GBPUSD Analysis week 39🌐Fundamental Analysis
Fed: Cut interest rates by 25 basis points Signals that there could be two more cuts this year due to concerns about a weak labor market. Emphasizes that inflation risks are still tilted to the upside, the rate cut is risk management. The Fed will be cautious, waiting for each meeting to continue to assess.
USD market: Initially down but reversed to increase sharply after the FOMC meeting. However, the increase is difficult to maintain, supporting GBP/USD to recover.
GBP & BoE: GBP is supported as expectations of an immediate BoE rate cut gradually decrease. BoE is expected to keep interest rates unchanged due to high inflation
🕯Technical Analysis
GBPUSD fell sharply at the end of the week, aiming for technical support at 1.342 and 1.335 next week. Pay attention to the price reaction at this support zone to have a BUY strategy towards the resistance levels of 1.353 and 1.358. If strong selling pressure appears from the resistance zone, it can create a long downtrend for this currency pair.
📉Trading Signals
BUY GBPUSD 1.33500-1.33300 Stoploss 1.33000
SELL GBPUSD 1.35800-1.36000 Stoploss 1.36300
Gbpusdsignal
GBPUSD rejected from long term resistance line!GBPUSD with FOMC rejection from the high price currently below the weekly support may continue to drop as the last day of trading week, it is possible for the market to break back to weekly and monthly support level as price has got rejection from monthly high, we could see test of monthly low which is now high liquidity zone.
Potential buy zone at around 1.3534 level.
GBPUSD Daily Forecast -Q3 | W38 | D19 | Y25|
📅 Q3 | W38 | D19 | Y25|
📊 GBPUSD Daily Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
FX:GBPUSD
GBP/USD Bearish Setup – Supply Zone Rejection Targeting 1.3338"Chart Analysis:
Trend:
The pair was in a strong uptrend inside a rising channel.
Recently, price broke below the channel, signaling potential weakness.
Key Zones:
Supply Zone (Resistance): Around 1.3605 – 1.3660.
This is where sellers are expected to step in if price retraces back up.
Support Zone: Around 1.3510 – 1.3525, price reacted here before.
Trading Plan (Marked on Chart):
Entry Point: Around 1.3605 (short entry if price retests supply zone).
Stop Loss: Around 1.3661 (above supply zone).
Target Point: Around 1.3338 (major support below).
Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR):
Entry ~1.3605, SL ~1.3661 → Risk ≈ 56 pips.
TP ~1.3338 → Reward ≈ 267 pips.
RRR ≈ 1:4.7 → Very favorable.
Price Action Outlook:
If price pulls back into the supply zone, it’s a good short opportunity.
If price fails to retest supply and breaks below current support, continuation downside is confirmed.
Only a strong close above 1.3660 would invalidate this bearish setup.
📌 Summary:
The chart suggests a bearish retracement trade setup for GBP/USD.
Best strategy: Sell near supply zone (1.3605–1.3660).
Targeting 1.3338 with SL at 1.3661.
Great RRR, but patience is needed for entry confirmation.
GBPUSD(20250919)Today's AnalysisMarket News:
On Thursday, the U.S. reported its largest drop in initial jobless claims in nearly four years, reversing the previous week's sharp increase. (Note: Hours after the data was released, news broke that North Carolina's continuing claims data had been incorrectly and significantly understated by over 19,000. A Labor Department spokesperson stated that the matter is still under investigation.)
Technical Analysis:
Today's Buy/Sell Levels:
1.3582
Support and Resistance Levels:
1.3708
1.3661
1.3631
1.3534
1.3503
1.3456
Trading Strategy:
On a breakout above 1.3582, consider a buy entry, with the first target at 1.3631.
On a breakout above 1.3534, consider a sell entry, with the first target at 1.3503.
GBPUSD Rejection at 1.3727 – Sell Rallies, Eye 1.32In my previous analysis on FX:GBPUSD , I highlighted the 1.3600 zone as a key resistance area that could trigger a reversal and open the way towards 1.3200.
I initially took a short position, but as the buying pressure persisted, I closed the trade with a 40-pip loss and stepped aside, keeping my medium-term bearish view unchanged.
That decision proved correct: yesterday the pair spiked to a local high at 1.3727, only to reverse sharply and leave behind a long-tailed bearish Pin Bar — a strong technical signal of rejection at the highs.
My bias remains the same: I expect the market to eventually move lower and test the 1.3200 area.
📉 Trading Plan: I will look to sell rallies, with confirmation of downside acceleration coming on a break back below 1.3550.
GBPUSD Daily Forecast -Q3 | W38 | D18 | Y25|📅 Q3 | W38 | D18 | Y25|
📊 GBPUSD Daily Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
FX:GBPUSD
GBPUSD Daily Forecast -Q3 | W38 | D18 | Y25|📅 Q3 | W38 | D18 | Y25|
📊 GBPUSD Daily Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
FX:GBPUSD
GBPUSD Daily Forecast -Q3 | W38 | D17 | Y25|📅 Q3 | W38 | D17 | Y25|
📊 GBPUSD Daily Forecast -
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
FX:GBPUSD
GBPUSD Daily Forecast - Video Breakdown -Q3 | W38 | D17 | Y25|📅 Q3 | W38 | D17 | Y25|
📊 GBPUSD Daily Forecast - Video Breakdown
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
GBPUSD: Buy SignalPrice already broke and retested the breaker block around 1.3640–1.3645. This are is is holding and showing a strong reaction on retest.
Market recently made a weak high at 1.3680 which is still untested. So price hasn't found a ceiling yet.
PDH sits just below that weak high so we have some liquidity resting above.
🟢Market Execution
Entry 1.36506
SL 1.362
TP 1.375
✅ Pullback Buy
Entry 1.3620–1.3625
SL 1.3600
TP 1.3680
TP2 1.3720
✅ Breakout Buy
Entry: M15 close above + retest 1.3680.
SL 1.3655
TP1 1.3720
TP2 1.3750
GBPUSD Potentially bearish$SGBPUSD Looking at the chart, we can see a clear triple top with price breaking out on the lower side and potentially creating a lower high. With this in play, If the recent high is confirmed as a new high and with a bearish candle as confirmation, this will be a good sell. Until then, fingers crossed.
#GBPUSD
GBP/USD Weekly Outlook: Bulls Push Through as Range Expands
Traders need to be careful this coming week. Now that this message has been delivered, speculators need to understand the GBP/USD will produce dynamic results.
The U.S Federal Reserve is set to deliver their FOMC Statement and announce their Federal Funds Rate this coming Wednesday.
The U.S central bank will cut interest rates this Wednesday. The GBP/USD has gone into this weekend having nudged higher compared to the start of last week.
But the question everyone wants answered is, what will the Fed’s message be? The 1.35575 mark was achieved going into this weekend and folks who believe the GBP/USD must move higher in the coming days based on the Fed’s upcoming interest rate cut cannot be blamed.
But this doesn’t mean they are correct. The Fed will likely cut their Federal Funds Rate by 25 basis points.
GBP/USD Weekly Outlook:
Speculative price range for GBP/USD is 1.35090 to 1.37500
This will be a dynamic week in Forex. The GBP/USD will not be immune to volatility. The currency pair will be fast and day traders need to practice supreme risk management so they are not burned by the speed of Forex. Having challenged highs last week around 1.35920 on Tuesday was good bullish action, but the selling that ensued afterwards is a warning sign that caution remains a fixture in financial institutions.
As a note the GBP/USD did attain the 1.37900 vicinity on the 1st of July. Bullish traders may be dreaming of this higher values, but day traders with limited funds should be willing to cash out of big moves if profits are produced. The Federal Reserve hold the cards in the Forex market this week, the GBP/USD will react to the FOMC Policy Statement and everyone should be braced for fast conditions.
GBPUSD Sellers Defend Supply Zone, Eyes Shift Toward Key SupportGBPUSD, Cable has once again struggled to push beyond the heavy resistance block around 1.3580–1.3680, with price stalling inside a supply zone and showing signs of exhaustion. The technical rejection matches up with a broader fundamental backdrop that favors USD strength while the pound faces ongoing domestic headwinds. Let’s dig deeper into the setup.
Current Bias
Bearish – price action is capped by a strong supply zone, and fundamentals lean toward further downside.
Key Fundamental Drivers
Bank of England: Recent rate cut reinforced downside pressure, and policymakers remain cautious as inflation stabilizes but growth weakens.
Federal Reserve: Sticky US inflation and cautious Fed easing expectations provide underlying support for the dollar.
Economic divergence: UK growth outlook remains soft compared to the US, with services PMI and retail sales lagging.
Macro Context
Interest rates: BoE has shifted toward a looser stance, while the Fed maintains cautious cuts. This relative policy divergence favors USD over GBP.
Economic growth: UK data (manufacturing contraction, fragile GDP estimates) paints a weak backdrop. US growth, while slowing, remains stronger.
Commodity flows: Oil weakness indirectly pressures GBP through reduced global demand sentiment.
Geopolitical: Brexit-related trade frictions persist, adding medium-term uncertainty.
Primary Risk to the Trend
A dovish Fed surprise (softer CPI, faster cuts) could undercut USD strength, boosting GBP/USD. Conversely, stronger UK wage or inflation prints could temporarily support the pound.
Most Critical Upcoming News/Event
UK CPI & Retail Sales – will set tone for BoE policy outlook.
US CPI and Fed commentary – crucial for USD trajectory.
Leader/Lagger Dynamics
GBP/USD acts as a leader within pound crosses (GBP/JPY, EUR/GBP, GBP/CHF), often setting direction. It behaves as a lagger to broader USD moves, especially after US data releases.
Key Levels
Support Levels: 1.3483, 1.3342
Resistance Levels: 1.3580, 1.3685
Stop Loss (SL): 1.3685 (above supply zone)
Take Profit (TP): 1.3342 (major downside target)
Summary: Bias and Watchpoints
GBPUSD remains under pressure after repeated rejections from the 1.3580–1.3685 supply zone. With BoE leaning dovish and UK data fragile, the bias stays bearish, favoring a move toward 1.3483 and possibly 1.3342. A stop loss above 1.3685 protects against upside squeezes, while US and UK CPI will be the deciding catalysts. For now, the setup favors sellers, with clear downside targets and the dollar holding the upper hand.
GDP on GBPUSD may push price upUpcoming GDP on GBPUSD may push the price upside as 2 step liquidity sweep has fueled the continued uptrend which may potentially continue to rise up to the area of value. As the longer term trend is up, it is highly likely price to move back up to the direction of the major trend.
GBPUSD Faces Strong Ceiling at 1.36 – Drop to 1.32 Ahead?The first half of this year was strongly bullish for GBPUSD, with the pair climbing from 1.20 to 1.37 — a rally of nearly 1,700 pips (14%).
However, after topping in July, cable corrected around 600 pips, only to find solid support at 1.32 in August. From there, a rebound followed, pushing price back up to 1.36 by the end of the month.
Looking at the chart, we can see a clear technical picture: while GBPUSD has rebounded from support, it has also formed a very strong ceiling at 1.36. This zone has now been reinforced by a bearish pin bar printed just two days ago.
Going forward, as I already highlighted in my DXY analysis, I expect a rebound in the USD — and this will almost certainly translate into a drop in cable.
From a purely technical standpoint:
• 1.36 = strong resistance, validated by the pin bar and multiple rejections.
• 1.34 is the first support and can act as a soft target.
• In the medium term, I expect GBPUSD to revisit 1.32.
The strategy is clear: sell the rallies into resistance, as the pair appears to be at the beginning of a corrective leg lower. 🚀
DeGRAM | GBPUSD broke the channel📊 Technical Analysis
● GBP/USD has broken out of the descending channel and reclaimed the 1.3390 support, confirming a bullish reversal.
● Price action shows momentum building toward 1.3590, and a sustained break above this level could open the way to 1.3770.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Sterling is supported by hawkish BoE commentary signaling concern over persistent inflation, while softer US wage data weighed on dollar strength.
✨ Summary
Bullish above 1.3390; targets 1.3590 → 1.3770. Invalidation on a close below 1.3390.
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GBPUSD Forming Bullish MomentumGBPUSD is currently trading around 1.3535, and the pair is forming a descending triangle structure on the daily chart with resistance trendline pressure gradually being tested. The breakout attempt from the upper descending trendline indicates potential bullish momentum, with a target zone near 1.4270 while protecting downside risk near 1.3320.
From a fundamental perspective, the US Dollar has been under pressure as expectations grow that the Federal Reserve may shift towards rate cuts in late 2025, especially with softer US labor market data and easing inflation trends. Meanwhile, the British Pound is gaining relative strength as UK economic data shows resilience in GDP growth and improving PMI numbers, adding bullish support to the technical setup.
Traders are closely watching if GBPUSD can sustain above the 1.3600 level for confirmation, as this could trigger momentum buying towards the 1.4200+ region. On the downside, 1.3320 remains a key support, and as long as this zone holds, the bias remains bullish.
Risk management remains crucial as volatility is expected with upcoming central bank commentary and inflation data releases. A sustained daily close above the resistance trendline strengthens the bullish case, while failure to hold current levels could see price retest key supports before another upside attempt.
The Game Series | Who Wins on GBPUSD?The market is never random — it’s a game of traps and liquidity hunts played by institutions against the crowd.
On GBPUSD, the story unfolds clearly:
🔻 First came the down wave, pulling traders into shorts and building liquidity at the lows.
🔺 Then, price flipped into an upside wave, climbing toward a major liquidity pool sitting above Equal Highs (EQH) and the Intraday High (IDM).
Now here’s where the real game begins. Institutions don’t move without collecting fuel. That’s why a fake push down into the SSL zone near 1.3330 is likely — designed to trigger stop-losses and shake weak hands out of the market.
From there, the stage is set for the strong upside push. The crowd gets trapped, liquidity gets harvested, and the real move is launched.
💡 Takeaway: Liquidity isn’t just numbers on a chart — it’s the scoreboard of the market game. The side that controls liquidity controls the outcome.
👉 Question to you: After the sweep, will the Bulls 🟢 finally secure the win, or do the Bears 🔴 still have a surprise move left?
GBPUSD Daily Forecast – Q3 | W37 | D8 | Y25GBPUSD Daily Forecast – Q3 | W37 | D8 | Y25 📊
🔹 Weekly Bias:
Remains bullish, with last week’s candle closing strong above the Daily 50 EMA.
Rejection wick adds further confluence to upside continuation.
🔹 Daily Bias:
Current daily structure holds bullish after another close above the Daily 50 EMA.
🟢 Long Scenarios
High-probability longs from defined zones, with opportunities to buy from the lows.
Weekly 50 EMA retest: a potential long area later this week — even if the weekly candle looks bearish, the bias stays bullish due to last week’s strong close above the 50 EMA.
Points of Interest: previous weekly wick lows (wicks often get filled; once filled, expect continuation to the upside).
⚡ Immediate Long Setup (London open)
Early longs are tricky, but the confluence is strong:
Daily imbalance fill + Daily 50 EMA support
Gap above price (market tendency to rebalance)
Daily order block refined with LTF order blocks
If Asia opens at lows with Asia highs unfilled → strong confluence for a London session break of structure → long entry toward Asia highs and gap fill.
Targeting a quick 1:3 RRR with aggressive trade management.
🔴 Short Scenarios
Shorts are possible but require caution.
Daily candles remain above the 50 EMA (bullish bias).
Best short zones: around previously daily highs with high confluence areas.
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
FX:GBPUSD






















