Live Trading - Breakeven pt.2Was aiming for a gap fill.
Sold at breakeven, and protected capital.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
Gapfill
Major gap sitting there at $39 I have trouble believing this daily/weekly/monthly gap doesn't get filled at $39.
Keep an eye on this!
If it breaks below $44... I believe we're headed there.
This might become the last great opportunity to buy silver/stocks.
LYFT: The Hidden Gem in My October Top 3 PicksAs I’ve mentioned in my recent videos, LYFT is one of my top 3 priority stocks for October — and for good reason.
The fundamentals have exploded while the price is still lagging far behind.
🔸 Fundamentals
EPS growth has been massive .
– In March, EPS was up +128% YoY,
– and by June, it jumped to +234% YoY.
EPS has finally moved into positive territory , which is a strong signal.
Revenue continues to rise steadily, and EPS literally took off while the price hasn’t followed yet.
To put it in perspective — when LYFT traded around $60, EPS was negative .
Now, EPS is many times higher, but the stock still trades far below those levels.
Even emission has stopped increasing (we saw –0.25% in June 2025), and the forward P/E is only 15.3 ,
which is extremely low for this kind of EPS acceleration.
→ In short: LYFT looks deeply undervalued from a fundamental standpoint.
🔸 Technical Picture
Technically, LYFT has just closed a local gap , exactly as expected.
We are currently finishing the fourth sub-wave of the third global wave .
This means the fifth wave is coming next, and the current target around $70 represents only the peak of the third sub-wave — there is still additional upside expected beyond $70.
In the short term, we could see a retest around $18 ,
followed by the next major move — closing the May 2022 gap near $30 , forming the third wave of this cycle.
After that, some consolidation is likely in the $20–30 range,
followed by the next impulse targeting $50–70 .
This will be the fourth wave pullback, eventually leading into the fifth wave breakout above $70 ,
with potential for even higher upside as the global third wave continues.
Summary
Overall, LYFT shows a perfect mix of improving fundamentals and bullish technical structure.
As I’ve said in my latest videos, this stock could take off soon —
and it remains one of my Top 3 picks for October .
Call to Action
If you enjoy this type of analysis or would like me to review other tickers, tap on rocket 🚀 and leave a ticker in the comments .
I’ll make sure to cover your suggestions in upcoming posts soon!
(Full breakdown and context discussed in my recent videos — you can find them via my profile.)
When the Yen Fell Out of Bed — And Time Picked It Up1. Yen Drama at the Open 🎭
The Japanese Yen Futures (6J) woke up after the weekend and immediately faceplanted into the lower Bollinger Band®. Big gap, lots of noise — the classic “what just happened?” moment.
Now, that gap around 0.0068 might just invite a mean reversion, because markets love to clean up after their weekend messes. Instead of chasing direction, we’ll let time do the heavy lifting.
2. The Strategy — A Time-Based Power Nap 😴
We’re running a Horizontal Call Spread (Calendar Spread) — same strike, different expiration dates:
Buy Nov 7 Call @ 0.00680
Sell Oct 24 Call @ 0.00680
You’re basically saying: “Hey, Yen, take your time — but drift a little upward, okay?”
If price chills near 0.0068, theta decay works for us. If it crashes again, we lose just our debit. Simple, elegant, zen.
3. Quick Specs (Because You’re Smart) 💡
Contract size: 12,500,000 Yen
Tick value: $6.25 (0.0000005)
Margin: ≈ $2,800 (outright futures)
Calendar Spread Risk = $237.50 debit
Setup target: gap-fill near 0.0068+
Risk is capped, reward potential roughly 3:1, and all you need is a calm market — not a hero move.
4. The Trader’s Zen Moment 🧘
This setup wins if price stabilizes and time passes — that’s it.
You’re not fighting the market; you’re getting paid for waiting.
While others panic, you’re sipping tea, letting theta do the work.
5. Takeaway 🍵
Gaps often fill.
Time spreads love calm markets.
Less stress, more logic.
Sometimes, the best move in trading is to stop anticipating — and start aging gracefully with your positions.
Want More Depth?
If you’d like to go deeper into the building blocks of trading, check out our From Mystery to Mastery trilogy, three cornerstone articles that complement this one:
🔗 From Mystery to Mastery: Trading Essentials
🔗 From Mystery to Mastery: Futures Explained
🔗 From Mystery to Mastery: Options Explained
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
USDJPY - Strong Rise as the New Week Begins👋Hello everyone, let's dive into FX:USDJPY !
USDJPY has recently shown significant upward momentum. While the USD has faced some challenges lately, it is still outperforming the Japanese yen due to Japan's economic difficulties and lower interest rates. This fundamental driver has led to a strong push as the new week begins.
On the chart, we can see that USDJPY has bounced sharply from the lower trendline area and formed a large gap. The price is now facing nearby resistance, and personally, I believe USDJPY may experience a slight pullback to fill the gap before the current trend continues.
If the price holds above the trendline, I’m still betting on a breakout, with the target being the highs above the resistance zone.
💬What do you think about USDJPY? Will it continue to rise, or could a pullback occur due to USD weakness?
Options Blueprint Series [Advanced]: Gap Fill Time Spread Play1. The Market Context — Yen’s Weekend Gap and Mean Reversion Setup
The Japanese Yen futures (6J) reopened after the weekend with an aggressive downside gap, immediately catching the eye of volatility traders. Gaps of this nature are often emotional reactions to global macro news or overnight FX shifts — yet, when structural levels like the Bollinger Band lower boundary are involved, traders begin to anticipate a mean reversion rather than continued momentum.
This is exactly what we see on 6J:
Price plunged into the lower Bollinger Band, finding temporary balance near 0.0067+, while the middle band — representing the 20-period mean — sits around 0.0068+. The gap above remains open, and that area coincides with the Bollinger mean, creating a convergence between technical equilibrium and market memory.
Historically, the Yen tends to exhibit mean reversion behavior after outsized weekend gaps, as liquidity normalizes. That statistical tendency does not guarantee results, but it provides the foundation for a non-directional strategy applied with a slight directional bias — exactly where options on futures can shine.
2. Strategy Rationale — A Non-Directional Tool Used Directionally
Instead of a pure directional play (like buying calls), we opt for a Horizontal Call Spread — also known as a Calendar Spread or Time Spread — positioned around the 0.00680 strike. This structure allows us to express a view on time and volatility, rather than raw price movement.
Objective: capture a modest recovery or stabilization near 0.0068
Approach: profit from time decay and implied volatility behavior as the front option (short leg) loses value faster than the back month (long leg)
Outcome: defined risk, limited exposure to violent swings, and a smoother equity curve
In essence, we’re using a non-directional strategy (time-based) in a slightly directional context (mean reversion target) — a powerful way to let the clock, not the market, do most of the work.
3. Constructing the 6J Horizontal Call Spread
Let’s break it down with specific contracts:
Buy Nov 7 Call (0.00680 strike)
Sell Oct 24 Call (0.00680 strike)
This combination forms a calendar spread, where both options share the same strike but different expirations. The trade is initiated for a net debit, meaning we pay a small premium upfront for the position.
Mechanics
As time passes, the shorter-dated Oct 24 call decays faster.
If price drifts toward the 0.0068 area by the front expiry, the short leg expires near-the-money (or worthless), while the back-month call retains time value.
The spread expands — producing the ideal outcome.
The position benefits from stabilization, controlled volatility, and time decay alignment — instead of needing a directional surge.
Greeks behave in a nuanced way:
Theta: positive near the target zone
Vega: long volatility — the position gains if implied volatility rises in the back month
Delta: small positive exposure (mild bullish tilt)
That’s the “slightly directional” essence of this setup — time-sensitive, but gently leaning toward a gap-fill move.
4. Chart Perspective — The Technical Catalyst
The Bollinger Bands® tell the story clearly.
Lower band: 0.00672 → recent test zone
Mean (20-period average): 0.00681 → target
Upper band: 0.00690 → secondary resistance
The weekend gap remains unfilled, overlapping perfectly with the Bollinger mean.
Should price gravitate back toward equilibrium, the spread reaches its best reward zone as Oct 24 time decay accelerates.
5. Risk Management — Structuring Control, Not Hope
Every options trade begins with a cost — the net debit — which defines maximum risk. This makes the horizontal spread particularly appealing in uncertain environments.
Here’s the structured approach:
Entry zone: 0.0067+ area or below the lower Bollinger Band
Target zone: 0.0068+ (Bollinger mean & partial gap fill)
Stop: below 0.0066575 (recent intraday swing), or no stop at all since the options strategy provides a limited risk natively.
That defines a maximum reward-to-risk ratio of roughly 3:1 when measured against time decay and expected mean reversion distance.
It’s also crucial to track macro catalysts. The Yen can react sharply to U.S. yields or Bank of Japan policy headlines. Avoid holding this position through major FX events if volatility spikes uncontrollably — horizontal spreads work best in stable-to-moderate volatility environments.
Lastly, avoid scaling without liquidity awareness. 6J options are institutionally liquid, but ensure bid–ask stability during execution.
6. CME Context — Contract Specs
Understanding contract size and margin requirements is essential before structuring any options-on-futures strategy.
Contract size: 12,500,000 Japanese Yen
Minimum tick: 0.0000005 USD per JPY
Tick value: $6.25 per contract
Trading hours: Nearly 24-hour access Sunday–Friday
As of recent CME data, the initial margin for the standard 6J futures contract is around $2,800, though this varies with volatility. Traders using options on futures generally post the premium paid as margin (for debit spreads), which in this case is $237.5 (0.000019/0.0000005 x $6.25).
7. Risk, Reward & Realistic Expectations
The goal here is not to “predict” a direction — it’s to position intelligently around time.
A well-constructed calendar spread lets traders participate in short-term stabilization moves with predefined exposure.
If 6J consolidates and slowly lifts toward 0.0068:
The short Oct call decays,
The long Nov retains premium,
The spread widens — success.
If the Yen collapses further or volatility implodes across the curve, losses remain contained to the initial debit — no margin calls, no open-ended risk.
For advanced traders, layering such spreads across correlated expirations can create calendar ladders, offering continuous time exposure while recycling theta — but that’s a topic for another Blueprint.
8. Key Takeaways
Directional calendar spreads can be powerful after emotional gaps.
6J’s gap down plus Bollinger reversion potential creates an interesting time-based setup.
Using non-directional tools directionally provides precision control over risk and exposure.
Proper risk management defines the edge — not prediction accuracy.
This approach emphasizes professional-grade thinking: controlling variables (time, volatility, strike) rather than chasing price movement.
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
Gap-Fill Watch: Euro FX Futures React to Weekly RejectionIntroduction
When analyzing futures markets, one of the most compelling signals arises when higher timeframe candlestick rejection aligns with lower timeframe price imbalances. That is exactly what we see in Euro FX Futures (6E, M6E). On the weekly chart, long upper shadows (LUS) have historically marked turning points, reflecting exhaustion of bullish pressure. On the daily chart, an open gap below current price offers a potential magnetic pull. Together, these elements provide a textbook technical case study of how price can align across timeframes.
This article explores the educational insights behind candlestick rejection and gap mechanics, then applies them to a concrete trading scenario in 6E and its micro equivalent, M6E.
Weekly Chart: The Long Upper Shadow (LUS)
Long Upper Shadows appear when a market tests higher levels but fails to sustain them, leaving sellers in control by the close. They are one of the clearest visual expressions of rejection.
In Euro FX Futures, past long upper shadows have preceded significant bearish moves. Each instance reflects an imbalance where buyers were unable to absorb selling pressure at higher prices. The most recent weekly candlestick shows another long upper shadow forming near resistance. For technically minded traders, this is an early warning sign of potential downside ahead.
Daily Chart: The Open Gap Below Price
Price gaps occur when markets open significantly away from the prior session’s close. In futures, gaps often act like magnets—price tends to revisit them over time as liquidity seeks balance.
Currently, Euro FX Futures show an unfilled gap just below the market. Historically, such gaps in 6E have attracted price action, especially when combined with bearish rejection signals from higher timeframes. The combination of a weekly LUS above and a daily gap below paints a picture of imbalance: rejection at the highs, unfinished business at the lows.
Trade Setup
A structured trade idea emerges from this technical alignment:
Entry condition: Short position if 6E breaks below the prior day’s low at 1.17865. This ensures price is moving in line with bearish continuation before entry.
Target: 1.17475, the origin of the open gap. This is where the “magnet effect” is expected to complete.
Stop-loss: 1.18090, derived from a 2-day ATR calculation and adjusted to 25%. This keeps risk tight but accounts for minor noise.
Reward-to-Risk Ratio: With entry near 1.17865, risk is around 22 ticks while potential reward is about 39 ticks, yielding a favorable R:R of almost 2:1.
Risk caveat: Right below the gap origin lies a UFO support area. This means price may stall or reverse after the gap is filled. Being conservative with the target is wise—seeking deeper downside could run into structural support.
Contract Specs and Margin Notes
Understanding the contract structure is vital when applying risk management.
o Euro FX Futures (6E):
Contract size = €125,000
Tick size = 0.00005 USD per euro = $6.25 per tick
Initial margin (approximate, varies daily): ~$2,500–$3,000
o Micro EUR/USD Futures (M6E):
Contract size = €12,500 (1/10th of 6E)
Tick size = 0.0001 USD per euro = $1.25 per tick
Initial margin (approximate, varies daily): ~$300–$400
Application: Traders with smaller accounts can use M6E to size positions more precisely, while larger participants may choose 6E for liquidity. Micros provide flexibility to scale in/out of trades while maintaining strict risk per trade.
Risk Management Essentials
Risk management is not about avoiding losses—it is about ensuring that any loss remains controlled relative to potential reward. This trade idea highlights three core principles:
Stop placement by ATR: Volatility-based stops adjust naturally to current market conditions. Using 25% of a 2-day ATR prevents overexposure while respecting noise.
Position sizing: Traders should calculate how many contracts (6E or M6E) align with their personal risk tolerance.
Target discipline: While tempting to aim lower than the gap origin, technical evidence suggests price may encounter support there. Conservative targeting avoids overstaying a move.
Educational Takeaway
This setup demonstrates the power of multi-timeframe confluence. A weekly rejection signal provides context, while a daily gap gives tactical direction. Traders often gain an edge when higher timeframe sentiment (bearish rejection) aligns with lower timeframe imbalances (gap fill).
For students of price action, this is a reminder that candlestick patterns should never be taken in isolation. Instead, they should be validated by market structure, liquidity imbalances, or other confirming signals.
Conclusion
Euro FX Futures present a case study in how weekly rejection and daily gaps can combine to create a structured opportunity. While no outcome is certain, the confluence of signals here underscores the educational value of analyzing shadows and gaps together.
Traders can study this setup not only as a potential trade but also as a lesson in disciplined multi-timeframe analysis.
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
Gap Fill - Kotak Mahindra Bank📊 Script: KOTAKBANK
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📈 Script will fill gap in near future, we may see some good rally.
📈 One can go for Swing Trade.
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 2050
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 2176
⚠️ Stoploss ☠️🚫 - 1991
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio.
✅Like and follow to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat 🔁
Happy learning with trading. Cheers!🥂
Synopsys — a sharp sell-off, risky entry and clear opportunitySynopsys plunged roughly 30–34% on 10 September 2025, wiping out a large chunk of market value after quarterly results missed expectations and guidance was cut. That kind of move often feels like a “falling knife”: attractive on paper, dangerous in practice.
Price action and technical context
The stock has gapped lower and left a sizeable down-gap to fill. From a technical viewpoint the setup resembles a fast, impulsive sell-off inside a broader downtrend established since the spring; price is now testing levels that were former support in April 2025. Short-term momentum indicators show oversold readings, but volatility is elevated and trend-following measures still favour the downside until a reliable base is formed.
Key technical reference points to watch:
Gap zone/topside resistance: around the pre-drop range near the mid-$600s.
Immediate support / stop placement: just below the April 2025 lows (your stated stop).
Possible gap-fill target: if the market rotates back, reclaiming the gap by January 2026 implies roughly a ~55% upside from current depressed levels (as you noted).
Fundamentals and why this remains an opportunity
Despite the headline shock, Synopsys’s underlying business remains high-quality:
Market-leading positions in EDA tools and IP libraries.
Strong, recurring revenue mix (software subscriptions and maintenance).
Long secular tailwinds from AI, advanced node design and chiplet modularity.
Valuation has re-rated materially after the drop — the company is no longer priced at the frothy multiples of earlier in the cycle. Analysts have revised estimates downward but many still target stock levels clustered around $600, reflecting belief in recovery by late 2025 / early 2026.
Options flow and timing
There is notable open interest concentration in both calls and puts around the $600 strike with expiries in December 2025 and January 2026. That concentration suggests the market expects meaningful activity/interest around that level into the winter and gives a window where a gap-fill or relief rally could materialize before January expiries.
Risk management and trade plan
Trade type: speculative rebound / gap-fill play, not a buy-and-forget investment.
Target: gap-fill / recovery toward pre-drop levels by January 2026 — roughly +55% potential from current depressed price (per your scenario).
Stop: just below April 2025 lows (limits downside if the downtrend resumes).
Position sizing: small relative to portfolio — treat as a high-volatility, event-driven trade.
Alternatives: consider defined-risk option structures (e.g., debit spreads) to cap downside while retaining upside exposure to a gap fill.
Catalysts to monitor
Any updates to guidance or profitability from Synopsys management.
China demand/FX developments and IP licensing commentary.
Options positioning into December 2025 / January 2026 expiries.
Broader semiconductor capital spending and AI-related design win announcements.
Technical indicators to watch
200DMA and April lows (support/resistance anchors).
RSI(14) and MACD for bullish divergence and momentum confirmation.
Volume on any recovery day — strong volume on up days increases odds of a sustained bounce.
Bottom line
This is a high-risk, high-reward setup: a classic “ falling knife ” that can be dangerous if you’re early, but presents a credible opportunity because Synopsys’s fundamentals remain solid, valuation is more attractive, and market positioning (options interest near $600) favors a potential recovery window through January 2026. Use tight risk controls (stop under April lows) and consider defined-risk option plays if you prefer limited downside.
Bitcoin CME Closing Price: The Key to Next Week’s TrendIn this video I cover the CME closing price and go through a plan which includes a gap to the upside and a short squeeze before gravitating to the downside for lower targets .
I also give a bias for higher prices if the VAH is claimed .
This idea is modelled on the daily time frame and can play out over the course of the following week or more .
I also look at the Eth/Btc pair and the Btc dominance chart and marry whats happening on those charts with this idea .
When looking at BTC I use order flow software to further support my bias and the confluences I present in the chart.
If you have any questions then leave them below .
Support my work with a boost and Safe trading
UNH bear flag and gapsUNH has been top of my radar for a bullish reversal. With 2 major gaps to fill after the epic collapse in share price this ticker has a lot of potential. Currently sitting in what appears to be a bear flag, it is holding above the monthly 200EMA (overlayed on this 4H chart). However price recently rejected off the daily 21ema (overlayed on this 4H chart) and if the bear flag is any indicator price may head lower for another liquidity sweep before the inevitable bullish reversal.
A side note: insiders have been buying $millions since the share price collapsed which is always a good indicator of what's to come.
TSLA Short Setup – Fading the July 7 Gap FillTSLA Short Setup – Fading the July 7 Gap Fill 📉
This short idea on TSLA builds off a key gap fill from Monday, July 7 , combined with a strong local volume profile and risk-reward alignment on the 15-minute chart.
Entry: $312.76
Stop Loss: $314.81 (above gap resistance and local high)
Target: $299.89 (gap base and volume shelf)
RR: ~6.3R
Why I'm shorting here:
TSLA has just filled the July 7 gap , which often acts as a technical resistance zone on retest.
Price stalled right as it completed the fill — with visible hesitation and selling pressure stepping in.
VRVP shows low liquidity above, suggesting diminished reward for upside continuation.
Below, there's a clean volume shelf around $294–$300 that could attract price if weakness confirms.
Trade Logic:
This is a classic fade-the-gap-fill setup, targeting the lower edge of the volume cluster for a potential bounce or reversal zone.
As always: size accordingly, stick to the stop, and don’t chase if the entry’s already gone.
Thoughts? Anyone else watching this gap level?
GBPJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W20 D15 Y25GBPJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W20 D15 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block rejection
✅Daily order block rejection
✅Intraday 15' order blocks
✅Gap fill
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Ethereum - CME Gap fill before going up ?Ethereum has formed a classic CME Gap between $1,707 and $1,765, following a strong breakout. CME gaps, especially over the weekend, are statistically likely to be filled before the next major move.
We’re watching for a retest of this gap zone with a potential bounce at the lower boundary, creating a solid long entry opportunity.
Entry: 1,710–1,725 (inside the CME gap)
TP1: 1760
TP2: 1800
TP3: 1900
SL: 1,667 (below gap & invalidation of bullish structure)
Like and support us for more such idea.
Cheers
GreenCrypto
Bitcoin - CME Gap fill before going up ?Bitcoin CME Futures have formed a clear CME Gap in the $91,600 – $93,400 zone (highlighted in blue). Historically, these gaps tend to get filled before the price resumes its trend.
Price may dip into the gap zone (91,800–93,400) to fill the imbalance.
We have a entry around the lower part of the gap ($91,800–$92,200).
Stop loss: Below $91,500 to invalidate the setup.
After the gap fill, we can expected strong bullish continuation
Entry: 91600
TP1: 92800
TP2: 93500
TP3: 94500
SL Below 90500
Like and support for more ideas.
Cheers
GreenCrypto
NAS100USD: Will Price Fill the Gap?Greetings Traders!
In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, we observe that the market is currently operating within a broader bullish institutional order flow. However, recent price action has left behind an inefficiency—a gap that may serve as a short-term draw on liquidity.
KEY OBSERVATIONS:
1. Gap in Price – Inefficiency Identified:
Price has created an imbalance that is yet to be filled. Typically, such inefficiencies act as magnets for price, drawing it back before resuming its primary trend. In this case, the gap may be partially filled as the market seeks equilibrium.
2. Draw on Liquidity – Last Point of Efficiency:
The last point of efficiency below current price levels may serve as the draw on liquidity. This level could attract price action as institutions look to rebalance orders and facilitate continuation.
3. Active Order Block – Potential Entry Zone:
Price is currently testing a bearish order block. Upon confirmation, this area may offer a short-term selling opportunity with the objective of targeting the liquidity pool and the inefficiency below.
TRADING PLAN:
Entry Consideration:
Look for bearish confirmation within the current order block zone before entering. The goal is to trade the short-term retracement within a bullish environment.
Profit Targets:
Target the liquidity pool and the unfilled gap near the last point of efficiency as short-term objectives.
Remain diligent, patient, and aligned with your trading plan. Always conduct your own analysis to ensure any setup is in harmony with your strategy and risk tolerance.
Kind Regards,
The Architect
Idea for Mon 14 Apr - Gold Short – Bear in a Bull OutfitOANDA:XAUUSD
Gold has been heavily influenced by recent developments in the trade war.
A 90-day pause on tariffs (excluding China) and the exemption of smartphones and computers from tariffs were announced on friday.
These headlines may temporarily calm markets and give stocks room to rise — which typically puts pressure on gold. If Dollar is rising again, could be a side effect too.
This could lead to a short-term pullback in gold prices.
A price gap was formed around $3175.51 during the opening session on Thursday, April 10th.
After a small bounce, i expect gold to move downward to fill that gap.
A potential support level is sitting near $3156, which could act as a bounce zone.
"Next week it’s a bear inside a bull outfit."
Despite a broader bullish structure, we could see the week start with a correction. A classic gap-fill setup for the short-term traders.
RSI and MacD are on top levels, but for how long?
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This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
$SPX $NAS100 FILL THE GAP = "LEARNED BEHAVIOR" IN PLAY🏒🏒🏒🏒🏒FILL THE GAP! FILL THE GAP! FILL THE GAP!
Hopefully, institutions want to reach 7,000 from here, as the majority of them wrote in public New Year resolutions.
A great example of learned behavior.
Let’s watch.
FILL THE GAP! FILL THE GAP! FILL THE GAP!🏒🏒🏒🏒🏒
ADBE to $465 - Chance for a BounceNASDAQ:ADBE ADBE, as well as other tech stocks, was beaten hard over the last couple of months. The earnings recently did not provide any relief for the chart either, although the figures were not particularly bad. In particular, the possible prospect of finally being able to expand and monetize Adobe's own AI “Firefly” continues to offer good opportunities.
With a PE of now under 20, Adobe has become quite favorable as a company that continues to grow well in the SaaS sector. It has also reached several technical support zones. We are at the lower edge of a very large bull flag that has been in place since the beginning of 2024. Horizontal support at $385 is also supportive. We have 3 large daily gaps in the chart above us and a bullish wedge within the flag. This is a good place to start buying for a possible bounce towards $465.
However, one must bear in mind that the overall market remains bearish. Purchases should therefore be closely hedged and not be too large. However, it would be wrong not to use this opportunity to enter the market.
Target Zones
$465.00
Support Zones
$385.00
$360.00
ETH has two pending CME Gaps#ETH #Analysis
Description
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+ ETH has two pending CME future gaps to filled.
+ First gap is around 2900-3400 range and second gap is around 2500-2600 range.
+ Sooner or later these CME gaps will get filled. I'm expecting Gap2 get filled in this or next month and Gap 1 in the second or third quarter.
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BTC & ES1! (S&P500 Futures) CorrelationBitcoin and the S&P500 are still showing correlation.
S&P500 Futures (ES1! ticker) has a gap about 3% lower.
I think we need to fill this gap (resulting in a bounce) for BTC to start moving with greater strength to the upside.
The gap is also in the range of the 0.5 Fib retracement (50% of that range).
This could see BTC come back to the lower 80k's region before we completely put in the local bottom.
Bitcon currently filling the CME futures gapWe knew it was likely this would happen at some point in the near future from when the gap was formed and it appears like now is the time. Price action needs to dip as low as $77,920to fill the gap entirely. History tells us the correction should be over with not long after the gap is filled. The only way this isn’t the case is if the top of the bull market was indeed already in, which is a very minute probability but not impossible. *not financial advice*
MRK reboundNYSE:MRK NYSE:MRK MRK reversed yesterday on relatively high daily volume and is poised to fill the gap between 90 and 95. From 85 to 88 there is an accumulation zone which might be hard to get through but one that is cleared the way is open to 90 and subsequently 95.
