BTC 1H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 49❄️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well.
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-Hour timeframe .
👀 On the 1-hour chart , After a strong bullish rally and breaking the $109,766 zone, BTC managed to move toward $117,000. This level is considered a multi–timeframe daily resistance, and personally I expect a correction here. The second bullish leg, which started after breaking the $111,624 resistance and buyers' micro support at $112,762, is now facing weakness. RSI is also showing reversal signals. The current BTC scenario is a correction toward the marked Fibonacci zones. The upcoming resistance is extremely important, and if it breaks, Bitcoin can continue upward.
🧮 Looking at the RSI oscillator, during both bullish legs it managed to stay firmly in overbought territory, and long-position volatility has significantly increased along with rising buy volume. On the 1H timeframe, RSI doesn’t have a specific key level right now because it has hit a significant swing resistance on the daily timeframe. Breaking out of the marked zone can push BTC higher. This key swing level on the daily RSI is around 61.
🕯 Volume, count, and size of bullish candles have sharply increased. Considering we are sitting at a resistance zone, traders are putting in maximum effort to break it, and volume is rising aggressively. Every sell candle that formed was engulfed by buyers immediately as BTC dipped, and buyers created new positions. Our trend is strongly bullish.
🎮 The Fibonacci is drawn from the start of the new bullish leg to the top of the previous 1H candle's wick. It has identified strong support zones in case BTC corrects, and these levels are considered highly reliable.
📊 The Bitcoin liquidation heatmap currently shows the distribution of short positions, and this spread continues up to $119,000. With upward movement and buyer support, these clusters can get absorbed and liquidated, leading to a short squeeze and a strong move up. Note that the cluster of short liquidations down to $113,000 could get triggered with maximum selling pressure, and this scenario isn’t far-fetched.
🧠 If you haven’t entered a BTC position based on previous analyses, you can wait for corrective support zones to form. Buyer tickers will place their orders below these support levels so we can gain full confirmation before making a BTC entry.
↗️ Long Position Scenario: A break above the seller ticker zone and grabbing accounts holding short positions is required to reduce short-position clusters. Then we need confirmation above our seller ticker zone at $117,820. With the start of a new bullish leg and an indecision candle plus a 7 SMA touch from below, we can open a low-risk long position.
📉 Short Position Scenario: If BTC forms a lower high and lower low with maximum selling pressure, negative economic news, and loses key Fibonacci zones — especially the 61% level — we can consider opening a short. However, as I mentioned in previous days, avoiding shorts and focusing on longs is currently much more in our favor.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
