XAUUSD 30M – Intraday Plan Around the RangePrice is holding between $3,657.17 (resistance) and $3,626.93 (support).
We’re trading around $3,652–$3,653 just below resistance. Scalps can work, but bigger moves need confirmation.
🔼 Bullish Plan (primary focus – aligned with fundamentals)
Trigger: A clean 30min body close above $3,657.17 (not just a wick).
Targets: $3,660.30 → $3,664.53 → $3,666.14
Management: Take partials at $3,660.30, move SL to breakeven once $3,657 holds on retest.
🔽 Bearish Plan (secondary, cleaner below support)
Trigger: 30min body close below $3,626.93.
Targets: $3,624.52 → $3,623.32 → $3,621.49
Management: Scale partials at $3,624.52, protect the rest at breakeven.
🌍 Fundamentals: CPI bit hotter than expected → supports Fed rate cuts (odds at 100%). Real yields declining + strong central bank demand → keeps gold structurally bullish.
🔄 Range Scalp (higher risk, small size)
Shorts: $3,656–$3,657 on rejection → aim $3,650–$3,652, SL above $3,660.
Longs: $3,627–$3,628 on rejection wick → aim $3,636–$3,640, SL below $3,624.
✅ Break Confirmation
Strong 30min close through $3,657 or $3,626.
❌ Invalidation
Breakout closes back inside the box (trap).
Multiple wicks with no continuation.
📌 Bottom Line
Above $3,657.17 → bullish bias to $3,660 → $3,666.
Below $3,626.93 → bearish bias to $3,624 → $3,621.
Inside the box = scalp only, risk tight.
Forex-analysis
XAUUSD (GOLD) 30M – Intraday PlanPrice is trading between $3,387.70 (resistance) and $3,367.84 (support). Currently sitting mid-range around $3,377, with both sides still open.
🔼 Bullish Plan
Trigger: 30m body close above $3,387.70.
Targets: First push into $3,389.59, then $3,391.19. Momentum extension possible into $3,392+.
Management: Partial profits at first target, move SL to breakeven once $3,387 is defended.
🔽 Bearish Plan
Trigger: Clean 30m close below $3,367.84.
Targets: First into $3,365.16, then $3,362.88, with extension risk toward $3,361.28.
Management: Scale at each level, trail stops if downside expands.
⚡ Range Scalp (riskier)
Shorts: Rejection at $3,387–$3,388, targeting $3,377–$3,378, SL above rejection.
Longs: Bounces from $3,368 zone, targeting $3,376–$3,377, SL below wick lows.
Use smaller size — chop can reverse fast.
✅ Confirmation for Break
Strong 30m body close through key level.
Momentum follow through after breakout.
❌ Invalidation
Breakout closes back inside the range (fakeout).
Multiple wicks through level with no follow through.
📌 Bottom Line: Waiting for a decisive 30m close outside $3,367.84–$3,387.70. Upside focus above $3,387.70 into $3,391.19. Downside focus below $3,367.84 toward $3,362.88–$3,361.28.
AUDCHF: Breaks Below Ascending TrendlineMy observations across the Daily (D1) and Hourly (H1) timeframes.
D1 timeframe:
My EMA20 is below the EMA 60. Price has ranged a bit longer than I anticipated, but we are now getting the indication that the downtrend is continuing.
Price is also below EMA20, which helps to signal momentum is picking up.
H1 Timeframe:
After price crossed below the daily ascending trendline, it stalled and then pulled back up. To some, this is a fakeout. To others, this is a liquidity trap.
I remained patient and found an opportunity to enter on the longer bearish bar, which shows price is pushing below prior lows after this breakout lower.
Euro may reach seller zone and then start to decline to 1.1600Hello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. The historical price action for the Euro began with a period of contracting volatility, where the market consolidated within a triangle formation. A decisive breakout from this triangle unleashed a strong upward impulse, which marked a shift into the current market environment characterised by expanding volatility. This new phase is captured by a large broadening wedge, which has since been defining the trading range between the major buyer zone around 1.1450 and a significant seller zone near the 1.1740 resistance. After a powerful impulse down from the top of this wedge was absorbed by the buyer zone, the asset has entered a corrective rally back towards the upper boundary. Currently, the price is approaching this critical confluence of resistance. The primary working hypothesis is a short scenario, predicated on the expectation that the seller zone will once again cap the rally. A confirmed rejection from this area would validate the integrity of the broadening pattern and suggest that another major downward rotation is imminent. Therefore, the TP for this anticipated decline is logically placed at the 1.1600 points, representing a key area of prior price interaction and a prudent first objective. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
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British Pound will bounce up from support line of channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about British Pound. The market structure has undergone a notable transition from a bullish to a bearish phase, with the breakdown from a prior upward channel leading to the formation of a new, well-defined downward channel. This has shifted the market's momentum, with price action now being governed by the descending boundaries of this new formation, respecting the seller zone near the top and finding temporary footing at the bottom. The price has recently completed a significant downward impulse within this structure, arriving at a critical confluence of support around the 0.8600 level. This area is highly significant as it represents the intersection of the channel's lower support line and a strong horizontal buyer zone that has previously provided a floor for the price. The primary working hypothesis is a long, rotational scenario, based on the high probability of a bullish reaction from this key support cluster. A confirmed bounce from the buyer zone would signal that a corrective upward rebound is underway, offering an opportunity for a move back towards the upper boundary of the channel. Therefore, the TP for this long idea is logically placed at the 0.8700 resistance level. This target aligns perfectly with the major seller zone and the channel's upper resistance line, representing the most probable destination for a counter-trend rally of this nature. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Scenario Study: (USD/JPY) BULLS vs BEARSHere’s a fresh, focused read on USD/JPY using today’s news, data, and technicals, plus trader sentiment on 4 hour charts.
What changed today so far... (Aug 13, 2025)
CPI came in mild (~2.7% YoY) → markets ramped up odds of a September Fed cut (≈94–98%) → Treasury yields/dollar slipped. That kept USD/JPY heavy after a pop to ~148.5 earlier in the week.
4-hour technicals (levels that matter)
Range defined by MAs: Price has been ping-ponging between the 4h 100-bar MA (~147.94) and 4h 200-bar MA (~146.73). A break of either side likely sets the near-term trend.
Nearby resistance: 148.00/148.50 (recent weekly high ~148.52). A sustained 4h close above opens 149.00 → 149.50.
Nearby support: 147.10 (intra-range floor) then 146.70 (4h 200-MA); below that, risk toward 146.00–145.50.
Short MAs (8 & 16 on 4h charts): With CPI softness pressuring USD, the very short MAs are flattening/near price (typical in a range). A bearish tilt re-asserts if price rides below them toward the 200-MA; a bullish turn needs reclaims above them and a close >148.00/148.50. (Directional inference from the cited 4h range behavior.)
Sentiment & positioning
Retail positioning: Net-long skew persists (~61% long / 39% short), a contrarian negative for USD/JPY if the skew persists into weakness. Ahead of/after CPI, trader bias for USD leaned bearish (BofA), and the dollar index eased post-release. That favors JPY on dips unless risk rallies push yields back up.
Tradeable take (4-hour game plan)
Bias now: Mildly bearish / range-to-down while below 148.00–148.50 and especially if price holds under the 8/16 4h MAs toward the 200-bar MA (~146.7).
Bearish continuation trigger: 4h close below 146.70 (200-MA) → momentum target 146.00 → 145.50; invalidation back above 147.20–147.40.
Bullish reversal trigger: 4h close above 148.50 (and holding above the short MAs) → targets 149.00 → 149.50; invalidation on a drop back below 148.00.
THE BOTTOM LINE
Today’s softer CPI + higher cut odds keep USD/JPY on the back foot, with the pair stuck between the 4h 100- and 200-bar MAs. Until 148.50 breaks, risk skews to a grind lower toward 146.7 → 146.0; a clean topside break flips bias to 149+~.
Thank you for reading, and happy trading!
_________________________________
DISCLAIMER: This analysis was conducted by our in-house team of multi-level traders. We are not responsible for any losses you may incur. Always do you own research before trading.
XAUUSD ( GOLD ) Sideways Grind – Big Move LoadingPrice is still ranging between $3,368.41and $3,343.41. The D1 open sits near $3,347, acting like a pivot. Trades inside the box are possible but riskier due to quick fades and wicky candles.
Bullish plan (need confirmation)
Trigger: A clean 30min close above $3,368.41 (body close, not a wick).
Targets: The marked level at $3,377.34. If momentum is strong, trail stops and let it run.
Bearish plan (cleaner if we lose the box)
Trigger: 30min close below $3,343.41.
Targets: $3,337.49 first. If sellers keep control, trail for extra downside.
Management: Scale out at $3,337.5, protect the rest.
Range scalp (only if you accept higher risk)
Fade the edges:
Short near $3,368 on clear rejection; target mid ($3,356–3,358), SL just above the rejection high.
Long near $3,343–3,345 on a strong rejection wick; target mid, SL just below the lows.
Keep size smaller; this chop flips fast.
What would confirm the break
Strong 30m candle bodies through the level (not just spikes).
What invalidates
Breakout that closes back inside the range on the next candle → likely a trap; exit and reassess.
Multiple long wicks through the level with no follow through.
Bottom line: I’m patient inside $3,343–$3,368. I’ll act on a 30m close. Upside focus above $3,368.41 toward $3,377.34; downside focus below $3,343.41 toward $3,337.49.
CADCHF SELLSI entered a sell on CADCHF that I didn’t share earlier. The reason behind the trade was that price mitigated a Daily inefficiency, which caused the 4H bullish structure to flip. After the flip, price pulled back into a well-defined 4H supply zone. I waited for confirmation on the 15-minute timeframe, and once the structure shifted there, the entry was triggered. Price has returned to the entry area, but the trade remains valid as long as the structure is intact. I'm aiming for a nice swing move if price cooperates, and I’ll definitely take partials at the first significant low.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis📈 EUR/USD Technical Analysis
🔍 1. Market Structure
⚙ Trend Context
• The overall trend since mid-July has been bullish, with higher highs and higher lows forming after a bounce from a key demand zone (around 1.15380).
• However, recent candles show indecision and a potential reversal, suggesting weakening momentum.
⸻
🧱 2. Volume Profile Insight (VRVP)
• High Volume Nodes (HVNs):
• Significant trading activity occurred between 1.172–1.176, now acting as resistance.
• Low Volume Gaps:
• Thin liquidity zones exist between 1.165–1.158, which could result in swift price movement if selling pressure increases.
📘 Educational Insight: Thin volume areas on a profile typically allow for faster price transitions due to lack of order density.
⸻
📊 3. Envelope Indicator – Nadaraya-Watson (8,3)
• A mean-reversion tool estimating dynamic overbought and oversold areas.
• Price recently rejected the upper boundary, reinforcing the bearish outlook.
• The lower envelope, around 1.158–1.160, aligns with the projected bearish target.
⸻
🟫 4. Demand Zone Analysis
• Labeled “DEMAND ZONE” at 1.15380–1.15830
• Previously caused a strong bullish reversal, marking it as an area of institutional interest.
• A re-test of this zone may attract buyers once again, presenting a key support area.
📘 Educational Insight: Demand zones reflect
Euro may reach seller zone and then continue to fall in channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. The price pair has recently shifted its market structure, establishing a clear downward channel after breaking its previous uptrend. Before this breakdown, the price was consistently trading within an Upward Channel, repeatedly finding support in the buyer zone (1.1325–1.1350) and reversing upward. The bullish momentum eventually faded when the price failed to break the major horizontal resistance level at 1.1630. This failure triggered a strong bearish impulse, leading to a decisive breakout below the channel's support line and confirming a trend reversal. Currently, the price is making a corrective move up inside the newly formed downward channel, which appears to be a classic retest of the broken structure from below. I expect this upward move to stall as it approaches the heavy confluence of resistance formed by the channel's upper Resistance Line and the horizontal seller zone at 1.1630–1.1655. After testing this area, I anticipate a rejection and the beginning of a new bearish leg down. That's why I've set my TP at the 1.1500 level — it aligns perfectly with the support line of the current downward channel, making it a logical target for sellers. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD Analysis – June Monthly CloseGold starts the week with a weak bounce attempt after a strong bearish momentum on Friday, which pushed the market below the key 3254 support. The downtrend structure remains valid with a clear pattern of lower highs and lower lows on the 4H chart.
At the moment, price is trapped inside the 3254–3295 range. Despite the strong bearish pressure, we have yet to see a meaningful correction after the sharp drop on June 28th. This opens the door for a potential intraday pullback to test minor supply and moving average resistance near 3291–3297.
However, today is monthly candle close, which means increased volatility and possible false breakouts—especially during US sessions. Traders should be cautious with breakout traps, especially around 3305–3310, where stop hunting might occur.
The bigger picture still favors the bears unless gold manages to break and hold above the descending trendline and the EMA cluster.
📌 Trade Setup (Short Bias – Intraday Correction)
SELL zone: 3291 – 3297
SL: 3303 (Above supply & EMA test zone)
TP1: 3278
TP2: 3255
TP3: 3215
This is not a high-conviction swing setup but a tactical short based on potential rejection from previous supply and dynamic resistance. Small lot size is recommended due to the wider stop-loss and low R/R reward unless high volatility plays in our favor.
📊 Key Intraday Levels
R3: 3342
R2: 3322
R1: 3295
Pivot: 3254
S1: 3214
S2: 3180
S3: 3123
Gold may exit from pennant and rise to resistance levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. The price previously made a strong impulse upward, forming a downward pennant, but this move lost steam after touching the seller zone around 3430 - 3440. From there, the market reversed and dropped sharply below the support level, even creating a visible gap. Didn’t last long, the price recovered quickly and made another strong move up, breaking out of the downward pennant structure. Since then, Gold has been trading inside a new formation, an upward pennant, where both support and resistance lines are gradually converging. This setup suggests growing pressure and the potential for a breakout. Currently, the price is hovering near the support line of this upward pennant. In my opinion, we may see a small correction to test this support, followed by a bullish rebound. If the structure holds, Gold could break out upward and head directly toward the 3430 resistance level, which matches the upper boundary of the previous seller zone — this is my TP 1. Given the strong impulse structure and continuation pattern, I remain bullish and expect further growth after this local retest. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Euro can turn around and start to fall to support areaHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Observing this chart, we can see how the price earlier dropped toward the 1.1360 support level and successfully broke it. Then we saw a short recovery move, but the price once again returned to the downside and retested the support line from below. After that, the market created a strong upward impulse, broke back above the 1.1360 level, and entered a phase of consolidation inside a range. This range held for some time, with price respecting both its upper and lower boundaries. Eventually, we saw a breakout from this consolidation, followed by another strong bullish impulse and a steady climb above the 1.1530 zone, where price is currently trading. However, the price has now approached a critical structure and is showing signs of weakening momentum. In my mind, the Euro may attempt one more small move up but then turn around and start declining toward the 1.1530 support level, breaking the ascending support line as well. That's why my TP is this support level, which coincides with the support area. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
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EUR/USD - After taking the highs, are the lows next?The EUR/USD currency pair is moving between two important price levels. The top level is 1.1454 and the bottom level is 1.1357. This means the price is staying inside a range. Yesterday, the price of EUR/USD went above the top level of 1.1454. By doing this, it triggered many stop-loss orders from traders who were expecting the price to go down. These traders had placed their stop-losses just above this level, and the market moved up to take them out.
Current support of the 1H FVG
Now, the price is starting to go down again. It is getting closer to the lower level of the range, which is around 1.1357. There is a chance that the market will go below this level as well. If that happens, it may take out the stop-loss orders of traders who are expecting the price to go up. These traders often place their stop-losses just below the low point of the range. When the market goes below the low, it collects liquidity. In simple words, it grabs the orders that are waiting there.
Looking at the chart, we can see that EUR/USD has found some support at the 1-hour Fair Value Gap (1H FVG). This area is acting like a short-term floor for the price. If a full 1-hour candle closes below this support area, then the price will likely fall further. In that case, it may reach the bottom of the range and possibly move below it to take out more stop-losses.
Why below support?
But why would the market go below the low on purpose? The reason is that many retail traders, those are small traders who trade from home, often put their stop-losses just below the recent low. If the market moves there, it activates those stop-losses. These stop-losses are usually sell orders, and when they get triggered, it gives the market extra selling power. After collecting this liquidity, the market often uses the new buying interest (from other traders entering long positions) to push the price back up again.
Conclusion
So in summary, the EUR/USD is still inside a range. It has already moved above the top to take out stop-losses, and now it might go below the bottom to do the same. After that, there could be a strong move upward, powered by the new liquidity in the market.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Gold has recently broke through the call entry!Market Analysis Update: Gold Price Movement
Gold has recently broken through the Call Entry (CE) level of the 1-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG), indicating a possible continuation of upward momentum in the short term. Based on current price action and technical indicators, we are expecting gold to continue moving higher. This move may potentially target the liquidity resting above previous swing highs, as traders' stop losses in those areas are likely to be triggered, fueling the upward trend.
Once this liquidity is cleared, there is a notable resistance zone marked in the 3270–3274 range, commonly referred to as the "black zone." This area is likely to act as a key decision point. If price reaches this zone and exhibits signs of bearish confirmation (such as rejection candles, divergence, or other reversal signals), there may be a potential selling opportunity from that level.
Additionally, it is worth noting that there is a trendline drawn below the current market structure, which may also attract price action. This trendline represents another area where liquidity might be collected before any significant directional move occurs.
Thank you for your attention to this analysis. If there is anything in the explanation that you find unclear or if you have questions about specific terms or concepts, feel free to ask for clarification.
XAUUSDWe have two scenarios in the analysis: either a rise in the form of a trend, a staircase, or a deep correction and taking the buy zone. We wait for the deep correction of the market and taking the buy zone. However, if it rises in the form of a staircase, we will renew the entry, but in the event of any entry, geopolitical situations end the analysis and we analyze another analysis or another renewal.
Gold can correct to support level and then continue to move upHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. After studying this chart, we can track the progression of Gold's price action from strong bullish momentum to its current consolidation. Initially, the market trended confidently inside an upward channel, with steady growth supported by the lower boundary of the channel and occasional corrections after touching the resistance line. Each pullback respected previous support zones, a strong signal of buyer control at the time. The most impulsive move came after the price exited the buyer zone, followed by a clean breakout above the resistance line of the channel. However, once the price entered the seller zone, we saw the momentum start to fade. A strong rejection occurred near the resistance level at 3370, which eventually triggered a series of lower highs and shifted the market into a more neutral, range-bound phase. Currently, Gold is trading inside a defined range between 3205 and 3370. The bottom of this range aligns perfectly with the buyer zone, which already acted as a strong support during the last decline. We can also observe the market beginning to show signs of reversal after tapping the zone again. Given the reaction from the support area and the structure of the range, I expect the price can bounce back and make another attempt to reach the 3370 resistance level, which is my TP1 for this scenario. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
TA for FX,Indices and many More!(Week 17,28Apr25)Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Which pairs or instruments should we keep a look out for?
For me I am looking at :
potentially more pullback (down) on EURUSD and the majors.(stronger USD)
SNP might have a day or 2 of upside and pullback (chance for long on the change in daily trend)
Potential H&S on EurGbp and Gold.
BTC to see potential long if there's decent pullback.
NFP this week, BOJ interest rate release as well! Take note!
Do check out my recorded video for more insights!
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
-- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! --
Euro can drop from top part of range and fall to support levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Recently, price continued to grow inside a well-defined upward channel, maintaining a steady structure of higher highs and higher lows. The move started after a clear breakout from the buyer zone, which marked a strong bullish impulse and confirmed support near the 1.0735 level. After this breakout, the price gradually climbed, eventually entering a horizontal range, where it started to consolidate between local support and resistance. The current support level has held firm and now aligns with the lower boundary of the range as well as the support area. At the moment, the Euro is approaching the upper boundary of the range. Given the repeated reactions from this resistance zone, I expect the price to make one more push upward, retesting the top of the range, and then reverse downward toward the lower boundary, with TP1 set at 1.1270, where demand and structure are likely to react again. This short-term setup aligns with the current channel structure, the strength of the support area, and the repeated rejection from the range highs. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Trade Analysis for Week 16 (14Apr25 onwards)Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Over here I will be sharing my analysis for this week.
Mainly On:
EURUSD
EURAUD
EURNZD
BTC
USDSGD
Moving forward I will separate both the Trade review and Coming week trade analysis for easy viewing!
-- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! --
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Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
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Trading Week 15 Review 2025Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
How was your trading this week?
Did you get a killing on the SNP, EURUSD etc?
This part will be on the review for this week.
Moving forward I will separate both the Trade review and Coming week trade analysis for easy viewing!
-- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! --
*********************************************************************
Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
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