Overview
After the CHOCH at 4186, Gold is expected to retrace to premium zones before continuing its bearish move. The market has created two Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) — potential supply areas where price may react.
⚙️ Key Zones
1️⃣ 1st FVG (4231 – 4246) → Minor retracement zone 🟠
2️⃣ 2nd FVG (4302 – 4322) → Strong supply zone 🔴
📍 Stop Loss (SL): 4346
🎯 Target (TP): 4001
🧭 Trading Plan
Wait for price to tap into any FVG zone (4231–4322).
Confirm bearish reaction using candlestick rejection or CHOCH on lower TFs (M5–M15).
Enter short positions aiming for the 4001 target.
Risk management: keep SL tight above 4346.
📉 Conclusion
Gold currently shows strong bearish pressure after CHOCH confirmation. Smart money traders will be looking for short entries from FVG zones toward the 4001 liquidity target. Manage your trade wisely and follow structure confirmation before entry. 🧩
💡 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always do your own research before trading. 📚






















