Can gold break through the resistance level?Whether you go long or short, you can make money, the only exception is the greedy. To invest, you must block excitement, or at least don't get excited at the wrong time. Emotions play a key role in all transactions. Spend all your time studying trends, never go against the trends, learn to follow, and then you can learn the essence. There is no invincible general in the financial market, and a person cannot make money beyond the scope of cognition. Investing itself is an assessment of self-cognition.
After gold fell to 3626, it rebounded slightly. It is still in a state of volatility as a whole, and the volatility is narrowing. From a technical point of view, the bullish momentum has not been exhausted, and the sideways movement of the gold market at this stage is far from over. From a big cycle perspective, 3675 is not a high point. However, as the interest rate decision approaches, both bulls and bears may turn to wait and see, and the short-term market is expected to be dominated by fluctuations, waiting for the Fed's monetary policy guidance! The upper resistance level is the pressure level formed by the two recent high points, and the support is at the lower track of the rising channel and the strong support of 3600.
Goldlong
XAUUSD Looks Ready for a Big MoveHey everyone, Ken here!
Looking at the XAUUSD chart today, I see a lot of interesting things. The price isn’t rushing upward, but moving step by step – almost like buyers are slowly taking control.
Personally, I won’t jump in just yet. I’d like to see a clear rejection first. If that scenario plays out, my target would be around 3,683 .
What really matters here isn’t just the number, but patience. I’ll wait for price to return to the marked level, then watch volume and candlestick patterns for confirmation.
What about you? Do you think this setup makes sense? Share your thoughts in the comments!
3655-3625 oscillation structure, sell high and buy low#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Over the weekend, I reminded everyone to pay attention to a hidden piece of news.💻
China and the United States are currently holding their fourth round of talks in Spain on economic and trade issues, which involves tariffs. The outcome of the game between the two major powers will also affect the trend of gold. 📊The two sides are still negotiating, so please continue to pay attention.👀
Gold continued to fluctuate in the box at the opening today, fell slightly during the day and rebounded after testing the support below again. 🌈The short-term upward pressure still remains at 3655-3665. 📉I have repeatedly emphasized that only by breaking through and stabilizing above can gold continue to open up upward space. If it is difficult to break through during the day, gold will continue to fluctuate and pull back.
The price of gold is still in an upward channel. The correction range of gold at high levels is limited. The short-term support below is 3635-3625.🥅 Before it effectively falls below the support, it is difficult for gold to change the volatile pattern. However, if the price breaks below support and breaks the box structure, it is very likely to test the 3600 mark, or even the important support level of 3580.🐻
If the 3655-3625 box is not broken during the day, the buy low-sell high strategy will be maintained. 📊If it falls back to 3635-3625, you can continue to go long on gold, with the target at 3655-3665. If the upper resistance is touched, you can short gold with a light position.
XAUUSD – Pennant Formation Awaiting ConfirmationXAUUSD – Pennant Formation Awaiting Confirmation
Good day Traders,
Gold commenced the week with a sharp advance of nearly 20 dollars after retesting the ascending trendline. This rebound reinforces the development of a Pennant Flag pattern, and the market now awaits a decisive breakout to provide clearer trading opportunities.
Bullish Scenario
A break above the upper boundary of the pattern, with confirmation ideally beyond 3657, would support continuation of the prevailing uptrend.
An optimal entry may be considered around 3650, with initial targets towards 3680.
Bearish Scenario
The 3627 level is a critical marker. A decisive close beneath this level, which also coincides with nearby support, would validate a short-term bearish outlook.
Entries may be initiated immediately on the break, or more conservatively on a retest around 3630.
Downside potential extends towards the 356x region, with scope for deeper correction should momentum persist.
Medium-Term Perspective
The 3560 – 3564 zone is highlighted as a favourable medium-term accumulation area, supported by an FVG and strong volume profile.
A wider stop, below 3544, would be necessary. While this requires sufficient account capacity, the trade aligns with the broader bullish structure and offers attractive reward potential.
This represents my trading outlook for gold today. Traders are encouraged to observe these levels closely and align them with their own analysis and risk management practices.
For those actively trading gold, you may follow my updates here and join the community to receive timely insights whenever price action shifts.
👉 Wishing all traders a disciplined and successful week ahead with Gold.
XAUUSD potential drop to 3600.00, FOMC reflection?with the upcoming FOMC started relect in GOLD as the price opened with sharp rejection with 2 back to 1h candles formed with liquidity grab. Though it is a long term bull market, a deeper pullback may come in play with potentially ranage bound since the FOMC as rate cut may ahead.
Until FOMC, we may see the market range 3657 to 3600
before it start to bounce of to the major direction of the trend or
depending on the Fed decision, even could see dropping back to monthly support
ANFIBO | XAUUSD Plan [15.10.2025 - 19.10.2025]Here is my XAUUSD plan for next week:
💚 SUPPORT ZONES : 3625 - 3595 - 3580 - 3575
❤️ RESISTANCE ZONES : 3665 - 3670 - 3700
✅ BUY SCALP : around 3595, SL 3580, TP 3625 - 3645 - 3670
❌ SELL SCALP :
(1) 3673 - 3675, SL 3678, TP 3645 - 3600
(2) 3700 - 3705, SL 3710, TP 3675 - 3610
✅ SWING BUY : 3550 - 3560, SL 3540, TP 3625 - 3675 - 3700 - OPEN
❌ SWING SELL : 3790 - 3801, SL 2820, TP 3700 - 3570 - 3450 - OPEN
Enjoy it guys! 😊
Wall Street Weekly Outlook - Week 38 2025Every week I release a Wall Street Weekly Outlook that highlights the key themes, market drivers, and risks that professional traders are watching.
This week promises to be particularly important, with several events likely to move markets. 📊 Stay ahead of the curve—watch the video now and get prepared like a Wall Street insider.
Any questions? Drop a comment or reach out directly.
-Meikel
XAUUSD – Week 3: Can Fibo 2.618 Hold Firm?XAUUSD – Week 3: Can Fibo 2.618 Hold Firm?
Good day traders,
Gold has rallied for three consecutive weeks, repeatedly setting fresh all-time highs. This has made trading conditions more complex, particularly for short-term participants. The main challenges are:
Buying: Difficult to identify a reasonable entry point.
Selling: Highly risky, as it goes against the prevailing strong uptrend and can be extremely dangerous.
Market Structure and Key Levels
Gold has reached the psychological Fibonacci 2.618 extension and reacted there, before consolidating sideways around 3643, the closing price for this week.
The development of a sideways formation suggests the market requires additional time before attempting a decisive breakout.
The current trading range sits between 3675 – 3616, and it is likely that price will continue consolidating within this 60-dollar band, compressing further.
Bullish Scenario
Should the upper boundary be broken, the next objective would be 3800, with a longer-term expectation towards 4000 in the year ahead.
Bearish Scenario
Attention should be paid to liquidity reaction zones (FVG): 3595 – 3568 – 3540.
The major long-term buying zone is around 3500, where liquidity testing would largely be completed.
Trading Strategy
Patience is essential. Traders are advised to wait for a clear confirmation when price breaks out of the current sideways range. That moment will offer more reliable opportunities to establish positions.
This is the scenario I propose for gold in the coming week. You may take it as a reference point and combine it with your own analysis to refine your trading plan.
For those actively engaged in gold trading, you are welcome to follow me and join the community for timely updates as market conditions evolve.
Wishing everyone a disciplined and successful trading week ahead.
A brief discussion on analysis and next week's trendGood weekend, is everyone having a good day today? Did you get together with family and friends? Regardless, I hope everyone enjoyed themselves.
Let me briefly tell you about our situation this week and my views on the gold trend next week. Gold maintained high-level fluctuations overall this week. Although it is still in an upward channel, it can be clearly seen from the daily chart that the upward momentum has slowed down compared with the continuous rise in the previous two weeks. Another intuitive feeling is that the current space below is much larger than the space above.
On Thursday and Friday, I repeatedly emphasized that only if gold breaks above 3660 can it continue to rise and reach the short-term high of 3675, or even a new high of 3690-3700. Considering that some friends find it difficult to distinguish between a genuine breakout and a false breakout, I suggested that the short-term resistance level of 3655-3665 be observed. Here I share a small piece of knowledge for your reference. In the face of a possible spike in the market, 80% of fluctuations are within the range of approximately $5-10. If you are unsure whether a resistance level has been effectively broken or a support level has been broken in the short term, you might as well leave yourself some room for maneuver and use a combination of small and large cycles to make judgments to avoid being distracted by false fluctuations.
Therefore, next week we can still consider focusing on the upper resistance range of 3655-3665. If the candlestick chart entity stands firmly above the resistance area, then the market will be as we expected, and the upper space is expected to be further opened in the short term.
From the news perspective, the first is an invisible piece of news that China and the United States will hold their fourth meeting, which will involve issues such as tariffs. If the two sides reach an agreement or move in a good direction this time, it may cool down the risk aversion sentiment and gold may fall. Secondly, Trump and Fed Governor Tim Cook are currently in legal proceedings. If Trump wins the case, will it reignite concerns about the independence of the Federal Reserve and thus interfere with gold prices?
Finally, the most important thing is the Fed's clear interest rate cut basis point. The current market generally expects a 25 basis point rate cut. Whether the "buy expectations and sell facts" strategy we have always emphasized can be fulfilled and trigger a drop in gold prices depends on Powell's speech attitude. If his stance this time leans towards the hawks, then the market trend will most likely be in line with our expectations.
Overall, we need to be more cautious when going long on gold next week and not be too greedy for profits. There is limited upward space in the short term. Focus on the breakthrough of the 3655-3665 resistance and beware of the impact of news. At present, everything is just analysis. Specific operations can wait for Monday’s trading strategy. Finally, I wish you all a happy weekend!
European session sees retracement, US session hits new highGood morning, everyone. Although gold has rebounded at present, it has not effectively broken through and stabilized above the short-term resistance of 3655-3660. In the short term, this resistance range still exerts a certain pressure on the gold price, but this does not mean that we give up the judgment that gold may reach a new high.
First of all, looking at the daily gold chart, we can find that yesterday's daily line closed with a negative line, but gold did not fall but rebounded and rose. This is not only the impact of data, but also shows that the buying funds in the current market are very strong. As I told you before, big changes in the market will only occur after the Fed's interest rate cut basis point is clear next week.
But at the same time, brothers need to be clear that we should be alert to the false break of gold. Therefore, we can give a floating space of about $5, relying on 3655-3665 to see the short-term suppression. It may fall back when encountering resistance here in the European session. You can try to short with a light position. The short-term support should focus on 3645-3635 below. If it falls back and the support is not broken, gold will continue to rise. In particular, be alert that gold in the US market may rebound to a new high based on the support level. If the European session directly returns to the lower support, we can go long on gold first.
Wait for new highs and go long on pullbacksA good day starts with profits, now let's analyze the trend of gold today.📊
Gold is currently consolidating around 3650, with 3655-3665 forming short-term resistance above. The 4H MACD indicator is correcting a top divergence. Having first touched this resistance level in the European session, gold may experience a pullback. 📉As the price of gold continues to rise, the short-term support also moves up. Pay attention to the short-term support area formed by 3640-3630. 🌈If gold retraces support and then rebounds above this resistance level, it could first reach 3675, or even reach a new high of 3690-3700, as we anticipated yesterday.🚀
Intraday operations are mainly long at low levels, supplemented by short at high levels, and participate in trading in key ranges.
Gold (XAU): $3700 is the next key resistanceGold (XAU): $3700 is the next key resistance
Gold has continued its impressive rally, with $3,700 emerging as the next key resistance level.
The first breakout above the $3,400 psychological zone occurred in late April, followed by a period of consolidation and repeated tests of that level.
Last week, the asset gained strong momentum, breaking decisively above this zone and reaching a new all-time high (ATH) of around $3,500.
This week, the bullish trend has extended further, with XAU/USD approaching the next critical psychological barrier near $3,700.
The key question remains: How much further can ongoing global economic tensions drive gold’s upward movement?
Resistance Level: $3,700
Support Levels: $3,600 / $3,500
Key Zone to Watch: $3,400
📌 This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please exercise caution and trade responsibly.
If you found this helpful, like, follow me, subscribe, share and comment.
Gold Set to Extend Gains as Fed Rate Cuts Loom📊 Market Developments:
Gold is supported by expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates, lowering the opportunity cost of holding bullion.
Recent U.S. labor market data showed weakness, with higher jobless claims and downward revisions in nonfarm payrolls.
CPI inflation remains elevated, while PPI softened slightly, reinforcing bets on policy easing.
A weaker U.S. dollar and lower Treasury yields further boost gold’s appeal.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $3,670 – $3,674, with further upside potential toward $3,700–$3,730.
• Nearest Support: $3,600; if broken, next levels at $3,561–$3,536.
• EMA: Price is trading above EMA50 and EMA200, keeping the bullish structure intact.
• Candlestick / Momentum: RSI remains elevated, showing strong upward momentum though slightly overbought; dips are being bought quickly.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may continue to rise in the short term if Fed maintains a dovish stance and U.S. data remain soft.
However, stronger-than-expected inflation or hawkish Fed signals could trigger a pullback toward $3,600 or lower.
________________________________________
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
• SELL XAU/USD: $3,682 – $3,685
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: $3688
• BUY XAU/USD: $3,617 – $3,620
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: $3614
XAUUSD Gold Intraday Move 12.09.2025Intraday Analysis
The market has recently broken out of a descending trendline, showing signs of bullish momentum. After the breakout, price retraced toward previous supply turned demand zones, creating potential buying opportunities at key levels.
Key Observations:
Trendline Breakout:
The downward trendline has been broken, indicating a possible shift in momentum from bearish to bullish. Retests of the broken structure often provide high-probability entries.
Demand Zones:
Zone 1 (3630–3633): This level aligns with a prior consolidation area and trendline retest. A bounce here could trigger continuation toward higher resistance.
Zone 2 (3612–3616): This is a deeper support zone and serves as a secondary buying opportunity if the first level fails.
Targets and Risk Management:
For Zone 1, the upside target is 3657 with a protective stop below 3622.
For Zone 2, the upside target is 3640 with a stop below 3606.
Both setups provide a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
Confirmation Requirement:
Entries should only be considered once at least two confirmations are present. Possible confirmations include:
Bullish candlestick patterns (engulfing, pin bar, or strong rejection wicks).
Break of minor intraday structure to the upside.
Volume spike or momentum divergence supporting the bullish bias.
Conclusion:
The bias remains bullish while above 3612. The first area of interest is 3630–3633 for a potential long entry toward 3657. If price dips deeper, the 3612–3616 zone provides the next opportunity for a bounce targeting 3640. Proper confirmation is essential before committing to trades, and stops should be respected to manage risk effectively.
ANFIBO | I think XAUUSD on 12.10.2025 ???After breaking the H1 uptrend line, Gold returned to the Fibo retracement zone 0.5 with a strong rebound, the current price is moving around the price zone 3655 and still maintains a strong rebound. Pay attention to the following important zones for today's strategy:
>> SELL SCALP: 3673 - 3675, SL 3678, TP 3655 - 3625 - 3600
>> BUY SCALP: around 3595, SL 3588, TP 3625 - 3645 - 3665
>>> SWING BUY: 3560 - 3570, SL 3550, TP 3620 - 3675 - 3700 - OPEN
>>> SWING SELL: 3790 - 3801, SL 2820, TP 3700 - 3570 - 3450 - OPEN
Have a nice weekend guys! :D
Buy if price breaks above 3,670 with confirmation, target around1. Main Trend
Gold remains in a strong uptrend, forming higher highs and higher lows.
The rising channel (red trendlines) is still intact, though price is now testing a strong resistance zone.
2. Resistance Zone & Upside Target
Key resistance area: 3,650 – 3,670 USD/oz (blue box on the chart).
If price breaks clearly above 3,670, the next target will likely be 3,700 – 3,720 (psychological level and Fibonacci extension zone).
3. Pullback Scenario
If price fails to break resistance, a pullback may occur toward Fibonacci retracement levels:
Fib 0.786 ≈ 3,574 USD (nearest support).
Fib 0.618 ≈ 3,509 USD (major support, aligning with previous demand zone – red box).
Fib 0.5 ≈ 3,463 USD (intermediate support).
The 3,500 – 3,510 USD zone is a critical support area; if broken, a deeper correction could unfold.
4. Technical Signals
Price is forming a small triangle/pennant pattern right at resistance → suggesting a strong breakout is likely soon.
RSI/Momentum (not shown here but typically at these levels) may be in overbought territory, increasing the chance of a short-term correction before resuming higher.
5. Trading Scenarios
Bullish case (preferred): Buy if price breaks above 3,670 with confirmation, target around 3,700 – 3,720.
Bearish case: If price gets rejected at resistance and breaks below the rising trendline, short-term selling may target 3,574 – 3,510.
📌 Summary:
The main trend remains bullish, but the 3,650 – 3,670 zone is the decision point.
A confirmed breakout → 3,700+.
Failure to hold → correction toward 3,574 or deeper to 3,510.
3615-3620 Buy! SL 3610 TP 3660!Yesterday, I clearly told everyone that, based on technical analysis of the one-hour chart, gold is bound to fall to 3620 unless there's any news or data impacting it! The low has already reached around 3622, but it hasn't fallen below 3620 yet! This is because it's a strong support level! The one-hour chart shows that gold has perfectly corrected from the top of the M-shaped pattern! Therefore, today's key support level is 3620! If 3620 doesn't break, you can buy gold near 3620! Set your stop-loss around 3618!
Let me tell you! All support and resistance levels require at least three rounds of repeated adjustments, tests, and accumulation before they can be broken!
So, today's trade is simple! As long as it doesn't fall below 3620, buy gold near 3620! If the price clearly falls below 3620 and doesn't rebound, set your stop-loss around 3620 and sell gold! ✔️✔️✔️
If you'd like to follow my latest updates, please contact me.
3615-3620 Buy!
SL 3610
TP 3660!
Gold Spikes After CPI but Faces Profit-Taking Pressure📊 Market Move:
Right after the CPI release, gold surged from $3613 to $3643, but profit-taking quickly dragged prices back to around $3635.
📈 Technical Analysis:
🔺 Resistance: 3645 – 3650
🔻 Support: 3626 – 3620
📉 Short-term EMA still points upward, suggesting the uptrend remains intact, though momentum has weakened after the spike.
🧐 Outlook:
Gold is undergoing a technical pullback after the sharp rally; the market needs further H1/H4 candle confirmation to see if the bullish move toward 3650+ continues.
🎯 Trading Strategy:
o Wait for a retest of 3626–3620; if reversal candles appear, consider a Buy following the trend.
o If price breaks below 3620, risk opens for a deeper drop toward 3610–3605.
Focus on CPI, 3640, 3620 long and short key pointsThe market focuses on CPI data, and in the short term 3640-3660 becomes the dividing line between bulls and bears for gold.
From the news perspective, due to the sharp decline in employment rate, the employment and economic environment in the United States have been affected, and a September interest rate cut is almost a foregone conclusion, which has prompted the recent continuous rise in gold prices. Whether the interim high of 3675 means that gold has peaked remains to be seen.
From a technical perspective, gold rebounded yesterday to correct Tuesday's decline, reaching a high of around 3657 before continuing its technically bearish downward trend and retreating to around 3640. Today, gold's overall volatility in the Asian and European sessions was limited, with 3640-3660 forming a short-term upper pressure, also becoming the dividing line between bulls and bears.
If the CPI data is bullish for gold, the first thing gold needs to do is to break through the short-term pressure of 3640-3660. Once it breaks through strongly and stabilizes above 3660, gold will continue to rise and is expected to set a new high of 690-3700.
On the contrary, if the CPI unexpectedly falls short, gold will only rebound tentatively but will be unable to break through the short-term suppression of 3640-3660, then the bears will officially counterattack and the market will briefly bid farewell to the bulls. A break below 3600 would target the key support level of 3580.
In summary, focus on the 3640-3660 resistance level and the 3620-3610 support level. If the European session sees a pullback to support without a break, a small, light position can be considered, For cautious traders, it's advisable to set the stop-loss order with a buffer of $3-5, depending on their account size.with a potential profit target of $10-$30. More conservative traders can wait for the CPI data before entering a trade.
Focus on CPI, beware of unexpected surprisesThe market focuses on CPI data, which is unlikely to fluctuate significantly in the short term. Although it has fallen below the recent support of 3620, buying below is still strong, so don't chase the short position. From the news and other recent data, it can be seen that the weak US employment data has suppressed the economy, forcing the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. The current market basically assumes that 25 basis points has become a reality, so the possibility of positive CPI data is relatively high.
If the CPI data is positive for gold, it will first test the resistance level of 3640-3660. If the data triggers a strong rally, gold could potentially reach new highs, aiming for 3690-3700.
However, the previous NFP data was also crucial, but the result was a surprise. Therefore, we cannot rule out the possibility of a similar surprise with the CPI data. If the CPI data is bearish for gold, it will first test 3600 below. Once it falls below 3600, it will go to 3580.
The above content is just an analysis of the possible trend of gold, which you can refer to. If the European session retreats again to 3620-3610 without breaking, you can try to go long with a light position, and the ideal target is 3640-3660. If it falls below 3600, SL will be adjusted in time.