USDJPY Analysis: MMC Resistance vs Major BOS (Technical View)🔍 Chart Summary:
The USDJPY pair is currently trading around 144.58, showing strong signs of structural buildup as it approaches a critical inflection point. This analysis leverages MMC (Market Mapping Concept) and price action structure to identify two possible directional outcomes — each grounded in key technical levels.
🧠 Key Technical Highlights:
📌 1. Expanding Wedge Pattern:
Price previously formed an expanding structure, signaling volatility and accumulation.
Expansion typically precedes major directional breakouts — either trend continuation or reversal.
📌 2. Downtrend Break Test:
A long-standing descending trendline has now been tested multiple times.
A confirmed breakout would be significant, indicating a major shift in market momentum.
📌 3. Resistance Zones:
Minor Resistance Zone around 158.00–160.00 marks a key supply area.
Watch for price action behavior if this level is tested — possible rejection or breakout continuation.
📌 4. Major Support Zone:
Support near 139.00–140.00, where price previously bounced, represents a solid floor and demand zone.
📌 5. BOS (Break of Structure):
Two BOS levels are marked:
Minor BOS (Around 146.00): Immediate reaction level to watch.
Major BOS (Around 149.00–150.00): If broken, could lead to sharp bullish continuation.
🔮 MMC Forecast Scenarios:
✅ Condition 1: Bullish Breakout Scenario
Price breaks above the descending trendline and clears the Minor BOS.
Target zone: 158.00–160.00 resistance.
Structure confirms bullish dominance if Major BOS is cleanly broken and retested.
⚠️ Condition 2: Bearish Rejection Scenario
Price rejects from current trendline or Minor BOS and reverses.
Potential drop toward Major Support around 140.00.
Watch for reversal confirmation with bearish engulfing candles or re-entry into expanding zone.
🧭 MMC Outlook Summary:
The chart is setting up for a key decision point. The market will either validate a bullish breakout structure or revert back into bearish continuation. These scenarios align with the MMC mapping method, providing clear conditions for traders to follow without bias.
Forextrading
Gold (XAUUSD) Technical Analysis : MMC Setup Confirmed + Target📊 1. Market Structure Overview
After a strong rally earlier this month, XAUUSD entered a corrective phase and formed a descending trendline which acted as resistance for multiple days. This trendline has just been tested and broken, suggesting that the correction may be coming to an end.
At the same time, price is showing signs of strength by bouncing off the lower boundary of a long-standing parallel ascending channel—a structure that has acted as dynamic support over the past two weeks.
🧱 2. Key Technical Elements
🟦 Support/Resistance Interchange Zone (S/R Flip)
Price recently interacted with a horizontal S/R interchange zone around the $3,310–$3,330 area.
This zone served as resistance during the earlier part of the trend and is now acting as support after the breakout.
It also overlaps with the mid-section of the ascending channel, adding confluence to this support area.
📐 Descending Trendline Break
The break above the descending trendline signals a potential shift in momentum.
Traders often view this kind of breakout as an early indicator of bullish continuation, especially when combined with volume or retests.
🟩 Next Reversal/Target Zone
A green box is highlighted around the $3,345–$3,355 zone, which could act as the next resistance or reversal level.
This is based on prior market structure and Fibonacci extension zones.
This area may offer a take-profit level for longs or a short-term reversal zone for countertrend traders.
🔍 3. What to Watch
✅ Bullish Scenario
If the price sustains above $3,310 and holds above the broken trendline, we could see a push toward the $3,345–$3,355 area.
Ideal long entries may occur on a retest of the trendline or the S/R flip zone, confirming it as support.
❌ Bearish Scenario
Failure to hold above the $3,300–$3,310 support region would invalidate the breakout.
A clean break below this zone could result in a drop back to the lower parallel channel boundary near $3,270 or even lower.
⚙️ 4. Trading Plan & Bias
Short-term Bias: Bullish (Trendline break + support hold)
Mid-term Bias: Cautiously Bullish (until major resistance is tested)
Risk Management: Stop-loss for long entries should be placed below $3,300 with targets near $3,345 and $3,355.
💬 Conclusion
This setup presents a classic case of trendline breakout + S/R flip confluence, which often leads to favorable risk/reward opportunities. Gold traders should monitor the retest behavior around current levels closely, as it will likely determine the next directional move.
📌 Always wait for confirmation, manage risk, and don’t chase moves—especially near major zones.
GBPUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GBPUSD?
GBP/USD has reached a key resistance zone and is currently trading below it. A bearish divergence has also formed, signaling potential weakness in bullish momentum.
Given the confluence of resistance and negative divergence, we expect the price to struggle breaking above this level and likely decline toward the specified support zones.
Unless price breaks above the resistance decisively, the bias remains bearish in the short term.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
BEST XAUUSD BUY AND SELL SETUP FOR TODAY 📉📊 Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis – Key Levels in Focus! 📈🧐
Gold is currently trading around the 3,326 zone after a recent pullback. Price is approaching the key support level at 3,310, where a potential bullish bounce may occur, targeting the next resistance near 3,350. 🛑 However, if price fails to hold above 3,310, we may see further downside movement towards the 3,293 support. 📉 Traders should watch for reaction and confirmation around these zones before taking entries. ⚠️💡 A bullish reversal could trigger strong buying momentum, while a bearish break may lead to deeper correction. 🎯💰
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on EURUSD?
EURUSD remains below a key resistance zone, and at this stage, it does not appear to have enough momentum to break through.
We are watching for potential sell setups around this area.
As long as there is no daily candle close above the resistance, we expect a pullback toward the specified support level.
If a daily candle closes above the resistance zone, the bearish scenario will be invalidated, and the structure may shift.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
EURGBP Hits SupportEURGBP Hits Support
EUR/GBP declined steadily below the 0.8440 and 0.8430 support levels.
Important Takeaways for EUR/GBP Analysis Today
- EUR/GBP is trading in a bearish zone below the 0.8450 pivot level.
- There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 0.8415 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.
EUR/GBP Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of EUR/GBP at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh decline from well above 0.8460. The Euro traded below the 0.8440 and 0.8430 support levels against the British Pound.
The EUR/GBP chart suggests that the pair even declined below the 0.8420 level and tested 0.8415. It is now consolidating losses and trading below the 50-hour simple moving average. However, there is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 0.8415.
The pair is now facing resistance near the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.8442 swing high to the 0.8416 low at 0.8430.
The next major resistance could be 0.8440. The main resistance is near the 0.8450 zone. It coincides with the 1.236 Fib extension level of the downward move from the 0.8442 swing high to the 0.8416 low.
A close above the 0.8450 level might accelerate gains. In the stated case, the bulls may perhaps aim for a test of 0.8480. Any more gains might send the pair toward the 0.8500 level.
Immediate support sits near 0.8415. The next major support is near 0.8405. A downside break below the 0.8405 support might call for more downsides. In the stated case, the pair could drop toward the 0.8380 support level.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Buy opportunity when price retraces to break the topGBPUSD encounters resistance at 1.358, there is a high possibility that there will be a price reaction to 1.35500 to create a Dow break 1.358 towards higher levels.
GBPUSD is increasing very strongly again in the main trend, we wait for a retracement to the support zones, which is a strong buying opportunity.
1.358-1.355-1.351-1.345 are BUY zones when the price has a reaction of buying force at these price zones.
USD/JPY Short, AUD/NZD Short, AUD/JPY Neutral and EUR/USD ShortUSD/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
- If tight non-structured 5 min continuation forms, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
- If tight structured 5 min continuation forms, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
- If tight non-structured 15 min continuation forms, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
- If tight structured 15 min continuation forms, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
AUD/NZD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
- If tight non-structured 15 min continuation forms, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
- If tight structured 15 min continuation forms, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
AUD/JPY Neutral
Minimum entry requirements:
- If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
Minimum entry requirements:
- 1H impulse down below area of value.
- If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
- If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
- If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
- If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
EUR/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
- Tap into area of value.
- 1H impulse down below area of value.
- If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
- If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
USDCAD Short Opportunity Description :
USDCAD is setting up for a potential short — I’m watching closely for an upthrust into the highlighted zone to initiate the position. Here’s my current read:
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
1. Trendline Break
Previous bullish trendline broken with conviction. Market structure now vulnerable to bearish continuation.
2. Volume Spike with Selling Pressure
Notable increase in volume on bearish candles — suggests smart money exiting or early sellers stepping in.
3. Anticipating an Upthrust
Watching for price to sweep the highs around 1.3695–1.3700, fail to sustain, and drop back inside range.
This would provide a low-risk entry with tight stops above the highs and 5r+ down to 1.3652, possibly even lower.
📌 Trade Plan:
Entry Zone: 1.3695–1.3700 (after upthrust confirmation)
Stop: Above 1.3710
TP1: 1.3652 (structure low)
TP2: 1.3600 (extended target if momentum builds)
---
🧠 Why This Setup?
This aligns with key principles I trade:
Trendline breaks often lead to retests followed by continuation.
Rising volume on the break is confirmation, not noise.
A failed breakout (upthrust) into previous supply zones is often the "last push" before price collapses.
Let me know if you're seeing something different. This is how I’m planning to attack the chart today.
USDJPY Short Setup: OB Rejection + Fib Premium Sell-Off IncomingUSDJPY (1H Chart) | Institutional Short Setup with OB + Fib Confluence
The market is showing clear Smart Money Distribution behavior — with a rejection from a high-confluence zone combining Order Block, Premium Fib Levels, and bearish momentum shift.
🔍 Smart Money Setup Breakdown:
🔻 Bearish Order Block Zone (OB)
Price wicked into OB zone and got instantly rejected
OB located precisely at the 70.5% – 79% premium range
Mark of institutional sell-side interest
📐 Fibonacci Retracement + Premium Zone
Retracement from swing high (144.973) to swing low (144.436)
Premium zone between 61.8% to 79% aligns with OB (144.700–144.973)
Entry taken from this zone for high-probability sell setup
📉 Bearish Confirmation
Aggressive bearish reaction post-OB tap
Market structure flipping bearish
Momentum candle breaks previous bullish leg
🔻 Target Zones (Measured Fib Extensions)
-27%: 144.200
-62%: 144.000
-100%: 143.803
-161.8%: 143.300 (extended liquidity draw)
🧠 Chart Ninja Entry Plan:
🔹 Entry Zone 144.784 – 144.973 (OB + Premium Fib + FVG rejection)
🔻 SL Above 145.000 (above OB wick)
📉 TP 1 144.200 (first fib extension)
📉 TP 2 143.803 (full -100% extension)
⚖️ RRR Approx. 1:4+ — stealthy sniper precision
💬 Pro Tip from the Ninja Dojo:
The market doesn’t move because of indicators — it moves because of liquidity.
Find the OB. Wait for the imbalance. Strike where Smart Money hides. 🥷📊
This isn’t retail — this is calculated execution.
🎯 Save this chart before price melts to 143.8
💬 Drop your entry zone & SL idea in comments
EURUSD: Support & Resistance Analysis For Next Week 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Here is my latest structure analysis
and important supports and resistances for EURUSD
for next week.
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBPUSD Buy Setup! BoS + OB + 61.8–79% Fib + Trend Channel ComboGBPUSD | 30-Min Chart – High Probability Long Setup Identified
GBPUSD is showing bullish intent after a clear Break of Structure (BoS) and now offers a high-confluence buy opportunity. This setup combines Smart Money Concepts with classical technical analysis for a sniper-grade entry.
🔍 Trade Breakdown:
📈 Break of Structure (BoS):
Price broke previous highs with strong bullish momentum.
Confirmed market intent shift from ranging to bullish.
📐 Fibonacci Confluence:
Price retraced perfectly into the 61.8% – 79% Fib zone from the latest bullish impulse.
These golden ratio levels align with an institutional Order Block (OB) and ascending trendline — high confluence entry.
🟣 Order Block Zone (OB): 1.35285 – 1.35406
The last bearish candle before bullish BoS — a clean demand zone.
OB sits within the Fib retracement zone and overlaps a mid-trendline tap.
📐 Fibonacci Levels (Swing Low to High):
61.8% = 1.35285
70.5% = ~1.35190
79% = ~1.35075
This is the institutional kill zone — OB + 61.8–79% retracement = precision buy levels.
🟡 Liquidity Sweep + Reaction:
Price swept liquidity below short-term lows and tapped the OB with a sharp bullish reaction.
Candle confirmation + lower wick shows strong rejection from Smart Money.
🧭 Projected Move:
Targeting a move toward the -27% Fib extension at 1.36018
Trendline and internal structure support bullish continuation
🔵 Projected Path:
Sweep ➝ OB/Fib confluence tap ➝ strong bullish continuation into premium territory
🧠 Chart Ninja Entry Plan:
🔹 Entry Zone: 1.35285 – 1.35406 (OB + 61.8–70.5% Fib)
🔻 SL Below: 1.35000 (beneath OB & key structure low)
📈 Target: 1.36018 (-27% Fib extension)
⚖️ RRR: 1:3+ — sniper entry with institutional precision
💬 Ninja Wisdom:
Smart Money isn’t buying breakouts — they buy retracements into OB zones with precision.
Combine OB + Fib + channel = institutional roadmap.
Let price come to you. Let retail chase. 🥷💸
📍 Save this GBPUSD setup before it hits the next impulse wave
🗣️ Drop your thoughts – are you buying this OB too?
👣 Follow @ChartNinjas88 for more institutional-grade setups daily
USDJPY: Bullish Outlook For Next Week Explained 🇺🇸🇯🇵
USDJPY completed a consolidation, violating
a resistance line of a horizontal range on a 4H time frame.
I believe that it provides a strong bullish confirmation signal.
The price will most likely go up and reach 146.0 level next week.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
DXY: Approaching a bottom. Wait for the 1D MA50 to break.The U.S. Dollar Index is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 45.278, MACD = -0.450, ADX = 23.415) as it seems to be approaching a long term support level, the bottom of the 12 month Channel Down. As long as it stays under the 1D MA50, the trend will remain bearish towards the bottom but once it crosses above, we will turn bullish and aim for a +9.95% bullish wave (TP = 107.000) same as the one before. Notice how similar the 1D RSI fractals are now and the previous bottom in September 2024.
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EURCHF: Fierce consolidation prompts to a bullish breakoutEURCHF is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.253, MACD = 0.000, ADX = 26.091) as it has been consolidating since the April 25th high. Since then it has failed to close a 1D candle above the 1D MA200. Given the strong presence of the S1 Zone, if we get that closing above the 1D MA200, we will turn bullish, aiming for the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level (TP = 0.94900), like the March 14th high did.
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Market next move Bearish Disruption Analysis:
1. False Breakout Risk:
The current price is consolidating in a tight range.
The support area may fail to hold due to low volume and indecision (notice the decreasing volume in recent candles).
2. Lower High Formation:
A potential lower high is forming compared to the peak from earlier on June 5.
This could signal a trend reversal or weakening bullish momentum.
3. Volume Divergence:
The bullish candles have lower volume than previous strong moves, indicating a lack of strong buying interest.
4. Support Breakdown Scenario:
If price breaks below the marked support area (~3360), we could see:
Drop toward the 3340 area (next visible support).
Acceleration if stop-losses are triggered below the support zone.
Market next move 🔍 Original Interpretation:
Support Zone: The red rectangle suggests a support level between ~102,800 and ~103,300.
Bullish Bias: The blue arrow anticipates a bounce from this zone, potentially forming a higher low before continuing upward.
Bearish Bias: The red arrow marks a potential resistance, predicting rejection and a move lower if the bullish breakout fails.
---
⚠️ Disruptive Analysis:
1. False Support Breakout Risk:
A false breakdown beneath the support zone could trigger panic selling before a rapid recovery (fakeout).
Traders might place stop-losses just below the box — a perfect target for market makers before price reverses.
2. Volume Deception:
Volume increased during the sell-off but did not show strong absorption by buyers (green volume wasn't dominant).
This suggests sellers still dominate and a continuation lower could occur before any bounce.
3. Lower Highs Formation:
The last few green candles failed to break the previous highs, indicating weaker buying strength.
Price may form a lower high, hinting at a short-term bearish trend.
4. Macro Trend Consideration:
If this is just a retracement within a larger downtrend, the bounce could be short-lived.
Broader market sentiment or macro news could push BTC toward 100,000 support or lower.
Market next move Disruptive Bearish Scenarios:
1. Support Area Breakdown
The recent strong bearish candle with high volume shows aggressive selling pressure.
If the price fails to hold above the support area and closes below it, especially on high volume, it could invalidate the bullish recovery.
> Bearish Alternative: Price breaks below 103,000, retests it as resistance (bearish flip), and continues down toward 101,000–100,000.
---
2. Lower High Trap
The projected bounce could form a lower high below the 106,000 resistance, creating a classic bearish structure.
> Disruption Path: After a minor recovery toward 104,500–105,000, sellers regain control, and BTC resumes the downtrend.
---
3. Fake Support Bounce
The support area could create a fake-out bounce, tricking long traders before a sharper reversal.
The move up may lack follow-through due to diminishing bullish volume.
EURJPY: Well supported Channel Up aiming for 166.700.EURJPY is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 58.535, MACD = 0.340, ADX = 24.438) and is staging right now a rebound on the 1D MA50. This comes only days after the 1D MA200 HL rebound tight at the bottom of the Channel Up. This is a great opportunity to buy and aim for the R1 level (TP = 166.700).
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Market next move Disruption Points:
1. Bullish Accumulation Underway
The recent candles show higher lows and lower volume on red candles, suggesting selling pressure is decreasing.
> Disruptive scenario: Price may bounce off minor support (around 1.3560–1.3570) and form a higher low, triggering a bullish rally back above 1.3620.
---
2. Fake Bearish Setup (Liquidity Trap)
The three arrows predicting a drop might represent a classic retail trap where too many anticipate the same direction.
> Contrary idea: A false breakdown below 1.3550 may occur just to collect stop-losses, followed by a strong reversal upward.
---
3. Divergence Risk
If momentum indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD) show bullish divergence while price moves sideways or dips, it may signal an upcoming bullish impulse.
> Disruption: Downward arrows may be misinterpreting consolidation as weakness rather than a setup for continuation of the previous uptrend.
---
4. Fundamental Wildcard
The chart shows an upcoming U.S. economic event, likely to impact the dollar.
If the data is weak for the USD, GBP/USD could surge sharply, invalidating the bearish scenario.
Market next target 🧨 Disruption Points:
1. Bullish Accumulation Underway
The recent candles show higher lows and lower volume on red candles, suggesting selling pressure is decreasing.
> Disruptive scenario: Price may bounce off minor support (around 1.3560–1.3570) and form a higher low, triggering a bullish rally back above 1.3620.
---
2. Fake Bearish Setup (Liquidity Trap)
The three arrows predicting a drop might represent a classic retail trap where too many anticipate the same direction.
> Contrary idea: A false breakdown below 1.3550 may occur just to collect stop-losses, followed by a strong reversal upward.
---
3. Divergence Risk
If momentum indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD) show bullish divergence while price moves sideways or dips, it may signal an upcoming bullish impulse.
> Disruption: Downward arrows may be misinterpreting consolidation as weakness rather than a setup for continuation of the previous uptrend.
---
4. Fundamental Wildcard
The chart shows an upcoming U.S. economic event, likely to impact the dollar.
If the data is weak for the USD, GBP/USD could surge sharply, invalidating the bearish scenario.
Market next target 🧨 Disruption Points:
1. Overbought Condition / RSI Divergence
Even though the price is surging (+3.30%), there could be an overbought condition forming.
If RSI or other momentum indicators (not shown here) diverge, it might signal weakness in bullish momentum.
> Disruptive idea: Price may fake the breakout (blue arrow) and then sharply reverse, trapping late buyers.
---
2. False Breakout Trap
The red-box area could be a liquidity zone where smart money might induce a fake breakout before dumping.
> Alternative path: Price breaks above temporarily (as in blue path), but then reverses violently back into the range, forming a “bull trap.”
---
3. Volume Anomaly
The volume appears to be decreasing on recent bullish candles after the initial spike.
This suggests that the uptrend may be losing strength, making the yellow arrow scenario less likely.
> Contrary outlook: Lack of volume confirmation could mean a sideways consolidation or reversal is more probable.
---
4. News/Event Risk (Fundamental Disruption)
The chart shows an upcoming economic event (U.S. flag icon), possibly Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP), interest rate news, or CPI.
These events could cause extreme volatility and invalidate all technical patterns.






















