Gold: Consolidating below 3,660 resistanceHi everyone,
Gold has been moving quite neatly within its channel lately. Price has tested the 3,650–3,660 zone several times but continues to be capped there, making it a key resistance level. On the downside, support around 3,560 is still holding firm, acting as a solid cushion for the trend. The chart also shows a few Fair Value Gaps left from recent pullbacks – so if price dips, I see it more as a healthy retracement to build momentum rather than a bearish signal.
On the news side, recent US economic data has been supportive for gold: inflation has eased, the labour market is showing signs of softening, making it harder for the Fed to stay overly hawkish. In addition, central banks are still buying gold as a hedge against risk. With this backdrop, a break above 3,660 looks possible, opening the way towards 3,690–3,700 in the short term.
What do you think – will gold clear 3,660 this time round?
Gold
Gold Price Analysis (XAUUSD) – September 15, 20251. Main Trend
Gold (XAUUSD) has recently rallied from 3,560 → 3,665, but on the H1 timeframe the market is now forming a potential ABC corrective structure.
Wave (A) has completed.
Wave (B) is a technical pullback.
Wave (C) is expected to push lower, testing key support levels.
2. Key Resistance Levels
3,660 – 3,670 USD/oz: Major resistance zone where price has been rejected multiple times.
This area also aligns with the 20 EMA on H1 and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of wave (A).
3. Key Support Levels
3,600 – 3,610 USD/oz: First support to watch. A breakdown here could accelerate the bearish move.
3,575 – 3,585 USD/oz: Strong support area, confluence with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension of wave (A).
4. Technical Indicators
RSI (H1): Turning lower from the 50 midline, suggesting bearish momentum.
EMA 50 – EMA 200: Both EMAs still sloping upward, but price is testing the lower band, signaling a short-term correction.
Price Action: Repeated rejections around 3,660 highlight sellers’ dominance.
5. Trading Strategies for Today
Short Setup (Preferred)
Sell limit: 3,655 – 3,660
Stop loss: 3,675
Take profit 1: 3,610
Take profit 2: 3,580
Countertrend Buy (Speculative)
Buy: 3,580 – 3,585
Stop loss: 3,565
Take profit: 3,620 – 3,630
- Conclusion: Gold is currently in a short-term corrective phase, with downside potential towards 3,600 – 3,580. Sellers remain in control on the H1 chart. Traders should monitor support reactions closely to identify any short-term buying opportunities.
- Save this analysis if you find it useful, and follow for more trading strategies in the next sessions.
3655-3625 oscillation structure, sell high and buy low#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Over the weekend, I reminded everyone to pay attention to a hidden piece of news.💻
China and the United States are currently holding their fourth round of talks in Spain on economic and trade issues, which involves tariffs. The outcome of the game between the two major powers will also affect the trend of gold. 📊The two sides are still negotiating, so please continue to pay attention.👀
Gold continued to fluctuate in the box at the opening today, fell slightly during the day and rebounded after testing the support below again. 🌈The short-term upward pressure still remains at 3655-3665. 📉I have repeatedly emphasized that only by breaking through and stabilizing above can gold continue to open up upward space. If it is difficult to break through during the day, gold will continue to fluctuate and pull back.
The price of gold is still in an upward channel. The correction range of gold at high levels is limited. The short-term support below is 3635-3625.🥅 Before it effectively falls below the support, it is difficult for gold to change the volatile pattern. However, if the price breaks below support and breaks the box structure, it is very likely to test the 3600 mark, or even the important support level of 3580.🐻
If the 3655-3625 box is not broken during the day, the buy low-sell high strategy will be maintained. 📊If it falls back to 3635-3625, you can continue to go long on gold, with the target at 3655-3665. If the upper resistance is touched, you can short gold with a light position.
Upside Pressure Still DominantHi everyone,
On the H4 chart, gold is consolidating just beneath the 3,655–3,670 equal-highs zone, where a cluster of short stops may be resting. If triggered, price could swiftly break higher towards 3,690–3,705. Beneath, two important support layers remain: 3,630–3,620 (FVG + Ichimoku cloud edge) and 3,605–3,595. Any dip into these zones is more likely to be liquidity gathering rather than a trend break – as long as price doesn’t decisively pierce deeper.
Momentum is still skewed to the upside: rising highs and lows, shallow pullbacks, and candles with long lower wicks highlight strong “buy the dip” interest. On top of that, ATR on H4 has contracted, suggesting compression just under resistance – in such cases, momentum usually resolves upward. Price also remains firmly above the anchored VWAP from 3 September (~3.62x), showing buyers maintain control of the cost basis.
From a macro perspective, the backdrop still favours gold: US jobless claims have jumped to the highest since 2021, PPI cooled, CPI only inched higher, yet 10Y yields hover near 4.0% and DXY is softening. Europe holds rates steady, gold ETFs see renewed inflows, and central banks keep buying – all adding to the supportive case.
In summary, if H4 closes above 3,655–3,670, the odds of a push to 3,690–3,705 increase. A pullback to 3,630–3,620 that holds would still preserve the bullish view. Only a clean break of 3,570–3,565 would force a reassessment. With current structure and liquidity, I still lean towards a shallow pullback before new highs.
Hope this analysis gives you another angle before taking trades. See you in the next update!
XAUUSD 1hr | Gold - Bears are Coming !!Bearish Overview
Gold is entering a period of consolidation (sideways price action) and is currently positioned in the lower area of this consolidation zone. Watch how gold reacts on Sunday and Monday as we approach strong support. Gold looks to find more liquidity towards the lower lows. Gold is technically breaking down from a small 1 hr wedge (Labeled), which could drop the price closer to support and bearish territory.
Prices to look at:
3615
3600, If gold breaks below, look to sell to 3570-3580
Remember:
Gold is bullish! GOLD hit the DAILY breakout target in 2 weeks. Look to go long around support. Any bullish sign in this zone could lead to a bounce back up to the ATH
Gold Outlook – Short-Term Pullback, Long-Term Strength📑 Gold (XAUUSD) – Market Report
Gold has shown a strong bullish phase over recent weeks after a long consolidation. The market moved from accumulation into expansion, reflecting renewed participation by larger players. This upward momentum indicates strong capital inflows, supported by macroeconomic uncertainty and shifting investor sentiment.
Technically, price has broken out of a prolonged range and established a clear upward trajectory. Market structure suggests that buyers remain in control, though current price levels are showing signs of potential exhaustion, which could trigger short-term corrective moves before the broader trend resumes.
Fundamentally, global economic pressures continue to boost gold’s role as a safe-haven asset. Concerns over inflation, central bank policy adjustments, and currency volatility are keeping investor demand elevated. With global risk sentiment fluctuating, gold is likely to remain an attractive hedge, sustaining its medium-term bullish outlook despite short-term pullbacks.
Conclusion: Gold is in an expansion cycle, supported by both technical momentum and fundamental demand. Short-term corrections are expected, but the broader trajectory remains upward.
Weekly Market Update & Analysis - 14-September-2025Weekly Market Update & Analysis
Week Ending : September 14, 2025
Analysis Framework : Institutional Intelligence Dual Renko System
Executive Summary
The past week delivered exceptional validation of our institutional intelligence framework across equity indices while confirming the deteriorating conditions in commodity and currency markets. Our three primary equity opportunities (NQ, ES, YM) demonstrated the power of trading with institutional backing, while defensive positioning in overextended and institutionally-abandoned assets proved essential for capital preservation.
Portfolio performance reflects the strength of systematic institutional intelligence application , with equity allocations advancing while defensive positioning prevented significant losses in deteriorating sectors.
Primary Opportunities - Institutional Validation Continues
1. NASDAQ 100 (NQ) - EXCEPTIONAL PERFORMANCE VALIDATION
Previous Week Assessment : 25-30% allocation with 26.8:1 institutional backing at 23,963
Current Status : 24,100 (+0.57% weekly advance)
Institutional Intelligence Confirmed :
Structure Chart Validation : Trading above Q3 institutional accumulation with volume support
Dashboard Metrics : ATR 166.71 (0.69%) confirms low volatility, optimal block sizing maintained
Risk Management : $5,000 per 100-point execution block = excellent position sizing precision
Technical Status : All momentum indicators supporting institutional positioning
Weekly Performance Analysis :
Price Action : Steady advance above institutional zones validates smart money accumulation
Volume Confirmation : Sustained institutional engagement throughout advance
Risk Control : Minimal drawdown with institutional support holding
Momentum Quality : Clean upward progression without excessive volatility
Coming Week Outlook :
Bullish Scenario (75%) : Continuation toward 24,500-25,000 resistance levels
Consolidation (20%) : Range trading 23,800-24,300 for momentum reset
Correction (5%) : Pullback to 23,500 institutional support for accumulation
Strategy : Maintain full 25-30% allocation, trail stops using 100-point swing lows
2. S&P 500 (ES) - SOLID INSTITUTIONAL FOUNDATION
ES Combined View:
Previous Week Assessment : 20-25% allocation with 5.21:1 institutional backing at 6,575
Current Status : 6,600 (+0.38% weekly advance)
Institutional Intelligence Confirmed :
Structure Chart : Maintaining position above Q3 POC institutional accumulation
Dashboard Metrics : ATR 37.37 (0.56%) supporting current 25-point execution blocks
Volume Profile : Sustained engagement above institutional zones
Risk Framework : $1,250 per 25-point block enabling precise risk management
Weekly Performance Analysis :
Steady Advance : Consistent progress above institutional support levels
Volume Quality : Professional participation supporting price advance
Technical Health : Momentum indicators maintaining bullish alignment
Volatility Control : Low ATR environment supporting systematic approach
Coming Week Outlook :
Bullish Scenario (70%) : Advance toward 6,700-6,750 resistance zone
Consolidation (25%) : Range development 6,550-6,650 for base building
Correction (5%) : Test of 6,500 institutional support
Strategy : Maintain 20-25% core allocation with systematic profit-taking above 6,700
3. DOW JONES (YM) - OPTIMAL RISK/REWARD POSITIONING
YM Combined View:
Previous Week Assessment : 25-30% allocation with perfect YTD POC alignment at 46,050
Current Status : 46,050 (unchanged, consolidating at optimal institutional level)
Institutional Intelligence Excellence :
YTD POC Validation : Trading precisely at institutional consensus level (45,150 area)
Dashboard Metrics : ATR 238.47 (0.52%) confirming 150-point execution blocks optimal
Risk Profile : $750 per 150-point block = superior risk management
Support Quality : Cross-timeframe institutional validation providing exceptional downside protection
Weekly Performance Analysis :
Consolidation Strength : Holding institutional consensus demonstrates smart money confidence
Volume Distribution : Balanced institutional participation during consolidation
Risk Management : Minimal downside exposure with institutional support
Setup Quality : Optimal positioning for next institutional advance
Coming Week Outlook :
Bullish Scenario (80%) : Breakout toward 46,800-47,200 levels with institutional support
Consolidation (15%) : Continued range at institutional consensus for accumulation
Correction (5%) : Brief test toward 45,500 for final institutional positioning
Strategy : Maintain maximum 25-30% allocation, add on any weakness toward 45,700
Secondary Holdings - Defensive Management Required
4. WTI CRUDE OIL (CL) - TECHNICAL IMPROVEMENT NOTED
CL Combined View:
Previous Week Assessment : 8-12% defensive allocation due to technical conflicts at 62.94
Current Status : 62.25 (-1.10% weekly decline)
Mixed Signal Assessment :
Institutional Support : Structure chart shows continued Q2/Q3 accumulation backing
Technical Challenges : Dashboard ATR 0.33 (0.53%) appropriate, but momentum concerns persist
Price Action : Testing lower end of institutional accumulation zone
Risk Management : $250 per 0.25 execution block maintaining precision
Weekly Performance Analysis :
Institutional Respect : Decline contained within smart money accumulation zones
Volume Behavior : Some institutional support visible near Q2 POC levels
Technical Status : DEMA maintaining bullish bias despite price weakness
Defensive Positioning : Lower allocation preventing significant capital impact
Coming Week Outlook :
Bullish Scenario (50%) : Recovery above 63.50 with institutional volume confirmation
Neutral Scenario (35%) : Range trading 62.00-64.00 within institutional zone
Bearish Scenario (15%) : Break below 61.50 requiring defensive exit protocols
Strategy : Maintain 8-12% defensive allocation, monitor for technical confirmation signals
High-Risk Positions - Defensive Protocols Validated
5. NATURAL GAS (NG) - INSTITUTIONAL ABANDONMENT ACCELERATING
NG Combined View:
Previous Week Assessment : 3-5% minimal allocation due to institutional disengagement at 2.950
Current Status : 2.960 (+0.34% minor recovery)
Deteriorating Fundamentals :
Institutional Intelligence : 65% volume decline from Q1 peaks continues
Dashboard Warning : ATR 0.04 (1.41%) suggesting continued volatility risk
Technical Status : Bearish momentum persisting despite minor recovery
Liquidity Concerns : /MNG volume insufficient for meaningful position sizing
Weekly Performance Analysis :
Minimal Recovery : Slight advance insufficient to reverse institutional disengagement
Volume Quality : Limited institutional participation in recovery attempt
Risk Limitation : 3-5% allocation preventing significant portfolio impact
Framework Validation : Defensive positioning justified by continued weakness
Coming Week Outlook :
Neutral Scenario (45%) : Range trading 2.90-3.10 with limited institutional interest
Bearish Scenario (40%) : Resumption of decline toward 2.70-2.80 levels
Bullish Scenario (15%) : Recovery above 3.20 requiring fresh institutional engagement
Strategy : Maintain minimal 3-5% allocation, avoid increases until institutional return
6. EURO FUTURES (6E) - EXTENSION CORRECTION ACCELERATING
6E Combined View:
Previous Week Assessment : 2-3% minimal allocation due to 12.9% dangerous extension at 1.1792
Current Status : 1.1800 (+0.07% minimal advance)
Dangerous Extension Persists :
YTD POC Distance : Still 12.1% above institutional consensus at 1.0525
Dashboard Metrics : ATR 0.0 (0.23%) showing compressed volatility before correction
Technical Deterioration : Extension beyond all institutional positioning zones
Risk Assessment : $1,250 per 0.002 block = high risk per unit exposure
Weekly Performance Analysis :
Consolidation Warning : Minimal movement often precedes major corrections
Institutional Void : Trading well beyond any smart money positioning
Defensive Success : 2-3% allocation limiting portfolio exposure
Correction Preparation : Framework positioning for mean reversion opportunity
Coming Week Outlook :
Bearish Scenario (65%) : Correction toward 1.1200-1.0800 institutional zones
Neutral Scenario (25%) : Continued consolidation at dangerous extension levels
Bullish Scenario (10%) : Further extension creating extreme correction risk
Strategy : Maintain minimal 2-3% defensive allocation, prepare for correction opportunity
7. GOLD FUTURES (GC) - VOID TERRITORY CORRECTION UNDERWAY
GC Combined View:
Previous Week Assessment : 0% allocation due to catastrophic void territory at 2,682
Current Status : 2,687 (+0.19% minor advance)
Catastrophic Risk Confirmed :
Institutional Void : Still 12.2%+ beyond all smart money positioning
Dashboard Alert : ATR 15.93 (0.59%) insufficient for current extension risk
Technical Status : Trading in complete institutional abandonment zone
Correction Vulnerability : $500 per 5-point block = extreme risk if positioned
Weekly Performance Analysis :
Void Persistence : Continued trading beyond institutional intelligence zones
Correction Preparation : Framework positioning for eventual return to smart money levels
Capital Preservation : 0% allocation preventing catastrophic losses during correction
Professional Discipline : Maintaining avoidance despite minor advances
Coming Week Outlook :
Bearish Scenario (70%) : Major correction toward 2,380-2,450 institutional zones
Neutral Scenario (20%) : Continued consolidation at void territory levels
Bullish Scenario (10%) : Further extension creating ultimate correction setup
Strategy : Maintain 0% allocation, prepare for institutional zone re-entry opportunity
Portfolio Management & Risk Assessment
Current Allocation Status
Equity Indices : 70-80% (NQ 25-30%, ES 20-25%, YM 25-30%)
Defensive Commodities : 10-15% (CL 8-12%, NG 3-5%)
High-Risk Positions : 2-3% (6E minimal allocation)
Avoided Assets : 0% (GC complete avoidance)
Cash/Opportunity : 10-15% (correction and opportunity preparation)
Risk Management Performance
Institutional Validation : Equity positions performing as expected with smart money backing
Defensive Success : Limited commodity exposure preventing significant losses
Framework Discipline : Systematic adherence to institutional intelligence preventing major errors
Professional Standards : Dashboard integration enabling precise risk control
ATR Monitoring & Block Size Validation
All Markets : ATR levels within acceptable ranges for current block sizing
Volatility Environment : Low volatility across indices supporting systematic approach
Risk Per Block : All position sizing maintaining 2% account risk parameters
Configuration Status : No block size adjustments required across tracked markets
Coming Week Strategic Framework
Primary Focus Areas
Equity Strength Continuation : Monitor institutional level respect and momentum sustainability
Commodity Stabilization : Watch for technical improvements and institutional re-engagement
Extension Corrections : Prepare for mean reversion opportunities in overextended assets
Risk Management : Maintain systematic discipline with institutional intelligence framework
Market Scenarios for Coming Week
Scenario A: Equity Momentum Continuation (70% probability)
Characteristics : Institutional accumulation continues supporting index advances
Winners : NQ, ES, YM maintain leadership with systematic advances
Strategy : Maintain high equity allocation, systematic profit-taking at resistance
Risk Management : Trail stops using institutional support levels
Scenario B: Market Consolidation (25% probability)
Characteristics : Range development around current institutional zones
Opportunity : Accumulate additional positions near institutional support
Management : Patience for breakout confirmation from consolidation
Defensive Positioning : Maintain current commodity allocations
Scenario C: Correction & Opportunity (5% probability)
Trigger : Break below institutional support requiring defensive protocols
Response : Systematic position reduction with cash accumulation
Opportunity : Preparation for institutional zone re-entry
Framework : Maintain institutional intelligence discipline during volatility
Trading Insights
Institutional Intelligence Validation
Framework Success : Systematic application preventing major allocation errors
Smart Money Alignment : Trading with institutional positioning generating consistent results
Risk Prevention : Defensive protocols successful in avoiding overextended assets
Professional Standards : Dashboard integration providing institutional-grade oversight
Technical Analysis Integration
Dual Chart Methodology : Structure/execution integration providing complete market intelligence
Enhanced Indicators : DMI, DEMA, stochastics optimization delivering precise signals
Block Size Efficiency : Renko configuration filtering noise while preserving institutional intelligence
Visual Framework : Professional chart standards enabling rapid decision-making
Risk Management Excellence
Systematic Position Sizing : 2% account risk framework maintaining capital preservation
Institutional Distance Monitoring : Extension risk assessment preventing dangerous allocations
Correlation Management : Cross-asset allocation preventing concentration risk
Professional Discipline : Adherence to framework over emotional decision-making
Key Success Factors for Coming Week
Maintain Framework Discipline
Institutional Intelligence Priority : Continue systematic application of smart money positioning
Technical Confirmation : Require execution chart validation for all allocation changes
Risk Management : Maintain systematic position sizing and stop placement protocols
Professional Standards : Use dashboard metrics for all risk assessment decisions
Monitor Key Developments
Equity Momentum : Watch for institutional level breaks requiring strategy adjustment
Commodity Recovery : Monitor for technical improvements enabling allocation increases
Extension Corrections : Prepare for mean reversion opportunities in overextended assets
Volume Profile Evolution : Track institutional engagement changes across all markets
Implementation Priorities
Daily Monitoring : Use combined charts for efficient institutional intelligence assessment
Weekly Reviews : Systematic evaluation of framework performance and market evolution
Monthly Calibration : Deep structure chart analysis and technical indicator validation
Quarterly Overhaul : Complete institutional intelligence framework reassessment
Market Outlook Summary : The institutional intelligence framework continues delivering exceptional results through systematic application of smart money positioning analysis. Equity markets demonstrate the power of trading with institutional backing, while defensive positioning in overextended and abandoned assets validates professional risk management protocols.
Strategic Positioning : Maintain high equity allocation (70-80%) with systematic profit-taking protocols, defensive commodity management, and complete avoidance of void territory assets. The framework's ability to identify optimal risk-adjusted opportunities while preventing catastrophic losses represents institutional-grade market intelligence application.
Professional Discipline : Continue systematic adherence to institutional intelligence over short-term market noise, maintain enhanced visual framework standards, and apply professional risk management protocols across all timeframes and market conditions.
Next Review : Weekly combined chart analysis scheduled for September 21, 2025, with continued focus on institutional intelligence validation and systematic framework application.
Risk Disclaimer : All trading involves substantial risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results. The institutional intelligence framework provides analytical tools for risk assessment but cannot eliminate market risk. Position sizing and risk management protocols must be adjusted based on individual account size, risk tolerance, and market conditions.
Professional Standards : This analysis represents systematic application of institutional intelligence methodology developed through extensive market research and validation. Continued framework discipline and professional risk management remain essential for sustainable trading success.
Gold Price Outlook – Bulls in Control👋Hello everyone, let’s take a look at OANDA:XAUUSD today!
Over the past week, gold has moved steadily upward, holding above the psychological 3,600 USD zone. At present, the bulls remain in control, keeping price action around 3,645 USD.
Gold continues to benefit from a weaker USD following recent economic data. Rising unemployment claims and expectations that the Fed will maintain a dovish stance have provided strong support for gold to stay above 3,600 USD.
From a technical perspective, the precious metal is extending its rally toward key Fibonacci expansion targets. The 2.618 extension is being tested, with potential to push higher toward the 3.618 level. This aligns with the Elliott Wave structure, where wave (3) is near completion, likely followed by a brief correction into wave (4), before a breakout into wave (5).
The next psychological targets are 3,700 and 3,800 in the medium term. The main trend remains bullish, with critical support resting at 3,550 – 3,600 USD. As long as gold holds above this zone, the strategy of buying on dips to capture wave (5) remains valid.
What do you think about gold’s outlook? Share your thoughts in the comments!
Good luck!
Wall Street Weekly Outlook - Week 38 2025Every week I release a Wall Street Weekly Outlook that highlights the key themes, market drivers, and risks that professional traders are watching.
This week promises to be particularly important, with several events likely to move markets. 📊 Stay ahead of the curve—watch the video now and get prepared like a Wall Street insider.
Any questions? Drop a comment or reach out directly.
-Meikel
XAUUSD H1 Weekly Outlook – Sept 15–19, 2025Gold doesn’t drift — it declares war at every zone. Be ready.
👋 Hello traders,
This week, Gold is hovering just below its All-Time High — momentum is building, and structure is tightening. Price action is loading between high-pressure zones, waiting for a clean breakout or reversal. In this H1 outlook, we map out the tactical zones that matter: premium sell traps, mid-structure pivots, and the discount bases where liquidity reloads.
Let’s map the warzone and get ready for surgical entries 👇
🔸 1. Market Structure & Technical Bias
✅ Bias: Still bullish, but extended
EMAs 5/21/50: Bullish flow, slight slowdown
RSI: Overbought on spikes → signaling pullback risk
HTF: Still in a higher-high sequence unless 3535 breaks
Structure: Building pressure between 3608–3654
🔸 2. Refined H1 Zones
🔺 Premium Sell Zones (Above Price)
3704–3720 → Expansion Exhaustion Zone
• End-stage zone for stretched breakouts
• Likely reversal if touched aggressively
• Combines H1–H4 imbalance, extended PA
3670–3678 → ATH Trap Zone
• Surrounds 3674 All-Time High
• Likely inducement area with high-volume rejection risk
• Key for fading euphoric breakouts
3640–3654 → Short-Term Liquidity Wall
• Local OB + imbalance
• Likely to provide quick rejection for tactical short scalps
• First defense line for sellers
🔘 Decision Zone
3630–3608 → Momentum Pivot Zone
• Central battlefield of the week
• Above 3630 → bulls control
• Below 3608 → opens first reentry zones
• No raw entries here – only wait for reaction or BOS
🟦 Discount Buy Zones (Below Price)
3595–3580 → First Reaction Base
• Minor OB + unfilled imbalance
• May offer quick bounce or act as inducement trap
3550–3535 → Mid-Range Accumulation Shelf
• Key structure base after bullish BOS
• High-probability continuation buy area if respected
• EMA + RSI alignment here favors recovery setups
3505–3490 → Deep Liquidity Reload Zone
• Last clean demand before HTF bias risks reversal
• Includes wick fill + imbalance
• Strongest RR for high-quality buys
🎯 3. Battle Plan – Trade Scenarios
📈 Bullish Scenario: Ride the Continuation
Hold above 3608 + bounce from 3580
→ Watch for price to reclaim 3630, then attack 3654
→ If 3674 breaks clean, next zone is 3704–3720
→ Sniper buys valid on rejections from:
3595 (scalp)
3550 (continuation)
3505 (swing entry)
Entry trigger: Bullish OB reaction + M15 BOS or bullish engulfing
Invalidation: Loss of 3490 (HTF support failure)
📉 Bearish Scenario: Fade the Top
Rejection from 3654 or 3678
→ Confirm with M15/M30 shift → target 3608
→ Loss of 3608 → unlocks 3580, 3550, and deeper
Entry trigger: Strong bearish rejection from:
3654 (first tactical short)
3678 (ATH fade)
3720 (overextension trap)
Invalidation: Clean break and hold above 3720
🧠 Final Thoughts
This week is not about chasing — it’s about waiting for structure to invite you in.
Every zone on this map is real, clean, and rooted in price logic. Watch for confirmation, avoid impulse trades, and stick to zones with meaning. Whether bulls extend the trend or sellers fade the rally, this H1 outlook is your sniper playbook.
—
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XAUUSD H4 Weekly Outlook – Sep 15–19, 2025The higher you climb, the sharper the fall... unless you know where the trap is.
👋 Hello traders,
We’re heading into a critical week for Gold, with price currently testing the ceiling of an aggressive bullish leg. In this H4 outlook, we’ll break down the 3 key supply zones above price, the demand layers below, and what to expect from market structure, reaction points, and sniper entries. Let’s map it out 👇
🔸 1. H4 Structure & Trend
✅ Trend: Still bullish – price is printing higher highs and higher lows after a strong BOS
⚠️ However: We're now inside a key supply zone, with signs of momentum exhaustion
EMAs are still locked, but flattening – indicating early compression
🔸 2. Supply Zones (Above/At Price)
🔴 3640–3666 – Active H4 Supply (Price Inside Now)
‣ We are currently consolidating inside this premium zone
‣ Multiple EQHs indicate inducement
‣ A strong rejection here may trigger pullback toward demand
‣ A clean break above → confirms bullish continuation
🟠 3692–3720 – Inducement + FVG Zone
‣ Matches 1.272 Fibonacci extension
‣ Imbalance + wick gap + low resistance
‣ Likely to act as a trap zone for breakout chasers if tested
🔴 3745–3785 – Final Expansion Supply Zone
‣ 1.618–2.0 fib projection + HTF inefficiency
‣ High-probability reversal zone if price extends bullish without pullback
‣ Only reachable if bulls dominate and structure confirms breakout above 3720
🔸 3. Demand Zones (Below Price)
🟦 3600–3580 – First Pullback Demand
‣ Minor OB + FVG from previous impulse
‣ Likely to hold first tap if 3640–3666 fails
‣ Watch for bullish reaction
🟦 3544–3520 – Internal OB + EMA50 Zone
‣ Structure-support zone + previous BOS origin
‣ Stronger continuation setup if 3580 fails
🟦 3500–3470 – Full Reaccumulation Zone ✅
‣ Clean OB + deep discount pricing + last institutional demand
‣ EMA100 confluence
‣ Final valid long zone before major sentiment shift
‣ If broken, trend may flip to bearish
🔸 4. Confluences
✅ EMA 5/21/50: Locked bullish, but flattening – signs of slowing trend
✅ RSI: Cooling off from overbought → early warning of exhaustion
✅ Equal Highs: Inducement logic building below 3666
✅ FVGs: Gaps both above and below → price remains imbalance-driven
✅ Fibonacci: 1.272 → 1.618 extensions align with supply zones above
🔸 5. Scenarios for the Week
📈 Bullish Scenario
‣ If price breaks and holds above 3666, we expect a push toward 3720, and possibly 3745–3785
‣ Ideal reentry long zones: 3600 and 3544, with confirmation
‣ Trend remains bullish above 3520
📉 Bearish Scenario
‣ Rejection from 3640–3666 or EQH sweep = short-term top
‣ Target pullbacks: 3580 → 3544 → 3500–3470
‣ Only a break below 3470 flips sentiment into correction mode
📍Price now inside 3640–3666 → this is the battlefield for the early week.
🔚 Final Thoughts
This week’s setup is clear: Gold is inside a live decision zone. Watch how price reacts — breakout or rejection will decide the next 300+ pips. Don't get baited by the EQHs... precision and confirmation are everything.
—
👉 If this clarified your map for the week, drop a LIKE to support the effort, FOLLOW GoldFxMinds for more daily sniper-level updates, and let’s stay sharp, structured, and two steps ahead all week long 💥🔥🚀
XAUUSD Daily Outlook – September , 2025Gold enters the premium battlefield – will buyers exhaust or continue the climb?
🔸 1. Market Structure & Trend
Trend: Strong bullish continuation
Structure: Price broke the last LH with a clean BOS and is now pushing deep into premium territory, trading inside a daily supply.
No signs of weakness yet – just consolidation inside a potential reversal zone.
🔸 2. Daily Supply Zones (Above Price)
🔺 3640–3666 – Active Daily Supply Zone
‣ Price is currently consolidating inside this premium wick zone.
‣ High-probability area for liquidity grab or rejection.
‣ A clean daily close above 3666 opens space for bullish expansion.
🔺 3710–3760 – Expansion Target Zone
‣ 1.272–1.618 Fibonacci extension from last bullish swing
‣ Wide, clean zone with historical inefficiencies and no strong structure blocking
‣ Only reachable if 3666 breaks with momentum
🔸 3. Liquidity & Pullback Zones (Below Price)
🔸 3592–3572 – First Liquidity Magnet
‣ Minor inefficiency zone below current price
‣ If rejection from supply occurs, this is likely the first pullback zone
🔸 3520–3480 – Mid Impulse Zone
‣ Midpoint of previous leg, includes small demand + EMA21/50 confluence
‣ Valid for short-term reaction if market begins deeper correction
🔸 4. Major Daily Demand Zones (Discount Structure)
🟦 3400–3360 – First Strong Daily Demand
‣ Unmitigated OB + FVG + EMA50 zone
‣ Key bullish continuation level if price pulls back aggressively
‣ First major structural base below premium
🟦 3320–3280 – Swing Accumulation Zone
‣ Old HL base before breakout
‣ Minor imbalance + OB structure
‣ Valid if deeper retracement begins
🟦 3300–3180 – HTF Extreme Demand
‣ Old CHoCH zone + macro structural HL
‣ Full imbalance below – final level before trend change
‣ Only reachable on macro bearish shift or news-driven breakdown
🔸 5. Confluences & Indicators
✅ EMA 5/21/50: Fully locked bullish
✅ RSI: Overbought – signals momentum stretch
✅ FVGs: All remain unfilled below
✅ Fibonacci: Price expanded beyond 1.0 – now in 1.272–1.618 stretch zone
📊 Volume : Elevated – indicates strong interest at highs
🔸 6. Bias & Scenarios
📈 Bullish Bias (as long as 3572 holds):
‣ A breakout above 3666 leads toward 3710–3760 expansion
‣ Retracement into 3592 or 3520 can offer reentry long setups
‣ Bullish structure remains intact until 3360 breaks
📉 Bearish Scenario (only if supply holds + rejection):
‣ A strong bearish daily close inside 3640–3666 may trigger profit-taking
‣ Break of 3572 → opens path to 3520 and deeper retracements
‣ Only under 3360 do we consider sentiment flipped
🔹 Final Thoughts
Gold is showing no weakness yet, but it’s walking on hot coals inside a major premium zone. Bulls need a clear breakout to extend toward 3710+, while bears wait for signs of exhaustion. This is where patience pays – let the daily candle speak before acting.
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🔍 What do you think of this full daily battlefield?
Are you ready to break it down on H4 and hunt the next sniper setup? 👇
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Weekly XAUUSD Outlook – September 15–19, 2025Hello traders,
Gold set a new ATH at 3674, pushing into premium territory. The higher timeframe remains bullish, but price sits above a wide imbalance with untouched OBs below. With FOMC this week, the decision is clear: breakout continuation or correction.
🔸 Weekly Structural Zones (real, wide 30–50$)
🟥 Weekly Supply 3670–3720 (ATH zone): Liquidity pocket around the all-time high. Key decision area for breakout or rejection.
🟥 Weekly Supply 3770–3800: Next untested supply block, aligns with extension targets.
🟥 Weekly Supply 3850–3920: Higher supply area, untouched liquidity cluster above.
🟦 Weekly Imbalance 3590–3450: Wide clean imbalance left behind by the bullish leg. Main corrective magnet.
🟦 Weekly Demand OB 3340–3290: Untouched institutional order block, first major support below imbalance.
🟦 Weekly Demand OB 3180–3120: Deeper valid order block, aligning with retracement confluence.
🟦 Weekly Demand OB 3050–2980: Extreme deep discount order block, still valid on HTF.
🔸 Confluences
EMA Stack (5/21/50/100/200): Bullish lock, EMA50 sits near 3450 inside imbalance.
RSI (Weekly): Overbought → exhaustion risk near ATH supply.
Liquidity: Resting pools above ATH 3674 and under imbalance 3450.
Fibonacci (2640 → 3674 swing): Extensions (3750, 3880) align with upper supply zones. Retracements overlap with weekly OBs, confirming validity.
🔸 Weekly Scenarios
📈 Bullish Expansion
Breakout above 3670–3720 supply → next liquidity magnets at 3770–3800 and 3850–3920.
Dovish FOMC could drive this continuation.
📉 Bearish Correction
Rejection at ATH sends price into 3590–3450 imbalance.
If fully rebalanced → first real support at 3340–3290 demand OB.
Deeper correction possible to 3180–3120 or 3050–2980 demand OBs if macro turns hawkish.
🔥 Summary:
Weekly Supply Zones: 3670–3720, 3770–3800, 3850–3920
Weekly Imbalance: 3590–3450
Weekly Demand OBs: 3340–3290, 3180–3120, 3050–2980
Market stretched at ATH → FOMC will decide breakout or correction.
📌 Gold is at a turning point: breakout above ATH into 3700, 3800+, or correction to rebalance the 3590–3450 gap. Which scenario do you lean toward? Drop a comment below 👇, like and follow GoldFxMinds for precision weekly maps.
Gold Pullback Toward 3,630 as Uptrend Remains IntactHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD (Gold) for a buying opportunity around the 3,630 zone. Gold is trading in an uptrend, with price currently correcting toward this key support/resistance level.
Structure: The broader bias remains bullish, but price is retracing after recent highs.
Key level in focus: 3,630 — a significant zone where buyers may look to rejoin the prevailing trend.
Fundamentals: A softer U.S. Dollar and steady demand for safe-haven assets continue to support the case for Gold strength on dips.
Trade safe,
Joe.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Support & Resistance Analysis for Next Week
Here is my latest structure analysis for Gold.
Resistance 1: 3641 - 3674 area
Resistance 2: 3696 - 3704 area
Support 1: 3612 - 3626 area
Support 2: 3559 - 3580 area
Support 3: 3510 - 3521 area
Support 4: 3489 - 3500 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
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GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3653 and a gap below at 3622. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3653
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3653 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3678
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3678 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3702
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3702 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3727
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3727 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3747
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3747 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3768
BEARISH TARGETS
3622
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3622 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3585
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3585 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3556
3528
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3655 and a gap below at 3615. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3655
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3655 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3696
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3696 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3738
BEARISH TARGETS
3615
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3615 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3583
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3583 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3545
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3545 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3509
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3509 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3458
3409
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3409 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3360
3320
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAPDaily Chart Update
3564 Target Hit, Fresh Gap at 3683 & Breakout Confirmation
As projected in our previous update, the 3564 target has now been reached perfectly following EMA5 lock confirmation above 3433. This milestone completes the initial breakout structure and validates the bullish momentum sequence laid out earlier.
With 3564 achieved, price action has now opened a long-range gap toward 3683. The EMA5 cross and lock above 3564 provides strong continuation evidence, but we must now monitor whether support can be sustained above the channel top. A successful hold here will confirm continuation higher; however, a break back within the channel would classify this as a fake breakout attempt.
Current Outlook
🔹 3564 Target Reached
Upside momentum played out as expected, with EMA5 lock above 3433 providing early confirmation. The move delivered a clean hit of the 3564 target zone.
🔹 Next Objective – 3683
Momentum now extends toward 3683, with EMA5 lock above 3564 giving weight to this projection. Sustaining price above the channel top remains crucial to validating the next leg higher.
🔹 Breakout Validation Needed
Continuation depends on maintaining support above channel resistance. Failure to hold here risks invalidating the breakout and shifting price back into the prior range.
Updated Key Levels
📉 Support – 3272 (pivotal floor)
📉 Short-Term Supports – 3433 & 3564
📈 Resistance / Next Upside Objective – 3683
Thanks as always for your continued support,
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPWeekly Chart Update
3659 Target Achieved, Rejection at 3659 & now Range Play Between Key Levels
As projected, price delivered into the 3659 target after securing a weekly body close above 3576, just as anticipated. This completed the next upside step in sequence.
However, despite momentum into 3659, we did not see a candle body close and EMA5 lock above this level. The lack of confirmation left a rejection in place, establishing 3659 as firm resistance while 3576 now acts as immediate support. Price action is currently playing within this range, and a decisive break above or below will determine the next directional move.
Current Outlook
🔹 3659 Target Achieved
The weekly structure unfolded exactly as expected, with the 3576 breakout leading to a clean push into 3659.
🔹 Rejection at 3659
No body close above 3659 leaves this level as strong resistance for now. Without lock confirmation, bullish continuation into 3732 remains unconfirmed.
🔹 Range Play Between 3659 & 3576
We now look for a confirmed break above 3659 to unlock 3732, or a breakdown below 3576 that would risk pulling price back into the prior channel range.
Updated Levels to Watch
📉 Support – 3576 & 3482
Key floors for maintaining bullish structure. A break back below 3576 puts 3482 in play as the next test.
📈 Resistance – 3659 / Next Objective 3732
3659 remains the ceiling. A sustained close above here opens 3732 as the next target zone.
Plan
Price is consolidating between 3659 resistance and 3576 support. The next move depends on which boundary breaks:
Above 3659: Unlocks 3732 with bullish continuation.
Below 3576: Signals rejection and risks a deeper correction into 3482.
Thanks as always for your support,
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAU/USD technical analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical of Gold (XAU/USD) using the 4H timeframe. Let’s break down the idea behind it:
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Key Technical Insights:
1. H4 FVG (Fair Value Gap) Zone:
The yellow box (~3602 zone) is marked as an imbalance area (FVG) where price is likely to retrace.
Market structure suggests that price may dip into this zone to fill the imbalance before continuing upward.
2. Price Pattern (Consolidation / Pennant):
Current price action shows a triangle/pennant-like consolidation after a strong bullish move.
This usually indicates continuation, but first, liquidity grabs may occur.
3. Liquidity Grab (Liquidity $$$):
The chart notes a liquidity sweep above resistance (~3659).
This suggests that price could fake out higher first, then drop to fill the FVG zone before resuming the bullish move.
4. Target Points:
Short-term downside target: 3602.487 (H4 FVG support).
Upside target 1: 3659.154 (liquidity area).
Upside target 2: 3699.778 (main bullish target).
5. RSI (Relative Strength Index):
Currently around 57–60, showing moderate bullish momentum but not overbought.
Supports the idea of a retracement before continuation.
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Trade Idea Summary:
Bias: Bullish (after retracement)
Scenario:
1. Price may first grab liquidity (fake-out up) or directly retrace down.
2. Dip into the 3602 FVG zone.
3. Strong bounce expected → rally toward 3659 and 3699 targets.
Entry Idea: Look for long entries near 3602–3610 zone (confirmation with bullish candle patterns preferred).
Targets:
TP1: 3659
TP2: 3699
Stop-Loss: Below the FVG zone (~3580).
Mr SMC Trading point
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Conclusion:
This is a bullish continuation setup where Gold could correct down into the H4 FVG zone before resuming its larger uptrend. The plan focuses on buying dips rather than chasing highs.
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Please support boost 🚀 this analysis
GOLD → Consolidation before continuing growth to 3700 FX:XAUUSD resumed its growth on Friday, approaching the $3,650 level, amid growing expectations of aggressive Fed rate cuts and geopolitical risks. The metal remains near record highs and is poised for a fourth consecutive week of gains.
Key drivers: Probability of a 25 bp rate cut on September 17 — 92%, chance of a 50 bp cut — 8%. Markets are expecting three cuts in 2024. US plans to impose new tariffs on India and China are supporting demand for safe havens.
Gold remains in a bullish trend. The weak US economy and geopolitics are pushing it to new highs, but profit-taking at current levels is possible.
There is no news today, so trading may be relatively calm.
Technically, if the price does not retest 3738 but begins to consolidate near 3657 and attempts a breakout, the chances of continued growth will increase.
Support levels: 3638, 3630
Resistance levels: 3649, 3657
I expect the market to reach the liquidity zone of 3638 before returning to retest the trigger. However, if MM deems this maneuver unnecessary and forms a trading range between 3657 and 3649, then closing above 3657 could lead to another bullish distribution.
Sincerely, R. Linda!