Black FridayUp to 80% OFF

Gc!1

WHAT IS THE EXPECTED RETURN and DURATION of this GOLD Bull Run?Well, when measured against the DXY index, a clear trend becomes apparent. A Golden Bull typically lasts about 40 quarters, which is essentially 1 decade (give or take a quarter). Similar to #Bitcoin and its cyclical bull markets within a larger secular bull, the returns tend to decrease over time. However, it seems that a triple-digit Gold price relative to the DXY is on the horizon at the very least. What would that look like if the DXY were to hit a new low around 69? This would suggest a Gold price of $6900 at a ratio of 100:1. A Gold price of $12K with a DXY of 80 only requires a ratio of 150... Thus, a five-digit Gold price is certainly within the realm of possibility. I have forecasts that extend as high as $12K.
TVC:GOLDLong
by BallaJi
2
How High Will Gold Go? It Depends on the DollarThe inverse relationship between gold and the dollar is evident. Interestingly, we observe that when the dollar falls, gold rises—but the magnitude of gold’s increase is often greater than the dollar’s decline. As we can see when dollar declines, gold went up. From 2001 to 2011, when dollar was down, gold went up. From 2017 to 2020, when dollar was down, gold went up. And from 2022 to current, when dollar is down, gold is up. With de-dollarization, this also means gold may have more upside potential. Conversely, when the dollar increases, gold declines by almost the same magnitude. Apart from de-dollarization, what are the other reasons dollar will face more headwinds? There are three elements • Existing debt, • more money printing and • tariffs, All these 3 elements are not going to go away anytime soon, as long as the debt continue to rise, more money to be printed and more tariffs impose, dollar downtrend is likely to continue. When dollar is down, gold is up. And these trends did not happen recently. It is taking shape over the past decades with a lower dollar, we can see how nicely the trends have seated on its historical troughs and peaks forming the channel for the dollar, and also in the gold over the decades. This tutorial video version: Mirco Gold Futures and Options Ticker: MGC Minimum fluctuation: 0.10 per troy ounce = $1.00 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
COMEX:GC1!Long
by konhow
Momentum Breakout into Strength | D-H Flip ConfirmedStrong continuation from last session’s impulsive push. I caught my move during the Tokyo impulsive hour after price broke cleanly above 4175 — confirming a momentum breakout setup on the 15-min chart. The previous Daily High (4191.2) has now flipped into solid support, reinforcing the bullish narrative I’ve been tracking since the start of the week. My original weekly target was 4200 — we’ve exceeded that level now, and the momentum still looks healthy. Price action is slowing ahead of the London session, which could set the stage for another expansion leg. If bullish pressure holds, I’m watching 4230–4250 next, with 4500 as a stretch target. 💡 Key Notes: Setup: Momentum Breakout Bias: Bullish Entry: 4177.3 | Exit: 4185.1 Result: +$386 (5 Contracts) Time in Trade: 42m Context: Daily High Flip + Strong Impulse Continuation #Gold #Futures #DayTrading #PriceAction #Breakout #TradingView #MGC #Trader #NoFOMO #Discipline #MomentumBreakout #ICTInspired
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
Gold Off to the Races | No Pullbacks, Just PressureNew week and Gold came out the gate running. Momentum’s been relentless — no pullbacks, no hesitation. Price is still riding strong from last week’s 8HR FVG base, and now pressing into new highs around 4,150+. With global tension fueling safe-haven demand, this could be a continuation week — but it’s getting stretched. Watching 4,070–4,081 for possible re-entry if we get a midweek dip. A close below 4,100 could signal exhaustion, while staying above keeps bulls firmly in control. ⚖️ Staying patient, no chasing — letting the market show if this leg still has fuel. — Woodz | #NOFOMO #GoldFutures #MarketStructure
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
Gold – Sitting on 8HR FVG Support Before CPI | Patience RequiredPrice rejected before taking yesterday’s high and is now sitting right on top of the 8HR FVG. We’ve finally got a clean retrace into structure after a week of impulsive bullish movement. I’m watching how price behaves here going into NY session + CPI release — this zone could be where the next leg starts if buyers step in. 📍 Key Levels: 4,077 → Liquidity above previous high 4,020 → Bullish confirmation zone 3,960 → Deep test into FVG If the market holds above 3,980 and shows strength, I’m expecting continuation toward 4,060–4,100+. If it fails and closes under 3,960, we could see a deeper correction first. ⚖️ Staying patient — news will likely reveal the real intent. — Woodz | #NOFOMO
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
9
Has Gold Reached Its Fullest Potential?Has gold reached its fullest potential? It depends on the US dollar. As we can see when dollar declines, gold went up. i) From 2001 to 2011, when dollar was down, gold went up. ii) From 2017 to 2020, when dollar was down, gold went up. iii) And from 2022 to current, when dollar is down, gold is up. With de-dollarization, this also means gold may have more upside potential. Mirco Gold Futures and Options Ticker: MGC Minimum fluctuation: 0.10 per troy ounce = $1.00 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
COMEX:GC1!Long
by konhow
2
Gold Cant stop...Wont Stop....Price continues pressing into new highs with no meaningful pullback, showing strong safe-haven momentum amid rising geopolitical tension. Watching for signs of exhaustion near current highs — ideally a liquidity sweep above the Daily High (DH) before any structural shift confirms. No rush to fade strength. Waiting for: A clean displacement break below intraday structure. Retest of an unmitigated FVG or imbalance for potential short. Until then, bullish continuation remains in control. Bias: Neutral → Bullish (waiting for confirmation) Setup on Watch: Liquidity Sweep + SSB (Shift in Structure Break)
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
Gold Futures (MGC) – No Pullback, Just Pure StrengthPrice never offered a clean pullback yesterday — just an aggressive continuation straight through prior structure. That type of behavior usually signals either institutional repricing or momentum fueled by broader uncertainty (like the ongoing U.S. government shutdown risk). 🔹 Bias: Bullish until a clear break of intraday structure 🔹 Current Levels: ‣ W-H: 3922.8 ‣ M-H: 3899.5 ‣ D-L: 3909.0 💡 Notes: Price is extremely extended, but until we see evidence of rejection or a 1H BOS (break of structure), the path of least resistance remains up. I’m watching closely for a controlled pullback into demand — ideally near 3920–3900 — to join the next wave higher. Still keeping an eye on news risk tonight; if the shutdown proceeds, volatility could spike and disrupt the structure. #GoldFutures #MGC #FuturesTrading #SmartMoney #DayTrading #PriceAction #NOFOMO
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
Gold Futures (MGC) – Pushing Into New HighsPrice continues to climb into all-new highs with very little pullback, showing clear bullish momentum. However, structure is getting thin, and momentum could begin to exhaust soon. 🔹 Current Bias: Bullish — until 4H structure breaks. 🔹 Key Levels: ‣ W-H: 3928 ‣ D-H: 3916 ‣ D-L: 3861 ‣ Daily FVG: 3820–3720 💡 Notes: Price has yet to rebalance the large Daily FVG below. If we sweep external liquidity above 3928–3935 and fail to close strong, that could set up a pullback or even a deeper correction into the Daily FVG zone. Volume profile shows thin structure between 3860–3820 — if momentum fades, that area could act as a magnet for price. For now, the bullish pressure remains intact — but I’m watching closely for exhaustion signs or a liquidity grab setup at the highs. #GoldFutures #MGC #FuturesTrading #ICT #PriceAction #SmartMoney #DayTrading #NOFOMO
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
Macro Data can keep Gold Pushing! Key Levels: Daily High (DH): 3899.5 Monthly High (MH): 3899.5 Daily Low (DL): 3820.4 Weekly High (WH): 3824.6 Weekly Low (WL): 3717.7 📊 Technical Outlook Price is currently trading near 3890, holding strong after yesterday’s impulsive bullish move. If we see a clean break back above yesterday’s high, continuation toward DH / MH 3899.5 looks highly probable. The recent structure continues to support bullish pressure with higher highs and shallow retracements. 🌍 Macro Watch All eyes are on the U.S. Government shutdown threat tonight at midnight. If Congress fails to reach an agreement, volatility in safe-haven assets like gold could spike. A shutdown scenario would likely support continued bullish pressure on gold as risk sentiment shifts. 🎯 Trade Idea Watching for a reclaim and hold above yesterday’s high → confirmation for bullish continuation. Short-term target: 3899.5 (DH / MH) liquidity. Failure to hold above could open a retrace back toward 3820–3824 support zone (DL / WH). ✅ Summary Bias remains bullish as long as price holds near/above yesterday’s high. Macro uncertainty (government shutdown) could act as a catalyst, so staying nimble and risk-aware is key. ⚡️What do you think — does gold have enough momentum to clear 3899.5, or will macro risk force a deeper retrace first?
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
13
Gold Futures (MGCZ5) – H4 Gap in PlayPrice pushed aggressively bullish all day yesterday with little to no pullbacks. That momentum left behind a fresh H4 Fair Value Gap (FVG) sitting just above the Weekly High (WH) level. If we see a pullback into this area, it could offer a solid setup for continuation higher. ⚠️ Key considerations: If buyers stay strong, price may run liquidity above 3863.7 (D-H) before any meaningful retracement. If sentiment shifts, a deeper draw into the Daily FVG below 3764 remains on the table. With global uncertainty (military meetings, de-dollarization, possible U.S. shutdown), volatility risk is elevated. 🎯 Game Plan: Watch the H4 FVG near WH for rejection / entry signals. Bias remains bullish while above 3785 (D-L). Break below D-L opens the door toward the Daily FVG.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
6
Gold Futures — Extended After Bullish Surge, Watching 4 PullbackYesterday’s move pushed gold aggressively higher with almost no retrace, leaving a string of unfilled imbalances below. Price is now pressing into 3780 levels, just shy of the psychological 3800 handle. Key Scenarios: Bullish Continuation: If Asia/London hold above 3767, a squeeze into 3800–3810 is possible before any meaningful pullback. Retracement Setup: A break under 3767 could trigger a retrace into 3743 → 3719 zone, aligning with prior resistance turned support. Bigger Picture: Major 4H FVG remains untested below (around 3650–3660), which could act as a downside magnet later in the week. Patience is key after such a vertical move — waiting to see if Tuesday gives us either continuation or that first retrace.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
Gold Futures — Bearish Momentum Building After Fed CutGold continues to show weakness after the Fed’s 25bps rate cut. Price rejected the 1H FVG overhead and is pressing down toward yesterday’s low (3660). Key Scenarios: Bearish Case (favored): If we break and close below yesterday’s low (D-L 3660), sellers likely push toward the weekly low (WL ~3627). That move would clean up the liquidity pool and fill the H-TF imbalance. Bullish Case: Only if buyers defend the daily low and reclaim the 1H FVG with strength could we see price revisit 3710 (daily high). Momentum remains on the downside, with ADX > 25 confirming trend conditions. Watching closely for the daily low sweep and possible continuation.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
by DWoodz
Anticipation of GC / Gold over the next couple of weeks.For those who might have interest in a Elliott reading on gold: In this post, everytime I write gold, I mean GC. This is just for info, since GC and gold doesn't have same prices, but the movement is very much the same. If you follow along on a gold spot or similar, just translate the levels to there. The picture is very messy for those who doesn't know what the lines and numbers are for, but please follow along. I have a strong believe that with current PA the 3rd (white iii) wave is over, and now we will look for price to search for the bottom of the blue channel. The blue channel is an acceleration channel, which is used to see if 4th (white iv) wave is under way. When the 4th (white iv) has developed some more, we are able to put another channel on, called the deceleration channel. This we will use to spot the end of the 4th (white iv). Until now, it seems gold is respect the white 161 fib level, which is a very typical 3rd wave level to end. The reason I started this post, was to tell you about my thoughts on when the 4th (white iv) is going to end, or at least how long it's going to be. A typical scenario is that wave 4 is longer in duration than wave 2. For ease of spotting, I have put up these purple boxes, so now we do not anticipate gold to end the correction, before it has exited the purple box to the right. The depth of wave 4 (white iv): I believe we are going to see prices in the level between 3600 and 3550 (the green box). Reasons for the levels of the green box: when prices wave 2 (white ii) goes beyound the 61.8 fib level (in this case below), we tend to see a retracement between 38% and 50% in the 4th (white iv). And this is the area the green box indicates. Timewise it is places outside of the previously mentioned purple box. 4th wave also tends to respect the base channel . Either the upper line or the middle line. The lower line of the blue channel and the middle of the grey channel ( base channel ), the green box, outside of the purple box is all seeming to fall in the same place. So I like all the confluences falling together here, so that's why I feel pretty certain that, that is where the white iv wave is likely to end. Timewise it'll be about 1st of october. The white v wave i have also done a forecast on that fits if wave white iv retrace to the green box. Normally the 5th wave is going to end in the area between 38% and 61% of the wave 1 and 3. This level is indicated with the blue fib. Usually wave 5 is equal to wave 3. But can be extended if wave three isn't. Have indicated the 100% fib of white i wave with the cyan fib. This 100% level falls between the blue fib, right around the yellow line I have talked a lot about before in previous post. So I also have a lot of confluences for price to go here in the white v wave. If the white v is extended it could go to the blue 100% level, which also is confluenced with that cyan upgoing line. This is a pitchfork drawn from previous waves. let's see where gold will take us.
COMEX:GC1!
by TheDane
Gold Pauses Ahead of FOMC – Big Move Loading?Gold has been consolidating just below its all-time highs as traders await the Fed’s rate decision tomorrow. Key levels on my chart: Resistance: ATH 3737.5 → 3749.8 (DH) Support: 3715.2 (WH) → 3711.6 (DL) If the Fed cuts rates more aggressively than expected, Gold could break higher and run liquidity above 3750. On the flip side, a smaller cut or hawkish tone could give the dollar strength, driving Gold lower — first target 3700 → 3680. I’m staying cautious during Asia and London, expecting chop until NY session. My focus will be on how price reacts after the announcement — that’s where the cleaner opportunities should come. Patience is key here — the real move is still loading.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz