Bitcoin - Will the bears push the price towards $104.000?Introduction
Bitcoin is currently in a phase of consolidation following the recent sharp decline. For several days, the price has been forming a symmetrical triangle, indicating increasing tension between buyers and sellers. This phase is often seen as a period of preparation for a larger move. However, clear bullish momentum is still lacking, which increases the risk of a downward breakout.
Triangle pattern
The price is moving within a triangle pattern, where the highs are decreasing and the lows are slightly rising. This suggests a compression of liquidity and declining volatility. The upper boundary of the pattern acts as dynamic resistance, while the lower boundary serves as support. Once the price breaks out of this structure, the direction of the next major move will likely be determined. For now, the price seems trapped between these two key levels.
Liquidity at the top with the bearish 4h FVG tested
Yesterday, the upper side of the structure was tested, just above the 4-hour bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG). In that area, liquidity from previous highs was also located. The price reacted with a strong rejection and quickly fell back. This reaction confirmed that sellers still have control and that demand has weakened. The signal indicates that the market is struggling to break above $114,000.
4h bearish FVG
The 4-hour bearish FVG is located between approximately $108,600 and $111,300. This zone now serves as a key resistance area. Each time the price touches this region, selling pressure increases, limiting further upside movement. As long as this zone is not convincingly broken with volume, the short-term trend remains bearish. A breakout above this level could open the door to higher targets.
Liquidity area at the bottom
At the lower end of the triangle, there is a clear liquidity area around $103,500. This is where stop-losses from long positions and potential buy orders from large players are located, waiting for a liquidity grab. If the price moves into this area, a short wick downward could occur before a potential bounce takes place. Therefore, this level is important to monitor in case of a downward breakout.
Conclusion
BTC still shows no signs of strength. The rejection from the 4-hour bearish FVG above the liquidity zone points to a lack of buying interest. As long as the price remains within the triangle and trades below $113,000, the likelihood of a downward move remains higher. Only a convincing breakout above the upper boundary could temporarily improve market sentiment. Until then, the bears remain in control, with focus on the support around the lower liquidity zone.
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Fairvaluegap
21 OCT 2025: US100 MARKET RECAPNOT A DAY FOR THE FAINT HEARTED
Study through the consolidation!
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Gold (XAU/USD) M30 Smart Money Setup – Price Action Analysis📊 Current Structure:
On the M30 timeframe, CHOCH (Change of Character) has formed around 4186, confirming a possible bearish shift in market structure. The previous low stands at 4004, which acts as a major liquidity zone and final bearish target.
🧠 Smart Money Concept Overview
After the CHOCH at 4186, Gold is expected to retrace to premium zones before continuing its bearish move. The market has created two Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) — potential supply areas where price may react.
⚙️ Key Zones
1️⃣ 1st FVG (4231 – 4246) → Minor retracement zone 🟠
2️⃣ 2nd FVG (4302 – 4322) → Strong supply zone 🔴
📍 Stop Loss (SL): 4346
🎯 Target (TP): 4001
🧭 Trading Plan
Wait for price to tap into any FVG zone (4231–4322).
Confirm bearish reaction using candlestick rejection or CHOCH on lower TFs (M5–M15).
Enter short positions aiming for the 4001 target.
Risk management: keep SL tight above 4346.
📉 Conclusion
Gold currently shows strong bearish pressure after CHOCH confirmation. Smart money traders will be looking for short entries from FVG zones toward the 4001 liquidity target. Manage your trade wisely and follow structure confirmation before entry. 🧩
💡 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always do your own research before trading. 📚
Bitcoin - Is the top already in?Introduction
This chart analyzes Bitcoin’s cyclical timing. The focus is on time, not price. It examines the number of days between structural moments such as cycle tops, cycle bottoms, and halvings. By comparing these intervals, we can understand rhythm and consistency. This helps determine whether the current cycle top may have already formed in early October.
Cycle Top to Cycle Bottom
The period from cycle top to cycle bottom represents the bear phase after a market peak. In the previous two cycles, this phase lasted about 365 days each. This pattern suggests that the market typically needs a year to recover. After that, a new accumulation phase usually begins. If the pattern holds, it provides a fairly predictable window for correction. It marks the transition from euphoria to rebuilding.
Cycle Bottom to Cycle Top
The phase from cycle bottom to cycle top defines the bull run itself. In the last two cycles, this period lasted 1,065 and 1,066 days. That is just under three years. During this time, Bitcoin rose from deep accumulation to a new all-time high. Based on current data, 1,065 days points to early October. In that month, a new ATH was reached. This makes the current phase consistent with past cycles. It supports the idea that the top may already be in.
Cycle Top to Cycle Top
The full duration from peak to peak measured 1,461 and 1,431 days in previous cycles. This shows a clear recurring rhythm. The market moves in fairly consistent four-year patterns. Comparing this with the current cycle shows a slight extension. If the peak occurred in early October, this cycle is longer than the last. That may suggest a more mature market. Growth is slower but structurally stronger.
Halving to Cycle Top
The time between a halving and the next cycle top is key. Halvings affect both supply and market sentiment. In past cycles, this interval was 518 and 548 days. We are now exactly at day 548 since the last halving. This aligns perfectly with historical timing. It supports the idea that the top was reached in early October. The moment fits the halving-to-top rhythm observed in earlier cycles.
Conclusion
Based on this timing analysis, it is very likely that the cycle top formed in early October. The bottom-to-top duration of 1,065 days and the halving-to-top of 548 days confirm this. Both match previous patterns. The current cycle is slightly longer than earlier ones, suggesting a slower rhythm. If Bitcoin sets a new ATH later, it would mark an extended cycle.
Timing alone does not guarantee future price direction. Macro factors, policy shifts, and liquidity events can all change the rhythm. Use timing cycles as context, not as prediction. Combine them with price structure and on-chain signals. Maintain active risk management, since longer cycles often bring higher volatility and larger deviations from historical averages.
Bitcoin - First Signs of the Bear AwakeningBitcoin recently swept the previous all-time high, taking liquidity from the major external range. After that sweep, price reacted sharply downward, leaving behind a significant daily imbalance. This gap is now acting as resistance, with clear rejection seen on the daily timeframe. The move signals exhaustion from buyers and an early sign that the market could be preparing for a deeper retracement phase.
Consolidation Structure
Following the rejection, Bitcoin is moving within a short-term consolidation range, sitting between the daily imbalance above and a major demand zone below. This structure represents indecision as the market transitions from expansion to a potential reaccumulation or redistribution phase. The large wick left behind during the last drop suggests that liquidity was collected below the previous range, but it remains unfilled, hinting at unfinished business in that area.
Bullish Scenario
In the short term, a bounce from the lower zone could play out as the market attempts to correct the imbalance. This would align with a 50% fill of the previous large wick, providing the liquidity needed before resuming any sustained downside movement. If buyers manage to reclaim control temporarily, the move would likely target the unfilled 4-hour gaps sitting above current price.
Bearish Scenario
However, any upside reaction is expected to face resistance at the daily imbalance. Once those 4-hour gaps are filled, the likelihood of another rejection increases. If that rejection confirms, it could trigger a larger selloff targeting the strong support area below, where the next round of liquidity rests. The reaction from that zone will determine whether the market continues lower or begins forming a new base for accumulation.
Price Target and Expectations
The ideal flow would see Bitcoin dip to fill 50% of the large wick, find temporary support, then stage one final bounce into the 4-hour imbalance zone before resuming its bearish leg. This structure keeps the overall narrative intact, combining liquidity behavior with efficient price delivery.
Conclusion
Bitcoin’s current setup remains technically balanced between two key inefficiencies. A short-term bounce is likely before continuation lower, with the daily gap rejection acting as the main pivot point in this structure. Until the wick fill and 4-hour gaps are resolved, the path of least resistance remains to the downside.
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Bitcoin - What to expect from this week?Introduction
This analysis examines the recent price behavior of Bitcoin against USDT on the daily timeframe. The chart highlights several key technical concepts, including a liquidity sweep at the highs, a daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) acting as resistance, and the likelihood of a wick fill within a major imbalance zone. Together, these elements provide valuable insight into how institutional traders may be engineering liquidity and preparing for the next significant move. Understanding these areas can help traders anticipate high-probability reaction zones and better align with the market’s underlying structure.
Liquidity sweep
The market recently executed a liquidity sweep above previous swing highs, triggering buy stops and attracting breakout traders into the move. This sudden push to the upside was quickly rejected, signaling that smart money likely used this moment to gather liquidity and distribute positions. Liquidity sweeps often serve as the market’s way of collecting orders before a reversal or retracement, indicating that the bullish momentum may be temporarily exhausted. This event sets the stage for price to rebalance inefficiencies left behind during the rapid move.
Daily FVG resistance
Following the liquidity sweep, price left behind a clear daily Fair Value Gap, which represents an area of imbalance caused by strong displacement. This gap often acts as resistance, where price is expected to return and mitigate before potentially continuing lower. The FVG provides an ideal area for institutional traders to reposition, as it offers a point of confluence between inefficiency and structure. If price reacts bearishly within this zone, it would strengthen the bearish outlook and suggest a continuation toward lower levels.
Wick fill
The large wick seen during the recent sell-off is an important feature of this chart. Historically, big wicks tend to get filled by 50% to 65%, reflecting the market’s tendency to rebalance inefficiencies over time. The marked blue zone below shows where this fill is most likely to occur. This zone aligns closely with previous support levels and Fibonacci retracement levels, further reinforcing it as a potential area of interest. A wick fill into this region could provide liquidity for future bullish movement, allowing the market to establish a more solid foundation for the next impulsive leg upward.
Conclusion
In summary, the current daily structure of Bitcoin suggests that price has completed a liquidity sweep at the highs and is now in the process of rebalancing inefficiencies through a possible retracement. The daily Fair Value Gap above serves as a critical resistance zone where sellers may re-enter, while the wick fill area below marks a high-probability target for price to revisit before establishing new direction. Traders should monitor how price reacts to these two regions, a rejection from the FVG coupled with a move toward the wick fill zone could signal the next significant swing opportunity. In this environment, patience and precision are key, as the market seeks equilibrium before its next major directional move.
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Usoil - Retracement to FVG Before Bullish ContinationMarket Structure & Key Levels
Resistance Zone: Price reacted from this supply area, showing short-term rejection after BOS (Break of Structure) to the upside.
FVG (Fair Value Gap): Price is expected to retrace into this imbalance zone for demand before resuming higher. Watch for bullish price action here.
Weak Low: If price breaks this low, the bullish scenario becomes invalid and deeper downside may follow.
Structure Highlights:
BOS (Break of Structure): Several BOS points confirm previous bearish trend and recent short-term bullish correction.
CHoCH (Change of Character): Marked at the base of reversal near FVG zone, indicating possible trend shift.
EMA Confluence: Price hovering around short EMAs, showing possible slowdown and setup for a pullback.
Trade Scenario
Expected Move:
Price could retrace to the FVG zone (imbalance fill) before a bounce.
From there, bullish momentum may resume toward the target zone above resistance.
Bullish Confirmation:
Look for price to tap into the FVG, form bullish structure (e.g., BOS, CHoCH), and engulfing patterns or lower-timeframe entries.
Target would be near recent highs or break above resistance at ~$59.90–60.00.
Invalidation:
Break below the Weak Low would invalidate this bullish setup and open room for further downside.
Bitcoin – Short-Term Weakness, Long-Term StrengthBitcoin has recently swept the all-time high, triggering a short-term reaction from liquidity resting above that level. This move often signals that the market has completed its buy-side run and is now seeking to rebalance inefficiencies created during the aggressive push upward. The current structure indicates that price is shifting momentum in the short term, preparing for a deeper retracement before resuming its bullish trajectory.
Imbalance and Structure Shift
Following the liquidity sweep, a clear 4-hour imbalance (IFVG) has formed, acting as the first sign of bearish pressure entering the market. This inefficiency shows that the prior move lacked sufficient counter-orders, meaning price may need to return there to restore balance. The bearish move was further confirmed as price inverted a smaller 4-hour FVG, signaling a potential continuation to the downside in the short term.
Bearish Scenario
If the market continues to respect the newly formed IFVG, we could see a sustained bearish retracement develop. Price may use this imbalance as a draw, seeking to fill deeper inefficiencies left behind during the prior expansion. This corrective phase is not necessarily a trend reversal but rather a short-term redistribution phase before buyers potentially step back in from lower levels.
Bullish Scenario
Once the 4-hour fair value gap below is filled, the market could begin forming a base for a new bullish leg. The liquidity collected from the downside move and the rebalancing of inefficiencies would give price enough fuel for a strong continuation higher. Traders should look for a clean market structure shift or displacement from that demand area as the signal of renewed bullish intent.
Expectations and Outlook
In summary, Bitcoin appears to be in a healthy retracement phase after sweeping liquidity at the highs. The 4-hour imbalance provides a clear short-term target for price to seek, and once filled, the bullish structure could resume. This setup favors patience, waiting for confirmation that the downside rebalancing is complete before anticipating another impulsive rally.
Conclusion
Overall, Bitcoin’s structure suggests a temporary bearish move to fill the 4-hour FVG, followed by a potential bullish continuation once that inefficiency is resolved. Watching how price reacts upon entering that zone will be key in determining whether the next expansion phase begins.
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Bitcoin - Shortterm correction in the bullish trend!Introduction
The Bitcoin price action is currently moving within a structured range where both liquidity and fair value gaps (FVGs) are playing an important role in shaping potential market direction. By analyzing the chart, we can identify key areas of liquidity, resistance, and support that traders are likely to pay close attention to in the coming days. Understanding how price reacts around these zones will help anticipate whether bulls can maintain control or if bears will attempt to reclaim lost ground.
Upside liquidity
At the top of the range, we can see a clear liquidity area where price previously reversed. This liquidity pool represents buy-side liquidity, and the market could be drawn towards it as price seeks to sweep the highs. Liquidity is often targeted by the market before making a significant move in the opposite direction, which makes this area important to watch closely.
Resistance from the 4h and daily FVG
Before price can reach higher liquidity levels, it must contend with a strong resistance zone that overlaps with both the 4-hour and the daily fair value gap. This confluence strengthens the resistance, making it more likely that price will struggle to break through immediately. Traders will be watching for signs of rejection within this area, which could cause short-term pullbacks before any potential breakout.
4h FVG and CME gap support
On the downside, the 4-hour fair value gap aligns with the CME gap, providing a strong support level. This zone acts as an attractive area for price to retrace into before continuing higher. It is common for the market to return to such imbalances to fill inefficiencies, so a temporary dip into this support could serve as a healthy retracement before bulls attempt to push price further upward.
Bullish inversion
Another critical development is the inversion zone, where previous resistance has now flipped into support. This shift highlights that bulls are taking control of the market structure, strengthening the overall bullish outlook. As long as this inversion level holds, buyers are likely to defend it aggressively, reducing the probability of a deeper breakdown.
Final thoughts
Overall, the market remains in a bullish posture with upside liquidity acting as a magnet, but significant resistance awaits at the overlapping 4h and daily FVG. Short-term pullbacks into the 4h FVG and CME gap support are likely before the next major move upward. If the bullish inversion continues to hold, we could see a strong push towards the higher liquidity zones, potentially targeting levels beyond 117,000. The coming days will be crucial in determining whether bulls can maintain this control or if resistance proves too strong.
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Order Flow & Fair Value Gap Approach 3 Setups in the last 48hourThis strategy leverages order flow analysis and the concept of fair value gaps, operating on the principle that the market behaves as an auction—constantly seeking areas of balance and imbalance.
Over the past 48 hours, BTCUSD has presented three high-probability scalping setups aligned with this methodology.
Market Context
Trend: Bullish
The market has shown clear bullish momentum over the last 48 hours.
Breakout Event:
Price broke out of a consolidation zone with strong, aggressive buying activity, indicating a shift in market sentiment and the initiation of a new leg in the trend.
Imbalance Creation:
During this breakout, two fair value gaps (FVGs)—also referred to as low value nodes (LVNs)—were formed as a result of inefficient price movement.
Trade Setup Criteria & Checklist
To validate each setup, we apply the following checklist:
Criteria Status
1. Trend is bullish ✅ Confirmed
2. Breakout from a consolidation zone with aggressive buy orders ✅ Confirmed
3. Fair value gap created by impulsive buying ✅ Confirmed
4. Retracement into the fair value gap ✅ Confirmed
5. Confirmation of strong buyers defending the FVG zone ✅ Confirmed
6. Defined risk with favorable R:R (1:2 or better) ✅ Confirmed
Risk Management
Each trade setup followed a 1:2 risk-to-reward ratio, maintaining consistency with our strategy's risk parameters.
This sequence illustrates how combining order flow with structural imbalances like fair value gaps can produce high-quality scalping opportunities. Always remember: context, confirmation, and confluence are key.
Cable$FibreIn the past few days we've seen a bearish momentum on cable and fibre. This is my opinion will continue to be the case in he coming weeks. This week however, the market is retracing, to take out those who're currently profitable. The first week of the month is relatively unpredictable so I'd advice you to sit back and relax, unless you know what you're doing. From next week, I expect to see price resume its bearish stance.
EURUSD - Bears are taking control!Introduction
This chart analysis of EUR/USD highlights key price action concepts such as liquidity grabs, fair value gaps, and inversions on the four-hour timeframe. By examining how the market has been moving recently, we can better understand where price may head next and how institutional activity could be shaping upcoming moves. The following sections break down the liquidity sweeps, the bearish and bullish setups, and the potential implications for future price direction.
Liquidity grab at the upside
The recent price movement shows a clear liquidity grab to the upside, where price aggressively pushed higher to take out resting buy stops above previous highs. This kind of move is typical of market makers and institutions seeking liquidity before reversing the price. Once those stops are cleared, the market often lacks the momentum to sustain higher levels, which can be a precursor to a reversal or deeper retracement.
Liquidity grab at the downside
After the upward liquidity sweep, the market also executed a downside liquidity grab. Price dipped lower to target sell-side liquidity, running stops beneath previous lows before showing signs of reacting. These moves are designed to trap both breakout traders and late sellers, creating the liquidity necessary for the next larger move. This back-and-forth price action emphasizes how the market often seeks liquidity in both directions before deciding on a sustained trend.
4h bearish FVG
A four-hour bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) has formed, which acts as a strong area of imbalance where price is likely to return. This zone provides a potential entry point for institutional traders looking to short, as it represents inefficiency in the market that has yet to be filled. As long as price respects this area and reacts bearishly upon re-entry, it strengthens the case for continuation to the downside.
4h bullish inversion
At the same time, there is a four-hour bullish inversion level, where previous resistance has flipped into potential support. This area can act as a temporary base for price to consolidate or retrace before resuming its bearish trajectory. If the inversion holds, we might see short-term bullish reactions, but the broader market structure still favors sellers as long as the bearish FVG remains intact.
Final thoughts
Overall, the current EUR/USD setup suggests that the market is in the process of engineering liquidity on both sides before deciding its next major move. The upside and downside liquidity grabs confirm the presence of institutional activity, while the bearish FVG highlights a potential point of interest for further selling. The bullish inversion may offer temporary support, but the broader bias remains bearish until proven otherwise. Traders should watch how price reacts to the highlighted zones, as these areas are likely to provide the clearest signals for the next significant move.
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Bitcoin - Will the parallel channel hold?Introduction
The Bitcoin market is currently showing an interesting structure that offers both bullish and bearish possibilities. By analyzing the liquidity dynamics, the channel formation, and key areas of interest highlighted on the chart, we can gain a better understanding of the potential scenarios that may play out in the short to medium term. This analysis focuses on the recent liquidity sweep, the behavior within the rising channel, and the critical zones that could act as decision points for price movement.
Liquidity sweep above the highs
Recently, the market performed a liquidity sweep above the previous highs. This type of price action typically occurs when liquidity pools are triggered, trapping breakout traders and providing institutional players with favorable entries in the opposite direction. The sweep has set the stage for the next move, and it becomes crucial to see whether price sustains above this level or rejects it decisively.
Rising channel
Price is currently trading within a rising channel, which often acts as a short-term bullish structure but can also precede reversals if broken to the downside. The channel is providing clear levels of support and resistance, with the midline serving as a short-term equilibrium point. As long as price remains inside this channel, traders should expect oscillations between its boundaries, but any break below it could trigger a stronger move toward lower support zones.
Bearish scenario
In the event that price fails to hold within the channel, the bearish scenario points toward a retest of the lower fair value gap (FVG) around the 113,000 level. This would align with a deeper correction, offering the market a chance to rebalance inefficiencies left behind during the recent bullish rally. A sustained breakdown from the channel could accelerate selling pressure, with liquidity below key lows acting as a magnet for price.
Bullish scenario
On the other hand, if price manages to respect the rising channel and reclaim the liquidity sweep level, the bullish scenario would see a continuation toward the higher 4-hour fair value gap around 119,000–120,000. This area is a major point of interest, as it represents an unfilled imbalance that could attract buyers if momentum continues. Holding above the midline of the channel would strengthen the bullish outlook and could even lead to a retest of previous highs.
Final thoughts
Overall, the market is at a decisive stage where both bullish and bearish outcomes remain valid. The liquidity sweep has created a reaction point, and the rising channel offers a clear framework for monitoring price behavior. Traders should remain flexible and prepared for either outcome, watching closely for confirmations such as a clean break of the channel or a strong reclaim of resistance levels. Ultimately, the reaction around the current structure will determine whether Bitcoin continues higher toward the upper fair value gap or corrects lower into the demand zone below.
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Bitcoin - Daily Gap Inversion Aligns with UptrendBitcoin recently made a push higher that cleared local highs and swept liquidity above the previous range. This move created a temporary fake out before price sharply retraced, filling inefficiencies left behind in the market. After completing this corrective move, price has begun reclaiming structure and is now respecting higher timeframe demand zones.
Daily Structure
The daily chart continues to show a clean uptrend, with higher lows forming along the rising trendline. After the liquidity sweep, price retraced to test key imbalances and has since confirmed a bullish shift by inverting a daily gap. This gap has been retested multiple times, suggesting it is holding firm as support and reinforcing the bullish continuation bias.
Liquidity Dynamics
The sweep of liquidity at the highs cleared buy-side pressure, resetting the market. This type of liquidity event often precedes sustained directional moves as the market seeks out new inefficiencies and liquidity pools. For now, downside liquidity has been satisfied and the path of least resistance appears to be higher.
Upside Scenarios
If the inverted daily gap continues to hold, price could target the major resistance block above 120,000 USDT. This zone aligns with the previous rejection area, where liquidity remains untested. Any approach into this resistance will be key to monitor for continuation or rejection.
Downside Risk
Should Bitcoin lose the daily inverted gap and trendline support, further retracement toward 111,000 to 112,000 USDT becomes possible, where a deeper liquidity pocket and structural support remain. Until then, the higher low structure remains intact.
Conclusion
Bitcoin has absorbed liquidity, filled inefficiencies, and inverted a daily gap that is now holding as support. Combined with the ongoing daily uptrend, this strengthens the bullish outlook with a clear target toward the 120,000 USDT resistance zone.
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Bitcoin - Heading lower after hitting resistance?Introduction
Looking at the current 4-hour Bitcoin chart, we can see that price action is moving into a crucial zone. After a strong upward move, Bitcoin has reached an area of resistance where multiple factors align, making it an important level to watch. The chart highlights fair value gaps (FVGs) both above and below, which are key points that could influence the next move. By analyzing these areas, we can form a clearer idea of the potential short-term trend and what traders might expect in the coming days.
Bearish 4h FVG resistance and liquidity grab
At the moment, price is testing a strong resistance level, which coincides with a 4-hour fair value gap. This area has already absorbed much of the short-side liquidity, meaning that stop losses from traders positioned against the uptrend have been triggered. This liquidity grab often signals exhaustion in the upward move and can serve as the starting point for a retracement. The resistance zone is proving to be difficult to break, and if the market fails to hold above it, we could see a shift in momentum toward the downside.
4h bullish FVG to hold
Just below the current price, there is a 4-hour bullish fair value gap that could act as support in the short term. If buyers step in and defend this area, it may temporarily stabilize the market and create a bounce. However, if this support fails to hold, it would open the path for further downside movement. The chart suggests that a break below this level would likely drive Bitcoin toward the next major target around the $112,000 region. This makes the bullish FVG a key decision point for the market.
Target for the short
If Bitcoin cannot sustain its position above the highlighted resistance zone, the downside target becomes more clear. The lower 4-hour fair value gap, sitting closer to $112,000, is marked as the target for the short. This is where price is likely to be drawn in order to rebalance inefficiencies left behind in the chart. Traders looking for bearish opportunities would see this as the logical area to aim for, as the market often gravitates toward unfilled gaps after liquidity grabs at the top.
Final thoughts
In conclusion, Bitcoin is currently at a critical point. The resistance area combined with the 4-hour FVG has absorbed liquidity, creating the possibility for a downward move. The short-term bullish FVG below is the level to watch, as a break here could confirm bearish continuation toward $112,000. On the other hand, if buyers manage to hold the current support, the structure may remain intact and prevent deeper downside. Overall, the chart suggests that the path of least resistance may now be lower, unless the market proves otherwise by breaking convincingly above resistance.
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Bitcoin - Clearing the Gaps on the Way to 117kBitcoin continues to respect the ascending channel on the 4H chart, showing steady higher highs and higher lows with clean structure. Price has been climbing with solid bullish momentum, and each retracement so far has been contained within the channel. This gives us a clear framework to track both short-term pullbacks and the next potential leg higher.
Channel Dynamics
The channel is holding perfectly, with both the upper and lower bounds being respected almost to the point. As long as price trades within this structure, the bias remains bullish. A deep pullback into the lower side of the channel would not necessarily invalidate the setup, but we should avoid closing below the last key demand zone if we want to keep the bullish structure intact.
Fair Value Gaps Below
Before continuing higher, Bitcoin may dip back into inefficiencies left behind. A key fair value gap sits below around the 111,700–112,300 region, aligning with prior support. Price filling this gap would be healthy for the structure, giving bulls a better base to push from. If price respects that level, the probability of a continuation toward the channel highs increases significantly.
Bullish and Bearish Scenarios
On the bullish side, if we hold the demand zone and reclaim the blue structure line, price should attempt to sweep short-term highs and extend into the upper channel boundary. A clean break above would open the door to the red supply zone around 117,000–118,000. On the bearish side, any decisive close below the purple fair value gap would shift momentum and put pressure on the lower channel boundary, signaling weakness and invalidating the immediate bullish scenario.
Price Target and Expectations
If the structure continues to play out, I expect Bitcoin to first dip into the imbalance below, find support, then make another leg higher toward 116,500–118,000. This area is a logical liquidity pool where stops above recent highs are clustered, and also aligns with a major supply zone. That zone should be closely monitored for reactions and potential reversals.
Conclusion
Bitcoin remains in a constructive bullish channel, but gaps below need to be addressed before a push into higher liquidity levels. I will be looking for a retracement into the imbalance to set the stage for a continuation higher into the upper red supply zone. As long as we hold above the key demand region, the bullish play remains valid.
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Bullish Setup Forming: Approaching Untested FVG + Oversold RSIACHR is setting up for a potential bounce based on multiple confluences:
Price is heading straight into a fair value gap that was never tested — could be a solid bounce spot;
Daily RSI is oversold (~32), often a sign the move down is stretched;
It’s also right on top of a rising trendline that has held for almost a year;
Volume is drying up, which might mean sellers are losing steam;
🎯 First target: $10.91
🏁 Final target: $12.00
❌ Stop-loss: just under the FVG zone, in case it breaks down.
Watching closely 👀
And remember: respect both your stop loss and position sizing.
BTC – Liquidity Grab at $116K Before Deep Correction?Description -
📊 Using the SMC Suite (Order Blocks, Liquidity Sweeps, FVG), BTC is approaching a critical supply zone ($116K–$118K).
• If price taps this orange zone, strong sellers are likely to step in.
• This move may trap late longs and grab liquidity before reversing.
• Downside targets sit around $100K initially, with extended demand near $85K–$80K.
🔑 Key Levels:
• Resistance/Supply: $116K–$118K
• Support/Demand: $100K, $85K–$80K
• Invalidation: Daily close above $122K
⚠️ This is not financial advice — just a liquidity-based interpretation of BTC’s structure .
“BTCUSD Road to 120K – But Watch the Trap Ahead!”“BTCUSD 🚀 Road to 120K – But Watch the Trap Ahead!”
Bitcoin has shown strong momentum after a liquidity sweep around 108,000, signaling that big players collected orders before pushing price higher. This is a common smart money concept (SMC) move where liquidity is grabbed before the next leg.
🔑 Key Points to Note:
Previous Support Flip: Market reclaimed the broken support, turning it into a base for continuation.
Upside Target: The next major resistance zone is 120,000 – 123,000, where sellers are likely to step in.
Market Behavior: Price often sweeps liquidity before testing strong resistance, so patience is key.
Potential Pullback: Once resistance is tapped, a correction may follow as profit-taking starts.
📌 Educational Takeaway: Always watch how price reacts at liquidity zones and key resistance points. These levels often decide whether the trend will continue or reverse.
📈 For now, short-term bias = bullish toward 120,000, but be cautious for a possible rejection at that zone.
How To Capture Market Moves With SMC Suite Indicator?📊 SMC Suite Capturing Market Moves — Order Blocks • Breakers • Liquidity Sweeps • FVG
The chart above shows how the SMC Suite works in live market conditions on BankNifty. By combining Order Blocks, Breaker flips, Liquidity Sweeps, and Fair Value Gaps, the tool highlights where smart money is entering and where reversals are likely to occur.
🔹 Key Highlights from This Chart
1. Order Blocks — Bullish and bearish OBs correctly marked institutional footprints before price reversals.
2. Breaker Blocks — Invalidated OBs flipped into Breakers, giving continuation entries in trend direction.
3. Liquidity Sweeps — Several highs/lows were taken out, followed by reversals back into structure. These sweeps acted as confirmation for later setups.
4. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) — The script marked imbalances that later served as retracement zones. Price respected these gaps, providing clean reversal opportunities.
5. Retest Alerts — Each zone was validated only on retests with optional wick rejection, reducing noise and improving signal quality.
⸻
🔹 Why It Matters
This chart shows that SMC Suite is not just drawing zones randomly — it creates a workflow:
• Sweep liquidity ➝ impulsive displacement ➝ zone creation (OB/Breaker/FVG) ➝ retest confirmation.
This makes it easier to follow institutional logic and align entries with high-probability setups.
📌 Conclusion
From strong downside moves to clean bounces, the SMC Suite captured both continuation setups (Breakers) and reversal setups (OB/FVG retests). The integration of liquidity logic makes it a practical trading tool across indices, forex, and crypto.
EURUSD - Bullish momentum for the week!Introduction
The EURUSD has been consolidating for a prolonged period, sweeping both upside and downside liquidity in the process. After the liquidity sweep to the downside, price reacted strongly by moving upwards, indicating a shift in market structure. The pair has since inverted the previously bearish 4-hour fair value gap, which now acts as a bullish reference point, and is currently holding within the 1-hour fair value gap. As long as price maintains this 1-hour FVG support, there remains a strong case for further upside movement.
Liquidity Sweep
The recent downside liquidity sweep was a significant turning point. By driving below key lows and collecting stop orders, EURUSD effectively cleared the market of weak positions. This was followed by a sharp rejection, represented by a wick, which signaled strong buying interest at these levels. Since then, the market has been climbing steadily, showing intent to challenge the higher liquidity levels resting above.
Inversion
Following the liquidity sweep, EURUSD inverted the bearish 4-hour fair value gap. What was previously an area of supply and resistance has now been reclaimed and transformed into a demand zone. This inversion is an important bullish signal because it indicates that sellers were absorbed and that buyers have successfully taken control. As long as this zone remains intact, the path of least resistance continues to lean upward.
1-Hour Bullish FVG
Currently, EURUSD is resting on a 1-hour bullish fair value gap. This area serves as an important support level, and as long as it holds, price is likely to use it as a springboard for further gains. The next targets lie at the upside, beginning with the first objective at the intermediate resistance level labeled “Target 1,” before ultimately pushing towards the liquidity area above. By reaching this zone, the market would sweep short-side liquidations and potentially trigger momentum-driven buying.
Target Area
The primary targets for this bullish move are the two significant highs above the current range. These highs represent zones where stop-loss orders are most likely accumulated. By driving into and above these levels, EURUSD will effectively complete a liquidity grab, providing bulls with a logical profit-taking zone before the market considers a possible retracement. Such a move would align with the general principle of markets seeking liquidity before establishing a new direction.
Final Thoughts
In summary, EURUSD is showing constructive price action following its downside liquidity sweep and subsequent bullish reversal. The inversion of the 4-hour FVG and the current defense of the 1-hour FVG are both encouraging signs for buyers. As long as the 1-hour fair value gap continues to act as a firm support, the probability of an upward continuation towards the liquidity area remains strong. However, traders should also remain mindful that once the liquidity above the highs is collected, a corrective move to the downside could develop. For now, the short-term bias stays bullish, with clearly defined targets on the upside.
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Bitcoin - Will the CME gap be filled?Introduction
Bitcoin has been under consistent downward pressure since it reached its new all-time high, and the market has been struggling to regain momentum. During the past weekend, we saw a notable drop in price that created a CME gap, which also happens to align with the bearish 4-hour fair value gap. Since then, the price has been climbing back up, but the recovery has been slow and cautious rather than explosive. The key question now is whether Bitcoin will continue to rise and fill the CME gap or whether it will lose strength and revisit the recent lows. In the following sections, I will go over the levels and scenarios to watch closely.
Daily FVG bounce
Last week, Bitcoin found support at the daily fair value gap, which acted as a strong demand zone. From this level, the price bounced upward and has been grinding higher ever since. Although this reaction gave some relief to buyers, the pace of the move has been rather sluggish, and momentum remains weak. What traders now need to evaluate is how far this move can realistically extend. The daily FVG provided the initial foundation for this bounce, but the real test will come as the price approaches shorter-term imbalances and resistance areas.
Bullish scenario
For the bullish outlook to play out, Bitcoin needs to hold the current 1-hour fair value gap as support. If this level remains intact, it will signal that buyers are in control of the short-term trend and that the recent bounce has the potential to evolve into a more sustainable rally. In that case, the next logical upside target would be the 4-hour fair value gap, which conveniently aligns with the CME gap left behind last weekend’s drop. Filling this inefficiency would not only provide a technical target for bulls but would also help restore some balance to the market structure.
Bearish scenario
On the other hand, if Bitcoin fails to maintain the 1-hour fair value gap and breaks below it with a clear 1-hour candle closure, the outlook shifts to bearish. This kind of move would create a bearish inversion and serve as confirmation that sellers are regaining control. If this occurs, the probability increases significantly that Bitcoin will revisit its recent lows. In such a case, the market could once again test the demand at the daily fair value gap, and depending on the strength of that support, we could even see deeper retracements.
Final thoughts
Bitcoin is currently at an important crossroads where both bullish and bearish outcomes remain possible. The reaction around the 1-hour fair value gap will provide the clearest signal as to which direction the market is likely to take next. If buyers manage to defend this level, the path toward the 4-hour FVG and the CME gap becomes a realistic target, offering room for a meaningful recovery. However, if sellers push the price below the 1-hour imbalance, then the recent bounce may be nothing more than a temporary relief rally before another leg down. Traders should remain cautious, monitor these key levels closely, and adapt to whichever scenario unfolds.
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