Market Noise That Traps Retail Traders1. What Is News Trading?
News trading is a strategy where traders take positions based on the expected market reaction to economic events or announcements. These events can be:
Economic data (GDP, inflation, interest rates, unemployment)
Central bank decisions (RBI, Fed, ECB meetings)
Corporate earnings and guidance
Mergers, acquisitions, buybacks
Global geopolitical developments
Commodity reports (OPEC meetings, inventory data)
Government policies and regulations
News changes market expectations, and markets move on expectations — that’s the core idea behind news trading.
2. What Is “Noise” and Why Is It Dangerous?
Noise is any information that creates confusion without adding value.
Examples of noise:
Clickbait headlines (“Market to crash 20%?”)
Social media hype (Twitter/X rumors)
WhatsApp university “insider news”
Delayed news after the market has already reacted
TV channel opinions that change every minute
Over-analysis without data
Emotional panic or euphoria from retail traders
Noise causes wrong decisions, late entries, and over-trading.
Professional traders avoid it by sticking to verified, timely, and market-moving information.
3. Why Most Retail Traders Fail in News Trading
Retail traders often:
React after the move has already happened
Trade based on emotions, not data
Follow misleading social media posts
Don’t understand whether news is actually important
Lack a prepared plan before events
Cannot interpret the deviation between expected and actual data
Professional traders, on the other hand, plan days ahead and execute in seconds.
4. How to Trade News Without Noise – The Clean Process
The core idea is: Be prepared before the news, respond instantly to real numbers, avoid emotional reactions.
Here’s the step-by-step process:
Step 1: Know Which News Actually Matters
Not all news moves markets. Learn to classify news into:
High Impact News
RBI policy meetings
US Federal Reserve meetings
Inflation data (CPI, WPI)
GDP growth numbers
Employment data
Major earnings announcements
Geopolitical tensions (war, sanctions, oil shocks)
Medium Impact News
Industrial production
Services PMI, Manufacturing PMI
Consumer sentiment
Smaller corporate updates
Low Impact News
Minister speeches
General opinions
Minor announcements
Over-analyzed TV commentary
Rule: Focus only on news with real economic consequences.
Step 2: Prepare a News Calendar
Before the week starts, create a watchlist of events:
Date
Time
Expected numbers
Previous numbers
Expected market reaction
Tools to use:
Economic calendars
Earnings calendars
OPEC & inventory calendars
RBI/Fed meeting schedules
Preparation removes confusion and reduces noise.
Step 3: Understand “Expectations vs Reality”
Markets don’t react to news itself; they react to the difference between expected and actual results.
Example:
If inflation is expected at 5% but comes at 5.4%, markets fall.
If it comes at 4.7%, markets rise.
This deviation is called “surprise factor.”
Professional traders instantly measure this deviation and take positions.
Step 4: Use the 10-Second Rule During News
During major announcements:
Avoid trading in the first 10 seconds
Let the initial volatility settle
Watch the direction that forms after the first burst
This protects you from:
Whipsaws
False breakouts
High spreads
Stop-loss hunting
Clean news trading happens when you allow the dust to settle.
Step 5: Read Market Reaction, Not Headlines
Instead of reacting to headlines, look at:
Price action
Volume
Market structure
Order flow
Option chain (PCR, IV crush, delta shift)
Markets sometimes reverse the initial move when the news is already priced in.
Price is the real truth.
Step 6: Have a Pre-Defined Plan
Before the news releases, decide:
If number is better → buy or go long
If number is worse → sell or go short
If number meets expectations → avoid trading
This clarity eliminates emotional decisions.
Step 7: Avoid Social Media & TV Noise
Once news is released, social feeds explode with:
Panic
Rumors
Emotional reactions
Incorrect interpretations
Professionals ignore all this and stick to data and price.
5. Tools and Indicators to Reduce Noise in News Trading
These tools help you filter real movements from noise:
1. Volume Profile
Shows if the move has real institutional participation or just retail panic.
2. Market Structure
Identifies:
break of structure (BOS)
change of character (CHOCH)
real trend direction
3. Volatility Indicators
ATR (Average True Range)
Implied volatility (IV)
They help you avoid fake spikes.
4. Liquidity Zones
News often sweeps liquidity before moving in the real direction.
5. Option Chain Analysis
IV Crush
Rapid delta movement
Change in OI
PCR shift
This gives instant information on institutional positioning.
6. Best Markets for News Trading
Forex Market
Most sensitive to:
interest rate decisions
inflation
employment data
Stock Market
Most sensitive to:
earnings
M&A news
regulatory changes
Commodity Market
React to:
crude oil inventory
OPEC decisions
weather reports (for agri commodities)
Index Futures (Nifty, Bank Nifty)
React strongly to:
RBI policy
global cues
geopolitical risk
These markets give clean opportunities during news.
7. Common Mistakes to Avoid
Trading BEFORE the news – high risk
Entering too late AFTER the move – trap
Following hype and rumors
Not using stop-loss
Taking too large position sizes
Over-trading due to excitement
Ignoring the bigger trend
Avoiding these mistakes helps you trade news without getting caught in noise.
8. Risk Management for News Trading
News trading is profitable only with strict risk rules:
Keep position size small (1–2%)
Use stop-loss every time
Avoid averaging losers
Take profits quickly
Never hold weak trades through big events
News moves fast; your risk control must be even faster.
9. How Professionals Maintain Clarity
Top traders follow this checklist:
They prepare for news
They track expectations, not opinions
They avoid emotions
They follow price action
They execute as per plan
They ignore noisy sources
They use data, not predictions
This is why their entries are clean and exits are disciplined.
Conclusion
Trading news without noise is all about clarity, preparation, discipline, and data-based decisions.
Instead of reacting to hype, you follow a structured process:
Identify high-impact news
Study expectations
Wait for real numbers
Confirm with price action
Execute clean trades
Manage risk tightly
When done properly, news trading can give some of the best and fastest profits in the market. When done emotionally, it becomes the fastest way to lose money.
Gloves
SUPERMX - Broken support and headed towards RM1 regionPer my tagged previous post on MYX:SUPERMX , everything seems to be going per planned and as expected. Targeting the the support region of RM1.00 for this ticker. Good luck.
I am in no way a market pro. I don't read any fundamentals/news or analysts reports. Everything here is based on charts.
TOPGLOV - Target revised lowerFollowing my 6 September post on this ticker, MYX:TOPGLOV has moved according to my prediction and is on track to reach the target. I have made some mistakes in estimating the target of RM2.30 earlier, but in this post, I have revised the target to around the RM2.00-RM1.80 region.
Good luck.
Selling pressure is in HARTA
*refer to the image link*
Today HARTA is trading with high volume at the high price in the morning, while price is not marking higher.
This indicates the big boys have no intention to mark the price higher & a price retracement is on the way.
High volume price down happens around 11:40 & 12:15 shows the selling pressure is in.
We see a few glove makers are having the same price & volume movement. Today shows the first day of high volume sell down within the day. We expect price retrace in the next few days.
Harta. fundamentalist should learn how to read chart. 10/May/22Harta. Just posted a “quarterly earning in lost” for the 1st time in “history”! since it was listed. So...so..Sell the “news”? Or buy the “rumors”?..Most Traders/ Investors Trade based on “news”.. if they can’t read one. They “create” their own ..falling into “own illusion “ just try to “ convince “ themselves to buy certain equity with their own “bias”...We’re not the boss or the directors of the listed company..Whatever “balance sheet” presented is sometime/somehow is for xxxx only....chart reflected the “hidden agenda”.. News is just “the timing”....Doesn’t matter is good/bad fundamentals news...
Cyclical stocks & 5 elements (e.g : Palm Plantation) 22/2/22Today not just "The Sun Calendar" is all 22 BUT Lunar calendar day also 22) = - The Practice of Chinese Core Five Elements Concepts for picking up Cyclical stocks ? Showing here is Malaysia Plantation Index ( Mainly Palm Oil Plantation ) .. It seem like The Index showing "up trend" when entering "Water Element" months of Lunar Calendar? Why?! Water "Growing/Generating" Plants? Show logical?...
AND it show "down trend" when entering "Metal Element" months.. I'm puzzling why?! Metal " Carving/ Counteracting" Woods?.. Show logic?..Hmmmm... Then How about "Earth Months".. Look like "side ways/no obvious trend" market.. Why? Plants need to "use/consume" its "energy" to Hold the "earth", Stopping "landslide"?....Hmmmm. How about Glove Stocks?! Either Rubber Tree, or Nitrile, Latex, and Vinyl Gloves under "wood elements" category.. Hmmm.. Look like the next up trend going to be "glove stocks""...
TOPGLOV target hit as previously expected (Told you so)MYX:TOPGLOV has hit my second expected target of RM2.00 yesterday.
First target RM2.30 and was spot on achieved in early November 2021. I started following this name since November 22, 2020 and has been posting numerous posts and warnings of it coming down. Yet I get laughed at with people saying how can a profitable company fall to RM2 from a whopping RM7+ after bonus issue?
Well, look at how it fell. To me, whether the company is profitable or not, it doesn't really matter, because prices are moved by supply and demand. It doesn't matter at all if its a profitable company or not, fact is it is sliding down, the actual question you should ask is what are you going to do about it given that it is sliding down. Not sit there and continue to be in denial hoping it will make a comeback and continue to gather all possible news to support your bagholding. That's living in denial.
Hope we learn a lesson from this.
Expecting it to hover around RM1.80-RM2.00 for now. Wil definitely not buy this.
TOPGLOV short term updated 1/Dec/21It doesn't matter "omicron variant" gonna get "stronger" or "weaker" than "delta variant" Or Does it matter ASP ( Average Selling Price ) Gonna "cheaper". WHat do you think one of coming world worst inflation rate will make ASP go lower?...Glove's "Economic Cycle" Gonna to run and start the engine "making money"...
Told you so (TOPGLOV chart updates)Following up with my earlier post, MYX:TOPGLOV is moving as expected towards the RM2.30 area first, with some possible support at RM2.00-RM1.80 region.
Just would like to highlight that the "Dollar-cost-averaging" method only works with uptrending stocks. When you encounter stocks that are in an underlying downtrend, implementing the averaging down method will only cause more hurt than gain.
P/S: I do not rely on income statements, balance sheets or market news. In my opinion, the information the charts present is sufficient to easily tell the probabilities of the stock moving in which direction.
RUBEREX: 0.58 as the key support areaMYX:RUBEREX has reached a key support area which is critical, breaking below this RM0.58 area will likely mean further downside for this name.
Next support all the way down to RM0.30. Good luck.
*If we could just accept that the trend has changed way back in Nov'20, it could have saved 70% in losses.
Top Glove - Rising Wedge (Bearish)Top Glove is facing strong resistance at the 50% fibo level.
Rising narrowing wedge forming and nearing the tip. Volume is also decreasing. If break below trendline, expect a major selldown and breakdown to RM3.50 (23.6% fibonacci level). This is also JP Morgan's target price.
TOPGLOV - BULLISH IMPULSE SOONWith coronavirus outbreak in 2020, glove stocks have seen immense upside.
However, since August 2020 until now (April 2021) - it has been in a lengthy correction as if there's no hope left and uncertain whether or not glove stocks could still perform in the future.
Utilizing Elliott Wave Theory, it is likely that we are about to complete a Flat Correction (A-B-C) with Ending Diagonal.
Breaking above 5.520 will likely imply that the bottom is in, and we could easily see a conservative target of 10.00
This is purely from Technical Analysis perspective, disregarding its fundamentals.






















