XAU/USD 1H – Bullish Continuation from Demand Zone .Key Observations:
Uptrend Structure:
Price has been consistently making Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL), confirming an overall bullish market structure.
Break of Structure (BOS) levels confirm continuation of the trend.
Market Structure Shift (MSS):
Recently, price created a short-term shift downward (MSS) but retraced into a POI zone (demand area) near 3,646 – 3,659.
Current Setup:
The price bounced from the POI zone and is now recovering upward.
A long position was marked with entry near 3,659, Stop Loss at 3,646, and Target around 3,709.
Bias:
As long as price holds above 3,646 (POI zone), bullish continuation is favored.
If broken below 3,646, bearish correction could extend further.
Goldlong
Gold Analysis (XAU/USD)Two key buy levels are in play:
First level: 3613
Second level: 3591
If a valid signal forms at either level, I’ll be looking to go long ✅.
My plan remains the same:
If a level breaks, I’ll wait for a pullback and take the opposite side.
No frustration, no changing strategy.
Losses are part of the game—what matters is risk management and sticking to the plan 🎯.
📖 Remember: trading is about flowing with the market, not fighting it.
Gold Faces Resistance – Possible Short-Term Correction📊 Market Drivers:
• Expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates have supported gold by lowering the opportunity cost of holding the metal.
• The US dollar tends to weaken amid signs of slowing economic growth, which supports safe-haven demand for gold.
• Geopolitical uncertainties and continued central bank demand also add upward pressure on gold.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: ~ $3,700 – $3,720 / ounce; a strong psychological round number level drawing market focus.
• Nearest Support: ~ $3,660 – $3,645 / ounce; if this breaks, gold could test deeper support near ~$3,580.
• EMA: Gold is trading above the EMA50 in many analyses → medium-term trend remains bullish.
• Candlestick / Volume / Momentum: Signs of stalling near resistance; momentum could weaken if the USD firms up or if the Fed signals caution. Overbought RSI and momentum indicators could trigger a short-term pullback.
📌 View:
Gold may see a short-term pullback if it fails to break above the ~$3,700–3,720 resistance zone. If bearish catalysts emerge – such as a stronger USD or a hawkish Fed stance – gold could retreat towards ~$3,645–3,660 support.
On the other hand, a clear breakout above ~$3,700 could open the way towards ~$3,720 and higher.
💡 Short-Term Trading Strategy (Scalping before news):
• SELL XAU/USD at: 3688 – 3692 (near short-term resistance)
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: 3695
• BUY XAU/USD at: 3672 – 3668 (near intraday support)
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: 3665
Gold 1H – Fed Decision Looms After $3,700 BreakGold on the 1H timeframe is consolidating around 3,675 after sweeping the historic $3,700 level. Price briefly tapped 3,702 before retreating into the 3,670s, showing engineered liquidity runs both sides. With the Fed policy decision due at 1 AM VN time, volatility is expected to spike. Market remains supported by easing USD, central bank flows, and geopolitical tension, but short-term positioning suggests possible liquidity grabs before a directional move.
________________________________________
📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL SCALP 3,696 – 3,694 (SL 3,703)
Premium supply pocket for engineered rejection targeting 3,690 → 3,685 → 3,680.
• 🟢 FVG BUY ZONE 3,674 – 3,665 (SL 3,660)
Fair Value Gap demand zone for retracement into structure, targeting 3,685 → 3,695 → 3,700+.
• 🟢 BUY SUPPORT 3,636 – 3,638 (SL 3,630)
Deep discount accumulation zone targeting 3,655 → 3,670 → 3,680+.
________________________________________
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – FVG Reclaim (3,674–3,665)
• Entry: 3,674 – 3,665
• Stop Loss: 3,660
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,685
TP2: 3,695
TP3: 3,700+
👉 Look for liquidity sweep into FVG before NY session/Fed.
🔺 Buy Setup – Deep Discount (3,636–3,638)
• Entry: 3,636 – 3,638
• Stop Loss: 3,630
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,655
TP2: 3,670
TP3: 3,680+
👉 High R:R setup if stops hunted before Fed decision.
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Trap (3,696–3,694)
• Entry: 3,696 – 3,694
• Stop Loss: 3,703
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,690
TP2: 3,685
TP3: 3,680
👉 Expect engineered stop-runs into premium before fading lower.
________________________________________
🔑 Strategy Note
Gold’s break above $3,700 highlights strong bullish sentiment, but Fed decision risk means smart money may sweep liquidity both ways. Stay nimble: fade extremes at 3,696–3,694 for shorts, and defend demand at 3,674–3,665 and 3,636–3,638 for longs. Trade lighter size until post-Fed clarity.
World gold prices continuously reverseThe Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, which began on Tuesday morning, will conclude on Wednesday afternoon (US time) with a statement and press conference by US Federal Reserve (FED) Chairman Jerome Powell. The FOMC is expected to cut the key interest rate by 0.25 percentage points - the first since November last year.
The new FED forecast may also show a slowdown in US economic growth and a rise in unemployment. At the press conference, Chairman Powell will have to answer many questions not only about the economic outlook and interest rates but also about the independence of the FED.
Global stock markets generally rose slightly overnight, while US index futures forecast a mixed opening. In other developments, the Cyberspace Administration of China is said to have asked companies like Alibaba and ByteDance to cancel orders for Nvidia's RTX Pro 6000D chips - a line of chips designed to avoid restrictions on exporting AI technology to China.
The move comes as the US and China have just announced progress in trade negotiations in Madrid (Spain).
Go long before the data,be wary of a short-selling counterattackYesterday, gold retreated slightly in the Asian session, continuing the strong bull pattern. We originally expected to wait for gold to retreat to the support level of 3675-3665 to go long on gold, but the market always only gives us unattainable points. In the evening, gold rebounded directly to around 3703, which is in line with my previous judgment that gold will touch 3700 after stabilizing above 3665. As gold hit a new high and the Fed was about to cut interest rates, some buyers on the upper side chose to take profits, which gave us another opportunity to retreat to the ideal point. We also successfully seized the opportunity to go long on gold. This morning, gold rebounded again to around 3695, and the long positions we held also made a wave of profits.
Judging from the current market conditions, yesterday's daily line closed with a positive sign, and 3703 became the short-term high point. The lower moving averages MA5 and MA10 in the daily chart are around 3665 and 3635 respectively, which is exactly the middle track position of the Bollinger band. Only when it effectively falls below this point, will gold usher in a trend reversal in the short term. 3665 is the key position for the top and bottom conversion, and the market's enthusiasm for a 50 basis point interest rate cut remains unabated. If gold falls back to 3665-3655 again in the European session without breaking, then gold will rebound. Therefore, before the data is released, I choose to go long on gold again and expect a rebound, with the short-term target at 3685-3705. Bros can gradually reduce their positions during the rebound or take profits and exit at appropriate points according to their own account conditions.
Exit with short-term profit. Interest rate cuts ignite the marke#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Powell's comments and the Fed's interest rate cut will be the focus of the entire market tonight. If Powell makes dovish remarks this time or the rate cut basis point exceeds expectations, and the number of rate cuts is increased this year, gold will still have room to rise. On the contrary, if Powell makes hawkish remarks or the interest rate cut is less than expected, a technical correction may occur.
The group has reminded people to go long on gold when the price falls back below 3665-3655. Currently, the gold price has rebounded and successfully touched TP. Friends who continue to hold long positions can consider leaving the market early on the eve of the data release to avoid profit-taking caused by data uncertainty.
Resist trading before the data release and wait for the Fed's decision and Powell's speech. Support at 3660 remains. If it breaks below, the next target will be 3630-3600.
Gold Trade Update📊 Gold ( FX:XAUUSD ) Market Update
The 200-Day SMA held strong as support against the heavy sell pressure triggered by the conflicting FOMC statement – a move largely driven by liquidated buyers.
⚡ With structure intact, I’m expecting a complete reversal and continuation of the bullish trend in the coming hours to days.
📉 Remember – the 25bps rate cut remains bearish for the TVC:DXY , which keeps gold positioned for strength.
Trade smart, stay patient. 💛
My short followers cheer for the victoryThis is the trading idea I provided in my previous article. Clearly, the gold price movement has been in line with my expectations and has started to decline, earning us a considerable amount of profit from this short-term trade. www.tradingview.com Seven hours ago, I once again suggested opening a short position at 3695. The market has now dropped to around 3680, and we have once again reaped a good amount of profit.
During this round of strong and rapid rise in gold prices, there are traders who have made considerable profits by following the trend, while there are also many who have held short positions against the trend. I believe the latter situation is quite common. Some have already given up halfway, while others are still struggling. So, no matter which situation you are in now, you can follow me and share your entry point in the comment section. I will analyze and reply to each one, helping you turn losses into profits. Welcome to join my free camp.
TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD COINBASE:ETHUSD
ANFIBO | XAUUSD on 09.17.2025 and is this a major breakthrough?Here's Anfibo. With my yesterday's plan, our sell OANDA:XAUUSD order reached more than 200 pips, the buy order was 30 pips short of matching the entry and missed 150 pips short. But that's okay, I have a new plan today for everyone to follow:
💚 SUPPORT ZONES: 3676 - 3660
❤️ RESISTANCE ZONES: 3694 - 3700 - 3705 - 3719 - 3745
✅ BUY SCALP: 3675 - 3677, SL 3674, TP 3694 - 3700 - 3719
❌ SELL SCALP: 3719 - 3721, SL 3723, TP 3700 - 3675 - 3660
- - - - - - - - - - - - -
✅ SWING BUY: 3550 - 3560, SL 3540, TP 3625 - 3675 - 3700 - OPEN
❌ SWING SELL: 3790 - 3801, SL 2820, TP 3700 - 3570 - 3450 - OPEN
Hope is right lol! xoxo
Gold is about to face a stormGold fell continuously but found support around the 3,660 level and began to rebound—just as mentioned yesterday, the 3,658-3,662 range is a top-bottom conversion zone. As long as this level remains unbroken, the bullish trend is not over. However, given the upcoming interest rate decision, we remain bullish but will no longer chase highs, as we need to be cautious of a sudden trend reversal. Remember: the unchanged long-term trend does not mean there will be no corrections amid the uptrend. When most people start celebrating, we must maintain awe for the market. Focus on resistance around 3,685-3,690 and support around 3,658-3,662.
Below are my personal views on the interest rate decision:
It can be said that a rate cut at this meeting is almost a foregone conclusion; the only uncertainty is whether it will be 25 or 50 basis points.
A 25-basis-point rate cut with a hawkish tone (45% probability)
Currently, market expectations for a Fed rate cut are extremely high. The mainstream expectation on Wall Street is three 25-basis-point cuts in September, October, and December, totaling 75 basis points. If the Fed’s statement and Powell’s press conference fail to hint at a further rate cut outlook or implicitly approve a consecutive cut in October, this could well be interpreted as a "hawkish rate cut," and market expectations will tighten afterward. This will be the biggest risk of this meeting—there is potential for a "buy the rumor, sell the fact" move in the short term, pushing the U.S. dollar higher. Conversely, assets like U.S. stocks and gold may face selling pressure due to "bad news after good news," combined with profit-taking and technical overbought conditions.
A 25-basis-point rate cut with neutral-to-dovish wording (45% probability)
Compared with the Fed’s June projections, both the number and magnitude of rate cuts have increased, but Powell maintains ambiguous and neutral wording. This will fully align with current market expectations. In this scenario, the U.S. dollar will likely trade sideways in a lower range in the short term, while assets like U.S. stocks and gold will consolidate in higher ranges. The market will wait for new signals to seek a breakout.
An unexpected 50-basis-point rate cut (10% probability)
This scenario would be like a shot in the arm in the short term. Although most assets (except the weakening U.S. dollar) will benefit temporarily, it may trigger market concerns that the Fed has surrendered to political pressure and lost its independence, as well as deep worries about the U.S. economic situation. At the same time, a sharp U.S. rate cut will drastically narrow the interest rate differential with overseas markets, leading to a tendency for large amounts of U.S. dollar capital to flow out of the U.S. market—this will put short-term pressure on U.S. stocks. Therefore, this scenario may not be a real positive for U.S. stocks. In contrast, gold will benefit as safe-haven demand continues to be boosted.
GOLD Trade Update📢 NFX FX:XAUUSD Trade Update
TVC:GOLD recently dropped to retest the key SR level at 3660 – the previous ascending triangle breakout level on H1 TF.
Following the 25bps cut by ECONOMICS:CAINTR BoC , the retest was strongly rejected, resulting in a +200pts gain.
🔎 Current Outlook:
Price is trending towards the recent ATH at 3700
Watching for a breakout above 3685 ahead of the Fed Rate Cut
Market expectation: 25bps cut from the ECONOMICS:USINTR → could trigger an instant +200pts move
⚖️ Bias: Bullish – but stay sharp ahead of high-impact news.
✍️ Trade smart, stay disciplined, and protect your capital.
Gold XAUUSD Intraday Setup 17 SeptI am looking for a bullish setup on Gold ahead of FOMC, with my buy zone placed at 3669–3671, which aligns with previous support and a liquidity grab area. My stop-loss is set just below the recent swing low at 3658, keeping risk contained. If data comes in favor, I expect price to rally toward the 3703+ zone, with potential extension toward all-time highs as momentum builds. The setup offers a strong risk-to-reward profile, and given the rejection from lower levels, I’ll be watching closely for fundamentals to confirm continuation to the upside.
FOMC XAUUSD: Time to hold super SELL before FOMC🟡 XAUUSD Daily Trading Plan – Ahead of FOMC
📊 Market Context
Gold (XAUUSD) has recently broken out of its accumulation/manipulation zone and is currently trading around 3,684–3,690.
Market is in bullish structure after a Change of Character (CHoCH) followed by a Break of Structure (BOS).
However, imbalances remain below current price, suggesting a potential retracement before continuation.
Liquidity pools are forming above 3,721–3,725, creating the risk of false breakouts (liquidity traps) near FOMC.
🔎 Technical Analysis (SMC Perspective)
Structure: Bullish bias on H1/H4, confirmed by higher highs and BOS.
Imbalance Zone: 3,674 → 3,664 (likely to be revisited).
Liquidity Pools:
Buy-side liquidity at 3,721–3,725 (Sell Zone).
Sell-side liquidity around 3,626–3,624 (Equal Low Zone).
🔑 Key Levels
Resistance / Sell Zone:
3,686.88 (immediate resistance)
3,721–3,725 (Liquidity Sell Zone)
Support / Buy Zones:
3,668 (Front End Buy – imbalance retest)
3,656–3,654 (Back End CP Buy Zone)
3,626–3,624 (Equal Low Liquidity Zone)
✅ Priority Scenario – BUY
Entry 1
BUY Limit: 3,668 (Front End Zone – imbalance retest)
SL: 3,661
TP: 3,690 → 3,700 → 3,721
Entry 2
BUY Limit: 3,656 – 3,654 (Back End CP Buy Zone)
SL: 3,648
TP: 3,690 → 3,700 → 3,721
Entry 3
BUY Limit: 3,626 – 3,624 (Equal Low Liquidity)
SL: 3,618
TP: 3,690 → 3,700 → 3,721
🔻 Alternative Scenario – SELL (Counter-trade)
If price reaches 3,721–3,725 (Liquidity Zone) before retesting lower buy zones → watch for rejection patterns.
SELL if bearish confirmation appears.
SL: 3,730
TP: 3,698 → 3,690 → 3,676
⚠️ Risk Management & Notes
Expect high volatility during FOMC – traps around liquidity zones are likely.
Reduce lot size before news release to mitigate risk.
Stick to confirmation entries (avoid blind buys/sells).
Main directional bias: Bullish as long as 3,648 holds.
GOLD HITS RESISTANCE AT 3,703 – SHORT-TERM PROFIT TAKING LIKELY📊 Market Drivers:
- Gold reached a historic high at US$3,703/oz, driven by stronger-than-expected U.S. Retail Sales and Industrial Production data, though a weaker USD continues to provide support.
- Markets are now awaiting the upcoming Fed meeting to gauge potential monetary policy adjustments — creating uncertainty and possible volatility for gold.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: ~ $3,703/oz — the recent peak. A breakout with strong volume could open the way towards US$3,750–3,800.
• Nearest Support: ~ $3,650–3,670/oz. Holding this level is crucial to prevent a deeper pullback.
• EMA-09: Price is fluctuating around the 9-period EMA on the short-term chart. A drop below the EMA could signal a corrective phase.
• Candlestick / Volume / Momentum:
• Clear profit-taking pressure appeared when price touched 3,703.
• RSI is in the overbought zone near the peak — warning of a potential short-term pullback.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may pull back slightly in the short term due to profit-taking after hitting the record high, especially if the USD strengthens or U.S. data continues to surprise on the upside.
However, if support at US$3,650–3,670 holds, gold could rebound and head towards US$3,750–3,800 should the Fed deliver dovish signals.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy
🔻 SELL XAU/USD
Entry: 3,712 – 3,715
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: 3,718
🔺 BUY XAU/USD
Entry: 3,657 – 3,660
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: 3,654
Gold 3697 can activate a short order.After breaking through its recent high yesterday, gold prices continued their upward trend on Tuesday, reaching a new high. The intraday rally briefly approached the 3700 mark. However, due to pressure from this mark, gold temporarily entered a period of volatile correction.
Prior to Thursday's Federal Reserve interest rate decision, short-term trading is the primary focus. With gold prices hitting new highs for two consecutive trading days, the possibility of a brief profit-taking dip cannot be ruled out. Furthermore, the bullish trend in short-term technical indicators is weakening. I plan to initiate a short position around 3695. If you already have a short position, you can add to it. We anticipate a small downward correction.
Gold Trading Strategy:
Initiate a short position at 3697. If you already have a short position at a lower level, add to it to lower the average price.
Interaction:
For those holding short positions around 3650, please leave a comment. I'll respond based on the price action and help you turn a loss into a profit. OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
ANFIBO | XAUUSD got ATH on 09.16.2025 and what?Gold has made a new breakout by breaking through the sizeway zone and rising to a new ATH. The plan is that we need to pay attention to the price zone around the 3700 resistance. Today's plan is as follows:
💚 SUPPORT ZONES: 3675 - 3655
❤️ RESISTANCE ZONES: 3700 - 3705 - 3745
✅ BUY SCALP: around 3675, SL 3670, TP 3700 - 3745
❌ SELL SCALP: 3700 - 3705, SL 3710, TP 3675 - 3655
✅ SWING BUY: 3550 - 3560, SL 3540, TP 3625 - 3675 - 3700 - OPEN
❌ SWING SELL: 3790 - 3801, SL 2820, TP 3700 - 3570 - 3450 - OPEN
Hope is right!
Gold Hits New ATH, Eyeing $3700 Psychological Barrier📊 Market Developments:
Gold surged sharply and set a new all-time high at $3,697/oz. The main driver comes from expectations that the Fed may soon signal rate cuts, while investors seek gold as a safe haven amid geopolitical uncertainty.
📈 Technical Analysis:
• New Resistance: $3700 (psychological) – $3708 (Fibonacci extension).
• Nearby Support: $3690 – $3685 (previous ATH breakout zone).
• EMA 50 & 100 on H1: Both remain upward sloping, reinforcing the bullish trend.
• H1 Candle: Strong momentum, but a short pullback may occur around 3700.
🔎 Outlook:
The uptrend remains dominant; however, the $3700–$3708 zone is a key psychological barrier where short-term profit-taking may emerge. If price holds above $3685, the bullish momentum is likely to continue.
🎯 Suggested Trading Strategy:
• BUY (safe entry): 3691 – 3688, SL: 3685, TP: 40–80–200 pips.
• SELL short-term (scalping): Around 3700–3705 if H1 reversal candles appear, SL: 3710, TP: 30–60 pips.