GBPUSD | Anticipating Buy sideGBPUSD has recently swept daily equal lows, collecting resting liquidity and tapping into a daily bullish order block. This confluence suggests the potential for a buyside reaction if price maintains structure above intraday support.
On the 1H timeframe, I’ll maintain a bullish bias as long as we do not close below 1.31230. A 1H close beneath this level would signal a failed bias and potential shift in order flow.
My expectation is for price to reprice toward equilibrium and eventually reach the 1.33000 region, aligning with prior inefficiency and liquidity resting above recent highs.
However, DXY behavior will be a key factor.
If DXY opens with a gap up and sustains bullish momentum into Monday’s close, this would likely reverse GBPUSD bias to the downside.
Otherwise, I’ll look for continued accumulation and a bullish continuation phase.
Trade Parameters:
Bias: Bullish (above 1.31230)
Invalidation: 1H candle close below 1.31230
Target Zones: 1.3190 → 1.3230 → 1.3300
Context: Daily liquidity sweep + OB reaction + potential market structure shift
GBP
Bullish reversal off Fibonacci confluence?GBP/USD is reacting off the support level, which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and the 78.6% Fibonacci projection, and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3124
Why why we like it:
There is a pullback support that is slightly above the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 1.3047
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 1.3267
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish bonce off key support?GBP/USD is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.3035
1st Support: 1.2807
1st Resistance: 1.330
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBP/NZD 4H Analysis – Premium Sell Setup FormingOn the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that GBP/NZD has bounced strongly from a daily support zone, showing a temporary retracement within the current bearish trend.
At the moment, price is pushing upward toward the 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG) area. This zone
aligns perfectly with multiple key confluences:
- FVG 4H acting as a potential imbalance area to be filled.
- Confluence with strong resistance zone.
- Between 61.8% and 79.8% Fibonacci retracement levels — a classic premium zone for short setups.
- A recent bearish EMA 50/100 crossover confirming bearish momentum remains intact.
Based on this confluence, my expectation is that price will likely move higher to fill the FVG and then reject from that zone, targeting the daily support level below.
It’s also important to note that the sell-side liquidity below daily support has not yet been taken — which suggests that market makers may push the price down to sweep that liquidity before any potential reversal.
📉 Trading Plan:
- Wait for price to reach the FVG / premium zone.
- Then look for a Change of Character (CHoCH) or bearish confirmation on the 5m or 15m timeframe before executing the sell position.
- If the price breaks above the FVG zone on 4H, the setup becomes invalid.
🎯 Target: Daily support zone / sell-side liquidity sweep
⚠️ Invalidation: Break and close above the FVG zone on 4H
GBPUSD Rejection: Has the Pound Topped Out?GBPUSD Rejection: Has the Pound Topped Out? A Critical Deep Dive for Nov 3-7
Hello, TradingView fam! 👋 The British Pound has had a powerful run, but it has slammed into a wall of sellers, closing the week at a pivotal 1.31440 . The euphoric buying has given way to a sharp rejection from the highs, and a classic bearish reversal pattern is now staring us in the face. Is this the end of the road for the bulls, or just a healthy correction before the next leg up? The week of November 3rd to 7th will be absolutely crucial.
Let's break down the technicals across all timeframes, blending timeless theories with key indicators to map out the opportunities ahead. 🇬🇧🇺🇸
🔭 The Macro Perspective: Weekly & Daily Charts - The Bullish Engine Stalls
The market tells you a story. Your job is to listen.
The higher timeframes show a strong uptrend that has encountered a formidable obstacle, and the bears are beginning to make their presence known.
Weekly Chart (1W) : While the primary trend under Dow Theory is still bullish, the most recent candle is a major cause for concern. We have a textbook Shooting Star ( Japanese Candlestick ), a powerful rejection candle, forming right at a multi-month resistance zone. This indicates that sellers have aggressively defended this level and have overwhelmed the buyers for now.
Daily Chart (1D) : The daily chart confirms the bearish reversal thesis. A potential Double Top pattern has emerged, with the second peak failing to hold. More importantly, there is a clear and significant bearish divergence on the RSI. Price made a higher high, but the RSI made a lower high, signaling a severe exhaustion of bullish momentum.
⚔️ The Swing Trader's Arena: 4-Hour & 1-Hour Analysis
This is where the most compelling evidence for a top is found. A classic and highly reliable reversal pattern has formed.
4-Hour Chart (4H) : This is the money chart for the week ahead. A clear and well-defined Head and Shoulders pattern is now in play. The left shoulder, head, and right shoulder are all visible, and the price is currently sitting directly on the crucial neckline support . A confirmed break and close below this neckline is a high-probability signal for a significant move lower. From a Wyckoff Theory perspective, this represents a completed distribution phase.
1-Hour Chart (1H) : The short-term trend has already flipped bearish. The price has broken decisively below the Ichimoku Cloud and the VWAP, both of which are now acting as dynamic resistance. Any rally back towards the 1.3180-1.3200 area is likely to be viewed as a prime selling opportunity by short-term traders.
🔬 The Intraday Microscope: 30M, 15M, & 5M Views
For intraday traders, the momentum is firmly with the sellers. The strategy is to follow the path of least resistance.
30M/15M Charts : These timeframes show a clear downtrend with a series of lower lows and lower highs. We can see a Bearish Flag pattern forming, which typically represents a brief consolidation before the next wave of selling pressure resumes. The RSI is staying below the 60 mark, indicating bearish control.
5M Chart : On the 5-minute chart, the VWAP is the line in the sand. As long as the price stays below it, shorts are in control. Scalpers should be cautious of any sharp bounces, as they could be bear traps . A sustained break above the VWAP would be the first sign that the intraday selling pressure is easing.
🎯 Actionable Trade Scenarios for the Week Ahead
The technical evidence is heavily skewed towards the bears, hinging on the confirmation of the Head and Shoulders pattern.
The Primary Bearish Breakdown Scenario 🐻
Entry: The highest probability entry is to short a confirmed 4H candle close below the Head and Shoulders neckline, which sits around 1.3100 . A more conservative entry is to wait for a breakdown and then short the retest of the broken neckline as new resistance.
Targets: The first target is the psychological support at 1.3000 . The measured move target for the Head and Shoulders pattern projects a move down towards the major support zone of 1.2920 .
Invalidation: A strong reclaim of the right shoulder's high, specifically a daily close above 1.3220 , would invalidate the bearish setup.
The Low-Probability Bullish Reversal Scenario 🐂
Entry: This is a counter-trend trade. It would require an extremely strong defense of the neckline around 1.3100 , confirmed by a large bullish engulfing candle on the 4H or daily chart.
Targets: A retest of the right shoulder at 1.3200 , and then the recent highs around 1.3280 .
Invalidation: Any confirmed 4H close below the 1.3100 neckline.
Conclusion: The Bears Are Knocking at the Door
The confluence of factors—a weekly rejection candle, daily bearish divergence, and a clear 4H Head and Shoulders pattern—presents a powerful bearish case for GBPUSD. While the bulls could still mount a defense at the neckline, the weight of the technical evidence suggests a breakdown is more likely.
This week is all about confirmation and execution . The plan is set. Now, we wait for the market to give us the signal.
What are your thoughts on Cable? Are you preparing to short the breakdown, or are you buying the dip? Let's discuss in the comments below! 👇
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves significant risk. Always do your own research.
GBPAUD: volume Profile and Static levelsHello everyone!
This is the daily chart!
As you can see, there 2 channels here. One bearish and the other one is bullish. In coincide of two supports of them we see a strong previous S&R!
V.P of October is out strong resistance! We see a great momentum after it. There is middle of the bearish channel around too.
If we see a weak upward move, we can enter a short trade around the volume profile POC.
The TP is just over the static support and around the dynamic support.
You can also buy from support if we see a weakness in bears.
GBPCHF: The Fake Breakout Tale
This is the daily chart!
It is broken below a main level!
but it might be fake!
Most of the CHF start to change their direction after reaching this level.
GBPCHF will by a great probability.
And this is the chart of latest 3M! a bearish channel is obvious here!
Fluctuations are considerable for this pair!
Two Scenarios are clear in it!
We might break the yellow up,
Or we might react to the green
Bullish bounce off swing low support?The Cable (GBP/USD) has bounced off the pivot, which has been identified as a swing low support, and could rise to the 1st resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracemnt.
Pivot: 1.3161
1st Support: 1.3051
1st Resistance: 1.3321
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBPJPY H4 | Potential Bearish Drop in PlayBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price has rejected off the sell entry which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to the take profit.
Sell entry is at 201.96, which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 203.22, which is a pullbakc resistance.
Take profit is at 200.45, which is a pullback support that lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
GBPUSD H1 | Heading Into Pullback ResistanceGBP/USD is rising towards the sell entry which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to the take profit.
Sell entry is at 1.3310, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 1.3339, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 1.3256, whichis a multi swing low support.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Bearish continuation?GBP/USD is rising towards the resistance level, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3308
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.3344
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.3260
Why we like it:
There is a multi-swing low support.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EUR/GBP - Bullish Channel (28.10.2025)🧠 Setup Overview:
EUR/GBP continues to trade within a well-defined bullish channel, holding strong above the key support zone near 0.8720–0.8715. The pair has respected the trendline multiple times, showing consistent buying interest. As long as price stays within the channel, the short-term bias remains bullish.
💡 Technical Plan:
Pattern: Bullish Channel Formation
Bias: Buy on confirmation bounce from trendline or cloud support
Support Zone: 0.8720 – 0.8715
Entry Zone: Near 0.8725–0.8730 (after confirmation candle)
Targets:
🎯 1st Resistance: 0.8765
🎯 2nd Resistance: 0.8797
Invalidation: A close below 0.8710 would weaken bullish structure
📊 Fundamental Insight (Today’s Context – 28 Oct 2025)
The EUR gains mild support from hawkish remarks by ECB policymakers hinting at a cautious tone toward further easing.
The GBP remains pressured as UK economic data reflects slower consumer spending and weaker manufacturing momentum.
Combined, the sentiment supports a short-term EUR strength against GBP, aligning with the bullish technical outlook.
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⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is shared for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always perform your own research and apply strict risk management before trading.
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Heading into pullback resistance?The Cable (GBP/USD) is rising towards the pivot and oculd reverse to the 1st support whic acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 1.3385
1st Support: 1.3295
1st Resistance: 1.3431
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURGBP: Possible reaction to the PMI for the next week.Hello Traders,
Reactions to the HTF-Strong resistance is a sign of more bearish moves.
Any touches with the De-valuations line means cancelation of the analysis.
Breaking below the 0.86660 will activate the setup.
Any activation before the red vertical line is invalid.
Falling towards multi swing low support?The Cable (GBP/USD) is falling towards the pivot, which is a multi swing low support and oculd bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.3177
1st Support: 1.3009
1st Resistance: 1.3483
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish continuation setup?GBP/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3332
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.3372
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.3260
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
ULTIMATE TECHNICAL FORECAST: INTRADAY & SWING TRADE BLUEPRINT💷 GBPUSD (1.33103) - ULTIMATE TECHNICAL FORECAST: INTRADAY & SWING TRADE BLUEPRINT 💷
October 27-31, 2025 | Advanced Multi-Timeframe Deep Dive Analysis
🎯 EXECUTIVE MARKET OVERVIEW 🎯
Current Spot Price: 1.33103 | Analysis Date: Oct 25, 2025 | Scope: 5M-1D All Timeframes | Strategy Type: Intraday Scalp + Swing Trade
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📊 1. COMPREHENSIVE TREND ANALYSIS & DOW THEORY FRAMEWORK 📊
🔍 Daily (1D) Timeframe - Primary Structural Trend
The daily chart exhibits strong bullish momentum with consolidation setup . Dow Theory validates higher highs and higher lows forming—confirmed uptrend structure intact. Elliott Wave analysis identifies completion of 5-wave impulse targeting 1.3450+ levels. RSI reading 52-58 (neutral-bullish momentum, no overbought exhaustion). VWAP at 1.3295 provides dynamic support during pullbacks.
⏰ 4H Timeframe - Swing Trade Foundation
Four-hourly shows bullish pennant formation near 1.3320-1.3350 resistance zone . Bollinger Bands tightening before directional breakout expected within 48 hours. RSI climbing 55-62 range (bullish acceleration without overbought signals). Ichimoku Cloud configuration: price above Kijun-sen & Chikou Span above price—textbook bullish alignment. Target extension: 1.3400-1.3450.
🔥 1H to 5M Intraday Structure - Micro Setup Confirmation
One-hour chart displays inverted cup-and-handle pattern completing near 1.3350. Perfect harmonic setup: Bullish Crab pattern identified at 1.3280 (D-point = swing entry opportunity). 30-minute timeframe shows clean EMA50 > EMA200 with price consolidating above both moving averages. Volume profile confirms institutional buying absorption between 1.3300-1.3320 range.
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🎯 2. PRECISE ENTRY & EXIT ROADMAP + WYCKOFF METHODOLOGY 🎯
SWING TRADE ENTRIES (4H/1D): Buy breakout above 1.3350 with protective stop @ 1.3270 (Risk:Reward 1:3.5 minimum). Wyckoff Spring Pattern completed—institutional accumulation phase ending, markup phase commencing.
INTRADAY SCALP ENTRIES (5M/15M/30M): Multiple entry zones: (1) EMA crossover confirmation on 30M + RSI < 35 rejection = 1.3305-1.3315 entry | (2) Harmonic Crab PRZ completion = 1.3280-1.3290 aggressive entry | (3) VWAP bounce = 1.3295 support entry.
PRIMARY PROFIT TARGETS: 1D: 1.3450 | 4H: 1.3410 | 1H: 1.3375 | 15M: 1.3350 | Intraday scalp: 1.3330 (quick 25-30 pip gains).
STOP LOSS PLACEMENT PROTOCOL: Swing traders: 1.3260 (below double bottom structure) | Intraday: 1.3275 (tight 20-25 pip stops) | Scale stops with trailing risk management on breakouts.
💡 Elite Tip: Use Ichimoku Kijun-sen (26-period) as dynamic trailing stop—lock profits incrementally above 1.3350 breakout.
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⚡ 3. REVERSAL IDENTIFICATION & CANDLESTICK PATTERN RECOGNITION ⚡
✅ BULLISH REVERSAL CONFIRMATIONS:
Piercing Line pattern on 30M chart signals buyer dominance at support. Inside Bar formations on 5M/15M indicate consolidation before directional breakout. Morning Star visible on 1H—textbook reversal signal. Inverted hammer near 1.3280 confirms seller rejection, bull continuation thesis. Ichimoku Chikou Span successfully broke above price action = confirmed reversal completion.
⛔ BEARISH REVERSAL WARNINGS & RESISTANCE REJECTION ZONES:
If price fails to sustain above 1.3350 with declining volume spike, Evening Star pattern potential on 4H. Gann resistance at 1.3390 acts as strong rejection zone. RSI divergence monitoring critical: if lower highs appear while price makes higher highs, exhaustion signal triggers short setup. VWAP rejection combined with upper Bollinger Band touching = sell signal activation.
⚠️ Critical Decision Level: 1.3345-1.3355 acts as BREAKOUT THRESHOLD. Clean close above = Bullish Continuation | Multiple rejections = Reversal to 1.3280
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🚀 4. BREAKOUT DYNAMICS & ADVANCED PATTERN FORMATIONS 🚀
✅ PRIMARY BULLISH BREAKOUT SCENARIO (70% PROBABILITY):
Bullish pennant breakout above 1.3350 on 4H timeframe with volume confirmation (need 25%+ spike above 20-period MA). Elliott Wave target: 1.3450-1.3550 (5th wave extension in new markup cycle). Bollinger Band upper band at 1.3420 = natural extended target. Cup-and-handle completion projects 1.3400+ move within 5-7 trading days.
🔷 HARMONIC PATTERN PRECISION LEVELS:
Bullish Crab pattern (XA:BC 0.618) D-point entry: 1.3280 with target 1.3450+ (161.8% extension). Bat pattern on daily timeframe suggesting potential for extended 1.3550 level (extreme scenario). Butterfly pattern confluence identifies 1.3380 as intermediate resistance-turn zone.
⚠️ BEARISH PATTERN - RISING WEDGE TRAP (30% PROBABILITY):
If momentum fails at 1.3350, 4H chart displays rising wedge formation that could collapse bearishly to 1.3220. Stochastic divergence on 1H indicates potential pullback. Bollinger Band squeeze suggests breakout imminent within 36-48 hours in either direction. Monitor volume for declining participation—wedge failure precursor.
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📈 5. VOLATILITY METRICS & PRICE ACTION DYNAMICS 📈
🌊 Bollinger Bands - Volatility Expansion Analysis:
Band width compressing dramatically on 1D (225 pips) - tightest in 14 days. This band contraction historically precedes major volatility breakout (Average True Range expansion expected). Intraday Bollinger Bands (5M/15M) showing normal expansion—price oscillating within middle band indicating equilibrium phase. Midband (SMA 20) at 1.3320 acts as equilibrium pivot.
📍 SUPPORT & RESISTANCE ARCHITECTURE:
CRITICAL SUPPORT LEVELS: 1.3320 (Weekly pivot) | 1.3300 (VWAP daily) | 1.3280 (Harmonic D-point) | 1.3260 (Double bottom structure)
MAJOR RESISTANCE ZONES: 1.3350 (Pennant apex breakout zone) | 1.3390 (Gann angle resistance) | 1.3420 (Bollinger upper band) | 1.3450 (Elliott wave target)
VWAP PROFILE: Daily VWAP: 1.3300 (holding strong support) | Weekly VWAP: 1.3285 (secondary support level)
📊 Moving Average Convergence & Trend Confirmation:
EMA 50 > EMA 200 across ALL timeframes (primary bullish signal alignment). SMA 20 above SMA 50 on 1H/4H = sustained buy pressure. 5M chart: Recent EMA50/EMA200 crossover just completed—intraday uptrend initiation signal. Price maintaining superior positioning above all key MAs confirms Wyckoff accumulation phase is concluding, markup phase beginning.
🎯 OVERBOUGHT/OVERSOLD MOMENTUM METRICS:
RSI Status: 55-62 range (neutral-bullish, healthy, NOT overbought—room for upside run). Stochastic on 15M: 48-58 zone with positive momentum trajectory. Ichimoku RSI indicator below midline—powerful upside potential remaining. CCI on 5M near +85 (strong momentum without extreme overbought exhaustion). Fast Stochastic below 80 = safe bullish continuation setup.
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🎓 6. ADVANCED TECHNICAL THEORY SYNTHESIS & FRAMEWORKS 🎓
⭐ ELLIOTT WAVE ARCHITECTURE: 5-wave impulse completion identified | Currently Wave 1 (up) of new larger cycle | Target minimum: 1.3450 | Fibonacci projection: 161.8% extension = 1.3550 maximum target within 10 trading days
⭐ GANN THEORY APPLICATION: 45-degree angle support @ 1.3295 | Square of Nine resistance @ 1.3390 | Time-Price intersection: 7-8 trading days for next major swing completion | Gann fan resistance @ 1.3410
⭐ WYCKOFF METHOD STAGE: Spring pattern successfully tested support zone | Markup phase INITIATED | Schiff accumulation completion signals (Volume analysis, Price action dynamics) | Expected rally: 1.3350-1.3450 over 5-7 trading days | Watch for climactic buying volume surge confirming institutional participation
⭐ DOW THEORY CONFIRMATION: Higher highs (1.3380+) | Higher lows (1.3280+) | Volume confirming uptrend | Trend remains in full bullish alignment
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✨ COMPLETE TRADING BATTLE PLAN ✨
🔥 PRIMARY BULLISH SCENARIO (70% Probability):
Entry Zone: 1.3345-1.3350 (breakout) or 1.3305-1.3315 (pullback entry)
Stop Loss: 1.3265 | Target 1: 1.3380 | Target 2: 1.3420 | Target 3: 1.3450
Risk/Reward: 1:3.5+ | Hold Duration: Swing (3-5 days) + Intraday scalp (1-3 hours)
Conviction Level: 70% | Setup Quality: Premium
⚠️ SECONDARY BEARISH SCENARIO (30% Probability - Contingency):
Trigger: Double rejection at 1.3350 + Declining volume + Rising wedge collapse
Entry: 1.3340 short | Stop: 1.3360 | Target: 1.3280 (pullback expectation)
Probability: 30% | Pattern: Rising wedge breakdown
⏱️ OPTIMAL TIMEFRAME HIERARCHY: 4H (swing base structure) + 1H (entry confirmation) + 15M/5M (execution precision)
💰 POSITION SIZING RULES: Risk max 1-2% portfolio per trade | Scale entries on 50% pullbacks | Trail stops above VWAP
🔔 CRITICAL PRICE ALERTS: Buy alert @ 1.3350 | Stop loss alarm @ 1.3265 | Partial profit alert @ 1.3380 | Full target @ 1.3450
📱 EXECUTION STRATEGY: Aggressive breakout entries (20% position) + Patient pullback entries (80% position) = balanced risk approach
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⚖️ IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER: This analysis is for educational & informational purposes only. NOT financial advice. Trade at your own risk using proper risk management protocols. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always consult licensed financial advisors before trading.
GBPUSD POSSIBLE BUY SETUP (This chart shows GBP/USD )This chart shows GBP/USD (British Pound vs US Dollar) on the 1-hour timeframe with a technical setup suggesting a potential bullish reversal.
Here’s a concise breakdown:
Downtrend Line (Black Line) – Price has been respecting a descending trendline, indicating consistent lower highs (bearish momentum).
Change of Character (ChoCH) – A “ChoCH” label appears near 1.335, suggesting that the market may be shifting from bearish to bullish structure — the first sign of a possible trend reversal.
Demand Zone (Green Box) – Around 1.3300–1.3320, this zone represents an area where buyers are expected to step in (potential reversal point).
Bullish Scenario (White Arrow) – The arrow forecasts price to:
Tap into the green demand zone,
Bounce upward, breaking the downtrend line,
Target higher resistance/supply zones near 1.3400–1.3460.
Supply Zones (Red Areas) – Mark previous sell zones or resistance levels where price could react during the upward move.
Summary:
Price is in a downtrend but showing early reversal signs (ChoCH). A bounce from the green demand zone could lead to a bullish move toward the upper resistance zones.
GBPUSD H1 | Bullish Rebound from Strong Support LevelGBP/USD is reacting off the buy entry whic is a multi swing low support and oculd potentially rise from this level to the take profit.
Buy entry is at 1.3315, which is a multi-swing low support.
Stop loss is at 1.3283, whic is a pullback support that aligns with rhe 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit is at 1.3362, which is an overlap resistance.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
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Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
GBPCHF: Even if it breaks the low, we should get a move up.
FX:GBPCHF is at a reaction level. Even if it breaks the low we are expecting it to push up.
Always remember WTW 4 Golder Rules:
1) Do not jump in
2) Do not over risk/trade
3) Do not trade without Stop Loss
4) Never ever add to a losing position!
Trade with care
We Trade Waves
WTW Team
Disclosure: We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.
Bearish drop off?GBP/USD has rejected off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3363
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.3438
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.3260
Why we like it:
There is a multi-swing low support level that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
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GBPUSD Channel Down targeting at least 1.3250The GBPUSD pair has been trading within a 1-month Channel Down pattern since the September 23 rejection on its 4H MA200 (orange trend-line). In fact, we are currently on the third Bearish Leg of this pattern, all of which have been initiated by 4H MA200 rejections.
We expect the price to target at least 1.3250, where it might technically rebound due to the presence of the 1D MA200 (red trend-line). If it breaks though, we can see a -2.07% standard Bearish Leg extension to 1.32000, which would make a perfect technical Lower Low at the bottom of the Channel Down.
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Bullish bounce for the Cable?The price is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which acts as an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 1.3344
1st Support: 1.3310
1st Resistance: 1.3393
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