The Comeback Urge - When a Loss Feels PersonalNOTE – This is a post on mindset and emotion. It is not a trade idea or strategy designed to make you money. My intention is to help you preserve your capital, focus, and composure so you can trade your own system with clarity and confidence.
We saw some very deep sell offs towards the end of last week.
Imagine this if you will.
You’ve just taken a loss.
This one is not catastrophic, but it stings.
You replay it in your head.
What you could’ve done differently.
Where you should’ve cut.
What you should’ve seen.
And before the dust even settles, there’s an urge .
To get back in.
To “come back strong.”
To show the market and yourself that you’ve still got it.
At first, it feels like determination.
But look closer.
That energy coursing through your body isn’t calm focus.
It’s agitation.
Your jaw tightens.
Your breath shortens.
Your shoulders inch forward toward the screen.
Your system has just taken a hit not just financially, but emotionally.
Your identity as a capable, disciplined trader feels threatened.
And the impulse to trade again isn’t about opportunity.
It’s about redemption.
You’re not trying to win the market back.
You’re trying to win yourself back.
What’s really happening:
After a loss, your mind scrambles to restore equilibrium.
It wants to prove you’re still competent, still in control.
But trading from that place rarely ends well
Because the next trade becomes about repairing ego, not executing process.
It’s subtle, but powerful:
You’re no longer trading the chart.
You’re trading your self-image .
How to shift it:
Pause.
Acknowledge the emotional hit - not with judgment, but awareness.
Let the nervous energy move through your system without acting on it.
Remind yourself: “This is biology, not skill decay.”
You haven’t lost your edge, you’ve just been knocked off-center.
When you can sit in that discomfort without needing to erase it
That’s when emotional maturity starts replacing emotional reactivity.
And that’s not just psychology - it’s edge .
Because trading well doesn’t just depend on your system. It depends on your state .
Ask yourself:
When I rush to make it back,
What part of me am I really trying to fix?
The moment you can see that the need to prove, to redeem, to make it right is coming from ‘make back’
You stop trading from the wound and start trading from awareness.
And that’s where consistent performance begins
If this resonated, please check out my post on FOMO. H'ere's the link:
Fomo
Universal Trading Psychology: The Patience Paradox PlaybookUniversal Trading Psychology: The Patience Paradox Playbook
A general discipline lesson you can apply to any liquid market and any timeframe
Most trading pain is not caused by a bad system. It is caused by impatience. The edge appears when you plan inactivity, watch with intent, wait for confirmation, and only act when setup quality is high. Cash is a position.
1. Why patience beats impulse in every market
Impatience sneaks in as early entries, overtrading, revenge trading, and random scaling. These habits feel productive because you are clicking and chasing motion. In reality they transfer capital from your future self to the present urge. Patience does the opposite. It gives your method time to read structure, it allows volatility and volume to normalize, and it keeps your energy for the right moment. The effect is universal. It does not matter if you trade indices, commodities, crypto, stocks, or forex. It does not matter if you trade on the one minute, the fifteen minute, or the daily. The core link is simple. Better timing raises the probability of an idea and lowers drawdown. Fewer attempts with higher quality improve expectancy and improve return divided by drawdown. That is the language that every account understands.
2. The Patience Paradox in plain language
The paradox says you can win more by doing less. You plan windows where you watch the market without touching the buy or sell buttons. You promise to yourself that you will let a timer run and you will only act after a confirmation event. Inactive minutes feel like a cost at first. In practice they are an investment. They reduce noise, they teach you the current regime, and they keep you calm enough to apply your edge. The paradox holds across sessions. The first minutes after a session begins often have high noise and emotional bait. The middle of the session can go quiet and trick you into forcing trades. The last minutes can be erratic. A patient trader respects this rhythm and keeps a written plan of when to observe and when to allow action.
3. Observation windows that fit any market
Observation windows are simple. Pick a time block. Start a timer. During the block you do not place orders. You watch the tape, the order of bars, the response to levels, and the size of swings. You collect awareness. You write one or two sentences about regime and structure. Then the timer ends. Only then do you look for a trade.
Observation windows you can adopt today
Pre session scan for fifteen minutes. You prepare levels and watch the first hints of tempo. Inactive only.
Session open observation for fifteen minutes. You let the first box form. No orders until a bar closes beyond this box and the next bar respects that information.
Mid session read for thirty minutes. You classify regime as active or quiet using simple filters and you decide trend, range, or inactivity.
Pre secondary session observation for fifteen minutes. If your market has two major sessions, you repeat the open observation idea.
Post trade cooldown for ten to twenty minutes. You break the dopamine loop, you write a short review, and you reset your attention.
How to make it practical
Place a small physical timer on your desk. A phone timer also works. Print a one page card with your windows and durations. When the window starts, say out loud that you are in observation and you will sit on hands until the timer ends. This small ritual builds identity. It tells your brain that watching is part of trading and not a waste of time.
4. Confirmation that cuts false signals
Impatience usually shows up as early entry without confirmation. The most portable rule is also the simplest. Wait for the close. A signal bar that looks perfect in the middle of its life can close with a wick, a rejection, or a full flip. If you still want earlier entry mechanics, use delay one bar. You let a signal print. You enter on the next bar only if price remains valid. Both rules reduce false positives and reduce the total number of attempts. That is a feature, not a bug. The quality of attempts goes up. The mood in your head calms down. Your journal becomes cleaner to read and your expectancy calculation becomes more stable.
A universal confirmation checklist
The setup is valid by your written plan.
Close confirms beyond structure or a retest holds and closes in your direction.
Regime filters are supportive. You see participation that matches the idea.
Risk and position size are defined. The exit is clear before you click.
5. Regime filters that travel well
Regime is the background condition that decides if your strategy is likely to read the market correctly. You can estimate regime with two simple filters. One measures volatility. One measures participation. These two are available on any platform.
Volatility filter
Use average true range with a long enough length to be stable. A common choice is length fifty. Express ATR as a percent of price so you can compare across timeframes and symbols. Compare the current reading to a baseline such as the daily median over the last few weeks. Above the baseline means active regime. Below means quiet regime.
Participation filter
Use a session volume baseline. A simple moving average of session volume works. When current volume is below the baseline, you demand more patience or you switch to range tactics. When current volume is above the baseline, you keep confirmation strict and you avoid random scalps.
Session filter
Every market has time of day effects. The first minutes can be noisy. Lunchtime or the middle band can be flat. The last minutes can snap. You plan a response. Observe at the open. Reduce attempts in the lull. Keep the end of session simple.
6. Cooldown, loss streak lockout, and daily loss limit
Cooldown is the fastest lever you can pull to stop impulsive streaks. After any loss you start a ten to twenty minute cooldown. You leave the chart zoom alone. You write a short paragraph with what the market did and what you did. This break cuts the urge circuit and lets you reset. A lockout is a stronger version. Two losses in a row at full risk trigger a lockout until the next session. Three small losses also trigger a lockout. A win does not cancel a lockout if you broke plan discipline during the win. A daily loss limit protects the account from a bad day. Pick a fraction of your weekly drawdown budget. When you hit it, you stop for the day. These three guardrails build survivorship and keep your mind from spiraling.
7. Expectancy and return divided by drawdown
Expectancy is the average outcome per trade. Write it as average win multiplied by win probability minus average loss multiplied by loss probability. It is a small number in units of R. That is fine. The power of expectancy is repetition. The second metric to watch is return divided by drawdown. This tells you how efficiently you compound given the cost of the worst pullback. Patience improves both. Cutting early attempts raises win probability and often raises average win because you pick cleaner structure. Removing impulsive losses reduces drawdown. Together they stabilize equity and make your process less emotional.
A quick way to measure
Log ten to twenty trades under the patience protocol. Record average win in R, average loss in R, win rate, and worst drawdown in R. Compute expectancy and return divided by drawdown. Then compare to your prior logs where you did not respect observation or confirmation. The difference shows you why patience pays.
8. A portable pre market checklist
Checklists prevent decision fatigue. Use one page. Keep the language simple.
Trade plan
Plan is visible. Strategy is defined.
Entry, exit, and position size rules are clear and written.
Journal template is open.
Market regime
ATR as percent of price labeled active or quiet.
Session volume labeled below baseline or above baseline.
Prior session open, high, low, close marked.
Observation windows for the first minutes drawn on the chart.
Session timing
Pre session observation timer set.
Open observation window scheduled.
Lunchtime lull noted.
Post session review time booked.
Watchlist and setup quality
Three to five names maximum.
One sentence setup description for each name.
Score the idea from one to five on quality.
Act only on four or five.
Confirmation and patience
Delay one bar or close based confirmation selected.
Inside bar means wait. No exceptions.
If FOMO appears, start a five minute micro timer and breathe.
Say out loud that doing nothing is a valid decision.
Risk and position control
Risk per trade set as a fixed percent of equity.
Stop never widened after entry.
No adds unless the plan explicitly allows scaling.
Daily loss limit and lockout rules visible.
Exit plan
Exit condition defined before entry.
Partial exits use confirmation if the system supports it.
If a volatility spike hits, reduce risk or exit per plan.
Journal the reason for the exit.
9. A simple setup quality score
A score makes permission to trade objective. Use five factors. Each is zero to two.
Factors
Regime. Market aligned with the strategy using the filters.
Structure. Setup is clean with room to target.
Timing. Observation respected and confirmation present.
Risk. Position size correct and stop placed where logic breaks.
Mindset. Patient attention present and FOMO absent.
Eight or more means permission. Seven or less means wait. This one rule saves careers.
10. A day in the life under the Patience Paradox
You begin fifteen minutes before your active session with an observation. You mark levels and write a short line about tempo. No orders. When the session begins you let the first box print. A breakout looks tempting inside the window, but you stay inactive. The next bar fails to close beyond the box. You extend the delay. Later participation rises above the baseline and volatility reaches the active zone. Your strategy calls for a trend pullback entry. You wait for a bar to close back in the direction of trend. Then you take a single position with one percent risk. The trade reaches target. You record the result and start a short cooldown. Near the second session open you repeat the observation idea. A clean setup appears but your score is only six. You pass and write one sentence to honor the decision. You end the day with a review and update your metrics. Equity is stable. Attention is calm. The process feels repeatable.
11. Overtrading prevention that actually works
Limit attempts per session. Use micro breaks whenever fatigue appears. If the journal shows a loss streak, apply the lockout. If volatility is too low, accept inactivity. If noise is heavy near the open, extend the observation. If you break any rule, record the event and reduce size on the next attempt. Prevention is cheaper than recovery. You will never regret a trade you did not take. You will often regret the one you forced.
12. Mindfulness and urge surf for traders
Mindfulness is not about long meditation. It is about a one minute reset. Watch the breath for one minute. Name the urge silently. Start a two minute timer and surf the wave. When it passes, you return to the plan. This tiny protocol moves you from reaction to response. Over time it raises your discipline score and lowers your cost of error.
13. Frequently asked behavior questions
What if the first clean setup appears during the first minutes of the day
You still respect the observation. The first confirmation bar after the window often gives better probability and a calmer entry.
What if volume stays below average all day
Reduce attempts. Focus on one name or stay inactive. Quality beats quantity. You are paid for selectivity, not activity.
What if I miss a win after a long wait
Missing is normal. Write it in the journal and keep the schedule. The market never runs out of opportunities. Your attention does.
How do I measure improvement
Track three numbers. Expectancy. Return divided by drawdown. Discipline score. If the first two rise and the third stays above four, the process is working.
14. Install the Paradox in one week
Day one. Print the checklist and the windows. Place a timer on the desk. Commit to half the usual number of attempts.
Day two. Run all observation windows. Log only confirmed ideas.
Day three. Add the cooldown after any loss. Review your writing at the end of the day.
Day four. Apply the loss streak lockout if needed. Protect the account.
Day five. Score every idea with the five factor grid. Only trade eight or more.
Day six. Compute expectancy and return divided by drawdown from the week.
Day seven. Read your notes. Keep the parts that made you calm and effective. Remove what was noise.
15. Comparator versus a passive baseline
You want to see that patience improves efficiency. Pick a baseline that matches your market. If there is a natural session, use buy at session open and exit at session close. If there is no natural session, use an always in market baseline. Then run the Patience Paradox protocol next to it.
How to compare in three steps
Compute baseline results across your window. Record attempts, average result per session, and worst drawdown in R.
Compute Paradox results with observation windows, confirmation, and guardrails. Record attempts, expectancy, and worst drawdown in R.
Compute return divided by drawdown for both. When the protocol is respected, this ratio usually improves even if total trades drop. Your account and your sleep benefit from that.
16. A journal template you can use today
Before entry
Setup name and one sentence description.
Regime notes on volatility and participation.
Quality score and reason for each point.
Risk in R and exit plan.
After exit
Result in R and whether the logic held.
What you felt and how you responded.
What you would repeat and what you would remove.
One sentence lesson for the board.
17. Advanced patience drills for professionals
The inside bar extension
When a bar prints inside the prior range you extend the observation by one more bar. This drill stops you from guessing breakouts and creates a natural delay.
The half size probation
After a loss you allow the next confirmed idea at half size. You return to full size only after a clean win that followed plan. This keeps you from trying to win it back.
The one pass rule
You allow yourself one pass on a marginal idea each week. You write the reason and the outcome. This rule prevents a cascade of rationalizations.
18. Closing perspective
Patience is not passive. It is active observation guided by rules. A professional monitors regime, respects timers, demands confirmation, and protects the account with cooldowns and lockouts. The paradox is simple. Inactivity at the right time raises probability, keeps drawdown shallow, and makes expectancy stable. Traders who internalize this find that the market stops feeling like a battle and starts feeling like a process. You do less. You see more. You let the best ideas come to you.
Education and analytics only. Not investment advice.
Thank you all for reading this article.
If you have any type of requests, drop a comment below.
Who Is Really Controlling the Market?👋Hello everyone, it’s great to see you again in today’s conversation.
Today, we’ll dive into a very interesting topic: “❓Who is really controlling this market? Are you just a juicy prey, a pawn following the path laid out by the big institutions?”
To answer this question, we need to look deeper. The market in general, and XAUUSD specifically, is like an immense ocean with many currents flowing in different directions.
At the top of the chain, we see that trends are most influenced by economic factors, global political events, wars, and so on. Can you imagine how much influence central banks and large investment funds have? Their decisions can create massive waves, shaking the entire global financial market. You know why we only trade until Friday, right? Because most of these major institutions are closed on Saturdays and Sundays. For example, when the Fed decides to hike interest rates, or when big funds buy millions of ounces of gold, immediately, gold prices will either surge or plummet.
(To gain a better understanding of how it works, take a look at my previous post )
However, big institutions cannot always control the market as they wish. Surely, you've seen sudden reversals or significant price fluctuations within just one day. And this is where the role of you and other traders comes into play.
Let’s think about it. In today’s modern financial market, where information spreads at the speed of light, you – a retail trader – can influence significant price movements if you know how to seize the right moment and turn it into your profit.
Think about the times when you’ve seen gold prices spike due to certain news, like a Fed decision or a political crisis. That wasn’t the result of a big institution, but rather the market’s response. And when you and thousands of other traders act in the same direction, you’re creating waves – even if they’re small – but they are enough to shift the market's flow in the short term. The market is a psychological reaction, where emotions, expectations, and fear drive the actions of all participants.
Yet, we cannot deny that the influence of central banks and global market fluctuations is immense and overwhelming. At times, our actions may just be a reaction to FOMO , inadvertently turning ourselves into prey without realizing it. The only way out is to equip yourself with the knowledge and experience necessary to navigate the market. If not, from the moment you step into trading, you’re essentially a pawn being controlled.
The market is a vast ocean. Central banks and large investment funds are like islands within it, but each one of us is an essential part of that ocean. Even if you’re just a grain of salt, many grains of salt together make the ocean salty. We are all connected, no matter where we are or what platform we use. TradingView, for example, is one place where we can all link up.
Trust in your own value, take action, learn, and share your insights so that both the trading community and TradingView itself can continue to grow.
I wish you happy trading. Don’t forget to support me by liking this post!🚀
FOMO - The Urge That Costs You TwiceNOTE: This is a post on Mindset and emotion. It is NOT a Trade idea or strategy designed to make you money. I’m posting this to help you preserve your capital, energy and will so you can execute your own trading system with calm, patience and confidence.
So here we are, Gold kissing 4000.
It’s been on a tear and hasn’t looked back.
Relentless. Higher, higher, higher.
Now imagine being the trader who stalked this setup… but missed the entry.
The setup was clean. The context made sense.
But you hesitated. You wanted confirmation.
And now it’s gone.
At first, you tell yourself you’re fine.
You’ll wait for the pullback.
But the longer you watch, the more unsettled you become.
Your legs bounce.
Your breath shortens.
Price rips higher without you.
And the thought slips in…
“I can’t miss this.”
Before you know it, your hand hovers over the button
ready to break your own rules just to feel part of the move.
What’s really happening inside you:
Thoughts:
“Argghh… I knew it. Ok, it’s moving. Wait for the pullback.”
“Urgh… another headline, it keeps moving up… everyone else is in.”
“It’s not pulling back. This is the move I’ve been waiting for. Missing out is worse than losing.”
“I’ll never forgive myself if I just watch this go without me.”
Feelings: Restlessness. Envy. Urgency.
Behaviours: Dropping timeframes, chasing moves, flipping charts, forcing setups.
Body cues: Buzzing energy in chest or stomach, jittery hands, shallow breath, can’t sit still.
The Trigger:
Watching a move take off without you, especially after hesitation stopped you last time. Watching price rise without a look back. Everyone's talking about it. It’s on the newsfeed. ‘Record highs’. ‘Biggest day ever’.
Why it feels so powerful:
FOMO isn’t about the market. it’s about survival wiring.
Your brain equates “missing out” with exclusion, being left out.
So urgency feels safer than patience.
Acting now, even without an edge, feels like relief, because at least you’re doing something.
The real cost:
FOMO makes you chase highs and sell lows.
It costs you twice.
Once when you chase the move and lose.
And again when you lose faith in your own process.
Each time you act on urgency, you train your nervous system to link tension with execution.
That’s how confidence quietly drains away.
How to shift it:
Pause & name it: say out loud, “This is FOMO.” Awareness loosens its grip.
Breathe into it: slow your breath until your body settles. Teach your system that calm not chaos precedes execution.
Anchor: remind yourself the market is infinite. “It takes a second to wreck it… it takes time to build.” Beastie Boys
Reset: ask, “If I hadn’t seen that move, would I still take this setup?” If not, stand down.
Missing a move hurts but chasing it turns one mistake into two.
Discipline pays you back; impulse never does.
The market will always offer another opportunity.
Your edge is keeping your nerve, calm and self-control until it does.
By the way, for those that missed the Non Farm post last week. Turns out that Non Farm has been re-scheduled for this Friday... (but they can always reschedule again). Check this link out for anyone lining up for Non Farm this week.
Opportunities Return, Lost Money Doesn’tGold is making all-time highs like there’s no tomorrow. And yet, I haven’t joined the trendin the past days. I made some money selling last week, but I didn’t ride the wave higher. Am I sorry? Not at all.
This brings me to a principle that guides my trading: I would rather miss an opportunity than lose money.
________________________________________
Confidence Over FOMO
The most important thing in trading is not catching every move — it’s trading with confidence. Even when I lose, I want to know why I lost.
That way, the loss has meaning. It’s part of a process I can trust and refine.
At this moment, my internal radar simply won’t allow me to buy Gold. Sure, it might rise more, but I’m not upset about “missing out.” Why? Because I need to believe in what I trade.
If I don’t, then every tick against me becomes torture, and I start questioning myself at every piece of market noise.
________________________________________
Why Missed Opportunities Don’t Hurt
• Opportunities always come back. The market is generous in that way.
• Lost money doesn’t come back by itself. You need another trade, another risk, another exposure — and usually more stress.
• Confidence compounds. When you only take trades you truly believe in , you build trust in your own process. That trust is what keeps you alive in the long run.
________________________________________
The Psychological Edge
Traders often think missing a trade is painful. In reality, it’s a sign of strength. It means you didn’t bend your rules, didn’t give in to FOMO, didn’t chase a market just because “everyone else” is.
Trading without belief in your setup is like walking into a fight without conviction. You’re already halfway defeated.
________________________________________
Final Thoughts
Yes, Gold is printing all-time highs. Yes, I could have bought and made some money. But I’m fine with that. Because keeping my confidence and protecting my capital matters more than chasing every rally.
Opportunities are infinite. My capital and my confidence are not.
That’s why I’ll always prefer missing an opportunity over losing money.
$WLFI: Trump has already pocketed $5B!It’s all over the news: Liberty Financial just made $5B in a single day.
First there was #Melania → rugged.
Then $Trump → rugged.
Now it’s $WLFI. What’s next?
On day one, the coin already dumped –25% overall as insiders cashed out — the usual playbook.
So where did that $5B come from?
👉 From YOU — from millions of retail investors chasing a piece of the cake, only to be rugged and left holding losse.
And the silence is deafening. Crypto isn’t “unregulated” by accident. It’s designed this way so billionaires can keep manipulating markets: buying influencers, manufacturing fake FOMO, and then using retail as exit liquidity.
We’ve seen it before: $GUNS raised $120M with the hype of a “good game, good team” — and still collapsed. Investors ended up deep in the red because, in reality, the game and the team weren’t good at all.
Meanwhile, dozens of genuinely solid projects never get funding or VC support because they don’t have millions to throw around. They just want to build honestly — and that doesn’t attract speculators.
The current model is simple:
Launch = rug retail investors, so VCs and exchanges rake in millions. Sometimes founders get their slice, sometimes they don’t.
Ask around: Daomaker, Polkastarter, CoinTerminal — hundreds of projects, all the same story. Rugged Ponzi schemes enriching launchpads and exchanges.
$WLFI is no different. Welcome to the manipulation dome: FOMO in, FUD out… and in the end, another dead coin dumped into the crypto graveyard.
💡 My advice? Grab some popcorn and watch the masters make billions off the poor and uninformed — because that’s the only entertainment you’re going to get from this circus.
I might be wrong, I whish I am, meanwhile: DYOR, do not gamble with your money.
$TOTAL analysis and the market psychologyOn this chart, I’ve highlighted some reliable patterns showing how the market often moves opposite to public sentiment.
📉 The triple top pattern led to only a small correction, and now we’re entering another one.
It’s the same story every time: when the RSI is overbought, social media explodes with “BUY! BUY! BUY!” — fueling FOMO and pushing late entries. That’s usually the best time to take profits.
Now, with CRYPTOCAP:BTC correcting after touching $124K and eyeing the $111K zone, we’re likely to see fear and negativity on social media, with people calling for the “end of the bull market.” Ironically, that’s exactly when smart money starts buying.
The market is designed to play with your emotions:
When it dumps → that’s your chance to buy at strong entries.
When RSI is overheated and everyone screams ATH → that’s the moment to take profit.
So… are you ready to refill your bags? 🚀
Check my ideas for clear entry zones on coins like CRYPTOCAP:INJ , SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:BONK , CRYPTOCAP:PEPE , LSE:CFX , SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:FLOKI , CRYPTOCAP:SUI , and more.
⚠️ DYOR (Do Your Own Research).
The Great Trap: How Billionaires Are Winning, and You're Not!The Great Crypto Trap: How Billionaires Are Winning—And You're Not
The ETFs, Saylor, and all of Trump's billionaire friends are getting richer—thanks to crypto.
Meanwhile, most retail traders are just trying to stay above water. Leverage trades are wiped out, charts feel rigged, and the market makes you feel like you're swimming against a riptide.
Why?
Because these rich guys have a plan: manipulate you and take your money. That’s how they stay rich.
Understanding their strategy is the first step to stop being their exit liquidity.
🧠 The New Battlefield
Crypto is no longer a playground for cypherpunks and tech rebels. It’s fully institutional now. We're not just trading against whales—we're fighting the same entities that own the media, control Wall Street, and write the rules.
So forget the old ways of thinking. The tables have turned.
🗓 The Sunday Rekt Routine
To maximize destruction, they need to avoid friendly fire. So they pump on the weekend when retail is free and optimistic, then dump on Monday to close the CME gap—like clockwork.
The playbook:
Weekend: Pump. Trap your long.
Monday: Dump. “Fill the gap.” Liquidate everyone.
Response:
Don’t fall for weekend FOMO. Exit Sunday afternoon. Wait until Tuesday to re-enter, once Monday’s high and low are set. Trade smart, not emotional.
📈 Top-of-the-Market FOMO
You’ve seen it before. Just before the crash, the media frenzy begins. Influencers say “Don’t miss this pump!” or “99% will miss the next big move!” The ETF gods hint at new inflows. It's a setup.
They're not hyping it for your benefit—they're offloading their bags in your face.
Just look at the charts:
BlackRock bought billions to drive BTC to 121K.
Then, in 72 hours, they dumped billions.
Saylor? Silent. No new buys. That’s not coincidence—it’s coordination.
Response:
Check the MACD, RSI, and Stochastic RSI on daily or weekly timeframes. If they're maxed out and the influencers are screaming green—it’s probably too late.
When they stop buying, the dump is already planned.
🧰 How to Outsmart Them
Watch the MACD for crossovers and divergence.
Monitor RSI zones—don’t long into extreme overbought conditions.
Use Stoch RSI to anticipate momentum shifts.
Rule: When everything is overheated, and FOMO is peaking—step back. Let them dump into each other. You’ll get your entry later, cleaner and cheaper.
⚔️ This Is War
Make no mistake: this is a war for your money.
They want yours. You want theirs.
Only the smart survive.
To be continued.
DYOR.
You've Already Lost: The Bitcoin Delusion of FOMO and False HopeLet’s get one thing straight: if you’re staring at Bitcoin, squinting past the red flags, and convincing yourself it’s not a Ponzi scheme because of that one shiny feature that screams “legit,” you’re not investing—you’re auditioning for the role of “next victim.” And if your motivation is the fear of missing out (FOMO) or the fantasy of getting rich quick, well... congratulations. You’ve already lost.
The 99%: Red Flags Waving Like It’s a Parade
Let’s talk about the indicators—the ones that make Bitcoin look suspiciously like a Ponzi scheme. No, it’s not technically one, but the resemblance is uncanny:
- No intrinsic value: Bitcoin isn’t backed by assets, cash flow, or a government. It’s worth what the next person is willing to pay. That’s not investing. That’s speculative hot potato.
- Early adopters profit from new entrants: The people who got in early? They’re cashing out while newcomers buy in at inflated prices. That’s the classic Ponzi dynamic: old money out, new money in.
- Hype over utility: Bitcoin’s actual use as a currency is minimal. It’s slow, expensive to transact, and volatile. But hey, who needs functionality when you’ve got memes and moon emojis?
- Opaque influencers: From anonymous creators (hello, Satoshi) to crypto bros promising Lambos, the ecosystem thrives on charisma, not accountability.
- Scam magnet: Bitcoin has been the currency of choice for over 1,700 Ponzi schemes and scams, according to a University of New Mexico study cs.unm.edu . That’s not a coincidence. That’s a pattern.
The 1%: The “But It’s Decentralized!” Defense
Ah yes, the one redeeming quality that Bitcoin evangelists cling to like a life raft: decentralization. No central authority! No government control! It’s the financial revolution!
Except… decentralization doesn’t magically make something a good investment. It just means no one’s in charge when things go wrong. And when the market crashes (again), you can’t call customer service. You can tweet into the void, though.
FOMO: The Real Engine Behind the Madness
Let’s be honest. Most people aren’t buying Bitcoin because they believe in the tech. They’re buying because they saw someone on TikTok turn $500 into a Tesla. FOMO is the fuel, and social media is the match.
Bitcoin’s meteoric rises are often driven by hype cycles, not fundamentals. Tesla buys in? Price spikes. El Salvador adopts it? Price spikes. Your cousin’s dog walker says it’s going to $1 million? Price spikes. Then it crashes. Rinse, repeat.
This isn’t investing. It’s gambling with a tech-savvy twist.
The Punchline: You’ve Already Lost
If you’re ignoring the overwhelming signs of speculative mania and clinging to the one feature that makes you feel better about your decision, you’re not ahead of the curve—you’re the mark. And if your motivation is “I don’t want to miss out,” you already have. You’ve missed out on rational thinking, due diligence, and the ability to distinguish between innovation and illusion.
Bitcoin might not be a Ponzi scheme in the legal sense. But if it walks like one, talks like one, and makes early adopters rich at the expense of latecomers… maybe it’s time to stop pretending it’s something else.
INDEX:BTCUSD NYSE:CRCL NASDAQ:HOOD TVC:DXY NASDAQ:MSTR TVC:SILVER TVC:GOLD NASDAQ:TSLA NASDAQ:COIN NASDAQ:MARA
5 Proven Tricks to Trade Without FOMO After Missing Your TriggerYo traders! In this video, I’m breaking down what to do if you miss a trading trigger , so you can stay calm , avoid FOMO , and still catch the next move. We’re diving into five solid strategies to re-enter the market without losing your cool:
Buy on the pullback zone.
Buy with an engulfing candle after a pullback.
Buy after breaking the resistance formed by the pullback.
Buy after the second wave with an indecision candle.
Buy after breaking a major resistance post-second wave, confirmed by RSI or momentum oscillators.
These tips are all about keeping your trades smart and your head in the game. For more on indecision candles, check out this lesson . Wanna master breakout trading? Here’s the breakout trading guide . Drop your thoughts in the comments, boost if you vibe with it, and let’s grow together! 😎
Analyzing the Market with Fundamental and Technical AnalysisAnalyzing the Market with Fundamental and Technical Analysis
In addition to technical analysis, it's important to consider fundamental factors that could influence the market. News releases, economic reports, and central bank decisions can significantly impact price movements.
Fundamental Analysis:
Keep an eye on major economic indicators like NFP, CPI, and interest rate decisions. These factors can drive the market and change its trend direction.
Technical Analysis:
Use tools like EMA, Fibonacci, and Price Action to confirm the trend and identify entry points.
For daily updates and comprehensive market analysis, join my MMFLowTrading TradingView channel, where I combine both technical and fundamental analysis to give you the most accurate insights.
Conclusion:
Identifying market trends in one day doesn’t have to be complicated. By using the right tools like EMA, Fibonacci, and Price Action on TradingView, you can make better trading decisions every day. To take your trading to the next level, join my MMFLowTrading TradingView channel for daily updates, real-time trend analysis, and expert trading signals.
Ready to start trading with precision? Join my MMFLowTrading TradingView channel today for daily market insights and trading setups. Stay updated with real-time analysis, get actionable trading signals, and take your trading skills to the next level. Follow me now on TradingView!
Not Every Candle Needs a Reaction — I Know I’ve GrownThere was a time I thought I needed to react to every move.
A clean candle? I’d enter.
A minor imbalance? I’d take the risk.
A zone that “looked okay”? I’d justify it.
Why? Because I was chasing something.
Chasing certainty .
Chasing profit .
Chasing control .
But here’s the thing I didn’t understand back then:
Not every candle needs a reaction. And not every move is my move.
🧠 Overtrading Wasn’t a Strategy. It Was a Symptom.
It was a symptom of fear — fear of missing out (FOMO).
It was a symptom of insecurity — not trusting my own process.
It was a symptom of impatience — not letting the market come to me.
I confused activity with progress. I thought being busy on the charts meant I was becoming better. But most of the time, I was just bleeding my edge.
💡 The Turning Point
Growth didn’t happen because I learned a new indicator. It happened the moment I started asking myself:
Is this my setup? Or am I just bored, hopeful, or triggered?
When you define a clear trading plan, with criteria you believe in, the real test isn’t finding setups...it’s waiting for the right ones. Today, I can watch the market move beautifully without me and feel absolutely nothing.
That’s freedom.
That’s growth.
That’s power.
🧘🏽♂️ From Reactive to Intentional
Now, I focus on:
Waiting for my specific SMC criteria to line up
Sticking to my CRT model (PDL/PWH sweep → BOS → FVG)
Trusting that missing one trade means nothing if I stay consistent
Letting the market come to me
I’m no longer in the game to prove something. I’m here to play my edge , manage my risk , and protect my mind.
📌 Final Words
Growth in trading isn't loud. It doesn’t scream from a winning streak. It shows up quietly:
in the trades you didn’t take.
in the silence between setups.
in the patience to do nothing until it’s time.
So if you’re not constantly in a trade, that’s not weakness that’s wisdom.
Bitcoin's Market Cycles — Are We Nearing the Top?Bitcoin is approaching a critical moment and the signs are everywhere.
After more than 900 days of steady bull market growth, BTC now flirts with all-time highs (ATH) while momentum stalls, liquidity thins, and emotions run hot. You might be asking:
Are we nearing the cycle top?
Is now the time to de-risk or double down?
What comes next?
This isn’t just a question of price. It’s about timing, structure, and psychology.
In this analysis, we’ll break down Bitcoin’s historical cycles, the current macro structure, the hidden signals from Fibonacci time extensions, and how to think like a professional when the crowd is chasing FOMO.
Let’s dive in.
📚 Educational Insight: Understanding Bitcoin Cycles
Bitcoin doesn’t move in straight lines, it moves in cycles.
Bull markets grow slowly, then explode. Bear markets fall fast, then grind sideways. These rhythms are driven by halving events, liquidity expansions, and most importantly: human emotion.
Here’s what history tells us:
Historical Bull Markets:
2009–2011: 540 days (+5,189,598%)
2011–2013: 743 days (+62,086%)
2015–2017: 852 days (+12,125%)
2018–2021: 1061 days (+2,108%)
2022–Present: 917 days so far (+623%)
Bear Market Durations:
2011: 164 days (-93.73%)
2013–2015: 627 days (-86.96%)
2017–2018: 362 days (-84.22%)
2021–2022: 376 days (-77.57%)
💡 What does this tell us?
Bull markets are growing longer, while bear markets have remained consistently brutal. The current cycle has already surpassed the average bull run length of 885 days (cycles #2–#4) and is quickly approaching the 957-day average of the two most recent cycles (#3 and #4). That makes this the second-longest bull market in Bitcoin’s history.
⏳ 1:1 Fibonacci Time Extension — The Hidden Timing Signal
In time-based Fibonacci analysis, the 1.0 (1:1) extension means one simple thing: this cycle has now lasted the same amount of time as previous cycles — a perfect time symmetry.
Here’s how I measured it:
Average bull market length #2–#4(2011–2021): 885 days
Average bull market length #3–#4(2015–2021): 957 days
Today’s date: May 27, 2025 = Day 917
✅ Result: We are well inside the time window where Bitcoin historically tops out.
You don’t need to be a fortune teller to see that this is a zone of caution. Markets peak on euphoria, not logic and this timing confluence is a red flag worth watching.
🗓️ "Sell in May and Go Away" — Not Just a Meme
One of the oldest market adages is showing its teeth again.
Risk assets — including Bitcoin — tend to underperform in the summer months. Why?
Lower liquidity
Institutional rebalancing
Exhaustion from prior run-ups
Vacations and reduced trading volumes
And here we are:
Bitcoin is hovering near ATH
It's been in an uptrend for 917 days
We just entered the time-extension top zone
Liquidity is thinning across the board
You don’t need to panic. But you do need to think like a professional: secure profits, reduce exposure, and wait for structure.
😬 FOMO Is a Portfolio Killer
This is where most traders make their worst decisions.
FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) isn’t just a meme — it’s the reason so many people buy tops and sell bottoms.
Before entering any trade right now, ask yourself:
Where were you at $20K?
Did you have a plan?
Or are you reacting to headlines?
📌 Clear mind > urgent clicks
📌 Patience > chasing green candles
📌 Strategy > emotion
Let the herd FOMO in. You protect your capital.
Will This Bear Market Be Different?
Every past cycle saw BTC retrace between 77%–94%. That was then. But this time feels… different.
Here’s why:
Institutions are here — ETF flows, sovereign wealth funds, and major asset managers
Regulation is clearer — and risk capital feels safer deploying in crypto
Supply is tighter — much of BTC is now held off exchanges and in cold storage
While a massive crash like -80% is less likely, that doesn’t mean a correction isn’t coming. Even a 30%–40% drop from here would wreak havoc on overleveraged traders.
And that brings us to…
🚨 Altseason? Or Alt-bloodbath?
Here’s the hard truth:
If BTC corrects, altcoins will crash — not rally.
Most altcoins have already seen strong rallies from their cycle lows. But if BTC drops 30%, many alts could tumble 50–80%.
Altseason only happens when BTC cools off and ranges — not when it dumps. Don’t get caught holding the bag. Be tactical. Be disciplined.
So Where’s the Next Big Level?
You may be wondering: “If this is the top… where do we fall to?”
Let’s just say there’s a very important Fibonacci confluence aligning with several other key indicators. I’ll reveal it in my next analysis, so stay tuned.
🧭 What Should You Do Right Now? (Not Financial Advice)
✅ Up big? — Take some profits
✅ On the sidelines? — Wait for real setups
✅ Emotional? — Unplug, reassess
✅ Are you new to Trading? — study, learn (how to day trade) and prepare for the next cycle
The best trades come to the calm, not the impulsive.
💡 Final Words of Wisdom
Bitcoin rewards discipline. It punishes emotion.
Right now is not about catching the last 10% of upside — it’s about:
Watching structure for potential trend change
Measuring risk
Avoiding overexposure
Protecting what you’ve earned
📌 The edge isn’t in indicators. It’s in mindset. Stay prepared, stay sharp because in this market…
🔔 Remember: The market will always be there. Your capital won’t — unless you protect it.
The next big opportunity doesn’t go to the loudest.
It goes to the most ready.
_________________________________
Thanks for reading and following along! 🙏
Now the big question remains: Is a bear market just lurking around the corner?
What are your thoughts? Let me know in the comments. I’d love to hear your perspective.
_________________________________
If you found this helpful, leave a like and comment below! Got requests for the next technical analysis? Let me know.
SOL Hits Major Resistance — Patience Over FOMOOne of the most common mistakes traders make—especially in fast-moving markets—is jumping into trades impulsively at major resistance. It feels exciting when price is surging, but ironically, this is often where risk is highest and reward is most limited.
Why? Because historical resistance zones—like the $175–$183 region on SOL—tend to attract heavy sell pressure. These are levels where many past buyers look to exit, where smart money hunts liquidity, and where false breakouts are most common. Without volume confirmation and a proper retest, breakouts through such zones often fail.
That’s why experienced traders wait. The smarter approach is to let the market come to you, and only act when one of two things happens:
A pullback into a well-defined, confluence-rich support zone
A clean breakout above resistance, followed by a retest and confirmation
SOL has respected structure beautifully, but now is not the time to chase. Either wait for a healthy correction into support, or let price prove its strength through a confirmed breakout. No trade is also a trade — and capital preservation is the foundation of long-term success.
Patience isn’t passive — it’s a strategy. Let the market come to your desired levels. You don't need to catch every move, only the high-probability trades and there aren’t born from impulse — they’re built on patience, structure, and right timing. 💎
Technical Breakdown
SOL has entered a major resistance zone between $175 and $183 — a historically significant level respected for over a year.
Within this zone lie two key highs:
$179.85: Recently swept with a clean Swing Failure Pattern (SFP)
$180.52: Still untested — if broken, it would confirm a strong bullish continuation
Breaking through such a well-established resistance on the first attempt is uncommon — it typically requires momentum and structure. A rejection here would suggest that SOL needs a healthy correction before mustering the strength for a true breakout.
📉 Elliott Wave Count
Looking at the structure, we’ve completed a 5-wave sequence — signaling the potential end of this impulse leg. According to Elliott Wave Theory, a corrective phase is now expected before continuation.
📐 Additional Confluence: Fib Speed Fan
The 0.618 Fib Speed Fan — drawn from the all-time high at $295.83 to the swing low at $95.26 — aligns perfectly with this resistance zone, adding more weight to the idea of a potential rejection or pause.
🟢 Long Setup: The Next High-Probability Entry Zone
We now shift our focus to where the next long opportunity could arise. Here’s the technical confluence:
Anchored VWAP from the recent low at $141.41 sits at $164.70
4H bullish order block around $164.46
0.382 Fib retracement of the full 5-wave impulse: $165.42
0.412 Fib retracement: $164.25
All these levels converge in a tight band, providing a solid long entry zone between:
Long Entry Zone: $165.50 to $164.25
Stop-Loss: Below $160 (to protect against any deep wick)
Targets:
TP1: $171.75 (Point of Control from the range)
TP2: $180.00 (resistance retest)
TP3: $200.00 (psychological level)
Estimated R:R: ~6:1 — High-conviction setup
Bonus: If price returns to this $165 zone within 24 hours, it will also be supported by the 0.618 Speed Fan — adding one more layer of support.
🔴 Short Setup: Reversal Play at $200
For those watching from the sidelines or looking to fade the rally, the psychological level at $200 presents a strong short opportunity — but only on confirmation (e.g., SFP or bearish engulfing).
Short Entry: On rejection at $200
Stop-Loss: $206.10
Target: $187.00
Estimated R:R: ~2:1
🧠 Summary:
Completed 5-wave structure → potential correction phase underway
Strong resistance at $175–$183 with SFP and speed fan alignment
High-probability long setup at $165.5–$164.25 with multi-layered confluence
Potential short at $200 on confirmation
⚠️ Key Takeaway: Don’t Chase the Highs
This is where many traders slip — FOMOing into trades at major resistance. Please, don’t do it. Instead, wait for:
A pullback into well-defined support (like the $165 zone), or
A clean breakout above $180, followed by a confirmed retest
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If you found this helpful, leave a like and comment below! Got requests for the next technical analysis? Let me know.
Mastering Volatile Markets: Why Patience is Your Biggest Edge█ Mastering Volatile Markets Part 3: Why Patience is Your Biggest Edge
If you've read Part 1 about position sizing and Part 2 on liquidity , then you already know how to adapt to the mechanics of volatile markets. The next great tool in your arsenal will be patience.
Your biggest opponent in wild markets is your own mind.
In volatile markets, your emotions can easily get the best of you. Fear of missing out (FOMO) is one of the most dangerous emotions that drives poor decisions.
█ FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) Hits Hardest in Volatile Markets
Wild price swings, like 300-500 point moves in the Nasdaq or Bitcoin jumping $1000 in seconds, can make it feel like easy money is everywhere.
You can quickly get the overwhelming temptation to chase moves , especially when it seems like you're missing every opportunity.
This is where most traders lose.
Let me state some harsh truths that I had to learn the hard way through many losses:
Volatility doesn't equal opportunity.
Fast moves don't mean easy trades.
Most wild price moves are designed to trap liquidity and punish impatience.
The true reality is that the market wants you to overreact in these conditions.
It wants you to buy after a big move.
It wants you to short after a flush.
It thrives on you being emotional, chasing, and reacting.
Because reactive traders = liquidity providers for smart money.
Every single trader has made this mistake — not just once, but over and over again. Jumping into the market after a big move, hoping it will continue… but what usually happens? The market snaps back and stops you out.
Can you relate? Share your story or experience with this in the comments below!
█ What Experienced Traders Do Instead
⚪ They Know the First Move is Often the Trap
Breakout? Expect a fakeout.
Breakdown? Expect a snapback.
New high? Watch for stop hunts.
New low? Watch for a flush.
Effectively speaking, pro traders don't chase the market. We wait for stop hunts to complete, liquidity grabs to finish, price to return into their zone, and for confirmations before entering the market.
⚪ They Train Patience Like a Skill
Professional traders aren't more patient because they're "special." We are patient because we’ve learned the hard way that chasing leads to pain.
⚪ They Know When Not to Trade
It is bad to trade when there’s no clear structure, no clean confirmation, if the spread is too wide or when the liquidity is too thin.
Instead, pro traders let the market come to them , not the other way around.
⚪ They Turn FOMO into Confidence
Instead of saying, "I'm missing the move…" , I recommend you think:
"If it ran without me — it wasn't my trade."
"If it comes back into my setup — now it's my trade."
█ So, what have we learned today?
Volatility triggers FOMO. FOMO triggers bad decisions. Bad decisions trigger losses.
To win long-term, you must stay calm, selective and professional. Let other traders be emotional liquidity. That's how you survive volatile markets.
█ What We Covered Already:
Part 1: Reduce Position Size
Part 2: Liquidity Makes or Breaks Your Trades
Part 3: Why Patience is Your Biggest Edge
█ What's Coming Next in the Series:
Part 4: Trend Is Your Best Friend
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Disclaimer
The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
What to do after you missed a big price move (Example: EUR/USD)There was a big fast move in EUR/USD last week.
The ‘European currencies’ did especially well versus the US dollar, including GBP/USD and USD/CHF as well as the ‘Skandies’ SEK/USD and NOK/USD.
If you rode the move, then job done. If you did ride the move up, you might have taken full profits already - or maybe you are leaving a little bit of the position open to ride any continuation of the move.
But, what to do if you missed it completely?
Explosive moves in the market usually mean traders who were on the ‘losing’ side step out for a while, having lost confidence in their view. For example if you were bearish and the market makes a significant move higher - you’re probably going to be a lot less confident in your bearish view - but perhaps also not ready to take an opposite bullish view. The loss of sellers in the market can see the up-move continue with minimal pullback.
This might suggest buying any small dips to ride the next leg higher, and emotionally it would offer some salvation to capture the second leg of the move even if you missed the first leg. However, what you are doing here is ‘chasing the market’.
One trouble is that after a big move in the market, there is no definitive place to put your stop loss, except at the beginning of the move - which is now far away. That's a bad risk: reward.
It is tempting to place a closer (more manageable) stop loss under lower timeframe levels of support - but then you find yourself trading an unknown strategy that requires different rules to follow because it is based on a lower timeframe.
And indeed, after a sharp move in the market - there is still a chance for a sharp pullback to match. Why? Because buyers quickly take profits on their unexpected quick gains, which will create selling pressure into minimal support - because the next support level is far away.
A sharp pullback would mean an opportunity to buy into the uptrend at a lower level, closer to the previous support. But then the flipside of the sharp pullback is that it raises questions over the sustainability of the initial move.
Probably the biggest takeaway here is not to think about this ‘explosive’ move in isolation.
Instead of forcing a trade, consider:
1. Waiting for the right setup in the same market. If your strategy is based on structured breakouts, wait for the next clean consolidation or pattern before re-engaging. A big move often leads to a new setup—but forcing a trade in the middle of a volatile move isn’t a strategy, it’s FOMO.
2. Looking at uncorrelated markets. Just because EUR/USD already made a big move doesn’t mean you have to trade it now. If you want to be in at the start of a move, shift focus to another market that hasn’t yet made its move.
3. Sticking to your edge. If your strategy works over hundreds of trades, don’t abandon it just because one market moved without you. The next opportunity will come—if not in this market, then in another.
Again, the best trades don’t come from reacting to what already happened, but from positioning for what’s about to happen. If you missed the move, accept it, reset, and wait for the next high-quality setup—whether in the same market or somewhere else.
FOMO and Hope for a Price Reversal: Two Psychological Traps❓ Have you ever entered a trade out of fear of missing out (FOMO) or held on to a losing position, hoping the market would turn in your favor?
Psychological mistakes are a huge factor in whether a trader succeeds or fails. One of the most common and damaging mistakes is FOMO (Fear of Missing Out), followed by holding onto trades because of an unrealistic hope that the market will reverse despite all evidence pointing to the opposite. These behaviors are far too common, even among experienced traders. Understanding and avoiding them is essential to improve your trading results. 🧵
💡In this article, we’ll break down the psychological mistakes every trader faces, how to identify them, and practical strategies to prevent them from affecting your trades.
The Psychological Side of Trading 🧠
In trading, emotions can be our worst enemy. Here are two common psychological traps that many traders fall into:
🔮 FOMO (Fear of Missing Out):
What It Is: FOMO is when you enter a trade impulsively, simply because you see others making profits or you fear missing the "big move."
Why It Happens: The market seems to be moving in one direction, and you don't want to miss out on potential profits. This often happens when you're watching others on social media or in trading groups.
Impact: This leads to impulsive decisions, often entering trades late in the trend or at inappropriate levels.
Tip: To combat FOMO, stick to your pre-defined trading plan and only take trades based on your specific criteria. Remember, there will always be new opportunities.
🔎 Unrealistic Hope in Price Reversals:
What It Is: This is when you hold onto a losing position, hoping that the market will reverse in your favor, despite clear signs to the contrary.
Why It Happens: It’s often rooted in the belief that “the market can’t keep going against me,” or the hope that the trend will change.
Impact: This often results in larger losses because the trader doesn't cut their losses early and ends up holding onto a position until it’s too late.
Tip: When you see signs that the market is continuing against you, cut your losses quickly. Trading is about being patient and disciplined, not about hoping for a reversal.
🛠 Strategies and Tools for Managing Emotions 📈
Trading is all about control—control over risk, strategy, and most importantly, over your emotions. Here are some tools and strategies to keep your psychology in check:
1. Position Sizing & Risk Management
Position Sizing: One of the most effective ways to reduce emotional stress and maintain control over your trades is by managing your position size. A general rule of thumb is to risk 1-2% of your total account balance on each trade. However, this percentage can vary based on your risk tolerance, experience, and self-awareness. As you gain more experience and better understand your risk profile, you may adjust this amount accordingly, but always ensure you're comfortable with the risk you're taking.
2. Stick to Your Strategy
Trading Plan: Make sure you have a solid trading plan and stick to it. Your plan should include:
Entry signals
Exit signals
Risk management rules (e.g., stop-loss, take-profit levels)
Don't Chase the Market: If you missed the breakout, don’t chase it. There will always be new opportunities, and chasing the market often leads to poor entry points and higher risks.
3. Psychological Self-Awareness
Track Your Emotions: Keep a trading journal to track not only your trades but also your emotional state. Understanding your psychological triggers (e.g., fear, greed) can help you avoid emotional mistakes.
Set Realistic Expectations: Remember, trading is a marathon, not a sprint. Accept that you will have losses, and focus on your long-term profitability rather than on every single trade.
Successfully navigating trading isn’t just about technical indicators or chart patterns—it’s also about controlling your emotions. FOMO and holding on to unrealistic hopes can seriously damage your trading performance. The key is to develop a strong psychological mindset: stick to your strategy, manage your risk, and always make decisions based on data, not emotions.
💌Now, it’s your turn!
Which psychological mistakes have you encountered in your trading journey? Share your experiences in the comments below and let’s learn from each other!
I’m Skeptic , here to simplify trading and help you achieve mastery step by step. Let’s keep growing together! 🤍
My FOMO Nightmare: How Missing One Trade Changed My Trading LifeI remember the day like it was yesterday. I was scrolling through X (Twitter), seeing everyone go wild over this one stock. My heart raced as I watched the price skyrocket, but I hesitated. I hadn't done my homework on this one, and something felt off. But the fear of missing out? That was eating at me.
The next day, I woke up to see the stock had crashed. My initial relief turned into regret. Maybe I could've sold at the peak if I had just jumped in like everyone else. That's when FOMO, or Fear Of Missing Out, became my trading nemesis:
-Hasty Actions: I started jumping into trades at the last minute, driven by the buzz on social media, not by my own analysis.
-Screen Addiction: I couldn't step away from my screen, worried I'd miss the next big move. My life began revolving around the market's every twitch.
- Chasing Losses: After missing a few opportunities, I found myself in a dangerous cycle, trying to make up for lost gains with even riskier trades.
But here's the twist in my story. One evening, after a particularly bad day of chasing trends, I sat back and realized how this fear was controlling me, not my strategy. I decided to change. I set strict rules for myself: no trading based on social media hype, sticking to my research, and remembering that every market has its patterns - there's always another chance if you miss one.
Now, I trade with a calm mind, knowing that if I miss one trade, there'll be another. If you've ever felt that burning desire to join the rush, only to regret it later, you're not alone. Let's share our stories and strategies for overcoming FOMO. DM me if you want to chat about how we can keep our heads in the game, not just our eyes on the screen.
Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
TradeCityPro | ICPUSDT Missed the Market Move? Don’t FOMO👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let’s analyze the market during a day when it has finally shown some movement, focusing on coins with clear triggers.
💥 Avoid FOMO
The reason we create daily content for this community is to emphasize the importance of analyzing the market daily and identifying triggers before taking trades. This prevents you from acting impulsively and becoming a profit target for others who entered earlier.
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
Before analyzing today’s altcoin, let’s quickly review Bitcoin on the 1-hour timeframe. As mentioned yesterday, Bitcoin’s movement was predicted. After breaking the 98606 trigger, a long position with a stop loss at 97343 was suggested, considering the potential for whale-driven moves at higher levels.
Additionally, if Bitcoin dominance broke the 57.08 resistance, opening positions on Bitcoin was the preferred approach. Otherwise, a switch to altcoins was recommended.
Here’s my position: R/R 3. The triggers I share are the same ones I use in my trades. Remember, not every day requires action!
If you missed the move, should you open a long position after breaking 102208? Not yet. While the current timeframe suggests caution due to overbought conditions, you can consider this on the 15-minute chart. My recommendation: focus on identifying altcoin triggers to stay ahead of the market.
📊 Weekly Timeframe
ICP has seen a significant move since its support at 2.868, rallying by around 400%. Recently, it has consolidated and established strong support at 6.603, which aligns with the 0.5 Fibonacci level and the 50% Dow Theory level, highlighting its importance.
If you entered at lower levels, consider taking out your initial investment or exiting below 6.603. If you bought after the 9.684 breakout, patience is key. Given the potential for an early breakout above 14.879, maintain a stop loss at 6.603.
For re-entry, a break above 9.684 signifies a lift-off from the midline of its horizontal range, suggesting a stronger likelihood of breaking 14.879. Increased volume confirmation post-breakout can validate a buying opportunity.
Let’s address the fake breakout at 14.879. Unlike the 2.868 level, which saw sustained price action and a move upwards post-daily box formation, the 14.879 breakout was merely a single candle spike followed by an immediate reversal.
📈 Daily Timeframe
ICP remains in its large range box, oscillating between 6.691 and 15.22. A sharp move is expected upon breaking either the upper or lower boundary of this range.
ICP has already begun moving after breaking its smaller box resistance at 9.834. It has retested this breakout, unlike some coins that re-enter their boxes, underscoring ICP's bullish momentum compared to peers.
Currently, ICP faces resistance at 12.409, which was previously ignored but has regained significance. Staying above 11.281 provides an opportunity for small preemptive buys, but the main trigger remains 15.22.
⏱ 4-Hour Timeframe
ICP’s chart looks promising, as it has broken out of its 4-hour box and is consolidating below the next resistance level, presenting a potential entry trigger.
Drawing Fibonacci levels from the start of the drop reveals reactions at all levels. Currently below 0.618, breaking this level could propel ICP to the 13.697 resistance. Remaining above 11.333 and the 0.382 Fibonacci level highlights the importance of the 12.476 resistance.
📈 Long Position Trigger
If you didn’t open a position at 11.333, it’s still fine. Momentum has entered this chart. After breaking 12.476, you can open a long position with a tighter stop. Ensure volume increases and RSI enters overbought territory to manage risk.
📉 Short Position Trigger
Currently, I’m not planning any short positions. If 12.476 faces a fake breakout and reverses, I’ll look for short setups in lower timeframes using a fake breakout strategy.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
The Cycles of Cryptocurrencies: Patience is Key!Hey, let's share with beginners, ok =)?
The cryptocurrency market is widely known for its volatility, and understanding the cycles of highs and lows is essential for those looking to invest wisely. These cycles are a natural part of the financial ecosystem and often follow patterns similar to those of other speculative markets.
During moments of high prices, known as “bull runs,” enthusiasm takes over. Headlines boast astronomical gains, investors pour in en masse, and there’s a general feeling that "this time is different." Many beginners end up buying at the peak, driven by the fear of missing out (FOMO).
On the other hand, moments of low prices, or “bear markets,” bring uncertainty and pessimism. Prices plummet, and the same investors who bought during the hype start selling, often out of desperation or lack of understanding of the cycles. It's important to remember that markets have historically recovered, rewarding those who remain calm and patient.
The lesson here is clear: don’t act on impulse. Experienced investors see downturns as opportunities to buy assets at lower prices, while beginners end up selling at a loss—losses that could have been avoided with a long-term strategy.
If you're just starting in the cryptocurrency world, remember: patience is key. Avoid acting emotionally, always educate yourself about the market, and understand that opportunities aren’t lost—they simply change hands. Plan your investments, set clear goals, and above all, don’t panic.
Share! =)
STEPN - Looking great, don't let FOMO draw you inYes, this looks like a fantastic time to buy. But is it? No. Until the super simple chart with the trend line is breached decisively, there shall be no buy. If the trendline is not broken, then we're just set for more down and lower lows. Want to lose all your money? Plough it in based on FOMO. If you do not want you bank account to go to $0.00 then step back, zoom out and keep an eye on the signals to ensure you're not putting good money after bad. All the glitters is NOT gold. Follow for more.
TradeCityPro | SUIUSDT The Best Coin of the Week?👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let’s dive into the analysis of SUI, a coin that has recently caught significant attention for its impressive performance. Despite being a young coin listed in mid-2023, SUI has managed to climb to the 15th rank in the market.
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
As always, we begin by analyzing Bitcoin. On the 1-hour timeframe, after rejecting and setting a new ATH at $108,230, Bitcoin has entered a downtrend, which appears to have ended at $92,400.
However, the market is at a critical decision point. If Bitcoin fails to hold above $96,277 and breaks $99,079, a bullish continuation can be expected, proving this decline was merely corrective. Otherwise, breaking below $96,277 could signal shorting opportunities. Yet, caution is advised—secure profits quickly and avoid greed.
Bitcoin dominance, which has recently attracted much attention, saw a pullback to the 60% resistance level. This move, accompanied by market corrections, led to larger declines for altcoins, indicating the need for Bitcoin dominance to form lower highs—a shift that may be underway.
🕵️♂️ Previous Analysis
we had identified a PRZ area, and after breaking the 3.4295 support, it reacted to this zone. Following the rebound, it reached the resistance level we had previously identified at 4.7422. Currently, it is fluctuating just below this resistance.
📊 Weekly Timeframe
On the weekly timeframe, SUI has shown remarkable bullish momentum. After breaking the $1 resistance, it rallied toward $5 and currently trades at $4.5468.
The coin experienced strong volume inflows, maintaining RSI in the overbought zone for weeks. Yet, a breakout above 84.09 could justify additional entries.
If this week’s candle closes green, it will highlight strong buyer activity, reinforcing SUI’s exceptional performance amid market corrections. For those who entered at $1 or $1.76, transferring assets to DeFi platforms could be a wise move for leveraging SUI’s growth.
Using Fibonacci retracement, we identified potential future targets at $5.73, $14.56, and $23.83, depending on market cap movements.
📈 Daily Timeframe
On the daily timeframe, after breaking the $1.0273 range, SUI initiated its primary uptrend, forming new resistances and continuing upward. Yesterday’s daily candle confirmed strong buying interest, showcasing the coin’s superior recovery compared to others in the market.
Even now, an entry with a stop-loss at $3.1340 could be considered for high-risk buyers. Volume data also clearly indicates significant inflows.
Key support levels align with Fibonacci retracements, with $2.3716 being the most crucial level—serving as both a 0.382 Fibonacci level and a previously broken resistance turned support.
⏱ 4-Hour Timeframe
On the 4-hour timeframe, after the Fed meeting and Powell's speech caused market declines, SUI quickly rebounded from the $3.5013 support level, showing a sharp recovery back toward its highs.
📈 Long Position Trigger:
breaking $4.7955 offers an ideal entry point, with orders placed above resistance due to potential whale activity. Ensure a wide stop-loss to avoid being stopped out by volatility.
📉 Short Position Trigger:
while I wouldn’t short SUI personally, breaking $4.345 could justify a position with a tight stop-loss. Regardless, secure profits quickly to mitigate the risk of rapid reversals.
🔗 Chart: 4H SUI Chart
💡 BTC Pair Insight
Against BTC, SUI is one of the most bullish pairs in the market. While most coins show red candles against Bitcoin, SUI strives to close green. If it breaks the 0.00004306 resistance and RSI confirms above 74.98, a strong upward trend could follow, benefiting both BTC and USDT pairs.
🌞 Conclusion
SUI stands out as a strong contender this week, displaying exceptional resilience and bullish momentum. With clear triggers for both long and short positions, the coin offers opportunities for strategic trading. Ensure careful risk management and stay prepared for rapid market shifts.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️






















