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Fibonnacci

Gold Price in Free Fall👋Hello everyone, let’s take a look at OANDA:XAUUSD and see what’s happening! At the time of writing, the precious metal continues to move within a downward wave. At one point, gold dropped close to the $4,000 mark, down more than $350 compared to the same time in the previous session — a decline of nearly 5%. This marks the sharpest drop after nine consecutive weeks of gains. The main reasons behind this move are the strengthening U.S. dollar, profit-taking pressure, and diminishing caution as U.S.–China trade tensions show signs of easing. In addition, optimism over the potential reopening of the U.S. government, reduced political uncertainty, and improving trade sentiment have lessened investors’ urgent demand for safe-haven assets like gold. From a technical perspective: Gold had previously fallen after forming a double-top pattern, breaking through several key support levels. It is now reacting around $4,100, gaining temporary momentum from the $4,000 support zone. In the short term, I expect a minor rebound before the downtrend may resume, but from a medium to long-term view, I remain optimistic, supported by expectations that the Fed will soon ease monetary policy, Trump’s tariff measures, and continued gold buying by central banks. What about you — how do you see gold’s next move today? 💬Share your thoughts in the comments below. Good luck and happy trading!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Kevinn_Nguyen
39
GOLD RECOVERS: H1 Bounces at $4,150 – Sniping the Fibo SELL Zone🎯 Macro Summary & Bias: Weak USD & CPI Focus Drive Recovery Gold price gained some traction in early European trading on Wednesday, recovering above the $4,150 level. Primary Driver: The weaker US Dollar (USD) is currently supporting the price recovery. Mixed Forces: Easing US-China trade tensions are putting some pressure on Gold, but this is offset by Fed rate cut expectations and general market uncertainty, which should limit the downside. Key Event: Traders are keenly focused on the US CPI (Consumer Price Index) inflation report for September this Friday. Any sign of hotter-than-expected US inflation could lift the USD and pressure Gold in the short term. Technical Bias: After the DOUBLE TOP DUMP and a +3000 PIPS move down, the market is now attempting a corrective rally from the LIQUIDITY PUMP low. Our strategy is to SELL the strong Fibo/Volume resistance (Sell on Rally) before looking for the next BUY zone. 📊 In-Depth Technical Analysis (H1): Pinpointing the FIBO Reaction Levels Based on the recent major market reversal from the Double Top and the current corrective bounce (Referencing image_43ce7f.png), we have our strategic levels: 1. Strategic SELL Zones (FIBO SELL REACT ZONES): These are the primary resistance zones for executing SELL trades, anticipating the continuation of the post-dump correction: REACTION FIBO 0.5 ZONE - SELL ZONE 4190 - 4200. This is the first critical resistance zone (0.5 Fibo retracement) to look for a Short entry. REACTION FIBO - SELL ZONE BIG VOLUME for SELL SIDE 4300 - 4310. This is the major supply/liquidity zone and the ultimate target for the current corrective rally. 2. Strategic BUY Zone (ORDER BUY REACT ZONE): This is the key support area where the previous dump found temporary relief, which we use for stop-loss or potential re-entry: ORDER BUY ZONE 4100 - 4090. This is the immediate support zone formed after the dump, which is currently holding the price. 📈 TODAY'S ACTION PLAN Primary Action (Prioritize SELL on Rally): Wait for the corrective bounce to reach the REACTION FIBO 0.5 ZONE - SELL ZONE 4190 - 4200. Short Entry: Execute the SELL entry upon confirmed reversal candles (H1/M30/M15) in the 4190 - 4200 zone. Targets (TP): Aim to retest the recent low and the LIQUIDITY PUMP area. Contingency BUY: If price breaks decisively above 4200, the rally may extend to the BIG VOLUME SELL ZONE 4300 - 4310. ⚠️ Risk Warning Risk Management: Place Stop Loss (SL) above the 4200 zone for the short entry. Watch the US CPI report on Friday closely, as inflation data could cause extreme volatility. Wishing all FranCi$$_FiboMatrix traders a disciplined and victorious day!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
GOLD: $4330 SLIDE! Sniping the Fibo BUY Zone for the Rebound🎯 Macro Summary & Bias: USD Stability Triggers Profit-Taking Gold is extending its corrective slide from the all-time high zone, hitting around $4,331 - $4,330. Primary Headwind: The US Dollar (USD) attracted buyers for three consecutive days, causing some stability which triggered profit-taking in the overbought Gold market. Long-Term Support: DXY trades slightly negatively due to the US government shutdown and trade tensions, keeping the long-term bullish outlook intact. Technical Bias: The market is in a deep correction/profit-taking phase. Our focus is strictly on finding the FIBO BUY REACT ZONES to join the underlying bullish trend. DO NOT CHASE THE SELL MOVE. 📊 In-Depth Technical Analysis (H1): Pinpointing the FIBO Reaction Levels Based on the current corrective structure and the Fibo/Volume zones defined on image_ddd575.png, we have our strategic levels: 1. Strategic SELL Zones (FIBO SELL REACT ZONES): These are current resistance areas for short-term rejection or supply zone testing: REACTION FIBO SELL ZONE 4340 - 4320: Current resistance. Look for a SCALP SELL opportunity if the price rejects this zone. REACTION SELL ZONE - Big Volume for Sell Side 435x: Major supply/liquidity zone if price attempts a deeper retracement. 2. Strategic BUY Zones (FIBO BUY REACT ZONE): These are the most critical Fibo support zones for initiating Long entries: REACTION FIBO BUY ZONE 4270 - 4265: The first crucial Fibo Retracement support. REACTION BUY ZONE - Big Volume For Buy Side 4230 - 4220: The high-volume demand zone and optimal entry point for the major Long trade. 📈 TODAY'S ACTION PLAN Primary Action (Prioritize BUY): Wait for the price to correct to the REACTION FIBO BUY ZONE 4270 - 4265 or 4230 - 4220. Long Entry: Execute the BUY entry only upon confirmed reversal candles (H1/M30/M15). Scalp SELL Action: If the price strongly rejects the 4340 - 4320 zone, a quick SCALP SELL targeting the nearest BUY ZONE can be considered. Targets (TP): Aim for the highs and the 435x Sell Zone for the Longs. ⚠️ Risk Warning Risk Management: Always place a safe Stop Loss (SL) below the nearest active BUY ZONE. DO NOT OVERLEVERAGE in this corrective phase. Wishing all FranCi$$_FiboMatrix traders a disciplined and victorious day!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
GOLD Accumulates Above $4200 Which Fibo React Zone Fires First ?🎯 Macro Summary & Bias: The Calm Before the Geopolitical Storm Gold is trading above the psychological $4,200 mark but struggled to gain meaningful traction on Monday due to mixed forces. Driving Forces: Increased geopolitical tensions and trade uncertainty act as tailwinds for the safe-haven asset. USD Weakness: Expectations for more Fed rate cuts and the US government shutdown weaken the USD, providing support for XAU/USD. Traders have fully priced in two more rate cuts this year, which continues to pressure the US Dollar. Technical Outlook: Gold is currently consolidating above $4,200, signaling that the bullish structure remains intact. We are now watching for confirmation at key Fibo levels before the next breakout. 📊 In-Depth Technical Analysis (H1): Pinpointing the FIBO Reaction Levels Our core strategy is to BUY ON DIPS at the identified Fibo Reaction Zones and look for short-term Sells only as resistance tests (Referencing image_58f686.png). 1. Strategic BUY Zones (FIBO BUY REACT ZONE): These are the crucial support zones for initiating Long entries: Reaction Fibo Buy Zone 4230 - 422x. This is the immediate, primary support zone where we anticipate the first bounce. Big Volume For The BUY Side 4205 - 4200. This is the major demand zone and the ultimate pullback point to catch the large growth wave. 2. Strategic SELL Zones (FIBO SELL REACT ZONES): These are high-volume resistance areas for potential Take Profit (TP) or short-term Scalp Sells: Reaction Fibo Sell Zone 4280 - 4285. The first key resistance level where the price may encounter selling pressure. Reaction Fibo Sell Zone 4315 - 4320. The next significant resistance and TP level. Big Volume For The Sell Side 4356 - 4360. The major supply and long-term TP target. 📈 TODAY'S ACTION PLAN Primary Action (Prioritize BUY): The market is consolidating. Do NOT FOMO. Patiently wait for the price to correct to the Reaction Fibo Buy Zone 4230 - 422x. Long Entry: Upon confirmation (H1/M30/M15 reversal candles) at the BUY Zones, confidently activate the Long (BUY) entry. Targets (TP): Aim for the successive SELL Zones: 428x, 431x, and the ultimate target at 4356 - 4360. ⚠️ Risk Warning Risk Management: Always place a safe Stop Loss (SL) below the nearest active BUY ZONE. Monitor trade talks closely as they could trigger sharp volatility. Wishing all FranCi$$_FiboMatrix traders a disciplined and victorious week!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
MRVL | Another Semi Run Coming | LONGMarvell Technology, Inc. engages in the design, development, and sale of integrated circuits. Its products include data processing units, security solutions, automotive, coherent DSP, DCI optical modules, ethernet controllers, ethernet PHYs, ethernet switches, linear driver, PAM DSP, transimpedance amplifiers, fibre channel, HDD, SSD controller, storage accelerators, ASIC, and Marvell government solutions. It operates through the following geographical segments: United States, Singapore, Israel, India, China, and Others. The company was founded by Wei Li Dai and Pantas Sutardja in 1995 and is headquartered in Wilmington, DE.
NASDAQ:MRVLLong
by DivergenceSeeker
Bitcoin 4H Elliott Wave & Fibonacci ZonesThis 4-hour Bitcoin (BTCUSD) chart zooms in on the late-stage corrective action following a major Elliott Wave impulse completion. The complex WXY corrective structure appears to be near resolution, approaching key Fibonacci retracement zones from the prior wave sequence. Elliott Wave & Fibonacci Confluence: The chart traces the final decline wave (Y) reaching just above the 23.6% retracement at $106,563, a critical technical confluence area where sellers have gained momentum. If support fails here, the next focus shifts downward toward the 38.2% ($95,604) and deeper retracement levels for potential stabilization. Momentum & Indicators: RSI is nearing oversold levels on this timeframe, signaling that momentum may be waning and a reversal could be imminent. MACD and volume show signs of diminishing selling pressure, consistent with a corrective leg approaching exhaustion. Trading Outlook: This 4-hour timeframe highlights a tightening short-term balance between sellers and prospective buyers, setting the stage for either a continued drop to stronger support zones or a base formation preceding a renewed bullish impulse. Traders should closely monitor price reactions at Fibonacci support, as these areas historically mark accumulation zones and inflection points in Bitcoin’s macro cycles. This analysis serves as an update to our prior weekly outlook, zooming in to actionable price levels for tactical entry or risk management in anticipation of Bitcoin’s next significant directional move.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by NoHussle
1
GOLD 30M - time to cool off after the rally?After a sharp rally, gold seems ready for a breather. The chart shows a break of the short-term trendline followed by a retest from below. The price is now hovering near $4250, testing the 0.618 Fibonacci level - a classic resistance area where sellers often step in. If the pullback continues, the next downside targets lie near $4185 and $4064. However, as long as the $4200 support holds, bulls still have a chance to regain control. Fundamentally , gold remains supported by global uncertainty and dovish central banks, but technically, a healthy correction was long overdue. Tactical plan: watch $4260 closely. If sellers hold, the drop could extend. If buyers reclaim the level - bears will have to retreat. Remember: don’t try to catch falling gold - it cuts both ways.
TVC:GOLDShort
by TotoshkaTrades
BIG PICTURE: GOLD (XAUUSD) H1 – Targeting $4,300 and Beyond🎯 Macro Summary & Bias: The Bulls Are Unstoppable! Gold is the most sought-after asset as XAU/USD aims directly for the $4,300 mark and further. Primary Catalyst: Financial markets remain cautious amidst the ongoing US government shutdown. The widespread weakness of the US Dollar (USD)—fueled by the funding battle between Democrats and Republicans—further strengthens the bullish case for Gold. Record Strength: XAU/USD is maintaining a positive upward momentum despite extreme overbought conditions. Technical Focus: In the current continuously rising Bull market, FIBO is the paramount tool for projecting the next reaction zones and identifying the critical pullback points to initiate BUY entries. It is nearly impossible to predict the top, so we must focus solely on optimal entry points! 📊 In-Depth Technical Analysis (H1): Pinpointing the FIBO Reaction Levels Based on the current strong Parabolic market structure (Referencing image_3f447f.png), our core strategy is BUY ON DIPS at precise Fibo levels. 1. Strategic BUY Zone (FIBO BUY REACT ZONE): This is the most crucial Fibo support zone where we anticipate a pullback to trigger a Long entry in line with the major trend: 4,321.332 The REACTION FIBO BUY ZONE 0.5. This is the most vital retracement point to catch the next growth wave. 2. Sell/Take-Profit Targets (FIBO SELL TARGETS): These are the Fibo extension targets where the Buyers are aiming, and where we can consider taking profit or looking for a quick scalp SELL if a reaction occurs: TP Target 1 (Extension) 4,436.179 The REACTION FIBO SELL ZONE 1.5 - 1.618. The next immediate target for the rally. TP Target 2 (Deep Extension) 4,538.394 The REACTION FIBO SELL ZONE 2.5 - 2.618. The long-term target if the momentum remains unchecked. 📈 TODAY'S ACTION PLAN Primary Action (Prioritize BUY): Patiently wait for the price to correct to the REACTION FIBO BUY ZONE 0.5 at 4,321.332. Upon confirmation with H1/M30/M15 reversal candles in this zone, confidently activate the Long (BUY) entry. Targets (TP): Aim for TP Target 1 (4,436.179) and further to TP Target 2 (4,538.394). ⚠️ Risk Warning Risk Warning: Given the extreme overbought conditions, always place a safe Stop Loss (SL) below the Fibo BUY ZONE and maintain stringent risk management! Wishing all FranCi$$_FiboMatrix traders a disciplined and victorious day!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
Ep. 4 - BTC Prediction By Channels, Secret Fib & Unique Gann FanBitcoin Price Prediction Using Channels, Fibonacci & Gann Fan | Signal & Structure Episode 4 In this concise yet powerful episode, we combine three advanced technical analysis tools to identify high-probability support zones for Bitcoin's current correction. This multi-confluence approach demonstrates how stacked logarithmic channels, Fibonacci retracements, and Gann fans work together to pinpoint critical price levels. Techniques Demonstrated: 1. Channel Validation Theory - Proves that any trend line can become a valid channel - Shows how to convert the COVID crash to bear market bottom trendline into a working channel - Demonstrates perfect alignment with historical tops 2. Stacked Channel Refinement - Creates a smaller channel where the top touches the midline of the larger channel - This subdivides the original channel into quarters - Provides additional confluence levels for support/resistance 3. Fibonacci Retracement Application - Maps the key retracement levels from recent bottom to top - Focuses on the "Golden Pocket" (0.618-0.786) - Identifies 0.702 as the Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) level 4. Gann Fan on Logarithmic Scale (Unique Technique) - Anchors 45-degree angle from the peak - Aligns Gann Fan 1x1 line with the 45-degree angle - Uses Gann lines to track momentum decay: - 1/8 → 1/4 → 1/3 (bearish progression) - 1/1 as recovery signal - 8/1 as ultimate resistance breakout Key Confluence Zone Identified: The analysis reveals a critical support box between: - 0.618 - 0.786 Fibonacci levels - Validated by 1/3 Gann Fan line - Supported by stacked channel structure This triple confluence creates a high-probability reversal zone where multiple technical factors align. Trading Insights: Current Market Position: - Price following bearish momentum path along Gann lines - Moving from 1/8 toward 1/3 line - Range-bound action expected until 1/1 line reclaimed Recovery Signals to Watch: - Breaking above 1/1 Gann line (45-degree angle) = trend recovery - Ultimate bullish confirmation: Breaking 8/1 line - Support zone provides optimal risk/reward entry area Technical Setup: - Timeframe: Weekly chart - Scale: Logarithmic (essential for both channels and Gann) - Tools: TradingView's Fib Retracement, Gann Fan, Parallel Channel This episode demonstrates how combining multiple technical tools on logarithmic scale can identify precise support/resistance zones. The convergence of three independent methods at the same price area significantly increases the probability of a meaningful reaction. The unique application of Gann Fan on log scale, aligned with the 45-degree angle, provides a momentum roadmap that most traders miss. This technique is particularly powerful for tracking trend strength degradation and identifying potential reversal points. Feel free to teach out for partnership opportunities. I'm open to provide TA and educational services.
by StructureAndSignal
GOLD Ready for the Next Wave! What is the Optimal Fibo BUY ZONE🎯 Macro Summary & Bias: Safe-Haven Demand is Fueling the Rally Gold is extending its rally, trading near $4,210 in early Asian trading on Thursday. Key Drivers: The precious metal is attracting buyers near a new record high, driven by expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates again this month and trade tensions which continue to boost demand for safe-haven assets. Fed Focus: Traders will be watching closely for signals from Fed speakers (Michael Barr, Stephen Miran, Christopher Waller, and Michelle Bowman) later on Thursday. Structural Bias: The long-term upward structure for Gold remains stable. For today's short-term session, Gold is likely to see a slight correction to test crucial price levels marked by FIBO before activating BUY entries based on Fibo retracement and extension zones. 📊 Technical Analysis (H1): Defining the Fibo BUY Activation Points Our primary strategy is to PRIORITIZE WAITING FOR PRICE TO APPROACH THE IMPORTANT LEVELS NOTED BY AD TO LOOK FOR BUYS. We are hunting for corrective zones to trigger Long entries based on Fibo retracement and further Fibo extension targets. (Referencing the Fibo Reaction Zone Logic from image_e51183.png): 1. Strategic BUY Zones (FIBO BUY REACT ZONES): These are strong support zones where we will enter Long trades following the primary trend: Zone Price Range Description & Action BUY ZONE 1 (FIBO Retrace) 4194 - 4190 A critical Reaction Fibo Buy Zone. Ideal for catching a short-term BUY bounce. BUY ZONE 2 (Order Block/Demand) 4,145.676 (±) A stronger BUY ZONE GOLD - Order BUY. If BUY ZONE 1 fails, this is the next high-potential entry point. BUY ZONE 3 (FIBO Extension) 4124 - 4120 A Reaction Fibo Extension Buy Zone. The strategic entry for a stronger, deeper long trade. 2. Sell/Take-Profit Zone (SELL ZONE): Zone Price Range Description & Action SELL TARGET (FIBO Ext.) 4264 - 4268 The Reaction Fibo Extension Sell Zone. AD Note: Sells should only be short-term and we should wait for the strong Fibo reaction zone at 426x. 📈 TODAY'S ACTION PLAN (H1) Primary Action (Prioritize BUY): Wait for the slight correction to approach the Reaction Fibo Buy Zone 4194 - 4190. Upon confirmation with H1/M30 reversal candles, activate the BUY entry with the TP aimed at 426x. Deep Correction Scenario: If BUY ZONE 1 is broken, patiently wait at BUY ZONE GOLD 4,145.676 or 4124 - 4120 to initiate a more aggressive long position. ⚠️ Risk Warning (SL): Sells should only be short-term and we should wait for the strong Fibo reaction zone at 426x. Always place a safe Stop Loss (SL) below the nearest active BUY ZONE to protect capital. Wishing all FranCi$$_FiboMatrix traders a disciplined and highly profitable day!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
DXY — 4H Fibonacci Discount ZoneDXY — 4H Fibonacci Discount Zone: bounce or breakdown? Context (4H | Pre-London | 16 Oct) Dollar Index is testing a 50% Fibonacci discount zone after an overnight -2 deviation. Volume remains light, but buyers stepped in near the 98.2 region, defending short-term structure. Big picture still leans bearish Technical Map • Structure: Consolidation within broader bearish context — 4H recovery attempts forming. • Key Level: 98.2 acting as short-term decision point; deviation off 50% Fib zone. • Momentum: −2 deviation within 4H range — early shift toward mean reversion. • Volume: Heavy order flow support beneath 98.0; thin liquidity overhead until 98.6. Structure overall remains bearish, but short-term momentum favors a corrective bid from the Fibonacci discount zone. Fundamental Pulse The Fed minutes gave us a small dip in yields, but the Dollar didn’t flinch — it’s still holding firm. Sticky inflation keeps the Fed cautious, reinforcing that “higher-for-longer” tone. Now all eyes turn to today’s CPI at 15:30 EET — the real test for rate expectations. For now, rates steady, risk tone calm, traders waiting for direction. Plan (If/Then) If DXY pushes above 98.6, expect momentum toward the 99.0 zone. Break below 98.05 reopens path toward 97.6–97.4 support band. R:R potential ≈ 1 : 3 — solid setup if volatility expands post-CPI. Stay patient and scale small before the CPI lands. Mindset Pulse Observation beats anticipation. Let price confirm your story, not the other way around. Stay aligned with structure; one mouse click can cost a narrative.
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by CORE5DAN
Short HYPEThis setup shorts the failure at the channel midline and 41–42 supply, aiming for a quick move back into the lower half of the daily channel with first take‑profit near 37.8 where prior demand and fib confluence sit. Execution is simple: sell into a fresh rejection below 41–42, I use a hard stop around 43.1 just above the recent swing and channel cap, and let the trade work toward 37.8 with the option to trail if momentum accelerates lower. If price closes back above 43.1, the idea is invalid and the short is closed without debate
Short
by Low_Leverage_Matthew
XAUUSD SUPERWAVE: Gold Battles at $4,200 🎯 Macro Summary & Bias: Historical Highs and the Pause of the Bulls Gold is the center of attention as it fights fiercely at the $4,200 level during the European session. Strength Drivers: Gold recently hit a fresh all-time high near $4,220. This record rally is sustained by ongoing geopolitical tensions, economic risks, a dovish Federal Reserve (Fed), and a weak USD. Current Pressure: Bullish speculators are taking a breather, creating pressure on the price at the $4,200 mark. Economic Signal: Although the IMF raised its 2025 global growth forecast, it simultaneously warned that a rekindled US-China trade war could significantly slow output—a factor that continues to support Gold as a safe-haven asset. 📊 Technical Analysis (M30/H1): Defining the Fibo BUY/SELL Battlefield Based on the Ascending Channel structure and the identification of Fibo Reaction Zones (Referencing image_49085d.png), we have the following key strategic trading areas for today: 1. Strategic SELL Reaction Zones: These are crucial Fibo resistance zones where we will look for SELL SCALP signals if buying momentum falters: Zone Price Range Description & Action SELL ZONE 1 (FIBO) 4208 - 4212 Key Fibo resistance zone. A potential area to consider a SELL SCALP if bearish confirmation emerges. SELL ZONE 2 (Extension) 4225 - 4250 The FIBO Extension 1.5 - 1.618 zone. This is the TP target for Longs and a stronger strategic SELL zone if Gold breaks above 4212. 2. Strategic BUY Reaction Zones: These are vital Fibo support zones where we will look for Long entries (BUY) following the primary trend: Zone Price Range Description & Action BUY ZONE 1 (FIBO Retest) 4162 - 4158 The crucial Fibo 0.618 support zone. Ideal area to catch the BUY wave if price corrects here. BUY ZONE 2 (Deeper Support) 4144 - 4140 A deeper, stronger support area. If BUY ZONE 1 fails, this is the next key accumulation point. 📈 TODAY'S OPTIMAL ACTION PLAN Primary BUY Scenario: Wait for Gold to correct to the REACTION FIBO BUY ZONE 4162 - 4158. Upon seeing a strong bullish reversal candle signal (H1/M30), confidently enter a Long trade. TP: Target SELL ZONE 1 (4208 - 4212) or SELL ZONE 2 (4225 - 4250). Scalp SELL Scenario: If Gold fails to breach 4200/4212 and shows clear reversal signs, a quick SCALP SELL can be considered. ⚠️ Risk Warning (SL): Always place a safe Stop Loss (SL) below the nearest active BUY ZONE to protect your capital. Wishing all FranCi$$_FiboMatrix traders a disciplined and highly profitable day!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
1
GPK oversold on both daily and weekly chartsGPK oversold on both daily and weekly charts. It seems to have found a strong support line at $17.36 (2021 price). It is too early to say if GPK is ready to bounce up. However, with today's large buy volume, we can hope that the current price is a bottom or near the bottom. The price closed 10.14.2025: $17.52. Price target: $20.75/ $23.35. Stop loss: $16.93. IMO, amateur trader. This is not investment advice. Just sharing my idea based on price chart.
NYSE:GPKLong
by haboston
GOLD (XAUUSD) PLUMMETS 60 PRICES – Where Are the Fibo Lifelines🎯 EMERGENCY SUMMARY: Unexpected Crash & Deep Correction Ahead The Gold market has just experienced a massive and unexpected dump, crashing sharply from the 416x region straight down to 411x (a 60-point drop!). This volatility is likely fueled by heightened geopolitical tension rhetoric. Our immediate forecast suggests a high probability of a continued, deep correction. 📊 TECHNICAL STRATEGY (H1/M30): Defining the Fib React Zones In this volatile and sudden drop scenario, our priority is to identify the critical, high-probability FIBO REACTION ZONES where a temporary bounce or a deeper reversal could occur. We must avoid chasing the price and wait for the market to hit our calculated levels. 1. SELL SCALP Zones (Where Price May Bounce Up for a Short Entry): We will look to use these zones as potential short-term selling opportunities if the price attempts a correction back up, aligning with the new bearish momentum: SELL SCALP Zone 1: Focus on the 407x region (4,077.605). If price retraces here, look for a bearish rejection signal to initiate a SCALP SELL. SELL SCALP Zone 2 (Former Support Turned Resistance): The 405x area (4,048.493), which was a previous key Fibo Buy Zone, is now expected to act as strong resistance after the breakdown. 2. CRITICAL BUY REACT Zones (Where the Deep Correction May End): We must now wait for the price to reach the deeper, unconfirmed Fibo support levels. These are the zones where a major rebound might be possible: We must wait for confirmation and allow the market to establish these new support levels. We are strictly observing for the strong, trend-conforming FIBO REACTION zones that the AD has noted for our members. 📈 OPTIMAL ACTION PLAN (TODAY) Action (OBSERVE/SCALP SELL): The market is extremely volatile. Our primary action is to wait and observe for the price to hit those calculated reaction areas. Scalping Opportunity: If the price rallies back into the 407x or 405x zones, consider a SCALP SELL if you see clear reversal candle patterns. Bottom Fishing (BUY): Only initiate a BUY trade when the price hits the deeper Fibo support zones (to be updated by AD) and gives a clear, strong BUY REACT signal. ⚠️ URGENT ALERT & RISK MANAGEMENT: Constant Updates Required: The AD will continuously update the next price movements and new zones for the community. Extreme Risk: With a 60-point drop, the risk is enormous. Maintain strict discipline and implement rigorous money management immediately! Wishing all FranCi$$_FiboMatrix traders a calm and clear-headed day!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
UNSTOPPABLE MOMENTUM - Retest Zone Will Ignite the Next Rally? Macro Summary & Bias: The Buyers Are Firmly in Control! The Gold market is channeling all its power into the Buyers' camp, with a clear objective to sustain its powerful growth trend. We are witnessing preparations for what could be the eighth consecutive week of gains. Focus: Our priority is initiating Long positions (BUYs). We are patiently awaiting the retest moves at specific, high-impact Fibo reaction points to catch the next growth wave with maximum precision. 📊 Technical Analysis (M30/H1): Identifying the Next BUY REACT ZONE To maximize profits in line with the established trend, we must pinpoint the strongest M30/H1 support zone where Gold is most likely to retest before pushing to new highs. (Referencing the Fibo React Zone logic from previous analyses, specifically image_a34086.png). 1. Strategic BUY Zone (FIBO BUY REACT ZONE): This is the Liquidity Zone where significant buying orders are expected to be triggered, making it the ideal retest point for the continuing structure. Zone Price Range (Fibo Reference) Description & Action BUY ZONE 1 (FIBO Retest) 4018 - 4014 (Referencing Fibo React Zone) This is a critical Fibo reaction zone. We will wait for Gold to retest this area and look for BUY (Long) confirmation signals. Temporary SL: Just Below 4014 Set a safe Stop Loss below the BUY ZONE 1 to protect capital. 2. Potential Sell/Take-Profit Zone (SELL REACT ZONE): This is the next target for the Bulls, and also where we might consider taking profit or looking for a quick scalp SELL if a sharp reaction occurs: Zone Price Range Description & Action SELL TARGET (FIBO Ext.) 4094 - 4098 (Referencing Fibo React Zone) The Fibo Extension target. If bullish momentum is maintained, this is the next potential Take Profit (TP) target for Long entries. 📈 OPTIMAL DAILY ACTION PLAN (M30) Primary Scenario: Buying into the Strong Uptrend Action (BUY/LONG): Wait for Gold to complete its retest move back to the REACTION FIBO BUY ZONE 4018 - 4014. Confirmation: Look for M30/H1 candle signals indicating a return of buying power (e.g., Pin Bar, Bullish Engulfing) within this zone. Target (TP): Aim for the REACTION FIBO SELL ZONE 4094 - 4098. Breakout Scenario: If Gold decisively breaks and closes above 406x (Referencing BREAKOUT ATH), the upward momentum will continue strongly. Prioritize buying the momentum, using new support levels as entry points. ⚠️ Risk Warning: Macro Alert Level: Failure to hold above 3962 would significantly increase the risk of a deeper correction. Maintain strict risk management if the price breaks below 4014. Wishing all FranCi$$_FiboMatrix traders a disciplined and highly profitable trading day!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
(GOLD) H4 – $4,000 Reclaimed, Where is the Optimal Strategy?🎯 Macro Summary: The Safe-Haven Demand Dominance The new trading week kicks off with a strong signal from Gold: the price has successfully recaptured the critical psychological level of $4,000 and is trading around $4,020. Primary Driver: Geopolitical risk concerns and escalating US-China tensions (with the US President announcing "very strange things" happening in China and countermeasures being considered) have driven the market to seek Gold as a safe haven. Record Trend: Buyers are looking to sustain the momentum, aiming for an eighth consecutive weekly gain, indicating a powerful underlying trend that cannot be ignored. The Warning Level: To maintain the bullish trend and avoid a deep correction toward $3,900, Gold must hold above the lower boundary of the ascending channel at $3,962 (on a weekly candle close). 📊 In-Depth Technical Analysis (H4): Pinpointing Fibo Reaction Zones Based on the current H4 market structure and the use of Fibo/Liquidity React Zone tools—the signature of FranCi$$_FiboMatrix—we have the following strategic trading areas: 1. Strategic SELL Reaction Zones: These are strong Fibo resistance areas where we will look for SELL corrections if buying momentum stalls: SELL ZONE 1 (FIBO) 402x - 403x (4,025.424 - 4,032.844) The nearest critical Fibo resistance zone. Price is currently reacting here. SELL ZONE 2 (Extension) 411x - 412x (4,115.422 - 4,128.811) The powerful FIBO Extension 1.5 - 1.618 target. This is the next target if price breaks SELL ZONE 1 and continues its strong ascent. BUY ZONE (LIQUIDITY) 392x - 389x (3,907.030 - 3,895.674) The crucial Liquidity React Fibo Buy Zone. This is the ideal point to look for long entries (BUY) when the price corrects down, close to the psychological $3,900 mark. Great! Based on the in-depth, precise Fibo and reaction zone analysis that defines the FranCi$$_FiboMatrix channel on TradingView, I will fully translate and standardize your content into a comprehensive and professional weekly market outlook for Gold (XAUUSD) on the H4 chart. Here is the weekly market analysis for Gold (XAUUSD) on the H4 chart, integrating both macro and technical elements: ⚡️ WEEKLY OUTLOOK: XAUUSD (GOLD) H4 – $4,000 Reclaimed, Where is the Optimal Strategy? Version: Weekly Outlook – H4 Analysis | FranCi$$_FiboMatrix Channel 🎯 Macro Summary: The Safe-Haven Demand Dominance The new trading week kicks off with a strong signal from Gold: the price has successfully recaptured the critical psychological level of $4,000 and is trading around $4,020. Primary Driver: Geopolitical risk concerns and escalating US-China tensions (with the US President announcing "very strange things" happening in China and countermeasures being considered) have driven the market to seek Gold as a safe haven. Record Trend: Buyers are looking to sustain the momentum, aiming for an eighth consecutive weekly gain, indicating a powerful underlying trend that cannot be ignored. The Warning Level: To maintain the bullish trend and avoid a deep correction toward $3,900, Gold must hold above the lower boundary of the ascending channel at $3,962 (on a weekly candle close). 📊 In-Depth Technical Analysis (H4): Pinpointing Fibo Reaction Zones Based on the current H4 market structure and the use of Fibo/Liquidity React Zone tools—the signature of FranCi$$_FiboMatrix—we have the following strategic trading areas: 1. Strategic SELL Reaction Zones: These are strong Fibo resistance areas where we will look for SELL corrections if buying momentum stalls: Zone Price Range Analysis Basis SELL ZONE 1 (FIBO) 402x - 403x (4,025.424 - 4,032.844) The nearest critical Fibo resistance zone. Price is currently reacting here. SELL ZONE 2 (Extension) 411x - 412x (4,115.422 - 4,128.811) The powerful FIBO Extension 1.5 - 1.618 target. This is the next target if price breaks SELL ZONE 1 and continues its strong ascent. Xuất sang Trang tính 2. Strategic BUY Liquidity Zone: This zone is the prime area to catch the next BUY wave when the market retraces: Zone Price Range Analysis Basis BUY ZONE (LIQUIDITY) 392x - 389x (3,907.030 - 3,895.674) The crucial Liquidity React Fibo Buy Zone. This is the ideal point to look for long entries (BUY) when the price corrects down, close to the psychological $3,900 mark. Xuất sang Trang tính 📈 Optimal Weekly Action Plan Scenario A: Distribution and Re-accumulation (Correction to BUY Zone) Action 1 (SELL/SHORT): Actively look to SELL at the 402x - 403x zone (SELL ZONE 1) upon clear H4/H1 bearish reversal candle signals. Sell Target (TP): Aim for the LIQUIDITY REACT FIB BUY ZONE 392x - 389x. Action 2 (BUY/LONG): Wait for strong bullish confirmation signals at 392x - 389x to enter a long trade, following the main trend. Buy Target (TP): Aim back towards SELL ZONE 1 or SELL ZONE 2 at 411x - 412x. Scenario B: Acceleration (Breakout): If the price executes a decisive breakout and closes above the 402x - 403x zone, we disregard the SELL setup and prioritize buying the momentum. Next BUY Target: REACTION SELL ZONE 411x - 412x. ⚠️ Risk Warning (Risk Management): Deep Correction Risk: Pay extremely close attention to the $3,962 level. If the Gold price breaks and closes below this level, the risk of a deeper correction toward $3,900 is very high. Maintain strict risk management (SL) for long trades if the price moves below this mark.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
$3910 vs $4000 Two-Sided Battle - Precise SCALP Setup Following Macro Overview: USD Weakness Triggers Gold's Rebound Momentum The yellow metal is regaining traction after the US Dollar slightly pulled back from its two-month high. Key fundamental factors supporting Gold remain: Fed Rate Cut Bets: Despite lingering inflation concerns in the FOMC minutes, the market still prices in a higher probability of the Fed cutting borrowing costs twice by year-end. This reduces the opportunity cost of holding Gold. Safe-Haven Demand: Geopolitical risks (despite the short-term profit-taking after the Israel-Hamas truce news) and the risk of a potential US government shutdown continue to be a Crucial Safe-Haven Factor. Summary: Gold is facing short-term profit-taking pressure but is strongly anchored by expectations of Lower Interest Rates and Geopolitical/Macroeconomic Risks. 📊 Technical Analysis (TA) - Focus Scalp Reaction Zones The chart shows Gold consolidating and reacting sharply at key Fibo levels following a major drop. Today's Trading Plan focuses on specific Reaction Zones for SCALPING. 1️⃣ SELL Strategy (SELL SCALP) - Priority on Resistance Recovery SELL SCALP REACTION ZONE 3997 - 4000 (0.5 Fibo): This is a notable Short-Term Resistance Zone, coinciding with the psychological 4000 level. PLAN: Look to enter upon Price Action/Bearish Reversal Signals at 3997 - 4000. TARGET: Aim for a drop back to the lower support area at 3915 - 3910. Strategic H1/H4 SELL ZONE: 4014 - 4018 (0.618 Fibo Downtrend): The REACTION FIBO 0.618 DOWNTREND H1 SELL ZONE is a stronger sell area. Will consider entry here if the recovery momentum is stronger than anticipated. 2️⃣ BUY Strategy (BUY SCALP) - Reacting at Lower Support TARGET SELL Gold $$$$ - REACT ZONE BUY SCALP 3915 - 3910: This zone is Key Support, representing the confluence of the 0.786 Fibo and the lower Uptrend Line of the current minor structure. PLAN: Wait for price to touch 3915 - 3910. Look for Strong BUY Signals (Bullish Engulfing/Pin Bar). TARGET: Aim for a bounce back towards the SCALP SELL zone 3997 - 4000. ⚠️ MatrixFibo Note & Risk Management Risk Warning: Volatility can be extremely high due to USD/Fed news. MANDATORY USE of STOP LOSS (SL) when SCALPING. Current Status: Gold is in a consolidation phase after the sharp move down. Prioritize Two-Way Scalping at the identified reaction zones. Recommendation: Trade with a Volume appropriate for a scalping strategy.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
GameStop and Fibonacci: It's About TimeThis is my first attempt at publishing a video on TradingView, so hopefully it works. I wanted to put together something educational about fib channels and why I like to use them. They're not a silver bullet, but they do tell you a lot about where to expect support and resistance because the chart has a very good memory, and you can see this play out on pretty much any instrument, including cryptocurrencies. I follow NYSE:GME closer than any other ticker, so this video is about my philosophy on the fib channels that I have been using on the GME chart and talking about on the Echo Chamber Podcast. Hopefully this adds a little more context to that discussion, how the flat price levels are not always the only thing that matters, but taking time-based trends into account can make a big difference in your analysis and understanding of price movement. Happy to hear people's thoughts on my crayons 🖍️ which color should I eat next? Since this is a bit of a longer video, here's an AI summary of the content with timestamps: Introduction 00:00-01:05 I introduce the topic of explaining my TradingView chart, which has many colorful lines. I clarify that I didn't manually draw all the lines, but used Fibonacci channels that only require selecting 3 points. Explaining Current Chart 01:05-04:33 I show my current GameStop chart, explaining various trend lines and Fibonacci channels. I demonstrate how to adjust the Fibonacci channel points to analyze different price movements. Fresh Chart Walkthrough 04:33-11:57 Moving to a clean chart, I explain global chart items, including trend lines from major tops and bottoms. I discuss dividend-adjusted vs non-adjusted charts and explain the "Gandalf line" of support. Fibonacci Channels Explanation 11:57-24:54 I provide a detailed explanation of how Fibonacci channels work, demonstrating how to draw them and interpret the resulting lines. I show how these channels can describe price action across long time periods. Additional Examples 24:54-33:44 I show more examples of Fibonacci channels applied to GameStop's entire price history. I discuss how these channels can provide insight into potential future price movements and support/resistance levels. Conclusion 33:44-34:40 I summarize my thoughts on GameStop's current price action in relation to the Fibonacci channels and support levels identified. Some Quotes "I find them mathematically interesting." 11:54 - Referring to trend-based Fibonacci tools. "Math is your friend here. But you don't have to do the math, you just can use tools that will help you." 17:19 "Price is fractal in nature in that patterns are repeating and Fibonacci is everywhere." 17:19 "Things like history repeats itself. It's just a question of when, not if." 24:30 "The point I want to drive home here is that when we start to get a little bit more granular here, and this is why I have lots of crayons on my chart." 28:34 Key Tips/Concepts Fibonacci channels can be powerful tools for technical analysis, providing insight into potential support and resistance levels. These channels can sometimes describe price action across very long time periods, even when drawn based on recent price movements with thoughtfully selected endpoints. The importance of considering price, time, and volume in technical analysis, as demonstrated by the "Gandalf line". The value of using multiple timeframes and chart types (dividend-adjusted vs non-adjusted, trading hours only vs extended hours included) to gain a more complete picture of a stock's price history. (Editorial note: something I didn't cover in the video, but the difference between log scale and linear scale sometimes will make for an interesting story on trendlines and fib channels too. I prefer to keep my chart in log scale, but will toggle between log and linear occasionally to see if there's something interesting there in the lines already drawn.) The concept of fractal nature in price movements and how patterns tend to repeat over time.
NYSE:GMEEducation
by BoilerPaulie
13