Forex Update for 29/12/2021Hello everyone, as we all know the market action discounts everything :)
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The dollar edged higher on Wednesday as a recent rise in stocks appeared to be winding down, but holiday-thinned trade meant markets were displaying little meaningful direction.
The dollar index, which measures the greenback against key peers, reached 96.240 during the day, up from Monday's closing of 96.068, and advanced against most other major currencies after the euro fell 0.14 percent on Tuesday.
The euro was last trading at $1.1305, while the pound fell from a five-week high to $1.3433.
Analysts said it was difficult to read too much into the swings because many traders had taken time off for Christmas or the end of the year.
"Things are basically noise right now," said Kyle Rodda, an analyst at IG Markets. "We're definitely seeing a soft risk-on/risk-off dynamic going on with stocks down somewhat, and the dollar has caught a bid on the inverse of that."
The Fed is widely projected to begin raising rates before many other major central banks, including the European Central Bank, which has helped the dollar index have its best year since 2015 in 2021.
MSCI's broadest index of Asian shares outside Japan fell 0.3 percent on Wednesday, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite also closed slightly lower overnight, despite the fact that the S&P 500 had gained for four straight days and touched a record intraday high earlier in the session.
Markets have been mostly trading based on shifting assessments of the impact of the Omicron version of COVID-19, with the recent bounce in risk assets such as equities based on the belief that the new strain will not significantly disrupt the global economic recovery.
On Monday, U.S. health officials reduced the recommended isolation time for Americans with asymptomatic COVID-19 cases to five days, down from ten days previously.
The yen, which had been sinking alongside the stock market's gains, pared its losses on Wednesday. It was recently at 114.82 per dollar, down from 114.94 on Tuesday.
The dollar was also bolstered by a jump in two-year Treasury yields, which reached 0.758 percent on Tuesday, a near two-year high, before falling little to 0.7461 percent.
The Australian dollar remained stable at $0.7232.
This is my personal opinion done with technical analysis of the market price and research online from Fundamental Analysts and News for The Fundamental point of view, not financial advice.
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Forextradingzones
GBPJPY SHORTS 📉📉📉Expect bearish price action from this area as price takes out liquidity above equal highs aka retail resistance and weekly highs where a lot of retail stops should be taken out, expect a bearish reversal from this area with the targets into equal lows area aka retail support.
What do you think ? Comment below..
TAG ON GBPNZDThe price has hit a significant resistance and in the upper half, a bearish candle has formed. Also, the momentum of movement has decreased and shows the tendency of the price to fall. We are waiting for the break of the trend line and the small support that is a serious and very important drawing. After failure and confirmation, you can enter into a sale transaction.
GoldView Bullish Trading plan & levelsWe have updated levels and highlighted potential re-test areas to pick up fresh entries. We are trading small lots due to end of year.
The levels identified are also Goldturn levels therefore we will look for price to find support in these areas when taking positions. EMA5 break and candle body confirmations will give us further confidence.
Right now we are waiting for price to find support here to continue more movement on the upside but not taking new long positions until we see this supported well or we get a better entry from the lower zones identified.
As always if the structure changes and we have to adapt and make any changes, we will be sure to update new plans here.
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GoldViewFX
XAUUSD TOP AUTHOR
AUDUSD moved into the 0.71500As discussed in the earlier post, i had 2 scenarios for this pair. After the liquidity grab below the lows and moving back in, the price remained above and started heading into the upside. The price as discussed reached into the 0.71500 region as discussed and can find some resistance at this point.
EURNZD SHORTS 📉📉📉Expect bearish price action over there as price takes out liquidity above old highs+weekly high and 1.68000 as a psycho barrier for the price and then quickly reverse to the downside, we should go below old lows of the accumulation. RISK ON in the markets right now as indexes and crypto rise this could make this chart to go lower
REMEMBER ONE THING - Smart Money sell above the high Dumb money sell at high
What do you think ? Comment below..
GBPJPY LONGS 📉📉📉Expect bullish price action on GJ price is right now rejecting an important area of supply POC area x2 + bullish orderblocks + bullish imbalances filled. I expect price to take out today the asian highs but it all depends on the volatility because its friday.
What do you think ? Comment below..
AUDUSD Bullish ContinuationFollowing from yesterdays analysis, the price moved to the upside however didnt go into the buy zone i hoped for. As for today we can see we have a zone of interest we are trading within now. However its best to wait till the EUR/LND open to see the draw of liquidity before entering. The black line is my confirmation once the price crosses above it after completing the grab.
AUDUSD Bulls in SightFrom an intraday perspective what we can see is that this pair moved lower towards the beginning of the week creating the low on the Tuesday as marked. The pair has regained its losses and moved back towards its weekly opening price. The zone above the price has acted as a resistance however has been tapped into many times which would weaken it by the lesser number of sells now sitting within that area. The blue zone shown below the price, along with a HVA, and the asia session range, all now play a key role and zone that the price can move into through the EUR/LND opens to draw liquidity before moving to the upside.
GoldGold is showing a head and shoulder movement.
The price could fall and reach a TP of 1679.5 of the previous big rejection by the
BUYERS of Gold.
The GOLD could reach the lowest price of the 21 August 2021 when gold fell to 1679.5.
The BUYERS could come in to BUY again with the low price to take gold to the highs again.
Maybe the BUYERS are waiting for the NEW YEAR of 2022 to kick up GOLD for NEW Highs.
USDRUB SHORTS 📉📉📉I know this is not the most common currency trading pair to trade but i see there a lot of technical reasons to entry, we are in a bearish market structure on a D1/H4 TF, could expect shorts if price is rejecting bearish orderblock + psychological level 74.000 with targets below trendline liquidity around 60.
Be aware if you take SHORTS there the SWAP IS GREEN
What do you think ? Comment below