Get started

Gold

XAU/USD – Gold Pushes Toward 3,480 ResistanceHello everyone, last week gold had quite an impressive rally, recording a gain of around +2%, equivalent to more than $70, as the price climbed from the 3,380 area to nearly 3,450. This indicates that buying pressure continues to dominate the market. Looking at the H2 timeframe, the uptrend remains intact as the price maintains a higher high – higher low structure, combined with trading volume favoring the bulls. The 3,455–3,463 zone is acting as short-term resistance; if broken decisively, gold could extend its rally toward 3,478–3,480. On the other hand, the 3,405 area will serve as a key support; only if an H2 candle closes below this level will the bullish structure face the risk of being invalidated. The main short-term trend still leans bullish, although some technical pullbacks may occur when approaching strong resistance. What do you think about this move? Does gold have enough momentum to break resistance and extend its rally? Share your thoughts below!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EmmaChartist
7
Gold Trading Scenario – Start of the WeekGold Trading Scenario – Start of the Week Hello traders, A new week begins with gold holding steady above the 34xx zone, establishing a fresh value area. The current structure has already broken through key resistance levels on the higher timeframe – including the daily trendline and H4 barriers – confirming strong bullish momentum. The rally played out exactly as expected, reaching the target around 3450 (with a high of 3454). Price is now showing a slight pullback. This will only be seen as a trend reversal if price breaks below 3404. Otherwise, it’s simply a secondary correction in line with Dow Theory. Wave 5 may have already completed, but the ABC structure is not yet clear. For that reason, I continue to favour buying in line with the trend to maintain higher probability setups. Buy zone for today: 3408–3412. This area previously acted as resistance, but was broken on Friday and now serves as a solid support region. This is my medium-term outlook for gold at the start of the week. Take it as reference, and feel free to share your thoughts in the comments so we can discuss further.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
Gold Futures | New Month Setup – ATH on Deck?Price has been bullish all week with no significant pullbacks. Now as we step into a new month, Gold is pressing toward the previous All Time High (green line). Key Notes: Market left behind a bullish H4 FVG that could serve as a retracement zone. With Labor Day Monday (early close for NY), setups may be quieter until Tuesday. My bias: looking for a possible pullback into the FVG before continuation higher into fresh ATHs. Watching closely for price action around the previous ATH to confirm breakout or rejection.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
1
Weekly Recap – Gold (Week 34: Aug 18–25)💎MJTrading 📸 Viewing Tip: 🛠️ Some layout elements may shift depending on your screen size. 🔗 View the fixed high-resolution chart here: 📊 Market Overview TVC:GOLD started the week under pressure, extending its decline to print a weekly low at 3,311.59. The decline created a lower low (LL) and set the stage for a potential structural shift. Following the liquidity sweep below 3,326, buyers stepped in strongly, defending the blue support zone. This reversal point became the foundation for the week’s bullish recovery. 🔑 Key Highlights Liquidity Event: A deep sweep beneath support flushed weak hands before institutional demand entered. Reversal Point: Marked at the second LL, where aggressive buyers regained control. Support Zone: Held firmly, leading to a sustained bullish rally. FOMC Meeting: Served as a catalyst, triggering a breakout above 3,338.66 and confirming bullish intent. Weekly High: Gold rallied sharply into 3,378.84, breaking structural barriers and leaving behind liquidity zones ($$$). 🟢 Weekly Candle Sentiment The weekly close was strongly bullish, showing conviction after weeks of mixed momentum. The structural break confirms a shift in market intent. With buyers reclaiming control, sentiment points to further upside potential into next week, provided pullbacks remain above the 3,338–3,345 support band. 🔮 Outlook for Next Week As long as 3,338 holds, the path of least resistance remains to the upside. Short-term consolidation above support could lead to a continuation towards 3,390–3,400. A weekly strong close suggests market participants are positioning for extended bullish momentum. ✅ Summary: Week 34 showed a clean reversal from liquidity sweep → support defense → bullish breakout. With strong weekly close, the bias for next week is bullish continuation, though traders should watch for minor retracements back to support zones for potential re-entries. #Gold #Xauusd #Forex #MJTrading Psychology Always Matters:
CMCMARKETS:GOLDLong
by MJElahifx
GOLD (XAUUSD): Bullish! Look For Buys!In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the Gold (XAUUSD) for the week of Sept 1 - 15th. Gold has been ranging for months. August closed strong, above the high of July. I am looking for continuation of this bullish momentum in September. Wait for buying opportunities. Be patient. +FVGs will form, and present the best POIs for long entries. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by RT_Money
𝐌𝐓𝐗 | Buy-Side Sweet Spot in Gold’s Correction📌 From previous analysis: • We anticipated corrective pullbacks and highlighted reversal zones. • Focus was on 436–432 as the first critical support/resistance area. ⸻ 1️⃣ Key Reversal Levels There’s two scenarios in this rally: A) • 436 – 432 → First potential bullish reversal zone. • 4H close above 435 → upside continuation toward 442 → 447 → 452. B) • 4H close below 432 → decline into 420. • 420 – 415 is the strongest weekly demand zone (high-probability bullish bounce). ⸻ 2️⃣ Continues Bullish Scenario • 4H close above 454 → opens the way to 467. • Stabilization above 467 → next major upside target 484. ✴️Plus Tip: Daily closes above 420-415 zone supports the bullish momentum. ⸻ ⚖️ Summary: Gold is starting the month at a decisive zone (436–432). Holding above 435 favors further upside toward 452, while losing 432 puts the strong 420–415 demand zone into play. A confirmed breakout above 454 could accelerate the rally toward 484.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MTXmrMLK
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Sep 01 - Sep 05]This week, the international OANDA:XAUUSD price increased quite strongly from 3,352 USD/oz to 3,453 USD/oz. The reason for the continued increase in gold price is because investors are still expecting the FED to cut interest rates by 0.25% at the upcoming September meeting, as well as the conflict between the Trump administration and the FED. Next week, financial markets in the US will be closed for Labor Day on Monday. On Tuesday, the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) will release its manufacturing PMI data. The PMI is forecast to increase slightly to 48.6 in August from 48 in July. If the forecast is correct, it will have a negative impact on gold prices next week. In addition, on Friday, the US will release the August non-farm payrolls (NFP) report. If the NFP continues to decline compared to the expected 74,000 jobs, it will force the Fed to cut interest rates in September, which will have a positive impact on gold prices next week. On the contrary, a stronger-than-expected NFP growth, combined with an unchanged unemployment rate of 4.2%, could make the market tilt towards the Fed continuing to delay interest rate cuts, causing gold prices to fall next week. However, given the current US economic situation, the August NFP may continue to decline. 📌Technically, on the H4 chart, the gold price broke the Trendline and it is likely that the price will continue to increase to near the threshold of 3500 USD/oz. In case the price corrects again, it will return to the resistance zone at the threshold of 3370. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 3,430 – 3,400 – 3,371USD Resistance: 3,450 – 3,500USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3541 - 3539⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3545 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3369 - 3371⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3365
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
Gold rises strongly – Flooded in green👋Hello everyone, let’s take a look at what’s special about OANDA:XAUUSD ! Yesterday, gold continued its strong rally, climbing over 300 pips by the end of the session, fully drenched in green and now trading around $3,447. The bullish momentum gained further support as the Core PCE m/m index—anticipated in our previous analysis —was released yesterday. The result came in at 0.3% , exactly in line with forecasts and the previous reading. Since the data matched expectations, the market was not surprised. The USD didn’t surge, leaving room for gold’s stability. The main trend remains bullish, and any pullback could present an opportunity to accumulate more gold. 📈From a technical perspective: Gold is repeating last Friday’s strong rally. If the trend continues, upside momentum is still supported, though a correction is expected beforehand. The 3425 retracement level and 3405 USD support are key areas to watch as potential springboards for the next upward move. 📍Risks to note: Short-term RSI above 70 Profit-taking from investors Deeper-than-expected corrections (support levels) I remain optimistic in this analysis. What about you? Share your thoughts in the comments below!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Kevinn_Nguyen
26
# XAUUSD Gold Technical Analysis & Trading Strategy Forecast - 2# XAUUSD Gold Technical Analysis & Trading Strategy Forecast - August 2025 Comprehensive Multi-Timeframe Analysis for Intraday and Swing Trading Current Price: $3,448.12 USD (as of August 31, 2025, 16:03 UTC+4) 24H Change: +0.91% Monthly Performance: +5.31% YTD Performance: +37.77% Market Sentiment: Bullish with Momentum Consolidation --- Executive Summary Gold has reached unprecedented heights, trading above $3,400 for the first time in history. Gold rose to $3,448.50 on August 29, 2025, up 0.91% from the previous day, with prices rising 5.31% over the past month and up 37.77% compared to the same time last year. The rally toward $3,450 has been driven by increasing Federal Reserve interest rate cut bets, creating a perfect storm for precious metals appreciation. Key Technical Levels: Immediate Support: $3,380 - $3,400 (Previous resistance turned support) Critical Support: $3,300 - $3,320 (Major consolidation zone) Key Resistance: $3,480 - $3,500 (Psychological barrier) Extended Target: $3,550 - $3,600 (Next major resistance cluster) --- Market Context & Fundamental Backdrop Federal Reserve Monetary Policy Impact The US Federal Reserve held its benchmark rate in the 4.25 to 4.5 percent range during its July 2025 meeting, maintaining a cautious stance amid evolving economic conditions. Fed interest rates are driving gold toward $3,500/oz with monetary policy impacts creating significant investment opportunities. Macroeconomic Environment Fed Funds Rate: 4.25-4.50% (unchanged but dovish signals emerging) Inflation Expectations: Moderating, supporting rate cut narrative Geopolitical Tensions: Elevated, providing safe-haven demand Dollar Strength: Weakening on rate cut expectations Gold's Fundamental Drivers 1. Monetary Policy Anticipation: Market pricing in multiple Fed rate cuts 2. Currency Debasement: Continued fiscal expansion supporting hard assets 3. Institutional Demand: Central bank buying and ETF inflows 4. Technical Momentum: Breaking multi-year resistance levels --- Chart Analysis & Pattern Recognition Long-Term Structure Analysis From the daily chart provided, several key observations emerge: Major Trend Analysis: Primary Trend: Strongly bullish since October 2024 lows around $2,600 Current Phase: Explosive breakout above $3,400 resistance Trend Characteristics: Steep ascent with minimal corrections Volume Confirmation: Strong buying interest on breakouts Key Price Levels from Chart: Historical Low (Oct 2024): ~$2,580 Major Support Zone: $3,200 - $3,300 Breakout Level: $3,400 (successfully breached) Current Resistance: $3,480 - $3,500 --- Multi-Methodology Technical Analysis 1. Candlestick Pattern Analysis Recent Formation: Strong bullish momentum candles Pattern: Consecutive higher highs and higher lows Current Structure: Testing resistance with strong bodies Volume Analysis: Increasing on advances, light on corrections Momentum: Sustained buying pressure evident 2. Elliott Wave Theory Analysis Wave Structure: Completing extended Wave 5 of larger degree Primary Count: In Wave 5 of Cycle degree from 2020 lows Current Position: Extended Wave 5 targeting $3,500-$3,600 Subwave Analysis: Minor wave 3 or 5 in progress Fibonacci Extensions: - 1.618 extension: $3,520 - 2.618 extension: $3,680 Invalidation Level: Break below $3,300 would reset count 3. Harmonic Pattern Recognition Active Pattern: Bullish Deep Crab completion zone Pattern Type: Large timeframe Deep Crab from 2020 lows Completion Zone: $3,200-$3,400 (completed) Current Phase: Impulse move following harmonic completion Next Targets: - Conservative: $3,550 - Extended: $3,750 4. Wyckoff Market Cycle Analysis Current Phase: Markup Phase (Distribution Signs Monitored) Background: Institutional accumulation completed below $3,200 Current Action: Strong markup with broad participation Volume Characteristics: Healthy on advances, suspect on declines Warning Signs: Watch for climactic volume above $3,500 Distribution Alerts: Any selling on strength above $3,480 5. W.D. Gann Analysis Square of 9 Analysis: Current Position: $3,448 aligns with 225° (critical angle) Support Levels: - $3,380 (216°) - $3,317 (206°) - $3,258 (196°) Resistance Levels: - $3,516 (234°) - $3,587 (244°) - $3,662 (253°) Time Cycles: Next Major Time Window: September 12-18, 2025 Gann Angles from August Low: - 1x1 Angle: $3,420 (primary trend support) - 2x1 Angle: $3,380 (secondary support) - 1x2 Angle: $3,490 (resistance) 6. Ichimoku Kinko Hyo Analysis Cloud Status: Price strongly above Kumo with expanding cloud Tenkan-Sen (9): $3,425 (bullish signal above) Kijun-Sen (26): $3,380 (strong support) Senkou Span A: $3,400 (cloud top support) Senkou Span B: $3,320 (major cloud support) Chikou Span: Above price action confirming bullish momentum Signal Interpretation: All Ichimoku elements align bullishly --- Technical Indicators Analysis Momentum Indicators RSI (14-period) Analysis: 4H RSI: 68.5 (approaching overbought but still room) Daily RSI: 72.3 (overbought but strong trend) Weekly RSI: 78.2 (extended but not diverging) Divergence Watch: No negative divergence observed MACD Analysis: Signal: Bullish crossover confirmed on all timeframes Histogram: Expanding positive histogram Momentum: Accelerating with no signs of weakness Warning Level: Watch for divergence above $3,500 Volatility & Trend Strength Bollinger Bands (20, 2): Current Position: Upper band walk in progress Band Configuration: Expanding bands indicating strong trend Squeeze Analysis: Recent expansion from consolidation Volatility: Increasing supporting continued move Average True Range (ATR): Daily ATR: $45-55 (elevated volatility) Trend Strength: ATR expanding confirming strong trend Stop Loss Guidance: Use 2x ATR for swing positions Volume Analysis Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP): Daily VWAP: $3,420 (key support) Weekly VWAP: $3,350 (major support) Volume Profile: - High Volume Node: $3,200-$3,300 - Value Area High: $3,380 - Point of Control: $3,280 Volume Characteristics: Accumulation Evidence: Higher volume on advances Distribution Watch: Monitor volume above $3,480 Institutional Activity: Consistent buying support Moving Average Configuration Short-term Alignment: EMA 21: $3,410 (immediate support) EMA 50: $3,350 (intermediate support) SMA 100: $3,280 (major trend support) EMA 200: $3,180 (long-term trend support) Golden Cross Status: All major averages in bullish alignment --- Multi-Timeframe Trading Strategy Intraday Trading Strategy (5M - 4H) # Primary Bullish Scenario (70% Probability) Long Entry Opportunities: Entry 1: $3,420-$3,440 (VWAP support retest) Entry 2: $3,380-$3,400 (previous resistance turned support) Entry 3: $3,480+ breakout (momentum continuation) Stop Loss Levels: Aggressive: $3,380 (below key support) Conservative: $3,350 (below VWAP support) Take Profit Targets: TP1: $3,480 (immediate resistance) TP2: $3,520 (Fibonacci extension) TP3: $3,550 (psychological level) Risk-Reward Analysis: 1:3.5 average across setups # Timeframe-Specific Strategies: 5M/15M Charts: Scalping Range: $3,420-$3,480 Entry Signals: Pullbacks to 21 EMA Quick Targets: $20-30 moves 30M/1H Charts: Swing Setup: Breakout above $3,450 Targets: $3,500-$3,520 Time Horizon: 2-4 hours 4H Charts: Position Trading: Above $3,400 support Major Target: $3,600 Time Horizon: 1-2 weeks Swing Trading Strategy (Daily - Monthly) # Long-Term Bullish Campaign Position Building Strategy: Accumulation Zone: $3,350-$3,420 Core Position: 60% of intended size Add on Strength: 25% above $3,480 Final Addition: 15% on $3,500 breakout Stop Loss Management: Initial Stop: $3,280 (below monthly support) Trailing Stop: Use 21-day EMA Time Stop: Exit if no progress in 30 days Target Progression: Short-term: $3,550 (September target) Medium-term: $3,700 (Q4 2025 target) Long-term: $4,000 (2026 target) Hedging and Risk Management # Portfolio Hedging Strategies Gold Miners Hedge: - Long physical gold, short gold miners on ratio extremes - Monitor GDX/GLD ratio for opportunities Currency Hedge: - DXY inverse correlation monitoring - Consider EURUSD long positions as dollar hedge Interest Rate Hedge: - TLT positions to hedge rate cut scenarios - Monitor 10-year yield for confirmation --- Advanced Pattern Recognition Bull Trap Analysis Potential Bull Trap Zones: Level 1: $3,500-$3,520 (psychological resistance) Level 2: $3,600-$3,650 (major Fibonacci cluster) Warning Signs: - Volume divergence on new highs - RSI negative divergence - Increased volatility without progress Trap Avoidance: - Wait for volume confirmation on breakouts - Use smaller position sizes near resistance - Implement tight stops above $3,520 Bear Trap Opportunities Bear Trap Setup Levels: Primary: $3,380-$3,400 (false breakdown) Secondary: $3,300-$3,320 (major support test) Entry Strategy: Quick recovery above breakdown level Target: Previous highs plus 50% --- Sector Rotation and Correlation Analysis Gold Mining Stocks Analysis GDX/GLD Ratio: Currently extended, expect compression Individual Miners: Barrick Gold (GOLD): Leverage play on gold upside Newmont (NEM): Defensive gold exposure Strategy: Rotate from physical to miners on ratio extremes Currency Correlations USD Index (DXY): Strong negative correlation maintained EURUSD: Positive correlation with gold strengthening JPYUSD: Safe haven competition dynamic Commodity Complex Silver (XAGUSD): Lagging gold, potential catch-up trade Copper: Industrial demand indicator watch Oil: Inflation correlation monitoring --- Economic Calendar Impact Analysis High-Impact Events (September 2025) September 2-6, 2025: Tuesday: US ISM Manufacturing PMI Wednesday: ADP Employment Change Thursday: US Initial Jobless Claims Friday: Non-Farm Payrolls (Critical) Fed Related Events: September 12: Core CPI Data September 18: FOMC Meeting Minutes September 20: Fed Officials Speeches Trading Approach Around Events: - Reduce positions 2 hours before NFP - Increase hedging before FOMC minutes - Use options for event-driven strategies --- Scenario Planning & Contingency Analysis Scenario 1: Fed Cuts Aggressively (40% Probability) Trigger: 50bp rate cut in September Gold Target: $3,700-$3,800 Strategy: Maximum long exposure Timeline: 30-45 days Scenario 2: Fed Remains Hawkish (25% Probability) Trigger: No rate cuts, hawkish rhetoric Gold Target: $3,100-$3,200 retracement Strategy: Defensive positioning, reduce leverage Timeline: 2-3 weeks Scenario 3: Market Crisis/Risk-Off (20% Probability) Trigger: Geopolitical escalation or financial crisis Gold Target: $3,800-$4,000 (crisis high) Strategy: Maximum safe-haven positioning Timeline: Immediate Scenario 4: Inflation Resurgence (15% Probability) Trigger: Unexpected inflation spike Gold Target: $3,600-$3,900 Strategy: Inflation hedge positioning Timeline: 45-60 days --- Options and Derivatives Strategy Options Strategies for Gold Exposure Bull Call Spreads: Structure: Long $3,400 calls, short $3,500 calls Expiration: 30-45 days Max Profit: Limited but defined Risk: Premium paid Protective Puts: Strike: $3,300 (below major support) Expiration: Monthly Purpose: Portfolio insurance Cost: 1-2% of position value ETF and Futures Considerations Physical Gold ETFs: GLD: Largest, most liquid IAU: Lower expense ratio SGOL: Swiss storage option Gold Futures: GC Contracts: Direct price exposure Micro Gold: Smaller position sizing Margin Requirements: Monitor closely --- Technical Rating & Probability Assessment Overall Technical Rating: STRONG BUY Confidence Level: 8.5/10 Timeframe Ratings: Intraday (1H-4H): BUY (85% bullish) Short-term (Daily): STRONG BUY (90% bullish) Medium-term (Weekly): STRONG BUY (85% bullish) Long-term (Monthly): BUY (75% bullish) Key Bullish Catalysts: 1. Technical Breakout: Clean break above $3,400 resistance 2. Fed Policy: Rate cut expectations building 3. Momentum: All timeframes aligned bullishly 4. Volume: Confirming accumulation patterns Bearish Risk Factors: 1. Overextension: RSI levels stretched on weekly charts 2. Fed Hawkishness: Potential policy surprise 3. Dollar Strength: DXY recovery could pressure gold 4. Profit Taking: Natural at psychological $3,500 level --- Weekly Trading Plan & Execution Week of September 2-6, 2025 # Monday-Tuesday: Consolidation Expected Strategy: Accumulate on dips to $3,420-$3,440 Targets: $3,480 resistance test Risk Management: Tight stops below $3,400 # Wednesday-Thursday: Event Risk Management Strategy: Reduce leverage ahead of economic data Focus: Defensive positioning pre-NFP Opportunity: Post-event volatility trades # Friday: NFP Reaction Strategy Bullish NFP: Sell the news, expect pullback Bearish NFP: Add to long positions aggressively Neutral NFP: Continue trend-following approach Position Sizing Recommendations Conservative: 2-3% portfolio allocation Moderate: 5-7% portfolio allocation Aggressive: 8-12% portfolio allocation Risk per Trade: Maximum 1% of total capital --- Long-Term Investment Thesis Secular Bull Market Drivers Monetary Debasement: Continued fiat currency depreciation Geopolitical Uncertainty: Ongoing global tensions Central Bank Demand: Record official sector purchases Supply Constraints: Limited new mine development Price Targets by Timeline Q4 2025: $3,600-$3,800 Q1 2026: $3,800-$4,200 End 2026: $4,200-$4,800 2027-2028: $5,000+ potential Investment Allocation Strategy Core Holdings: 40% physical gold/ETFs Trading Position: 30% futures/options Mining Exposure: 20% quality miners Cash Reserve: 10% for opportunities --- Risk Disclaimers and Considerations Market Risks Volatility Risk: Gold can experience sharp moves Liquidity Risk: Reduced liquidity during market stress Currency Risk: USD movements affect returns Storage Risk: Physical gold storage considerations Regulatory and Tax Implications Tax Treatment: Different rules for physical vs. paper gold Reporting Requirements: Large position disclosure rules Regulatory Changes: Potential trading restrictions Technical Analysis Limitations Pattern Failure: Technical patterns can fail Black Swan Events: Unexpected market shocks Model Risk: Over-reliance on historical patterns Execution Risk: Slippage and timing issues --- Conclusion & Strategic Recommendations Gold's technical picture presents one of the most compelling bullish setups in recent history. Gold closed August with a strong daily close in premium territory, pressing into the 3460–3480 supply zone, with bulls maintaining control of momentum as September opens. Immediate Action Items: 1. Accumulate Positions: Use any dip to $3,400-$3,420 as buying opportunity 2. Manage Risk: Implement proper position sizing and stop losses 3. Monitor Fed Policy: Watch for dovish signals supporting further upside 4. Prepare for Breakout: Position for potential move to $3,550-$3,600 Key Success Factors: Discipline: Stick to predetermined risk management rules Patience: Allow patterns to develop fully Flexibility: Adapt to changing market conditions Diversification: Use multiple gold investment vehicles The confluence of technical, fundamental, and sentiment factors creates a rare alignment supporting significantly higher gold prices. While short-term volatility is expected, the medium to long-term outlook remains decidedly bullish. Final Rating: STRONG BUY with careful risk management
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by sunya
XAUUSD Short: Correction from Current HighsHello, traders! The prior price auction for XAUUSD was contained within a horizontal range, bounded by the Demand zone 2 near 3335. A key pivot point low initiated a strong bullish impulse, resulting in a breakout from this range and establishing the current bullish market structure, which transitioned the market into a new directional phase. Currently, the price action is being guided by a well-defined ascending channel. The most recent impulse wave has carried XAU to the upper boundary of this channel, which represents dynamic resistance. The auction is now testing this ceiling after a strong rally, a key area where sellers may re-emerge to challenge the bullish initiative. My scenario anticipates a corrective move from the current highs. The expectation is that the channel's resistance line will hold, leading to a rejection and a downward rotation back towards the channel's support. A failure to break higher would confirm that a short-term correction is likely. The take-profit is therefore set at 3410 points, targeting the confluence of the ascending channel's support line and the 3405 - 3415 demand area. Manage your risk!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by heniitrading
6
GOLD - 4,000 Targets in sight🕰 Monthly View Strong bullish structure with a massive impulse. Previous consolidation candle broke out and delivered a 700-point rally – current structure suggests a similar expansion is underway. Key target level sits at $4,000, aligning with higher timeframe projections. 📆 Weekly View Price broke through weekly resistance and sell-side liquidity. Repeating consolidation pattern before breakout – history suggests further continuation. Liquidity trend supporting higher lows; bullish structure remains intact. Short-term resistance cleared at 3,450, leaving upside liquidity exposed toward 3,800–4,000. 📅 Daily View Breakout from daily supply zone (≈3,420–3,450) confirmed bullish momentum. Now trading above liquidity, with two possible scenarios: Option 1 (Risky): Immediate continuation higher without creating a new range (less stable). Option 2 (Safe): Pullback into fresh support (~3,350–3,400) before expansion toward 3,600–4,000. ⏱ 8H View Resistance broken; liquidity grab confirmed. Consolidation breakout leaves price trending strongly bullish. Any dip into support around 3,350–3,375 is a potential buy zone for continuation. 🎯 Bias & Trade Plan Bias: Strong Bullish Entry Zone: 3,350–3,400 (safe pullback buys) Targets: Short-term → 3,600 Mid-term → 4,000 Invalidation: Daily close below 3,311 (liquidity trend break). ⚠️ Risk Note Gold is in a parabolic move — chasing without confirmation is risky. Best strategy: wait for pullback/retest before entering heavy positions.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by jamesibartram
GOLD (XAUUSD): Another Breakout Ahead?! Gold closed on Friday, testing a major horizontal resistance cluster. Taking into consideration a strong bullish momentum, the price may violate that as well. Your next confirmation to buy will be a breakout of the underlined structure and a daily candle close above 3452. A bullish continuation to 3492 will be expected then. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by VasilyTrader
1
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3458 and a gap below at 3439. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3458 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3458 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3477 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3477 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3497 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3497 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3513 BEARISH TARGETS 3439 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3439 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3417 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3417 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3395 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3395 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3369 3352 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3395 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE 3336 3315 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
18
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see follow up update on our 4chart idea which is still valid and in play. We got our Bullish target 3424 last week and finished off with ema5 cross and lock above this level opening 3499, as a open gap and 3424 is now our support gap. If ema5 fails to lock below 3424 we are likely to see our open gap above at 3499 tested. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3424 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3424 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3499 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3499 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3561 BEARISH TARGETS 3347 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3347 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3277 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3277 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3234 3171 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3171 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE 3089 2996 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
3
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAPDaily Chart Update Range Break & Gap Confirmation As anticipated in our previous update, price finally pushed through for a test of 3433, confirming the strength of the upside momentum we discussed. This test has now produced a candle body close gap open for 3564, giving us our next long range target. An EMA5 lock will serve as added confirmation for continuation toward this zone. Current Outlook 🔹 3433 Tested & Confirmed Just as we analysed, bulls carried price into 3433. With the ceiling tested, attention now shifts to whether price can sustain above. 🔹 Fresh Gap Toward 3564 The candle close opens a measured long range gap up to 3564. This becomes the new target zone if bullish structure continues to hold. 🔹 EMA5 as Key Confirmation An EMA5 lock would further solidify momentum and strengthen conviction for follow through toward 3564. Updated Key Levels 📉 Support – 3272 Remains the pivotal floor. As long as this level holds, downside risk is contained. 📈 Resistance – 3433 Now tested. Bulls will look for a firm hold above to unlock the 3564 gap. 🎯 Next Upside Objective – 3564 Gap target now in play, contingent on EMA5 confirmation. Thanks as always for your support, Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
2
GOLD - Ascending Triangle into new All Time HighMarket Context Gold has been steadily climbing, forming an ascending triangle pattern over the past few months. Buyers continue to defend higher lows, while sellers repeatedly reject price near resistance. This type of structure often signals building pressure, with volatility likely to expand once a breakout occurs. Consolidation Phase The range between the ascending support trendline and the horizontal resistance has created a textbook consolidation. Each bounce off support shows accumulation, while the repeated touches of resistance highlight where liquidity is building. The longer price compresses within this pattern, the more explosive the eventual breakout is expected to be. Bullish Breakout Scenario If price manages to break above resistance and sweep the all-time high, it would likely trigger a wave of liquidity from trapped shorts and breakout buyers entering. This move could fuel momentum into fresh price discovery, validating the ascending triangle as a bullish continuation pattern. The sweep of liquidity above ATH could serve as the catalyst for acceleration toward new highs. Bearish Retest Scenario On the other hand, if resistance holds once again, a deeper retracement back toward the ascending trendline is likely. This would test the conviction of buyers and determine whether the trendline support continues to act as the foundation for the structure. A clean break below support would weaken the bullish outlook and signal a potential shift in momentum. Final Words Patience here is key — ascending triangles often test traders’ resolve before making their decisive move. Let the market reveal its hand before committing to either direction. If you found this breakdown helpful, a like would be much appreciated! Drop a comment and let me know: are you expecting the breakout to bring new highs, or do you see sellers defending this level once again?
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Louigi_24
91
Gold September Seasonality (Last 10 Years: 2015–2024)Gold is heading into September after a monster run in 2024/25. Unlike the “September slump” you hear about in crypto, gold’s last decade shows mostly mild, tactical moves in September—often driven by real yields, the dollar, and physical demand cycles. Once any early-month wobble plays out, dips have tended to be opportunities within the prevailing trend. 📊 Gold September Seasonality (Last 10 Years: 2015–2024) Yearly September Returns Year 📈 Return 2024 🟢 +4.99% 2023 🔴 −3.73% 2022 🔴 −2.32% 2021 🔴 −4.59% 2020 🔴 −3.70% 2019 🔴 −2.55% 2018 🔴 −1.93% 2017 🔴 −1.44% 2016 🟢 +1.02% 2015 🔴 −0.27% 📌 At-a-glance stats (2015–2024) 📉 Mean (10-yr): −1.45% ⚖️ Median: −2.13% 🔴 Red months: 8 out of 10 ❌ Worst September: 2021 (−4.59%) ✅ Best September: 2024 (+4.99%) 📅 Recent Performance (last 3 years) 2024: 🟢 +4.99% → strongest September in the set 2023: 🔴 −3.73% → higher real yields weighed on bullion 2022: 🔴 −2.32% → strong USD + aggressive Fed hikes ➡️ Average of last 3 years: 🔴 −0.35% ➡️ Average of last 5 years (2020–2024): 🔴 −1.87% ________________________________________ 🔎 Key Insights • Gentle September bias: Over the last decade, September has skewed slightly negative for gold (mean −1.45%), but the drawdowns are modest compared to risk assets. • Cycle matters more than calendar: 2020–2023 saw consistent reds as the dollar firmed and real yields rose; 2024 flipped green as rate-cut expectations and central-bank demand underpinned prices. • Long-term seasonality ≠ last-decade reality: Multi-decade studies often show gold firming into late summer/early autumn (festival/jewelry demand, restocking), but the last 10 years were dominated by policy and yields—diluting that classic pattern. ________________________________________ 🚀 Macro & Market Context • 2019–2020: Trade tensions into COVID—gold corrected in Sep ’19 (−2.6%) and more so in Sep ’20 (−3.7%) after August’s spike to new highs. • 2021: Fed taper talk + rising real yields → weakest September (−4.6%). • 2022: King Dollar & rapid hikes → another red September (−2.3%). • 2023: Real yields kept pressure on bullion (−3.7%). • 2024: Sentiment flipped on policy expectations and persistent central-bank demand → solid +5.0% September. ________________________________________ 🧭 Takeaway Gold’s September over the last decade has leaned slightly bearish, but mostly in controlled, single-digit moves. The signal isn’t “sell September,” it’s “watch real yields, the USD, and physical flows.” When those line up, the calendar fade loses its bite—as 2024 showed.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ProjectSyndicate
34
Gold Surges Above Expectations, Reaches 5-Week Highs!👋Hello everyone, let’s take a look at OANDA:XAUUSD ! 📍Gold continues its impressive rally, even surpassing our previous expectations and reaching the highest levels in 5 weeks. Currently, the bullish momentum is intact, trading around $3412 and surpassing the key psychological level of $3400, gaining over 300 pips from the previous session. The recent surge in gold is largely driven by concerns over the Fed. Pressure from Trump is fueling speculation that the central bank could cut rates faster and keep them low for a longer period. The CME FedWatch tool shows that investors now expect an 87% chance of a rate cut in September, which is beneficial for gold prices. 📈From a technical perspective: Gold has broken through the $3400 level and closed clearly above the resistance, turning it into new support. The EMA 34 and 89 still favor the bulls, and our strategy will prioritize selling at the top and continuing to buy as long as support holds. The target for the strategy is $3430–3433 USD (D1 resistance). What do you think💬? How will gold move, and what will the price be at the close today? ✍️ Leave your thoughts in the comments!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Kevinn_Nguyen
24
XAUUSD 4H🔎 Chart Context • Asset: Gold Spot (XAU/USD) • Timeframe: 4H • Current price: 3,447.4 • The chart shows gold breaking out of a multi-week consolidation range between 3,250 – 3,400, now pushing toward higher liquidity zones. 📊 Key Observations 1. Market Structure • Gold has been consolidating inside a wide range box (3,250 – 3,400) since July. • Recent breakout above 3,425 resistance suggests bullish momentum. • Structure remains bullish as long as price holds above 3,400 support. 2. Support Zones • 3,400 – 3,425: Fresh breakout zone; now flipped into short-term support. • 3,325 – 3,350: Mid-range demand, strong base for buyers. • 3,250 – 3,275: Major structural demand, defended multiple times in July & August. 3. Resistance Zones • 3,500: First major upside target (supply/psychological resistance). • 3,600: Extended bullish target and liquidity cluster. 4. Liquidity & Projections • Liquidity pools above 3,500 will likely attract price. • Chart projection suggests: • Possible short-term pullback into 3,400 – 3,425. • Continuation rally toward 3,500 → 3,600. 📈 Bullish Scenario (Higher Probability) • Price sustains above 3,425 breakout level. • Path: Pullback → Retest support → Continuation higher. • Targets: • TP1: 3,500 • TP2: 3,600 📉 Bearish Scenario (Low Probability / Countertrend) • Gold fails to hold above 3,400. • Breakdown path: • Re-entry into range (3,350 → 3,325). • Possible revisit of 3,250 demand zone. • Would represent fake breakout scenario. ⚡ Trading Plan • Long Setup (Preferred): • Entry: Pullback into 3,425 – 3,400. • TP1: 3,500 • TP2: 3,600 • Stop: Below 3,375 • Short Setup (Only if breakdown confirmed): • Entry: Failed retest of 3,400 from below. • TP: 3,325 → 3,250 • Stop: Above 3,425
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ikeyhan
The day after a new higher highHello fellow traders! 👋 It seems like so many times again, the market went in a different direction than you may have expected. 🤷‍♀️ After multiple positive words from members of the Fed, a rate cut is likely to happen and is getting priced in. 📉 On Friday, July 29, we got some good economic data from the U.S., but the market acted differently. 🤔 Why is this? The data wasn't worse than expected; it was as expected. The market is taking this as a sign—a sign for higher prices. But, and this is a fact, many retail traders aren't. 😥 It's not about confusion; it's about the market (and us as traders) not having priced in all the possibilities. 🤯 The truth is, they are lying to you. They (the government) are telling people and the news that things are about to get fixed and will be good, but they aren't. 🤥 If you think the data we got on Friday is true, think again. Look at the data; you'll see the forecast was as expected, but in reality, the numbers are better than before. Do you get it? The obvious conclusion isn't always the real one. 💡 In my opinion, the U.S. economic data everyone is talking about is much better than many people think because the news is written to make it seem bad. 😒 You can think whatever you want, of course! Price went up, not down, and a rally was chased. Many stop-loss orders were hit and turned into a cascade of higher prices. 📈 Institutions are buying gold, yes, because the dollar is cheap (?), and a rate cut is coming with a very high probability. 💰 So they buy gold, which results in many people's (and that's a good thing) stop-loss orders being executed. 👏 (sorry) I've seen it in the past, and you can see it too if you look at my data table. Whenever a very high gold price was reached, a correction followed. 📉 I expect a correction on Monday or Tuesday, and this correction will lead to at least $3418, which is the 0.382 Fibonacci level. In my view, $3403 is the 0.5 level and more realistic. If you look at the table I put in the image, you can see that the day after a high price like we had today, the correction was always at the 0.5 Fibonacci level or more! 📊 Don't think it won't happen; they will trap you in any way they can, such as with fakeouts... 😈 Believe in the market and its structure because, until now, there has never been a day without a correction after a rally like this! 💪
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by Wick-Sniper
2