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GOLD → False break of range support led to a reboundFX:XAUUSD reaches the liquidity zone of 2370, forming a false breakdown, confirms the presence of a strong range boundary. The market may move into a sideways trend. Fundamentally, the situation is still complicated. The U.S. regulators are trying to change the market's mind on the recession issue, trying to keep the market calm. The question of aggressive actions of regulators is still open. At the moment everyone is watching the actions in the Middle East, as the activity on the background of the war already unleashed can again affect the price of gold. Markets continue to estimate almost 90% probability of a 50 basis points cut in US interest rates in September. Let me remind you that it is not the fact of reduction that matters, but the hints and comments of regulators. At this time, gold is forming a global range of 2480 - 2370. Resistance levels: 2420 Support levels: 2400 Technically, gold may go into a consolidation phase, but in the future it is worth watching the resistance at 2420. As a pre-breakout consolidation or a quick retest may lead to a breakout attempt and growth Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★GOLD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
5
GOLD → A retest of trend support. ISM PMI ahead...FX:XAUUSD is moving into the correction phase amid unstable fundamental environment. The price of the metal is declining towards the rather important zone of 2420, which has shown itself more than once. Fundamentally, the market is in fear because of possible recession, which may become a motivation for the Fed to take hasty actions and more aggressive easing of monetary policy Rumors are emerging about a possible emergency FED meeting in the near future. Not to forget gold as a hedge asset, which continues to feel supported in volatile times. Speculators are cautious and refrain from premature actions ahead of the ISM services PMI data and the tense situation in the Middle East. Support levels: 2419,6, 2403, 2382 Resistance levels: 2451, 2474 Technically, gold is at a strong support at 2419 and judging by the reaction of the price to the level, the buyers are acting quite aggressively, trying to hold the market. Against this background, the price may strengthen to the nearest resistance 2430, 2445, 2450, but if the price starts to return to 2419, forming a quick retest, it will increase the chances of a possible breakdown of the bullish channel and further decline to the zone of interest and liquidity. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★GOLD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSD
by RLinda
17
GBPUSD → Support retest amid falling dollarFX:GBPUSD is testing trend support for a breakout, but the situation is complicated by the difficult economic state of the Dollar... GBPUSD is going flat. Technically, GBPUSD could have a chic bullish outlook, provided buyers hold 1.27 support. Fundamentally, things are quite complicated, but more positive for the currency pair's growth: there is a high chance of recession in the US due to last week's unexpected data, indicating a very rapid slowdown in the economy. Rumors of the possibility of an emergency interest rate cut by the US Fed are forming. Also, in UK: Composite PMI +0.5%, Services PMI +0.4%). Technically: it is worth paying attention to the flat 1.28000 - 1.27000. If the bulls hold the lower boundary and bring prices back beyond 1.28 with further consolidation, we should expect a positive outcome and a northward course. Resistance levels: 1.2818, 1.2894 Support levels: 1.2707, 1.2615 Emphasis on this range, the flat boundaries play a key role for the medium-term perspective Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★GBPUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
7
GOLD → Ahead of NFP. Shall we get to 2500?FX:XAUUSD is making new highs and approaching a strong resistance zone from which a small correction may follow before a further rise. NFP is ahead, which may set a short-term backdrop The dollar is in a sideways range ahead of the news, which generally indicates a neutral mood among traders. Strong news can either renew the dollar's decline, which will be favorable for gold, or have the opposite reaction, so it is necessary to look at the actual data. Technically, the gold is approaching the ATH and there is a high probability that the price will not only test the high, but also update it. In general, the fundamental and technical background is positive this week and I think that in the short and medium term we should wait for the continuation of growth. Resistance levels: 2368, 2475, 2483 Support levels: 2451, 2440, 2430 Gold reduces volatility before the news as speculators go into wait-and-see mode. High volatility is expected, on this background the price may test the support before further growth. But if the resistance of 2483-2475 is broken at once, the price may go to 2500-2550. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★GOLD ; Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
20
GOLD → Correction before the bullrun. Target 2500?FX:XAUUSD is strengthening and testing 2450. The price rise was influenced by Powell's comments on progressive deflation and a possible rate cut in September, as well as another conflict in the Middle East.... The Fed left the rate unchanged for the 8th time at 5.5%. The rate has remained unchanged since the summer of 2023 and is the highest in 20 years. There was considerable discussion of a rate cut at this meeting. A rate cut may be considered in September. In addition, the intensification of the conflict in the Middle East may turn into a full-fledged war, which generally increases the interest in gold. Today is also a busy news day. Initial Jobless Claims, SP PMI, ISM are ahead. The data also plays an important role in shaping the medium-term strategy, so it is important to evaluate the actual results. Resistance levels: 2437, 2450 Support levels: 2430, 2421 After a false breakdown of resistance, a correction is forming. Gold is bullish at the moment (trend, sentiment and interest), so the nearest strong support may become a reversal zone for further strengthening. The potential target is 2451 - 2474. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★GOLD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
5
STORJ / USDT → Wedge breakout with trend change target BINANCE:STORJUSDT shows positive dynamics to the change of trend and the beginning of bullrun. The coin is moving to the phase of implementation of a pattern that can change the direction of the market. Bitcoin sets the general trend of the cryptvault market. The general fundamental background, which is formed around BTC and ETH sets positive prospects for other altcoins, which can still surprise us. Technically, STORJ is coming out of consolidation and is essentially entering the distribution phase. A false break of the key resistance is formed, which can be broken after the next retest. High probability of a small correction before a subsequent attempt to break through this zone and enter a new range of 0.500 - 0.900. Resistance levels: 0.4882, 0.6034 Support levels: 0.5 Fibo, 0.3530 The task of the bulls is to keep the defense above the key support, if it succeeds, the next target will be the breakout of resistance and bullrun. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
1
XRP → The moment before “to the moon” ↑BINANCE:XRPUSDT is the strongest of the market. As ETH & BTC fall, ripple is holding quite positively as traders are starting to believe in growth amid rumors... Ripple CEO recently said that he expects a legal resolution to the situation between the SEC and Ripple “very soon” Many are speculating that the SEC's closed-door meeting to finalize the case against Ripple could take place today - July 25. Against this backdrop: Trading volumes are rising, price is hitting local highs, whales are accumulating XRP Technically, it is worth paying attention to the 0.6378 - 0.5712 range. If breaking the resistance fails, the price may test liquidity below the support before subsequent growth. Resistance levels: 0.6378, 0.7440 Support levels: 0.5712, 0.5100 If the trial finds its denouement, it will give a second life to the coin. A break of the range resistance - 0.6378 will open a new path.... Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:XRPUSDT ;) Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
25
GOLD → There's a chance at the Bullrun. PCE ahead...FX:XAUUSD is testing local channel support and forming a rebound from the liquidity zone. Traders are waiting for PCE data. Favorable inflation data may provide strong support for gold. Traders are waiting for the PCE, any hints of lower inflation may be viewed quite positively, which will generally increase the chance of interest rate cut in September. As we know, low interest rates make gold more attractive. Technically, if we pay attention to the D1 chart, gold is testing a conglomeration of strong support: False break of MA-200 + trendline support, as well as bounce from 2350-2355 support level, which means the approximate area of intermediate bottom of the ranyke and forms a global range of 2485 - 2350. But, the fight for 2350 is not over yet. Resistance levels: 2377, 2392 Support levels: 2370, 2350 Let me remind you that news is unpredictable. Favorable data will influence the possible bull run, but unpredictable ones may provoke sales and price decline to 2350. But, at the moment of analysis, technical and fundamental nuances point to a bull market, there is a chance of growth to 2400-2430. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★GOLD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
13
GOLD → Profit taking led to the rally. But it's not all bad... GOLD after the retest of 2430 fell under the selloff, there is no pressure on the price of metal, but the reason may be profit taking amid the selloff in stocks and in anticipation of economic data from the United States. Traders are waiting for US GDP and Initial Jobless CLaims, which will be released at 12:30 GMT. The data may have a medium-term impact on the market, but the whole focus is on PCE, which will be released on Friday. Investors expect the Fed to deliver its long-awaited rate cut in September. In a low interest rate environment, gold's appeal increases. If the data on Friday shows that inflation is slowing down, it will be a good sign for gold. Technically, a correction is forming, with emphasis on 2370, or 2350. Strong support areas that can keep the market from falling. Resistance levels: 2377, 2392 Support levels: 2370, 2355, 2350 The price stops in the zone of 2370-2377 in general it can give some prerequisites for a rebound. If gold can consolidate above 2377, the price may move into the recovery phase, if not, traders may test the liquidity in 2355-2350 before further growth. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★GOLD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
8
GOLD → False breakdown before the bullrun... ↑ FX:XAUUSD reacts perfectly to the 2390-2400 area, forming a false breakdown with subsequent growth to 2420, but I am now confused by the extremely low volatility.... The calm before the storm.... Gold is bullish on D1, while the dollar index is showing signs that the price may continue its decline in the medium term. Today at 13:45 GMT it is worth paying attention to the S&P PMI at 13:45 GMT and Hew Home Sales at 14:00. The data may revitalize the market, but we need to look at the actual numbers. Technically, gold has a bullish market on H1, but right now I am extremely confused by the very low volatility, which often leads to momentum to one side or the other. Based on the overall situation there is a chance to see a continuation of growth if the bulls hold their defenses above 2400-2405. Resistance levels: 2420, 2430, 2450 Support levels: 2405, 2400, 2392 The price is gradually updating the highs, forming clear support zones. A possible retest of the liquidity area before the subsequent bullrun to 2430-2450. It is not excluded that the price can break the structure and give a strong impulse down to 2370, but at the moment of market analysis there are no preconditions for it Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★GOLD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
19
EURUSD → Change of mood after a false breakout. $ is rising FX:EURUSD on D1 is trading in a strong and neutral sideways movement. SMAs just lay on the horizontal plane, but on H4-H1 a change of market character is forming on the background of growth of the dollar index Overall, the global neutral trend allows trading without much emphasis on the trend as there is none. The price is moving between the range boundaries, which simplifies the technical analysis. On H4 the market is changing its mood on the background of the dollar index growth, which in general can lead to the retest of the support zones and the liquidity located behind them. At the moment the focus is on the lower boundary of the range 1.08-1.082. A retest is possible in the near term, and the liquidity behind the zone could influence a bullish correction before a subsequent drop. Resistance levels: 1.085 Support levels: 1.0816, 1.08, 1.078 S&P PMI and New Home Sales are published today, it is worth paying attention to the news, as positive news for the US may strengthen the fall of the currency pair, while unpredictable news may affect the market in the opposite way Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:EURUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
4
GOLD → False break of bullish range support ↑FX:XAUUSD is forming a false breakdown of the previously mentioned range - 2390 - 2400. The return to the buying zone is forming, buyers can push the price to 2450 A reversal swing pattern is forming in relation to the support, which is evidence of buyers' strength. The fundamental background is still unstable, there are many nuances from the Fed and the US presidential race, the geopolitical background in the Middle East and Eastern Europe is relatively stable. Today there is no news and in general we can bet on the work of technical analysis. Technically, if the bulls hold the defense above 2400-2405, then in the medium term we should expect an upward movement towards local liquidity zones as well as towards the upper boundary of the range. Resistance levels: 2405, 2412, 2420 Support levels: 2400, 2392 The market confirms the presence of the range, it is not excluded that the price may go down, but at the moment the situation looks like the bulls are actively defending the lower boundary of the range, which determines the short-term and medium-term prospects.... Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ GOLD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
11
GOLD → Retest of the liquidity area in front of the bullrun ↑ FX:XAUUSD in the correction phase. The market is testing the support and liquidity zone within the counter-trend correction. The dollar may continue its downward phase, which would be a bullish leverage for the gold market In the week ahead it is worth paying attention to the S&P PMI to be released on Wednesday, GDP and Initial Jobless Claims on Thursday and PCE on Friday. Trump, as the presidential race progresses, has a growing chance of winning. If that happens, gold and cryptocurrencies will benefit on that backdrop. There is not much news today, so gold may test the liquidity area hiding behind 2390-2400. It is also worth paying attention to the new range of 2492 - 2390. Accordingly, if the bulls hold the defense above the lower boundary of this range, we will get a new trading plane. Resistance levels: 2411, 2420, 2430 Support levels: 2392, 2386 When trading gold, I recommend to always pay attention to the behavior of the dollar index, as it plays the main role in the market. Accordingly, if the dollar will begin to decline to the support with the purpose of breakthrough, in this case we should expect further growth in the gold market Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ GOLD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
22
GOLD → Consolidation before rising to 2500...FX:XAUUSD after breaking through trend resistance is forming a consolidation, just like the dollar. Sellers start selling on indicators and MM may set a trap before further growth. Technically and fundamentally gold has a favorable environment. The price is in the buying zone and in the ATH zone. There is a lot of support (obstacles) from below, and there is emptiness from above and nothing prevents to go up. There is consolidation on H1 and all technical conditions are favorable for the continuation of growth. BUT! There is an interesting pattern forming on H1-M30, which can give a small correction as a trap for sellers before further growth. Now a lot of selling is forming on indicators (overbought, rsi, macd and so on), accordingly, MM may show a reversal. The whole emphasis is on 2461, If the price fixes below, the gold may be driven to the liquidity zone: 2450, 2440, 2430 before further growth. Resistance levels: 2475, 2484 Support levels: 2461, 2450 If the price consolidates below 2461, a retest of the support is possible before further growth. If a rebound is formed, consolidation above 2467-2475, we should wait for a retest of resistance with a breakout attempt. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ GOLD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
38
EURUSD → The bulls can take us to 1.100 ↑FX:EURUSD maintains a bullish structure. Ahead is the key resistance from which a pullback may follow before further growth. On Saturday, there was high-profile news related to the attack on former US President Trump. The markets expected a more violent reaction from the opening, but in general only a small gap was created and it was dealt with rather quickly. Accordingly, the situation is stable. Fundamentally, everything is positive enough with the aim of continuing growth, but today at 16:30 GMT Powell speaks and it is worth to pay attention to his speech. Technically, the key resistance at 1.0916 is ahead, from which a pullback may follow, as this strong area will not be broken at the first time. Resistance levels: 1.0916 Support levels: 1.08522 There is a high probability of a rebound from resistance. As part of the correction, the nearest liquidity area may be tested before the subsequent retest of resistance, breakout and growth to 1.10 Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with EURUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
4
GOLD → ATH Testing. Fundamental background is favorable FX:XAUUSD continues to strengthen as the fundamental background improves. A rate cut is coming, as hinted by Powell, the dollar is poised to decline against this backdrop.... According to Powell, the Fed has "more evidence and confidence" that inflation is cooling, so they may cut rates before inflation reaches the 2% target. Traders generally believe in the continuation of the growth of the metal, technically this background is also maintained. The price is approaching the ATH, but the liquidity behind this zone may push the price back, forming a small correction, for example to 2430-2420 before the price starts to return to 2450 before rising further. Resistance levels: 2440, 2450 Support levels: 2430, 2420 Fundamentally and technically the background is favorable. It is worth looking for strong zones to open long trades, but it is worth paying attention to ATH, as a false breakdown could form a correction. The growth may continue rather quickly Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with GOLD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
10
GBPUSD → The bulls are holding their ground. Target 1.29FX:GBPUSD shows bullish outlook ahead of strong news publication. GBPUSD continues to strengthen on the overall fundamental backdrop. The market is reacting weakly to the resistance area as, against the backdrop of a relatively weak dollar buyers are taking initiative towards GBP. Strong news ahead. Powell speaks again today, tomorrow the UK GDP is published, as well as the US CPI. The news can both strengthen the growth and reverse it. Technically, the currency pair looks quite bullish. The price consolidation above 1.28 will be a good point for the continuation of the rise to 1.29 and 1.30. But, the structure will be broken when 1.2775 is broken, in this case we can expect a correction to 1.27 - 1.266. Resistance levels: 1.28, 1.289 Support levels: 1.2775, 1.2708 Fundamentally and technically everything is positive, I continue to consider further strengthening under a number of conditions described above. The potential target is 1.29 Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
11
GOLD → Favorable fundamental background. Will we go to 2450?FX:XAUUSD updates high to 2424 amid favorable news. Buyers are returning with the belief that the dollar will continue to fall on the back of the imminent interest rate cuts. CPI indicates significant easing of inflationary pressures in June. Annual inflation fell to 3%, the lowest rate in a year. This report provides evidence to the Fed that inflation is easing, but most likely it is not enough for them and they will need 1-2 reports confirming the fact that inflation is under control and a move into deflation is forming. Ahead of PPI and traders are focusing on this report as favorable data could reinforce fresh selling in the US Dollar. This, in turn, could trigger a rise in gold prices. But, it is worth considering the unpredictability of the news in your trading. Resistance levels: 2411, 2416, 2424 Support levels: 2396, 2392, 2385 Technically, a small correction is possible after a false breakdown of resistance, which in general may lead to testing the imbalance zone before the next growth, if the fundamental background after PPI is maintained or intensified.... Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with gold ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
18
GOLD → 2387 is key resistance, but ahead of CPI...FX:XAUUSD continues to maintain a bullish market structure, gradually pushing up to strong resistance with a breakout target. The US dollar is declining amid dovish US Fed assumptions.... All eyes remain on the US CPI report Powell's caution on weakening labor market conditions suggested that a September rate cut is likely just around the corner, which once again brought down the US dollar along with US Treasury yields. Softer US annual CPI data or a surprise decline in monthly inflation could confirm the September Fed rate cut and increase the chances of another rate cut in December. And vice versa... Technically, buyers are pushing up to 2387. A break of resistance will open the way to 2400-2437. But, there could be a correction before that Resistance levels: 2387 Support levels: 2378, 2370 Favorable news can strengthen the movement, in which case the resistance breakout is not to be missed. But, unexpected data may shake the market, the dollar may continue its strengthening phase and in this case gold will head towards 2350. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with gold ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
28
EURUSD → The morning gap is bought out. The bulls are aggressiveFX:EURUSD opens with a gap down, but buyers are actively buying back the move. The nature of the market is bullish, but at the same time consolidation, as there is strong resistance ahead. The fundamental background is favorable, there is no news today. Last week traders took well the fact of unemployment growth, within the framework of which active buying started. Technically, on H4 a bullish distribution is forming towards 1.085, from which, after the initial testing of the liquidity area, a correction may follow. But in general, I expect the continuation of growth (rebound from 1.0816 or breakdown of 1.085). Resistance levels: 1.0852, 1.091, 1.1 Support levels: 1.0816, 1.078 The nature of the market is changing and the bulls are actively holding key areas. The market is bullish and a breakout of the nearest resistance will favor the continuation of growth. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
1
AUDUSD → Price squeezes in front of resistance. A breakout?FX:AUDUSD is forming a strong consolidation on the chart as the price is squeezing to the resistance at 0.67. On the background of weakening DXY, buyers have chances to break the area. There is news ahead and at the moment traders are preparing to break resistance. Favorable news may contribute to the breakout of the strong limit zone and the formation of a distribution towards 0.684. Technically, the chances are high (strong bullish pattern) Traders are waiting for: ADP, Initial Jobless Claims, SP PMI, ISM, FOMC. Quite a busy news day, against which high volatility is expected. After Powell's words yesterday, the situation is neutral, but the dollar is going into correction. Everyone is waiting for the data on the labor market, on which the further situation will depend. Resistance levels: 0.67 Support levels: 0.665, 0.662, 0.6586 Technically, the situation is bullish, the emphasis is towards the resistance breakout. Further everything will depend on the fundamental background. A favorable background for AUD will increase purchases, but a negative background may cause a correction. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
3
GOLD → An intermediate bottom of 2350 is forming. What's next?FX:XAUUSD is testing 2350, gathering liquidity below this zone. Bulls are actively holding the defense above the key area and the overall picture looks promising.... BUT! Powell's speech continues today ahead of CPI and PPI. Things are heating up, the slightest hint of an unpredictable outcome could shake the market. For now, there are some positive signs after Powell's words: - Keeping rates high for too long could jeopardize growth in the U.S. economy - A rate hike is unlikely to be the next step - The Fed has made significant progress in bringing inflation down to the 2% target, recent monthly numbers show modest further progress - Fed needs more favorable inflation data to cut rates Overall, traders are not getting enough of this, the market is in consolidation and no one is in a hurry to take premature action yet. We are waiting for today's comments of the Fed chief. Technically, gold is showing bullish dynamics after the bulls did not let the price go beyond 2350. The price is consolidating above the key level of 2365 and testing the area of interest and liquidity of 2375-2380. A breakout and consolidation of the price above this area may further strengthen the price, as the promising target, at the moment, is 2387 - 23400. Resistance levels: 2373, 2380 Support levels: 2365, 2355, 2350 A bounce to the downside before further growth is possible, but price consolidation above the key zones could form an interim bottom for the bulls. All emphasis on Powell's comments..... Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with gold ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
7
GOLD → The fight for 2365. Can we get to 2400? FX:XAUUSD is trading within an ascending channel, but traders are actively selling off all of Friday's growth. The key roll is played by the resistance 2365, at the moment bears are holding the market. The dollar stops falling amid expected comments from Powell, as well as CPI and PPI to be released on Thursday and Friday. The fundamental background is neutral at the moment, Against this background gold is getting under correction and testing the liquidity area of 2350. Now all the focus is on 2365, relative to which a false breakout has been formed. IF: sellers will hold 2365 and will not let the price above this level, we should expect a decline to 2350, 2341 and further it is worth watching the situation, because in this case the price can reach 2325. If the buyers continue to be active and can form a consolidation above 2365, it will open a channel, the upper boundary of which will be 2387 and we can go up to it. Resistance levels: 2365, 2387 Support levels: 2358, 2350, 2341 Two scenarios, as the situation is complicated due to the unstable fundamental background and the struggle between the participants in the key zone that divides the plane into bearish and bullish. I would prioritize a small bounce from 2365, resistance retest, breakout and bullish momentum to 2375-2385. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
21