German stocks about to drop 7%? (DAX 40)Setup
Breakdown from horizontal range
Lowest weekly close since June
Breakdown below โgreenโ weekly trendline
RSI back at 35-40 support
Commentary
The DAX is sitting right on the support level of its long term range. The index could rally back into its range, offering reversal setups to go long, or it could continue to breakdown. Should it be the latter, projecting the height of the range lower would target 21500 - a demand area preceding the April rally.
Strategy
Option 2: Sell rebound towards 48,000 supply zone
Option 1: Sell the breakdown below 23,000
Ger40
DAX40 reachi8ng resistance at 23550The DAX40 is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the support, suggesting a possibility of a temporary relief rally within the downtrend.
Key resistance is located at 23550, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
A bearish rejection from 23550 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 23093, followed by 22800 and 22580 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 23550 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 23790, then 23980.
Conclusion:
The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the DAX40 breaks and holds above 23550. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GER40 SELL IDEAIn GER40 analysis we can see that our daily , h4 and m15 timeframes are bearish.. now we're just analysing m15 time frame and in m15 time frame we can see m15 structure is clearly bearish so now it will do pullback .as i marked 2 blue zones which are m15 demand zone for sell... by my perspective from the downside first blue zone(23220.5 - 23123.0),from this zone the market will give us sell entry and till we'll patiently wait ....let's see... :)
DAX/GER - let puck up the entry againTeam, last week, we got our target hit before the BIG dump again yesterday
Found a good entry for DAX at this level 22993-22965
STOP LOSS at 22860
Once it break above 23060, bring stop loss to BREAK EVEN
Target 1 at 23085-23115
Target 2 at 23160-23189
Target 3 at 23230-23500
LETS GO
Dax Short Term Sell IdeaH1 - Strong bearish move.
No opposite signs.
Currently it looks like a pullback is happening.
Expecting bearish continuation until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold.
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DAX Will the 1W MA50 support once more?DAX (DE40) has been trading within a 3-year Channel Up, essentially for the entirety of its Bull Cycle, following the October 2022 bottom of the Inflation Crisis.
The most common Support, hence optimal long-term buy signal/ entry within this pattern, has been the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), having been hit three times and providing on all instances massive rallies.
Every time that or the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) were hit, the rallies always hit the previous High/ Resistance 1 initially before either a consolidation or a slight pull-back.
As a result, if the market hits the 1W MA50 but manages to close the 1W candle above it, we expect the resulting rally to hit at least 24700 (Resistance 1).
Notice also that every long-term Bullish Leg was confirmed after the 1W RSI broke above its Lower Highs trend-line.
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๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ
๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐
DAX40 The Week Ahead The Key Trading LevelsThe DAX is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the falling resistance, suggesting a temporary relief rally within the downtrend.
Key resistance is located at 23940, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
A bearish rejection from 23940 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 23600, followed by 23430 and 23285 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 23940 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 24095, then 24217.
Conclusion:
The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the price breaks and holds above 23940. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DAX Bearish pullback capped at 23940The DAX is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the falling resistance, suggesting a temporary relief rally within the downtrend.
Key resistance is located at 23940, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
A bearish rejection from 23940 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 23600, followed by 23430 and 23285 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 23940 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 24095, then 24217.
Conclusion:
The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the price breaks and holds above 23940. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DAX Oversold bounce resistance retest at 23940The DAX is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the falling resistance, suggesting a temporary relief rally within the downtrend.
Key resistance is located at 23940, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
A bearish rejection from 23940 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 23600, followed by 23430 and 23285 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 23940 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 24095, then 24217.
Conclusion:
The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the price breaks and holds above 23940. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GER40 Intraday Technical AnalysisGER40 Intraday Technical Analysis - 10 Nov 2025
DAX 40 trades at 23,866 (12:25 PM UTC+4) with momentum compressing ahead of Europe close.
Market Context: Wyckoff distribution after vertical rally; Dow Theory shows secondary correction forming; Gann 1x1 angle rests at 23,820.
Daily/4H: 1D spinning top at 23,900 with RSI divergence; 4H broadening wedge between 23,780 support and 23,940 resistance.
1H/30M: 1H forming head-and-shoulders neckline 23,820; 30M Bollinger squeeze plus VWAP flattening signals breakout risk.
15M/5M: 15M descending triangle; 5M falling wedge testing 23,840; Ichimoku Tenkan23,940 with volume +20%; SL 23,880; TP 24,040.
Breakdown Short: 1H close <23,760; SL 23,820; TP 23,640.
Key Levels: Resistance 23,900/23,940/24,040. Support 23,780/23,760/23,640.
Indicators: RSI divergence (4H), BB squeeze (30M), anchored VWAP 23,800, EMA21 flattening, Ichimoku cloud turning neutral.
Risk Notes: Watch for bull trap above 23,940; ECB speakers 14:00 UTC elevate volatility; risk โค1% per setup.
Educational analysis only; follow your trading plan and manage risk.
DAX 5-month Rectangle approaching the 1D MA200. Buy Signal.DAX (DE40) has been trading sideways within a large 1D Rectangle for the past 5 months. Since the October 09 High the price has been declining on a Bearish Leg that is about to test the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since April 09 2025, the bottom of the Tariff War.
Given that this is just above the bottom of the Rectangle, it constitutes a very strong Buy Signal. We have seen 4 Bullish Legs initiating on this level within this pattern and they all reached at least the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level. As a result, our current Target on DAX is 24350.
Notice also how the 1D RSI has also entered its own Support Zone.
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๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ
๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐
DAX falling resistance at 24095The DAX is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the falling resistance, suggesting a temporary relief rally within the downtrend.
Key resistance is located at 23940, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
A bearish rejection from 23940 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 23600, followed by 23430 and 23285 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 23940 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 24095, then 24217.
Conclusion:
The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the price breaks and holds above 23940. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DAX weekly pivot map for 3 to 7 November 2025Why this matters
Next week is a sequence market. Final PMIs set tone. Germany prints factory orders and industrial production. The week closes with the U.S. jobs report. That mix often compresses ranges around fair value until something cracks. So the plan is one grid, two scenarios, three rules.
Chart to publish
Timeframe 1H on GER40. Add a single grid from last week Xetra cash.
High 24 348.59. Low 23 922.95. Close 23 958.30.
Pivot 24 076.61. R1 24 230.28. R2 24 502.25. R3 24 655.92.
S1 23 804.64. S2 23 650.97. S3 23 379.00.
Optional helpers. VWAP. Cumulative delta. No extra overlays. Keep it clean so the levels do the talking.
What I am watching on tape
How price behaves around the pivot during quiet periods. The first pass into R1 or S1 without a fresh release often mean reverts. If a surprise hits, the grid becomes a runway for extension. The job is not to predict. The job is to recognise when ranges are intact and when a genuine break is underway.
Catalysts and session notes
Germany releases often land near 08:00 CET. Factory orders midweek. Industrial production the day after. The U.S. Employment Situation prints Friday at 08:30 ET. That one moves global curves and the euro which feeds back into exporters. I do not hold risk through the print. I would rather enter the follow through once the first sweep finishes.
Levels that matter this week
Pivot 24 076 is the magnet. Above it the burden of proof is on sellers. Below it buyers need time to build. R1 24 230 is the first supply pocket. R2 24 502 lines up with prior supply. R3 24 656 sits just under the recent extremes. On the downside S1 23 805 is first support. S2 23 651 is where momentum sellers usually engage. S3 23 379 is the stress zone if the week turns heavy.
Two simple scenarios
Scenario A soft landing tone
PMIs steady. Orders stabilise. Production improves. Payrolls strong enough but wages calm. The tape accepts price above the pivot and north of R1. Tactics. Buy pullbacks into 24 080 to 24 120 with a hard stop under 23 980. First take-profit at R1. Trail into the 24 330 pocket. If R2 breaks on confirmation keep a runner toward 24 650 to 24 770 where supply stacked recently. The idea is to let the market pay you for being patient near the magnet then step aside if the grid stops working.
Scenario B growth scare tone
PMIs revise down. Orders miss. Production disappoints. Payrolls hot on wages. Sellers defend R1 and the euro wobbles. Tactics. Sell failed bounces close to 24 230 with a stop above 24 330. First target the pivot. Add only on a clean loss of 23 980. Manage into S2 and be pragmatic near S3 because volatility tends to spike there.
How to trade the grid
Entry
I anchor on 1H structure. I drill down to 15m for the trigger. I want acceptance around the level. That means a pause, a clean candle close, and a little confirmation from volume. Chasing the very first touch is optional and usually a worse price unless the day is a trend day.
Risk
Fixed R works. Use a small stop around the other side of the level. I like 0.5 R stops and 1.0 R first targets. On days with a data print I cut size in half or I skip the first twenty minutes. The easiest way to survive event weeks is to size for the noise and accept that some moves will run without you.
Adds and exits
Adds only after partials are banked. No martingale. I scale out at the next grid line or at VWAP if the run stalls. I do not marry a view. If the grid stops behaving I go flat and wait for the next high quality test.
Why this works
These weekly levels attract flow. Dealers manage hedges around them. When the tape is balanced the pivot acts like gravity. When the tape is imbalanced the break through R2 or S2 gives you a repeatable context to join the side that is pressing. You are not forecasting. You are responding with a simple structure.
Rules to pin on the chart
โข Fade the first clean touch of R1 or S1 back to the pivot if no high impact release is due within the next hour.
โข Trade breakouts only on a firm thirty minute close above R2 or below S2 with volume support and a positive delta profile.
โข Stay flat into red events. Flat at least five minutes before the U.S. jobs report. Reassess after the first sweep.
Instrument
GER40 on the 1H chart. If you execute futures on Eurex or a CFD feed, tiny price differences do not change the grid. Rebuild the levels each weekend from the cash high low close so the numbers stay honest.
Mindset
The grid is a map. It tells you where to look. Your edge comes from taking the same trade the same way every time. Good process first. P and L follows.
Education only.
"DAX 40 Strategy Map โ Multi-Layer Entries & Thief Twist"๐ GERMANY 40 Index Market Wealth Strategy Map (Swing/Day Trade)
Ladies & Gentlemen (aka Thief OGโs ๐), hereโs my fresh DAX roadmap.
๐ Plan (Bullish Bias):
Triangular Moving Average 382 broken upwards โ
CCI Oscillator flashing a Golden Cross โก
Both signals together = bullish confirmation.
๐ฏ Entry (Thief Layer Strategy):
This is not a single-entry plan. Instead, Iโm layering multiple buy-limit levels:
23800, 23900, 24000, 24100
(You can increase layers if market structure supports it.)
This layering method (Thief Strategy) spreads risk and improves average entry.
๐ก๏ธ Stop Loss (Thief Guardrail):
My SL marker: 23700
โ ๏ธ Note: This is my personal map, not financial advice. You can adjust according to your own risk appetite.
๐ฐ Target (Take Profit Zone):
Primary Exit: 24600
Strong barricade & resistance near 24700 ๐จ (watch out for overbought trap).
Idea: escape with profits before the police (market sellers) block the road!
๐ Correlations & Watchlist:
FOREXCOM:GER40 (Germany 40 Index)
XETR:DAX (cash market ticker)
CAPITALCOM:DE40 (futures contracts)
ICMARKETS:STOXX50 (Euro Stoxx 50 correlation)
SP:SPX / NASDAQ:NDX (U.S indices often influence DAX intraday flow)
FX:EURUSD (currency correlation can impact European equities via euro strength/weakness)
Keeping an eye on global risk sentiment is essential โ strong U.S. momentum often supports DAX upside.
โจ โIf you find value in my analysis, a ๐ and ๐ boost is much appreciated โ it helps me share more setups with the community!โ
๐ Disclaimer:
This is a Thief-style trading strategy โ designed for fun, educational purposes, and market mapping only. This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
#GER40 #DAX #Germany40 #SwingTrade #DayTrading #IndexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #ThiefStrategy #TradingView
GER40 at a Crossroads: Parabolic Breakout or Exhaustion Top? ๐ฉ๐ช GER40 DAX INDEX | Premium Technical Analysis & Trading Blueprint | 23,967.9 ๐ฉ๐ช
๐ INSTITUTIONAL MULTI-TIMEFRAME MASTERCLASS | NOVEMBER 3-7, 2025 FORECAST ๐
Current Level: 23,967.9 | Analysis Date: November 1, 2025, 00:54 UTC+4
Hey, TradingView fam! ๐ The German powerhouse, GER40, has put on a spectacular show, closing the week at a mighty 23,967.9 . After such a vertical ascent, traders are rightfully asking: Is this the start of a new parabolic phase, or are we witnessing a massive exhaustion top in the making? The upcoming week, from November 3rd to 7th, is poised to give us the answer.
Let's dissect the charts across multiple timeframes, combining timeless theories with key indicators to map out the strategic path forward for both intraday and swing traders. ๐งญ
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๐ฏ STRATEGIC MARKET INTELLIGENCE OVERVIEW
The German DAX Index commands attention at 23,967.9 , positioning at a pivotal technical crossroads that will define European equity direction through Q4 2025. Our sophisticated multi-dimensional analysis reveals cautious optimism with breakout potential as the index tests critical resistance near the psychological 24,000 barrier. This week's confluence of ECB policy implications, US election spillover, and technical setups creates exceptional risk-reward opportunities for prepared traders.
Institutional Support Architecture: ๐ก๏ธ
Immediate Foundation: 23,900 - 23,920 (Algo bid zone)
Secondary Cushion: 23,850 - 23,870 (Volume-weighted support)
Critical Platform: 23,750 - 23,780 (Weekly pivot cluster)
Major Fortress: 23,650 - 23,680 (Psychological & structural)
Resistance Target Matrix: ๐ฏ
First Hurdle: 24,000 - 24,020 (Psychological barrier)
Secondary Wall: 24,100 - 24,120 (Pattern objective)
Breakout Zone: 24,200 - 24,250 (Extension target)
Major Milestone: 24,350 - 24,400 (Monthly target)
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๐ WEEKLY TIMEFRAME (1W) - MACRO STRUCTURAL ANALYSIS
Elliott Wave Supercycle Mapping: ๐
Currently navigating Wave 4 consolidation within larger Wave (5) of the supercycle advance. The shallow retracement (38.2% Fibonacci) suggests underlying strength with Wave 5 targeting 24,500-24,800 . Alternative count places us in Wave B of corrective ABC - monitor 23,650 for bearish confirmation.
Primary Scenario: Wave 4 complete, Wave 5 underway to 24,500+
Alternative: Wave B top forming, Wave C decline to 23,200
Invalidation Level: Weekly close below 23,500
Time Projection: Completion by mid-November
Wyckoff Distribution/Re-Accumulation: ๐
Critical Juncture - Phase B/C Transition
- Preliminary Supply (PSY): 24,100 tested
- Buying Climax (BC): 24,150 rejection
- Automatic Reaction (AR): 23,750 held
- Secondary Test (ST): Current 23,967
- Upthrust pending: Above 24,000
Ichimoku Cloud European Perspective: โ๏ธ
Tenkan-sen: 23,885 (9-period support)
Kijun-sen: 23,820 (26-period base)
Senkou Span A: 23,950 (cloud resistance)
Senkou Span B: 23,780 (cloud support)
Chikou Span: Neutral (at price level)
Cloud Status: Thin, potential twist ahead
Advanced Harmonic Configuration: ๐ฆ
Emerging Bullish Shark pattern with precision measurements:
- 0 Point: 23,450 (October low)
- X Point: 24,150 (October high)
- A Point: 23,650 (retracement low)
- B Point: 23,967 (current - 0.618 XA)
- C Target: 23,750 (1.13 AB extension)
- D Completion: 24,350 (0.886 XC)
Gann Master Analysis: ๐
Price respecting 3x1 Gann angle from September base. Critical Gann levels:
- Current angle support: 23,920
- 45-degree resistance: 24,050
- Square of 9 target: 24,144
- Time cycle: November 6 (+/- 1 day)
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๐ DAILY TIMEFRAME (1D) - SWING TRADING COMMAND
Japanese Candlestick Intelligence: ๐ฏ๏ธ
Yesterday's Hanging Man at resistance warns of potential reversal. Critical observation for today:
- Close above 24,000 = Bullish Engulfing invalidates reversal
- Close below 23,900 = Bearish Confirmation
- Doji formation = Continued indecision
Master Pattern Recognition:
Ascending Triangle approaching apex:
- Horizontal resistance: 24,000-24,020
- Rising support: Currently at 23,880
- Breakout target: 24,320 (320-point measured move)
- Volume requirement: 30% above 20-day average
- False breakout risk: High due to round number
Bollinger Bands Configuration: ๐
Upper Band: 24,015 (kissing price)
Middle Band (20-SMA): 23,870 (dynamic support)
Lower Band: 23,725 (oversold boundary)
Band Width: Contracting (squeeze alert)
%B Reading: 0.89 (upper band test)
RSI Momentum Analysis:
Daily RSI: 64 (approaching overbought)
Bearish divergence forming vs price highs
Support trend line: 55 level
Resistance: 70 level (6 points away)
Volume Profile Insights: ๐
- High Volume Node: 23,850-23,900
- Point of Control: 23,875
- Value Area High: 23,950
- Value Area Low: 23,800
- Low Volume Gap: 24,020-24,080 (breakout zone)
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
โก 4-HOUR TIMEFRAME (4H) - TACTICAL FRAMEWORK
Dow Theory Application: โ
Primary Trend: Bullish (higher highs maintained)
Secondary Trend: Consolidation/Distribution question
Minor Trend: Testing resistance
Volume Pattern: Declining on rallies (caution)
Confirmation needed: Break above 24,020
DAX/STOXX correlation: Diverging (warning)
Moving Average Configuration:
EMA 8: 23,945 (micro support)
EMA 21: 23,915 (short-term support)
EMA 50: 23,880 (medium support)
SMA 100: 23,825 (strong support)
SMA 200: 23,750 (major trend support)
Golden Cross: EMA 50 above SMA 100 โ
Chart Pattern Alert: ๐จ
Rising Wedge formation - bearish implications:
- Upper trendline: 23,980-24,000
- Lower trendline: 23,850-23,870
- Breakdown target: 23,700
- Invalidation: Close above 24,020
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๐ช 1-HOUR TIMEFRAME (1H) - PRECISION ENTRY MATRIX
Micro Pattern Development: ๐ฌ
Triple Top formation at 23,980:
- First top: 23,975 (Monday)
- Second top: 23,982 (Wednesday)
- Third top: 23,978 (Friday)
- Neckline support: 23,920
- Breakdown target: 23,860
VWAP Trading Framework:
Daily VWAP: 23,952
Weekly VWAP: 23,895
Monthly VWAP: 23,810
Upper Band 1: 23,985 (resistance)
Upper Band 2: 24,018 (strong resistance)
Lower Band 1: 23,919 (support)
Lower Band 2: 23,886 (strong support)
Support & Resistance Precision:
R4: 24,050 (Major resistance)
R3: 24,020 (Round number)
R2: 23,990 (Pattern resistance)
R1: 23,975 (Immediate ceiling)
PIVOT: 23,967.9 (Current)
S1: 23,950 (Micro support)
S2: 23,920 (Neckline)
S3: 23,890 (Strong support)
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โก 30-MINUTE SCALPING LABORATORY (30M)
Microstructure Dynamics: ๐ฏ
Range-bound channel :
- Upper boundary: 23,975-23,985
- Middle pivot: 23,950-23,955
- Lower boundary: 23,925-23,935
- Breakout pending: 70% probability upward
European Session Dynamics: ๐
Frankfurt Open (08:00 CET):
- Average range: 40-50 points
- Directional bias: First 30 minutes
London Overlap (09:00 GMT):
- Volatility spike: 60-80 points
- Best scalping window
US Premarket Impact (13:30 CET):
- Range expansion: 80-100 points
Scalping Execution Zones:
Buy Zones:
โข Zone A: 23,945-23,950 (VWAP test)
โข Zone B: 23,925-23,930 (Channel bottom)
โข Zone C: 23,900-23,905 (Strong bid)
Sell Zones:
โข Zone A: 23,975-23,980 (Triple top)
โข Zone B: 23,990-23,995 (Resistance cluster)
โข Zone C: 24,010-24,015 (Major resistance)
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
๐ 15-MINUTE & 5-MINUTE ULTRA-SCALPING
15-Minute Momentum Setup: โก
Bull Flag micro pattern:
- Pole: 23,920 to 23,970 (50 points)
- Flag: 23,955-23,965 consolidation
- Breakout trigger: 23,968
- Quick target: 24,000 (+32 points)
- Stop: 23,950 (-18 points)
5-Minute Algorithm Signals:
Long Conditions:
RSI(5) oversold (<25) + VWAP bounce = BUY
MACD bullish cross + Volume spike = BUY
EMA(8) > EMA(21) + Pullback = BUY
Short Conditions:
RSI(5) overbought (>75) + Resistance = SELL
MACD bearish cross + High volume = SELL
Failed breakout at 24,000 = SELL
Management:
TP: 15-20 points | SL: 10-12 points
Max hold: 10 minutes | Trail: 8 points
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
๐
WEEKLY STRATEGIC PLAYBOOK (NOVEMBER 3-7, 2025)
Monday, November 3: ๐
Gap-up potential to 24,000 test
Strategy: Sell resistance, buy 23,920 dips
Key levels: 23,920 support, 24,000 resistance
Expected range: 80 points
Tuesday, November 4: ๐ณ๏ธ
US Election volatility spillover to DAX
Strategy: Wide stops, reduced size
Potential range: 23,750-24,100 (350 points!)
Correlation with US futures critical
Wednesday, November 5: ๐ฅ
Post-election directional resolution
Strategy: Trade breakout with conviction
Bullish above 24,050 โ Target 24,200
Bearish below 23,850 โ Target 23,700
Thursday, November 6: ๐
ECB officials speaking + German data
Strategy: Fade initial moves
Expected consolidation: 23,900-24,000
Focus on European session
Friday, November 7: ๐ฏ
Weekly close crucial for next week's bias
Strategy: Position for weekly close
Above 24,000 = Bullish continuation
Below 23,900 = Bearish reversal
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
โ๏ธ PROFESSIONAL RISK MANAGEMENT SYSTEM
Intraday Risk Parameters: ๐ก๏ธ
Position size: 0.5-1% account risk
Risk-Reward: Minimum 1:2, target 1:3
Daily stop: -2% maximum loss
Consecutive losses: 3 max, then pause
Profit protection: Trail at 60% gain
Breakeven: Move stop at +15 points
Correlation monitor: Watch US futures
Swing Position Framework: ๐ผ
Core position: 40% at 23,900-23,920
Scale-in: 30% at 23,850, 30% at 23,800
Stop loss: Below 23,750 (all positions)
Target 1: 24,050 (25% exit)
Target 2: 24,150 (35% exit)
Target 3: 24,250 (25% exit)
Runner: 24,350+ (15% hold)
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
๐ด RISK SCENARIOS & CONTINGENCIES
Bearish Triggers: ๐ป
30-min close below 23,950 = Micro caution
Hourly close below 23,920 = Intraday bearish
4H close below 23,880 = Swing bearish
Daily close below 23,800 = Trend concern
Weekly close below 23,650 = Major reversal
European Risk Factors: ๐ฆข
โข ECB policy surprises (100+ point moves)
โข German economic data shocks
โข EU political developments
โข Energy crisis escalation
โข Banking sector concerns
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
๐ ELITE CONFLUENCE TRADING ZONES
Optimal Buy Zone: โ
23,880-23,920
(Multi-timeframe support + Fibonacci 61.8% + VWAP + Moving averages)
Premium Sell Zone: โ
23,990-24,020
(Triple top + Round number + Bollinger Band + Wedge resistance)
Breakout Trigger: ๐
24,020-24,050
(Pattern completion + Resistance break + Volume confirmation)
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
๐ MASTER TRADER'S VERDICT
The DAX at 23,967.9 stands at a critical inflection point with the psychological 24,000 level acting as the decisive battleground. Technical indicators suggest cautious bullish bias but with increasing distribution signals. The week ahead demands disciplined execution and nimble position management.
Top 3 High-Probability Setups: ๐ฏ
Range Trade: Buy 23,900, Sell 23,980 (Multiple touches)
Breakout Long: Above 24,020 โ Target 24,150 (Clear skies)
Reversal Short: Triple top failure at 23,980 โ Target 23,850
Trading Wisdom: ๐ง
The DAX rewards patience at extremes. Trade the range until proven otherwise. Respect the 24,000 psychological level.
"The European markets dance to their own rhythm - master the tempo, profit from the moves!" ๐ถ
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
๐ ACTIONABLE INTELLIGENCE BRIEFING
Range-bound action between 23,850-24,020 until catalyst emerges. US election spillover likely to provide directional resolution. Accumulate dips toward 23,900 for upside potential to 24,200+.
Trade European hours. Respect correlations. Profit consistently. ๐ฐ
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
#DAX #GER40 #DAX40 #TechnicalAnalysis #Trading #EuropeanMarkets #Indices #DayTrading #SwingTrading #ElliottWave #Wyckoff #HarmonicPatterns #ECB #Frankfurt #GermanStocks #STOXX #EuropeTrading #TradingView #MarketAnalysis #Forex #MarketForecast
๐ Follow for Premium European Market Analysis | Prรคzision โข Disziplin โข Profit ๐
Risk Notice: Trading carries significant risk of loss. This analysis is educational only. Past performance does not predict future results. Conduct your own research and apply proper risk management.
Bearish Momentum Building on GER40 โ Continuation or Trap?๐ฆนโโ๏ธ GERMANY 40 (GER40) โ Smart Money Flow Blueprint ๐ฐ | Bearish Swing Setup
๐งญ Market Context
Hey Thief OGs & market heroes ๐งโโ๏ธ,
Welcome to another precision strike setup on the ๐ฉ๐ช GERMANY 40 Index (GER40).
The price action has triggered a Triangular Moving Average (382) breakdown โ
confirming a bearish money-flow shift below dynamic support.
Letโs decode the play ๐
๐ Trade Blueprint (Swing Trade Plan)
๐งฉ Structure: Bearish bias confirmed โ
โก Trigger: TMA-382 breakout below dynamic support
๐ฏ Strategy: Layered Sell Limit Entries (Thief-style entry stacking)
๐ธ Entry Layers:
๐งฑ 24 100โโขโ๐ 24 050โโขโ๐ฏ 24 000
(You can add more layers based on your own risk appetite)
๐ Stop-Loss: ๐ Thiefโs SL @ 24 250
๐ฏ Take-Profit Target: ๐ฐ 23 700 โ dynamic support + oversold trap zone
๐ก Thief Strategy Notes
โLayer it like a pro, exit like a ghost ๐ปโ
โข Multiple sell-limit layers help you catch volatility with precision โ๏ธ
โข TMA serves as a dynamic moving structure โ not a static line.
โข Breakdown of support = momentum shift confirmed ๐ป
โข Clear risk/reward logic โ structured SL & TP = disciplined flow ๐ฏ
โข Bearish bias remains intact while price holds under 24 100
๐ Correlation Radar & Related Pairs to Watch
Stay alert to cross-market clues ๐ง
๐ Correlation Asset Key Observation
๐บ๐ธ US30 (Dow Jones) Often mirrors GER40 momentum โ if Dow dips, GER40 tends to follow.
๐ฌ๐ง FTSE100 European equity sentiment confirmation โ weakness = bearish confidence boost.
๐ถ EUR/USD Strong Euro = export pressure โ GER40 downside bias continuation.
๐ง Why This Setup Makes Sense
โข TMA 382 breakout = momentum confirmation ๐
โข Dynamic support break = structure shift ๐
โข Layered entries = better average fill ๐
โข SL = clear risk โข TP = logical oversold zone ๐ฏ
โข Cross-asset watchlist keeps you aligned with global money flow ๐
โ ๏ธ Risk & Personal Choice
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OGs) โ
Iโm not recommending you copy my stop-loss or take-profit.
Theyโre purely my levels for analysis reference only.
Trade responsibly. You make the call, you take the bag or the gold ๐ผโจ
๐งพ Quick Recap
๐ฆนโโ๏ธ Strategy: Multi-Sell-Limit Layering
๐ Bias: Bearish below 24 100
๐ฃ Entries: 24 100 โข 24 050 โข 24 000
๐ Stop: 24 250
๐ฏ Target: 23 700
๐งญ Setup Type: TMA Breakout + Dynamic Support Breakdown
๐ Correlation Focus: US30 โข FTSE100 โข EUR/USD
โจ โIf you find value in my analysis, a ๐ and ๐ boost is much appreciated โ it helps me share more setups with the community!โ
#GER40 #Germany40 #DAX #Indices #BearishSetup #SwingTrade #SmartMoney #LayeringStrategy #ThiefTrader #MarketFlow #TMA #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #ChartSetup #RiskManagement
DAX sideways consolidation ahead of ECB rate decision. The DAX remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action indicating a potential overbought pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 23970 โ a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 23970 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
24490 โ initial resistance
24580 โ psychological and structural level
24770 โ extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 23970 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
23870 โ minor support
23770 โ stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Dax40 holds above 23970. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DAX uptrend breakout continuation supported at 23970The DAX remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action indicating a potential overbought pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 23970 โ a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 23970 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
24490 โ initial resistance
24580 โ psychological and structural level
24770 โ extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 23970 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
23870 โ minor support
23770 โ stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Dax40 holds above 23970. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GER40 Review October 28 2025Short-term price movement ideas.
The price has reached the daily zone of interest and performed a liquidity sweep there, which triggered a bearish move and created conditions for its further continuation.
At the moment, we have a 1H short order flow. If the price confirms the last 1H break-to-sell (BtS), we can then consider opening a position aiming for a continuation toward the 4H low.
Be flexible, adapt to the market, and the results will come quickly. Good luck to everyone.
GER30 | Multi-Timeframe Bullish Expansion SetupThe Market Flow | October 27, 2025
Technical Overview
Weekly:
โข The weekly bullish trend remains intact, sustaining above prior structural pivots.
โข Structure continues its expansion phase, with higher lows forming consistent with the broader bullish bias.
Daily:
โข The daily trend has started its transitioned into bullish after reclaiming and closing above the previous breakdown level.
โข Wave structure confirms alignment with the weekly expansion path.
โข Bias continues long as momentum builds toward upper clean H4 structures.
H4:
โข H4 bullish trend confirmed, supported by a sequence of higher pivots.
โข Current structure originated from the H4 pivot zone, now acting as the foundation for the next expansion leg.
โข Fibonacci extensions show progressive resistance targets
H1:
โข Previous H1 countertrend was broken from the H4 pivot zone, confirming re-entry into the bullish structure.
โข New pivot formed and validated by crossing the previous H1 pivot, establishing continuation bias in favor of the higher timeframe trend.
Trade Structure & Levels
โข Bias: Long above 24,219.32 (H4 pivot zone)
โข Trigger = Break above 24,325.60 (highest clean H1 breakdown - "EXP")
โข Primary Invalidation = H4 pivot at 24,219.32
โข Secondary Invalidation = Daily pivot near 23,990.21
โข Path โ 24,450.60 โ 24,556.25 โ 24,625.80
โข Phase: Accumulation
Risk & Event Context
โข Index behavior may remain sensitive to European earnings season and macro data releases (inflation, ECB commentary).
โข Volatility spikes likely around key US macro events.
Conclusion
Multi-timeframe alignment confirms a resuming bullish expansion above the Expansion level. With both H4 and Daily trends synchronized above active pivots, the path remains upward toward 24,625.80 while 24,218.30 holds as the key structural invalidation.
DAX40 (GER40) INDEX TECHNICAL MASTERCLASS ๐ DAX40 (GER40) INDEX TECHNICAL MASTERCLASS | Oct 27-31, 2025 | ELITE Trading Roadmap ๐
Current Price: 24,221.9 | Strategy: Intraday Swing Trading | Timeframes: 5M โ 1D Analysis โฐ
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
๐ช DAILY (1D) ANALYSIS - DAX Swing Trade Framework
DAX40 on the daily timeframe is displaying STRONG CONSOLIDATION AFTER BULLISH IMPULSE near 24,100-24,150 support offering CLEAN swing trade entries this week!
Gann theory angles from September lows converge at 24,400-24,500 resistance zone = MAJOR BREAKOUT TARGET identified! ๐ฏ
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
โก 4-HOUR (4H) SWING TRADE BLUEPRINT - PRIMARY ENTRY ZONE
The 4H timeframe is showing TEXTBOOK BREAKOUT FORMATION SETUP!






















