Long from accumulation range: targets 1.50 → 2.35 (Weekly FVG)Price is sitting at the upper edge of the 0.78–0.83 accumulation. Above, unfilled FVG clusters on D1/W1 act as magnets; the first target is 1.50, then 2.00–2.35 (Weekly FVG). VPVR shows the main volume base at 0.70–0.83.
Idea
Counter-trend long from range support with base R/R ≈ 3.7. Expectation: liquidity sweep to the upside and FVG fills.
Trade Plan (laddered limits)
Entries: 0.820 (40%), 0.780 (30%), 0.650 (30%)
Hard stop (invalidation): 0.611
TP1: 1.500 (take 50%)
TP2: 2.350 (leave 50%)
Risk / Reward
Max risk to stop: −23.63% from 0.800 → 0.611.
Upside: +87.5% to 1.50 and +193.8% to 2.35.
Base R/R ≈ 3.7.
Management
After 1.00–1.05, move stop to breakeven (avg entry). After TP1, trail under the latest H4/D1 HL and hold for the Weekly FVG 2.00–2.35.
Key Levels
Support: 0.83 / 0.78 / 0.72–0.70 / 0.65
Resistance: 1.00 / 1.20–1.35 / 1.50 / 1.95 / 2.35
Confirmation Triggers
H4/D1 close above 0.90–1.00 (fresh HH)
Impulsive move from 0.78–0.83 with volume and absorption of the last bearish block
Alternative (bearish)
Clean break and acceptance below 0.611 cancels the idea; wait for a new base/re-accumulation.
Risks
Meme coins are prone to sharp liquidity flushes; use strict position sizing and respect the stop.
Fvg
DXY - OTE + SD Long TradeThis was my trade in TVC:DXY
This is the example of an absolute perfect entry and exit.
Entry at Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) level 0.5 .
Stoploss below swing low.
Exit half lots at Standard Deviation TP 1 and rest of the lots at Standard Deviation TP 2.
They say the perfect trade doesn't exist. But here is something to change your mind :)
Share your thoughts and analysis in the comments! I'd love to learn more.
"Gold’s Critical Bounce Zone – Is $3,400 the Next Magnet Level?""Gold’s Critical Bounce Zone – Is $3,400 the Next Magnet Level?"
📊 XAUUSD is showing a textbook bullish structure setup after forming a Higher Low right above strong support at $3,339. Price is now trading inside the Entry Zone ($3,348 – $3,339), an area that aligns with:
✅ Order Block Support
✅ Previous Break of Structure (BOS)
✅ Smart Money Fair Value Gap (FVG) retest
🧐 Market Structure Insight
Recent BOS flipped bias to bullish after buyers pushed through prior resistance.
A bullish FVG from earlier in the trend still holds influence, attracting price back for a healthy retest.
The current Higher Low shows buyers stepping in early, maintaining upward momentum.
Strong resistance is located at $3,400 – $3,440, which also acts as a psychological magnet for traders.
🎯 Trade Plan (Educational Example)
Entry Zone: 3,348 – 3,339 📍
Stop Loss: below 3,339 🛑
Target 1: 3,380 🎯 (partial profits)
Target 2: 3,400 ⭐ (main target)
Extended Target: 3,420 – 3,440 💎
📈 Reward to Risk: ~1.6R to the main target, with potential 2.9R to extended resistance if momentum accelerates.
EURUSD - Bullish momentum for the week!Introduction
The EURUSD has been consolidating for a prolonged period, sweeping both upside and downside liquidity in the process. After the liquidity sweep to the downside, price reacted strongly by moving upwards, indicating a shift in market structure. The pair has since inverted the previously bearish 4-hour fair value gap, which now acts as a bullish reference point, and is currently holding within the 1-hour fair value gap. As long as price maintains this 1-hour FVG support, there remains a strong case for further upside movement.
Liquidity Sweep
The recent downside liquidity sweep was a significant turning point. By driving below key lows and collecting stop orders, EURUSD effectively cleared the market of weak positions. This was followed by a sharp rejection, represented by a wick, which signaled strong buying interest at these levels. Since then, the market has been climbing steadily, showing intent to challenge the higher liquidity levels resting above.
Inversion
Following the liquidity sweep, EURUSD inverted the bearish 4-hour fair value gap. What was previously an area of supply and resistance has now been reclaimed and transformed into a demand zone. This inversion is an important bullish signal because it indicates that sellers were absorbed and that buyers have successfully taken control. As long as this zone remains intact, the path of least resistance continues to lean upward.
1-Hour Bullish FVG
Currently, EURUSD is resting on a 1-hour bullish fair value gap. This area serves as an important support level, and as long as it holds, price is likely to use it as a springboard for further gains. The next targets lie at the upside, beginning with the first objective at the intermediate resistance level labeled “Target 1,” before ultimately pushing towards the liquidity area above. By reaching this zone, the market would sweep short-side liquidations and potentially trigger momentum-driven buying.
Target Area
The primary targets for this bullish move are the two significant highs above the current range. These highs represent zones where stop-loss orders are most likely accumulated. By driving into and above these levels, EURUSD will effectively complete a liquidity grab, providing bulls with a logical profit-taking zone before the market considers a possible retracement. Such a move would align with the general principle of markets seeking liquidity before establishing a new direction.
Final Thoughts
In summary, EURUSD is showing constructive price action following its downside liquidity sweep and subsequent bullish reversal. The inversion of the 4-hour FVG and the current defense of the 1-hour FVG are both encouraging signs for buyers. As long as the 1-hour fair value gap continues to act as a firm support, the probability of an upward continuation towards the liquidity area remains strong. However, traders should also remain mindful that once the liquidity above the highs is collected, a corrective move to the downside could develop. For now, the short-term bias stays bullish, with clearly defined targets on the upside.
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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XAUUSD Professional OutlookXAUUSD Professional Outlook
Gold has been carving out a strong bullish structure, showing resilience after multiple liquidity sweeps and rejections from deeper zones. The chart indicates that buyers continue to dominate, with price currently pressing toward a critical resistance region.
🔹 Key Observations
Structure Alignment
The market has successfully defended every higher low, proving the strength of buyers.
Recent momentum confirms that demand zones are being respected while supply zones are gradually weakening.
Support & Demand Control
3320 – 3330 stands as a major structural support, where liquidity was swept and buyers re-entered aggressively.
Current buying zone around 3380 – 3400 is the short-term level where fresh orders may accumulate before continuation.
Resistance in Focus
The resistance block around 3415 – 3440 is the immediate test.
A rejection here could trigger a controlled pullback, but the probability favors a bullish breakout given the ongoing higher-low pattern.
Liquidity Dynamics
Smart money has already cleared liquidity below the July swing.
Market is now targeting liquidity pockets above, aligning with a push toward the 3440+ region.
🎯 Trading Scenarios
Bullish Case (Higher Probability)
Buy retracement toward 3380 – 3400, with upside targets at 3440 and extended 3480 – 3500 if breakout occurs.
Bearish Risk Case
Failure to hold above 3380 could push price back into 3320 demand, where the larger bullish thesis would be tested.
📝 Final Note
Gold is operating in a controlled bullish cycle with momentum favoring buyers. As long as 3320 holds firm, dips remain buying opportunities, and the path of least resistance is upward. The upcoming test at 3440 will be decisive for either a strong continuation or a temporary pullback
Bitcoin - Will the CME gap be filled?Introduction
Bitcoin has been under consistent downward pressure since it reached its new all-time high, and the market has been struggling to regain momentum. During the past weekend, we saw a notable drop in price that created a CME gap, which also happens to align with the bearish 4-hour fair value gap. Since then, the price has been climbing back up, but the recovery has been slow and cautious rather than explosive. The key question now is whether Bitcoin will continue to rise and fill the CME gap or whether it will lose strength and revisit the recent lows. In the following sections, I will go over the levels and scenarios to watch closely.
Daily FVG bounce
Last week, Bitcoin found support at the daily fair value gap, which acted as a strong demand zone. From this level, the price bounced upward and has been grinding higher ever since. Although this reaction gave some relief to buyers, the pace of the move has been rather sluggish, and momentum remains weak. What traders now need to evaluate is how far this move can realistically extend. The daily FVG provided the initial foundation for this bounce, but the real test will come as the price approaches shorter-term imbalances and resistance areas.
Bullish scenario
For the bullish outlook to play out, Bitcoin needs to hold the current 1-hour fair value gap as support. If this level remains intact, it will signal that buyers are in control of the short-term trend and that the recent bounce has the potential to evolve into a more sustainable rally. In that case, the next logical upside target would be the 4-hour fair value gap, which conveniently aligns with the CME gap left behind last weekend’s drop. Filling this inefficiency would not only provide a technical target for bulls but would also help restore some balance to the market structure.
Bearish scenario
On the other hand, if Bitcoin fails to maintain the 1-hour fair value gap and breaks below it with a clear 1-hour candle closure, the outlook shifts to bearish. This kind of move would create a bearish inversion and serve as confirmation that sellers are regaining control. If this occurs, the probability increases significantly that Bitcoin will revisit its recent lows. In such a case, the market could once again test the demand at the daily fair value gap, and depending on the strength of that support, we could even see deeper retracements.
Final thoughts
Bitcoin is currently at an important crossroads where both bullish and bearish outcomes remain possible. The reaction around the 1-hour fair value gap will provide the clearest signal as to which direction the market is likely to take next. If buyers manage to defend this level, the path toward the 4-hour FVG and the CME gap becomes a realistic target, offering room for a meaningful recovery. However, if sellers push the price below the 1-hour imbalance, then the recent bounce may be nothing more than a temporary relief rally before another leg down. Traders should remain cautious, monitor these key levels closely, and adapt to whichever scenario unfolds.
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Gold XAUUSD Buy SetupGold is forming a potential buy setup.
If price reaches the FVG zone and the M15 candle closes above the 50% level, a buy entry can be considered.
⚠️ Always wait for candle confirmation and manage risk properly.
Entry Zone: FVG 50% level
Trade: 3430+
Stop Loss: Below FVG zone
Risk/Reward: High probability setup"
EURUSD - Is there more bearish momentum ahead?Introduction
Last Friday, the EURUSD experienced a sharp move to the upside following Jerome Powell’s speech, which fueled optimism and created strong bullish momentum. However, the market could not sustain this rally, and by yesterday all the gains were fully retraced. Price dropped back into the bullish inversion fair value gap (FVG), ultimately filling it entirely. While this retracement has cooled off the bullish pressure, it has also introduced some new dynamics into the market that traders should be aware of.
Liquidity sweep
During Friday’s impulsive rally, EURUSD swept liquidity above the recent highs and simultaneously filled all the bearish fair value gaps. This move, while initially strong, did not manage to establish a sustainable break above those highs. As a result, bearish momentum began to reappear, suggesting that the rally was more of a liquidity grab rather than the start of a prolonged bullish trend.
Bullish case scenario
The bullish scenario from here would require EURUSD to reclaim strength and invalidate the recently formed bearish 4-hour FVG. For this to happen, the pair would need a decisive 4-hour candle close above this zone, signaling renewed upside momentum. Should buyers manage to achieve this, the next logical target would be another attempt at the highs that were swept on Friday. A confirmed break above those levels would strengthen the bullish case and potentially open the path to higher price levels.
Bearish case scenario
On the other hand, the bearish scenario appears more probable if EURUSD faces rejection at the bearish 4-hour FVG. A failure to break above this area would confirm that the bearish momentum is still in play. If that occurs, price will likely seek liquidity by moving lower, potentially targeting the bullish 4-hour FVG that sits beneath the liquidity zone. This move would align with the broader bearish structure and reinforce the idea that the market remains under selling pressure despite Friday’s rally.
Final thoughts
In conclusion, EURUSD is currently at a critical juncture, with both bullish and bearish scenarios still on the table. The decisive factor will be how price reacts around the bearish 4-hour FVG. A strong close above could set the stage for a continuation to the upside, while rejection from this zone would likely lead to a liquidity grab to the downside and a revisit of lower fair value gaps. Traders should remain cautious and patient, waiting for clear confirmations before committing to a direction, as the market continues to balance between bullish hopes and bearish pressure.
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like 👍 and leave a comment 💬, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
Reload at $0.40, ride the trend toward $0.90–$1.20ENA is tracking a higher-timeframe bullish structure while eyeing a deep retest at $0.40. That zone aligns with prior demand and alert levels from the author. The monthly support / invalidation sits at ~$0.238 — a break below would negate the idea.
Trade Plan (Swing)
Entry: $0.4000 (limit; consider a ladder $0.415 → $0.400 → $0.385)
Stop (hard): $0.2380 (monthly break) → −40.50%
Targets:
TP1: $0.70 (+75.0%) — partials/stop to BE
TP2: $0.90 (+125.0%) — main take
TP3 (stretch): $1.20 (+200.0%)
Baseline R:R: ~3.09 : 1 (0.40 → 0.90 vs. 0.238)
Scenarios
A) Preferred — Deep Retest & Reversal at $0.40
Trigger: Wick into $0.41–$0.39 with H4/W1 SFP/BOS + reclaim of $0.40.
Execution: Fill ladder; add on reclaim > $0.40 (flip to support).
Invalidation: Daily/Weekly close < $0.238 (monthly level lost). Tighten if H4 structure fails repeatedly below $0.39.
B) Shallow Pullback, Continuation Above $0.40
Trigger: Hold >$0.40 without a deep tag; higher lows on H4.
Execution: Buy on retest $0.40–$0.41 with confirmation (LL→HL shift).
Invalidation: H4 acceptance < $0.40 (failed flip); hard stop unchanged $0.238.
Smart Money View
Setup resembles a “deep reload” into demand before expansion. If $0.40 holds and flips, the draw favors inefficiency fills toward $0.70 → $0.90, with $1.20 as extension once weekly momentum compounds.
Risk & Management
Size down to respect the HTF stop distance; ladder entries to improve average.
After TP1 $0.70, move stop to break-even and trail below fresh higher lows on H4/D1.
Avoid chasing mid-range between $0.45–$0.65 without a clean pullback or structure break.
Breakout > $112,000 or Demand Reload $107,000–$104,000BTC is compressing below the decision level at $112,000. Liquidity is stacked at Equal Highs $112,300–$113,700 and Equal Lows near $107,000, with a daily demand/FVG around $104,000. Expect a quick liquidity sweep before direction is chosen.
Trade Plan
Scenario A — Breakout Long (> $112,300-112,700)
Trigger: H1/H4 close above $112,700 with acceptance (no immediate reclaim back below $112,300).
Entry: Stop-limit on confirmation or on the first clean retest of $112,000 as support (flip).
Targets:
• TP2: $115,000+ (range expansion)
Invalidation: H4 close back below $112,000 after the flip (failed breakout). Conservative hard invalidation: daily close < $111,500.
Scenario B — Demand Long ($107,000–$104,000)
Trigger: Sweep/visit of $107,000 into $104,000 FVG/demand, then bullish reversal signal on H1/H4 (SFP, BOS + retest).
Entry: Ladder limits $107,000 → $104,000.
Invalidation: Daily close below $104,000 (demand lost). Tighter option: H4 close < $102,156.
Positioning & Risk
Split size 50/50 across scenarios (breakout vs. reload) or use conditional orders.
Move stops to BE after TP1 or once $112,000 holds as support.
Expect wicks: allow for confirmation; avoid chasing mid-range.
EURUSD - Bullish outlook heading into next week!Introduction
The EURUSD experienced a strong surge last Friday, largely driven by Jerome Powell’s speech, which added significant momentum to the market. This impulsive move to the upside successfully filled both the bearish 4-hour and 1-hour Fair Value Gaps (FVGs). The candle that formed was notably strong and bullish, and because of its size and strength, it is highly probable that we will see at least a 50% retracement of this candle before price continues to push higher. Such a retracement would allow the market to gather liquidity and prepare for another bullish leg.
Liquidity Sweep
Before this sharp rally, the EURUSD executed a liquidity sweep at the recent lows, clearing out stop losses and inducing sellers into the market. This is a classic move often seen before a strong reversal to the upside. Following this sweep, price accelerated with an aggressive bullish candle. My expectation now is for the market to retrace into this candle, ideally retracing deeply enough to provide a high-probability entry for continuation to the upside. This liquidity sweep sets the stage for a bullish scenario, as it suggests that smart money has already accumulated positions at discounted levels.
Resistance
As price surged higher, it tapped into a key area of resistance, which aligns with both the 1-hour and 4-hour FVGs. This confluence of timeframes strengthens the validity of the resistance zone and explains why price has reacted from this level. I anticipate that breaking through this resistance will require additional momentum, which may not occur immediately. Instead, we could see a short-term pullback or cooldown that allows the market to gather strength before attempting to push through this supply zone. This resistance area will therefore act as a decisive battleground for buyers and sellers.
Bullish Support
The strong bullish candle formed during the rally now serves as a new area of support. I expect price to respect the 50% retracement level of this candle, which lies around 1.166. This midpoint often acts as a significant level in technical analysis, and holding above it would confirm bullish continuation. As long as price remains above this zone, the momentum remains to the upside, and the probability of another move higher increases. This makes the retracement into this level a potential buying opportunity.
Inversion
Another important factor to consider is the inversion of the 4-hour FVG. On the previous drop, the EURUSD created a bearish 4-hour FVG, which initially acted as resistance. However, with the latest bullish impulse, this same zone has now flipped into an inversion FVG, transforming from a bearish area into a bullish support. This inversion highlights a significant shift in market structure and suggests that bulls are taking control of the price action. This level will be crucial to watch, as holding above it strengthens the case for further upside.
Final Thoughts
In summary, the EURUSD is showing strong bullish potential following the liquidity sweep and the aggressive rally sparked by Powell’s speech. While the market has reached a significant resistance area marked by the 1-hour and 4-hour FVGs, a retracement into the 50% level of the bullish candle would be healthy and provide a potential entry point for buyers. With the inversion of the previous bearish FVG into bullish support, the technical picture favors the upside as long as key support levels are respected. The coming sessions will reveal whether the market has the strength to break through resistance and continue its upward trajectory.
Bitcoin - A Deep Sweep Setting Up the Next ExpansionBitcoin just swept the monthly low of August as well as the previous day’s low. This was a clear liquidity grab that lined up with today’s bullish momentum in the market. The strong reaction from this zone shows that buyers were waiting for these liquidity levels to get cleared before stepping in.
Liquidity Sweep and Reaction
The sweep was significant because it cleared out resting sell-side liquidity to the left. This kind of move usually sets the stage for a reversal, and the large impulse candle confirms strong demand stepping in. While some might see this as just a reaction to external events, the technical picture supports continuation higher.
Immediate Target
The first target is sitting around 117,000. This level lines up with short-term inefficiencies and is a logical magnet for price in the coming sessions. I expect this liquidity pool to be swept before any meaningful retracement.
Retracement Expectation
After hitting the first target, I anticipate a move back down to fill around 50% of the large green impulse candle. Big candles like this often retrace partially before continuing their main direction. That retracement will provide a cleaner structure and a chance for re-entries on lower timeframes.
Higher-Timeframe Objective
Once the retracement plays out, the bigger objective sits higher at the unmitigated 4H fair value gap around 120,500. This area remains untouched and is likely to act as a price magnet as the market seeks balance.
Conclusion
The sweep of key lows combined with the strong impulsive move is a bullish development. I expect price to first tag 117,000, then retrace into the large candle before resuming higher towards the 4H FVG.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
___________________________________
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BTC testing key liquidity zones with bullish divergence but rejeOn the 4H chart, BTC recently showed a clear bullish divergence that sparked an upward move. The current structure points toward a favorable liquidity zone between 120k and 118k, but the real test lies at the 122k level. If BTC can hold above 122k, momentum could continue, but failure to sustain will likely bring a rejection back near 119k. With the weekend approaching and typical sell pressure often kicking in around Monday or Tuesday, traders should stay cautious. Longs from lower levels are looking good, but this is not the moment to expect a fresh all-time high. Watch the liquidity flips and manage positions carefully.
Trading Imbalances: How to Use Fair Value GapsDifficulty: 🐳🐳🐋🐋🐋 (Novice+)
This article is designed for traders who want to understand Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) in a simple, practical way — without drowning in complex Smart Money Concepts terminology.
🔵 INTRODUCTION
If you’ve studied Smart Money Concepts (SMC), you’ve likely come across Fair Value Gaps (FVGs). For many, the concept feels overcomplicated. In reality, an FVG is just an imbalance in price — a spot where the market moved so fast that it didn’t fully trade both sides.
🔑When price leaves a gap behind, it often comes back later to “rebalance.” This gives traders powerful zones for entries, exits, and target setting.
🔵 WHAT IS A FAIR VALUE GAP?
A Fair Value Gap is formed over three candles :
Candle 1: The first move (anchor).
Candle 2: The big impulsive candle (the imbalance).
Candle 3: The follow-up candle.
The gap exists when the high of Candle 1 is below the low of Candle 3 (in a bullish case). This leaves an “untraded zone” inside Candle 2.
Think of it as a skipped step. Price rushed through so quickly, there wasn’t enough time to trade at fair value.
🔵 WHY DOES PRICE RETURN TO FVGs?
Markets seek balance. When an imbalance forms, algorithms and institutional flows often revisit the gap to collect liquidity and rebalance orders.
This doesn’t mean every FVG gets filled instantly — some remain open for days or even weeks. But many serve as magnets for price.
🔑Key point: An FVG is not a magic level. It’s a clue about where inefficiency sits.
🔵 HOW TO TRADE FVGS SIMPLY
1️⃣ Mark the Zone
Identify the three-candle imbalance. Highlight the gap inside Candle 2.
2️⃣ Wait for Return
Don’t chase the impulsive candle. Instead, wait for price to retrace into the FVG zone.
3️⃣ Trade the Reaction
Bullish FVG → wait for price to dip into the zone and show bullish reaction
Bearish FVG → wait for price to retest zone and reject downward
Stops are usually placed beyond the gap, targets set toward the next liquidity pool or swing level.
🔵 EXAMPLE SCENARIO
A strong bullish candle leaves an imbalance.
Price continues higher, but a day later revisits the gap.
At bullish rejection candles form with increasing volume.
Entry taken, stop below gap, target at next swing high.
🔵 TIPS FOR ADVANCED TRADERS
Higher timeframe FVGs are stronger and attract price longer.
Not every gap fills — filter with trend direction.
Combine with OBs (Order Blocks) or liquidity zones for more precision.
Ignore small random gaps in low-volume markets.
🔵 CONCLUSION
Fair Value Gaps don’t need to be mysterious. They’re simply imbalances in the auction process. By waiting for price to return and react, traders can build structured entries with defined risk.
🔑Instead of overcomplicating SMC concepts, think of FVGs as footprints of urgency — and opportunities for balance.
Do you already trade FVGs, or is this your first time hearing about them? Share your setups below!
Bitcoin - Can the bulls defend this support?Introduction
After reaching its all-time high, Bitcoin has faced strong rejection, falling from $124.5k down to $113k with notable bearish volume behind the move. On this downward path, several four-hour bearish Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) were left open, signaling areas of inefficiency that the market may look to revisit. At present, Bitcoin is testing a critical support zone formed by overlapping daily and four-hour FVGs. This support level is of particular importance because holding it could provide the foundation for renewed bullish momentum and a potential recovery in price action.
Bullish scenario
For the bullish case to unfold, Bitcoin must successfully maintain support in the $111.2k to $112.7k range, which represents the current four-hour FVG. This zone serves as a pivotal point where buyers need to defend price in order to keep upward potential intact. If the market stabilizes here, the next logical target will be the four-hour bearish FVG just above. In order to confirm strength, Bitcoin would need to close a clear four-hour candle above this resistance, effectively flipping it into support. Should that occur, it opens the door for price to climb toward the $120k region, a level that would reintroduce confidence among bulls and suggest that the broader trend could still have room for continuation.
Bearish scenario
On the other hand, the bearish scenario becomes more likely if Bitcoin fails to defend the $111.2k to $112.7k four-hour FVG and instead flips this zone into resistance. While a breakdown below this area would be concerning, there is still the possibility of a short-term bounce. In such a case, price could retrace back upward toward the bearish four-hour FVG at $114.7k before facing another critical test. If Bitcoin rejects strongly from that zone and subsequently breaks below $111.2k, the market could experience further downside pressure, potentially setting up a deeper correction. This would reinforce the dominance of the ongoing downtrend that has followed the rejection at the all-time high.
Final thoughts
Bitcoin remains in a pronounced downtrend after its sweep of the previous all-time high, yet it currently sits at a strong support level that offers a chance for recovery. The market’s reaction to this support area will play a decisive role in determining whether a rebound toward $120k is achievable or whether a deeper decline is imminent. The four-hour FVG around $114.7k stands out as a key battleground between bulls and bears. If buyers can reclaim and hold this level, momentum could shift back in their favor, but if sellers defend it and force price lower, the bearish trend is likely to persist.
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like 👍 and leave a comment 💬, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
BTC CME / FVG levelsHi,
Here are some 4 hour FVG / CME levels I found on BTC, just to have an overview over the levels in case of bull, in case of bear, etc..
Price don't have to respect these levels, but usually does, in accordance with ICT market maker / smart money algorithm theory.
Have a great day, and good luck trading!
possible swing point on GBPJPY Alright, let’s dive into the exciting world of trading, shall we?
So, here's the scoop: we’re on the lookout for potential swing points, those sweet spots where the market might just take a turn. It's like waiting for the perfect wave while surfing—the key is to recognize the signs before riding it out. Typically, one of the best indicators we have is a classic momentum drop. Picture it: as the price rises, there’s a little dip in momentum that signals a shift is on the horizon.
Now, once we spot that drop, we keep our eyes peeled for a lovely shift in price action. That’s our cue! When we see everything aligning just right, we can jump in with a smooth swing entry on this pair. It’s all about catching that rhythm and flowing with the market's natural ebb and flow.
So, dust off those charts and let your creative side take control! Map out your strategies, draw your lines, and visualize your plan of action. Trading is as much an art as it is a science, and every eye you lay on the charts brings you closer to mastering it.
Remember, though, as tempting as it is to get swept away by the possibilities, nothing in trading is guaranteed. Embrace the journey; it's all part of the fun and learning. Let’s see how this plays out together! Happy trading!
NEAR USDT Double Top Pattern in PlayNEAR USDT Double Top Pattern in Play
On the daily chart, NEAR/USDT has formed a clear double top pattern. Alongside this, a bearish divergence has also developed, suggesting weakness in upward momentum. At the moment, price is sitting near the key support zone around 2.3.
Support at 2.3 and the Bounce Possibility
If NEAR manages to hold this 2.3 support, a bounce could follow toward the 2.85 resistance area. This zone will act as a critical decision point. A rejection here would likely confirm the double top pattern and bring back selling pressure.
Break of 2.3 Could Lead to 1.8 Retest
On the flip side, if the 2.3 support fails, the double top comes into full effect, and NEAR could slide further down to the 1.8 area, where it has found strong support in the past. Until then, the focus remains on whether the current bounce can push through 2.85 or not.
EURUSD - Will the parallel channel hold?Introduction
The EURUSD is currently trading within a well-defined bullish parallel channel. While this channel suggests an overall upward trajectory, there is an important imbalance in how price has interacted with its boundaries. The upper side of the channel has relatively few touchpoints compared to the lower side, which has already been tested multiple times. This creates an interesting dynamic where both bullish and bearish scenarios remain in play. The pair is also trading within two significant 4-hour fair value gaps (FVGs), and the critical question now is which side will give way first, determining the next directional move.
The Parallel Channel
Within this parallel channel, price action has been leaning more heavily toward the downside, as shown by the fact that the lower boundary has been tested four times already. The upper boundary, however, has only registered a single touch, making it less validated. This imbalance implies that there is notable pressure on the downside, but at the same time, the presence of a bullish 4-hour fair value gap near the lower boundary cannot be ignored. This gap provides a potential level of support that could initiate a reversal back toward the upper side of the channel.
Potential Bullish Bounce from Support
The alignment of the lower trendline of the channel with the 4-hour bullish fair value gap creates a strong technical confluence. This support zone, located around the 1.166 – 1.165 area, could act as a springboard for buyers. If price respects this level, a bullish bounce could occur, pushing EURUSD back toward the upper region of the channel. In this scenario, the market would likely target the remaining inefficiencies left by the bearish 1-hour and 4-hour fair value gaps above, potentially leading to a liquidity grab in that zone.
Bearish Breakdown Scenario
On the other hand, if EURUSD fails to hold the support at the bullish 4-hour FVG, a bearish breakdown becomes increasingly likely. In that case, both the channel structure and the previously supportive FVG would flip into resistance, reinforcing bearish momentum. Should this play out, the pair could decline toward the next major 4-hour FVG around the 1.156 level in the near future. This would represent a meaningful breakdown of the current bullish structure, opening the door for further downside.
Conclusion
The EURUSD sits at a decisive point within its bullish channel. The key lies in whether the support confluence of the 4-hour bullish FVG and the lower trendline will hold. If it does, the pair has room to climb higher and fill inefficiencies above. If it breaks, however, a move down toward 1.156 seems likely. Traders should closely monitor these zones, as the resolution of this consolidation will determine whether EURUSD extends its bullish momentum or shifts into a deeper retracement.
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Bitcoin - Bears in Control, Lows AheadBitcoin has recently completed a clean sweep of the previous all time high, which has now given us strong bearish confirmation signals. After the sweep, the market rejected higher levels and failed to sustain bullish momentum, showing clear signs of distribution at the top. This shift in behavior suggests that buyers have lost control and sellers are now taking over.
Fair Value Gap Setup
Currently, price is sitting just below a fair value gap, which remains unfilled. These imbalances often attract price back before continuing in the prevailing direction, and in this case, that direction is down. A small retracement into the fair value gap above would be the ideal setup for a continuation lower.
Bearish Confirmation
The rejection after sweeping the highs and the subsequent breakdown beneath key support levels has created a bearish structure on the higher timeframe. The failed hold inside the fair value gap turned it into resistance, strengthening the case for lower prices. Each retest has been met with selling pressure, confirming that liquidity is now being delivered to the downside.
Liquidity Targets
Once the fair value gap above is filled, the next logical draw on liquidity sits below the current range. That means the lows are now exposed, and the cleanest target to expect price to reach is at 112k. The path of least resistance remains to the downside, as uncollected sell-side liquidity continues to build up beneath the market.
Trading Outlook
As long as Bitcoin continues to respect the newly formed resistance from the fair value gap, the bearish outlook remains intact. A retracement into the gap would likely offer the best entry for shorts, with the expectation that price will then seek out the lows. Only a convincing reclaim above the imbalance would threaten this bearish scenario.
Conclusion
The clean sweep of the old all time high has shifted market sentiment, and the subsequent bearish confirmations support the idea that the next major move is lower. I expect a slight retrace into the fair value gap before price makes its way down to the 112k liquidity pool.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GBPJPY: Bullish FVG Retracement Into LiquidityMarket Context
Current price: ~199.69
Market swept the Previous Day Low (PDL) and reacted bullish.
We now have a Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside, signaling strength.
Price is consolidating just above the BOS level.
📌 Bullish Idea
The plan is for price to pull back into the 1H demand/FVG zone you’ve highlighted (just above the PDL), then push up towards the liquidity resting above 200.300.
This makes sense because:
Liquidity is clearly sitting above that swing high.
Price already swept downside liquidity (PDL), giving fuel for an upward move.
BOS confirms buyers are in control.
✅ Strength of the Setup
PDL sweep + BOS -> classic bullish reversal sequence.
Fresh demand/FVG zone formed after the BOS.
Liquidity target above 200.300 gives a clean upside magnet.
Market structure = bullish -> higher probability play.
Things to Watch
If price breaks below the PDL again, the bullish idea becomes invalid.
A shallow retracement (not fully filling the FVG) could still lead to upside, so don’t wait for perfection.
Watch London/NY session GBPJPY moves aggressively during those times.
Execution Plan
Buy Entry: 199.20–199.30 (pullback into demand/FVG)
SL: Below 198.95 (below PDL & demand)
TP1: 200.00 (psychological round number)
TP2: 200.30+ (liquidity target)
Professional Take
This is a clean liquidity sweep -> BOS -> FVG retracement play. As long as PDL holds, the bias remains bullish. It’s the type of setup that works well on GBPJPY because of its volatility and liquidity runs.






















