XAUUSD (GOLD) Trend Shift Confirmed After Third Drive ReactionHi!
Gold has completed a clear Three-Drive Reversal pattern, with the third drive tapping into the major support zone around 4165–4175. This area has repeatedly acted as a strong demand pocket, and the sharp reaction confirms buyers are still active. Following the third drive, price broke the minor descending trendline, signaling the first shift in short-term momentum.
Current Structure
After breaking the trendline, price is now forming a healthy sequence of higher lows. The next key area is the mid-range supply zone at 4215–4220 (highlighted in red). A controlled pullback into higher-low structure would maintain bullish pressure and build the base for continuation.
Upside Targets
If buyers successfully reclaim the 4215–4220 zone, the next major target sits at the 4237–4240 resistance (green zone). This aligns with the next liquidity cluster and previous strong reaction points.
⚠️ Validation
The bullish scenario remains valid as long as price holds above the structure created after the third drive. A heavy rejection back below the support zone would invalidate the setup.
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Goldlong
XAUUSD Delivered Excellent [ 610 PIPS] PROFITsAs I discussed throughout my TODAY'S Commentary
What was my stance & Postions:
I took buy in my early trade from at London session also shared my Setup and target was 4215 which XAUUSD delivered
Second hiting my first Target i have waited for Gold to deliver decent pullback and respect the previous BOS at $4200 - $4195 Belt I found such on $4194-4195 bos test. I have engaged big Lot set of Buying orders again along (#4185 Stop loss ) and closed my orders on $4220 .
I want to take this moment to congratulate the traders who followed my calls and patiently held their orders. Great job — enjoy the profits and have a great weekend.
Massive win of Day
GOLD is bullish : buy now...XAUUSD (GOLD) was recently in a short term downtrend for a few weeks but has now shown some clear bullish movements ahead. XAUUSD (Gold) has broken out of a downward trend channel that was acting as strong resistance, The price is very likely to head to the next strong resistance level which is marked as the take profit zone (green line). BUY GOLD NOW
GOLD 4H Chart AnalysisDear Traders – 8 Dec 2025
Please review the updated 4H chart.
Since the start of December 2025, GOLD has been repeatedly testing key levels, with an upside gap near 4262 and a downside gap near 4164. Price is likely to continue testing both sides until one of these levels breaks, confirming the next directional move and range.
On the 4H timeframe, the double bullish symmetrical triangle has broken to the upside, which is a clear bullish signal. However, there is still a possibility of one more retest toward the lower level around 4135 – 4165 zone and potentially to the retracement zone.
If a candle closes and holds below the ifvg zone around at 4135, we could see a deeper retracement toward the 4000 – 4044 area.
IMPORTANT:
This week's news calendar is packed with high impact events. Please be cautious with your trades and positions, as the market are expected to be volatile across the board.
Keep this in mind when looking for buy entries from dips. The updated chart will help you monitor any downward move and catch the potential bullish bounce.
Bullish Targets: 4244, 4278, 4328
Bearish Targets: 4135, 4044
XAUUSD H4📌 1. Market Context (4H)
Gold is currently in a corrective phase after a strong impulsive rally. The chart shows price revisiting a liquidity-rich demand zone, suggesting the market may be preparing for a reversal leg upward.
📌 2. Wyckoff Interpretation
You’ve marked the current area as potential Spring:
Price swept the previous lows (equal lows) → Liquidity grab
Deep test into the highlighted BUY-side liquidity zone
Strong bullish reaction after the sweep
This behavior aligns with a Wyckoff accumulation, where:
Phase C = Spring
Price manipulation clears liquidity before the new uptrend.
📌 3. Elliott Wave Structure
Your labeling suggests:
The decline formed a 5-wave bearish structure (1 → 5)
Completion of wave (5) aligns with the Spring
Now price is in wave A → B → C correction upwards
Current Position:
Wave A is forming upward
Wave B expected to retrace slightly
Wave C projected to break higher toward resistance/targets
📌 4. Key Levels
🔹 Demand / Reversal Zone
$4,175 – $4,185 (the blue box)
This has acted as liquidity grab + Spring
🔹 Support
$4,190.82 (blue dashed line)
Current retest area after Spring rejection
🔹 Interim Resistances
$4,216.97 → former supply / wave A termination zone
$4,240.63 → 0.786 retracement
🔹 Final Target Zone
$4,259.28 (marked as Target)
Also aligns with previous Wyckoff UTAD zone / supply
📌 5. Price Outlook (Bullish Scenario)
If Wyckoff Spring + Elliott structure remains valid:
Price forms wave B retracement near $4,200–4,205
Then initiates wave C toward upper liquidity areas
Final rally into $4,240 – $4,260 zone
This would sweep previous highs where major liquidity sits
This path matches the projection drawn in your chart.
Gold Forecast - Trade Zones & Setup Before FOMCGold is still trading weak under the descending trendline and the price continues to reject the 4220–4230 resistance zone. As long as it stays below this area the chart suggests bearish pressure toward 4170 and possibly 4145–4130 where strong liquidity sits.
With the Fed rate decision tomorrow volatility is expected to increase so price may remain choppy within this range until the announcement. A clear bullish shift only comes if gold breaks and holds above 4225 which could reopen the path toward 4250–4260. For now structure remains bearish with lower-high formations and clean downside targets visible.
🔵 Buy Zone
- 4165–4175 → This is the main demand zone.
- Buy Trigger: A strong bullish candle / rejection wick from 4165–4170 confirms buyers stepping in.
- Upside Target: 4200 → 4220 → 4230.
🔴 Sell Zone
- 4220–4230 → Major supply + trendline resistance.
- Sell Trigger: If price retests 4220–4230 and gives rejection or bearish engulfing, downside resumes.
- Downside Target: 4170 → 4145 → 4130.
⚠️ Important Note (Fed Rates Tomorrow):
Before the announcement, gold may stay inside 4200–4170 range, so triggers will be cleaner after the news when volatility expands.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
#XAUUSD(GOLD):+1300 Pips Move Before Our Swing Sell Entry ActiveGold is likely to continue bullish move where we expect price to hit around 4380 area or 4400. This our intraday approach and before our sell entry get activated which will be our swing entry. There is only one target for this setup which is 4390$. You can adjust stop loss and take profit based on your own view.
If you like our work then do consider liking and commenting the idea.
Team Setupsfx_
XAUUSD H4 | Bullish Bounce Off Overlap SupportMomentum: Bullish
Price is currently above the ichimoku cloud.
Buy entry: 4,163.66
- Overlap support
- 38.2% Fib retracement
- 78.6% Fib projection
Stop Loss: 4,111.85
- Overlap support
- 61.8% Fib retracement
Take Profit: 4,219.19
- Swing high resistance
High Risk Investment Warning
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How to find an entry point within a trading range#XAUUSD TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold rebounded as expected after retracing to around 4170. Those who followed this strategy and executed long trades may consider taking profits and exiting the market. From the daily chart, the short-term gold price is below the MA5 and MA10, indicating a weak market. If it cannot effectively break through the short-term resistance of 4185-4195 and hold above the daily MA5 and MA10, then gold still has room for a pullback. Meanwhile, looking at both the daily and weekly charts, in the absence of major news events, there is strong support at 4150-4140, which may trigger short-term fluctuations. The first pullback to this level could present an opportunity to go long on gold.
GOLD is bullish - time to buy now...XAUUSD (GOLD) was recently in a short term downtrend for a few weeks but has now shown some clear bullish movements ahead. XAUUSD (Gold) has broken out of a downward trend channel that was acting as strong resistance, The price is very likely to head to the next strong resistance level which is marked as the take profit zone (green line). Time to buy GOLD!
Gold Technical Outlook: Gold
📈 Upside Scenario (Bullish)
The current trading level is around the break-even point of 4180. We can note that the current trend suggests trading around this break-even point with a bullish direction aiming to reach the resistance line at 4218.
Confirmation: Breaking the resistance line at 4218 and closing a 1-hour candle above it will fully support the upside trend.
Targets: The movement will be towards reaching the levels of 4245 and 4265.
📉 Downside Scenario (Bearish)
If the price manages to make a correction and breaks the break-even point of 4180 downwards, the trend will become bearish, aiming to reach the support line at 4165.
Continuation: To continue the descent towards the level of 4145, the 4165 support level must be broken.
Summary of Key Levels
Break-even Area: 4180
Upside Targets: 4218, 4245, 4265
Downside Targets/Supports: 4165, 4145
The Calm Before the Storm: How to Position Your Gold#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Gold prices are currently falling slowly and have already broken below 4190. In the short term, if the decline continues, it may test the lower Bollinger Band on the 4-hour chart around 4180. If it touches this level for the first time before the interest rate announcement, a small long position can be considered. I have marked the other key points on the map. You can refer to the layout of the key points. In conclusion, the interest rate itself was not the key point of this interest rate decision, the dot plot, economic forecasts, and bond-buying program were the deciding factors. Correspondingly, gold is highly likely to experience significant volatility tonight, without a doubt.
GOLD SHORT 70% PAYOFF HERE long l acitve above alarm activeOANDA:XAUUSD im waiting strrong magnet is much below i could xhort here but , i cant ignore the swwep last it did so waiting for more bearish clue shorting is 70% ,waiting long is more prone if it clear some resistance follow for more updates
XAUUSD ( wait for key levels how Gold react after break levels)If Gold break trend line in down side wait for retest the trend line and Sell it.
And how Gold move buy side wait for gold break the supply zone 4264 and 4255. if gold break and close H1 candle above the 4264 wait for retest and buy the gold.
Other wise Gold the time side way move you can buy on support levels and buy on resistance levels.
“Support Bounce → Bullish Continuation Toward 4,245🟡 GOLD (XAU/USD) – Bullish Rejection from Support & Breakout Potential 🚀📈
🔍 Key Technical Analysis
Price respected the Support Level (4,185 – 4,190) and bounced strongly ✔️
Price is currently following an ascending Support Line → bullish structure intact 📈
Previous liquidity sweep (POI Points) shows buyers absorbing sell pressure 💰
Multiple breakouts indicate strong bullish momentum returning 🔥
Current consolidation suggests accumulation before next move up
🎯 Suggested Targets (with stickers)
Target Type Price Range Sticker
TP1 → Breakout Target 4,235 – 4,245 🎯
TP2 → Upper Expansion Zone 4,255 – 4,265 🚀💸
📌 TP1 = High-probability target
📌 TP2 = If bullish momentum continues strongly
📌 Trade Idea (Based on Chart Structure)
🟩 Buy Entry Zone:
➤ 4,195 – 4,205
🟢 Take Profit:
➤ TP1: 4,240 🎯
➤ TP2: 4,260 🚀
🧭 Market Outlook
Factor Bias
Trend Bullish above support ✔️
Liquidity Upside liquidity open 💧
Momentum Strengthening 📈
GOLD BUYS 4200 taking a 1:3 rr buy trade on gold based on ICT concept BISI as shown on 5m tf pic
This trade is based on the ICT concept of **BISI (Break of Structure, Institutional Order Flow, and Smart Money Concepts)**.
1. **Break of Structure (BoS)**:
We observed a **bullish market structure** break at the recent low, confirming that the price is likely to move upward in the near future. The last significant swing low was breached, indicating a potential reversal or continuation of the bullish trend.
2. **Institutional Order Flow (IOF)**:
The **smart money** is entering the market, as we see higher time frame order blocks and **liquidity zones** aligning with the current market price action. The buying pressure from institutions is evident as we see aggressive price action and volume in the order flow.
3. **Smart Money Entry (SME)**:
A **smart money entry** was identified near the recent demand zone, where institutional buying activity has been observed. The entry point is located at a **discount price** relative to the recent bullish move, allowing us to get in at a favorable risk-to-reward setup.
XAUUSD H4
The image provided is a chart of XAUUSD (Gold vs. US Dollar) on the H4 (4-Hour) timeframe, with markings that strongly suggest a Wyckoff Accumulation Schematic. The question specifically asks for an analysis of the "Wyckoff Spring."
Here is a detailed analysis based on the visual evidence in the chart and the principles of the Wyckoff Method:
📈 XAUUSD H4 Analysis: Wyckoff Accumulation Schematic
The chart appears to depict a Trading Range (TR) following a prior markdown/downtrend, characteristic of a Wyckoff Accumulation Phase.
Key Events and Phases (as interpreted from the image):
Phase A (Stopping Action):
Selling Climax (SC): This is the large, initial downward spike that halts the downtrend.
Automatic Rally (AR): The price sharply rebounds from the SC low, marking the top of the initial range.
Secondary Test (ST): The price moves back down to test the SC low, but fails to break it significantly.
Phase B (Cause Building):
The price moves sideways, forming the main body of the Trading Range (TR) between the SC low and the AR high. This phase is where the "Composite Man" (large institutions) quietly accumulates positions.
Phase C (The Test):
The crucial event in this phase is the Spring.
🔍 Analysis of the "Wyckoff Spring"
The area labeled "Spring" on your chart is a classic manifestation of the Wyckoff principle:
Definition: A Spring is a price movement below the established support of the Trading Range (TR) that quickly reverses to close back inside the TR. It is a "test" of the remaining supply (sellers) and often looks like a "shakeout" or "false breakdown."
Interpretation in the Chart:
The price has broken below the lows established by the SC and ST (the support of the TR).
This move likely triggered the stop-losses of retail traders who were long (buying) or selling at the break of support, allowing the Composite Man to buy up the supply at a lower price.
The quick reversal and close back inside the TR indicate that the supply below the support level has been effectively absorbed by strong institutional demand.
Volume Clues (Crucial for Confirmation):
A successful Spring is typically accompanied by high volume on the downward break, indicating selling, but then low volume on the subsequent Test of the Spring (the small pullback immediately after the spring), confirming that the selling has been exhausted. While volume is not visible in the crop, this is the textbook confirmation.
Phase D (Sign of Strength - SOS):
Following the successful Spring, the price has rallied significantly. This is labeled as the Sign of Strength (SOS), where the price breaks above the midpoint and potentially the top of the TR (the AR level). This movement confirms that demand has taken control and the accumulation is likely complete.
Phase E (The Mark Up):
After the SOS, the price should break decisively out of the TR and begin a sustained Mark Up (uptrend).
🎯 Trading Conclusion & Next Steps
Based on the Wyckoff Accumulation Schematic:
Bias: The current bias is Bullish (Buy), as the price is in the final stages of accumulation (Phase D) and preparing for a potential Mark Up (Phase E).
Key Resistance/Target: The immediate target would be the high of the Trading Range (the AR level) and then a clear breakout above it to confirm Phase E.
Support/Invalidation: The low of the Spring (the absolute low of the range) serves as the critical stop-loss or invalidation point. If the price breaks below the Spring low with high volume, the accumulation schematic is likely invalidated, and a further markdown is
As long as the trend support holds, the outlook remains bullish#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Looking at the intraday trend, the overall volatility was very limited, but it did not break the upward trend line. The short-term support level to watch is 4200-4185. If the price does not break through the support level on the first pullback, we can continue to consider going long on gold. Pay attention to the short-term resistance level at 4235-4245.
How XAUUSD and DXY reflecting each other?It says morning can proivde clues on the day! similarly daily open can provide how the price do all along the day!
Since market open on DXY, the price indicating bearish price action expect this hour with a rejection upside which in turn could be preparation for drop again as market left imblalance toward the downside.
GOLD is, as the mirror of DXY has creating mirror price action with initial bounce now moving back towards daily support level.
As DXY indicating bearish move further, It is high probability GOLD may bounce off the daily support level.
So todays level looking at
DXY possible down from 99.02
GOLD possible upside from 4198.00
Gold: Pullback in Place — Ready for the Next Leg Up1. Market Structure
- On the H1 we see a sequence of Higher Lows (HL) and occasional Higher Highs (HH) — structure is overall bullish.
- A short-term Break of Structure (BOS) lower occurred earlier, but price recovered and re-established HLs, showing buyers defending support.
- Current action is a retest/pullback into the marked entry circle where trend support, a micro HL, and previous reaction converge — classic break→retest environment for continuation.
2) Key Levels
- Entry / Decision Zone (circled): ~4,195 – 4,200 (area of trend confluence).
- Immediate Support (stop area): 4,181 (invalidation if weekly/4H candles close below).
- Major Support below: 4,163 (deeper invalidation / structural change).
- First Target / Minor Resistance: 4,225 (mid-term take-profit).
- Extended Target / Higher Liquidity: 4,266+ (larger swing target).
3) Scenarios
Main (High-probability) — Bullish Continuation
- Condition: price holds the entry circle and the HL structure remains intact.
- Plan: look for bullish confirmation (tight range breakout / bullish engulf / clean H1 close) in the entry zone.
- Targets: TP1 4,225 → TP2 4,266+.
SL: below 4,181 (protect capital if structure fails).
Alternative (Low-probability) — Deeper Correction / Bearish
- Trigger: decisive 4H/1H close below 4,181 and then below 4,163.
- Outcome: structure flips to lower lows → expect drop toward lower support zones and stop hunting.
- Action: avoid new longs; wait for re-accumulation.
4) Summary
- Gold is showing a textbook pullback into structural support — this is where trend-followers prepare, not panic. If price respects the circled entry and gives a clean bullish confirmation, the path to 4,225 → 4,266+ is the high-probability play.
Remain disciplined: protect capital at 4,181 and only add when price confirms the turn.
Trade the structure, not the noise — discipline turns good analysis into real profit.






















