Gold
Gold (XAUUSD) Intraday Analysis – September 3, 2025On the H1 timeframe:
Gold has broken out strongly from the accumulation zone around 3,370 – 3,380 USD/oz and is moving within a rising channel.
The price is now testing the key resistance zone at 3,535 – 3,540 USD/oz, which is acting as a short-term ceiling.
Short-term EMAs remain bullish, confirming upward momentum. However, RSI on H1 is entering the overbought territory, signaling a potential short-term pullback.
Fibonacci retracement of the latest leg up (3,380 → 3,535) highlights important support levels at:
3,500 USD (Fibo 23.6% + EMA confluence)
3,470 USD (Fibo 38.2%)
3,440 USD (Fibo 61.8%)
Key Levels:
Resistance: 3,535 – 3,540 | 3,560 (extension)
Support: 3,500 | 3,470 | 3,440
Intraday Trading Strategies:
Trend-following long setup:
Look for buy opportunities on a retracement to 3,500 – 3,470, targeting 3,535 – 3,560.
Stop loss below 3,440.
Counter-trend short setup:
If price fails to break above 3,540 and a reversal candlestick forms on H1, consider a short entry around 3,530 – 3,535.
Target back to 3,500 with a stop loss above 3,545.
Outlook:
The primary bias remains bullish as long as price holds above 3,470. However, the overbought condition suggests a corrective move may come before the next breakout. Traders should focus on Fibonacci zones for precise entries.
- Follow closely to catch the next move, and save these levels for your trading plan today .
XAUUSD: Ready for the Next Breakout?Hello, let’s take a broader look at OANDA:XAUUSD together.
Last Friday, gold surged strongly. The precious metal is now moving around 3447 USD and has become more attractive than ever.
So, what’s next for gold?
From an economic and market perspective, gold is benefiting from ongoing uncertainties, global conflicts, and speculation about the FED’s upcoming rate cuts. The weakening USD has been the driving force behind gold’s continued rally at this stage.
Technical outlook: Gold has just broken higher and is now facing its all-time highs. The formation of an ascending triangle is approaching its climax, and XAUUSD may break out to test higher levels. The answer is only a matter of time. A candle close above the resistance zone will be something to watch for, with the first psychological target at the 3500 USD round level.
Given the current setup, I’m waiting for XAUUSD to push through resistance.
What about you—what do you think will happen? Share your thoughts in the comments.
Good luck!
GOLD SELL CMP 3539 Short term corrective sell for aggressiveGOLD SELL CMP 3539 Short term corrective sell for aggressive Traders. Gold has given a breakout . now its time to retest the break out area so called corrective trade, so aggressive entry in opposite direction against the Higher time trend .
The Most Bullish Chart in the stock marketWhat does this 10 year yield and 2 year yield chart represent?
Is the bond market signaling a big economic event?
This bond market signal has a 100% success rate...but timing is the hard part since its a monthly long term signal.
Wait until we make a new pivot high in this chart...we should see some fireworks.
If you need to know what this means subscribe to our Youtube channel Where we often discuss macro economics and equites.
Will gold break through $3,500 on September 2nd?
I. Core Fundamental Drivers
Expectations of a Fed Rate Cut Strengthen:
Market expectations for a September Fed rate cut have risen to over 87%. Fed Chairman Powell has previously signaled a dovish stance, suggesting an openness to a rate cut. If the interest rate cut is implemented, it will weaken the attractiveness of the US dollar, reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, and be good for gold prices.
Safe-haven demand surges:
The dismissal of a Federal Reserve governor has raised questions about the Fed's independence and weakened confidence in US dollar assets.
Geopolitical tensions and continued global economic uncertainty (such as tariff policies and recession concerns) have driven funds into gold as a safe haven.
II. Key Technical Levels
Current Price: Spot gold is trading around $3,475 (yesterday's high of $3,489), approaching the historically important $3,500 level.
Support Levels:
Major support: $3,460-3,450 (short-term strength/weakness dividing line). Key Support: $3440 (recent low, trend-sustaining lifeline).
Resistance:
Near-term resistance: $3490-3500 (historical high breakout level).
Targets after a breakout: $3530, $3580 (bullish extension targets).
Technical Pattern:
The daily chart is at the end of a converging triangle and has broken upwards. Both the weekly and monthly charts closed with large bullish candles, indicating strong bullish momentum.
III. Short-Term Trading Strategy
Long Strategy:
Entry Time: Go long after a pullback to the 3460-3450 area and stabilization (conservative traders can arrange long orders in batches).
Stop loss setting: below $3440 (if it falls below this level, the trend will weaken).
Target Range: $3490-3500 (hold for a target of $3530+ after a breakout).
Short Strategy:
Participate with a light position only when a rebound encounters resistance: Short sell after a stagflation signal appears in the 3490-3500 area. Stop loss setting: above $3505.
Target range: $3470-3460 (quick entry and exit, betting on technical pullbacks).
Buy on breakouts:
If the price breaks through the $3500 level, you can buy with a small position, targeting $3530-3550.
IV. Risk Warning
Historical seasonality: Over the past 10 years, the probability of a gold price decline in September has been 70%. Be wary of "good news exhaustion" and technical false breakouts.
Position Management: Limit risk per trade to 2%-5% of total capital, and avoid buying heavily at high levels.
If expectations of a Fed rate cut reverse or geopolitical risks ease, gold prices could face a deep correction.
Summary: The short-term bullish trend remains unchanged. The operation is mainly to go long on pullbacks, with a focus on the breakthrough of the 3460-3450 support and the 3500 mark. Be cautious and strictly control risks before the release of non-farm data.
Explaining Fibonacci Retracement/Extension levelsThis video is designed to help teach you why I use the Fibonacci Defense levels as components of price action and how I use Fibonacci retracement/extension levels (related to previous market trends).
Remember, the three components of price action are TIME, PRICE, & ENERGY.
If you don't understand how price is structured before attempting to use Fibonacci concepts, it's almost like trying to throw darts blindfolded.
You must break down the previous trends in order to try to understand what is happening with current price trends (expansion/contraction/phases).
Watch this video and I hope it helps all of you understand what the markets are doing and how to use Fibonacci Retracement/Extension levels more efficiently.
All types of technical analysis are validation tools - not guarantees. The only thing we get out of technical analysis is a way to validate or invalidate our expectations. A or B. Nothing else.
Get some.
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XAUUSD Gold Intraday Setup 02.09.2025Gold is currently trading at 3473, after hitting new ATH around 3508, now testing into a key demand zone. Price has shown a corrective move after the recent bullish impulse and is reacting from a consolidation order block.
Key Levels:
First buy zone: 3469–3473 → aligns with immediate demand and prior accumulation.
Second buy zone (deeper retracement): 3449–3454 → lower demand zone + strong support base.
Structure & Bias:
Market structure remains bullish with higher highs and higher lows intact.
Current pullback is corrective in nature, tapping into demand zones.
Liquidity below minor lows (around 3470 and 3450) could be swept before a strong bullish continuation.
Targets:
First target: 3492 (recent high/intraday resistance).
Second target: 3508 (swing high, liquidity pool).
Trade Plan:
Look for bullish confirmation (rejection wick, engulfing, or structure shift) in the 3469–3473 zone for a buy entry.
If price breaks below decisively, next long entry should be considered from the 3449–3454 zone.
Stop-loss ideally below 3460 for the first zone, and below 3435 for the second zone.
👉 In short: Bias is bullish; buy dips into 3469–73 or 3449–54, aiming for 3492 & 3508.
BUY GOLD
Gold is bullish...Price has been trading inside a long-term ascending channel and recently broke out of an ascending triangle consolidation near the upper midline of the channel. This breakout suggests continuation of the bullish trend, with potential upside toward the channel resistance around the $3,600 - 3,800 zone.
GOLD (XAUUSD): The Next Potential Resistances
As Gold is now trading in a no man's land, here are
2 potentially strong resistances that I spotted.
Psychological Resistance 1: 3550
Psychological Resistance 2: 3600
The price is heading toward Resistance 1.
It will most likely be the next goal for the buyers.
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Gold | H1 Double Bottom | GTradingMethodHello Traders.
Welcome to today's trade idea by GTradingMethod.
🧐 Market Overview
Gold has been making higher highs while RSI has been making lower highs, which is known as negative RSI divergence. This is an indication of weakening buying strength. For further confluence, this potential double top is at the ATH level, which could provide further resistance.
📊 Trade Plan
Risk/reward = 2.9
Entry price = 3 497.6
Stop loss price = 3 515.5
Take profit level 1 (50%) = 3 456.4
Take profit level 2 (50%) = 3 431.9
💡 GTradingMethod Tip
Always predefine your risk for every trade and always accept this risk. If you accept the risk, there can be no emotional pain. If you do not get emotional, you will interpret the market's information objectively.
🙏 Thanks for checking out my post!
Make sure to follow me to catch the next idea and please share your thoughts - I would like to hear them.
📌 Please note:
This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
Gold Holds Above 3402 Ahead of PCE – Key Pivot at 3413GOLD – Update
Gold futures eased slightly but remain on track to end the week higher, supported by growing bets on a September Fed rate cut. While recent U.S. economic data added uncertainty that could temper the rally, ongoing geopolitical risks continue to underpin safe-haven demand.
Technical Outlook:
Price stabilized above 3402, maintaining bullish momentum toward 3422 as previously highlighted.
In the near term, a correction back to 3402 is possible.
If PCE prints hotter than expected, gold could extend losses toward 3393 → 3383.
If PCE comes in softer or in line, bullish momentum should resume from 3402, targeting 3420 → 3436 → 3450.
Key Levels:
Pivot: 3413
Support: 3402 – 3393 – 3383
Resistance: 3420 – 3436 – 3450
📌 Bias: Neutral into the PCE release. Watch the 3402–3413 zone for directional confirmation.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
After completing Bullish Targets 3458 and 3477 yesterday, we got the EMA5 cross and lock above 3477, which opened 3497. That level was hit perfectly today. With no lock above, we confirmed the rejection, and now price is showing support and bounce at 3477.
We are now seeing play between 3497 and 3477 and will need ema5 cross and lock to confirm the next move.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3458 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3458 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3477 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3477 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3497 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3497 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3513
BEARISH TARGETS
3439
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3439 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3417
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3417 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3395
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3395 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3369
3352
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3395 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3336
3315
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD: Long Trading Opportunity
GOLD
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long GOLD
Entry - 3483.1
Sl - 3479.3
Tp - 3491.7
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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GOLD: Strong Bullish Sentiment! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 3,478.27 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 3,484.06.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
XAU/USD | Breakout in Progress – Are You Ready for the Next ATH?By analyzing the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that, as expected from our analysis two days ago, the price began its bullish move from the $3383 zone and successfully hit all four targets at $3393, $3398, $3404, and $3409 — but it didn’t stop there! Gold continued its rally beyond those levels.
As anticipated in yesterday’s outlook, we closely watched the $3419–$3429 supply zone for a potential bearish reaction. When price reached $3424, it dropped to $3404, validating our second scenario as well. Although the drop could’ve extended further, the combined result of both scenarios delivered over 500 pips of total profit!
After hitting $3404, gold gained demand again — and with the release of the U.S. Core PCE data, this bullish trend strengthened, pushing price up toward its all-time high (ATH) near $3500. Gold is now trading around $3447, just 500 pips away from that historic level.
Given the increasing odds of a Fed rate cut in September, the bullish momentum is likely to continue. In my view, a new ATH for gold could be on the horizon in the coming weeks.
Hope this analysis helps you ride the wave — make the most of it! 💰📈
THE LATEST ANALYSIS 👇🏼
Will $3500 be the next stop for gold? 👀
👇 Drop your thoughts below & don’t miss the next update!
XAUUSD Buys at 3476 Now Perfect entry📍 XAUUSD Buy Alert – Sept 2, 2025
Gold just broke out above key resistance at $3,476, confirming bullish momentum. With Fed rate cut expectations and strong central bank demand backing the move, this entry looks 🔥 for short-term upside.
Bias: Strong Buy
Entry: $3,476
Target: $3,514 / $3,545
Support: $3,430
Note: Holding above $3,476 could trigger a run toward $3,700 in coming weeks.
Perfect timing for momentum traders—ride the wave while it lasts.
Gold Outlook: Record Highs vs Pullback RisksGold is approaching breakout confirmation toward new all-time highs, with daily RSI signaling overbought conditions. However, price action remains near a critical resistance zone needing further confirmation for a breakout; and, in times of heightened uncertainty, momentum indicators rarely constrain gold’s bullish potential.
• A clean hold above 3500 and 3,540 would confirm further upside toward 3,780 — the projected height of the 5-month consolidation — and potentially $4,000.
• On the downside, pullback risks may find support at 3,430, 3,410, and 3,360 before threatening a deeper reversal toward 3,260 or lower.
Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
GOLD Is Going Down! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 3,485.32.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 3,418.30 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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Holding bullish trend, waiting for PMI to spark the next wave ⚓️ Captain Vincent – Gold Plan XAU/USD
1. Market Wave 🌍
The USD continues to weaken as investors increasingly believe the FED will cut rates in the coming months.
As the greenback loses appeal, big money is shifting away from cash into safe-haven assets → Gold emerges as the top choice .
👉 This supports a sustained bullish trend . If USD selling pressure continues, the market could witness new breakouts toward the year-end.
2. Technical Analysis ⚙️
On H2, Gold just made a Higher High after BOS , confirming buyers still hold the upper hand.
Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone 3,450 – 3,452): Overlaps with old FVG, high liquidity area.
Quick Boarding 🚤 (OB ~3,470): Intermediate support, good spot for quick pullback entries.
Storm Breaker 🌊 (Sell Zone 3,538 – 3,540): Fib 0.618–0.786 resistance, profit-taking supply expected on retest.
👉 Intraday bias: Wait for pullback to Buy. Short-term Sell only if Gold tests Storm Breaker.
3. Captain Vincent’s Map – Key Levels 🪙
Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone): 3,450 – 3,452
Quick Boarding 🚤 (OB Support): 3,470
Storm Breaker 🌊 (Sell Zone): 3,538 – 3,540
4. Trade Scenarios 📌
🔺 Golden Harbor 🏝️ (BUY – Priority)
Entry: 3,450 – 3,452
SL: 3,444
TP: 3,455 → 3,458 → 3,462 → 3,465 → 34xx
🔻 Storm Breaker 🌊 (SELL Reaction)
Entry: 3,538 – 3,540
SL: 3,548
TP: 3,535 → 3,532 → 3,529 → 35xx
5. Captain’s Note ⚓
"The golden sail still rides the bullish wind, but Storm Breaker 🌊 above may stir counterwaves. Be patient at Golden Harbor 🏝️ for the right entry, and keep eyes on PMI at 21:00 – the catalyst for the next wave."
GOLD → False breakout at 3500. What next? 3400 or 3600?FX:XAUUSD updates its ATH on the spot market to 3508.5 and forms a false breakout, provoking liquidation and profit-taking. The imbalance in the market is changing, and a deeper correction is possible...
Gold updated its historical maximum above $3500, but faced a correction amid a short-term strengthening of the dollar. The market's attention is focused on the US ISM Manufacturing PMI data, which may determine further dynamics.
Key drivers: The probability of a rate cut in September is estimated at 90%, which supports gold. Pressure on the USD continues due to concerns about the independence of the Fed (pressure from Trump) and geopolitics. The escalation of the Russia-Ukraine conflict (new strikes by the Armed Forces of Ukraine on Russian territory) is increasing demand for defensive assets.
Ahead of the ISM Manufacturing PMI: Forecast — growth to 49 (but remains in the contraction zone). If the data turns out to be weaker, it will strengthen dollar sales and push gold to new records.
Resistance levels: 3485, 3500
Support levels: 3467.6, 3441, 3423
Technically, gold may enter a longer consolidation or correction. If the bears keep the price below 3490-3485, then in the short term, we can expect a decline to the specified support zones. I do not rule out the possibility of a retest of 3500-3505, but at the moment I do not see the potential for the market to continue growing (in the short term!).
Best regards, R. Linda!