Get started

Futures

Gold - Path to 5,000At the moment, no deep correction has started - the upward move continues. Wave calculations suggest the following structure: we are currently in wave 5 and forming its internal sub-waves. Overall, price is very close to completing the entire move. One of the nearest targets is 4,830 , where we are likely to see either a reversal or at least a local pullback. If we analyze the first major wave from August 2018 to August 2020 and project Fibonacci extensions, one of the key levels comes in near 5,000 , which can be considered the primary target. Another important level to watch is around 5,200 . In commodities, the fifth wave is often extended, especially when the move turns into a mania phase. The upside potential from current levels is estimated at 3-11 %. Conclusion: Trend remains upward Key levels: 4,834 5,024 5,200 After the rally completes, a deep correction is expected. --- Please subscribe and leave a comment! You’ll get new information faster than anyone else. ---
FX:XAUUSDLong
by NotBoringTrading
1
ES Weekly Levels: Reversal Zone 6865–6875 → Target 6950/6955🔱 ES WEEKLY SNAPSHOT — EXECUTIVE SUMMARY (NEW WEEK | JAN 2026) ✨ Bull reversal setup is the focus — but weakness remains until key sell-side is reclaimed 🧲 Fresh overhead sell-side liquidity / bear FVG: 6950 plus key level 6955 📌 Context: ES gapped down at the open → signals continued weakness into the week 🧲 Bull FVG + preferred reversal zone: 6865–6875 = best area to scale into longs 🛡 Failure zone / risk-off trigger: loss of 6865–6875 opens downside to 6795 → 6790 🎯 Bull target: 6950 fresh liquidity pocket overhead 🏦 Core play: scale buys 6865–6875, manage risk if the zone fails, take profit into 6950–6955 🗳️ ES Weekly Scenarios — What’s Your Play? Which path do you have for ES next week? 🅰️ Hold 6865–6875 → reversal works → rotation into 6925 → tag 6950 🅱️ Sweep below 6875 → reclaim 6865–6875 → squeeze into 6950–6955 🅲 Drive into 6950–6955 → rejection from sell-side → pullback toward 6925 → 6865 🅳 Break/hold below 6865–6875 → weakness confirms → downside opens to 6795 → 6790 Your key levels: 6955 / 6925 / 6865 / 6795 / 6790 Your FVGs: 6950 (bear sell-side) / 6865–6875 bull reversal
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by ProjectSyndicate
23
PL: Platinum at an Inflection PointWhy Platinum Is Moving Platinum is a unique metal that sits at the intersection of precious and industrial markets. Unlike gold, which is primarily viewed as a monetary or store of value asset, platinum derives a larger share of its demand from industrial uses. Silver sits between the two, with meaningful industrial demand alongside its role as a monetary metal. These include catalytic converters, chemical processing, hydrogen related technologies, and jewelry. Because of this dual role, platinum tends to be more sensitive to shifts in global growth expectations than gold, while still reacting to macro forces such as inflation, real rates, and currency trends. From a correlation standpoint, platinum often trades in sympathy with gold and silver during periods of broad commodity strength, but the relationship is not constant. Gold typically leads during risk off environments, while platinum performs best when growth expectations improve and industrial demand increases. In recent months, platinum has begun to decouple from gold, showing relative strength as investors price in tighter physical supply and improving demand narratives. Silver has also participated in this move, but platinum’s advance has been more structurally driven rather than purely momentum based. Recent sentiment has shifted materially since December 2025. After spending years trapped in a large consolidation range, platinum finally attracted sustained institutional interest. Supply constraints from major producing regions, rising costs of extraction, and renewed interest in platinum as a substitute metal in industrial applications have all contributed to the move higher. The breakout since December 2025 reflects a repricing of long term value rather than a short term speculative spike, which helps explain the persistence of the trend despite periods of volatility. What the Market has done • The market has been on a bullish uptrend since markets broke out of a multi year consolidation and accumulation range that lasted from December 2021 to June 2025. • Markets formed two clear accumulation ranges during the advance, suggesting strong two way trade before higher prices were accepted. • At the start of December 2025, market compressed against daily level 1, forming bid block 1 as buyers continued to absorb supply. • Buyers initiated higher from this compression and pushed price to new ATHs in the spot market. • Sellers responded aggressively at the end of December 2025, resulting in a volatile two way whipsaw and expanded range. • Over the past two weeks, market volatility has contracted and the overall range has narrowed as the market works to establish a new value area at higher prices. What to expect in the coming week Key reference levels remain 2500, which marks the CVAH, and 2330, defined by the 5 Jan wVAH and the 12 Jan wVAL. These levels frame the current auction and provide clarity for upcoming scenarios. Neutral scenario • Continued two way balanced rotation between 2500 and 2330 would suggest acceptance of higher prices. • This behavior would indicate responsive participation from both buyers and sellers rather than initiative control. • Value may continue to build above prior ranges, reinforcing the broader bullish structure without requiring immediate continuation. Bearish scenario • If buyers are unable to defend the 2330 area, the auction is likely to rotate lower in search of demand. • A move toward 2136.9, which aligns with the 5 Jan wVPOC, would be the first downside repair target. • Continued acceptance below that level could expose the 2069 area, where the CLVN remains untested. Bullish scenario • If the market is able to break and accept above 2500, buyers may regain initiative control. • Acceptance above the CVAH would signal strength and continuation of price discovery. • This scenario increases the probability of a move toward new ATHs, particularly if value begins to migrate higher. Conclusion Platinum’s breakout is occurring against a backdrop of tightening supply, improving industrial demand expectations, and a broader commodity bid as inflation and growth dynamics remain in focus. While the structural shift higher is notable, history offers an important reminder. The last time platinum entered a parabolic phase in 2008, the move was followed by a 67% drawdown that erased four years of gains in just four months. As price continues to build value at higher levels, respecting both macro drivers and auction behavior will be critical in navigating the weeks ahead. If you found this analysis useful, feel free to give a boost, comment, or share your own levels and scenarios below. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Analysis is for educational purposes only; trade your own plan and manage risk. Acronyms: C - Composite w - Weekly VAH - Value Area High VAL - Value Area Low VPOC - Volume Point of Control LVN - Low Value Node HVN - High Value Node LVA - Low Value Area SP - Single print
NYMEX:PL1!
by EdgeClear
Trump eases tariffs, precious metals reverse course after surge.I view the current OANDA:XAUUSD chart as a familiar market story: after a strong rally, price pauses, consolidates, and shakes out weak hands before continuing higher within a well-defined ascending channel. The primary momentum has not been broken. • First, the trend structure remains intact, with higher highs and higher lows. Price is moving within an upward price channel, and each corrective move has been contained near the lower boundary of the channel or key moving averages. • Second, former Fibonacci resistance levels have turned into support. The 0.5–0.382 zone has acted as a “base,” where buying interest consistently emerges whenever the market experiences volatility. This is a classic signal of a healthy uptrend: price does not need deep corrections to attract new capital. • Third, momentum has not been disrupted. RSI remains above the neutral zone and is showing signs of holding a base rather than forming a clear bearish divergence. This suggests that while profit-taking pressure exists, it is not strong enough to reverse the prevailing trend. From a macro perspective, gold continues to be “backed” by the narrative of low real interest rates, prolonged geopolitical uncertainty, and growing doubts about the stability of the global financial order. Defensive capital has not exited the precious metals market; it has merely paused to reassess. In terms of technical targets, if price continues to hold current support and resumes its upward move, the next objective lies in the 4,680–4,750 USD zone, aligned with the upper boundary of the price channel and Fibonacci extensions. This is an area where the market is likely to test supply. Key risk to monitor: if a clear breakdown occurs below the 0.382–0.5 support zone with a decisive close beneath the ascending channel, a deeper correction toward the 4,430–4,380 USD area would be activated. However, under current conditions, this would still represent a correction within an uptrend rather than a trend reversal. In summary, within the current gold market narrative, pullbacks are not signals to exit, but rather necessary pauses that allow new capital to enter. As long as macro uncertainty persists and the technical structure remains intact, the dominant trend continues to point higher. SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4652 - 4650⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 4656 →Take Profit 1 4644 ↨ →Take Profit 2 4638 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 4558 - 4560⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 4554 →Take Profit 1 4566↨ →Take Profit 2 4572
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
1
GOLD ANALYSIS 01/15/20261. Fundamental Analysis: a) Economy: • USD: Slight recovery after a corrective move, but no strong bullish trend has formed yet. Pressure on gold is only short-term. • U.S. Equities: Sideways and choppy; capital has not strongly rotated back into risk assets → gold continues to play a defensive role. • FED: The market continues to expect easing in upcoming meetings; no clear hawkish signals yet. • TRUMP: U.S. political factors still carry potential volatility; not strong enough to form a new trend but supportive for holding gold. • Gold ETFs (SPDR): ETF flows remain stable with no strong outflows → medium-term gold trend is still supported. b) Politics: • Global geopolitical tensions have not fully eased → gold maintains a high price base. c) Market Sentiment: • Mild risk-off: Investors remain cautious, no FOMO at high prices → preference to BUY on pullbacks. 2. Technical Analysis: • Overall trend: Medium-term uptrend – short-term correction. • Price has tested the upper trendline resistance (ATH zone) multiple times and shown selling reactions. • Currently, price is pulling back toward the dynamic MA support + the 4,600 price zone. • RSI cooling down from high levels → healthy correction, no sign of trend breakdown. • Structure remains Higher High – Higher Low as long as the 4,590–4,600 zone holds. RESISTANCE: 4,618 – 4,630 – 4,640 – 4,680 SUPPORT: 4,600 – 4,577 – 4,550 3. Previous Session (14/01/26): • Gold slightly broke above the previous high → short-term profit-taking appeared. The trendline remains strong. • Average trading range, shaking out late BUY chase orders. • Selling pressure was strong but did not break the bullish structure; mainly a technical correction. 4. Strategy for Today (15/01/26): 🪙 SELL XAUUSD | 4,652 – 4,650 • SL: 4,656 • TP1: 4,644 • TP2: 4,638 🪙 BUY XAUUSD | 4,558 – 4,560 • SL: 4,554 • TP1: 4,566 • TP2: 4,572
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Signals_100pips
MES - Descending Channel + Liquidity Sweep at 6,940 | Reversal? What's up traders! 👋 Interesting setup developing on MES1! right now. We've got a descending channel in play, but something caught my eye - a liquidity sweep just happened around 6,940. Let's break it down. What I'm Seeing MES1! is trading at 6,966 inside a descending channel on the 45-minute timeframe. Price has been making lower highs and lower lows - textbook bearish structure. BUT we just saw a liquidity sweep around 6,940 where sellers couldn't close their positions. This is where it gets interesting. When liquidity gets swept and price bounces, it often signals smart money stepping in. The question is: reversal into the FVG zone, or continuation down to the lows? The Liquidity Sweep Setup Price swept below 6,940 - grabbed liquidity from weak longs Sellers couldn't close at those prices - trapped shorts Bounce happening now - buyers potentially stepping in FVG zone at 6,965-6,985 is the first target if reversal confirms If FVG fails to hold, continuation to 6,925 and 6,912.25 lows Market Context The broader picture: S&P 500 fell 0.53% to 6,926.60 today - risk-off sentiment JPMorgan dropped 4% despite beating earnings (credit card cap fears) Financials dragging the market lower Core CPI came in cooler (0.2% vs 0.3%) - but market still selling Trump vs Powell drama continues - uncertainty elevated Forward curve still pricing 7,100+ by end of 2026 - long-term bullish Key Levels to Watch Resistance: 6,965-6,985 - FVG zone (first target if reversal) 7,002 - Day's high 7,036 - 52-WEEK HIGH / Major resistance Support: 6,940 - Liquidity sweep zone 6,925 - Horizontal support 6,912.25 - LOWEST LOW (channel bottom) Two Scenarios Bullish reversal: The liquidity sweep at 6,940 trapped shorts and smart money is stepping in. Price bounces into the FVG zone (6,965-6,985), reclaims it, and pushes toward 7,000+. This would be a classic sweep → reversal pattern. Bearish continuation: The descending channel continues to dominate. Price retests the FVG zone but gets rejected, then breaks below 6,940 and targets 6,925, eventually hitting 6,912.25 (the lowest low). High impact news or Fed drama could accelerate this. My Take I'm NEUTRAL here but watching closely for the reversal. The liquidity sweep at 6,940 is significant - that's where trapped sellers create buying pressure. If we can reclaim the FVG zone and hold above 6,965, the reversal thesis gains strength. However, the descending channel is still intact. Until we break above the upper trendline, the trend is technically bearish. Don't fight the trend unless you see clear reversal confirmation. Watch the FVG zone reaction. That's your tell. Drop your thoughts below - reversal or continuation? 👇
CME_MINI:MES1!
by officialjackofalltrades
Understanding How Your Orders Actually Get Filled You Click "Buy." What Actually Happens Next? Most traders see a chart and think that's the market. But the chart is just the surface. Beneath it lies a complex ecosystem of orders, matching engines, market makers, and execution venues. Understanding market microstructure won't make you a better chart reader. But it will make you a better trader. What Is Market Microstructure? Definition: Market microstructure is the study of how markets operate at the mechanical level how orders are placed, matched, and executed. Why It Matters: Explains why prices move the way they do Reveals hidden costs of trading Helps optimize execution Exposes market manipulation tactics The Order Book What It Is: A real-time list of all pending buy and sell orders at different price levels. Structure: ASKS (Sellers) $50.05 | 500 shares $50.04 | 1,200 shares $50.03 | 800 shares $50.02 | 2,000 shares ← Best Ask (Lowest sell price) $50.00 | 1,500 shares ← Best Bid (Highest buy price) $49.99 | 3,000 shares $49.98 | 1,000 shares $49.97 | 2,500 shares BIDS (Buyers) Key Terms: Bid: Highest price buyers are willing to pay Ask: Lowest price sellers are willing to accept Spread: Difference between bid and ask Depth: Total orders at each price level How Orders Get Matched The Matching Engine: When you place an order, it goes to a matching engine that pairs buyers with sellers. Priority Rules: Price Priority: Better prices get filled first Time Priority: At same price, earlier orders fill first Example: You place market buy for 100 shares. Best ask is $50.02 with 2,000 shares. You get filled at $50.02 (takes liquidity from the ask). Types of Market Participants 1. Retail Traders Individual traders like you Typically small order sizes Often use market orders Price takers (accept current prices) 2. Institutional Traders Hedge funds, mutual funds, pension funds Large order sizes Use algorithms to minimize impact Can be price makers or takers 3. Market Makers Provide liquidity by quoting both bid and ask Profit from the spread Required to maintain orderly markets Use sophisticated algorithms 4. High-Frequency Traders (HFT) Trade in milliseconds Exploit tiny price discrepancies Provide liquidity (sometimes) Can front-run slower orders The Spread and Its Implications What the Spread Represents: Cost of immediate execution Market maker's compensation Liquidity indicator Spread Dynamics: Tight spread: High liquidity, low cost to trade Wide spread: Low liquidity, high cost to trade Example: Bid: $50.00, Ask: $50.02 Spread: $0.02 (0.04%) If you buy at ask and immediately sell at bid, you lose $0.02/share Implication: Every round-trip trade costs you at least the spread. This is why overtrading is expensive. Price Discovery How Prices Move: Prices move when there's an imbalance between buying and selling pressure. Scenario 1: More Buyers Buyers consume ask liquidity Price moves up to find more sellers New equilibrium at higher price Scenario 2: More Sellers Sellers consume bid liquidity Price moves down to find more buyers New equilibrium at lower price Key Insight: Price doesn't move because of "sentiment." It moves because orders hit the book and consume liquidity. How AI Uses Microstructure 1. Order Flow Analysis AI tracks: Aggressive buying vs selling Large orders hitting the book Imbalances in bid/ask depth 2. Spread Prediction AI predicts: When spreads will widen (reduce size) When spreads will tighten (better execution) 3. Optimal Execution AI determines: Best time to execute Optimal order size Which venue to use 4. Market Making AI market makers: Quote bid and ask continuously Adjust quotes based on inventory Manage risk in real-time Microstructure Concepts Every Trader Should Know 1. Slippage The difference between expected price and actual fill price. Causes: Market orders in fast markets Large orders relative to liquidity Wide spreads Mitigation: Use limit orders Trade liquid assets Avoid trading during low liquidity periods 2. Market Impact How your order affects the price. Reality: Large orders move prices against you. Buying pushes price up Selling pushes price down Mitigation: Break large orders into smaller pieces Use algorithms (TWAP, VWAP) Trade over time, not all at once 3. Hidden Liquidity Orders that don't appear in the visible order book. Types: Iceberg orders (only show portion) Dark pools (private exchanges) Hidden orders Implication: The visible order book doesn't show all available liquidity. 4. Queue Position Your place in line at a price level. Why It Matters: If you're 1,000th in queue at $50.00, you won't get filled until 999 orders ahead of you fill. Implication: Limit orders at popular prices may not fill even if price touches your level. Practical Microstructure Applications Application 1: Reading Order Flow Watch for: Large orders hitting bid/ask Absorption (price holds despite volume) Exhaustion (volume without price movement) Application 2: Timing Entries Enter when: Spread is tight Liquidity is high Order flow supports your direction Application 3: Avoiding Bad Fills Avoid: Market orders in illiquid assets Trading during news (spreads widen) Large orders relative to average volume Application 4: Understanding Wicks Wicks often represent: Liquidity being taken Stop hunts Temporary imbalances Microstructure Red Flags Widening Spreads Indicates decreasing liquidity, higher trading costs. Thinning Order Book Less depth = more volatile price moves. Unusual Order Patterns Spoofing, layering, or manipulation attempts. Delayed Fills Your orders taking longer to fill than usual. Key Takeaways The order book is where price discovery actually happens Spread represents the cost of immediate execution Your orders have market impact larger orders move prices against you AI can analyze order flow and optimize execution Understanding microstructure helps you get better fills and avoid hidden costs Your Turn Do you pay attention to the order book or just the chart? Have you noticed how your order size affects your fills? Share your microstructure observations below 👇
CME_MINI:MNQ1!Education
by officialjackofalltrades
#BTCUSDT #12h (Bitget) Descending trendline breakout [LONG]Bitcoin looks ready for short-term recovery after regaining 100EMA support and pulling back to it. ⚡️⚡️ #BTC/USDT ⚡️⚡️ Exchanges: Bitget Futures Signal Type: Regular (Long) Leverage: Isolated (8.0X) Amount: 4.7% Current Price: 92299.9 Entry Zone: 92024.8 - 90186.8 Take-Profit Targets: 1) 96927.7 2) 101312.3 3) 105696.9 Stop Targets: 1) 86234.0 Published By: @Zblaba CRYPTOCAP:BTC BITGET:BTCUSDT.P #12h #Bitcoin #PoW bitcoin.org Risk/Reward= 1:1.2 | 1:2.1 | 1:3.0 Expected Profit= +51.1% | +89.6% | +128.1% Possible Loss= -42.8% Estimated Duration= 3-4 weeks
Long
by TradingOn
7
GOLD ANALYSIS 01/14/20261. Fundamental Analysis: a) Economic: • USD: After CPI, the USD staged a technical rebound but failed to sustain strong momentum, indicating that buying pressure remains weak. • US Equities: Mixed performance; capital has not strongly rotated back into risk assets → gold continues to hold its defensive role. • FED: Rate-cut expectations remain intact in the medium–long term. The Fed has not delivered a sufficiently hawkish stance to reverse gold’s trend. • TRUMP: Statements and potential policies continue to create policy uncertainty, which is supportive for gold. • SPDR: Added 3.43 tons, supporting the bullish trend. b) Geopolitics: • Geopolitical tensions have not fully cooled down; latent risks remain → gold maintains its safe-haven position. c) Market Sentiment: • Mild risk-off environment: capital has not exited gold. • After the early-month correction, sentiment has shifted to selective buying rather than FOMO. 2. Technical Analysis: • Price has broken out of the accumulation box after successfully testing the bottom. • A Higher Low structure has formed → short-term trend has turned bullish. • Price is trading above the MA, with the MA starting to slope upward. • RSI is moving toward the 70 zone, indicating strong buying momentum. => Short-term trend: BULLISH – prioritize BUY on pullbacks. RESISTANCE: 4.618 – 4.630 – 4.683 SUPPORT: 4.600 – 4.577 – 4.550 3. Previous Session (13/01/26): • Early session: Gold was pressured lower, shaking out weak BUY positions. • Mid-session: Price moved sideways, accumulating and absorbing supply. • Late session: Strong breakout above the box, closing at highs → confirmation of capital inflow. => This was a post-accumulation breakout, supported by fundamentals, not a random spike. 4. Today’s Strategy (14/01/26): 🪙 SELL XAUUSD | 4,686 – 4,684 • SL: 4,690 • TP1: 4,678 • TP2: 4,672 🪙 BUY XAUUSD | 4,558 – 4,560 • SL: 4,554 • TP1: 4,566 • TP2: 4,572
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Signals_100pips
Gold - Upper BoundaryThe move from late October 2025 can be viewed as the start of a correction, and so far nothing has fundamentally changed - only the type of correction has been revised. It now appears to be an expanded flat. The upper boundary is a break above 4,571 (+5) - at that point, this scenario would be considered invalid. Next, according to the scenario, we should see a fast downward move - wave C - either from the current level or from the high. Potential targets if the move starts from the high: • 3,940 • 3,769 • possibly lower If this scenario plays out, a rebound is expected afterward, followed by continuation in the direction of the main trend. --- Please subscribe and leave a comment. You’ll get new information faster than anyone else. ---
FX:XAUUSDShort
by NotBoringTrading
How to Trade Opening Range on TradingViewMaster the opening range strategy using TradingView's charting tools in this comprehensive tutorial from Optimus Futures. The opening range captures the high and low established during a defined period at the market open. It represents the first consensus between overnight positioning and new session orders, often setting the tone for the rest of the trading day. What You'll Learn: Understanding the opening range as a key price zone formed during the first minutes of a session How the Opening Range High (ORH) marks the ceiling of early session activity and acts as a breakout trigger How the Opening Range Low (ORL) marks the floor and signals potential bearish momentum when broken Why range width matters — narrow ranges often precede explosive moves, while wide ranges may indicate exhaustion Recognizing failed breakouts when price breaches the range but reverses back inside How to use the range midpoint as a magnet for price and a target for profit-taking Identifying breakout entries when price closes outside the range with conviction Why breakouts should be confirmed with volume and price action, not used in isolation How to add the Opening Range indicator to a TradingView chart via the Indicators menu Understanding session settings and how to customize the time window (15, 30, or 60 minutes) Practical examples on the E-mini S&P 500 futures chart to illustrate opening range signals in real market conditions Applying opening range analysis across different sessions and products for higher-confidence setups This tutorial will benefit futures traders, day traders, and technical analysts who want to incorporate opening range strategies into their trading process. The concepts covered may help you identify early directional bias, breakout opportunities, and potential entry or exit points across different markets and timeframes. Learn more about futures trading with TradingView: optimusfutures.com Disclaimer There is a substantial risk of loss in futures trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please trade only with risk capital. We are not responsible for any third-party links, comments, or content shared on TradingView. Any opinions, links, or messages posted by users on TradingView do not represent our views or recommendations. Please exercise your own judgment and due diligence when engaging with any external content or user commentary. This video represents the opinion of Optimus Futures and is intended for educational purposes only. Chart interpretations are presented solely to illustrate objective technical concepts and should not be viewed as predictive of future market behavior. In our opinion, charts are analytical tools — not forecasting instruments.
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by Optimus Futures
GOLD trading alert! Today's US CPI could be a turning pointThe OANDA:XAUUSD market is entering a very different state compared to the accumulation phase at the end of the year. After the breakout to the $4,600/ounce region, the technical structure shows that the main uptrend remains intact and a new uptrend cycle has met the conditions to form. On the daily chart, the price continues to move within an ascending channel, with each subsequent low higher than the previous one. More importantly, the Fibonacci levels that were resistance in the previous phase have now been absorbed by the price and transformed into dynamic support zones. Specifically: • The 0.5 zone around 4.42x–4.45x has been successfully retested. • The 0.382 zone around 4.29x–4.30x acts as a deeper support buffer for the trend structure. The fact that prices have remained stable above these levels indicates that buying pressure is not just short-term speculation but has shifted to a trend-following holding position. In terms of targets, with the medium-term Fibonacci levels having been conquered, the next technical target lies at the 0.786 region around 4.72x–4.73x USD, corresponding to the upper boundary of the price channel. If momentum is maintained, the 4.95x–5.00x region will be the next extended target of the cycle. However, the risk doesn't lie in an immediate trend reversal, but rather in a technical correction after reaching the target. When the price approaches 4.72x–4.75x, the market may experience: • Profit-taking along the wave. • Narrowing of the range and a return to test the support zone at 4.45x or even deeper at 4.30x to "clean up" positions before establishing the next upward move. In other words, the big picture is still bullish, but the short-term path will not be straight. Gold is no longer in a "breakout test" phase. Technically, the market has entered a new, clearly structured uptrend, with old resistance levels becoming price bases. The target ahead has been identified, but a correction after reaching that target is something to prepare for, rather than being caught off guard when it occurs. SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4652 - 4650⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 4656 →Take Profit 1 4644 ↨ →Take Profit 2 4638 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 4527 - 4529⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 4523 →Take Profit 1 4535 ↨ →Take Profit 2 4541
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
1
GOLD ANALYSIS 01/13/20261. Fundamental Analysis: a) Economy: • USD: Ahead of U.S. CPI, the USD is moving in a choppy range, with potential for a short-term spike on news release → creating technical pullback pressure on gold during the session. • U.S. Equities: Cautious sentiment, capital is not yet willing to take strong risks before CPI → no clear capital rotation away from gold. • FED: CPI is a key dataset for the FED in assessing the interest rate path. If CPI does not cool as expected → market reactions may be volatile, but the medium-term gold trend remains intact. • TRUMP: No new statements strong enough to directly impact the market; this factor is currently neutral. • Gold ETF: SPDR added more than 6 tons → confirming large capital accumulation, supporting a BUY-on-dips bias rather than distribution. b) Geopolitics: • No new escalations, but global geopolitical risks remain latent → gold maintains its baseline safe-haven role. c) Market Sentiment: • Mild risk-off ahead of CPI → defensive positioning, prone to sideways movement and stop-hunting during news sessions. Profit-taking may appear and, if widespread, could trigger a sharp drop. 2. Technical Analysis: • Primary Trend: Bullish (Higher High – Higher Low structure remains intact). • Price is correcting after ATH, trading below short-term MAs, retesting the equilibrium zone. • RSI (M15–M30): Recovering from lower levels → selling pressure is weakening, but not yet strong enough to confirm a bullish reversal. • Current structure aligns with: • Sideway consolidation • Or one more shakeout toward deeper support before rebounding. RESISTANCE: 4,600 – 4,630 – 4,683 SUPPORT: 4,577 – 4,550 – 4,533 3. Previous Session (12/01/26): • Gold surged strongly despite a USD rebound → indicating weak selling pressure. • Large money did not distribute; this was merely a technical correction after an extended rally. • Price behavior suggests: patience remains the advantage. 4. Today’s Strategy (13/01/26): 🪙 SELL XAUUSD | 4,643 – 4,639 • SL: 4,648 • TP1: 4,630 • TP2: 4,621 🪙 BUY XAUUSD | 4,540 – 4,544 • SL: 4,536 • TP1: 4,552 • TP2: 4,560
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Signals_100pips
MNQ - Ascending Channel Range Play | FVG Zones Holding Hey TradingView community! 👋 NASDAQ futures are in classic range mode right now. Let me break down what I'm seeing on the 45-minute chart. The Setup MNQ1! is trading at 25,941 inside an ascending channel, currently sitting right in the upper FVG zone around 25,880-25,920. Price has been respecting this channel beautifully - bouncing between the upper and lower boundaries like clockwork. This is a range-bound market. Until we get a decisive breakout, expect more of the same: test resistance, pull back to FVG, bounce, repeat. Why I'm Neutral Here Ascending channel intact - but price is RANGING, not trending Two FVG zones acting as magnets - price keeps retesting them S&P 500 at record highs but NASDAQ lagging slightly Fed pressure headlines creating uncertainty (Powell vs Trump drama) CPI data Tuesday could be the catalyst for breakout Bank earnings starting this week (JPM Tuesday) The News Context Mixed signals keeping the market choppy: S&P 500 hit record high Friday - but NASDAQ underperforming Trump vs Powell drama - DOJ threatening Fed Chair over "renovation" testimony Credit card rate cap proposal hitting bank stocks hard Soft jobs data (50K vs 60K expected) - but unemployment dropped to 4.4% Banks pushing back rate cut expectations after jobs report Walmart joining Nasdaq-100 on Jan 20 - could bring passive fund flows CPI report Tuesday - this is the big catalyst to watch Key Levels I'm Watching Resistance: 26,000 - Psychological level / upper channel 26,280 - Major resistance (near 52-week high) 26,399 - 52-WEEK HIGH Support: 25,880-25,920 - Upper FVG zone (current) 25,800-25,860 - Lower FVG zone 25,600 - Channel midline support 25,320 - Lower channel support My Game Plan Range scenario (MOST LIKELY): Price continues to oscillate within the ascending channel. Expect retests of the FVG zones. Trade the range - buy at lower FVG, sell at upper channel resistance. This is a scalper's market until we get a breakout. Bullish scenario: If CPI comes in soft and we break above 26,000 with volume, next target is 26,280, then 26,399 (52-week high). Walmart joining Nasdaq-100 on Jan 20 could bring passive buying. Bearish scenario: If CPI comes in hot or Fed drama escalates, we could break below 25,600 and test 25,320 lower channel support. Watch bank earnings for sentiment. The Bottom Line I'm NEUTRAL here. The channel is intact but we're just ranging. No clear trend until we break out. The FVG zones are acting as support/resistance - trade the range or wait for the breakout. CPI Tuesday is the key. That's likely the catalyst that decides direction. What do you think? Breakout or more chop? Let me know in the comments! 👇
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by officialjackofalltrades
$ilver - Price Levels to watch / 2 Month Pivot Points There is potential that $ilver might touch close to $ 130 within the next two months if we hold up that momentum. There is one conservative R:R 1.6 (put stop under the pivot) and one more agressive R:R 3 entry idea here. Also you can wait for the breakout to happen and wait for a retest if you want to play it safe (but who knows if there might even be a retest given the fundamentals) PLAN B: If we fail to hold ~ $ 75 price might revisit the 2M pivot - that would be a quick shorting opportunity then. If you are just holding silver coins/bars long term, I wouldnt panic if the price cycles back down to $60 or even $45. This would be within the expected volatility and could be a geat opportunity to stack more physical.
TVC:SILVER
by FJW_Trading
ZB: 30 Year Treasuries Face a Defining Data Week The Long Bond and the Shifting Inflation Narrative The ZB thirty year Treasury futures contract represents the long end of the United States Treasury yield curve and is primarily driven by expectations around inflation, growth, fiscal policy, and long term interest rate risk. Because of its long duration, ZB is the most sensitive Treasury product to changes in inflation expectations and shifts in term premium. When markets become concerned about persistent inflation or increased Treasury issuance, ZB tends to underperform. When growth risks rise or inflation pressures ease, ZB often attracts defensive demand. Within the Treasury complex, ZB sits at the far end of the curve, while ZT two year, ZF five year, and ZN ten year futures reflect progressively shorter duration exposures. ZT is most reactive to Federal Reserve policy expectations, ZN tends to balance policy and growth considerations, and ZB expresses longer term confidence or concern about economic stability and inflation control. Over the past few months, sentiment in ZB has improved as inflation has moderated from prior highs and recession risks have remained present but not fully realized. The narrative since late spring has centered on easing tariff fears, slower but resilient growth, and a market that is gradually reassessing how restrictive policy needs to remain over the long run. This week, macro data will be a major driver. CPI on January 13th, followed by PPI and retail sales on January 14th, will shape near term direction. A miss in CPI or PPI, particularly on core measures, would likely support ZB as it reinforces the idea that long term inflation pressures are cooling, allowing yields to drift lower. A beat in inflation or strong retail sales would pressure ZB lower, as it would revive concerns that growth and pricing power remain too firm for comfort at the long end of the curve. What the Market has done • Since bottoming out at the 109'14 area in May 2025 after tariff fears were alleviated, bids have stepped up and the market has steadily reclaimed the April Trump liberation tariff selloff. • In September 2025, buyers were able to overcome sellers at 116’00, which was daily level 2 and a four month resistance level where sellers had previously defended. • Subsequently, buyers were able to defend this level until the end of November, when bids slipped and sellers were able to offer prices down through the September 5, 2025 low value area and single print at 115'20 to 114'20. • Since December, the market has been consolidating sideways within this zone, filling in and repairing the LVA as balance has developed. What to expect in the coming week The key level to watch is 115'25 to 116'00, which represents the previous week’s close, the current consolidation block high, and the over-under zone of daily level 2. Neutral scenario • Expect the market to continue consolidating in a tight range, potentially between 115'25 and 115'05, as participants wait for clarity from CPI on January 13th and PPI and retail sales on January 14th. • In this scenario, rotational and mean reverting behavior should dominate, with responsive buyers and sellers active at range extremes. Bearish scenario • If the market is unable to accept above 116'00, expect a rotation back down through the consolidation block toward 114'18, which aligns with the range low and weekly one standard deviation low. • This bearish scenario is likely to be very choppy and difficult to trade, as the market remains in balance within the broader 116 to 114'20 range. Bullish scenario • If the market is able to accept above 116'00, price could move up through offer block 1 toward 117'00, which represents the high of offer block 1 and the weekly one standard deviation high. • In our opinion, this is the cleaner trade opportunity, as the market would be imbalancing out of the current balanced and composite value area, opening the door for directional follow through. Conclusion ZB sits at a critical decision point, balancing between a well repaired value area below and a clearly defined acceptance zone above. With CPI scheduled for January 13th, followed by PPI and retail sales on January 14th, the market is likely to remain patient until these releases provide clarity on inflation persistence and demand strength. A softer inflation print or weaker consumption data would support acceptance higher and reinforce the bullish imbalance scenario, while firmer data could keep ZB capped and pressure price back through the current consolidation. In our opinion, traders should focus on how price responds at 116'00 and 115'25 following the releases, as acceptance or rejection at these levels will likely define the next directional opportunity. If you found this analysis useful, feel free to give a boost, comment, or share your own levels and scenarios below. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Analysis is for educational purposes only; trade your own plan and manage risk. Acronyms: w - Weekly VAH - Value Area High VAL - Value Area Low VPOC - Volume Point of Control LVN - Low Value Node HVN - High Value Node LVA - Low Value Area SP - Single print
CBOT:ZB1!
by EdgeClear
GOLD surges! Iran, the Fed, and the wavering US policy.OANDA:XAUUSD experienced a breakout in the Asian session, not as a momentary market reaction, but as a confluence of three risk factors: escalating geopolitical tensions, dovish monetary policy, and instability in central US institutions. Gold prices (XAUUSD) surged to nearly $4,600 per ounce, setting a new all-time high of $4,599.80 per ounce in a single session. This $90 daily increase wasn't driven by purely speculative capital flows, but rather reflected a widespread defensive sentiment. I believe that gold's new high isn't a moment of euphoria, but rather a message. It suggests that investors are reassessing the global risk landscape: from the unstable Middle East and sanctioned Latin America to internal policy and legal dynamics in Washington. Bloomberg has described gold's past year as a series of record-breaking events as interest rates fell, geopolitical tensions escalated, and confidence in the dollar weakened simultaneously. Notably, many fund managers are not rushing to take profits, as they see gold not just as a trade, but as a long-term hedge. In that picture, the surge to nearly $4,600/ounce wasn't the end point. It signaled that the market was entering a phase where political, legal, and monetary risks were no longer on the periphery, but had become central variables. And as centers of power simultaneously signaled instability, gold was once again chosen not for yield, but for the belief that there are times when preserving value is more important than maximizing profits. SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4642 - 4640⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 4646 →Take Profit 1 4634 ↨ →Take Profit 2 4628 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 4510 - 4512⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 4506 →Take Profit 1 4518 ↨ →Take Profit 2 4524
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
1