GOLD - The hunt for liquidity before the fall to 3900...FX:XAUUSD has completely unwound the bullish momentum generated by the recent news and has printed fresh local lows. The market remains in both a local and broader bearish trend, driven by persistent fundamental and geopolitical uncertainty
Gold continues to trade under pressure, with sellers firmly in control. The next key catalysts will be the U.S. Consumer Sentiment and Inflation Expectations reports. The technical outlook remains bearish, with price making new local lows while still holding above the key 3960 support area. Before the broader decline resumes, the market may enter a liquidity sweep phase, with downside potential extending toward 3940–3900.
Bearish drivers: Escalation of geopolitical tensions, Rising oil prices and a stronger U.S. dollar, Hawkish Federal Reserve rhetoric, Strong U.S. economic data
Bullish drivers: Geopolitical de-escalation, Weaker-than-expected consumer sentiment data, End-of-week profit-taking
Resistance levels: 4028, 4043, 4065
Support levels: 3960, 3943
The U.S. dollar remains in a strong bullish trend, reinforcing the bearish outlook for gold. Technically, the market is developing a breakout structure around the 3960–3940 support zone. A sustained break and close below this area could trigger another leg lower.
However, before the next sell-off, a short squeeze toward the 4028–4065 resistance zone remains possible. A false breakout of this area could attract fresh selling pressure and accelerate the broader downtrend
Best regards,
R. Linda 
Short
XAU/USD | Gold Rejects From Supply And Drops More Than 1000 PipsBy analyzing the #Gold chart on the 2H timeframe, we can see that after the previous analysis, price first moved slightly higher toward the $4060 – $4080 supply zone. Once Gold entered this area, sellers stepped in aggressively and pushed price down toward $3973, delivering more than 1070 pips of movement.
Currently, Gold is trading around $4012. Price may still move slightly higher in the short term, but my main bias remains bearish and I expect sellers to regain control from the nearby supply zones.
The closest supply zones are located around $4014 – $4020, followed by the stronger area between $4024 – $4044. On the downside, the nearest demand zones are around $3970 – $3985, followed by $3940 – $3955 and deeper support near $3900 – $3920.
My main target remains the large liquidity pool resting below $3941 . As long as Gold remains below the current supply zones, I still expect price to eventually sweep this liquidity before any stronger recovery begins. For now, a short-term bounce is possible, but the broader scenario remains bearish.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban Short 
XAU/USD | CPI and PPI send gold high - war says NOPE!As you can see in the 4H chart of Gold, it surged after CPI news yesterday, going from 4015 all the way to 4102, but then it dropped yet again, before surging one more time today after PPI news dropped! It went from 4026 all the way to 4074, and is now being traded at 4058, inside the 4H FVG, above the Consequent Encroachment of the gap.
CPI and PPI both came out softer than expected, sending Gold and other forex pairs up high. However, despite Gold's movement after the CPI and PPI news, and considering the Strait of Hormuz being closed and US also has put the Strait under siege, Gold is going to drop again in my opinion. A short-term bullish move is not out of the question, but as long as the geopolitical tensions are as high as they are now, with no negotiations, and the bombardment on Iran's important ports and islands, Gold is gonna remain bearish.
Now, if IR accepts President Trump's demands within the next week before time runs out, war ends and Gold will go back higher sharply, but as long as the situation remains the way it is and geopolitical tensions at an all time high, Gold remain Bearish. Short 
XAUUSD Short: Tests Channel Resistance – Rejection in FocusHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook based on the current XAUUSD (2H) chart structure. XAUUSD previously broke below an ascending demand line, confirming a bearish shift. After consolidating inside a range, price rebounded from the 3,940 Demand Zone but remained inside a descending channel. The recovery stalled below the 4,040 Supply Zone and channel resistance.
Currently, XAUUSD is trading above the 3,940 Demand Zone while remaining below the 4,040 Supply Zone. The latest rejection from channel resistance suggests sellers remain in control.
As long as XAUUSD stays below the 4,040 Supply Zone and respects the descending channel, the bearish scenario remains valid. A rejection from current levels could push price toward the 3,940 Demand Zone (TP1). Manage your risk! Short 
XAUUSD: Faces Resistance Again — Bears Target 3,980$ SupportHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current XAUUSD setup.
Market Analysis
XAUUSD previously traded inside a range before breaking lower and developing a broad descending channel, confirming a bearish market structure. After finding support near the 3,980 Support Zone, buyers formed a Double Bottom pattern and pushed price back toward the 4,080 Resistance Zone.
Currently, XAUUSD is trading above the 3,980 Support Zone while remaining below the 4,080 Resistance Zone. A recent fake breakout above the descending channel resistance failed to hold, suggesting sellers are defending the upper boundary once again.
My Scenario & Strategy
As long as XAUUSD remains below the 4,080 Resistance Zone and continues to respect the descending channel resistance, the bearish scenario remains valid. A rejection from current levels could push price back toward the 3,980 Support Zone (TP1).
However, if XAUUSD secures a confirmed breakout above the descending channel and the 4,080 Resistance Zone, the bearish outlook would weaken and buyers could extend the recovery.
That’s the setup I’m tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk. Short 
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XAUUSD Bullish Rebound from Major Support | Recovery Target at 4
Gold (XAUUSD) has reached a strong demand zone around **3,970–3,980**, where buyers have previously shown interest. After a sharp decline, price is testing this key support area, increasing the possibility of a short-term bullish rebound.
The marked resistance near **4,035–4,040** is the first upside objective. A successful bounce from current levels could drive price toward this target. However, if support fails, bearish momentum may continue below the demand zone.
**🎯 Target:** **4,040**
**📈 Bias:** Bullish rebound while price holds above **3,970**.
**⚠️ Invalidation:** A sustained break below **3,970** may lead to further downside.
Long 
WEEKLY CLOSE BELOW TRENDLINE: WHAT'S NEXT FOR GOLD?The final trading session of the week arrives with no major macro catalyst capable of shifting market sentiment. Earlier this week, softer U.S. inflation data temporarily weakened the dollar but failed to generate a sustained recovery in Gold. Markets continue to price in a cautious Federal Reserve, with policymakers showing little urgency to ease monetary policy while inflation risks remain elevated. As a result, Treasury yields have stabilized and institutional flows continue to favor defensive positioning rather than aggressive buying in precious metals.
With the week's key economic releases now behind us, price action becomes increasingly important. The fact that Gold has been unable to capitalize on supportive inflation data suggests that buyers remain hesitant, while sellers continue to dominate the broader market structure.
From a technical perspective, Gold is set to close the week below the descending trendline on the H4 timeframe, reinforcing the existing bearish trend. Every recovery toward the Demand + Trendline resistance has been met with renewed selling pressure, confirming this confluence as the key institutional supply zone. Meanwhile, price continues to hold above the short-term support around 396x, but the rebound lacks momentum and has yet to produce a confirmed Break of Structure (BOS).
A weekly close beneath the trendline would strengthen the bearish narrative and keep the focus on the next liquidity zone around 392x–393x. Until buyers reclaim the descending trendline, the current recovery should still be viewed as corrective rather than the start of a broader reversal.
PRIMARY SCENARIO
As long as Gold remains below the Demand + Descending Trendline resistance, sellers are likely to maintain control. Any short-term recovery toward this resistance cluster could attract fresh selling pressure, with the 392x–393x support zone remaining the next downside objective.
ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO
If buyers manage to reclaim the descending trendline and secure a confirmed H4 close above the Demand resistance, bearish momentum could begin to fade. Such a move would suggest the current selling pressure is losing strength and open the door for a broader corrective recovery.
MARKET VIEW
Current Bias: Bearish
Preferred Strategy: Sell the Rally – Wait Confirmation Short 
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Gold Bears Eye 3,983: Sell the 4,030 Pullback, Not the BottomHonestly, gold hasn't given bulls a single reason to smile on the H1 all week. Every push higher gets sold into, and the ChoCH at 4,060 was just the latest rally to die on arrival.
Here's how I'm reading it. Price has been stair-stepping lower ever since the descending channel broke earlier this month. First the ChoCH at 4,085, then another at 4,060, and each bounce came in weaker than the one before it. That's not accumulation, that's distribution. Sellers are in full control and they're not hiding it.
Now look at what's sitting below us. The FVG at 4,000 to 4,010 never got fully mitigated, and right under the July 12 to 14 lows at 3,983 there's a pool of sell-side liquidity just waiting to be taken. The market rarely leaves that kind of fuel on the table. In my experience, when structure is this clean to the downside and liquidity is stacked below, price finds its way there sooner rather than later.
My plan is simple. I want a pullback into 4,030 to 4,045, the retest of that broken ChoCH area, and that's where I'm hunting shorts. If price stretches deeper toward 4,060, even better entry, but that level is also my line in the sand. An H1 close above 4,060 kills the short-term bearish structure completely, and I'll step aside without hesitation. No ego, no averaging down.
Main target sits at 3,983.5, right on that liquidity shelf. If we sweep those lows and a bullish ChoCH prints on the lower timeframes, that's the only spot where I'd consider flipping long from 3,983 to 3,990. Not a second before confirmation shows up.
Until then, rallies are for selling. Patience pays more than prediction here.
Are you selling this pullback or waiting for the sweep first? 👇 Short 
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BTC/USD | Bitcoin Holds Strong Near $65K, More Upside Ahead?By analyzing the #Bitcoin chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that BTC continued to follow the expected bullish scenario. Despite the heavy volatility throughout the week, buyers managed to push price as high as $65,500.
Currently, Bitcoin is trading around $64,700 and is showing much stronger price retention compared to assets such as Gold. Negative headlines and market volatility are no longer causing the same aggressive sell-offs we saw before. Even when BTC corrects, buyers quickly step back in and price returns toward the higher levels.
This behavior shows that demand remains active and Bitcoin is becoming more comfortable trading at higher prices. Because of this, I still expect further upside in both the short term and medium term.
The next upside targets to monitor are $66,000, followed by $68,000, then $70,000, $74,000, and potentially $78,000 if bullish momentum continues.
For now, the broader structure remains bullish as long as Bitcoin continues holding above the key $62,000 to $63,000 area.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Long 
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Long 
XAUUSD Short: From Supply Rejection to a Potential $3,960 RetestHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook based on the current XAUUSD (1H) chart structure. XAUUSD previously formed a Rounding Top before breaking lower, confirming a bearish shift. After finding support near the 3,960 Demand Zone, buyers attempted a recovery, but price remained below the long-term descending trendline and later broke below the rising demand line.
Currently, XAUUSD is trading below the 4,070 Supply Zone while moving toward the 3,960 Demand Zone. The recent breakdown from the converging trendlines suggests sellers remain in control.
As long as XAUUSD remains below the 4,070 Supply Zone and respects the descending trendline, the bearish scenario remains intact. A continuation lower could push price toward the 3,960 Demand Zone (TP1). Manage your risk! Short 
Gold prices may still rise.The US dollar index rose slowly yesterday, closing higher. The 5-day moving average (MA5) is trending downwards, and the MACD indicator shows increasing downward momentum, indicating a continued bearish trend for the dollar index on the daily chart, which is bullish for gold. Gold opened sharply lower in the Asian session yesterday, rising to $4043 during the NY session before turning lower, reaching a low near $3970, closing significantly lower on the daily chart. Today in the Asian session, gold rebounded after testing $3971, quickly rising to around $4008. The TRIX trend indicator shows a golden cross, suggesting further upside potential for gold in the near term.
On the hourly chart, gold prices rebounded quickly, but then retreated after encountering resistance. The 5-day and 10-day moving averages are trending upwards, the TRIX trend indicator has a golden cross, the KDJ indicator has a golden cross, and the accompanying indicators are turning upwards. The MACD indicator's fast and slow lines are below the zero line, with the crossover opening upwards and increasing upward momentum, indicating a short-term bullish bias. Considering the daily chart, short-term trading is recommended to buy on dips to support levels.
My recommendation:
BUY: 3981~3986, SL: 3971, TP: $4010-$4030
