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GC1! (Gold Futures)

GOLD (GCM2024, XAUUSD)... BULLISH BIAS!Bias is Bullish. Price is moving up with convincing momentum. Respecting bullish PD Arrays, disrespecting bearish ones. No signs of reversal. The intent to reach the DOL/Swing High seems clear. The expectation is for Gold to make further gains. A potential pullback to 2400 area would make sense as a zone to buy from, as buying from the top is not recommended. Thank you for viewing! Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! May profits be upon you.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by RT_Money
1
New Support & Resistance for the Gold CFD market in 2024Fundamental Analysis : Since we all know the geopolitical tension we are living right now : Russian and Ukranian War, Palestinian and Israel conflict, Tension between USA and China, BRICS buying gold massively. Also increasing inflation all over the world, increase in interest rates is globalised... Gold also is very correlated with US CPI, GPD, Housing sector who is not doing well (maybe new bubble)... anyway hope the best for the dollar... who is being challenged in this new geopolitical era. Technical Analysis : Gold is doing well, most agressive move are bullish move (volumes weighted). Very healthy trend, that is obvious to oscillator expert. TDI, is the best indicator to use since it's a combination of 5 well known indicators
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Le_mah
GOLD Futures: H4 Footprint Insights and Daily Chart DynamicsGold Futures Footprint Analysis on the H4 Timeframe reveals an intriguing market dynamic. Monday's opening saw a bearish candle, characterized by a spike that retraced to the previous Point of Control (POC) volume of the preceding candle. This retracement occurred concurrently with a block of previous bullish orders (513+535), suggesting a potential area of resistance. Despite the presence of sellers, there appears to be a notable imbalance favoring buyers, indicating underlying support for a price increase. Although the Delta reflects a bearish sentiment, the sellers' efforts do not seem to exert a significant downward pressure on price movement. This phenomenon aligns with a classic interpretation of price action in CFD trading, commonly referred to as a "retest." Zooming out to the daily chart, we observe that buyer volume slightly surpasses that of sellers, accompanied by a lower Delta compared to the previous candle. This discrepancy implies that a relatively small effort from buyers may yield significant results. Moreover, the POC on the daily chart currently resides on the upper side of the candle, indicating that the majority of transactions or market battles are occurring at higher price levels. This observation further strengthens the case for a bullish continuation. In summary, the Footprint Analysis highlights a nuanced interplay between buyers and sellers in the Gold Futures market. Despite initial bearish signals, the presence of buyer imbalance and strategic positioning on the daily chart suggest a potential bullish momentum continuation. Traders may consider these insights when formulating their trading strategies. Daily Footprint Analysis
COMEX:GC1!Long
by FOREXN1
1
GOLD → Are the bulls ready to break through 2430 and go ↑ ? OANDA:XAUUSD on the background of weak dollar and favorable fundamental background realizes the accumulated potential after breaking through resistance. The price is testing the global resistance of 2431. The market is bullish again, which was supported by economic news, mainly related to inflation. Technically, the gold is again interested in strong buyers after the correction phase, which ended at the moment of the beginning of the realization of the bullish pattern, as well as the confirmation of the bulls. In general, this movement can be continued, as the general background is favorable for the gold market In the coming week traders are interested in such news as: - Powell's speech on Monday - FOMC meeting minutes on Tuesday - Initial Jobless Claims on Thursday Resistance levels: 2417, 2431 Support levels: 2400, 2375 Technically, the price may test the ATH on Monday, but a bounce or a false breakdown may be formed afterwards, which will lead to a small correction. A quick retest of 2431 could lead to a breakout and further growth Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
11
XAUUSD. Weekly trading levels 13 - 17.05.2024We continue the experiment with a wider range of zones. Let's see if we can guess the places to search for deals for the week ahead. Last week is HERE or in the related ideas at the bottom of the post. During the week you can trade from these price levels. Finding the entry point into a trade is up to you, depending on your trading style and the development of the situation. If you expect any medium-term price movements, then most likely they will start from one of the zones. Levels are valid for a week, the date is in the title. The next morning I adjust the levels based on the new data and publish a new post. The history of level development can be seen in my previous posts. They cannot be edited or deleted. Everything is fair. :) ---------------------------------------------- Levels are drawn based on volumes and data from CME. Used as areas of interest for trade. When approaching a level, a “reaction” is expected, which can be traded for both a rebound and a breakout. The worst option is if we revolve around the level in a flat. Do not reverse the market at every level; if there is a trend movement, consider it as an opportunity to enter into a continuation of the movement. Until the price has drawn a reversal pattern. Don’t forget to like Rocket, Comments and Subscribe!!!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Forex_Hoby
GOLD → Consolidation above 2380 will cause a rise to 2400FX:XAUUSD is consolidating above the important for the market level of 2378. Bulls are trying to keep the defense above this zone in order to continue growth on the background of weak dollar. Gold is recovering after leaving the correction channel. The price is once again near its highs (ATH), within the current move the price could quite possibly renew it if the fundamental background does not change next week. At the moment, the main objective of the bulls is to consolidate above 2378-2385 in order to go higher: to 2400 and then to 2430-2450. Support levels: 2378, 2371 Resistance levels: 2400, 2418 Within the current trend we may see a continuation of the trend. There is no strong news on Friday, so the movements may be calm. I am waiting for the resumption of growth from 2378, or from the channel support. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
9
GOLD → The realization phase is taking shape. Target 2450?FX:XAUUSD is strengthening well on the background of weakening dollar index, related to fundamental reasons (news on inflation). Gold's strengthening may continue, but after a correction. Bulls are interested in 2378-2350 area. The main task is to take the defense above the key liquidity and support zones. Confirmation of the end of the correction phase on H4-D1 is forming and the market is moving into the bullish phase, forming a strong realization in the form of distribution. Practically, we should wait for support retest and consolidation above the level with the aim to continue growth towards 2400-2450. Today at 12:30pm Initial Jobless Claims is published, analysts are expecting a decline in the index, which could be a bullish scenario, but actual data above 219K could weaken the dollar, while below it could strengthen. Resistance levels: 2397, 2400 Support levels: 2378, 2352 The local correction phase may be stopped near the key levels, but it all depends on the news, if they confirm the general fundamental background, the gold growth will continue, otherwise, the local correction will drag down to 2350. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
6
GOLD’s recent period of consolidationGold ended the week higher after a late rally on Thursday and Friday. It had initially pulled back from its all-time high due to trendline resistance. The precious metal is expected to react to the latest US inflation data, which affects Treasury yields, interest rate expectations, and the US dollar. Gold bulls are hopeful that softer CPI data will drive the metal higher and test the all-time high. Gold broke its recent consolidation period, surpassing the resistance at $2,340/oz. Buyers pushed the price to a three-week high on Friday, and gold opened above the 20-day moving average. If it can stay above this level, further gains are expected. The ongoing situation in the Middle East may also contribute to increased demand for gold. In the near future, the trend of gold price is still being noticed by the falling price channel but it also has technical conditions to increase the price, but with the closing price position as shown in the chart, gold can still decrease. adjusted to test the EMA21 and notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 2,335 – 2,330 – 2,305USD Resistance: 2,366 – 2,378USD 🪙SELL XAUUSD | 2393 - 2391 ⚰️SL: 2397 ⬆️TP1: 2386 ⬆️TP2: 2381 🪙BUY XAUUSD | 2329 - 2331 ⚰️SL: 2325 ⬆️TP1: 2336 ⬆️TP2: 2341
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
GOLD → Will the bullish sentiment persist after the news?FX:XAUUSD is growing and testing local descending resistance. Growth is associated with the decline in the dollar index on the background of Powell's comments. Ahead of the news on inflation... Technically, on H4 the price overcomes the correction phase and returns to the bullish rut, testing the local maximum. Bulls are focused on consolidation above 2350. If this can be done on the background of the news, 2400-2500 is ahead. Traders are waiting for the inflation report, which may be ambiguous like PPI. A slight weakening of the situation may weaken the dollar, and gold will react appropriately. Resistance levels: 2378, 2400, 2418 Support levels: 2352, 2336, 2328 The mood of traders is bullish, which can generally determine the medium-term outlook for us. But inflation can both strengthen this bullish mood and weaken it. Trade carefully! Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
11
GOLD Price Stability Amid Rising Global TensionsOn Tuesday, the price of gold stabilized as mounting geopolitical tensions spurred demand for the safe-haven asset. Escalating protests against Israel’s presence in Gaza, Russia’s initiation of a new conflict in Ukraine, and concerns regarding potential disruptions in global trade have heightened the perception of geopolitical risk. The decision by BRICS nations to reduce reliance on the US Dollar for international trade transactions has bolstered interest in gold as an alternative. Consequently, there has been a notable increase in non-Western central banks' demand for gold, accompanied by a corresponding decrease in US Dollar reserves. Gold is being considered as a viable substitute for the US Dollar as a secure store of value in international trade agreements involving nations with volatile domestic currencies, as per insights from the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, a Washington-based advisory service. From a technical standpoint, analysis of the H4 timeframe reveals a divergence in the cumulative delta, with the preceding candle exhibiting a negative cumulative delta while the current candle shows a positive delta. The previous candle effectively absorbed all inefficiency orders from sellers, forming an absorption candle characterized by a long spike, while the current candle is endeavoring to elevate buyer volume. There is potential for the current candle to retest the previous candle's point of control (POC) to attract new buyers at a discounted rate. Our strategy revolves around a long setup with a target aimed at the previous fair value area.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by FOREXN1
2
The Middle East is hot again, GOLD skyrocketedOANDA:XAUUSD jumped as weak US initial jobless claims data and dovish comments from Federal Reserve officials weighed on the US dollar, along with tensions. New tensions in the Middle East attract risk haven demand. Data released by the United States on Thursday showed that the number of people applying for unemployment benefits increased by 22,000 in the week of May 4 to 231,000, the highest level since late August last year and higher than US expectations. economists are 215,000. The number of applications for unemployment benefits in the US is higher than expected and previous reports, showing that the economy is losing momentum. This could influence the Fed's future monetary policy decisions as they acknowledge that they are focused on a dual mandate (full employment and inflation.) San Francisco Fed President Daly said Thursday that the Fed would consider cutting interest rates if the job market worsens. Interest rates are currently holding back the economy, but it may take "longer time" to bring inflation back to target. Israel said on May 9 that ceasefire negotiations in the Gaza Strip in the Egyptian capital Cairo had broken down and the Israeli army would continue to attack in the city of Rafah, southern Gaza Strip. Israeli officials also said the Israeli delegation left Cairo that day. According to reports from Egypt's Cairo News TV channel on May 9, negotiators from Hamas, Israel, Qatar and the US left Egypt that day after ceasefire negotiations in Gaza entered into. deadlock. According to a Reuters report on May 8, Hamas said on May 8 that it was not willing to make further concessions to Israel in ceasefire negotiations in Gaza. On May 8, Israel continued to use tanks and warplanes to attack the city of Rafah in southern Gaza, and threatened to launch a large-scale attack on this city. . Their troops entered the city through the Rafah border crossing with Egypt on the 7th, cutting off vital aid channels and the only exit for evacuating the wounded. In general, the fundamental picture is leaning towards the possibility of more support for gold prices, especially as the geopolitical situation has new escalation points. This causes shelter demand to cover the market and in all cases of widespread risk, gold is always chosen as the top shelter asset. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD After a long period of accumulation, the gold price finally broke the accumulation triangle in yesterday's trading session, and it is worth noting that gold brought price activity back above the EMA21 level. In the short term, gold is still technically limited by the upper edge of the price channel and this is also the closest current resistance, noted at 2,366 USD. In case the price channel is broken, gold is eligible to continue to increase even more with the highest level at the all-time peak of 2,430 USD. Since the resistance at the upper channel edge is the most notable technical level currently, open short positions should be protected once this level is broken. On the other hand, if gold remains within the price channel, it is still likely to retest the $2,330 technical level in the short term. During the day, gold price is still in the downtrend price channel and technical levels will be noticed again as follows. Support: 2,330USD Resistance: 2,366USD 🪙SELL XAUUSD | 2366 - 2364 ⚰️SL: 2370 ⬆️TP1: 2359 ⬆️TP2: 2354 🪙BUY XAUUSD | 2317 - 2319 ⚰️SL: 2313 ⬆️TP1: 2324 ⬆️TP2: 2329
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
1
🖥 GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [May 13 - May 17]Gold prices surged to a three-week high of $2,375 an ounce on Friday due to weak U.S. economic data. The University of Michigan's preliminary May consumer confidence index fell to 67.4, lower than expectations. Additionally, there was an unexpected increase in initial jobless claims, reaching the highest level since last August. Investors are now awaiting next week's US Producer Price Index (PPI) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, which could greatly affect gold prices and the financial market overall. If inflation data released next week shows a slowdown, it could lead to the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in September. Financial markets expect the Fed to begin easing monetary policy in September, which could increase the appeal of gold due to lower interest rates. Traders currently see a 25% chance of a 0.5% rate cut in July, rising to nearly 49% in September. Changes in these expectations could impact gold prices. Data from the CFTC shows a decrease in gold futures contracts in the week ending May 7. Financial data and economic events next week: - Tuesday: US Producer Price Index (PPI), Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will speak in Amsterdam, Netherlands; - Wednesday: US Consumer Price Index (CPI), US retail sales, New York Fed Empire State Survey; - Thursday: US weekly initial jobless claims, US housing starts, Philadelphia Fed manufacturing survey. 📌Gold broke out of an accumulation triangle and has shown two days of significant increases on the daily chart. It surpassed EMA21 and the price channel edge, signaling a potential breakout. If it breaks the bearish channel and goes above $2,366, it could enter a bull run. To confirm bearish conditions, gold would need to fall below EMA21 and stay below $2,330. The current support level is $2,330. The trading plan for next week will consider buying if the price returns to around the 2320 barrier, and selling if the price rises around the 2400 barrier.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
GOLD → How can the price react to the NEWS on inflation?FX:XAUUSD earlier returned to the range after a false breakdown of resistance. The market is now fading as it is in the waiting phase for Powell's speech as well as the rest of the inflation news. Traders are waiting for PPI ( ECONOMICS:USPPIMM ) today as well as tomorrow's CPI ( ECONOMICS:USIRYY ) . Earlier, the market discussed the interest rate cut as well as inflation, which continues to remain at a rather high level, which does not please the Fed. Traders are expecting inflation to drop from 3.5 to 3.4. This is possible, but it is still very high relative to what Powell, who will also speak today, is expecting. Gold may react strongly to the news as economic factors are unpredictable. It will be necessary to follow the actual data and not to trade before the news. Resistance levels: 2352, 2363, 2378 Support levels: 2328, 2306, 2295 Fundamentally it is still very bad, inflation is high, rate cuts are not expected, in general this scenario lays further strengthening of the dollar. In such a case, gold may continue to correct to the lows. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
12