Gold XAUUSD Intraday Setup 22.09.2025Gold has recently broken its all-time high and is currently trading at 3711, signaling continued bullish momentum in the market. However, after such a strong breakout, a short-term retracement is likely as price action tends to revisit previous consolidation zones to gather liquidity. I'm now watching the 3693–3696 area closely—a key level where gold previously consolidated before the breakout. This zone is expected to act as a liquidity pocket, where the market may dip briefly to shake out early long positions and trap impatient sellers before resuming its upward trajectory. This kind of move is typical in strong trending markets, where price pulls back to retest former resistance turned support and collect orders before the next leg higher. My plan is to go long in the 3693–96 range, with a tight stop-loss placed at 3685, just below the liquidity sweep zone, minimizing downside risk. The target for this trade is 3725, anticipating that momentum will carry gold to fresh highs once the pullback completes and institutional buying steps back in.
Goldlong
XAUUSD – Strategic Selling Zone and Detailed Trading ScenariosTechnical Analysis
Gold (XAUUSD) is experiencing a strong upward trend and has now reached the Fibonacci extension zone of 1.618 – 2.618, a common area for short-term profit-taking and distribution.
Sell Zone Fibo 2.618 (3,730–3,735): the first potential supply zone, where a bearish confirmation candle on H1/H4 could likely trigger a correction.
Sell Zone Swing (3,745–3,750): a strong supply zone converging multiple Fibonacci extensions, with a higher risk of reversal.
Short-term Buy Zone (3,690–3,700): an intermediate support zone after breaking the previous peak, suitable for scalping buys if retested and confirmed.
Buy Swing (3,645–3,650): the main support zone, converging with EMA200 H1 and an old trendline, considered a 'safe buying point' if a deep correction occurs.
The RSI (14) is currently at 77, indicating an overbought condition. Historically, every time RSI exceeds 75, a significant correction follows. This is a warning signal for traders to consider gradually taking profits on short-term Buy positions and prepare for Sell or Buy scenarios at lower price levels.
Trading Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Sell at Supply Zone:
Entry: 3,732–3,735 (Fibo 2.618) or extend to 3,745–3,750 (Sell Zone Swing)
SL: above 3,740
TP1: 3,707
TP2: 3,690–3,700 (Buy Zone)
TP3: 3,661
TP4: 3,645
Scenario 2 – Short-term Buy (regression scalping):
Entry: 3,670–3,700 (after H1 confirmation candle)
SL: below 3,690
TP1: 3,718
TP2: 3,730
Scenario 3 – Long-term Buy Swing:
Entry: 3,645–3,648 (EMA200 + main support zone)
SL: below 3,640
TP1: 3,690
TP2: 3,707
TP3: 3,730
Key Price Levels to Watch
3,730–3,750: the strongest current supply zone, suitable for Sell scenarios based on Fibonacci extensions.
3,690–3,700: short-term Buy Zone, a crucial retest area to confirm the trend.
3,661: an intermediate level, a break below could lead to a decline towards EMA200.
3,645: potential Buy Swing, the main support of the upward structure.
Overall Assessment
The main trend on H1 remains upward, but the current price level is overbought, suggesting a likely correction towards support before continuing the trend.
The most suitable strategy now: Look for short-term Sells at the supply zone – take profits at support, then wait for Buy Swings at lower levels to follow the main trend.
What is the current global gold demand?Despite the record high price, the proportion of gold in total global financial assets is only about 2%. According to the World Gold Council, the amount of gold held by ETFs is still much lower than the peak in 2020.
This shows that there is still a lot of room for growth. The attraction of gold comes from its role as a "safe haven" in the context of rising inflation due to increasingly heavy government debt. The US alone has recorded an additional deficit of 2,000 billion USD this year, bringing the total public debt to over 37,000 billion USD.
Not only with USD, gold has also continuously reached peaks when calculated in Canadian dollars, British pounds, euros, Japanese yen and Australian dollars. Gold is currently trading above 5,000 USD/ounce compared to CAD.
The reason lies not only in global public debt, but also because many investors are beginning to worry that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) is losing its independence in monetary policy. Some experts believe that if the Fed cuts interest rates more aggressively in the coming years, especially when President Trump appoints more members to the council, gold will be strongly supported.
XAUUSD – Daily Trading Outlook
Good day Traders,
Gold opened the Asian session by holding its structure firmly. The 3708 level will act as the pivotal price marker for today:
A sustained break above this resistance would open the way towards 3750, with potential extension to 3780.
Conversely, failure to overcome 3708 and a rejection at this level could trigger a retracement, with 3650 – or even the 355x region – serving as key buying areas.
Fundamental Context
Last week’s corrective move was largely driven by comments from the Federal Reserve Chair regarding interest rate policy. The Fed is reluctant to implement multiple rate cuts, and this week’s PCE data will be critical in shaping expectations.
Trading Scenarios for Today
Buy Setup
Entry: 3650 – 3653
Stop-loss: 3645
Targets: 3662 – 3675 – 3690 – 3706 – 3725
Sell Setup 1
Entry: 3700 – 3703
Stop-loss: 3708
Targets: 3690 – 3675 – 3662 – 3650 – 3633
Sell Setup 2
Entry: 3738 – 3740
Stop-loss: 3746
Targets: 3725 – 3710 – 3700 – 3675 – 3650
Conclusion
For today, the preferred bias remains to buy on dips in line with the broader uptrend, while carefully monitoring reactions at the outlined key levels.
Follow me to receive timely updates as soon as price structure changes.
Analysis of gold price intraday trend!Market News:
In early Asian trading on Monday (September 22nd), spot gold prices saw slight fluctuations and are currently trading at $3,690 per ounce. Last week, after the Federal Reserve unanimously announced its first interest rate cut of the year on Wednesday as expected, the London gold price quickly broke through a record high of $3,700. The ongoing Middle East crisis and the Russo-Ukrainian conflict, now entering its third year, are also supporting gold's upward trend. This rally, which has lasted five consecutive weeks, is primarily driven by three factors: first, the market firmly expects the Federal Reserve to continue cutting interest rates in the second half of this year and even into 2026; second, the ongoing instability in the Middle East and the ongoing Russo-Ukrainian conflict; and third, the continued weakening of the US dollar. Although it rebounded slightly after the Fed's decision, it remains generally weak. The "sell on good news" principle seems to be reassuring. Looking ahead to this week, the market will be expecting a series of key data releases, including the September PMIs for the US, Japan, and Europe on Tuesday, the final US second-quarter GDP and durable goods orders on Thursday, the US PCE inflation report on Friday, and speeches by several Fed officials, particularly the views of new Fed member Milan. These data will directly impact the probability of a Fed rate cut in October, currently priced at 91.9%.
Technical Analysis:
Gold's daily chart showed a correction with consecutive declines. The New York closing price fell below the 10/7-day moving averages, with gold and the US dollar moving in lockstep. Friday's sharp rise saw a strong close in late trading, with the daily chart closing strongly positive. The New York closing price once again crossed above the 103660 MA, and the 7/5-day moving averages remained upward. Technically, the four-hour and hourly charts show gold prices re-entering the upper Bollinger Bands, with the moving averages forming a golden cross and opening upward, and the RSI indicator trading above its mid-axis. Early trading on weekly pullbacks is primarily for buying low, with selling high as a secondary consideration.
Trading strategy:
Short-term gold long at 3672-3675, stop loss at 3663, target at 3700-3720;
Short-term gold short at 3727-3730, stop loss at 3739, target at 3690-3670;
Key points:
First support level: 3675, second support level: 3662, third support level: 3646
First resistance level: 3703, second resistance level: 3716, third resistance level: 3728
XAU/USD(20250922) Today's AnalysisMarket News:
Federal Reserve Board Governor Milan: Expects continued rate cuts in the coming months and will work to convince other policymakers to cut more quickly; Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari: Two more rate cuts this year would be appropriate.
Technical Analysis:
Today's Buy/Sell Levels:
3667
Support/Resistance Levels:
3719
3700
3687
3647
3634
3614
Trading Strategy:
If the price breaks above 3687, consider entering a buy/sell position, with the first target at 3700.
If the price breaks below 3667, consider entering a sell position, with the first target at 3647.
XAUUSD – Strong Resistance at 3760–3770 Await ConfirmationHello trader,
Gold continues to oscillate within an accumulation zone following its recent recovery. While the overall trend leans towards an increase, a stronger breakout requires clear confirmation at key resistance-support levels.
Strong Resistance: 3760 – 3770, confluence with the Fibonacci extension zone. This is a pivotal level if the price aims to set a new ATH in the mid-term.
Key Level Sell: 3685 – 3695, currently a short-term resistance zone. If the price fails to break through, gold may face downward pressure.
Important Support:
3564 – 3574: mid-term support.
3534 – 3540: deep support zone, aligning with previous liquidity.
MACD H4: Histogram remains weak, momentum is unclear → the market needs further confirmation to clarify the trend direction.
Trading Scenarios
Bullish Scenario
Condition: Price breaks above 3695 and holds.
Entry: Retest 3665 – 3668.
Target: 3680-3698-3715-3730 – 3760 – 3770.
Extension: If successfully surpassing 3770 → expect a move towards 3800+.
Bearish Scenario
Condition: Price fails at 3695 and reverses.
Entry: Sell at 3685 – 3695 when a rejection signal appears.
Target: 3672-3655-3635 – 3600 – 3574.
Extension: If 3574 breaks, the decline may target 3540, or even lower.
Mid-term Scenario
Price may retest 3534 – 3550 to gather liquidity, then rebound according to the larger trend. This will be an attractive long-term Buy zone.
The gold market is at a crucial stage: buyers need to break 3695 to confirm an uptrend, while sellers still have opportunities at the short-term resistance zone. Deep support areas will continue to serve as the foundation for mid-term Buy strategies.
Keep a close eye on the 3695 and 3760 – 3770 zones to determine the next direction.
Stay tuned for the latest scenarios as the price structure evolves.
XAU/USD UpdateXAU/USD Update
We use advanced data that counts the start of the cycle and all important key levels.
On the low time frame, Gold is showing strength after reclaiming the 3,664 – 3,657 zone, turning it into a support.
Key levels:
3,664 – 3,657 → support zone. Holding above this confirms continuation of the uptrend.
3,684 → current resistance being tested. A breakout above this level would confirm bullish momentum and open the way for a move toward higher targets (3,720+).
As long as price stays above the support, Gold remains bullish in structure.
Risk scenario: If price falls back below 3,657, downside pressure may return, with 3,463 as the next major support.
Cycle support: 3,267 is a critical long-term level. Gold must hold this area to maintain the broader green cycle trend.
📌 Summary
Above 3,664 – 3,657 → bullish continuation confirmed.
Break above 3,684 → opens further upside targets.
Below 3,657 → downside risk increases, watch 3,463 as key support.
3,267 → major cycle support for long-term trend.
Key Levels & Trend Confirmation – US30US30 Update
We use advanced data that counts the start of the cycle and all important key levels.
On the low time frame, US30 is holding above the breakout zone (46,177 – 46,214), showing early signs of continuation.
Key levels:
46,214 → first support on the low time frame. Holding this level keeps bullish momentum intact.
46,177 → important confirmation level for the main uptrend. If US30 closes below this, it could trigger a deeper pullback.
As long as price holds above these zones, US30 remains in a bullish structure with potential to push higher.
Downside risk: A breakdown below 46,177 would invalidate the current momentum and open space for correction toward 45,796 support.
Major cycle level: 41,097 remains the cycle start and must-hold support in the bigger picture. Losing this level would shift the cycle to red.
📌 Summary
Above 46,214 – 46,177 → bullish continuation remains in play.
Break below 46,177 → correction risk, watch 45,796 as next support.
Cycle start at 41,097 → key long-term level to keep the broader bullish cycle alive.
Gold - Here we have the textbook breakout!📖Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) currently breaks out:
🔎Analysis summary:
After we saw Gold rejecting the previous all time high multiple times over the past couple of months, we are now witnessing a bullish breakout. If this breakout is confirmed in the near future, Gold will head for another parabolic rally higher, repeating the 2011 blow off top.
📝Levels to watch:
$3.500
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Gold XAUUSD Intraday Setup 19 SeptGold on the 15M timeframe is showing a short-term bullish structure after forming a series of higher lows, with the price now retesting the ascending trendline support near 3647–3650. This area also aligns with a minor demand zone, suggesting buyers are stepping in to defend it. If the trendline holds, momentum could push the market back toward recent highs, with the first target at 3674 (TP1) and extended target at 3685–3690 (TP2). However, if price closes below 3638, it would signal a break of structure and potential continuation of the bearish leg, so a stop loss below this level is crucial. Overall, the market is offering a favorable risk-to-reward long setup as long as the trendline is respected and no strong bearish candle closes below support.
Can we short sell gold at the current price?Trading ideas review📈
The gold price trend has reversed from a decline to an upward trend, once again reaching around 3670 points, which perfectly aligns with the trading strategy I outlined in my previous article. When the price dipped to 3635 points, I repeatedly warned investors to buy long. When the price fluctuated around 3640 points, I again warned investors who hadn't yet established a position to buy long. The current market has perfectly validated my strategy, and yields are still soaring.
Gold Trend Analysis📈
Following the interest rate decision, gold prices have been trading in a wide range, with both long and short positions seeing profits this week. Gold has now risen to around 3670. Technically, multiple indicators remain bullish. However, due to the proximity of short-term resistance levels, gold's upward movement appears to be struggling, and the market is currently experiencing volatility. Whether gold will rise or fall, a breakout above 3670 is crucial in the short term. If it holds, the upward trend will continue; otherwise, the market will decline.
I took a long position on gold at 3635 and have already closed it at 3670 to take profits.
Today is the last trading day of the week. Due to the uncertainty surrounding the weekend market closure, I will not be conducting any transactions. Have a great weekend, and see you next week!
OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
ANFIBO | XAUUSD - What's the next plan today? [09.19.2025]Hello guys! It's me, Anfibo.
My previous OANDA:XAUUSD plan with the Sell entry at 3,670 – 3,674 delivered more than 400 pips in profit, confirming that the market reacted exactly as anticipated.
At present, observing the price structure, gold has completed a 5-wave Elliott impulse and is now transitioning into an ABC corrective phase. This is a classic scenario following a strong impulsive leg, where the market needs to rebalance before determining the next trend.
At the same time, the current price zone is also showing signs of forming a Head and Shoulders pattern, adding another layer of reliable technical confluence. This suggests that downside pressure remains in play, at least until the pattern is fully developed.
Key short-term resistance levels to watch are around 3,690 – 3,700 (maybe we will get a sell signal here)
Meanwhile, immediate support levels can be found near 3,630 – 3,620 – 3,615, with a deeper support at 3,590, which will be decisive for the longer-term bullish structure.
The preferred strategy is to wait for price reactions at these resistance confluence zones to look for short-term Sell signals, in line with the ongoing ABC correction.
Here's My Trading Plan
>> SUPPORT ZONES: 3645 - 3630 - 3615 - 3590
>> RESISTANCE ZONES: 3670 - 3680 - 3690 - 3700
>>> BUY SCALP
Entry: 3620 – 3615
SL: 3610
TP: 3650 – 3670
>>> SELL Scalp
Entry: 3670 – 3675
SL: 3680
TP: 3620 – 3590
Always set your Stop-Loss on every trade! Wishing everyone successful trading. XOXO
Is there an opportunity before the interest rate decision?Gold has been soaring since the start of this week, reaching new highs, even testing above 3700 points during the session. However, due to the pressure from the round number barrier and the approaching interest rate decision, gold retreated after rising. This provided several opportunities for shorting. The first was to open a short position near 3697 until the take-profit target. The second was near 3695, today's high. With the interest rate decision imminent, all existing positions have been closed at the take-profit target. If it weren't for the interest rate decision, I would have preferred a downward trend in gold.
Since the interest rate decision has a significant impact on gold prices, it's safer to wait until the results are announced before considering any trades. Reducing risk is also the best way to preserve your principal. OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD COINBASE:ETHUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Gold Breaks Out of Range, Targeting Higher Resistance📊 Market Developments:
After consolidating in the 3643–3658 range, gold has broken out, moving up to 3665 in the US session. The rally is supported by safe-haven flows as expectations grow for further Fed easing, while the USD shows signs of stabilizing.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: 3672–3675 (a breakout could extend toward 3685–3692).
• Nearest Support: 3658 (the breakout level) — if successfully retested, it may turn into new support.
• EMA 09: Price is now above EMA09 → confirming short-term bullish momentum.
• Candles / Volume / Momentum: A strong H1 breakout candle with higher volume confirms buyer dominance.
📌 Outlook:
• Gold has exited the sideways range and is trending higher in the short term.
• Holding above 3658 keeps the upside bias intact toward 3672–3685.
• Downside risk only emerges if price falls back below 3658.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
• BUY XAU/USD at: 3658–3662 (on a retest after breakout)
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: 3654
• SELL short-term only if a strong reversal signal appears around 3675–3685.
Gold struggles within 3630–3675 range, awaiting breakout📊 Market developments
• Yesterday, gold rebounded from 3633 to test the resistance zone at 3675 but failed, then dropped sharply to a low of 3627.
• This morning, gold recovered from that low and is now trading around 3658–3660, showing that short-term buying pressure has re-emerged.
• A stronger USD and slightly higher U.S. bond yields after the Fed meeting continue to weigh on gold, while expectations of further Fed rate cuts in the coming months prevent deeper declines.
🧭 Technical analysis
• Near resistance: 3670–3675 (key short-term barrier, repeatedly rejected).
• Major resistance: 3700 (psychological level; only a breakout would confirm a new bullish leg).
• Near support: 3630 (yesterday’s low).
• Major support: 3600–3610.
• RSI on H1/H4 has rebounded from oversold levels, signaling potential for further recovery, though momentum remains weak.
📌 Outlook
• In the short term, gold is expected to consolidate within the 3630–3675 range.
• A breakout above 3675 could open the way toward 3700.
• Failure to break 3675 would likely send prices back to retest 3630, or even lower toward 3600.
🎯 Trading strategy
• Short-term SELL: around 3670–3675, SL above 3678, TP at 3640–3630.
• Speculative BUY: around 3630–3635, SL below 3627, TP at 3665–3675.
If the support is not broken, you can go long on gold#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
After breaking through the support level of 3635, gold quickly rebounded near 3627, but silver, which is also a precious metal, did not change much. It is obvious that the main funds are controlling the market behind the scenes. If the US market retests the support of 3635-3625 and does not break, you can consider going long on gold, with the short-term target at 3655-3670
XAU/USD(20250919) Today's AnalysisMarket News:
On Thursday, the U.S. reported its largest drop in initial jobless claims in nearly four years, reversing the previous week's sharp increase. (Note: Hours after the data was released, news broke that North Carolina's continuing claims data had been incorrectly and significantly understated by over 19,000. A Labor Department spokesperson stated that the matter is still under investigation.)
Technical Analysis:
Today's Buy/Sell Levels:
3648
Support and Resistance Levels:
3692
3676
3665
3631
3620
3603
Trading Strategy:
If the price breaks above 3648, consider entering a buy position, with the first target price being 3665.
If the price breaks below 3631, consider entering a sell position, with the first target price being 3620.
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
Gold pulled back after printing a fresh high and reacting to the latest FOMC meeting. It has since broken below key support and also violated its ascending trendline.
In the short term, price action is expected to remain range-bound to bearish, heading toward the next support zone.
As long as price remains below the broken trendline and resistance, the short-term bias stays bearish to sideways.
However, in the medium term, the overall outlook remains bullish, and a fresh upside wave may develop once the correction is completed.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Gold Market Deep Dive – Fed Cut, Price Action & What’s Next📊 FX:XAUUSD Gold Market Deep Dive – ECONOMICS:USINTR Cut, Price Action & What’s Next
Close (Sep 17): Gold ended at $3,657 , after spiking to a fresh ATH at $3,707 on
👉 Classic “buy the rumor, sell the news” : price rallied from the $3,635 buy zone (Sep 15) , peaked on announcement day, then corrected lower.
🚨 Record High → Sharp Pullback
Rallied +$50 in two sessions, then sold off just as fast.
Price now retracing toward $3,635 support zone (prior demand).
JPMorgan’s Sell the News warning came true—profit-taking hit hard, as many ignored the caution signals.
🏦 Two Paths Ahead
Path A: Bounce from current level (aligned with 38.2% Fib retracement ) → recovery rally.
Path B (more likely): Support break → dip to $3,620–$3,610 before finding footing.
⚖️ Either way, the overall trend remains bullish . This was a healthy correction overdue after a parabolic climb.
🌍 The Bigger Story
YTD still up +40%, record highs intact.
Catalyst for selloff wasn’t bearish fundamentals—it was position unwinding .
Central bank demand, inflation hedging, and TVC:DXY weakness continue to underpin long-term upside.
Deutsche Bank’s 2026 gold forecast: $4,000/oz .
ETF demand rising.
📉 Technical Map – Bulls vs. Bears
⚡ Short-term weakness:
Intraday “strong sell” signals across MAs/oscillators.
RSI cooling, MACD momentum fading.
Current floor: $3,635 zone → key decision point.
⚡ Supports to Watch:
$3,635 (current)
$3,620 → $3,610 (deeper correction if broken)
⚡ Resistance:
$3,685 → $3,707 (ATH zone) – breakout reignites bullish trend
🔍 NFX Market Insight
Gold’s reaction isn’t trend-breaking—it’s profit-taking + healthy correction .
If $3,635 holds → recovery toward ATH.
If it fails → dip into $3,610s before resumption.
Bigger picture: Fed cut = bearish USD , so the bullish gold trend remains intact.
⚠️ This content is for informational/educational purposes only, not investment advice.
Do you have the courage to follow me and take a long position?Gold, as expected, reached our target trading range and then fell, hitting our desired profit-taking level, resulting in good profits for our short positions. Just now, gold briefly dipped to around 3627 before rebounding quickly. If the US session tonight sees gold test the support level of 3635-3625 without breaking below it, consider going long on gold; the short-term target could be 3655-3670.
The trend remains unchanged. Short sell on rebound#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
The price of gold fell below the MA5 moving average and the trend turned bearish. In the short term, gold rebounded again. If it touches 3662-3672, you can consider shorting gold again. The short-term target remains unchanged. We can continue to see 3633. If the bears are strong, it is even expected to touch the 3600 integer mark. Just follow and you will make money, let the winning rate and facts speak for themselves.