GBP/JPY Breaks Out of Consolidation, Momentum Turns BullishThe British Pound/Japanese Yen pair has surged above its recent consolidation zone, signaling renewed bullish momentum after several weeks of sideways movement. The breakout follows a period of price compression between roughly 198 and 201, suggesting that volatility is returning to the market.
From a moving average perspective, the 50-day SMA (blue) continues to trade comfortably above the 200-day SMA (red), maintaining a positive structure typical of a sustained uptrend. The latest breakout candle has pushed prices well above both averages, reinforcing trend continuation bias.
Momentum indicators support the bullish tone:
The MACD line has crossed above its signal line and is now trending higher in positive territory, showing an acceleration of upside momentum.
The RSI (14) has risen sharply to around the 70 level, entering the overbought zone. While this may signal short-term overextension, it also confirms strong buying pressure consistent with a breakout environment.
Overall, GBP/JPY appears to be entering a new leg of its broader uptrend, with both price action and indicator alignment favoring continued strength — though short-term pullbacks cannot be ruled out following such a sharp move.
-MW
GBPJPY
GBPJPY | Daily Sweep to 15M Supply ReactionDaily liquidity swept. 1H CHOCH confirms bearish shift — if price reacts instantly at 15M supply, that’s not luck, it’s smart money execution.
Watch for the retest to ride GBPJPY into the 179-pip inefficiency zone. 🩶
After a daily liquidity sweep, price printed a clear 1H CHOCH, confirming a bearish shift in market structure.
We refined our POI to the 15-minute supply zone, where displacement originated.
Now, if price taps this POI and drops immediately without forming a lower-timeframe CHOCH, that’s not invalid — it simply signals smart-money execution at origin.
When all higher-timeframe confluences (Daily Sweep ✅, 1H CHOCH ✅, 15M Supply ✅) align, the first tap can be the move.
That impulsive drop = institutional confirmation.
From here, we watch for:
🔹 Retest of 50–61% of the first impulsive leg for refined entry.
🔹 Targeting PDL (201.20) and extended inefficiency zone (200.0–199.8).
🔹 SL above the M15 POI high (~203.10).
“When the higher-timeframe story is complete, the market doesn’t ask for your confirmation — it just moves.”
— BFU-FX MARKETS
Bias: Bearish
Key Levels: 202.75
Target: 179-pip inefficiency fill
GBP/JPY Bullish Outlook! Scaling Entries for Smart Risk💰 OANDA:GBPJPY Heist Blueprint 🎭 | Swing & Day Trade
🎯 Trading Plan
Bias: Bullish (Long Setup)
Entry Style: Layered Buy Limits
198.000
198.300
198.600
198.900
(You can increase layers based on your own strategy & risk management)
Stop Loss: 197.000 (adjust as per your risk style)
Target: 202.500 – key resistance / overbought zone → take profit & exit clean 🏃♂️💨
This approach uses layered entries (scaling into the trade like setting traps in stages). The idea is to blend institutional-style positioning with tactical risk management.
📊 GBP/JPY Real-Time Data
Daily Change: +0.52 (+0.26%)
Day's Range: 198.40 – 199.11 JPY
52-Week Range: 183.70 – 200.57 JPY
Open: 198.40 JPY
Previous Close: 198.58 JPY
😰 Fear & Greed Indicator
Market Sentiment: Greed (optimism on carry trades)
Risk Appetite: Moderate–High (JPY remains a funding currency)
📈 Retail & Institutional Sentiment
Retail Traders: 53% Bearish / 47% Bullish
Institutional Outlook: Mixed → leaning Bullish (BoJ dovishness dominates)
Key Drivers:
BoJ dovish stance = weaker JPY
UK inflation risk = GBP volatility
Carry trade flows = bullish support
🌍 Macro & Fundamentals
Bank of Japan Policy: Dovish 🟥 (JPY Weakness)
UK Inflation: Neutral 🟨 (limits GBP aggression)
Global Sentiment: Optimistic 🟩 (carry trades thrive)
Overall Fundamental Score: 7/10 Bullish
🐂🐻 Market Outlook
Bias: Bullish
Strength: Moderate
Targets: 199.70 (short-term), 200.57 (52-week high), 202.500 (extended target)
Stop Loss Zone: Below 197.90
👀 Related Pairs to Watch
FX:GBPUSD → Correlation with GBP strength ⚡
OANDA:EURJPY → JPY weakness driver (carry trade theme) 🏦
FX:USDJPY → Benchmark for JPY flow 📊
OANDA:AUDJPY & OANDA:NZDJPY → Risk-on carry trade indicators 🌏
OANDA:GBPCHF → Cross-check GBP volatility vs safe-haven CHF 🕊️
💡 Key Takeaways
GBP/JPY momentum fueled by BoJ dovishness + carry trade demand.
Watch UK inflation & BoE policy updates for volatility triggers.
Break above 200.00 could accelerate the bullish leg.
⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only – not financial advice.
#GBPJPY #Forex #SwingTrade #DayTrading #FXAnalysis #CarryTrade #BoJ #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexCommunity
How We Can Handle & Benefit From The Gaps ? When We Can Enter ?If we checked all JPY Pairs we will see that we have gaps in all JPY Pairs , this post will be on how we can benefit from this gaps , i have my own method , for example in this pair EUR/JPY , The price opened in gap to upside and 95% the price will cover this gap , but when we can do that , in my method , we should wait the price to close below last res with 4h candle and then we can enter a sell trade and targeting the gap . try it and tell me in the comments if it worked with you .
GBPJPY is Holding above the ResistanceHello Traders
In This Chart GBPJPY HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today GBPJPY analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GBPJPY market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GBPJPY Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
GBPJPY H4 | Potential Bearish Reversal FormingGBP/JPY is rising towards the sell entry, which aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and could reverse from this level to he downside.
Sell entry is at 202.41, which aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss is at 203.65, which is a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 200.42, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GBP/JPY Bears Back in Control – Is 195.50 the Next Target?🔹 COT (Commitment of Traders)
GBP Futures: Non-commercial longs increased (+3,704) while shorts decreased (-912) → speculators are turning more bullish on the Pound.
JPY Futures: Non-commercial longs sharply increased (+14,727) while shorts declined (-3,362) → strong bullish momentum returning to the Yen.
📌 Combined interpretation: Opposite momentum — both GBP and JPY show long accumulation, but the strength is significantly higher on the Yen, suggesting potential short-term weakness for GBP/JPY.
🔹 FX Sentiment (retail positioning)
59% short vs 41% long.
📌 Retail slightly skewed short → moderate contrarian signal, but not extreme. A short-term bounce is possible, though the broader macro picture remains fragile for GBP.
🔹 Seasonality
October is historically bullish for GBP/JPY on a 5–10 year average (+1.8% to +2.4%).
However, 15–20 year data show a more neutral to slightly negative bias, reflecting volatility rather than stable direction.
📌 Overall, a neutral-to-bullish seasonal bias, but vulnerable to a technical correction after the strong rallies seen in August–September.
🔹 Price Action
Strong rejection from the 200.50–201.00 supply zone with consecutive bearish daily closes.
Current dynamic support sits around 197.00–196.50, aligned with the ascending trendline.
RSI remains neutral and far from oversold → room for further downside.
Possible pullback toward 199.00–199.50 before a new bearish leg.
Main downside targets: 195.50, then 194.00 as an extended target.
🔹 Trading Outlook
Main Bias: Short-term bearish, with JPY strength (COT) and a corrective structure following the 201.00 top.
Contrarian Risk: Slight retail short bias could trigger a minor bounce before continuation lower.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 199.50 / 200.50
Support: 197.00 / 195.50 / 194.00
🎯 Outlook: Expect a pullback toward 199.00 before another bearish move toward 195.50. Daily structure remains bearish as long as 200.50 holds.
GBPJPY - in transition to a bullish mode?? I do believe we are seeing the early part of a bullish trend and this makes it a good time to go long. However, the risk of being wrong is high too, so best to take a small position now and keep adding on pullbacks as and when we get more confident of being on the right side of the market.
Going long should also earn swap - that does not hurt :)
This is not a trade recommendation; it’s merely my own analysis. Trading carries a high level of risk so carefully managing your capital and risk is important. If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more
GBPJPY Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for GBPJPY below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 198.72
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 198.35
Recommended Stop Loss - 198.95
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Stop!Loss|Market View: GBPUSD🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️
In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for the GBPUSD currency pair☝️
Potential trade setup:
🔔Entry level: 1.34096
💰TP: 1.32908
⛔️SL: 1.35270
"Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market.
👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts.
💬 Description: As with the euro, sell priority is looked for in the pound. A potential short-term entry near the 1.34000 area is being monitored. A pending order is used for a more conservative entry, and the best option is to wait for the price to close below this area and then look for a sell trade.
Thanks for your support 🚀
Profits for all ✅
❗️ Updates on this idea can be found below 👇
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?GBP/JPY is rising towards the pivot, which acts as a pullback resistance, and could drop to the first support.
Pivot: 198.91
1st Support: 196.94
1st Resistance: 199.71
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBPJPY - 10,000pip Setup ALMOST Ready!In our last setup for GBPJPY, we identified a massive diagonal pattern, with price completing wave 4 and preparing for a multi-year drop into wave 5.
Since then, price has played out exactly as forecasted - we've seen a clean impulse lower for wave 1, followed by an ABC correction for wave 2, which is almost complete.
The Correction:
The correction is made out of 3 major waves = ABC. Wave C appears to be an ending diagonal, which is typically a reversal pattern consisting of 5 waves in the form of an ascending wedge.
We expect to see one final move higher, reaching the 78.6 fibonacci, thus completing the 5 waves of the ending diagonal.
Trade idea:
- Watch for wave 5 of the diagonal to develop
- Once we reach the fib, look for a trendline that we can use for entry
- once entered, stops above the breakout highs
- Targets: TP1: 192, TP2: 180, TP3: 175
- Final Target: Trail for extended move toward wave (3) lows (could be 10,000+ pips over long term)
This sets the stage for the next major leg - wave 3 of 5 - which historically carries the most power and momentum.
What do you guys think? Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
GBPJPY Pivotal trading zone at 198.00The GBPJPY remains in a neutral trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 197.00– a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 197.00 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
198.70 – initial resistance
199.20 – psychological and structural level
199.60 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 197.00 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
196.70 – minor support
196.30 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Neutral bias remains intact while the GBPJPY trades around pivotal 198.00 level. A sustained break below or above this level could shift momentum.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GBPJPY Make or break moment on the 1D MA100. Buy or sell?The GBPJPY pair has been trading within a 5-month Channel Up and yesterday hit exactly its bottom (Higher Lows trend-line). That is marginally above the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), which has been the market's Support since May 08.
As long as it holds, we expect the Channel Up to make another standard V-shaped rebound, similar to both previous ones, and target the Resistance level at 201.200.
A candle closing below the 1D MA100 though, would be a sell signal, targeting the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) on the Support 1 level at 195.050.
The current price level at the bottom of the pattern offers low risk on a tight SL both in the event of a rebound and break-out to the downside.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
GBPJPY H1 | Heading Into Key Resistance LevelGBP/JPY is rising towards the sell entry, which is an overlap resistance that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to the downside.
Sell entry is at 199.09, which is an overlap resistance that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 199.72, whichis an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 198.10, which is a pullback support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Stop!Loss|Market View: USDJPY🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️
In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for the USDJPY currency pair☝️
Potential trade setup:
🔔Entry level: 148.918
💰TP: 151.289
⛔️SL: 147.342
"Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market.
👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts.
💬 Description: The price has returned to the previously formed accumulation below the 149 level. Despite this, buy prioraty is saved. The market context continues to indicate that buyers are more likely to be strong than sellers. Two buying scenarios are being looked for (see chart). The primary scenario is a potential trade on a breakout of the 149 area, while the alternative scenario is the formation of another false breakout of the lower accumulation border at 146.300 - 149.
Thanks for your support 🚀
Profits for all ✅
❗️ Updates on this idea can be found below 👇
GBP/JPY - Range Bound Before Big MovePrice is currently consolidating between a clearly defined Support Zone and Resistance Zone after a strong bearish move.
Support has been respected multiple times, indicating short-term buying interest.
Resistance aligns with a previous supply zone, showing potential rejection or continuation bias.
Two possible scenarios are unfolding:
Bullish Breakout
If price breaks above the resistance zone, it could target the Order Block (OB) above, which is a key supply area from the last strong bearish move.
Break and retest of resistance would confirm bullish structure shift.
Target area: ~199.07
Bearish Continuation
A rejection from resistance could lead to another test of support.
A break below the support zone and the Weak Low would confirm bearish continuation.
Bearish target sits around 197.60 (lower liquidity grab zone).
Key Notes:
Watch for a Change of Character (ChoCH) for confirmation in either direction.
Volume and momentum confirmation will strengthen breakout bias.
Consider OB zone as a potential reversal or mitigation point.
GBPJPY Forming Rising WedgeGBPJPY is currently trading near 198.30 after breaking down from a rising wedge formation on the daily chart. This technical pattern often signals a bearish reversal, and the recent breakdown suggests momentum could shift to the downside. The pair has failed to sustain above the 200.00 psychological barrier, indicating strong resistance and profit-taking from buyers. If bearish pressure continues, we could see price retesting the 196.00 support zone in the short term.
From a fundamental perspective, the British pound remains under pressure as the UK economy faces slowing growth and sticky inflation, keeping traders cautious about the Bank of England’s policy stance. Meanwhile, the Japanese yen continues to draw safe-haven demand amid global uncertainty, especially with rising volatility in equity and bond markets. The contrast between BOE’s cautious tone and speculation of BOJ policy adjustments could add further downside pressure on GBPJPY.
Technically, a clean break and daily close below 198.00 will strengthen bearish sentiment, opening the way toward 195.50–196.00 levels. On the upside, buyers need to reclaim 200.00 for bullish momentum to return, but with current market dynamics, rallies are more likely to face selling pressure. Traders should keep an eye on upcoming UK PMI data and BOJ statements, as these events could trigger sharp movements.
Risk management remains essential here, as volatility around key levels like 198.00 and 200.00 can produce false breakouts. For now, short setups appear favorable while the wedge breakdown holds, offering profit potential toward lower support levels.






















