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MNQ A+ Buy SetupYou’re right. That sounded too polished.
## MNQ A+ Buy Setup
Looking at this 15-minute chart, I’m still interested in the buy.
Price came down close to Monday’s low, tapped into that demand area around **29,475 to 29,525**, and gave a nice reaction. Now it’s pulling back after that first push up.
I’m not trying to chase it here though. I’d rather see price come back into that area and show me buyers are still there.
If that zone holds, I’m looking for price to get back above **29,650**, then make a move toward **29,750**. After that, I’d be watching that bigger area around **29,950 to 30,000**.
Monday’s high at **30,051.75** is still sitting up there too, so if buyers really get control, that’s where I’d expect price to eventually reach for.
If price comes back down and breaks below **29,387.25**, then I’m off the buy idea.
So for me, it’s simple. Let it come back to the area, let buyers prove they’re still there, then I’ll look for the move up.
This is how we #breakthecycle
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NQ Weekly Outlook: Mixed to Higher? | 13 to 17 July 2026The model read for the coming week contains three positive-bias days and two negative-bias days, suggesting a mixed structure with an overall tendency toward higher prices.
This outlook is based on the NQ Globex session, not only regular cash-session price action.
Monday, 13 July: Negative bias
Monday carries a negative bias, although positive momentum from the weekend may continue into the early part of the session and create choppy or conflicted price action.
NQ ended the previous week near an important resistance area. If Globex opens around the 30150 - 30200 region, the interaction with that resistance may become important in determining whether the negative bias develops cleanly or whether price remains supported.
The time-cycle structure also suggests that any early directional move may begin to weaken after approximately 9:00 AM ET, ahead of the regular cash-session open.
Tuesday, 14 July: Positive bias
Tuesday shifts to a positive bias, although another underlying model remains negative. This creates some disagreement within the broader model read, so the session may not produce a straightforward upward move even if the positive tendency ultimately aligns.
Wednesday, 15 July: Positive bias
Wednesday continues with a positive bias. However, the model indicates a greater possibility of volatility or changing behavior during the middle or later part of the session.
The broader direction may remain positive while the actual price path becomes less stable as the session progresses.
Thursday, 16 July: Negative bias
Thursday shifts back to a negative bias.
The model also suggests that the earlier portion of the session may behave differently from the later portion, making the timing and development of the move important when reviewing the outlook afterward.
Friday, 17 July: Positive bias
Friday returns to a positive bias, but the following Saturday shifts negative.
That transition may increase the possibility of weakening momentum, greater volatility, or a change in behavior later in Friday’s session rather than a clean continuation throughout the day.
Overall, the weekly expectation is mixed to higher, but not necessarily through a smooth or uninterrupted move.
These expectations come from a time-cycle driven, probabilistic market research framework. The purpose is to document possible directional tendencies and price-action behavior in advance, then compare them with actual NQ market behavior after the week unfolds.
Price action remains important. A directional bias should not be interpreted in isolation from support, resistance, momentum, and the market’s actual behavior during the session.
Disclaimer: This post is for educational, research, and review purposes only. It is not financial advice, investment advice, trading advice, a trade signal, or a recommendation to buy, sell, enter, exit, or hold any financial instrument. Futures trading involves substantial risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
#NQ #NasdaqFutures #WeeklyOutlook #TimeCycles #MarketCycles #PriceAction Long 
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Xau Crazy WarHi, I'm Maicol, an Italian trader.
I've been studying Gold since 2019.
My trading approach focuses on swing trading and intraday setups.
I need your support.
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It may seem like a small gesture, but it makes a big difference to my work.
Make sure to read the full description to understand today's trading plan.
Don't focus only on the chart. Thank you.
🌞 GOOD MORNING EVERYONE 🌞
🔍 Gold Price Action 🔍
WEE. How's everyone doing?
Did you guys see the FOMC minutes?
Not great for gold, yet somehow it's pushing higher. 😂
Treasury yields are rising too.
What a market.?.
I've been trading since 2019, and I've never seen anything like this. Ever since Trump came back, it feels more like a casino than a financial market.
I'm still keeping a bearish bias.
One day there's a ceasefire, the next day it's gone... like Mr. Miyagi in Karate Kid pulling tricks. 😅
The gap that got filled last night invalidated the short continuation setups we were watching yesterday afternoon. Now it's time to reassess from the levels I've marked.
Let's see the jobless claims and the New York open first.
After that, we'll see if the market finally starts moving.
See you later.
Set your stop losses, and please don't blow your accounts.
🔔 Turn on notifications so you don't miss any updates!
📬 If you have any questions, feel free to message me. I'll be happy to help.
🔍 Reminder 🔍
I avoid trading during the Asian and London sessions.
My main focus is on the high-impact news releases at 8:30 AM ET and the New York session open at 9:30 AM ET.
In the meantime, I wish everyone a great day.
HAPPY TRADING
MANAGE YOUR RISK
BE PATIENT Why I Wait for Confluence Before Entering Every TradeEvery trader wants a better entry. Very few spend enough time building a better process.
After more than 12 years of trading the futures markets, I've learned that the entry itself is often the least important part of the trade.
The real edge comes from everything that happens before you ever click the buy or sell button.
Most traders spend their time searching for the perfect indicator or setup, hoping to find something that predicts the next move. I used to think the same way. Over time, I realized that consistency wasn't built on prediction—it was built on preparation.
Before risking capital, I want multiple pieces of the market telling the same story.
For me, that means asking a series of questions:
- What is the higher-timeframe bias?
- Where are institutions most likely active?
- Is price approaching a meaningful level?
- Does market structure support the trade?
- Is momentum aligned with my directional bias?
- Does the current trading session favor this type of setup?
If those answers don't align, I simply wait.
One of the biggest lessons the market has taught me is that not every move deserves participation.
The market offers opportunities every day, but it doesn't owe us one every hour.
Patience isn't inactivity. Patience is part of the strategy.
The chart in this article isn't meant to predict the future. It's simply an example of how I organize information before making a trading decision. If price confirms my thesis, I'll participate. If it doesn't, I'll wait for the next opportunity.
That mindset has done more for my consistency than any single indicator ever could.
This decision-making framework eventually became the foundation for FDL PRO, the TradingView indicator I developed to help traders focus on confluence instead of prediction.
Over the coming weeks, I'll be sharing weekly YM market analysis, trade breakdowns, and lessons I've learned throughout my trading career. My goal isn't to tell you what to buy or sell—it's to help you think differently about the decision-making process behind every trade.
About the Author
I'm Joe Pena, founder of FibsDontLie.
For more than 12 years, I've specialized in trading YM futures and have helped over 7,000 traders worldwide develop a structured, rule-based approach to market execution. My focus is on market structure, confluence, and disciplined decision-making rather than prediction.
I'd love to hear your thoughts.
What factors need to align before you enter a trade? Leave a comment below. 
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