Get started

Fairvaluegap

XAUUSD – Key Levels To Watch? What Happend Next🟡 XAUUSD – Key Levels To Watch 🔥 What Happend Next Gold is currently trading inside a buying zone (3380 – 3400) but facing rejection. Market structure is still holding higher lows, which keeps the bigger trend bullish, but short-term price action suggests a possible retracement move. Resistance Zone: 3420 – 3440 (strong supply, previous rejection) Key Support: 3330 – 3320 (major demand, higher low base) Immediate Target: 3340 – 3360 (if rejection continues) 📉 Short-term bias: bearish correction toward 3340 – 3360 📈 Swing bias: bullish as long as 3330 – 3320 holds 🔑 My View: I’ll be watching how price reacts around 3330 – 3320. Holding this level could trigger the next bullish leg toward 3420 – 3440. Losing it opens the door for deeper downside into 3280.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mentor_Michael03
EURUSD - Bullish outlook heading into next week!Introduction The EURUSD experienced a strong surge last Friday, largely driven by Jerome Powell’s speech, which added significant momentum to the market. This impulsive move to the upside successfully filled both the bearish 4-hour and 1-hour Fair Value Gaps (FVGs). The candle that formed was notably strong and bullish, and because of its size and strength, it is highly probable that we will see at least a 50% retracement of this candle before price continues to push higher. Such a retracement would allow the market to gather liquidity and prepare for another bullish leg. Liquidity Sweep Before this sharp rally, the EURUSD executed a liquidity sweep at the recent lows, clearing out stop losses and inducing sellers into the market. This is a classic move often seen before a strong reversal to the upside. Following this sweep, price accelerated with an aggressive bullish candle. My expectation now is for the market to retrace into this candle, ideally retracing deeply enough to provide a high-probability entry for continuation to the upside. This liquidity sweep sets the stage for a bullish scenario, as it suggests that smart money has already accumulated positions at discounted levels. Resistance As price surged higher, it tapped into a key area of resistance, which aligns with both the 1-hour and 4-hour FVGs. This confluence of timeframes strengthens the validity of the resistance zone and explains why price has reacted from this level. I anticipate that breaking through this resistance will require additional momentum, which may not occur immediately. Instead, we could see a short-term pullback or cooldown that allows the market to gather strength before attempting to push through this supply zone. This resistance area will therefore act as a decisive battleground for buyers and sellers. Bullish Support The strong bullish candle formed during the rally now serves as a new area of support. I expect price to respect the 50% retracement level of this candle, which lies around 1.166. This midpoint often acts as a significant level in technical analysis, and holding above it would confirm bullish continuation. As long as price remains above this zone, the momentum remains to the upside, and the probability of another move higher increases. This makes the retracement into this level a potential buying opportunity. Inversion Another important factor to consider is the inversion of the 4-hour FVG. On the previous drop, the EURUSD created a bearish 4-hour FVG, which initially acted as resistance. However, with the latest bullish impulse, this same zone has now flipped into an inversion FVG, transforming from a bearish area into a bullish support. This inversion highlights a significant shift in market structure and suggests that bulls are taking control of the price action. This level will be crucial to watch, as holding above it strengthens the case for further upside. Final Thoughts In summary, the EURUSD is showing strong bullish potential following the liquidity sweep and the aggressive rally sparked by Powell’s speech. While the market has reached a significant resistance area marked by the 1-hour and 4-hour FVGs, a retracement into the 50% level of the bullish candle would be healthy and provide a potential entry point for buyers. With the inversion of the previous bearish FVG into bullish support, the technical picture favors the upside as long as key support levels are respected. The coming sessions will reveal whether the market has the strength to break through resistance and continue its upward trajectory.
by Youriverse
63
Bitcoin - A Deep Sweep Setting Up the Next ExpansionBitcoin just swept the monthly low of August as well as the previous day’s low. This was a clear liquidity grab that lined up with today’s bullish momentum in the market. The strong reaction from this zone shows that buyers were waiting for these liquidity levels to get cleared before stepping in. Liquidity Sweep and Reaction The sweep was significant because it cleared out resting sell-side liquidity to the left. This kind of move usually sets the stage for a reversal, and the large impulse candle confirms strong demand stepping in. While some might see this as just a reaction to external events, the technical picture supports continuation higher. Immediate Target The first target is sitting around 117,000. This level lines up with short-term inefficiencies and is a logical magnet for price in the coming sessions. I expect this liquidity pool to be swept before any meaningful retracement. Retracement Expectation After hitting the first target, I anticipate a move back down to fill around 50% of the large green impulse candle. Big candles like this often retrace partially before continuing their main direction. That retracement will provide a cleaner structure and a chance for re-entries on lower timeframes. Higher-Timeframe Objective Once the retracement plays out, the bigger objective sits higher at the unmitigated 4H fair value gap around 120,500. This area remains untouched and is likely to act as a price magnet as the market seeks balance. Conclusion The sweep of key lows combined with the strong impulsive move is a bullish development. I expect price to first tag 117,000, then retrace into the large candle before resuming higher towards the 4H FVG. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
TRADENATION:BTCUSDLong
by TehThomas
76
Trading Imbalances: How to Use Fair Value GapsDifficulty: 🐳🐳🐋🐋🐋 (Novice+) This article is designed for traders who want to understand Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) in a simple, practical way — without drowning in complex Smart Money Concepts terminology. 🔵 INTRODUCTION If you’ve studied Smart Money Concepts (SMC), you’ve likely come across Fair Value Gaps (FVGs). For many, the concept feels overcomplicated. In reality, an FVG is just an imbalance in price — a spot where the market moved so fast that it didn’t fully trade both sides. 🔑When price leaves a gap behind, it often comes back later to “rebalance.” This gives traders powerful zones for entries, exits, and target setting. 🔵 WHAT IS A FAIR VALUE GAP? A Fair Value Gap is formed over three candles : Candle 1: The first move (anchor). Candle 2: The big impulsive candle (the imbalance). Candle 3: The follow-up candle. The gap exists when the high of Candle 1 is below the low of Candle 3 (in a bullish case). This leaves an “untraded zone” inside Candle 2. Think of it as a skipped step. Price rushed through so quickly, there wasn’t enough time to trade at fair value. 🔵 WHY DOES PRICE RETURN TO FVGs? Markets seek balance. When an imbalance forms, algorithms and institutional flows often revisit the gap to collect liquidity and rebalance orders. This doesn’t mean every FVG gets filled instantly — some remain open for days or even weeks. But many serve as magnets for price. 🔑Key point: An FVG is not a magic level. It’s a clue about where inefficiency sits. 🔵 HOW TO TRADE FVGS SIMPLY 1️⃣ Mark the Zone Identify the three-candle imbalance. Highlight the gap inside Candle 2. 2️⃣ Wait for Return Don’t chase the impulsive candle. Instead, wait for price to retrace into the FVG zone. 3️⃣ Trade the Reaction Bullish FVG → wait for price to dip into the zone and show bullish reaction Bearish FVG → wait for price to retest zone and reject downward Stops are usually placed beyond the gap, targets set toward the next liquidity pool or swing level. 🔵 EXAMPLE SCENARIO A strong bullish candle leaves an imbalance. Price continues higher, but a day later revisits the gap. At bullish rejection candles form with increasing volume. Entry taken, stop below gap, target at next swing high. 🔵 TIPS FOR ADVANCED TRADERS Higher timeframe FVGs are stronger and attract price longer. Not every gap fills — filter with trend direction. Combine with OBs (Order Blocks) or liquidity zones for more precision. Ignore small random gaps in low-volume markets. 🔵 CONCLUSION Fair Value Gaps don’t need to be mysterious. They’re simply imbalances in the auction process. By waiting for price to return and react, traders can build structured entries with defined risk. 🔑Instead of overcomplicating SMC concepts, think of FVGs as footprints of urgency — and opportunities for balance. Do you already trade FVGs, or is this your first time hearing about them? Share your setups below!
Education
by BigBeluga
13
Bitcoin - Can the bulls defend this support?Introduction After reaching its all-time high, Bitcoin has faced strong rejection, falling from $124.5k down to $113k with notable bearish volume behind the move. On this downward path, several four-hour bearish Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) were left open, signaling areas of inefficiency that the market may look to revisit. At present, Bitcoin is testing a critical support zone formed by overlapping daily and four-hour FVGs. This support level is of particular importance because holding it could provide the foundation for renewed bullish momentum and a potential recovery in price action. Bullish scenario For the bullish case to unfold, Bitcoin must successfully maintain support in the $111.2k to $112.7k range, which represents the current four-hour FVG. This zone serves as a pivotal point where buyers need to defend price in order to keep upward potential intact. If the market stabilizes here, the next logical target will be the four-hour bearish FVG just above. In order to confirm strength, Bitcoin would need to close a clear four-hour candle above this resistance, effectively flipping it into support. Should that occur, it opens the door for price to climb toward the $120k region, a level that would reintroduce confidence among bulls and suggest that the broader trend could still have room for continuation. Bearish scenario On the other hand, the bearish scenario becomes more likely if Bitcoin fails to defend the $111.2k to $112.7k four-hour FVG and instead flips this zone into resistance. While a breakdown below this area would be concerning, there is still the possibility of a short-term bounce. In such a case, price could retrace back upward toward the bearish four-hour FVG at $114.7k before facing another critical test. If Bitcoin rejects strongly from that zone and subsequently breaks below $111.2k, the market could experience further downside pressure, potentially setting up a deeper correction. This would reinforce the dominance of the ongoing downtrend that has followed the rejection at the all-time high. Final thoughts Bitcoin remains in a pronounced downtrend after its sweep of the previous all-time high, yet it currently sits at a strong support level that offers a chance for recovery. The market’s reaction to this support area will play a decisive role in determining whether a rebound toward $120k is achievable or whether a deeper decline is imminent. The four-hour FVG around $114.7k stands out as a key battleground between bulls and bears. If buyers can reclaim and hold this level, momentum could shift back in their favor, but if sellers defend it and force price lower, the bearish trend is likely to persist. ------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like 👍 and leave a comment 💬, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
TRADENATION:BTCUSD
by Youriverse
56
EURUSD - Will the parallel channel hold?Introduction The EURUSD is currently trading within a well-defined bullish parallel channel. While this channel suggests an overall upward trajectory, there is an important imbalance in how price has interacted with its boundaries. The upper side of the channel has relatively few touchpoints compared to the lower side, which has already been tested multiple times. This creates an interesting dynamic where both bullish and bearish scenarios remain in play. The pair is also trading within two significant 4-hour fair value gaps (FVGs), and the critical question now is which side will give way first, determining the next directional move. The Parallel Channel Within this parallel channel, price action has been leaning more heavily toward the downside, as shown by the fact that the lower boundary has been tested four times already. The upper boundary, however, has only registered a single touch, making it less validated. This imbalance implies that there is notable pressure on the downside, but at the same time, the presence of a bullish 4-hour fair value gap near the lower boundary cannot be ignored. This gap provides a potential level of support that could initiate a reversal back toward the upper side of the channel. Potential Bullish Bounce from Support The alignment of the lower trendline of the channel with the 4-hour bullish fair value gap creates a strong technical confluence. This support zone, located around the 1.166 – 1.165 area, could act as a springboard for buyers. If price respects this level, a bullish bounce could occur, pushing EURUSD back toward the upper region of the channel. In this scenario, the market would likely target the remaining inefficiencies left by the bearish 1-hour and 4-hour fair value gaps above, potentially leading to a liquidity grab in that zone. Bearish Breakdown Scenario On the other hand, if EURUSD fails to hold the support at the bullish 4-hour FVG, a bearish breakdown becomes increasingly likely. In that case, both the channel structure and the previously supportive FVG would flip into resistance, reinforcing bearish momentum. Should this play out, the pair could decline toward the next major 4-hour FVG around the 1.156 level in the near future. This would represent a meaningful breakdown of the current bullish structure, opening the door for further downside. Conclusion The EURUSD sits at a decisive point within its bullish channel. The key lies in whether the support confluence of the 4-hour bullish FVG and the lower trendline will hold. If it does, the pair has room to climb higher and fill inefficiencies above. If it breaks, however, a move down toward 1.156 seems likely. Traders should closely monitor these zones, as the resolution of this consolidation will determine whether EURUSD extends its bullish momentum or shifts into a deeper retracement. ------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like 👍 and leave a comment 💬, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
by Youriverse
61
Bitcoin - Bears in Control, Lows AheadBitcoin has recently completed a clean sweep of the previous all time high, which has now given us strong bearish confirmation signals. After the sweep, the market rejected higher levels and failed to sustain bullish momentum, showing clear signs of distribution at the top. This shift in behavior suggests that buyers have lost control and sellers are now taking over. Fair Value Gap Setup Currently, price is sitting just below a fair value gap, which remains unfilled. These imbalances often attract price back before continuing in the prevailing direction, and in this case, that direction is down. A small retracement into the fair value gap above would be the ideal setup for a continuation lower. Bearish Confirmation The rejection after sweeping the highs and the subsequent breakdown beneath key support levels has created a bearish structure on the higher timeframe. The failed hold inside the fair value gap turned it into resistance, strengthening the case for lower prices. Each retest has been met with selling pressure, confirming that liquidity is now being delivered to the downside. Liquidity Targets Once the fair value gap above is filled, the next logical draw on liquidity sits below the current range. That means the lows are now exposed, and the cleanest target to expect price to reach is at 112k. The path of least resistance remains to the downside, as uncollected sell-side liquidity continues to build up beneath the market. Trading Outlook As long as Bitcoin continues to respect the newly formed resistance from the fair value gap, the bearish outlook remains intact. A retracement into the gap would likely offer the best entry for shorts, with the expectation that price will then seek out the lows. Only a convincing reclaim above the imbalance would threaten this bearish scenario. Conclusion The clean sweep of the old all time high has shifted market sentiment, and the subsequent bearish confirmations support the idea that the next major move is lower. I expect a slight retrace into the fair value gap before price makes its way down to the 112k liquidity pool. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
TRADENATION:BTCUSDShort
by TehThomas
61
Bitcoin – Momentum Turns Bearish After Topside SweepBitcoin has just completed a clean sweep of the old all-time high, which served as a major liquidity grab. This move has cleared out buy-side liquidity at the very top, creating the perfect environment for a shift in momentum. Price action shows a clear rejection after the sweep, suggesting that the market may now be poised to reach for sell-side liquidity. Inversion Structure and CISD On the 4H timeframe, we have a well-defined inversion fair value gap forming immediately after the high was taken. This aligns with the CISD concept, as the liquidity sweep at the top acted as inducement before a sharp displacement to the downside. The CISD level has already been retested, confirming the shift in structure and reducing the likelihood of another deep revisit before the next leg down. Bearish Pathway From here, price could either continue to slide directly or first pull back into a nearby imbalance before continuing lower. Both scenarios favor the downside, as the order flow remains bearish after the displacement. A further push down is likely to aim for sell-side liquidity resting below the recent swing low. Key Downside Objective The primary target sits at the confluence of a marked liquidity pool and a lower fair value gap. This is a high-probability area for price to react, as it combines the sweep of the recent low with a fill of unmitigated inefficiency. Once that zone is reached, we can reassess for potential reversals or continuation patterns. Expectation The market has already shown its intent by taking the highest liquidity first, shifting structure, and respecting the CISD framework. Unless the upside imbalance is filled in a deeper retrace, the path of least resistance remains lower toward the highlighted fair value gap. Conclusion With liquidity above already cleared and the CISD retested, the focus now shifts to the liquidity resting below. The alignment between structure, inefficiency, and liquidity targets supports a bearish continuation into the marked zone before any meaningful bounce. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
TRADENATION:BTCUSDShort
by TehThomas
51
EURUSD – Climbing for Liquidity, Then What?EURUSD continues to move within a well-defined ascending channel, respecting both the upper and lower trendlines. After the recent rejection from the lower boundary, price found support inside a fair value gap, triggering a strong bullish reaction. This bounce has maintained the overall bullish structure, keeping the uptrend intact for now. Fair Value Gap Retest The fair value gap retest provided a clean entry for buyers, confirming demand at that level. This reaction reinforced the idea that liquidity was likely collected from the lows, giving the market fuel to push higher toward key resistance levels. Short-Term Bullish Path From here, price is approaching a major liquidity area above recent highs. This level may act as a magnet, drawing price upward for a sweep of buy-side liquidity. A continuation beyond that could result in a direct test of the upper trendline. Potential Bearish Reversal Setup If the upper boundary of the channel is reached, the reaction there will be critical. A sharp rejection from that area could trigger a deeper retracement, potentially driving price back toward the mid-range or even retesting the lower trendline. A liquidity sweep followed by bearish displacement would confirm this shift. Key Scenarios Ahead There are two primary outcomes to watch. First, price could sweep the current high and reverse lower, respecting the channel structure. Second, price could break through, reach the upper trendline, and then roll over for a larger corrective move. In both cases, the reaction after liquidity is taken will define the next directional leg. Conclusion At this stage, EURUSD is in a controlled uptrend, but the next high-probability move depends on how price behaves around the key liquidity level above. The plan is to monitor for either a sweep and rejection or a push to the upper trendline for a potential reversal. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Long
by TehThomas
47
EURUSD Technical Analysis (Educational Breakdown) EURUSD Technical Analysis (Educational Breakdown) 1. Market Structure Overview The chart shows a clear downtrend phase that started after failing to break the major resistance around 1.1780 – 1.1820. Price formed lower highs and eventually broke below a rising trendline, signaling a shift from bullish momentum to bearish control. Recent movement shows a retracement toward a defined entry zone, suggesting a short-term pullback opportunity. 2. Key Levels Resistance Zone (1.1780 – 1.1820): This area has acted as a strong supply zone in the past, rejecting bullish attempts and triggering heavy sell-offs. Support Zone (1.1340 – 1.1380): A key demand area where previous reversals took place. Current Entry Zone: Between 1.1697 – 1.1750, aligning with a minor resistance zone and previous supply reaction. 3. Price Action Insights Fair Value Gap (FVG) identified earlier near 1.1700 served as a reaction zone before a push downward. The price is now revisiting an area near the previous imbalance, which aligns with a confluence of resistance and short-term overbought conditions. If price action rejects the entry zone, a bearish swing toward 1.1534 is likely. 4. Trade Setup Idea (Short Bias) Entry: 1.1697 – 1.1750 (retest of broken structure). Stop Loss: Above 1.1772 to avoid stop hunts beyond resistance. Target: First take profit at 1.1534; extended target toward 1.1400 if bearish momentum persists. 5. Risk Management & Educational Note This setup is based on supply & demand principles plus market structure shifts. Always confirm entries with lower-timeframe rejection patterns before executing. Protect capital with a maximum of 1–2% risk per trade and adjust lot sizes accordingly. 📌 Summary: EURUSD is currently testing a high-probability short zone after a structural breakdown. If rejection occurs, sellers could push price toward mid-range support at 1.1534, and potentially deeper toward the 1.1400 zone. However, if bulls manage to reclaim and close above 1.1780, this bearish view becomes invalid.
Short
by Mentor_Michael03
Bitcoin – The Last Stop Before the DropMarket Overview Price action on the daily chart has shown a decisive move into a key rejection block after taking out recent liquidity. This is a classic sign of exhaustion in the current move, suggesting that momentum may now begin to shift in the opposite direction. The daily close reinforced this idea, showing a clear respect for higher-timeframe resistance levels. Rejection Block Context The 4H and daily rejection blocks have aligned, creating a strong confluence zone where sellers have stepped in before. Price did not just test this area, it closed within it, which often indicates a high probability of reversal. This setup builds confidence that the market could be preparing for a retracement. Liquidity Sweep Confirmation Before the rejection occurred, price ran through a cluster of resting liquidity above recent highs. This liquidity grab often acts as the fuel for a reversal, as it traps late buyers and allows larger players to shift price in the opposite direction. Fair Value Gap Target Below current price, there remains an unfilled gap which is the final gap inside the current run. Historical price behavior shows that such gaps tend to get filled before a fresh move can develop. This unfilled zone provides a clear downside target. Bearish Scenario If the rejection holds, I expect price to work its way lower toward the 110k range, filling that remaining gap before any sustained bullish move can resume. Conclusion With liquidity taken, a clean rejection from higher-timeframe resistance, and an untouched gap below, the chart is aligning for a potential retracement. I am watching for continued weakness to confirm the move toward the 110k region. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
TRADENATION:BTCUSDShort
by TehThomas
83
EURUSD - Bullish fair value gap and fibonacci support!At the end of July, EUR/USD experienced a sharp and decisive move to the downside, signaling a strong bearish momentum in the market. Following this decline, the pair began to recover, steadily climbing and partially filling the 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG). After tapping into the 4-hour FVG, price action has entered a corrective phase, moving lower towards a confluence of bullish levels. This area is defined by both the 1-hour and 4-hour FVGs, which align perfectly with the golden pocket of the Fibonacci retracement tool, a high-probability zone often watched by traders for potential reversals. Bullish Support The key bullish support zone sits around the 1.158 to 1.160 range. This area holds significant importance because it combines two strong technical factors: the 1-hour and 4-hour FVGs, as well as the golden pocket Fibonacci retracement. The overlap of these technical elements often acts as a magnet for price and can create a strong foundation for a bullish reaction. If the market respects this zone, we could see EUR/USD push higher in the short term, as traders capitalize on the support to drive price towards higher resistance areas. Bearish Resistance On the upside, the main bearish resistance zone lies between 1.170 and 1.174. This area represents the final portion of the unfilled bearish 4-hour FVG and could act as a significant barrier for further bullish progress. If price returns to this level, the strong supply pressure could result in a sweep of recent highs, fully filling the 4-hour FVG before potentially resuming the downward trend. This scenario aligns with the idea that sellers may re-enter the market aggressively once this resistance zone is tested. Final Thoughts Given the current market structure, my expectation is that the bullish support zone around 1.158 to 1.160 will hold, providing a potential launchpad for price to revisit and possibly complete the filling of the bearish 4-hour FVG near 1.174. However, if the market breaks decisively below the 1-hour FVG, it could indicate a shift in sentiment, opening the door for a bearish continuation and deeper downside targets. The coming sessions will be critical in determining whether EUR/USD can maintain bullish momentum or if sellers will regain control. ------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like 👍 and leave a comment 💬, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
Long
by Youriverse
71
Cable & Fibre!So, generally I'm happy with the way the market is going. Though a little bit uncertain about how high it wants to go before it resumes its downward spiral, things are going good so far. Looking at Cable, on an hourly chart, we see that between 06:00 am and 08:00 am (New York Time), there is FVG formed and to its left, there is a breaker. This a perfect setup for me, but I will wait to see if price actually wants to go above the 1.3477 level to reach for the 4H as well as 1H FVG. I've put a sell limit on the fibre at 1.1635, but I will remove it for now, 'till I have confirmed whether price will go above 1.1698 level, to go into the 4H FVG, the mid-point thereof. I have a sell limit there with a stop loss at .1745.
Short
by Man_Tlhogi_FX
14
US100 - Bullish trajectory to fill the inbalance zones!Over the past week, the US Tech 100 (US100) experienced a sharp decline, dropping into a significant support zone. During this bearish move, several fair value gaps (FVGs) formed on both the 4-hour and 1-hour timeframes, which remain unfilled. Currently, price action is retracing upward, aiming to fill these imbalances. The structure of the market suggests that both bullish and bearish scenarios are in play, depending on how price reacts to key levels marked by these FVGs and Fibonacci retracement zones. Bearish Resistance The first major area of resistance is located around the $23,160 level, which has just been tapped. This zone presents a strong potential turning point due to the confluence of a 1-hour and a 4-hour fair value gap, which perfectly align with the 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci retracement level, also known as the golden pocket. This cluster of technical signals increases the probability that this level will act as a strong supply zone, potentially initiating a rejection back toward the lower support area. Bullish Support On the downside, a key level to watch is around $22,900. This zone marks a 4-hour FVG that was formed during the recent upward move. Importantly, this area also coincides with the golden pocket from that very same leg up, offering a compelling confluence for bullish support. If price revisits this level, it may act as a strong demand zone, providing a springboard for the next leg higher, particularly if buyers step in aggressively to defend it. Bullish Trajectory If support at $22,900 holds, the bullish trajectory suggests a possible continuation toward the $23,400 region. This upper target contains a large overlapping 1-hour and 4-hour FVG that remains unfilled. Historically, price tends to revisit and fill such imbalances before choosing a definitive direction. A bounce from the lower support zone and a successful break of the $23,160 resistance could pave the way for a clean move toward this higher target, completing the FVG fill sequence. Final Thoughts The US100 is currently navigating a key technical crossroads. With multiple unfilled fair value gaps and well-aligned Fibonacci levels on both the upside and downside, the next few sessions will be critical in determining short-term direction. If the $23,160 resistance continues to hold, a pullback to $22,900 could offer a high-probability long setup, while a clean break above this resistance opens the door to filling the higher FVGs. ------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like 👍 and leave a comment 💬, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
TRADENATION:USTECLong
by Youriverse
45
EURUSDPrice recently plunged into the deep and has now returned for fair value. We are already in a significant area, on a higher time-frame(1D), so any moment from now they can collapse it, much like last week! Be on the look-out like a meerkat! 1.1680 and 1.1720 are institutional price levels and price tends to have strong reactions in these areas. I expect to see that play out tomorrow. The following reports will be used to trigger this move: BoE Monetary Policy Report. Continuing Jobless Claims 4-Week Average. Initial Jobless Claims. Unit Labour Costs. Nonfarm Productivity. Stay safe!
Short
by Man_Tlhogi_FX
EURUSD - EURUSD – The Calm Before the SweepAfter months of climbing steadily within a rising wedge structure, EURUSD has finally broken beneath the bullish trend line that previously acted as dynamic support. This shift is significant, as it marks the first decisive violation of the bullish momentum that has carried price from the April lows into the July highs. The break occurred with strong bearish displacement, leaving behind an unfilled daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) just above the current price. This area now acts as a potential magnet for price before continuation lower. Trend Line Retest and FVG Confluence Price is currently hovering near 1.1570 after the trend line break. Above, we have a clean FVG on the daily chart which aligns closely with the underside of the broken trend line. A retracement into this zone would offer the ideal setup for short positioning, combining the concept of a bearish retest with inefficiency fill. From a technical perspective, this would give institutions a perfect level to engineer a lower high before continuing the move down. Sell-Side Liquidity Objective The major downside target sits below the swing low formed in early May. This area likely holds a large pool of resting sell-side liquidity, which would be an ideal draw for smart money before any potential reversal. If the market respects the bearish structure and rejects the FVG zone cleanly, the move toward this liquidity pocket becomes increasingly probable. Reversal Conditions While the short setup is currently the main focus, the area below the May low also presents a key decision point. If price sweeps that low and we begin to see bullish structure return, this could mark the beginning of a new leg up. For that to be valid, we’d need to see signs of strong buying interest, displacement, and reclaim of key short-term highs. Until then, we remain on the lookout for short opportunities into the FVG and trend line retest zone. Execution Plan and Expectations Traders should watch for signs of exhaustion or rejection once price enters the FVG zone. Bearish price action on lower timeframes like the 1H or 15M could confirm entry, particularly if the trend line holds as resistance. Stops can be placed above the swing high before the break, with targets below the major low around 1.10500. The reward-to-risk on this setup is favorable, but patience is needed to wait for the retrace to complete. Conclusion EURUSD has shifted from bullish to bearish structure after breaking the rising trend line. With an unfilled FVG above and a clean downside liquidity target, this setup offers a well-defined short opportunity. Reactions at the FVG and below the May low will dictate whether we extend lower or begin a new bullish phase. For now, all eyes are on the retrace and short continuation. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Short
by TehThomas
81
EURUSD - Major resistance ahead with the fair value gaps!The EUR/USD pair remains firmly within a prevailing downtrend, characterized by a consistent pattern of lower highs and lower lows. This bearish momentum has resulted in the formation of several significant Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) on the 4-hour chart, which now act as potential resistance zones on any pullbacks. These FVGs not only coincide with important technical structures, but also align with key Fibonacci retracement levels, adding confluence to their strength. In the analysis below, we’ll walk through these zones and discuss the most probable scenarios based on the current price action. First resistance zone The first major resistance lies within the 4-hour FVG in the 1.1600 to 1.1650 region. This zone coincides with the golden pocket, which is formed between the 0.618 and 0.65 Fibonacci retracement levels. This overlap strengthens the likelihood of price reacting bearishly here, should the market manage to retrace upwards into this area. Given the strong downward momentum, this level may be enough to trigger a continuation to the downside, making it a critical area to monitor for rejection signals. Second resistance zone The second key resistance is found in the upper 4-hour FVG, ranging from 1.1690 to 1.1750. This zone aligns closely with the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level and marks a former support zone that has now been broken, indicating a potential structure break. Price returning to this level would be retesting the underside of broken market structure, which often acts as a powerful resistance area. Given this, a deeper pullback into this region may serve as a trap for late buyers and potentially offer a high-probability short setup. Bullish bounce area On the bullish side, the most relevant support is currently found within the 1-hour FVG that was formed last Friday, during the release of the U.S. unemployment rate data. This zone is positioned below current price levels and is likely to act as a strong short-term demand area. It is reasonable to anticipate a bullish reaction from this zone if the market retraces downward, making it a favorable area to seek long opportunities for a potential move into the higher resistance levels described above. Final thoughts While the broader trend remains bearish, short-term bullish bounces are likely within defined fair value gaps. Traders should keep a close eye on the 1-hour FVG for possible long entries, while watching the 4-hour FVGs, particularly those aligning with key Fibonacci levels, for signs of bearish continuation. If resistance holds firm, the EUR/USD could resume its downtrend, but any structural breaks or sustained closes above these levels would challenge that view. As always, price action around these zones should guide the final decision-making. ------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like 👍 and leave a comment 💬, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
by Youriverse
74
Technical Breakdown (Smart Money Concepts-Based)📊 Technical Breakdown (Smart Money Concepts-Based): 🔹 Market Structure: Multiple Break of Structure (BOS) signals show a bullish shift in momentum, especially after the recent CHoCH followed by BOS at the current price zone. Strong bullish confirmation after reclaiming previous liquidity zones, indicating institutional interest. 🔹 Liquidity and Zones: Buy-Side Liquidity above $3,420 is likely the short-term institutional target. Price has clearly reacted from a strong support block near the $3,260–$3,280 area, confirming demand and institutional accumulation. The highlighted Bullish FVG (Fair Value Gap) aligns with a mid-level retracement zone—ideal for potential pullbacks before continuation. 🔹 Key Supply & Demand: Resistance Zone (3,420–3,450): Contains weak highs and unmitigated FVG—prime liquidity zone for a sweep. Strong Demand Zone: Around $3,260 has shown repeated reaction; the base of bullish moves. Imbalance Fill & Rejection Expected in FVG near $3,420. 🔮 Projection & Scenario: Expected pullback toward $3,340–$3,350, followed by bullish continuation. Targeting liquidity sweep at $3,420, aligned with Smart Money accumulation and distribution logic. Monitor for reaction at $3,420 for either a rejection or a clean breakout, confirming further upside. ✅ Conclusion: This setup suggests institutional buy-side pressure with targets on resting liquidity around $3,420. Smart Money is likely driving price toward that level to grab orders before the next big move.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mentor_Michael03
Bitcoin - Imbalance Fill Before Liquidity ExpansionBitcoin is trading inside a compressing structure beneath a clean descending trendline. Price action has been choppy but controlled, creating multiple zones of inefficiency that remain unfilled. We’re currently positioned between two major Fair Value Gaps, one above and one below, which gives us a clear roadmap. The broader market context suggests accumulation beneath key resistance, and the chart structure points toward a two-legged play before any breakout. First Target: Upper Imbalance and Liquidity Trap The first objective for price is to reach into the Fair Value Gap sitting just above current levels. This zone overlaps with the trendline and is backed by several wicks and failed breakouts, which likely means liquidity is built up there. Price may push through this area to trigger stop losses and induce breakout buying, only to reverse shortly after. The imbalance makes it an attractive magnet for price and a likely turning point once filled. Retracement Move: Clean-Up Below After sweeping the highs and filling the upper imbalance, price is expected to rotate back down. The area below holds an untouched Fair Value Gap from a previous bullish impulse, now acting as a demand zone. Once the upper inefficiency is filled, the market should drop into this zone to rebalance. This move will also help clear internal liquidity from the structure formed during the short-term rise. Trendline, Inducement, and Execution Layers The descending trendline plays a critical role here. With many traders watching it for a breakout or rejection, it acts as inducement. A false break or a touch just above the trendline may trigger entries in the wrong direction. The optimal move would be for price to react from the upper imbalance, reject at or just above the trendline, then fall into the lower zone, where we look for confirmation of reversal or continuation. Final Expansion: Breakout After Cleanup Once both Fair Value Gaps are filled and internal liquidity is cleared, Bitcoin will be in a clean position to rally. The area above the prior wicks and rejections is likely to hold significant liquidity, and the final move would aim to sweep that. This would complete the full cycle of imbalance fill, liquidity grab, and directional expansion. Price is unlikely to sustain a move higher until both zones have been addressed. Conclusion This setup focuses on efficient price delivery between key imbalances. Expect a short-term push up into the upper FVG and liquidity cluster, followed by a clean rejection into the lower demand zone. Once both sides are filled, Bitcoin should be ready for a real move higher, targeting liquidity above the current range. Let the market complete the cycle before looking for continuation. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
TRADENATION:BTCUSD
by TehThomas
52
EURGBP: Bearish Continuation from Reclaimed Order Block!Greetings Traders, In today’s analysis of EURGBP, we observe that institutional order flow on the H4 timeframe has recently shifted bearish. This provides us with a clear directional bias to look for shorting opportunities in line with the prevailing higher timeframe trend. Higher Timeframe Context: On the weekly timeframe, price action is currently drawing towards a Weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG). This bearish draw on liquidity confirms the macro-level bearish sentiment. With the recent bearish market structure shift (MSS) on the H4, we now have strong confluence between the weekly and intraday order flow, favoring continued downside. Key Observations on H4: Reclaimed Bearish Order Block: After shifting structure to the downside, price has retraced into a bearish reclaimed order block—a region previously marked by institutional selling. This return to the origin of prior sell-side imbalance offers institutions the opportunity to mitigate earlier positions and reinitiate shorts. The failure of price to break higher confirms bearish intent. Confluence with Weekly Draw: The reclaimed order block aligns with the broader draw towards the weekly FVG, providing an optimal zone for bearish confirmation entries. Trading Plan: Entry Strategy: Look for lower timeframe confirmation entries within the H4 reclaimed order block. Target: The short-term target remains the Weekly Fair Value Gap, supporting a discount-side delivery. As always, remain disciplined in execution. Let the market confirm your bias before entering, and manage risk according to your rules. For a detailed market walkthrough and in-depth execution zones, be sure to watch this week’s Forex Market Breakdown: Kind Regards, The Architect 🏛️📉
Short
by The_Archi-tect
Bitcoin - Will the liquidity at $122K be the next target?Bitcoin is currently trading within a defined corrective channel, which has been developing over the past few weeks. Price action within this structure has been characterized by a sequence of lower highs and lower lows, suggesting a mild downtrend. However, these movements lack strong momentum, indicating that the market is consolidating rather than entering a deeper correction. This kind of structure often precedes a significant breakout, and given the nature of the current price action, a retest of previous highs remains a realistic possibility. Bullish Scenario Looking at the overall structure of the channel, a bullish breakout seems increasingly likely. For this scenario to unfold, BTC needs to hold the midline of the channel as support. If this level is respected, it could pave the way for a push towards the upper boundary of the channel and a potential break above the lower high structure near $120,000. A successful breach of that level could trigger a move toward the $122,000 liquidity zone, with the potential to challenge the all-time high (ATH) in the near future. Holding the midline and breaking above key resistance would provide confirmation of strength and continuation to the upside. Bearish Scenario On the flip side, if BTC fails to hold the midline as support and starts closing below it on the 4H timeframe, we could see a renewed move toward the lower boundary of the corrective channel. This could lead to a test of the unfilled 4H fair value gap (FVG) highlighted in the chart, located around the $112,000 – $113,000 area. This zone also coincides with a strong historical support level, making it a logical area where buyers might step in and provide the momentum needed for a more sustainable bullish reversal. Final Thoughts While both scenarios remain valid, the price structure within the corrective channel currently leans slightly more toward a bullish outcome. The lack of aggressive selling and the potential for liquidity above the previous highs support this view. However, trading is never about certainty but about preparing for various possibilities. Being aware of both bullish and bearish setups allows traders to react with flexibility and discipline depending on how the market unfolds in the coming sessions. ------------------------- Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like 👍 and leave a comment 💬, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
Long
by Youriverse
57