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Fibonnacci

XAUUSD – Gold Is Sideways, But The Channel Still Supports BuyersXAUUSD – Gold Is Sideways, But The Channel Still Supports Buyers Gold is moving quietly, but the chart is still holding an important structure. Price is currently trading around 4,113, moving sideways above the buy-test zone and inside a rising channel. This tells me the market is not rushing yet, but buyers are still trying to protect the recovery structure. The key question now is simple: will gold keep holding the lower channel support and continue toward the Fibonacci targets above? FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS Gold remains sensitive to USD movement, Treasury yields, and upcoming U.S. data. The market may stay cautious in the short term, especially while price is consolidating near resistance. For now, the chart structure is clearer than the news. As long as gold holds above support, the recovery path remains open. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – SMC + FIBONACCI From an SMC perspective, gold is forming a short-term accumulation after recovering from the lower zone. Price is still respecting the rising channel, which shows that buyers are defending higher lows. The buy-test support around 4,080 – 4,100 is the key area to watch. If price pulls back into this zone and forms a bullish reaction, buyers may attempt another push higher. The nearest resistance is around 4,138. A clean break above this level could confirm stronger continuation toward the Fibonacci reaction zone around 4,165 – 4,175. Above that, the next target is the Fibonacci extension area around 4,235 – 4,245. This is where the larger upside reaction may slow down. KEY PRICE ZONES TO WATCH Current price: 4,113 Buy-test support: 4,080 – 4,100 Sideway area: 4,100 – 4,138 Nearest resistance: 4,138 Sell scalping Fibonacci: 4,165 – 4,175 Fibonacci target: 4,235 – 4,245 Channel support: 4,080 – 4,100 Invalidation for bullish view: Below 4,080 TRADING SCENARIOS Buy Scenario Buy Zone: 4,080 – 4,100 Entry: Bullish reaction, liquidity sweep, or lower-timeframe CHoCH SL: Below 4,080 TP1: 4,138 TP2: 4,165 – 4,175 TP3: 4,235 – 4,245 Breakout Buy Condition: Break and hold above 4,138 Target: 4,165 – 4,175 first, then 4,235 – 4,245 Sell Scenario Sell Zone: 4,165 – 4,175 or 4,235 – 4,245 Entry: Bearish rejection or failed breakout TP1: 4,138 TP2: 4,100 Invalidation: Above 4,245 MY VIEW ON GOLD Gold is currently moving sideways, but the rising channel still supports buyers. As long as 4,080 – 4,100 holds, I still see room for gold to continue toward 4,138 and then 4,165 – 4,175. If buyers can break higher with strength, the next bigger target is around 4,235 – 4,245. I would not chase the middle of the range. The cleaner plan is to watch support reaction or breakout confirmation. For now, gold is calm — but the next breakout may decide the move. Do you think gold will break above 4,138, or will sellers defend the Fibonacci zone again?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Hannah_Marland
2
BTC/USD: 4H Swing High Shattered Following 38% Fib Holds LineHey traders! 👋 Let's dive into the current Bitcoin architecture. While our high-timeframe macro view on the Daily chart is still technically fighting a bearish posture, the lower timeframes are delivering some serious bullish energy! 🔋 On the 4-hour framework, the bulls executed a textbook defense. 🛡️ After a healthy retracement, the price bounced perfectly off the 38.2% Fibonacci level and printed a high-volume breach right above the previous structural swing high. This clean breakout opens up the road toward our next major overhead liquidity target resting around $65,700! 🎯 Intraday Execution Roadmap: On the 1-hour chart, our primary buy-side trigger at $64,200 has been penetrated and is currently active. 🟢 The Long Scenario (For the Late Buyers): 📈 Chasing the market blindly here is high risk due to immediate minor friction at $64,500. If you missed the sub-$64.2K entry, it's wiser to wait for a localized intra-session rejection, let a fresh base form, and buy the high-volume re-breakout! The Short Scenario (The Fakeout Trap): 📉 We remain strictly protective of this breakout UNLESS the sellers step back in heavy. The primary macro Short trigger activates only on a confirmed 1-hour candle close below $61,800. However, if this entire move turns out to be a terminal liquidity sweep and prints a clear Lower High (LH) beneath the highs, an aggressive early Short scalp could materialize. Key Structural Levels to Watch: 📍 Macro Target Ceiling: $65,700 📍 Activated Long Pivot Floor: $64,200 📍 Primary Bearish Trigger: $61,800 ⚠️ CRITICAL DISCLAIMER & RISK WARNING: Please note that this analysis is shared strictly for educational and informational purposes to track price action behaviors. This is NOT financial, investment, or trading advice, and should never be taken as a direct buy/sell signal. Trading cryptocurrency carries an extremely high level of risk, and you can lose your capital. Always do your own research (DYOR), manage your risk meticulously, and never trade with money you cannot afford to lose! Be safe out there! 🙏⚡
BINANCE:BTCUSDTLong
by essin20
XAUUSD Ready to Bounce – Strong Fib + Bullish OB at 4120-25Current Market Situation: Gold has reached a very strong confluence zone on the 15-minute timeframe. After a solid pullback, price is now sitting exactly on a Bullish Order Block that perfectly aligns with strong Fibonacci retracement levels. Why This Zone is Powerful: Bullish Order Block acting as major demand area Golden Fibonacci Levels providing additional support Market Structure Shift to bullish confirmed with higher lows forming Multiple confluences stacking in favor of buyers This is one of the cleaner demand zones we’ve seen in recent sessions, with strong institutional interest likely present. Trade Plan: Buy Zone: 4120 - 4125 Stop Loss: Below 4105 (to protect against false breakdown) Targets:TP1: 4150 TP2: 4175 TP3: 4200 - 4220 (next major resistance) Bias: Bullish (with good risk-reward potential)This setup offers a favorable probability for a solid bounce or continuation higher, especially if price holds above 4120 convincingly. This is not financial advice. Always use proper risk management and confirm with your own analysis.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by PremiumTrader57
2
What are the Best Fibonacci Retracement and Extension Levels In this short article, you will learn the best Fibonacci extension and retracement levels for trading Forex and Gold. I will share with you the correct settings for Fibonacci tools and show you how to use & draw Fibonacci's properly on TradingView. Best Fibonacci Retracement Levels First, let's discuss Fibonacci retracement levels. Here are the default settings for Fibonacci retracement tool on TradingView. We will need to modify that a bit. We should keep 0; 0,382; 0,5; 0,618; 0,786; 1 levels 0,382; 0,5; 0,618; 0,786 will be the best retracement levels for Forex & Gold trading. How to Draw Fibonacci Retracement Levels Properly In order to draw fib.retracement levels properly, you should correctly identify a price action leg. You should underline that from its lowest low to its highest high, taking into consideration the wicks of the candlesticks. Fibonacci Retracement of a bullish price action leg will be applied from its low to its high. 1.0 Fibonacci level should lie on the lowest lie, 0 - on the highest high. Fibonacci Retracement of a bearish price action leg will be applied from its high to its low. Best Fibonacci Extension Levels Above, you can find default Fib.extension settings on TradingView. We will need to remove all the retracement levels; 2,618; 3,618; 4,236 and add 1,272; 1,414 levels. 1,272; 1,414; 1,618 will be the best Fibonacci Extension levels for trading Gold and Forex. How to Draw Fibonacci Extension Levels Properly Start with correct identification of a price action leg. Draw the Fib.Extension levels of a bearish price movement from its high to its low. Draw the Fib.Extension levels of a bullish price movement from its low to its high. I apply the fibonacci levels that we discussed for more than 9 years. They proved its efficiency and strength in trading different financial markets. Learn to combine Fibonacci levels with other technical analysis tools to make nice money in trading. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
1
ETHBTC: Wedge Compresses, CISD Marks the ShiftTen months of lower highs. A clean descending wedge off the September top, price grinding into its own apex by July. That's not distribution. Distribution needs volume. This had the opposite: the volume MA has been sloping down the entire structure, expansion getting harder to find on every leg lower. Compression with fading volume is absorption, not exhaustion of demand. Wyckoff would call this a shakeout into a spring, not a markdown. The supply doing the selling was getting weaker with every touch of the lower boundary, not stronger. After a A precision love tap on the sweet spot of the OTE followed by a CHoCH, price just closed back above the upper wedge trendline. CISD confirms it. The state of delivery changed here, not at some retest three candles from now. Gate one: reclaim the boundary. Gate two: hold it. This satisfies gate one. What invalidates this: a close back inside the wedge. If ETHBTC gives the trendline back on the next few candles, this was a false break and the compression continues. Until then, treat the boundary as the line in the sand, not the confirmation. Marcus Aurelius wrote that the impediment to action advances action. The wedge was the impediment. Ten months of it. What happens next isn't a prediction, it's a function of whether the boundary holds.
BINANCE:ETHBTCLong
by TheChartWhisperr
XAUUSD – Gold Is Testing A Critical Fibonacci Reaction Zone XAUUSD – Gold Is Testing A Critical Fibonacci Reaction Zone Gold is sitting at a very interesting point on the H1 chart. After failing to hold above the previous accumulation zone, price has continued to move lower inside the descending channel. Gold is now trading around 3,974, right near the Fibonacci reaction area. This is not just a random pullback — this is a zone where the market may decide whether to pause, bounce, or continue the next bearish leg. The chart is showing pressure, but also a possible short-term reaction. That makes this area very important for today. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS Gold remains sensitive to USD strength, Treasury yields, and market expectations around interest rates. When the dollar stays supported, gold usually struggles to build a strong recovery. For now, the technical structure is giving the clearest signal. Price is still below key resistance zones, so buyers need a strong reaction before any recovery view becomes reliable. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – SMC + FIBONACCI From an SMC perspective, gold is still moving inside a bearish channel. The broader structure continues to show lower highs and lower lows, which means sellers are still controlling the main direction. The previous sell zone around 4,007 – 4,029 has already acted as resistance. Price failed to hold above that area and started moving lower again. This confirms that sellers are still defending the accumulation zone. The current price is now reacting near the Fibonacci support area around 3,970 – 3,975. This is the short-term decision zone. If buyers can defend this area, gold may create a corrective bounce back toward 4,007 and possibly 4,029. However, if price fails to hold this Fibonacci reaction zone, the next downside move may open toward the lower channel area around 3,930 – 3,940. That would keep the bearish structure fully active. The most important part of this chart is simple: gold is not fully reversing yet. It is only testing whether buyers have enough strength to slow down the decline. KEY PRICE ZONES TO WATCH Current price: 3,974 Fibonacci reaction zone: 3,970 – 3,975 Lower channel target: 3,930 – 3,940 Sell zone support: 4,007 Accumulation sell reaction zone: 4,007 – 4,029 Main resistance: 4,029 Upper liquidity zone: 4,055 – 4,065 Bearish channel resistance: Around 4,030 – 4,055 Invalidation for bearish continuation: Above 4,029 TRADING SCENARIOS Buy Scenario – Short-Term Reaction Only If gold holds the 3,970 – 3,975 Fibonacci reaction zone and shows bullish confirmation, I will watch for a short-term bounce. Buy Zone: 3,970 – 3,975 Entry: Bullish rejection, liquidity sweep, or lower-timeframe bullish CHoCH SL: Below 3,970 or below the nearest swing low TP1: 4,007 TP2: 4,029 Sell Scenario – Priority Trend View If gold bounces into 4,007 – 4,029 and shows rejection, I will watch for sell continuation from the accumulation reaction zone. Sell Zone: 4,007 – 4,029 Entry: Bearish rejection, failed reclaim, lower-timeframe bearish CHoCH, or strong bearish displacement SL: Above 4,029 or above the nearest swing high TP1: 3,975 TP2: 3,940 TP3: 3,930 Alternative Sell Scenario If gold breaks below 3,970 with strong momentum, the short-term bounce idea becomes weaker. Sell Condition: Clean breakdown below 3,970, followed by retest and bearish confirmation Target: 3,940 – 3,930 MY VIEW ON GOLD My current view for gold is still bearish while price remains below 4,007 – 4,029. The market is now testing a sensitive Fibonacci reaction area. This is where buyers may try to create a bounce, but the larger structure is still not bullish yet. For me, the cleanest sell setup is not at the bottom — it is after a rebound into resistance. If gold holds 3,970 – 3,975, a short-term bounce toward 4,007 – 4,029 is possible. But if that resistance rejects again, sellers may continue driving price toward the lower channel. Overall, gold is at a decision point. A bounce can happen here, but the trend still belongs to sellers until buyers reclaim 4,029 with strength. Do you think gold will defend the Fibonacci reaction zone, or will sellers break it and push price toward 3,930?
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Hannah_Marland
8
NZDJPY | Bearish Expansion ExpectedTechnical Strategy & Execution Plan A high-probability bearish setup is developing on OANDA:NZDJPY as price completes its transition from internal to external liquidity. The market has expanded aggressively into a premium higher-timeframe Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG - 1D), serving as a significant overhead institutional supply zone. Simultaneously, a clean, mechanical 0-A-B-C bullish sequence has met its objective precisely within the designated ABC Target box. This C-wave expansion has successfully raided the minor external liquidity resting just above the previous structural swing high. Because institutional order flow cyclically rotates between liquidity pools, this comprehensive sweep signals that immediate upside targets are exhausted. Consequently, expectations are now set for a systemic, bearish rotation back down toward the range's lowest low. In strict alignment with systematic risk parameters, no blind sell limit orders will be placed at the opposing C zone. The current phase is dedicated entirely to reactive observation within this premium daily FVG block. Execution will remain paused until price action delivers a secondary liquidity sweep followed by a confirmed lower-timeframe Market Structure Shift (MSS), which will serve as the mandatory trigger to short the market down to the structural target.
Short
by SmellyTaz
HL Near Golden Pocket!ITANZ Analysis Closed at 42.87 (29-06-2026) As suggested on 12-06-2026 (when the price touched 53+) to wait for a good support zone; the price went down to 39 - 40. Now 42.50 - 44.50 is an important Resistance Zone. Monthly Closing above this range would be a +ve sign. However, 38 - 42 is a Golden Pocket Zone which may act as a Strong Support. There is a high probability of prirnting HL around this zone. Crossing 53 - 54 with good volumes may lead it towards 60. Breaking the Golden Pocket Zone may again lead it towards 32 - 33.
PSX:ITANZ
by House-of-Technicals
◈ XAUUSD: Weekly ABC Recovery Is Still Developing◈ XAUUSD: Weekly ABC Recovery Is Still Developing Gold is showing a corrective recovery after reacting from the lower base around 3,980–4,000. From Kelly’s view, the current structure is developing as an Elliott ABC recovery, with price now holding above the 4,042 buy zone and trying to build momentum for the next upside leg. The key idea is simple: the broader trend is still fragile, but the short-term recovery structure remains valid while gold holds above the buy zone. ⟡ Market structure The chart shows gold rebounding from the lower accumulation area after a strong bearish move. Price formed the first recovery leg, pulled back into support, and is now attempting to continue higher from the 4,042 area. The current reaction around 4,058 suggests buyers are still defending the short-term structure. If this support remains valid, gold may continue developing wave C towards the next Fibonacci resistance zone. The first important upside area is around 4,125, where the chart marks a Fibonacci sell zone. If price breaks above this area with strength, the recovery could extend further towards 4,213. ➤ Key levels ◌ 4,042: buy zone and current support area ◌ 4,058: current reaction zone ◌ 4,095–4,100: short-term resistance checkpoint ◌ 4,125: Fibonacci sell zone and first major target ◌ 4,213: possible wave 5 completion / upper weekly target ◌ Below 4,042: area where the ABC recovery weakens ⌁ Elliott Wave view From an Elliott Wave perspective, gold appears to be forming a weekly ABC recovery after completing the previous bearish impulse. Wave A created the first rebound from the lower base. Wave B corrected back into the buy zone and held above support. Wave C may now be developing from the 4,042 area, with the first target near 4,125. If wave C expands with stronger momentum, the move could transform into a broader 5-wave recovery, opening the path towards the 4,213 area. However, if gold loses 4,042 and fails to reclaim it, the ABC structure becomes weaker and the market may need to form another base before recovery can continue. ▸ Trading scenario Preferred scenario: wait for gold to hold above the 4,042 buy zone and continue building the ABC recovery. Entry zone: 4,042–4,060 if bullish confirmation appears Stop loss: below the confirmed reaction low or below 4,020 Take profit 1: 4,095–4,100 Take profit 2: 4,125 Take profit 3: 4,213 if wave C expands strongly Alternative scenario: if gold breaks below 4,042 with clear bearish pressure, the weekly ABC recovery loses quality and price may return to the lower accumulation area before building a new structure. ⌁ Kelly’s view For Kelly, this is a recovery setup, but still not a full trend reversal. Gold is trying to build an ABC structure from the lower zone, and the buy area around 4,042 is the key support to protect. If buyers continue defending this area, the next weekly move may target 4,125 first, then 4,213 if momentum improves. Gold is recovering from the lower base. The ABC structure remains active while the buy zone holds. Share your view below.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Kelly_Koou_Gold
17
DAX Index 1H: Strong Bearish Order Flow in London Session DrivesDAX Index 1H: Strong Bearish Order Flow in London Session Drives Price Toward 24,560 and 24,400 Confluence Targets ### 🇪🇺 DAX Index 1H Intraday Technical Structure (Ref: DAX_2026-06-24_08-53-03.png) We are deploying a high-priority intraday update on the DAX Index ( XETR:DAX - XETR) on the 1-Hour (1H) timeframe. A dominant wave of selling pressure has seized absolute control over the current London session, invalidating near-term accumulation patterns and opening up immediate downside liquidity expansion windows. The index has aggressively decoupled from the highs, trading down **-1.05% at 24,673.71** following a clean dynamic breakdown. --- ### 🔍 Technical Breakdown & Structural Shift: 1. **Moving Average Trapping Liquidated:** Sellers have successfully driven a massive, high-volume expansion bar straight through the **72-period SMA (orange line at 24,921.29)** and the institutional **200-period EMA (purple line at 24,803.14)**. This double breakdown decisively shifts the intraday market sentiment into absolute seller dominance. 2. **Fibonacci Matrix Activation:** The immediate cascade has sliced underneath the 0.50 Fibonacci retracement floor (24,642.32), paving the way towards deeper structural levels. --- ### 🎯 Intraday Downside Milestones & Targets: Backed by mathematical projections and key volume profiles, we have established two clear sequential downside checkpoints for the session: * **Milestone 1 – The 24,560 Zone (0.618 Fibonacci Level):** Our initial deceleration target is mapped right at the golden ratio **0.618 Fibonacci retracement line sitting at 24,555.74**. Expect minor technical profit-taking or local consolidation to develop as algorithms rebalance positions here. * **Milestone 2 – The 24,400 Cluster (Major Structural Support Floor):** Should macro momentum sustain its current velocity through London, the primary terminal target for this intraday leg rests within the **24,431.56 – 24,400** price block (highlighted by our upper green circle). This sector represents a critical historical horizontal support baseline where substantial institutional buying defense is likely to materialize. ### Tactical Outlook & Risk Control: The directional bias for the remainder of the session remains heavily bearish. Counter-trend long attempts inside this aggressive cascade carry highly unfavorable probabilities. Momentum traders will target a systematic extension toward the **24,560** and **24,400** nodes, anchoring defensive risk control tight above the broken 200 EMA structure. --- 📊 **ChartPro Data** *European Indices Architecture, London Session Order Flow & Quantitative Support Sourcing.* ⚠️ **Disclaimer:** For educational and informational purposes only. This intraday study represents a personal trading framework and does not constitute financial or investment advice.
XETR:DAXShort
by ChartPro_Data
AMOC - EGX : Fibonacci targets calculations## Structural Base Inputs From the visual architecture of your macro weekly chart, we identify a highly explosive Wave 1 (or Wave A) impulse that broke out from the long-term descending resistance trendline (R), followed by a clean, shallow pullback back to historical key structural support: • Wave 1 (Start / Major Swing Low): A = 6.70(the absolute floor established before the massive breakout spike) • Wave 1 (Peak / Dynamic High): B = 9.90 • Wave 1 Amplitude: 9.90 - 6.70 = 3.20 • Wave 2 (Current Retest Floor): C = 7.68 - 7.71 zone. We will use the conservative current support line of 7.71 for these base calculations. ## Fibonacci Extension Projections (Wave 3 / C Targets) By extending the total vertical amplitude of that initial major breakout ( 3.20 ) from the current defensive floor ( C = 7.71 ), we outline the mid-to-long term structural targets for the next major leg upward: __ 1. Minor Target (61.8% Extension) • Formula: C + (0.618 x Wave 1 Amplitude ) • Calculation: 7.71 + (0.618 x 3.20) = 7.71 + 1.98 • Target Level: 9.69 • Significance: This level forms an immediate cluster right below the psychological 9.90 peak. It serves as a conservative target where partial profits can be taken or trailing stops tightened. __ 2. Standard / Primary Target (100% Extension — Equal Waves) • Formula: C + (1.000 x Wave 1 Amplitude ) • Calculation: 7.71 + (1.000 x 3.20) = 7.71 + 3.20 • Target Level: 10.91 • Significance: This is the textbook baseline goal for an intermediate Wave 3 or clear structural Wave C. It represents a full, symmetrical mirroring of the first explosive leg and opens the path back into the double-digit territory. __ 3. Extended / Major Impulse Target (161.8% Golden Extension) • Formula: C + (1.618 x Wave 1 Amplitude ) • Calculation: 7.71 + (1.618 x 3.20) = 7.71 + 5.18 • Target Level: 12.89 • Significance: The golden macro target. If the broader market index supporting the EGX gains structural momentum, an extended third wave typically clears the 100% boundary to tap the 12.50 – 12.90 liquidity block. ## Technical Synthesis & Validation Triggers • The Floor : The weekly chart beautifully emphasizes how the 7.68 – 7.71 horizontal shelf is serving as a solid "Launchpad". It acts as the definitive line in the sand; as long as the weekly closes hold above 7.60 , this bullish structural count remains highly valid. • Momentum Clues : The weekly MACD remains in positive territory (the blue line is well above zero at 0.154), showing that the higher-timeframe bullish trend remains dominant despite the recent temporary daily drift.
EGX:AMOCLong
by snour
China H Shares ($CHINAHHKD) Update: Approaching 100% Fib China H Shares ( OANDA:CHINAHHKD ) Update: Approaching 100% Fib & Macro LTB – RSI Oversold Triggers Imminent +6% Bounce Fractally ### 🇨🇳 China H Shares Index ( OANDA:CHINAHHKD ) Daily Technical Update (Ref: CHINAHHKD_2026-06-19_08-59-57.png) We are releasing a high-priority structural update on the China H Shares Index ( OANDA:CHINAHHKD - OANDA) on the Daily (1D) timeframe. Our previous bearish targets are on the verge of full completion as the index flushes into a major multi-layered institutional demand cluster. The index is currently trading down heavily at **7,949.3 (-1.85%)**, rapidly accelerating into our primary exhaustion zone. --- ### 🔍 The Convergence Zone: 100% Fibonacci & Descending LTB The immediate price action is diving straight into a high-probability technical reversal nest (highlighted by the lower green circle): 1. **Quantitative Target:** The **1.0 Fibonacci expansion node sits exactly at 7,849.1**, acting as a mathematical terminal point for this downward leg. 2. **Dynamic Support Line (LTB):** This level perfectly intersects with the lower parallel boundary of the primary descending macro channel (the lower red diagonal LTB). 3. **Institutional Trend Filter:** The broader trend remains lower underneath the flat **200-period EMA (purple line at 8,727.0)**, which defines this upcoming setup strictly as a tactical mean-reversion counter-trend play. --- ### 📊 RSI Oversold Analogy: The March 2026 Fractal The momentum metrics are flashing an intense exhaustion signal that cannot be ignored by swing traders: * **The RSI Metric:** The **14-period RSI has plummeted to 28.73**, driving deep into extreme **Oversold territory** (lower green circle). * **The Historical Analogy:** We point out an explicit structural fractal from **March 2026** (noted on the chart). The last time the daily RSI swept into this exact oversold depth, it triggered an aggressive institutional volume absorption. That specific footprint generated a sharp, rapid counter-trend recovery of **+6.37% (+534.4 points) within just 13 trading sessions**. ### Tactical Outlook & Execution Strategy: The matrix is heavily overextended to the downside. Chasing shorts at the current print carries a highly unfavourable risk/reward profile. Instead, we are shifts our bias to **Alert/Watch** for a sharp technical bounce. We are actively scanning lower timeframes for immediate volume reversal signals, long-wick candle rejections, or initial accumulation bars inside the **7,900 – 7,849** node. A defensive long position with a concise structural stop below the 1.0 Fib line offers a highly asymmetric risk profile targeting a mathematical mean-reversion bounce back toward local resistance. --- 📊 **ChartPro Data** | By Rogerio Zaglia *Asian Indices Architecture, Fractal Momentum Studies & Systematic Cluster Sourcing.* ⚠️ **Disclaimer:** For educational and informational purposes only. This active market study represents a personal trading framework and does not constitute financial or investment advice.
OANDA:CHINAHHKD
by ChartPro_Data
XAUUSD | Reclaim or BleedXAUUSD | Gold Followed the Kill Map — Now the Reclaim Failure Decides the Next Leg Gold did not fall by accident. Gold followed the map. Yesterday’s structure was already there: Reload zone above price. Descending Fibonacci in control. Repair levels defined. Downside targets layered. No emotional guessing needed. Asia opened, and gold gave the answer. It failed to reclaim. It failed to repair. It failed to hold above the recovery gates. Then price started walking the Fibonacci ladder lower, one level at a time. This was not a random sell-off. This was an auction accepting lower value. The candle came after the map. The map came before the candle. That is the difference. ⸻ The 4253 Reload Was the Trapdoor The reload area around 4253 / 4258 was the decision zone. If gold had reclaimed it and held, the bearish map would have needed adjustment. It did not. Price rejected the reload. The repair failed. Sellers kept control. From there, the move was no longer about prediction. It became execution and management. If you were short from that reload zone, the market already paid. Protect the result. Do not let a clean winning trade turn into an argument with London liquidity. If you missed the short, do not punish yourself by selling the bottom. Wait for the next failed repair. Late selling at the low is not discipline. It is emotional revenge trading. ⸻ The Reclaim Failure Zone The first battlefield now is: 4218 / 4213 That is the immediate reclaim zone. Below it, the bearish pressure remains active. If gold bounces into 4218 / 4213 and fails, that bounce is not strength. It is a failed repair. A failed repair after a clean downside leg often becomes the cleanest continuation trigger. The next damage level is: 4201 If gold accepts below 4201, the market is no longer just correcting lower. It starts expanding the downside auction. That is where the continuation ladder becomes active. ⸻ Continuation Ladder If Gold Fails to Reclaim If gold cannot reclaim 4218 / 4213, and especially if it accepts below 4201, I am watching the downside ladder like this: 4199 / 4194 First completion zone. If sellers are still strong, this is where partial profit protection becomes important. 4178 / 4174 Next pressure shelf. A clean break below 4194 opens this zone. 4150 Deeper reset level. If gold trades here without reclaiming, the market is confirming that the bounce failed completely. 4108 Heavy lower extension. This is no longer a small intraday move; this becomes deeper auction damage. 4023 Major lower shelf. Not a prediction. Not a target to chase blindly. A structural level that becomes relevant only if the market keeps accepting lower and fails every repair attempt above. The rule is simple: No reclaim above 4218 / 4213. Acceptance below 4201. Continuation ladder activates. That is the map. ⸻ London’s Job Is to Expose the Weak Hands London does not need to start a new trend. London only needs to test the previous damage. A fast green candle into London does not mean reversal. A wick is not control. A bounce is not value migration. A rally into 4223 / 4229 / 4241 is only useful if it holds. If it fails, it becomes seller territory again. That is where late buyers get trapped. That is where disciplined sellers wait. The first bounce is not the opportunity. The first bounce is the interrogation. If gold cannot answer above the reclaim zone, the downside ladder stays alive. ⸻ Repair Ladder Above Price If gold reacts higher, the upside repair ladder is: 4223 4229 4241 4253 / 4258 4223 is the first reaction test. 4229 is the stronger repair check. 4241 is the key recovery gate. 4253 / 4258 is the reload retest. Below 4241, the bounce is still only corrective. Above 4241, near-term bearish pressure starts to weaken. Back into 4253 / 4258, the real test returns. If gold reaches that zone and fails again, that would be a second reload failure. That is not bullish. That is a potential premium short location. ⸻ Trading Action For traders already short from higher levels: Do not get hypnotised by profit. Secure part of the move. Move from prediction mode to protection mode. Let only the managed portion face London. A winning trade should be defended before it has to be rescued. For traders who missed the move: Do not sell the low because the chart looks exciting. Let the market bounce. Let it test 4223 / 4229 / 4241. If it fails there, you have structure. If it accepts above, you have information. Both are better than chasing. For traders looking for a long: Do not buy because price looks cheap. Cheap under broken value can become cheaper. A real long needs reclaim, hold, and retest. Without that, it is only bottom-fishing inside a bearish auction. ⸻ My Live Map Bear pressure remains active below: 4218 / 4213 Damage expands below: 4201 Continuation ladder: 4199 / 4194 4178 / 4174 4150 4108 4023 Reaction ladder above: 4223 4229 4241 4253 / 4258 Below 4218 / 4213, sellers still have control. Below 4201, continuation risk increases. Above 4229, gold starts to breathe. Above 4241, the immediate bearish pressure begins to soften. Back at 4253 / 4258, the reload retest decides whether the repair is real or just another trap. ⸻ Final Read Gold respected the map. The reload failed. The Fibonacci ladder delivered. The downside targets activated. Now the next move depends on reclaim failure. If gold fails below 4218 / 4213 and accepts under 4201, the continuation ladder opens: 4199 / 4194 4178 / 4174 4150 4108 4023 If gold reclaims 4223, then 4229, then 4241, the market starts repairing. Until then, the bounce is guilty until proven innocent. No chase. No blind long. No late short without failed repair. Protect the profit. Wait for acceptance. Trade the map, not the adrenaline. Educational only. Not financial advice. Not investment advice. Not a buy or sell recommendation. Execution, risk, and position sizing remain the responsibility of each trader. #XAUUSD #Gold #XAUMO #YallaXAUMO #LondonSession #GoldTrading #VolumeProfile #MarketProfile #AuctionMarket #VSA #PriceAction #TradingView #RiskManagement
FX:XAUUSD
by XAUMOE
XAUUSD - 4H Outlook: Retracement Before the Next MoveXAUUSD has shown a strong bullish reaction after sweeping liquidity below the recent lows near 4,050, indicating that sell-side liquidity has likely been collected. The impulsive rally from the low suggests buyers are becoming active, but price is now approaching a key Fair Value Gap (FVG) around 4,340–4,360, where selling pressure may emerge. The preferred scenario is for price to extend slightly higher into the FVG and complete the current corrective rally. A rejection from this area would signal that the retracement is losing momentum and could trigger a pullback toward the bullish order block around 4,210–4,230. That blue zone becomes the key area to monitor. If price retraces into the order block after rejecting from the FVG and holds above the recent liquidity low, it would provide a stronger foundation for buyers to re-enter the market. Such a move would effectively create a higher low structure and support the possibility of a larger bullish continuation. In the short term, the market may still push higher toward the FVG, but traders should be aware of potential rejection signals there. The main focus remains on how price reacts after the pullback, with the 4,210–4,230 demand area acting as the most important zone for bullish continuation.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by wavenacci
4
XLM — ABC Delivered, WCLs Now in PlayPrice has reached the bearish ABC C target on the 4H. That’s a fact, not a forecast. What happens next is not guaranteed . Often after a sequence delivers, price looks for relief and retracement toward nearby liquidity — and in this case, the unreached WCL zones above are the obvious magnets. But let’s be clear: ABC delivery ≠ trend reversal Price can accept the C target and continue lower Or it can retrace toward WCLs before the next decision point Both outcomes are valid until price accepts or rejects . So the framework is simple: If price retraces into WCL and rejects → bearish continuation remains intact If price accepts above WCL → bias shifts and the structure changes No assumptions. No calling bottoms. Just reacting to where price shows acceptance.
OKX:XLMUSDTLong
by SmellyTaz
XAUUSD: Wave 5 Recovery Meets the Sell Zone Gold is pausing after a strong three-day recovery, and price is now reacting around the 4,319–4,330 sell wave C zone. From Kelly’s view, the current structure suggests that the latest upside move may be entering the final part of wave 5, where the market needs confirmation before any further continuation. The key idea is simple: gold has recovered strongly, but price is now testing a sensitive resistance area while macro uncertainty is rising again. ⟡ Market structure Gold pushed higher after defending the lower base near 4,026–4,053, then built a clean bullish sequence towards the current resistance area. The recovery has been strong, but price is now slowing under the sell wave C zone, which makes this area important for the next directional decision. The chart also shows Fibonacci reaction zones below price. If gold fails to hold above the current resistance, the market may correct back towards the 0.618 Fibonacci area near 4,243, then the 0.5 liquidity zone around 4,202. ➤ Key levels ◌ 4,319–4,330: sell wave C zone and current resistance ◌ 4,243: 0.618 Fibonacci buy scalping zone ◌ 4,202: 0.5 Fibonacci buy liquidity zone ◌ 4,109–4,120: lower target and deeper support ◌ Above 4,330: area where the sell wave C setup weakens ⌁ Elliott Wave view From an Elliott Wave perspective, gold appears to be completing a short-term wave 5 recovery after the previous bullish structure developed from the lower zone. Wave 1 started from the 4,026 area. Wave 2 corrected into the lower base. Wave 3 expanded strongly towards the upper range. Wave 4 held above liquidity support. Wave 5 is now testing the sell wave C resistance area. If wave 5 finishes around the current zone and price prints bearish confirmation, gold may start an A-B-C corrective pullback towards 4,243 first, then 4,202 if selling pressure expands. ▸ Fundamental backdrop Gold is pausing as traders become more cautious after the earlier optimism around the temporary US-Iran peace agreement and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz started to fade. At the same time, the market is watching the upcoming Fed decision closely. If the US Dollar continues trying to fill Monday’s bearish gap, gold may struggle to extend higher in the short term. Geopolitical risk is still present, especially with tension around Israel and Lebanon, but the market is not treating the peace narrative as fully secure yet. That keeps volatility elevated and makes confirmation more important than chasing price. ▸ Trading scenario Preferred scenario: wait for reaction around the 4,319–4,330 sell wave C zone. Sell reaction zone: 4,319–4,330 if bearish confirmation appears Stop loss: above the confirmed wave 5 high Take profit 1: 4,243 Take profit 2: 4,202 Take profit 3: 4,109–4,120 Alternative scenario: if gold breaks above 4,330 and holds with strong acceptance, the wave 5 sell setup loses quality, and price may continue extending before forming a new structure. ⌁ Kelly’s view For Kelly, this is not a clean place to chase the upside. The recovery has already travelled far, and price is now testing a zone where wave 5 may be close to completion. The better approach is to watch how gold reacts around 4,319–4,330. If rejection appears, the market may shift from recovery into correction. Gold is still holding its rebound. But structurally, wave 5 may be approaching the point where sellers start testing control again. Share your view below.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Kelly_Koou_Gold
11
Palantir ($PLTR): Testing Major Support FloorPalantir ( NASDAQ:PLTR ): Testing Major Support Floor – High-Probability Mean Reversion vs. Breakdown Matrix ### 💻 Palantir Technologies ( NASDAQ:PLTR ) Daily Technical Framework (Ref: PLTR_2026-06-15_08-57-30.png) We are tracking a pivotal market structure inflection point on Palantir Technologies ( NASDAQ:PLTR - NASDAQ) as price action descends directly into a major multi-month institutional support floor. The current daily session is trading down **-2.36% at 127.99**, aggressively testing the solid red horizontal baseline at **126.29**, which precisely aligns with our local **0 Fibonacci retracement layer at 126.65**. As we approach this key technical junction, we have structured two highly defined execution playbooks based on systematic price confirmation: --- ### 📈 Playbook A: Structural Mean-Reversion (The Higher Probability Vector) * **The Trigger:** We are closely monitoring the daily candle close. If buyers defend this floor, printing a strong bullish rejection candlestick signature prior to any breakdown, a tactical long setup is triggered. * **The Technical Target Zone:** The resulting upward squeeze (indicated by the solid blue vector) targets a highly confluent dynamic magnet zone between **$142.00 and $146.00**. * **Confluence Metrics:** This premium target area is bound by the **0.5 Fibonacci level (145.01)**, the descending **72-period EMA (red line at 142.95)**, and the long-term institutional baseline—the **200-period EMA (blue line at 146.68)**. ### 📉 Playbook B: Sustained Support Breakdown (The Continuation Short) * **The Trigger:** If selling pressure forces a clean, decisive daily breakdown below the **126.29** horizontal floor over the coming sessions, the local bullish thesis is entirely invalidated. * **The Execution Protocol:** To prevent chasing late distribution liquidity, we will remain patient. We will wait for a structural pullback back up to the broken baseline—confirming the old support has officially flipped into overhead supply resistance—before executing a short entry. * **The Target:** A verified rejection on the retest opens the path down toward the next historical demand layer at the horizontal line of **122.35**. ### Tactical Summary: While a breakdown is entirely possible, the current momentum profile and structural location suggest that an overextended mean-reversion pop back toward the EMA cluster represents the path of least resistance. We will let the daily print finalize today to validate our initial trigger. --- 📊 **ChartPro Data** | By Rogerio Zaglia *Systematic Equity Research, Market Geometry & Quantitative Risk Management.* ⚠️ **Disclaimer:** For educational and informational purposes only. This technical analysis represents a personal trading framework and does not constitute financial or investment advice.
NASDAQ:PLTR
by ChartPro_Data
XAUUSD Buy Scenario: Liquidity Sweep CompletedXAUUSD has shown signs of completing its bearish five-wave decline after sweeping liquidity below the recent lows and producing a strong bullish reaction. The sharp rejection from the low suggests that sellers may be losing momentum, while buyers begin to step into the market. From an Elliott Wave perspective, the recent low is a potential Wave 5 completion point, increasing the probability of a corrective recovery. The current bullish displacement indicates that the market may be transitioning from a bearish impulse into a retracement phase. The preferred buy scenario is to wait for a pullback into the 4,088-4,111 buy zone, where liquidity and market structure align. A retracement into this area would allow the market to rebalance before potentially continuing higher. As long as buyers defend this zone, the recent liquidity sweep is likely to remain the short-term low. While the higher timeframe favors a corrective recovery, traders on lower timeframes may still find short-term sell opportunities. Any rally into nearby liquidity pools, premium areas, or intraday resistance levels could attract temporary selling pressure before the broader retracement resumes. These sell setups should be viewed as short-term countertrend trades within a larger corrective bullish phase. Overall, the main focus remains on the 4,088-4,111 buy zone. If buyers continue to defend this area, the recent liquidity sweep could mark the completion of Wave 5 and support a broader move toward higher liquidity targets, while lower timeframes may offer tactical sell opportunities during corrective rallies.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by wavenacci
XAUUSD | From Lost Value to Reclaim Test#XAUUSD | From Lost Value to Reclaim Test: Is Gold Building a New Higher Value Area? In markets, not every rally is a reversal, and not every sell-off is a breakdown. The real difference between chasing price and reading the auction is the ability to answer one critical question: Is the market simply moving, or is it building value? That is the core of the current gold structure. In the Wednesday, June 10 analysis, the main framework was that gold remained under distribution pressure, and that any repair attempt before real acceptance should be treated with caution. In the Thursday, June 11 analysis, the message became even clearer: Gold had lost upper value, failed to reclaim it, and started searching for lower acceptance. The read was not based on one candle or one emotional move. It was based on a clear auction sequence: Lost value Failed repair Lower acceptance Value migration Test of lower liquidity pockets That is exactly what developed in the latest move. Gold traded down into the lower pressure zones, then produced a strong bounce from the lower pockets around 4087 / 4083, quickly retesting higher levels. But this is where precision matters. A strong bounce does not automatically mean the trend has changed. A bounce is movement. Acceptance is the market’s decision. And gold is now standing at a very important test area. ## Key Level Now: 4213.74 The current Fibonacci structure places 4213.74 as the main decision zone. This is not just another number on the chart. It is the test between two scenarios: First: The bounce develops into higher acceptance, and gold begins building a new value area above it. Second: This area becomes only a reload zone after the rally, and then turns into fresh distribution if price fails to hold above it. So the judgement here is not based on a simple touch. The judgement comes from acceptance, hold, and successful retest. ## Potential Upside Map If gold can maintain acceptance above: 4213.74 then the market starts opening higher gates step by step. The first level is: 4228.60 This is the first real test of the bounce strength. Above that, the repair becomes more serious, and the next focus shifts toward: 4241.89 This is the TP2 area and a wider repair gate. If the market accepts above 4241.89, the structure improves toward: 4255.40 4270.04 Then comes the most important level: 4280.01 This is not just resistance. This is a reclaim zone. There is a major difference between a bounce and a reclaim. A bounce can happen because of short covering, positioning adjustment, or a temporary impulse. A reclaim needs acceptance, volume, holding structure, and a successful retest. Above 4280.01, the map starts opening toward: 4298.19 And, if momentum extends clearly: 4326.33 But these should not be treated as a straight-line path. Each level is a separate auction gate, and the market must prove itself at every gate. ## Failure Map If gold fails to hold above 4213.74 and starts rotating back below: 4205.86 that becomes the first warning sign. Below that, the market may test: 4185.60 Then comes the more important level: 4173.00 The 4173 area is no longer just a minor level. It is now a defense gate. Failure below 4173 would suggest that the previous rally was a failed repair, not the beginning of a real reclaim. Below 4173, the lower map gradually comes back into play: 4108.00 4087.50 4083.00 Acceptance below those pockets would reopen deeper downside pressure scenarios. ## Institutional Read Gold is not currently behaving like a market that has completed a full bullish reversal. It is also not behaving like a market that wants to collapse immediately. It is behaving like a market that has moved away from a strong lower-pressure phase and is now testing one question: Can it build higher value, or is this only a repair rally after the decline? This type of structure should not be read emotionally. We do not buy simply because the candle is green. We do not sell simply because price has rallied fast. We read acceptance. We read failure. We read where the market is building value and where it is rejecting it. ## Decision Map Above 4213.74: The market is attempting to build higher acceptance. Above 4228.60: The repair improves. Above 4241.89: The upside map becomes more constructive. Above 4280.01: The reclaim begins to carry real structural weight. Above 4298.19: Extension toward 4326.33 becomes a valid scenario. On the other side: Below 4205.86: First weakness. Below 4185.60: Momentum failure. Below 4173.00: Failed repair. Below 4108.00: Pressure returns. Below 4087.50 / 4083.00: Lower downside risk returns. ## Conclusion The Wednesday, June 10 analysis described a market still under distribution pressure, requiring acceptance before confidence. The Thursday, June 11 analysis confirmed that gold had lost upper value and was testing where lower acceptance could develop. Now, after the downside move completed and the bounce developed, the market has moved into a new phase: Will 4213.74 become a new acceptance base? Or will it become a distribution zone after a fast relief rally? That is the current battle in gold. The rule for this phase is simple: Do not chase the low. Do not chase the high. Do not trust the first impulse. Do not treat every bounce as a reversal. Wait for acceptance. Because the first move can be noise. Acceptance is the truth. This analysis is educational and based on: Auction Market Theory Volume Profile Fibonacci Expansion Value Migration Acceptance / Rejection Logic This is not financial advice and not a trade recommendation. #XAUUSD #Gold #TradingView #VolumeProfile #MarketProfile #AuctionMarketTheory #PriceAction #Fibonacci #XAUMO
FX:XAUUSD
by XAUMOE
Gol 2H Roadmap:Shorting the 4120 Pullback |Targe:4000 Macro Lows1. Advanced Bearish Footprints (SMT Added) The chart adds a critical piece of institutional evidence explaining why this drop is so violent: SMT (Smart Money Technique): Right after the early June ChoCh and the major "Turned Around" pivot (marked by the first red arrow), the chart identifies an SMT Divergence. This indicates a failure in correlated assets to confirm a high, signaling heavy institutional distribution and warning that a catastrophic decline was coming. Successive Breaches: The algorithmic markdown easily shredded through the 2HR ORDER BLOCK and a lower 4HR FVG, which have both now turned into premium resistance zones. 2. The Inverted Floor: 4HR FVG 4120 to 26 The Broken Level: The area that held prior structural significance has been refined to a 4HR FVG between 4,120 and 4,126. Inversion Retest: Price has sliced directly below this pocket. The black forecast line shows an immediate, minor intraday pullback (green arrow) intended to retest the underside of this 4,120–4,126 FVG as a strict ceiling. 3. Current State & The Final Markdown Target Current State: The live price is printing at 4,086.28 (with 1 hour, 32 minutes, and 7 seconds remaining on the 2-hour candle), indicating that Gold has broken below the psychological $4,100 barrier. The Capitulation Target: The black zig-zag pathway projects a rejection from the 4,120 retest zone, leading to a deeper expansion lower. The path targets a final, major liquidity flush down into the $3,900 – $4,000 macro pocket around June 17th.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Prime_X_Trader